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Climate and anthropogenic drivers of changes in abundance of C4 annuals and perennials in grasslands on the Mongolian Plateau 蒙古高原草原C4一年生植物和多年生植物丰度变化的气候和人为驱动因素
Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.1002/glr2.12019
Hao Yang, Karl Auerswald, Xiaoying Gong, Hans Schnyder, Yongfei Bai

Background

C4 plants have increased substantially during the past several decades in the grasslands of the Mongolian Plateau due to regional warming. Here, we explore how the patterns of abundances of C4 annuals and C4 perennials change over space and time.

Methods

A total of 280 sites with C4 plants were surveyed in four types of grasslands in 9 years. The relative biomasses of C4 plants (PC4), C4 annuals (PA4), and C4 perennials (PP4) were calculated. Structural equation modeling was used to analyze the drivers of changes in PA4 and PP4.

Results

At the regional scale, PA4 on average was 11% (±19%, SD) and PP4 was 13% (±19%, SD). Spatially, C4 annuals dominated the C4 communities within an east–west belt region along 44° N and tended to spread toward northern latitudes (about 0.5°) and higher altitudes in the east mountainous areas. The abundance of C4 annuals decreased, while that of C4 perennials increased. The patterns of C4 annuals and C4 perennials were mainly controlled by temperature, growing season precipitation, and dynamics between the two life forms.

Conclusions

C4 annuals exhibited competitive advantages in normal and wet years, while C4 perennials had competitive advantages in dry years. Grazing as a main human disturbance increased C4 annuals, but had no significant effect on C4 perennials.

在过去的几十年里,由于区域变暖,蒙古高原草原的C4植物大量增加。本文探讨了C4一年生植物和C4多年生植物的丰度随时间和空间的变化规律。方法利用9年的时间,对4类草原共280个C4植物样点进行调查。计算C4植物(PC4)、C4一年生植物(PA4)和C4多年生植物(PP4)的相对生物量。采用结构方程模型分析了PA4和PP4变化的驱动因素。结果在区域范围内,PA4平均为11%(±19%,SD), PP4平均为13%(±19%,SD)。在44°N的东西带区,C4年生植物群落占主导地位,在东部山区有向北纬(约0.5°)和更高海拔扩展的趋势。C4一年生植物的丰度降低,而C4多年生植物的丰度增加。C4一年生植物和C4多年生植物的格局主要受温度、生长季降水和两种生命形式之间的动态控制。结论C4一年生植物在丰水年和丰水年表现出竞争优势,而C4多年生植物在干旱年表现出竞争优势。放牧对C4一年生植物的影响不显著,但对C4多年生植物的影响不显著。
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引用次数: 0
How profitable is switchgrass in Illinois, USA? An economic definition of marginal land 柳枝稷在美国伊利诺伊州的利润如何?边际土地的经济学定义
Pub Date : 2022-06-15 DOI: 10.1002/glr2.12017
Nictor Namoi, David Archer, Todd S. Rosenstock, Chunhwa Jang, Cheng-Hsien Lin, Arvid Boe, DoKyoung Lee

Background

Decisions regarding the conversion of land from an existing crop to bioenergy crops are critical for the sustainable production of both food and fuels. This study seeks to establish criteria for delineating land as “economically marginal”, and thus suited for growing switchgrass.

Methods

In this case study of an Illinois agricultural field, the profitability of switchgrass, with farmgate prices of $44 Mg−1, $66 Mg−1, or $88 Mg−1, was compared to corn and soybean crop prices. Further, the study also evaluates the profitability of switchgrass when replacing corn-based yield estimates from the Soil Productivity Index (SPI) of Illinois.

Results

Based on a dry-matter yield of 10.45 Mg ha−1, switchgrass can compete with soybeans only at the high price of $88 Mg−1, but depending on location, can compete with corn at $66 Mg−1. Across Illinois, at $88 ha−1, all Illinois land with SPI < 100% and 95% of land under SPI class C (SPI 100–116) is profitable under switchgrass. Switchgrass may not be profitable relative to corn grown in the SPI class A (SPI > 133) and only 7% of class B (SPI 117–132).

Conclusions

Our results show that land with drainage and erosion limitations is economically marginal when corn and soybean yields are low, and the farmgate price for switchgrass is greater than $66 Mg−1. However, this may not be possible on land where switchgrass is replacing frequent soybean rotations (corn–soybean ratio ≤ 1). Land used to produce only soybeans may only be marginal at the farmgate price of $88 Mg−1. Further studies need to be conducted to identify how much land can be converted to switchgrass without harming corn production.

关于将土地从现有作物转为生物能源作物的决定对粮食和燃料的可持续生产至关重要。这项研究试图建立界定“经济边缘”土地的标准,从而适合种植柳枝稷。方法以伊利诺斯州某农田为例,将柳枝稷的农场价格分别为44、66、88 Mg - 1,与玉米和大豆作物价格进行比较。此外,该研究还评估了柳枝稷取代伊利诺伊州土壤生产力指数(SPI)估算的玉米产量时的盈利能力。结果在干物质产量为10.45 Mg ha−1的条件下,柳枝稷在88 Mg−1美元的高价位上可以与大豆竞争,但在不同的地理位置,在66 Mg−1美元的高价位上可以与玉米竞争。在伊利诺伊州,所有SPI为100%的土地和95%的SPI为C级(SPI 100-116)的土地在柳枝稷下都是有利可图的,价值88公顷- 1。相对于SPI A类(SPI > 133)和B类(SPI 117-132)中种植的玉米,柳枝稷可能没有利润。结论当玉米和大豆产量较低时,具有排水和侵蚀限制的土地在经济上是边际的,柳枝稷的农场价格大于66 Mg−1美元。然而,在柳枝稷取代频繁的大豆轮作(玉米-大豆比≤1)的土地上,这可能是不可能的。仅用于生产大豆的土地,在88 Mg - 1美元的农场价格下可能只是边际的。需要进行进一步的研究,以确定有多少土地可以在不损害玉米生产的情况下转化为柳枝稷。
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引用次数: 0
Inoculation with native grassland soils improves native plant species germination in highly disturbed soil 接种原生草地土壤可提高原生植物在高度扰动土壤中的萌发率
Pub Date : 2022-06-12 DOI: 10.1002/glr2.12018
Eric B. Duell, Karen R. Hickman, Gail W. T. Wilson

Background

Grasslands are globally imperiled, facing continued threats from anthropogenic disturbances. Seeding remains a common grassland restoration method, and yet, is typically met with limited success, partially because soils of degraded systems inhibit the germination of native species.

Methods

We assessed the germination success of 16 native grassland species sown in soils collected from a degraded grassland converted into a nonnative warm-season perennial grass, Bothriochloa ischaemum, and areas previously subjected to the eradication of this nonnative species. Our objectives were as follows: (1) determine native seed germination in soils collected from B. ischaemum or eradication control sites, compared to germination in native grassland soil, and (2) assess if native soil inoculation improves germination, compared to germination in degraded soils without inoculation.

Results

Germination of native species was exceedingly low when seeded into soil dominated by B. ischaemum, or in soil previously treated with combinations of herbicide and prescribed fire, relative to native grassland control. However, amendments with native grassland soil resulted in germination equivalent to native grasslands, alleviating the negative influences of degraded soils.

Conclusions

Our results highlight the role of native soil in improving the germination of desirable plant species following intensive management and soil degradation. Our research may improve restoration outcomes for managers focused on the conservation and restoration of grasslands.

全球范围内,草地面临着持续的人为干扰威胁。播种仍然是一种常见的草地恢复方法,然而,通常成功率有限,部分原因是退化系统的土壤抑制了本地物种的萌发。方法在退化草地转化为非原生暖季多年生草Bothriochloa ischaemum的土壤中,对16种原生草地物种的发芽成功率进行了评估。我们的研究目标如下:(1)比较从草芽孢杆菌或根除控制地点收集的土壤中原生种子的萌发,以及(2)评估原生土壤接种是否能提高种子的萌发,与未接种的退化土壤相比。结果与原生草地对照相比,在草芽草占优势的土壤中或在除草剂与明火联合处理的土壤中,原生植物的发芽率极低。而对原生态草地土壤进行改良后,种子萌发与原生态草地相当,缓解了土壤退化对种子萌发的负面影响。结论我们的研究结果强调了原生土壤在集约化管理和土壤退化后促进理想植物种子萌发的作用。本文的研究结果对草地保护与恢复的管理者具有重要的指导意义。
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引用次数: 3
Functional profiles of soil microbial communities in the alpine and temperate grasslands of China 中国高寒和温带草原土壤微生物群落功能特征
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.1002/glr2.12011
Yunfeng Yang, Jizhong Zhou, Xue Guo

Grassland ecosystems in cold regions are typical of short growing seasons and limited primary productivity, rendering soil microorganisms as major ecosystem engineers in governing biogeochemical cycling. Climate warming and extensive livestock grazing have dramatically influenced soil microbial diversity and function in grassland worldwide, but it remains elusive how functional microbial communities exist and respond to global changes. Here, we present a review to highlight similarities and differences in soil functional microbial communities between alpine grasslands in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and temperate grasslands in the Inner Mongolian Plateau, both of which are major plateaus in China, but differ substantially in geography. We show that many specialized functional groups thrive under harsh conditions, exhibiting a high functional diversity. Their community compositions mirror the heterogeneity and complexity of grassland soils. Moreover, functional microbial responses to environmental changes have been extremely variable, with few consistent patterns across both plateaus. Because we identify a lack of technical standardization that prevents in-depth comparative studies for functional microbial communities, we conclude the review by outlining several research gaps that need to be filled in future studies.

寒地草原生态系统生长季节短,初级生产力有限,土壤微生物是控制生物地球化学循环的主要生态系统工程师。气候变暖和畜牧业的广泛放牧极大地影响了全球草地土壤微生物的多样性和功能,但功能微生物群落的存在和对全球变化的响应仍然是一个未知的问题。本文对青藏高原高寒草原与内蒙古高原温带草原土壤功能微生物群落的异同进行了综述。青藏高原和内蒙古高原都是中国的主要高原,但在地理上存在很大差异。我们发现许多专门的功能群在恶劣条件下茁壮成长,表现出高度的功能多样性。它们的群落组成反映了草地土壤的异质性和复杂性。此外,功能性微生物对环境变化的反应非常不同,在两个高原上几乎没有一致的模式。由于我们发现缺乏技术标准化,阻碍了对功能性微生物群落的深入比较研究,因此我们通过概述未来研究中需要填补的几个研究空白来总结本文。
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引用次数: 0
Strong parallel evidence of selection during switchgrass sward establishment in hybrid and lowland ecotypes 在杂交和低地生态型的柳枝稷形成过程中,有很强的平行选择证据
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.1002/glr2.12007
Neal W. Tilhou, Shawn M. Kaeppler, Michael D. Casler

Background

Switchgrass sward establishment results in up to 90% seedling mortality. The degree of selection during sward establishment has not been reported using modern genetic methods.

Methods

Pooled leaf samples were sequenced from replicated swards of 46 half-sib families from two breeding groups (lowland and hybrid) before and through 3 years of stand establishment. Pooled allele frequencies were then assessed using fixation indices (Fst) and an independent data set was used to predict the polygenic impact of establishment selection on two traits (heading date and winter survivorship). Last, the DNA pools were assigned survival rankings to predict the sward survival genomically estimated breeding values within the training data set.

Results

Strong and parallel selection occured in both breeding groups. Five genomic regions exceeded the significant threshold of 99.9% in >10 families, indicating consistent selection across families and breeding groups. Polygenic trait predictions determined that establishment selection was partially associated with winter survivorship but resulted in variable heading date alterations. The genomewide variation is consistent with selection for a small number of related parental lines.

Conclusions

This study observed strong selection for a small number of hybrid and coastal ecotype individuals which are promising germplasm sources for improved sward survival. This confirms prior reports of sward selection during grassland establishment and highlights the strength of pooled DNA sequencing for survival traits.

背景:柳枝稷的建立导致高达90%的幼苗死亡率。利用现代遗传方法还没有报道过叶片形成过程中的选择程度。方法对2个育种群体(低地和杂交)46个半兄弟姐妹家系的复制苗在立林前和立林后3年的叶片样本进行综合测序。然后使用固定指数(Fst)评估混合等位基因频率,并使用独立数据集预测建树选择对两个性状(抽穗日期和冬季存活率)的多基因影响。最后,对DNA池进行生存排序,以预测训练数据集中基因组估计的繁殖值。结果两个育种组均发生了强选择和平行选择。在10个家系中,有5个基因组区域超过了99.9%的显著阈值,表明在家系和育种群体中选择是一致的。多基因性状预测表明,品种选择与冬季存活率部分相关,但导致抽穗日期的变化。这种全基因组变异与对少数亲本系的选择一致。结论少数杂交和滨海生态型个体具有较强的选择性,是提高草地存活率的重要种质资源。这证实了先前关于草地建立过程中的草地选择的报道,并强调了生存性状的汇总DNA测序的优势。
{"title":"Strong parallel evidence of selection during switchgrass sward establishment in hybrid and lowland ecotypes","authors":"Neal W. Tilhou,&nbsp;Shawn M. Kaeppler,&nbsp;Michael D. Casler","doi":"10.1002/glr2.12007","DOIUrl":"10.1002/glr2.12007","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Background</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Switchgrass sward establishment results in up to 90% seedling mortality. The degree of selection during sward establishment has not been reported using modern genetic methods.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Pooled leaf samples were sequenced from replicated swards of 46 half-sib families from two breeding groups (lowland and hybrid) before and through 3 years of stand establishment. Pooled allele frequencies were then assessed using fixation indices (<i>F</i><sub>st</sub>) and an independent data set was used to predict the polygenic impact of establishment selection on two traits (heading date and winter survivorship). Last, the DNA pools were assigned survival rankings to predict the sward survival genomically estimated breeding values within the training data set.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Strong and parallel selection occured in both breeding groups. Five genomic regions exceeded the significant threshold of 99.9% in &gt;10 families, indicating consistent selection across families and breeding groups. Polygenic trait predictions determined that establishment selection was partially associated with winter survivorship but resulted in variable heading date alterations. The genomewide variation is consistent with selection for a small number of related parental lines.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study observed strong selection for a small number of hybrid and coastal ecotype individuals which are promising germplasm sources for improved sward survival. This confirms prior reports of sward selection during grassland establishment and highlights the strength of pooled DNA sequencing for survival traits.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":100593,"journal":{"name":"Grassland Research","volume":"1 1","pages":"31-42"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/glr2.12007","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72917955","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Photothermal controls of vegetative dormancy in Poa secunda 光热控制下白豌豆营养休眠
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.1002/glr2.12008
Allen A. Chen, Shui-zhang Fei, Andrew W. Lenssen, Kenneth J. Moore

Background

Summer vegetative dormancy is a desirable trait in cool-season grasses when they are interplanted with annual crops. Sandberg bluegrass (Poa secunda J. Presl.) shows summer dormancy, but the environmental cues that control dormancy remain unknown.

Methods

A controlled environment study using temperature and day length combinations of 32.2°C/15 h, 26.6°C/14 h, 21.1°C/13 h, and 15.5°C/12 h was conducted with P. secunda accessions PI232347, PI639272, and PI232348, and ‘Audubon’ red fescue as a nondormant control to determine the optimum treatment for dormancy induction. A second study using treatments of 26.6°C/14 h, 21.1°C/13 h, and 15.5°C/12 h was conducted to determine the thresholds for dormancy release. A third study used a factorial experiment with two temperatures (32.2°C and 15.5°C) and two day lengths (15 and 12 h) to differentiate between temperature and day length effects on dormancy induction.

Results

Of the four temperature and day length combinations, all except for 15.5°C/12 h resulted in dormancy by the end of 6 weeks, with 32.2°C/15 h inducing dormancy in only 17 days. Of the three treatments for dormancy release, 15.5°C/12 h broke dormancy the fastest in all accessions and released the most number of plants from dormancy. Considerable variation existed between accessions for the speed of dormancy release in the 21.1°C/13 h and 26.6°C/14 h treatments. The third study showed that temperature is the primary inducer for summer dormancy, while longer day length may promote dormancy under inductive temperatures.

Conclusions

This study identified the optimum photothermal for induction and release of summer dormancy in P. secunda, which will help future studies in elucidating the mechanism of summer dormancy.

夏季营养休眠是冷季草与一年生作物套种时的理想特性。桑德伯格蓝草(Poa secunda J. Presl.)表现出夏季休眠,但控制休眠的环境线索尚不清楚。方法采用32.2°C/15 h、26.6°C/14 h、21.1°C/13 h和15.5°C/12 h的温度和日照组合,以“奥杜邦”红羊茅为非休眠对照,确定诱导休眠的最佳处理。第二项研究采用26.6°C/14 h、21.1°C/13 h和15.5°C/12 h处理,以确定休眠释放的阈值。第三项研究采用两种温度(32.2°C和15.5°C)和两种白天长度(15和12小时)的析因实验来区分温度和白天长度对诱导休眠的影响。结果4种温度和日长组合中,除15.5°C/12 h外,其余均在6周后休眠,其中32.2°C/15 h仅在17 d内休眠。在3个解除休眠处理中,15.5°C/12 h解除休眠最快,解除休眠植株数量最多。在21.1°C/13 h和26.6°C/14 h处理下,不同种质间的休眠释放速度存在较大差异。第三项研究表明,温度是夏季休眠的主要诱因,而在诱导温度下,较长的日照可能促进休眠。结论本研究确定了诱导和释放白杨夏季休眠的最佳光热条件,为进一步研究白杨夏季休眠机制奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Removing subordinate species in a biodiversity experiment to mimic observational field studies 在生物多样性实验中去除次要物种以模拟野外观测研究
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.1002/glr2.12009
Bernhard Schmid, Martin Schmitz, Michael Rzanny, Michael Scherer-Lorenzen, Peter N. Mwangi, Wolfgang W. Weisser, Andrew Hector, Roland Schmid, Dan F. B. Flynn

Background

Positive effects of plant species richness on community biomass in biodiversity experiments are often stronger than those from observational field studies. This may be because experiments are initiated with randomly assembled species compositions whereas field communities have experienced filtering.

Methods

We compared aboveground biomass production of randomly assembled communities of 2–16 species (controls) with experimentally filtered communities from which subordinate species were removed, resulting in removal communities of 1–8 species.

Results

Removal communities had (1) 12.6% higher biomass than control communities from which they were derived, that is, with double species richness and (2) 32.0% higher biomass than control communities of equal richness. These differences were maintained along the richness gradient. The increased productivity of removal communities was paralleled by increased species evenness and complementarity.

Conclusions

Result (1) indicates that subordinate species can reduce community biomass production, suggesting a possible explanation for why the most diverse field communities sometimes do not have the highest productivity. Result (2) suggests that if a community of S species has been derived by filtering from a pool of 2S randomly chosen species it is more productive than a community derived from a pool of S randomly chosen species without filtering.

生物多样性实验中植物物种丰富度对群落生物量的正向影响往往强于野外观测结果。这可能是因为实验是用随机组合的物种组成开始的,而野外群落经历了过滤。方法将随机组合群落中2 ~ 16种(对照)的地上生物量与实验过滤群落中去除下属物种的地上生物量进行比较,得到1 ~ 8种的去除群落。结果:(1)移除群落的生物量比对照群落高12.6%,具有双倍的物种丰富度;(2)移除群落的生物量比相同丰富度的对照群落高32.0%。这些差异在丰富度梯度上保持不变。迁移群落生产力的提高与物种均匀性和互补性的增加是平行的。结果(1)表明从属物种可以降低群落生物量,这可能解释了为什么最多样化的野外群落有时没有最高的生产力。结果(2)表明,如果从随机选择的2S个物种池中过滤得到S个物种的群落,其生产力比从随机选择的S个物种池中未经过滤得到的群落更高。
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引用次数: 4
The economic value of grassland ecosystem services: A global meta-analysis 草地生态系统服务的经济价值:一个全球元分析
Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.1002/glr2.12012
Huifang Liu, Lingling Hou, Nannan Kang, Zhibiao Nan, Jikun Huang

Background

Grasslands provide a wide variety of ecosystem services that contribute to human wellbeing. While an increasing number of studies are evaluating the monetary value of grassland ecosystem services, most of them focus on specific grassland ecosystem services at regional or local scales, and they use different assessment methods.

Methods

This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the economic value of global grassland ecosystem services based on a meta-analysis of 702 observations from 134 primary studies.

Results

The economic values of different ecosystem services cover a wide range of grassland types, regions, and estimation methods. The annual economic value per hectare ranges from $3955 for semidesert grasslands to $5466 for tropical grasslands. On average, regulating services have the highest value, which is approximately four times that of provisioning services or approximately eight times that of food supply services. Several factors impact the estimated ecosystem service values, including the evaluation method, source and year of publication, and study site. The results indicate that the annual economic value of global grasslands exceeds $20.8 trillion.

Conclusions

The findings of this study not only provide useful information for understanding the economic value of various ecosystem services associated with different types of grasslands but also have important policy implications for the ecological conservation of grassland globally.

草原提供了各种各样的生态系统服务,有助于人类福祉。虽然越来越多的研究对草地生态系统服务功能的货币价值进行了评估,但大多数研究都集中在区域或地方尺度上的特定草地生态系统服务功能,并且采用了不同的评估方法。方法对134项主要研究的702个观测值进行meta分析,对全球草地生态系统服务的经济价值进行综合评估。结果不同生态系统服务功能的经济价值涵盖了不同的草地类型、区域和估算方法。每公顷的年经济价值从半沙漠草原的3955美元到热带草原的5466美元不等。平均而言,调节服务的价值最高,大约是供应服务的四倍,大约是食品供应服务的八倍。影响生态系统服务价值的因素包括评价方法、来源、出版年份和研究地点。结果表明,全球草原年经济价值超过20.8万亿美元。结论本研究结果不仅为了解不同类型草地相关的各种生态系统服务的经济价值提供了有用的信息,而且对全球草地生态保护具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 8
Use, calibration and verification of agroecological models for boreal environments: A review 北方环境农业生态模型的使用、校准和验证:综述
Pub Date : 2022-04-29 DOI: 10.1002/glr2.12010
Daniel Forster, Samuli Helama, Matthew T. Harrison, Clarence Alan Rotz, Jinfeng Chang, Phillippe Ciais, Elizabeth Pattey, Perttu Virkajärvi, Narasinha Shurpali

Past assessments report negative impacts of the climate crisis in boreal areas; but milder and shorter winters and elevated atmospheric CO2 may provide opportunities for agricultural productivity potentially playing a significant role in future food security. Arable cropping systems are expanding in boreal areas, but the regional mainstay will likely continue to be livestock production. Agroecological models can when appropriately calibrated and evaluated, facilitate improved productivity while minimising environmental impacts by identifying system interactions, and quantifying greenhouse gas emissions, soil carbon stocks and fertiliser use. While models designed for temperate and tropical zones abound, few are developed specifically for boreal zones, and there is uncertainty around the performance of existing models in boreal areas. We reviewed model performance across boreal environments and management systems. We identified a dearth of modelling studies in boreal regions, with the publication of three or less papers per year since the year 2000, constituting a significant research gap. Models IFSM and BASGRA_N performed best in grassland production, DNDC best in predicting soil N2O and NH3 emissions. No model outperformed all others, strengthening the case for ensemble modelling. Existing agroecological models would be worthy of further evaluation, providing model improvements designed for boreal systems.

过去的评估报告了气候危机对北方地区的负面影响;但更温和和更短的冬季以及大气中二氧化碳含量升高可能为农业生产力提供机会,可能在未来的粮食安全中发挥重要作用。北方地区的耕地种植系统正在扩大,但该地区的支柱可能仍将是畜牧业生产。农业生态模型在经过适当校准和评估后,可以通过确定系统相互作用以及量化温室气体排放、土壤碳储量和肥料使用,促进提高生产力,同时最大限度地减少对环境的影响。虽然为温带和热带地区设计的模式很多,但专门为北方地区开发的模式很少,而且在北方地区现有模式的性能存在不确定性。我们回顾了在北方环境和管理系统中的模型性能。我们确定了北方地区模型研究的缺乏,自2000年以来每年发表的论文不超过三篇,这构成了一个重大的研究缺口。IFSM和BASGRA_N模型对草地产量的预测效果最好,DNDC模型对土壤N2O和NH3排放的预测效果最好。没有一个模型胜过所有其他模型,这加强了集成模型的情况。现有的农业生态模型值得进一步评价,为北方生态系统提供模型改进设计。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Grassland Research
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