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Evaluate VTS benefits: A case study of Zhoushan Port VTS效益评估——以舟山港为例
Pub Date : 2015-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enavi.2015.12.003
Jun-Min Mou , Cui Zhou , Yu Du , Wei-Ming Tang

It has been well acknowledged that Vessel Traffic Services (VTS) has played a growing important role to ensure the safety of navigation in the busy ports and waterways. However, the benefits produced by VTS are usually ignored by the public and private sectors. Besides, the previous evaluations generally exist following problems: (1) It is difficult to collect the data for the parameters in the evaluation models and/or the parameters are designed illogically; (2) Those models did not take the following factors into consideration such as reducing the frequency of coastal vessel patrolling and saving human and material resources; (3) It is difficult to clearly discriminate the benefits derived from VTS and non-VTS. In this paper, a framework is presented to calculate the benefits of VTS in China. Four key indicators (safety, traffic efficiency, environmental protection and reducing supervising cost) and quantitative methods have been introduced into the framework. When calculating the benefits quantitatively, the traffic condition before the construction (expansion) of the VTS has acted as a benchmark. For a case study, the project of the expansion of VTS in Zhoushan Port, East China was evaluated with 10-year data. According to the results, the largest contribution is from the benefit of environmental protection. Via Cost-benefit analysis the benefit cost ratio (B/C) of the VTS is up to 5.248, which shows the benefits produced by VTS are considerable. The research could provide references for VTS benefits evaluation and investment optimizing.

众所周知,船舶交通服务(VTS)在确保繁忙港口和水道的航行安全方面发挥着越来越重要的作用。然而,VTS产生的好处通常被公共和私营部门所忽视。此外,以往的评价普遍存在以下问题:(1)评价模型中的参数数据难以采集,或者参数设计不合理;(2)未考虑减少沿海船舶巡逻次数、节约人力物力等因素;(3)很难明确区分VTS和非VTS带来的利益。本文提出了一个计算中国VTS效益的框架。该框架引入了安全、交通效率、环境保护和降低监管成本四个关键指标和量化方法。在定量计算效益时,以VTS建(扩建)前的交通状况为基准。以舟山港VTS扩建项目为例,利用10年数据对该项目进行了评价。根据研究结果,最大的贡献来自于环境保护效益。通过成本效益分析,VTS的效益成本比(B/C)高达5.248,说明VTS产生的效益是可观的。研究可为VTS效益评价和投资优化提供参考。
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引用次数: 7
Edboard page Edboard页面
Pub Date : 2015-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/S2405-5352(15)00081-9
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引用次数: 0
A Fuzzy Rule-Based Bayesian Reasoning Method for Analysing the Necessity of Super Slow Steaming under Uncertainty: Containership 基于模糊规则的贝叶斯推理方法分析不确定条件下集装箱船超慢速航行必要性
Pub Date : 2015-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enavi.2015.12.001
Noorul Shaiful Fitri Abdul Rahman , Zaili Yang , Stephen Bonsall , Jin Wang

The global economic and financial conditions in 2010 and 2011 were positive and the business trade grew at about twice of the rate of that in 2009. The container shipping players started to enjoy a new chapter of international business trade having struggled to operate their vessels since 2008. So we now have to consider if the shipping business will return to its old strategy? What will happen to the container shipping sector in 10 years from now still remains uncertain. Recently, the uncertain situation globally has been giving shipping companies in difficulty the opportunity to make decision as to whether it is necessary to use super slow steaming for containerships. Therefore, the aim of this study is to analyse the necessity of super slow steaming on containerships despite such uncertainty. A Fuzzy Rule-based Bayesian Reasoning method has been used which incorporates the membership function and 14 selected nodes. Finally, the outcome of this study is 48 rules which have been proposed to assist shipping companies in their decision making processes when dealing with the dynamic business environment. Each rule gives a clear-cut understanding of the result which is able to be applied to real situations the containership industry faces.

2010年和2011年的全球经济和金融状况是积极的,商业贸易增长率约为2009年的两倍。自2008年以来一直经营不善的集装箱航运公司开始享受国际商业贸易的新篇章。那么我们现在不得不考虑航运业务是否会回到原来的战略?10年后集装箱航运业将会发生什么仍然不确定。最近,全球形势的不确定性给了陷入困境的航运公司一个机会,来决定是否有必要为集装箱船使用超慢速蒸汽。因此,本研究的目的是分析在这种不确定性下,集装箱船上超慢速航行的必要性。采用基于模糊规则的贝叶斯推理方法,结合隶属函数和14个选定节点。最后,本研究的结果是提出了48条规则,以帮助航运公司在处理动态商业环境时进行决策过程。每条规则都对结果有一个清晰的理解,能够应用到集装箱航运业面临的实际情况中。
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引用次数: 8
Measuring Safety Culture on Ships Using Safety Climate: A Study among Indian Officers 用安全气候衡量船舶安全文化:对印度军官的研究
Pub Date : 2015-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enavi.2015.12.006
Yogendra Bhattacharya

Workplace safety continues to be an area of concern in the maritime industry due to the international nature of the operations. The effectiveness of extensive legislation to manage shipboard safety remains in doubt. The focus must therefore shift towards the human element - seafarers and their perceptions of safety. The study aims to understand the alignment that exists between safety culture and safety climate on board ships as perceived by seafarers. The underlying factors of safety climate were identified using factor analysis which isolated seven factors - Support on Safety, Organizational Support, Resource Availability, Work Environment, Job Demands, ‘Just’ Culture, and Safety Compliance. The perception of safety level of seafarers was found to be low indicating the existence of misalignments between safety culture values and the actual safety climate. The study also reveals that the safety perceptions of officers employed directly by ship owners and those by managers do not differ significantly, nor do they differ between senior and junior officers. A shift in perspective towards how seafarers themselves feel towards safety might provide more effective solutions – instead of relying on regulations - and indeed aid in reducing incidents on board. This paper details practical suggestions on how to identify the factors that contribute towards a better safety climate on board ships.

由于作业的国际性,工作场所安全一直是海运业关注的一个领域。管理船上安全的广泛立法的有效性仍然令人怀疑。因此,重点必须转向人的因素,即海员及其对安全的认识。该研究旨在了解海员所感知的船上安全文化与安全气候之间存在的一致性。安全气候的潜在因素是通过因子分析确定的,因子分析分离出七个因素——安全支持、组织支持、资源可用性、工作环境、工作需求、“公正”文化和安全合规。发现海员对安全水平的感知较低,表明安全文化价值观与实际安全气候之间存在偏差。研究还表明,船东直接雇用的高级船员和管理人员的安全观念没有显著差异,高级船员和初级船员之间也没有差异。从海员自身对安全的看法上进行转变,可能会提供更有效的解决方案,而不是依赖法规,并确实有助于减少船上的事故。本文详细介绍了如何确定有助于改善船上安全气候的因素的实际建议。
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引用次数: 22
Research on the Impact of Ownership Structure to Operation Performance of the Chinese Listed Port Companies 股权结构对我国港口上市公司经营绩效的影响研究
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/J.ENAVI.2015.06.006
Bao Jiang, Jian Li
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引用次数: 6
Selecting Tanker Steaming Speeds under Uncertainty: A Rule-Based Bayesian Reasoning Approach 不确定条件下油轮航速选择:基于规则的贝叶斯推理方法
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enavi.2015.06.003
N.S.F. Abdul Rahman , R.Md. Hanafiah , A.F. Ahmad Najib , W.M.Z. Abdul Halim

In the tanker industry, there are a lot of uncertain conditions that tanker companies have to deal with. For example, the global financial crisis and economic recession, the increase of bunker fuel prices and global climate change. Such conditions have forced tanker companies to change tankers speed from full speed to slow speed, extra slow speed and super slow speed. Due to such conditions, the objective of this paper is to present a methodology for determining vessel speeds of tankers that minimize the cost of the vessels under such conditions. The four levels of vessel speed in the tanker industry will be investigated and will incorporate a number of uncertain conditions. This will be done by developing a scientific model using a rule-based Bayesian reasoning method. The proposed model has produced 96 rules that can be used as guidance in the decision making process. Such results help tanker companies to determine the appropriate vessel speed to be used in a dynamic operational environmental.

在油轮行业,油轮公司必须处理许多不确定的情况。例如,全球金融危机和经济衰退,燃油价格上涨和全球气候变化。这种情况迫使油轮公司将油轮的速度从全速改为慢速、超慢速和超慢速。由于这种情况,本文的目的是提出一种方法来确定油轮的船速,使船舶在这种情况下的成本最小化。将对油轮行业的四个船速级别进行调查,并将纳入许多不确定条件。这将通过使用基于规则的贝叶斯推理方法开发一个科学模型来完成。提出的模型产生了96条规则,可在决策过程中作为指导。这些结果有助于油轮公司确定在动态作业环境中使用的适当船舶速度。
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引用次数: 1
Research on the Impact of Ownership Structure to Operation Performance of the Chinese Listed Port Companies 股权结构对我国港口上市公司经营绩效的影响研究
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enavi.2015.06.006
Bao Jiang, Jian Li

The ownership structure which has a huge impact on company operation performance is the foundation of corporate governance structure choice. At present, the number of China's listed port companies is the largest in the world; however, they have a very complex ownership structure. This study discusses the impact of ownership structure on the operation performance of the Chinese ports. This empirical research applies factor analysis to evaluate the operation performance of listed port companies, and then adopts linear regression analysis based on the evaluation results to explore the impact of ownership structure to operation performance. Finally, it proposes recommendations for optimizing the ownership structure of listed port companies, in order to promote a better and faster development of China's port industry. The empirical results show that for most of the listed port companies, the largest shareholder is in the absolute controlling position, and the gap between the largest shareholder and the second largest shareholder is very large, which means the ownership concentration is relatively high. Meanwhile, the top five shareholders equity ratio squared is in negative correlation with operation performance.

股权结构是公司治理结构选择的基础,对公司经营绩效有着巨大的影响。目前,中国港口上市公司数量居世界首位;然而,它们的所有权结构非常复杂。本研究探讨了股权结构对中国港口经营绩效的影响。本实证研究采用因子分析法对港口上市公司的经营绩效进行评价,并在评价结果的基础上采用线性回归分析,探讨股权结构对经营绩效的影响。最后提出了优化港口上市公司股权结构的建议,以促进中国港口产业更好更快的发展。实证结果表明,对于大多数港口上市公司来说,第一大股东处于绝对控制地位,第一大股东与第二大股东之间的差距非常大,这意味着股权集中度相对较高。同时,前五大股东权益比率的平方与经营业绩呈负相关。
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引用次数: 6
The Rationalization of Port Logistics Activities: A Study at Port of Santos (Brazil) ☆ 港口物流活动合理化研究——以巴西桑托斯港为例☆
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/J.ENAVI.2015.06.007
G. B. B. Vieira, F. J. K. Neto, J. Ribeiro
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引用次数: 18
A Transportation Problem with Uncertain Costs and Random Supplies 具有不确定成本和随机供应的运输问题
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enavi.2015.06.001
Haiying Guo, Xiaosheng Wang, Shaoling Zhou

Transportation problem is an optimization problem. In general, it was studied under random or uncertain condition. Considering the recent complexity, it is not enough to make should be a perfect transportation plan only based on. Usually, there is not only uncertainty but also randomness in many systems. In this paper, the aim is to investigate a transportation problem under uncertain and random environment. As a result, a conceptual uncertain random model is proposed for the problem, where the supplies are considered as random variables, and the costs and the demands are uncertain variables. By minimizing the expected value of uncertain objective function and taking confidence levels on constraints, transforming the model into a crisp mathematical form is the main conclusion. By minimizing the expected value of uncertain objective function and taking confidence levels on constraints, the above model can be turned to a mathematical form. Then transforming the model into a typical mathematical programming model is the main conclusion by using uncertainty theory and probability theory. At the end, a numerical example is given to show the feasibility of the model.

运输问题是一个优化问题。一般都是在随机或不确定的条件下进行研究。考虑到当前交通的复杂性,仅仅基于交通的因素来制定一个完善的交通计划是不够的。通常,在许多系统中不仅存在不确定性,而且存在随机性。本文的目的是研究不确定和随机环境下的运输问题。为此,本文提出了一个概念性的不确定随机模型,将供给视为随机变量,成本和需求为不确定变量。通过最小化不确定目标函数的期望值,对约束条件取置信度,将模型转化为简洁的数学形式是本文的主要结论。通过最小化不确定目标函数的期望值,并对约束条件取置信度,将上述模型转化为数学形式。然后利用不确定性理论和概率论将模型转化为典型的数学规划模型。最后通过数值算例验证了该模型的可行性。
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引用次数: 40
Performance Verification Mechanism for Adaptive Assessment e-Platform and e-Navigation Application 自适应评估电子平台与电子导航应用的性能验证机制
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enavi.2015.06.005
Chang-Shing Lee, Mei-Hui Wang, Cheng-Hao Huang

Adaptive assessment e-platform is being promoted in the world to make teachers understand students’ e-learning performance on the Internet. However, system's load testing for an adaptive assessment is a very important issue during development of such an e-platform. In this paper, we have adopted the genetic fuzzy markup language (GFML) to infer the performance of an adaptive assessment e-platform. Firstly, we collected the data and information of the e-platform loading in two different mechanisms. With the collected data, the proposed CPU usage calculation mechanism is first implemented to acquire the CPU usage information from the screenshot of Ganglia. Next, we used the fuzzy c-means (FCM) clustering mechanism to construct the knowledge base according to the collected data. Then, number of threads, constant timer, MySQL parameter, CPU usage, and testing time of the e-platform were utilized to infer the e-platform load performance. Finally, the genetic learning algorithm was utilized to learn the knowledge and rule base to optimize the proposed approach. From these experimental results, the proposed method is feasible for verifying the performance of an adaptive assessment e-platform. In the future, the adaptive assessment e-platform can be utilized to e-Navigation systems and applications.

自适应评估电子平台正在国际上推广,以使教师了解学生在互联网上的电子学习表现。然而,在开发电子平台的过程中,系统的负载测试是一个非常重要的问题。在本文中,我们采用遗传模糊标记语言(GFML)来推断自适应评估电子平台的性能。首先,我们收集了两种不同机制下电子平台加载的数据和信息。利用收集到的数据,首先实现所提出的CPU使用率计算机制,从Ganglia的截图中获取CPU使用率信息。接下来,我们利用模糊c均值(FCM)聚类机制,根据收集到的数据构建知识库。然后利用e-platform的线程数、常量计时器、MySQL参数、CPU使用率和测试时间来推断e-platform的负载性能。最后,利用遗传学习算法学习知识和规则库,对所提方法进行优化。实验结果表明,该方法对自适应评估电子平台的性能验证是可行的。在未来,自适应评估电子平台可用于电子导航系统和应用。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
International Journal of e-Navigation and Maritime Economy
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