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Wetland change prediction of Ogun-River Basin, Nigeria: Application of cellular automata Markov and remote sensing techniques 尼日利亚奥贡河流域湿地变化预测:元胞自动机马尔可夫和遥感技术的应用
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wsee.2022.11.001
Anthony Tobore , Samuel Bamidele

Wetland changes are very serious ecosystem problems, which stem from unrestrained human and environmental actions. Despite significant attention in environmental management research, the means to tackle wetland changes are still gaining momentum in science and research within developing countries. With the increasing availability of remote sensing data and flexible solutions, finding the right solution to wetland changes becomes a key research and policy agenda. Herein, we assessed the wetland change prediction of Ogun River (OR) basin, Nigeria, during 1999, 2009, and 2019 by analyzing land cover change (LCC) images using cellular automata-Markov (CA-Markov) chain and remote sensing (RS) techniques. The acquired shuttle radar topographic mapper and Landsat remotely sensed data were applied to create thematic-maps of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), normalized difference salinity index (NDSI), and digital elevation model (DEM) of the study area. The CA-Markov required the supervised classification of the land cover maps of 1999, 2009, and 2019. The results of the elevation, NDVI, and NDSI revealed the qualitative differences in the study area. The LCC analysis indicated that farmlands and built-up areas increased by 54.56 and 33.21 %, respectively. However, waterbodies, wetlands, and vegetation decreased by 0.42, 3.53, and 8.28 % respectively. These findings agree with the CA-Markov with an accuracy exceeding 70 %, and, thus predict the wetland changes for the year 2030. The major attributions to wetland cover variations in the study area are built-up encroachment with extensive, spontaneous, and uncontrolled agricultural activities. This study, through its findings, provides relevant guidelines and information on wetland changes required by stakeholders for environmental policy, planning, and sustainability.

湿地变化是严重的生态系统问题,其根源在于人类和环境的不受控制的活动。尽管环境管理研究受到了极大的关注,但在发展中国家的科学和研究中,解决湿地变化的手段仍然在获得动力。随着遥感数据可用性的提高和解决方案的灵活,寻找湿地变化的正确解决方案成为一个重要的研究和政策议程。基于元细胞自动机-马尔可夫(CA-Markov)链和遥感(RS)技术,对尼日利亚奥贡河(OR)流域1999年、2009年和2019年的土地覆盖变化(LCC)图像进行分析,评估了该流域湿地的变化预测。利用获取的航天雷达地形成像仪和Landsat遥感数据,绘制了研究区归一化植被指数(NDVI)、归一化盐度指数(NDSI)和数字高程模型(DEM)的主题图。CA-Markov需要对1999年、2009年和2019年的土地覆盖图进行监督分类。海拔、NDVI和NDSI的结果揭示了研究区域的质的差异。LCC分析表明,耕地和建成区面积分别增加了54.56%和33.21%。水体、湿地和植被分别减少0.42%、3.53%和8.28%。这些结果与CA-Markov模型一致,精度超过70%,从而预测了2030年湿地的变化。研究区湿地覆盖变化的主要原因是农业活动的广泛、自发和不受控制的累积侵占。本研究通过其研究结果,为利益相关者在环境政策、规划和可持续性方面所需的湿地变化提供了相关的指导方针和信息。
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引用次数: 3
Sustainable water resource management using surface-groundwater modelling: Motueka-Riwaka Plains, New Zealand 使用地表水-地下水模型的可持续水资源管理:Motueka-Riwaka平原,新西兰
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wsee.2021.08.001
C. Rajanayaka, J. Weir, T. Kerr, Joseph Thomas
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引用次数: 2
The bounded inverse Weibull distribution: An extreme value alternative for application to environmental maxima? 有界逆威布尔分布:应用于环境最大值的极值替代方案?
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wsee.2021.09.001
E. Bardsley, V. Vetrova
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable water resource management using surface-groundwater modelling: Motueka-Riwaka Plains, New Zealand 使用地表水-地下水模型的可持续水资源管理:Motueka-Riwaka平原,新西兰
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wsee.2021.08.001
Channa Rajanayaka , Julian Weir , Tim Kerr , Joseph Thomas

New Zealand’s freshwater resources in coastal regions are under increasing pressure from demands for drinking, irrigation and industrial uses, and climate change effects, particularly sea level rise. The management of water resources needs to balance values associated with (but not limited to) economy, society, ecology, culture, recreation and water quality. To assist the management of water resources in the Motueka-Riwaka Plains, New Zealand, a numerical integrated surface-groundwater model was developed. Calibration of the transient integrated surface-groundwater model was achieved with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.6% for groundwater levels. Model verification against groundwater levels not used in the calibration also resulted in an RMSE of 2.6% for groundwater levels. Model outputs, coupled with groundwater trend analyses, were used to identify the impact of groundwater abstractions on rivers, streams and groundwater-fed springs. Trend analyses showed that groundwater levels are lowering in the central area of the plains. Model scenarios predict that additional groundwater abstraction of over 30,000 m3/day from a well field located near the central area of the plains (adjacent to the Motueka River) is unlikely to increase the risk of saltwater intrusion and will result in surface water flow depletion within acceptable limits.

由于饮用、灌溉和工业用途的需求,以及气候变化的影响,特别是海平面上升,新西兰沿海地区的淡水资源正面临越来越大的压力。水资源的管理需要平衡与(但不限于)经济、社会、生态、文化、娱乐和水质相关的价值。为了协助管理新西兰Motueka-Riwaka平原的水资源,开发了一个数值综合地表水-地下水模型。地下水水位的均方根误差(RMSE)为2.6%,实现了瞬态地表-地下水综合模型的校准。针对未在校准中使用的地下水水位进行的模型验证也导致地下水水位的RMSE为2.6%。模型输出与地下水趋势分析相结合,用于确定地下水抽取对河流、溪流和地下水泉水的影响。趋势分析表明,平原中部地区的地下水位正在下降。模型情景预测,从靠近平原中心地区(毗邻Motueka河)的一个井田额外抽取超过30,000 立方米/天的地下水不太可能增加盐水入侵的风险,并将导致在可接受范围内的地表水流量枯竭。
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引用次数: 2
Development of a pH-paralleling approach of quantifying six-category pharmaceuticals in surface water using SPE-HPLC-MS/MS 采用SPE-HPLC-MS/MS方法定量地表水中六类药物的ph平行方法的建立
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wsee.2021.01.001
Bing Hong , Shen Yu , Min Zhou , Juan Li , Jing Ding , Yong Niu

An analytical protocol was developed to quantify six-category pharmaceuticals in surface water under paralleling pHs using a combination of solid phase extraction (SPE) and high-performance liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry (HPLC-MS/MS). Of 121 compound standards commercially, 94 compounds were reliably quantified using a paralleling pH combination at 3 and 9 with a sound recovery-rate of 50-150%. The quantified compounds covered 6 categories as 37 antibiotics, 16 central nervous system drugs (CNs), 14 cardiovascular drugs (CVs), 12 endocrine and family planning drugs (EFs), 8 antiparasitic drugs (APs), and 7 non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). The protocol achieved limits of detection and quantitation in ranges of 0.001–11.9 ng L–1 and 0.003–39.7 ng L–1, respectively. Serial field surface water samples from Jiulong River in Fujian, China were testified using the protocol with 41 quantified compounds of the above-mentioned 6 categories from < LODs to 1,389 ng L−1 (caffeine). The key procedure prior to the SPE is to split filtrate of each surface water sample into two portions, adjusted to pH 3 and 9 separately and both spiked with 0.2 g Na2EDTA.

采用固相萃取(SPE)和高效液相色谱串联质谱(HPLC-MS/MS)相结合的方法,在平行ph值条件下对地表水中的6类药物进行定量分析。在121种商业标准化合物中,94种化合物使用3和9的平行pH组合可靠地定量,回收率为50-150%。其中,抗生素37种,中枢神经系统药物16种,心血管类药物14种,内分泌与计划生育药物12种,抗寄生虫药物8种,非甾体类抗炎药物7种。该方案的检测限和定量限分别为0.001 ~ 11.9 ng L-1和0.003 ~ 39.7 ng L-1。采用该方案对福建省九龙江系列地表水样品进行了上述6类化合物的41种定量鉴定。LODs为1,389 ng L−1(咖啡因)。SPE前的关键步骤是将每个地表水样品的滤液分成两部分,分别调整pH为3和9,并加入0.2 g Na2EDTA。
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引用次数: 3
Influence of watershed on the accumulation of heavy metals in sediments of urban rivers under tropical conditions: Case of N’djili and Lukaya rivers in Kinshasa Democratic Republic of the Congo 热带条件下流域对城市河流沉积物中重金属积累的影响:以刚果民主共和国金沙萨的恩吉利河和卢卡亚河为例
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wsee.2021.06.001
Joseph B. Tshibanda , Augustin M. Malumba , Pius T. Mpiana , Crispin K. Mulaji , Jean-Paul Otamonga , John W. Poté

The contamination of freshwater resource by heavy metals is still a major environmental and human health concern globally. The release of these contaminants into the aquatic environment can lead to the pollution of water resources and generate risks for aquatic living organisms and human health. The sediments can act as reservoir for heavy metals, thereby they are used to assess the pollution status of the rivers. In the present investigation, surface sediments collected from two urban rivers named, N’djili and Lukaya draining through the city of Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo were characterized for grain size, organic matter (OM) and heavy metals. Additionally, Sediment Quality Guidelines for the protection of aquatic life (SQGs), enrichment factor (EF) and geoaccumulation index (Igeo) were performed to determine the river pollution status. The results highlight high concentrations of heavy metals in sediment samples mainly from N’djili River, reaching the values (mg kg−1) of 180.3 (Cu), 451.5 (Zn), 185.8 (Pb) and 4.1 (Hg). These values exceed the SQGs. Based on EF and Igeo values, the sediments from the two rivers have severe enrichment and polluted with Cu, Zn and Pb, and moderate enrichment of Cr and As. In general, the positive correlation was observed between some heavy metals and OM suggesting that these contaminants could have originated from common sources with a similar transport pathway. Based on the SQGs, EF and Igeo, N’djili River is considered as highly polluted with heavy metals indicating environmental and human health potential risks. The results of this study clearly indicate that the pollution of urban rivers in developing countries can be explained by several anthropogenic activities such as urban runoff, uncontrolled landfills in riverbanks, untreated wastewater from densely populated areas, anarchic commercial and industrial settlements, and heavy road traffic. The approaches used in this study represent a useful tool to assess the river sediment quality of urban river which can be applied to similar environment.

淡水资源受到重金属污染仍然是全球一个主要的环境和人类健康问题。这些污染物排放到水生环境中可能导致水资源污染,并对水生生物和人类健康产生风险。沉积物可以作为重金属的储存库,因此它们被用来评估河流的污染状况。在本次调查中,从刚果民主共和国金沙萨市的两条城市河流(恩吉利河和卢卡亚河)中收集的地表沉积物进行了粒度、有机质和重金属的表征。此外,采用沉积物质量指南(SQGs)、富集因子(EF)和地质积累指数(Igeo)来确定河流污染状况。结果表明,主要来自恩吉力河的沉积物样品中重金属浓度较高,分别为180.3 (Cu)、451.5 (Zn)、185.8 (Pb)和4.1 (Hg)。这些值超过sqg。EF和Igeo值表明,两河沉积物中Cu、Zn、Pb富集程度较重,Cr、As富集程度较轻。总体而言,观察到某些重金属与有机质之间存在正相关关系,这表明这些污染物可能来自具有相似运输途径的共同来源。根据sqg、EF和Igeo,恩吉利河被认为是重金属污染严重的河流,表明环境和人类健康存在潜在风险。这项研究的结果清楚地表明,发展中国家城市河流的污染可以用几种人为活动来解释,如城市径流、河岸不受控制的垃圾填埋场、人口稠密地区未经处理的废水、无政府状态的商业和工业住区以及繁重的道路交通。本文所采用的方法为评价城市河流底泥质量提供了一种有效的工具,可应用于类似环境。
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引用次数: 2
The bounded inverse Weibull distribution: An extreme value alternative for application to environmental maxima? 有界逆威布尔分布:应用于环境最大值的极值替代方案?
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wsee.2021.09.001
Earl Bardsley , Varvara Vetrova

There has long been interest in making inferences about future low-probability natural events that have magnitudes greater than any in the past record. Given a stationary time series, the unbounded Type 1 and Type 2 asymptotic extreme value distributions are often invoked as giving theoretical justification for extrapolating to large magnitudes and long return periods for hydrological variables such as rainfall and river discharge. However, there is a problem in that environmental extremes are bounded above by the bounded nature of their causal variables. Extrapolation using unbounded asymptotic models therefore cannot be justified from extreme value theory and at some point there will be over-prediction of future magnitudes. This creates the apparent contradiction, for example, of annual rainfall maxima being well approximated by Type 2 extreme value distributions despite the bounded nature of rainfall magnitudes. An alternative asymptotic extreme value approach is suggested for further investigation, with the model being the asymptotic distribution of minima (Weibull distribution) applied to block maxima reciprocals. Two examples are presented where data that are well matched by Type 1 or Type 2 extreme value distributions give reciprocals suggestive of lower bounds (upper bound γ to the original data). The asymptotic model here is a 3-parameter Weibull distribution for the reciprocals, with positive location parameter γ−1. When this situation is demonstrated from data, parameter estimation can be carried out with respect to the distribution of reciprocals of 3-parameter Weibull random variables. This distribution is referenced here as the bounded inverse Weibull distribution. A maximum likelihood parameter estimation methodology is presented, together with a parametric bootstrap approach for obtaining one-sided upper confidence limits to γ. When data permits estimation of γ, the bounded inverse Weibull distribution is suggested as an improved alternative to Type 1 or Type 2 extreme value distributions because the upper bound reality is recognised. However, extensive application to many data sets is required to evaluate the practical utility of the bounded approach for extrapolating beyond the largest recorded event.

长期以来,人们一直对推断未来的低概率自然事件感兴趣,这些事件的量级大于过去的任何记录。给定一个平稳的时间序列,无界的1型和2型渐近极值分布通常被用来为水文变量(如降雨和河流流量)的大幅度和长回归期外推提供理论依据。然而,存在一个问题,即极端环境受到其因果变量的有限性的限制。因此,使用无界渐近模型的外推不能从极值理论中得到证明,并且在某些时候会对未来的震级进行过度预测。这就造成了明显的矛盾,例如,尽管降雨量的有限性,但第2类极值分布很好地近似了年降雨量最大值。为了进一步研究,提出了另一种渐近极值方法,该模型是最小值的渐近分布(威布尔分布)应用于阻塞最大倒数。给出了两个例子,其中与类型1或类型2极值分布很好匹配的数据给出了暗示下界的倒数(原始数据的上界γ)。这里的渐近模型是一个往复的3参数威布尔分布,具有正的位置参数γ−1。当这种情况从数据上得到证明时,就可以对3参数威布尔随机变量的倒数分布进行参数估计。这个分布在这里被称为有界逆威布尔分布。提出了一种极大似然参数估计方法,以及一种参数自举方法,用于获得γ的单侧上置信限。当数据允许估计γ时,有界逆威布尔分布被建议作为1型或2型极值分布的改进替代方案,因为上界现实被识别。然而,需要对许多数据集进行广泛的应用,以评估有界方法在最大记录事件外推方面的实际效用。
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引用次数: 0
Recent progress in coupled surface–ground water models and their potential in watershed hydro-biogeochemical studies: A review 地表水-地下水耦合模型研究进展及其在流域水文-生物地球化学研究中的潜力
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wsee.2021.04.001
Yao Wang , Nengwang Chen

Interactions between surface water (SW) and groundwater (GW) have been a focus of watershed hydrology research for a long time. A holistic perspective on integrated SW–GW modeling approach is necessary to understand the hydrological and biogeochemical processes of these two interconnected systems within the watershed. This paper reviewed the progress and coupling strategy of one important SW model (Soil and Water Assessment Tool, SWAT) and GW model (Modular Finite Difference Groundwater Flow, MODFLOW) since 1999. Three main stages of development of coupled SWAT–MODFLOW model are reflected by the high citation of publications by three pioneer studies, which are Sophocleous et al. (1999), Kim et al. (2008) and Bailey et al. (2016). Currently, the research scope of coupled SWAT–MODFLOW models is focused on hydrologic processes, solute transport and the effects of climate change and human activity on water resources. Major uncertainties of SWAT–MODFLOW from model structure, database and parameterization are discussed. In an era of big data, the coupled SWAT–MODFLOW model has great potential to improve understanding of hydro-biogeochemical processes and support sustainable water and ecological management in the watershed.

长期以来,地表水与地下水相互作用一直是流域水文学研究的热点。要理解流域内这两个相互关联系统的水文和生物地球化学过程,有必要从整体上看待SW-GW综合建模方法。本文综述了1999年以来水土评价工具(SWAT)与MODFLOW模型(MODFLOW, Modular Finite Difference Groundwater Flow)的研究进展及耦合策略。Sophocleous et al.(1999)、Kim et al.(2008)和Bailey et al.(2016)这三个先锋研究的高引用率反映了SWAT-MODFLOW耦合模型发展的三个主要阶段。目前,SWAT-MODFLOW耦合模型的研究范围主要集中在水文过程、溶质运移以及气候变化和人类活动对水资源的影响等方面。从模型结构、数据库和参数化三个方面讨论了SWAT-MODFLOW的主要不确定性。在大数据时代,SWAT-MODFLOW耦合模型在提高对水文-生物地球化学过程的认识和支持流域可持续水生态管理方面具有很大的潜力。
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引用次数: 15
Interaction of spatial sulfur patterns between urban air and woody species of the Pearl River Delta, southern China 珠江三角洲城市空气与木本植物空间硫格局的相互作用
Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wsee.2020.04.001
Nancai Pei , Yingfang Zhu , Xin Shi , Bing Sun , Juyang Liao , Yan Liu , Feifan Li

Sulfur (S) uptakes by woody plants might indicate the presence of urban air pollution in the form of sulfur dioxide (SO2), which is one of the most important pollutants worldwide. The present study detected total carbon (C) and S contents in the leaf and stem (dry mass) of 53 common woody species in representative forest plots in five cities across the Pearl River Delta (PRD), a densely urbanized region in Southern China. Coupling analysis explored whether spatial patterns of S content in woody species were relatively consistent with atmospheric SO2 concentration in the five PRD cities. Total S content varied in leaves and stems with averages of 2.0 g/kg and 0.8 g/kg, respectively, while air SO2 concentration ranged from 9.0 to 108.0 g/m3. However, total C content was relatively constant among all the species across the diverse forest plots, with an average of 443.5 g/kg and a median of 448.0 g/kg in leaves and 437.0 g/kg in stems. This suggests that air SO2 pollution did not influence tree growth, so afforestation may be an effective method of eliminating urban air pollution in the PRD.

木本植物吸收硫可能表明存在以二氧化硫(SO2)形式存在的城市空气污染,二氧化硫是世界上最重要的污染物之一。本研究在中国南方城市化密集的珠江三角洲(PRD)五个城市的代表性林地中检测了53种常见木本植物的叶和茎(干物质)中的总碳(C)和S含量。耦合分析探讨了五个珠江三角洲城市木本物种S含量的空间格局是否与大气SO2浓度相对一致。叶片和茎中的总S含量各不相同,平均值分别为2.0 g/kg和0.8 g/kg,而空气中的SO2浓度在9.0至108.0 g/m3之间。然而,不同林分中所有物种的总碳含量相对恒定,平均为443.5 g/kg,叶片和茎的中值分别为448.0 g/kg和437.0 g/kg。这说明空气中的二氧化硫污染并没有影响树木的生长,因此植树造林可能是消除珠三角城市空气污染的有效方法。
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引用次数: 0
Heavy metal concentration in irrigation water, soil and dietary risk assessment of Amaranthus viridis grown in peri-urban areas in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo 刚果民主共和国金沙萨城市周边地区种植的阿玛兰灌溉水、土壤中的重金属浓度和饮食风险评估
Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wsee.2020.07.001
Georgette N. Ngweme , Emmanuel K. Atibu , Dhafer Mohammed M. Al Salah , Paola M. Muanamoki , Guillaume M. Kiyombo , Crispin K. Mulaji , Jean-Paul Otamonga , John W. Poté

The urban agriculture in developing countries plays a huge important socioeconomic role in confronting the challenge of eradicating hunger, improving food security and the social daily life of the population. However, the quality evaluation of water used for urban agriculture irrigation as well as the accumulation of pollutants such as heavy metals in fresh produces are still largely unstudied. The purpose of this study was to investigate the concentration of metals (Cr, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, As, Cd, Pb and Hg) in irrigation water from rivers, soil and Amaranthus viridis (A. viridis), in order to evaluate the potential human dietary risks. The research was conducted in eight sites characterized by intensive agriculture performed in watersheds in Kinshasa, capital of Democratic Republic of the Congo. The results showed high metal concentrations in A. viridis leaf varying considerably among sampling sites (P < .05), reaching the values (in mg kg−1 wet weight) of 2.97 (Cr), 1.73 (Co), 12.30 (Ni), 16.11 (Cu), 652.91 (Zn), 0.10 (As), 1.62 (Cd), 8.91 (Pb), and 0.1 (Hg). These values exceeded safe limits set by Food and Agriculture Organization/World Health Organization for human consumption (WHO/FAO). The assessment of human health risks using the targeted risk quotient and estimated dietary intake showed potential health hazards to consumers due to the levels of Cd and Pb in leafy vegetables from several studied sites. The vegetable contamination can be explained by chemicals used to combat and prevent A. viridis diseases, and the vehicle and motorcycle emissions around. Thus, given the concentrations of metals in A. viridis leaf, human health implications are likely to occur on heavy continuous consumption.

发展中国家的城市农业在应对消除饥饿、改善粮食安全和人民社会日常生活的挑战方面发挥着巨大的重要社会经济作用。然而,城市农业灌溉用水的质量评估以及新鲜农产品中重金属等污染物的积累在很大程度上仍未得到研究。本研究的目的是调查河流、土壤和Amaranthus viridis(A.viridis)灌溉水中金属(Cr、Co、Ni、Cu、Zn、As、Cd、Pb和Hg)的浓度,以评估潜在的人类饮食风险。这项研究是在刚果民主共和国首都金沙萨的八个以集约农业为特征的地点进行的。结果显示,不同采样点的绿色A.viridis叶片中的高金属浓度差异很大(P<;.05),达到2.97(Cr)、1.73(Co)、12.30(Ni)、16.11(Cu)、652.91(Zn)、0.10(As)、1.62(Cd)、8.91(Pb)和0.1(Hg)的值(以mg kg−1湿重为单位)。这些数值超过了粮食及农业组织/世界卫生组织(世界卫生组织/粮农组织)为人类消费设定的安全限值。使用目标风险商和估计的膳食摄入量对人类健康风险进行的评估显示,由于几个研究地点的叶菜中的Cd和Pb水平,对消费者的健康有潜在危害。蔬菜污染可以解释为用于对抗和预防病毒性A.viridis疾病的化学物质,以及周围的车辆和摩托车排放物。因此,考虑到黄曲霉叶片中金属的浓度,大量连续食用可能会对人类健康产生影响。
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引用次数: 12
期刊
Watershed Ecology and the Environment
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