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Talc and human cancer: a systematic review of the experimental animal and mechanistic evidence. 滑石粉与人类癌症:实验动物和机理证据的系统回顾。
IF 5.7 2区 医学 Q1 TOXICOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1080/10408444.2024.2349668
Robyn L Prueitt, Nicholas L Drury, Ross A Shore, Denali N Boon, Julie E Goodman

The potential carcinogenicity of talc has been evaluated in many studies in humans and experimental animals published in the scientific literature over the last several decades, with a number of these studies reporting no associations between talc exposure and any type of cancer. In order to fully understand the current state of the science regarding the potential for talc to induce human cancers, we conducted a comprehensive and systematic review of the available experimental animal and mechanistic evidence (in conjunction with a systematic review of the epidemiology evidence in a companion analysis) to evaluate whether it supports talc as being carcinogenic to humans. We considered study quality and its impact on the interpretation of results and evaluated all types of cancer and all exposure routes. We also evaluated the evidence on the potential for talc to migrate in the body to potential tumor sites. We identified seven experimental animal carcinogenicity studies and 11 mechanistic studies of talc to systematically review. We found that several of the experimental animal carcinogenicity studies of talc have limitations that preclude their sensitivity to detect increases in tumor incidence. Regardless, the studies cover multiple exposure routes, species, and exposure durations, and none indicate that talc is a carcinogen in experimental animals except in rats under conditions of extremely high exposure that likely resulted in lung particle overload, a nonspecific effect of high exposures to poorly soluble particles, and not from any carcinogenic properties of talc. Lung particle overload leading to lung tumor formation has only been observed in rats and not in any other species, including humans. The mechanistic studies indicate that talc is not genotoxic or mutagenic, but can induce some effects that could be events on a possible pathway to carcinogenicity, mainly at high exposures or in in vitro studies with exposures of unclear relevance in vivo, but these effects are not consistent across studies and cell types. This systematic review of the experimental animal carcinogenicity and mechanistic evidence for talc indicates that an association between talc exposure and cancer is not expected in humans. Talc carcinogenicity is not plausible in any species except rats, and only when the exposure conditions are high enough to induce lung particle overload, which is not relevant to human exposures.

过去几十年来,科学文献中发表了许多关于人类和实验动物的研究报告,对滑石粉的潜在致癌性进行了评估。为了充分了解有关滑石粉可能诱发人类癌症的科学现状,我们对现有的实验动物和机理证据进行了全面系统的审查(同时在配套分析中对流行病学证据进行了系统审查),以评估这些证据是否支持滑石粉对人类的致癌性。我们考虑了研究质量及其对结果解释的影响,并评估了所有类型的癌症和所有接触途径。我们还评估了有关滑石粉在体内迁移到潜在肿瘤部位的可能性的证据。我们确定了 7 项实验动物致癌性研究和 11 项滑石粉机理研究,并对其进行了系统审查。我们发现,有几项关于滑石粉的实验性动物致癌性研究存在局限性,无法敏感地检测到肿瘤发病率的增加。无论如何,这些研究涵盖了多种接触途径、物种和接触时间,没有一项研究表明滑石粉是实验动物的致癌物,只有大鼠在极高接触条件下的研究表明滑石粉是致癌物,而这种极高接触条件很可能导致肺微粒超载,这是高接触溶解性差的微粒的非特异性效应,而不是滑石粉的任何致癌特性。只有在大鼠身上观察到肺部微粒超载导致肺部肿瘤形成,而在包括人类在内的任何其他物种身上都没有观察到。机理研究表明,滑石粉不具有基因毒性或诱变性,但可诱发一些影响,这些影响可能是致癌途径上的事件,主要是在高暴露量或体内暴露量不明确的体外研究中,但这些影响在不同研究和细胞类型中并不一致。对滑石粉的实验动物致癌性和机理证据进行的系统审查表明,预计人体接触滑石粉不会致癌。除大鼠外,滑石粉在任何物种中都不可能致癌,而且只有在接触条件高到足以引起肺颗粒超载时才可能致癌,而这与人类接触滑石粉的情况无关。
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引用次数: 0
Comprehensive analysis of gastrointestinal side effects in COVID-19 patients undergoing combined pharmacological treatment with azithromycin and hydroxychloroquine: a systematic review and network meta-analysis. 全面分析接受阿奇霉素和羟氯喹联合药物治疗的 COVID-19 患者的胃肠道副作用:系统综述和网络荟萃分析。
IF 5.7 2区 医学 Q1 TOXICOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-01 Epub Date: 2024-06-11 DOI: 10.1080/10408444.2024.2348169
Gabriella Pacheco, André Luis Fernandes Lopes, Ana Patrícia de Oliveira, Wendson de Ribamar Machado Corrêa, Lucas Daniel Batista Lima, Marcellus Henrique Loiola Ponte de Souza, Ariel Soares Teles, Lucas Antonio Duarte Nicolau, Jand Venes Rolim Medeiros

During the COVID-19 pandemic, several drugs were repositioned and combined to quickly find a way to mitigate the effects of the infection. However, the adverse effects of these combinations on the gastrointestinal tract are unknown. We aimed investigate whether Hydroxychloroquine (HD), Azithromycin (AZ), and Ivermectin (IV) used in combination for the treatment of COVID-19, can lead to the development of gastrointestinal disorders. This is a systematic review and network meta-analysis conducted using Stata and Revman software, respectively. The protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023372802). A search of clinical trials in Cochrane Library databases, Embase, Web of Science, Lilacs, PubMed, Scopus and Clinicaltrials.gov conducted on November 26, 2023. The eligibility of the studies was assessed based on PICO criteria, including trials that compared different treatments and control group. The analysis of the quality of the evidence was carried out according to the GRADE. Six trials involving 1,686 COVID-19 patients were included. No trials on the association of HD or AZ with IV met the inclusion criteria, only studies on the association between HD and AZ were included. Nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, abdominal pain and increased transaminases were related. The symptoms of vomiting and nausea were evaluated through a network meta-analysis, while the symptom of abdominal pain was evaluated through a meta-analysis. No significant associations with these symptoms were observed for HD, AZ, or their combination, compared to control. Low heterogeneity and absence of inconsistency in indirect and direct comparisons were noted. Limitations included small sample sizes, varied drug dosages, and potential publication bias during the pandemic peak. This review unveils that there are no associations between gastrointestinal adverse effects and the combined treatment of HD with AZ in the management of COVID-19, as compared to either the use of a control group or the administration of the drugs individually, on the other hand, highlighting the very low or low certainty of evidence for the evaluated outcomes. To accurately conclude the absence of side effects, further high-quality randomized studies are needed.

在 COVID-19 大流行期间,对几种药物进行了重新定位和组合,以迅速找到减轻感染影响的方法。然而,这些联合用药对胃肠道的不良影响尚不清楚。我们旨在研究羟氯喹(HD)、阿奇霉素(AZ)和伊维菌素(IV)联合用于治疗 COVID-19 是否会导致胃肠道疾病的发生。这是一项分别使用 Stata 和 Revman 软件进行的系统综述和网络荟萃分析。研究方案已在 PROSPERO(CRD42023372802)注册。2023 年 11 月 26 日,在 Cochrane Library 数据库、Embase、Web of Science、Lilacs、PubMed、Scopus 和 Clinicaltrials.gov 中对临床试验进行了检索。根据 PICO 标准评估了研究的资格,包括比较不同治疗方法和对照组的试验。根据 GRADE 对证据质量进行了分析。共纳入六项试验,涉及 1,686 名 COVID-19 患者。没有关于 HD 或 AZ 与 IV 相关性的试验符合纳入标准,仅纳入了关于 HD 与 AZ 相关性的研究。恶心、呕吐、腹泻、腹痛和转氨酶升高与此有关。呕吐和恶心症状通过网络荟萃分析进行评估,腹痛症状则通过荟萃分析进行评估。与对照组相比,HD、AZ 或其组合与这些症状无明显关联。间接和直接比较的异质性较低,且无不一致性。局限性包括样本量小、药物剂量不同以及在大流行高峰期可能出现的发表偏差。本综述揭示,在治疗 COVID-19 的过程中,与使用对照组或单独用药相比,胃肠道不良反应与 HD 和 AZ 联合治疗之间不存在关联,这突出表明评估结果的证据确定性很低或很低。要准确得出无副作用的结论,还需要进一步开展高质量的随机研究。
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引用次数: 0
A systematic review of the epidemiology evidence on talc and cancer. 关于滑石粉与癌症的流行病学证据的系统回顾。
IF 5.7 2区 医学 Q1 TOXICOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-01 Epub Date: 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.1080/10408444.2024.2351081
Denali Boon, Julie E Goodman, Kyle J Colonna, Leon M Espira, Robyn L Prueitt

Over the past several decades, there have been many epidemiology studies on talc and cancer published in the scientific literature, and several reviews and meta-analyses of talc and respiratory, female reproductive, and stomach cancers, specifically. To help provide a resource for the evaluation of talc as a potential human carcinogen, we applied a consistent set of examination methods and criteria for all epidemiology studies that examined the association between talc exposure (by various routes) and cancers (of various types). We identified 30 cohort, 35 case-control, and 12 pooled studies that evaluated occupational, medicinal, and personal-care product talc exposure and cancers of the respiratory system, the female reproductive tract, the gastrointestinal tract, the urinary system, the lymphohematopoietic system, the prostate, male genital organs, and the central nervous system, as well as skin, eye, bone, connective tissue, peritoneal, and breast cancers. We tabulated study characteristics, quality, and results in a systematic manner, and evaluated all cancer types for which studies of at least three unique populations were available in a narrative review. We focused on study quality aspects most likely to impact the interpretation of results. We found that only one study, of medicinal talc use, evaluated direct exposure measurements for any individuals, though some used semi-quantitative exposure metrics, and few studies adequately assessed potential confounders. The only consistent associations were with ovarian cancer in case-control studies and these associations were likely impacted by recall and potentially other biases. This systematic review indicates that epidemiology studies do not support a causal association between occupational, medicinal, or personal talc exposure and any cancer in humans.

过去几十年来,科学文献中发表了许多关于滑石粉与癌症的流行病学研究,特别是关于滑石粉与呼吸系统癌症、女性生殖系统癌症和胃癌的一些综述和荟萃分析。为了帮助提供评估滑石粉作为潜在人类致癌物质的资源,我们对所有研究滑石粉接触(各种途径)与癌症(各种类型)之间关系的流行病学研究采用了一套统一的检查方法和标准。我们确定了 30 项队列研究、35 项病例对照研究和 12 项汇总研究,这些研究评估了职业、医疗和个人护理产品中的滑石粉接触与呼吸系统癌症、女性生殖道癌症、胃肠道癌症、泌尿系统癌症、淋巴造血系统癌症、前列腺癌、男性生殖器官癌症和中枢神经系统癌症,以及皮肤癌、眼癌、骨癌、结缔组织癌、腹膜癌和乳腺癌之间的关系。我们系统地列出了研究的特点、质量和结果,并在叙述性综述中评估了至少有三个独特人群研究的所有癌症类型。我们重点关注了最有可能影响结果解释的研究质量方面。我们发现,只有一项关于使用药用滑石粉的研究对任何个体的直接暴露测量进行了评估,尽管有些研究使用了半定量暴露指标,而且很少有研究对潜在的混杂因素进行了充分评估。唯一一致的关联是在病例对照研究中与卵巢癌的关联,这些关联很可能受到回忆偏差和其他潜在偏差的影响。本系统综述表明,流行病学研究并不支持职业、医疗或个人滑石粉暴露与人类任何癌症之间的因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
Data derived extrapolation factors (DDEFs) for rat to human interspecies extrapolation for the HPPD inhibitor mesotrione. HPPD 抑制剂美索替龙从大鼠到人类的种间外推数据推导系数 (DDEF)。
IF 5.7 2区 医学 Q1 TOXICOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-01 Epub Date: 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.1080/10408444.2024.2353174
Alison M Pecquet, Katy Bridgwood, David Cowie, Angela Hofstra, Yaoxing Wu, Sarah Whalley, Steven D Webb

In the risk assessment of agrochemicals, there has been a historical paucity of using data to refine the default adjustment factors, even though large datasets are available to support this. The current state of the science for addressing uncertainty regarding animal to human extrapolation (AFA) is to develop a "data-derived" adjustment factor (DDEF) to quantify such differences, if data are available. Toxicokinetic (TK) and toxicodynamic (TD) differences between species can be utilized for the DDEF, with human datasets being ideal yet rare. We identified a case for a currently registered herbicide, mesotrione, in which human TK and TD are available. This case study outlines an approach for the development of DDEFs using comparative human and animal data and based on an adverse outcome pathway (AOP) for inhibition of 4-hydroxyphenol pyruvate dioxygenase (HHPD). The calculated DDEF for rat to human extrapolation (AFA) for kinetics (AFAK = 2.5) was multiplied by the AFA for dynamics (AFAD = 0.3) resulting in a composite DDEF of ∼1 (AFA = 0.75). This reflects the AOP and available scientific evidence that humans are less sensitive than rats to the effects of HPPD inhibitors. Further analyses were conducted utilizing in vitro datasets from hepatocytes and liver cytosols and extrapolated to whole animal using in vitro to in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE) to support toxicodynamic extrapolation. The in vitro datasets resulted in the same AFAD as derived for in vivo data (AFAD = 0.3). These analyses demonstrate that a majority of the species differences are related to toxicodynamics. Future work with additional in vitro/in vivo datasets for other HPPD inhibitors and cell types will further support this result. This work demonstrates utilization of all available toxicokinetic and toxicodynamic data to replace default uncertainty factors for agrochemical human health risk assessment.

在农用化学品的风险评估中,历来很少使用数据来完善默认的调整系数,尽管有大量的数据集可以支持这一点。目前,解决从动物到人的外推法(AFA)不确定性的科学方法是,如果数据可用,则开发一种 "数据衍生 "调整因子(DDEF)来量化这种差异。物种间的毒物动力学 (TK) 和毒效学 (TD) 差异可用于 DDEF,而人类数据集是理想但罕见的数据集。我们发现了一种目前已注册的除草剂--间苯三酚--的案例,在这种除草剂中可以获得人类的 TK 和 TD 数据。本案例研究概述了一种利用人类和动物对比数据并基于抑制 4-羟基苯酚丙酮酸二氧酶 (HHPD) 的不良反应途径 (AOP) 来制定 DDEF 的方法。计算得出的从大鼠到人类的动力学外推 DDEF(AFA)(AFAK = 2.5)乘以动力学 AFA(AFAD = 0.3),得出综合 DDEF 为 1∼1(AFA = 0.75)。这反映了 AOP 和现有科学证据表明人类对 HPPD 抑制剂的影响不如大鼠敏感。利用肝细胞和肝细胞溶质的体外数据集进行了进一步分析,并利用体外到体内的外推法(IVIVE)将其外推到整个动物体内,以支持毒效学外推法。体外数据集得出的 AFAD 与体内数据得出的 AFAD 相同(AFAD = 0.3)。这些分析表明,大部分物种差异与毒效学有关。未来针对其他 HPPD 抑制剂和细胞类型使用更多体外/体内数据集的工作将进一步支持这一结果。这项工作表明,可以利用所有可用的毒代动力学和毒效学数据来替代农用化学品人类健康风险评估的默认不确定性因子。
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引用次数: 0
Zebrafish and nematodes as whole organism models to measure developmental neurotoxicity. 将斑马鱼和线虫作为整体生物模型来测量发育神经毒性。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 TOXICOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-01 Epub Date: 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1080/10408444.2024.2342448
Samantha Hughes, Ellen V S Hessel

Despite the growing epidemiological evidence of an association between toxin exposure and developmental neurotoxicity (DNT), systematic testing of DNT is not mandatory in international regulations for admission of pharmaceuticals or industrial chemicals. However, to date around 200 compounds, ranging from pesticides, pharmaceuticals and industrial chemicals, have been tested for DNT in the current OECD test guidelines (TG-443 or TG-426). There are calls for the development of new approach methodologies (NAMs) for DNT, which has resulted in a DNT testing battery using in vitro human cell-based assays. These assays provide a means to elucidate the molecular mechanisms of toxicity in humans which is lacking in animal-based toxicity tests. However, cell-based assays do not represent all steps of the complex process leading to DNT. Validated models with a multi-organ network of pathways that interact at the molecular, cellular and tissue level at very specific timepoints in a life cycle are currently missing. Consequently, whole model organisms are being developed to screen for, and causally link, new molecular targets of DNT compounds and how they affect whole brain development and neurobehavioral endpoints. Given the practical and ethical restraints associated with vertebrate testing, lower animal models that qualify as 3 R (reduce, refine and replace) models, including the nematode (Caenorhabditis elegans) and the zebrafish (Danio rerio) will prove particularly valuable for unravelling toxicity pathways leading to DNT. Although not as complex as the human brain, these 3 R-models develop a complete functioning brain with numerous neurodevelopmental processes overlapping with human brain development. Importantly, the main signalling pathways relating to (neuro)development, metabolism and growth are highly conserved in these models. We propose the use of whole model organisms specifically zebrafish and C. elegans for DNT relevant endpoints.

尽管越来越多的流行病学证据表明,接触毒素与发育神经毒性(DNT)之间存在关联,但在国际药品或工业化学品准入法规中,并未强制要求对 DNT 进行系统检测。不过,迄今为止,经合组织(OECD)的现行测试指南(TG-443 或 TG-426)已对约 200 种化合物(包括杀虫剂、药品和工业化学品)进行了 DNT 测试。人们呼吁针对 DNT 开发新的方法(NAMs),由此产生了使用体外人体细胞检测法的 DNT 检测电池。这些试验为阐明人体毒性的分子机制提供了一种方法,而动物毒性试验则缺乏这种方法。然而,基于细胞的检测并不能代表导致 DNT 的复杂过程的所有步骤。目前,还缺少在生命周期的特定时间点上,在分子、细胞和组织水平上相互作用的多器官通路网络的验证模型。因此,目前正在开发整体生物模型,以筛选 DNT 化合物的新分子靶点,并将其与 DNT 化合物如何影响整个大脑发育和神经行为终点联系起来。鉴于脊椎动物试验在实际操作和伦理方面的限制,符合 3 R(减少、改进和替代)模型的低等动物模型,包括线虫(Caenorhabditis elegans)和斑马鱼(Danio rerio),将被证明对揭示导致 DNT 的毒性途径特别有价值。这 3 种 R 模型虽然不像人脑那样复杂,但它们发育出的大脑功能完整,许多神经发育过程与人脑发育过程重叠。重要的是,与(神经)发育、新陈代谢和生长有关的主要信号通路在这些模型中高度一致。我们建议使用完整的模式生物,特别是斑马鱼和文昌鱼来进行 DNT 相关终点研究。
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引用次数: 0
A framework for integrating evidence to assess hazards and risk. 综合证据评估危害和风险的框架。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 TOXICOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1080/10408444.2024.2342447
Sandra I Sulsky, Tracy Greene, P Robinan Gentry

To accurately characterize human health hazards, human, animal, and mechanistic data must be integrated and the relevance to the research question of all three lines of evidence must be considered. Mechanistic data are often critical to the full integration of animal and human data and to characterizing relevance and uncertainty. This novel evidence integration framework (EIF) provides a method for synthesizing data from comprehensive, systematic, quality-based assessments of the epidemiological and toxicological literature, including in vivo and in vitro mechanistic studies. It organizes data according to both the observed human health effects and the mechanism of action of the chemical, providing a method to support evidence synthesis. The disease-based component uses the evidence of human health outcomes studied in the best quality epidemiological literature to organize the toxicological data according to authors' stated purpose, with the pathophysiology of the disease determining the potential relevance of the toxicological data. The mechanism-based component organizes the data based on the proposed mechanisms of effect and data supporting events leading to each endpoint, with the epidemiological data potentially providing corroborating information. The EIF includes a method to cross-classify and describe the concordance of the data, and to characterize its uncertainty. At times, the two methods of organizing the data may lead to different conclusions. This facilitates identification of knowledge gaps and shows the impact of uncertainties on the strength of causal inference.

要准确描述人类健康危害的特征,必须整合人类、动物和机理数据,并考虑所有三种证据与研究问题的相关性。机理数据通常是全面整合动物和人类数据以及确定相关性和不确定性的关键。这种新颖的证据整合框架(EIF)提供了一种方法,用于综合来自流行病学和毒理学文献(包括体内和体外机理研究)的全面、系统和基于质量的评估数据。它根据观察到的人类健康影响和化学品的作用机制来组织数据,提供了一种支持证据综合的方法。以疾病为基础的部分使用最优质的流行病学文献中研究的人类健康结果证据,根据作者声明的目的组织毒理学数据,由疾病的病理生理学决定毒理学数据的潜在相关性。以机制为基础的组件根据建议的效应机制和支持导致每个终点的事件的数据来组织数据,流行病学数据可能提供佐证信息。EIF 包括一种交叉分类和描述数据一致性的方法,以及描述其不确定性的方法。有时,两种组织数据的方法可能会得出不同的结论。这有助于找出知识差距,并显示不确定性对因果推论强度的影响。
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引用次数: 0
A prioritization strategy for functional alternatives to bisphenol A in food contact materials. 食品接触材料中双酚 A 功能替代品的优先排序策略。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 TOXICOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-10 DOI: 10.1080/10408444.2024.2341020
Annick D van den Brand, Ellen V S Hessel, Rinus Rijk, Bianca van de Ven, Niels M Leijten, Emiel Rorije, Shalenie P den Braver-Sewradj

The use of bisphenol A (BPA), a substance of very high concern, is proposed to be banned in food contact materials (FCMs) in the European Union. To prevent regrettable substitution of BPA by alternatives with similar or unknown hazardous properties, it is of importance to gain the relevant toxicological information on potential BPA alternative substances and monitor them adequately. We created an inventory of over 300 substances mentioned as potential BPA alternatives in regulatory reports and scientific literature. This study presents a prioritization strategy to identify substances that may be used as an alternative to BPA in FCMs. We prioritized 20 potential BPA alternatives of which 10 are less familiar. We subsequently reviewed the available information on the 10 prioritized less familiar substances regarding hazard profiles and migration potential obtained from scientific literature and in silico screening tools to identify a possible risk of the substances. Major data gaps regarding the hazard profiles of the prioritized substances exist, although the scarce available data give some indications on the possible hazard for some of the substances (like bisphenol TMC, 4,4-dihydroxybenzophenone, and tetrachlorobisphenol A). In addition, very little is known about the actual use and exposure to these substances. More toxicological research and monitoring of these substances in FCMs are, therefore, required to avoid regrettable substitution of BPA in FCM.

欧盟建议禁止在食品接触材料 (FCM) 中使用双酚 A (BPA),这是一种引起高度关注的物质。为防止双酚 A 被具有类似或未知危险特性的替代品取代,我们必须获得潜在双酚 A 替代物质的相关毒理学信息,并对其进行充分监控。我们编制了一份清单,列出了监管报告和科学文献中提到的作为潜在双酚 A 替代品的 300 多种物质。本研究提出了一种优先排序策略,以确定可在食品添加剂中用作双酚 A 替代品的物质。我们对 20 种潜在的双酚 A 替代品进行了优先排序,其中 10 种较为陌生。随后,我们审查了从科学文献和硅学筛选工具中获得的有关这 10 种优先考虑的不太熟悉的物质的危害概况和迁移潜力的可用信息,以确定这些物质可能存在的风险。尽管稀缺的可用数据为某些物质(如双酚 TMC、4,4-二羟基二苯甲酮和四氯双酚 A)可能存在的危害提供了一些迹象,但在优先物质的危害概况方面仍存在重大数据缺口。此外,人们对这些物质的实际使用和接触情况知之甚少。因此,需要对薄膜制造中的这些物质进行更多的毒理学研究和监测,以避免令人遗憾地在薄膜制造中使用双酚 A 替代品。
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引用次数: 0
A screening-level human health risk assessment of dietary intake of pesticide residues in produce as compared to consumer guide recommendations 对照消费者指南建议,对农产品中农药残留的膳食摄入量进行筛选级人类健康风险评估
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 TOXICOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1080/10408444.2024.2316136
Neva Jacobs, Daniel G. Kougias, Fian Louie, Benjamin Roberts
Consumers are confronted with conflicting information regarding the safety of specific foods. For example, the Environmental Working Group (EWG) publishes an annual consumer guide in which they ran...
消费者面临着有关特定食品安全性的相互矛盾的信息。例如,环境工作小组(EWG)每年都会出版一份消费者指南,其中他们对食品的安全性进行了...
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引用次数: 0
Interventional probability of causation (IPoC) with epidemiological and partial mechanistic evidence: benzene vs. formaldehyde and acute myeloid leukemia (AML). 具有流行病学和部分机理证据的干预性因果关系概率 (IpoC):苯与甲醛和急性髓性白血病 (AML)。
IF 5.9 2区 医学 Q1 TOXICOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-04-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1080/10408444.2024.2337435
Louis A Cox, William J Thompson, Kenneth A Mundt
<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Causal epidemiology for regulatory risk analysis seeks to evaluate how removing or reducing exposures would change disease occurrence rates. We define <i>interventional probability of causation</i> (IPoC) as the change in probability of a disease (or other harm) occurring over a lifetime or other specified time interval that would be caused by a specified change in exposure, as predicted by a fully specified causal model. We define the closely related concept of <i>causal assigned share</i> (CAS) as the predicted fraction of disease risk that would be removed or prevented by a specified reduction in exposure, holding other variables fixed. Traditional approaches used to evaluate the preventable risk implications of epidemiological associations, including population attributable fraction (PAF) and the Bradford Hill considerations, cannot reveal whether removing a risk factor would reduce disease incidence. We argue that modern formal causal models coupled with causal artificial intelligence (CAI) and realistically partial and imperfect knowledge of underlying disease mechanisms, show great promise for determining and quantifying IPoC and CAS for exposures and diseases of practical interest.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We briefly review key CAI concepts and terms and then apply them to define IPoC and CAS. We present steps to quantify IPoC using a fully specified causal Bayesian network (BN) model. Useful bounds for quantitative IPoC and CAS calculations are derived for a two-stage clonal expansion (TSCE) model for carcinogenesis and illustrated by applying them to benzene and formaldehyde based on available epidemiological and partial mechanistic evidence.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Causal BN models for benzene and risk of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) incorporating mechanistic, toxicological and epidemiological findings show that prolonged high-intensity exposure to benzene can increase risk of AML (IPoC of up to 7e-5, CAS of up to 54%). By contrast, no causal pathway leading from formaldehyde exposure to increased risk of AML was identified, consistent with much previous mechanistic, toxicological and epidemiological evidence; therefore, the IPoC and CAS for formaldehyde-induced AML are likely to be zero.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>We conclude that the IPoC approach can differentiate between likely and unlikely causal factors and can provide useful upper bounds for IPoC and CAS for some exposures and diseases of practical importance. For causal factors, IPoC can help to estimate the quantitative impacts on health risks of reducing exposures, even in situations where mechanistic evidence is realistically incomplete and individual-level exposure-response parameters are uncertain. This illustrates the strength that can be gained for causal inference by using causal models to generate testable hypotheses and then obtaining toxicological data to test the hypotheses implied by the models-and, where nec
导言:用于监管风险分析的因果流行病学旨在评估消除或减少暴露会如何改变疾病发生率。我们将干预性因果概率 (IPoC) 定义为:根据完全特定的因果模型预测,在一生中或其他特定时间间隔内,由特定暴露变化引起的疾病(或其他伤害)发生概率的变化。我们将与之密切相关的因果分配比例(CAS)概念定义为,在其他变量固定不变的情况下,通过减少特定的暴露量而消除或预防的疾病风险预测分数。用于评估流行病学关联的可预防风险影响的传统方法,包括人口可归因分数(PAF)和布拉德福德-希尔(Bradford Hill)考虑因素,无法揭示去除某一风险因素是否会降低疾病发病率。我们认为,现代正规因果模型与因果人工智能(CAI)以及对潜在疾病机制的部分和不完善的现实知识相结合,在确定和量化实际意义上的暴露和疾病的 IPoC 和 CAS 方面大有可为:我们简要回顾了 CAI 的关键概念和术语,然后将其应用于定义 IPoC 和 CAS。我们介绍了使用完全指定的因果贝叶斯网络(BN)模型量化 IPoC 的步骤。根据现有的流行病学证据和部分机理证据,我们得出了两阶段克隆扩增(TSCE)致癌模型的 IPoC 和 CAS 定量计算的有用界限,并将其应用于苯和甲醛:苯与急性髓性白血病(AML)风险的因果 BN 模型结合了机理、毒理学和流行病学研究结果,表明长期高强度接触苯会增加急性髓性白血病的风险(IpoC 高达 7e-5,CAS 高达 54%)。相比之下,没有发现从接触甲醛到增加急性髓细胞性白血病风险的因果途径,这与之前的许多机理、毒理学和流行病学证据一致;因此,甲醛诱发急性髓细胞性白血病的 IPoC 和 CAS 很可能为零:我们得出的结论是,IpoC 方法可以区分可能的和不可能的致病因素,并能为某些具有实际重要性的暴露和疾病提供有用的 IPoC 和 CAS 上限。对于因果因素,IpoC 可以帮助估算减少暴露对健康风险的定量影响,即使在机理证据不完整、个体水平的暴露-反应参数不确定的情况下也是如此。这说明,通过使用因果模型来产生可检验的假设,然后获取毒理学数据来检验模型所隐含的假设--并在必要时对模型进行完善--可以增强因果推断的能力。这种良性循环为因果判定提供了更多的洞察力,而这些洞察力可能无法仅从证据权重的考量中获得。
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引用次数: 0
Systematic review of studies on exposure to arsenic in drinking water and cognitive and neurobehavioral effects. 关于接触饮用水中的砷及其对认知和神经行为影响的研究的系统回顾。
IF 5.7 2区 医学 Q1 TOXICOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-27 DOI: 10.1080/10408444.2023.2297751
Paolo Boffetta, Luisa Sambati, Michele Sassano

An association between exposure to arsenic (As) and neurologic and behavioral effects has been reported in some studies, but no systematic review is available of the evidence linking As in drinking water and neurobehavioral effects after consideration of study quality and potential confounding, with focus on low-level circumstances of exposure. We conducted a systematic review and reported it in compliance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, through a search of the databases PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and Embase. We included in the review the studies reporting results based on exposure from drinking water in humans. Endpoints were heterogeneous across studies, so we classified them into eight broad domains and developed an ad-hoc system to evaluate their methodological quality, based on three tiers. It was not possible to conduct meta-analysis because of the heterogeneity in exposure assessment and in the definition and assessment of outcomes. The search identified 18,518 articles. After elimination of duplicates and irrelevant articles, we retained 106 articles which reported results on As exposure and neurobehavioral effects, of which 22 reported risk estimates from exposure in drinking water (six among adults and 16 among children). None of the studies was conducted blindly. Among the studies in adults, two, which were conducted in highly exposed populations, were classified as high quality. These two studies were broadly consistent in reporting an association between exposure to As and decline in cognitive function; however, they provide no evidence of an association for exposure below 75 μg/L. The four lower-quality studies were based on populations with low exposure; these studies reported associations with inconsistent outcomes, few of which remained statistically significant after adjustment for multiple comparisons. Among the five high-quality studies of children, one reported an association between As in drinking water and intellectual function, whereas none of the other studies reported an association with different neurobehavioral indicators, after adjusting for potential confounders and multiple comparisons. Out of seven intermediate-quality studies, three reported an association with cognitive function or other outcomes; but sources of bias were not adequately controlled. The remaining studies were negative. The four low-quality studies did not contribute to the overall evidence because of methodological limitations. Our assessment of the available literature showed a lack of evidence for a causal association between exposure to As in drinking water and neurobehavioral effects. To clarify whether such an association exists, further studies prospectively evaluating changes in both the concentration of As in drinking water during the life course, and neurobehavioral outcomes, as well as appropriately controlling for potential confounders, are needed.

一些研究报道了砷(As)暴露与神经和行为影响之间的联系,但在考虑了研究质量和潜在混杂因素后,目前还没有关于饮用水中砷(As)与神经行为影响之间联系的证据的系统性综述,重点是低水平的暴露情况。我们通过检索 PubMed、Web of Science、Scopus 和 Embase 等数据库,按照系统综述和元分析首选报告项目 (PRISMA) 指南进行了系统综述和报告。我们将报告人类饮用水暴露结果的研究纳入了综述。各研究的终点不尽相同,因此我们将其分为八大领域,并根据三个等级建立了一个临时系统来评估其方法学质量。由于暴露评估以及结果的定义和评估存在异质性,因此无法进行荟萃分析。搜索共发现 18,518 篇文章。在剔除了重复文章和无关文章后,我们保留了 106 篇报告了砷暴露和神经行为影响结果的文章,其中 22 篇报告了饮用水暴露的风险估计值(成人 6 篇,儿童 16 篇)。没有一项研究是盲法进行的。在成人研究中,有两项在高暴露人群中进行的研究被列为高质量研究。这两项研究在报告砷暴露量与认知功能下降之间的关联方面基本一致;但是,它们没有提供证据证明暴露量低于 75 μg/L 时存在关联。四项质量较低的研究以暴露量较低的人群为基础;这些研究报告的关联结果并不一致,在进行多重比较调整后,很少有关联结果仍具有统计学意义。在五项针对儿童的高质量研究中,一项研究报告了饮用水中的砷与智力功能之间的关系,而在调整了潜在的混杂因素和多重比较之后,其他研究均未报告与不同的神经行为指标之间的关系。在 7 项中等质量的研究中,有 3 项报告了与认知功能或其他结果之间的关联;但未充分控制偏倚来源。其余研究均为阴性。四项低质量研究由于方法上的局限性,对总体证据没有贡献。我们对现有文献的评估显示,缺乏证据表明饮用水中的砷暴露与神经行为影响之间存在因果关系。为了澄清这种关联是否存在,需要进一步开展前瞻性研究,评估生命过程中饮用水中砷浓度的变化和神经行为结果,并适当控制潜在的混杂因素。
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引用次数: 0
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Critical Reviews in Toxicology
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