Deep-sea Research Part Ii-topical Studies in Oceanography最新文献

Record-breaking marine heatwaves (MHWs) occurred in the western North Pacific during the summer of 2020. These unprecedented MHWs were consistent with favorable large-scale conditions that are linked to an anomalous western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH), resulting mainly from sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies across the tropical oceans. In addition, a moderate La Niña-like pattern was also conducive to transporting warm seawater to the western North Pacific. Mixed-layer heat budgets suggest that surface heat flux contributed to the SST anomaly in the western subtropical Pacific. In contrast, oceanic heat advection dominanted in the South China Sea and the western equatorial Pacific. Numerical model experiments indicated that the tropical Indian Ocean SST anomalies were responsible for the enhanced WNPSH. The increased zonal SST gradient across the tropical Pacific also played an important role. Inter-ocean interactions can modulate climate variability through ocean-atmospheric coupling and deserve more attention when predicting MHWs within the context of global warming. In addition, it is critical to consider MHWs as a powerful tool in detecting acute, intense thermal stress events in the coral bleaching pre-warning system.

The Andaman Sea is an important and strategic region for India, both from a security and conservation viewpoint. Documenting the spatiotemporal variability of salinity is fundamental to understanding this region's dynamics. We studied the Andaman Sea's seasonal and inter-annual salinity variability during the Boreal summer (JJAS) using NEMO reanalysis data (1993–2018). Analysis of river influx, precipitation, Empirical Orthogonal Functions of the salinity fields, numerical particle trajectory experiments, and statistical significance tests were conducted to understand the causal factors and impact of the Andaman Sea's salinity variability. Our study shows that it is the Southwest Monsoon Current (SMC) that brings a significant influx of salinity into the Andaman Sea and governs the seasonal cycle. We also document and explain the different surface and sub-surface dynamical trends. We show that higher salinity influx to the Andaman Sea is correlated with the strength of SMC. Crucially, this study is the first-ever attempt to comprehend the salinity dynamics of the Andaman Sea utilizing both Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis and particle trajectories. We also note the reported reduction in shark catch and qualitatively analyze its relation to the seasonal salinity cycle, motivating the need for further physical-biological combined studies of the region.

Sardinella lemuru populations are considered near-threatened in Bali Strait. Despite declining fish stock, documented landings of S. lemuru at the Prigi waters unexpectedly climbed during the 2nd transitional inter-monsoon season of 2019. Here we used a combination of molecular taxonomy and morphometrics-meristics to determine the genetic link between S. lemuru populations in East Java's southern seas (Prigi and Puger) and those in the Philippines. The results of both molecular and morphometric-meristic analyses suggest that extensive genetic mixing between the populations from Prigi and the Philippines is occurring. Most samples clustered with the S. lemuru populations from the Philippines in Clade-1 and Haplogroup A and B implied high genetic connectivity. The inferred patterns of haplotype network and haplogroup relative frequency indicate the dispersal, genetic homogeneity, and absence of geographical barriers between S. lemuru populations were also supported by a seasonal model of ocean circulation: during the southeast monsoon, greater Indonesian Through-Flow and South Java Current, followed by westward currents along Java's south coast. The findings of this study give much-needed evidence that S. lemuru populations disperse to a secondary fishing area (in Prigi waters), followed by high plankton abundance in 2019, as a result of ITF and local seasonal circulation. The unique sequences of Puger-2017 and the remainder of Prigi-2017 in Clade-2 with overall moderate genetic distance separated from Clade-1 because the Puger water mass are influenced by the Java Sea and Madura Strait or possibly migrated from their habitats in the western part of Indonesia or the Java Sea.

The biological carbon pump, driven principally by the surface production of sinking organic matter and its subsequent remineralization to carbon dioxide (CO₂) in the deep ocean, maintains atmospheric CO₂ concentrations around 200 ppm lower than they would be if the ocean were abiotic. One important driver of the magnitude of this effect is the depth to which organic matter sinks before it is remineralised, a parameter we have limited confidence in measuring given the difficulty involved in balancing sources and sinks in the ocean's interior. One solution to this imbalance might be a temporal offset in which organic carbon accumulates in the mesopelagic zone (100–1000 m depth) early in the productive season before it is consumed later. Here, we develop a novel accounting method to address non-steady state conditions by estimating fluxes of particulate organic matter into, and accumulation within, distinct vertical layers in the mesopelagic zone using high-resolution spatiotemporal vertical profiles. We apply this approach to a time series of measurements made during the declining phase of a large diatom bloom in a low-circulation region of the Southern Ocean downstream of South Georgia. Our data show that the major export event led to a significant accumulation of organic matter in the upper mesopelagic zone (100–200 m depth) which declined over the following weeks, implying that temporal offsets need to be considered when compiling budgets. However, even when accounting for this accumulation, a mismatch in the vertically resolved organic carbon budget remained, implying that there are likely widespread processes that we do not yet understand that redistribute material vertically within the mesopelagic zone.

Current and temperature structures on South Africa's central Agulhas Bank are described from six months of moored observations and ancillary data collected during the seasonal transition from austral spring to summer (October 2018–March 2019). The occurrence of an intermittend mid-shelf upwelling ridge, associated with increased productivity, is an important part of the shelf's thermal structure. However, the subsurface evolution of this cold ridge has not been documented to date. A mooring array that transected the wide central shelf captured the seasonal increase in stratification that culminated in the formation of a cold ridge in late summer. We show that the cold ridge originates in the wind-driven upwelling zone on the eastern Agulhas Bank and emphasise the importance of oceanic forcing in maintaining the subsurface thermal structure through advective steering of wind-driven coastal upwelling plumes and through dynamic shelf edge upwelling. The main source of the cold basal layer at the mooring transect originated from upwelling further east, but persistent near-seabed temperatures <9 °C on the outer shelf during the encroachment of the Agulhas Current confirm the contribution of shelf edge upwelling, offshore of the mooring transect, to the cold bottom layer on the Agulhas Bank. Of particular interest is the strengthening of the south-westward shelf current, inshore of cyclonic flow in the Agulhas Bight that accelerated the offshore advection of productive coastal water in the shape of the cold ridge. We show the shelf circulation to be highly coherent across and along the shelf. Shelf-wide barotropic pulses were driven by increased zonal wind stress that was in turn associated with variation in coastal sea level. In the light of global climate change, this work highlights the importance of long term in-situ monitoring in understanding ecosystem functioning on the highly dynamic Agulhas Bank.

The causal relationship between the Loop Current (LC) penetration into the Gulf of Mexico and the inflow/outflow conditions in the Yucatan Channel and the Straits of Florida is analyzed using a recently developed causality analysis, which is quantitative in nature, and rigorously derived from first principles. Long-term time series from a 23-year high-resolution reanalysis product reveals that the LC penetration is associated with a dipole (tripole) mode of transport (vorticity flux) in both channels. These relationships, though significant from a perspective of correlation, do not necessarily imply causality. By applying the causality analysis, we identify a clear asymmetry of causality, that is, the flow conditions in the Yucatan Channel and the Straits of Florida can both cause the LC penetration. Conversely, the LC path state is less causal to the current variability in the two channels. The spatial causal structures further reveal that the upstream influence from the Yucatan Channel is strong in the main body of the LC as well as its extension area, while the downstream influence from the Straits of Florida is confined within the eastern branch of the LC. The asymmetric causal relations obtained from the data-assimilative reanalysis product are further confirmed in a free-running model simulation forced by three repeated cycles of atmospheric forcing, although the strength of the causality could vary from one simulation cycle to another, due to the intrinsic variability of the LC system.

In the Indian Ocean (IO), the annual and semiannual oscillations of the sea surface temperature (SST) contribute more than 80% of the total variance. It is known that the SST in the tropical IO has warmed at a rate of 0.15 °C/decade since 1979. However, such an estimate of the decadal trend of the annual and semiannual harmonics of SST remains unknown, despite being a strong component of the SST signal. Here we use a widely accepted data product (TropFlux) to quantify the annual and semiannual harmonics in the tropical IO for the first time. The northern IO has a distinctly strong semiannual cycle (1–1.8 °C), which is showing an amplifying trend (∼ 0.04 °C/decade) since 1979. Furthermore, a damping trend in annual amplitude exists over much of the IO, except along the northwestern Bay of Bengal, the Seychelles-Chagos thermocline ridge, the Persian Gulf, and the Indonesian throughflow region. The estimated damping of the annual amplitude is highest over the Arabian Sea. In contrast, the southern tropical IO has a predominant annual cycle, the amplitude of which has weakened during 1979–2018. In the north IO, net air-sea heat flux and vertical processes show a dominant semiannual harmonic oscillation similar to SST. Additionally, the annual amplitude is influential over southern IO. Horizontal advection contributes significantly along the boundary-current regions and the western equatorial IO. Our analysis of combined annual and semiannual cycles shows significant warming in the tropical IO during October–November and cooling during July–August owing to the amplification of semiannual oscillation. These changes in the SST can influence air-sea interaction processes such as cyclogenesis and monsoon.

Ocean use has always been risky because of uncertain and dramatic ocean conditions and modern businesses continue to experience risk due to environmental extremes. A changing physical environment due to anthropogenic climate change and increased frequency of extreme events such as marine heatwaves makes past experience less valuable. This risk can be reduced by utilising seasonal forecasts that provide early warning of climate events several months ahead of time. However, to benefit from a forecast, a marine business will need to be agile to respond to changing information and response options. We define a set of seven attributes that can influence and enhance this management agility; leadership, social expectations, signal strength, system manipulation, regulatory environment, market forces, and value of the operations. The management agility of different marine businesses in fisheries, aquaculture, and tourism can influence their ability to use seasonal forecast information effectively, and potentially modify the usual negative relationship between resilience and the frequency of the stress event, thus reducing the impact of extreme events. Engagement between forecast developers and marine users can also improve responses, while at the same time, improving the agility of businesses can enhance overall resilience to extreme events and lower their risk.

The present study investigates the interannual variability of the advective pathways and transit times of the Red Sea Overflow Water (RSOW) in the western Arabian Sea using virtual particles as a proxy indicator for the poorly understood RSOW spreading. The Lagrangian simulations are based on the GLORYS12 eddy-rich reanalysis (1/12°), which assimilates most satellite and in situ observations from 1993 to 2018. Statistical analysis of particle positions reveals the Gulf's mouth is always the main RSOW export route out of the Gulf of Aden. Moreover, there is substantial interannual variability in the three RSOW pathways in the western Arabian Sea, which are consistent with in-situ salinity variability at the RSOW layer. The faster Socotra pathway is strongest for particles released in 1998–1999 and 2012 and almost non-existent for the ones released in 2006–2007. The strongest state of the Socotra pathway co-occurs with some of the most powerful El-Nino/Southern Oscillation and Indian Ocean Dipole events in history. A decadal seesaw stands out between the Northwest pathway, which advects RSOW northward offshore the Arabian Peninsula, and the Southwest pathway, which advects RSOW southward to the Somali Basin along the eastern side of Socotra. While the Northwest pathway strengthened from 1996 to 2011, the Southwest weakened. These changes are associated with interannual variability in the western boundary undercurrents and subsurface eddy kinetic energy. Interestingly, the Northwest pathway trajectories are eddy-dominated, in striking contrast with the Socotra and Southwest pathways, in which western boundary undercurrents are major players. This fact suggests that eddy-induced transport is likely to have a significant role in spreading the RSOW northward. No considerable interannual variability in transit times is detected for any pathway.