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Hydrodynamic response to bathymetric changes in Tampa Bay, Florida 佛罗里达坦帕湾水深变化的水动力响应
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2023.105344
Jing Chen , Yonggang Liu , Robert H. Weisberg , Steven A. Murawski , Sherryl Gilbert , David F. Naar , Lianyuan Zheng , Matthew Hommeyer , Catherine Dietrick , Mark E. Luther , Cheryl Hapke , Edward Myers , Saeed Moghimi , Corey Allen , Liujuan Tang , Bahram Khazaei , Shachak Pe'eri , Ping Wang

Bathymetric changes within estuarine and coastal waters can alter the hydrodynamic evolution of sea level and currents, which in turn can influence the ecosystem by altering material property distributions. Here we apply the Tampa Bay Coastal Ocean Model (TBCOM), with an unstructured, high-resolution grid to investigate the hydrodynamic response to bathymetric changes at the periphery of the Tampa Bay mouth over a relatively small area when compared to the whole model domain. Two separate numerical experiments are conducted with the same forcing, one using the original bathymetry and the other employing a revised synthetic bathymetry. The simulated sea level, amplitude and phase of the M2 tide, and associated currents are compared for the two experiments. Significant changes in water level (up to+/-10 cm) and current velocities (up to 20 cm/s) are found in the shallow peripheral area with the two different bathymetric data sets. These bathymetric influences are not limited to the locations where the bathymetric changes occur; they also extend to remote areas of the bay. Since Tampa Bay bathymetry varies with storm-induced sediment redistributions and human actives such as shipping channel dredging and beach nourishment, these findings emphasize the need for accurate and updated bathymetry for coastal ocean modeling and applications.

河口和沿海水域的水深变化可以改变海平面和海流的水动力演变,进而通过改变物质性质分布影响生态系统。本文采用坦帕湾沿海海洋模型(TBCOM),采用非结构化的高分辨率网格,研究了坦帕湾口周边相对较小区域的水深变化对水动力的响应,与整个模型域相比。在相同的强迫下进行了两次单独的数值实验,一次使用原始的测深法,另一次使用修正的合成测深法。比较了两次试验的模拟海平面、M2潮的幅值和相位以及相关的海流。在两种不同的水深数据集中,在浅层外围区域发现了水位(高达+/-10厘米)和流速(高达20厘米/秒)的显著变化。这些测深影响并不局限于测深变化发生的地点;它们也延伸到海湾的偏远地区。由于坦帕湾的水深测量随风暴引起的沉积物再分布和人类活动(如航道疏浚和海滩营养)而变化,这些发现强调了对沿海海洋建模和应用的准确和更新的水深测量的必要性。
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引用次数: 1
Export of Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC) compared to the particulate and active fluxes near South Georgia, Southern Ocean 南乔治亚附近溶解有机碳(DOC)的出口与颗粒物和活性通量的比较
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2023.105338
Elisa Lovecchio , Louis Clément , Claire Evans , Rachel Rayne , Cynthia Dumousseaud , Saeed Roshan , Sarah L.C. Giering , Adrian Martin

Quantifying the relative contributions of the export of particulate organic carbon (POC), dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and active fluxes by migrating organisms is essential to understand the functioning and vulnerability of the ocean's biological pump. However, these fluxes are rarely measured at the same time. Here we provide a first simultaneous comparison of these biological pump components in the region of South Georgia. We use a combination of in-situ data and an inverse model to calculate the DOC export and the suspended POC export and compare them to the sinking POC and active export. We find that, in this region, the DOC total export contributes about 6.6% (23.0–37.5 mg C m−2 day−1) to the total export flux, the active flux has no discernible contribution, and the sinking POC flux is dominant with a mean value of 409 mg C m−2 day−1. Diapycnal fluxes of DOC obtained from the cruise data constitute only a minor fraction (0.05–1.28 mg C m−2 day−1) of the total DOC export estimated by the inverse model and are exceeded on average by the diapycnal flux of suspended POC. Our results also indicate that the total export of DOC is driven by isopycnal transport. Future fieldwork in the region of South Georgia should focus on quantifying the isopycnal flux of DOC. Future measurement campaigns should also aim to simultaneously measure the particulate, dissolved and active components of the biological pump at contrasting locations and at different times to resolve the variability of their relative contribution.

量化迁移生物出口颗粒有机碳(POC)、溶解有机碳(DOC)和活性通量的相对贡献,对于了解海洋生物泵的功能和脆弱性至关重要。然而,很少同时测量这些通量。在这里,我们首次同时比较了南乔治亚地区的这些生物泵组件。我们使用现场数据和反向模型的组合来计算DOC输出和暂停POC输出,并将其与下沉POC和活动输出进行比较。我们发现,在该地区,DOC总出口对总出口通量的贡献约为6.6%(23.0–37.5 mg C m−2 day−1),活跃通量没有明显贡献,下沉POC通量占主导地位,平均值为409 mg C m−2 day-1。从巡航数据中获得的DOC滞育通量仅占反向模型估计的DOC总出口的一小部分(0.05–1.28 mg C m−2 day−1),并且平均超过了悬浮POC的滞育通量。我们的研究结果还表明,DOC的总出口是由等密度运输驱动的。未来在南乔治亚地区的实地调查应侧重于量化DOC的等密度通量。未来的测量活动还应旨在同时测量生物泵在不同位置和不同时间的颗粒、溶解和活性成分,以解决其相对贡献的可变性。
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引用次数: 0
Seasonal variability of eddy kinetic energy in the Banda Sea revealed by an ocean model: An energy budget perspective 海洋模型揭示的班达海涡旋动能的季节变化:能源预算视角
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2023.105320
Zhanjiu Hao , Zhenhua Xu , Ming Feng , Peiwen Zhang , Jia You , Baoshu Yin

Seasonal eddy kinetic energy (EKE) variability in the Banda Sea during 1993–2014 is studied from an energy budget perspective, based on the outputs of Ocean Forecasting Australian Model version 3. High EKE is confined within the upper 300 m of the western Banda Sea with the largest intensity exceeding 3 × 103 J/m2 in the northwest monsoon (NWM) season. In this strong EKE region during NWM, eddies derive almost two thirds of their kinetic energy from the direct wind power input (WP), with additional contributions from the barotropic (BT) and baroclinic instability (BC) of the background flow. Both WP and BT modulate the EKE seasonality and drive the peak energy during NWM, while BC strengthens in the southeast monsoon (SEM) season because of the intensified baroclinicity of the upper circulation. The westerly wind bursts associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), together with steep topography, facilitate more cyclonic eddy generation events in the western Banda Sea during NWM. During SEM, EKE becomes relatively moderate across the Banda Sea but with a regional peak to the southwest of the Buru Island, which can be attributed to island wake effect. Over the Banda Sea, WP, BT and BC contribute 74% (42%), 14% (19%) and 12% (39%) of total energy to EKE during NWM (SEM), respectively. The majority of EKE generated is diverged horizontally by pressure work and dissipated by turbulent viscosity, with dissipation depleting the most. This study highlights the importance of both monsoon and MJO wind forcing in generating EKE variability along the pathway of the Indonesian Throughflow.

基于澳大利亚海洋预测模型第3版的输出,从能源预算的角度研究了1993-2014年班达海的季节涡动能(EKE)变化。高EKE被限制在班达海西部的300 m上游,在西北季风季节最大强度超过3×103 J/m2。在NWM期间的这个强EKE区域,涡流几乎三分之二的动能来自直接风力输入(WP),背景流的正压(BT)和斜压不稳定性(BC)也有额外的贡献。WP和BT在NWM期间都调节EKE的季节性并驱动峰值能量,而BC在东南季风季节由于上层环流的斜压性增强而增强。与麦登-朱利安振荡(MJO)相关的西风爆发,加上陡峭的地形,促进了NWM期间班达海西部更多的气旋涡生成事件。在SEM期间,班达海的EKE变得相对温和,但在布鲁岛西南部有一个区域峰值,这可归因于岛屿尾流效应。在班达海上空,WP、BT和BC分别占NWM(SEM)期间EKE总能量的74%(42%)、14%(19%)和12%(39%)。产生的大部分EKE通过压力功水平发散,并通过湍流粘度耗散,其中耗散消耗最大。这项研究强调了季风和MJO风力在印尼贯流路径上产生EKE变化的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
A data-assimilative modeling investigation of Gulf Stream variability 墨西哥湾流变异性的数据同化建模研究
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2023.105319
Shun Mao , Ruoying He , John Bane , Glen Gawarkiewicz , Robert E. Todd

An advanced data-assimilative ocean circulation model is used to investigate Gulf Stream (GS) variability during 2017–2018. The modeling system applies a strong-constraint, 4D variational data assimilation algorithm. It assimilates satellite-based sea surface height and sea surface temperature measurements and in situ temperature and salinity profiles. Model skill assessment metrics along with comparisons of GS position and GS's three-dimensional mean kinetic energy with historical observations are applied to validate the data-assimilative model. The resulting time- and space-continuous ocean state estimates are used to diagnose eddy kinetic energy conversion and cross-stream eddy heat and salt fluxes over the two-year study period. The processes leading to kinetic energy conversion are primarily due to GS meanders. Significant inverse energy cascading (EKE→MKE and EKE→EPE) can occur during GS-eddy interactions, particularly during onshore intrusions or offshore meanderings of the GS. Throughout the two-year study period, the cross-stream eddy heat and salt fluxes off Cape Hatteras were predominantly positive (onshore). Both GS offshore meandering (occurring 44% of the time and associated with shelf/slope water export) and GS intrusion (occurring 56% of the time) contribute to onshore heat and salt transport. Improved understanding of these processes and dynamics requires strong integration of an advanced observational infrastructure that combines remote sensing; fixed, mobile, and shore-based observing components; and high-resolution data assimilative models.

使用先进的数据同化海洋环流模型来研究2017-2018年墨西哥湾流(GS)的变化。建模系统采用了强约束的4D变分数据同化算法。它吸收了基于卫星的海面高度和海面温度测量以及现场温度和盐度剖面。模型技能评估指标以及GS位置和GS的三维平均动能与历史观测值的比较被应用于验证数据同化模型。由此产生的时间和空间连续海洋状态估计用于诊断两年研究期间的涡动能转换和跨流涡热和盐通量。导致动能转换的过程主要是由于GS曲流。显著反向能量级联(EKE→MKE和EKE→EPE)可能发生在GS涡相互作用期间,特别是在GS的陆上入侵或海上蜿蜒期间。在整个两年的研究期间,哈特拉斯角附近的跨流涡热和盐通量主要为正(陆上)。GS离岸弯曲(44%的时间发生,与陆架/斜坡水出口有关)和GS侵入(56%的时间发生)都有助于陆上热量和盐的输送。要更好地了解这些过程和动态,就必须大力整合先进的观测基础设施,将遥感结合起来;固定、移动和岸基观测组件;以及高分辨率数据同化模型。
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引用次数: 1
Monsoonal variation and its impact on the feeding habit of Bali Sardinella (S. lemuru Bleeker, 1853) in Bali Strait 巴厘海峡的季风变化及其对巴厘岛沙丁鱼(S.lemuru Bleeker,1853)食性的影响
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2023.105317
A. Sartimbul , H. Nakata , E.Y. Herawati , E. Rohadi , D. Yona , L.I. Harlyan , A.D.R. Putri , V.A. Winata , R.I. Khasanah , Z. Arifin , R.D. Susanto , F.M. Lauro

Sardinella lemuru is known as a highly opportunistic and flexible forager. Their high abundance in the coastal upwelling of Bali Strait was initially attributed to their feeding habit on phytoplankton and hence attaining higher catch. It was challenged by subsequent reports which suggested zooplankton as their main diet. This difference is due to the lack of information on the one-year cycle of its seasonal feeding. Here we used a combination of the plankton in seawater and the stomach contents of S. lemuru and monsoonal oceanographic changes at Bali Strait to determine the diet composition and food selectivity in four fishing seasons of 2012–2013. The result shows that S. lemuru is an omnivorous fish, and its diet composition depends on plankton availability in the environment, size classes, and the monsoonal oceanographic change influenced by upwelling. This condition strongly supported high nutrients for phytoplankton availability in the seawater with medium diversity and moderate community stability, except in inter-monsoon-2 (Trans-2). Phytoplankton was found as the main diet item of S. lemuru during the higher abundance of phytoplankton (82.26% Rhizosolenia stolterfothii) in Trans-2. In contrast, its main diet was substituted by zooplankton (51.96% Nauplius of Paraeuchaeta norvegica) during lower phytoplankton abundance in the northwest monsoon (NW). In addition, S. lemuru has adaptive strategies in feeding habits: It not only has flexibility but also selectivity in the feeding habit, supported by the ability to perform vertical migration for plankton grazing in different depths, move to another feeding ground, or plankton might be carried by the Indonesian Throughflow (ITF) into the Bali Strait. This study provides valuable information on the feeding ecology of S. lemuru, possibly providing a scientific basis for the proper management of the S. lemuru fishery in Bali Strait.

狐猴是一种高度机会主义和灵活的觅食者。它们在巴厘海峡沿岸上升流中的高丰度最初归因于它们以浮游植物为食的习惯,因此获得了更高的捕获量。随后的报告提出浮游动物是它们的主要食物,这对它提出了质疑。这种差异是由于缺乏关于其季节性喂养一年周期的信息。在这里,我们结合海水中的浮游生物和勒穆鲁的胃内容物,以及巴厘海峡的季风海洋学变化,来确定2012-2013年四个捕鱼季节的饮食组成和食物选择性。结果表明,狐猴是一种杂食性鱼类,其饮食组成取决于环境中浮游生物的可利用性、大小等级以及上升流影响的季风海洋学变化。这一条件有力地支持了海水中浮游植物的高营养物质可利用性,具有中等多样性和中等群落稳定性,除基质间-2(Trans-2)外。在Trans-2中浮游植物丰度较高(82.26%)时,浮游植物被发现是狐猴的主要饮食项目。相比之下,在西北季风(NW)浮游植物丰度较低的时期,它的主要食物被浮游动物(51.96%的褐藻无节幼体)所取代。此外,狐猴在进食习惯方面有适应性策略:它不仅在进食习惯上有灵活性,而且有选择性,有能力在不同深度进行浮游生物垂直迁徙,移动到另一个觅食地,或者浮游生物可能被印度尼西亚贯流(ITF)带入巴厘海峡。本研究为了解狐猴的觅食生态提供了有价值的信息,可能为正确管理巴厘海峡的狐猴渔业提供科学依据。
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引用次数: 1
Gulf of Mexico larval dispersal: Combining concurrent sampling, behavioral, and hydrodynamic data to inform end-to-end modeling efforts through a Lagrangian dispersal model 墨西哥湾幼虫扩散:结合并行采样、行为和流体动力学数据,通过拉格朗日扩散模型为端到端建模工作提供信息
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2023.105323
Kelly Vasbinder , Cameron H. Ainsworth, Yonggang Liu, Robert H. Weisberg

We developed a Lagrangian larval dispersal model to estimate trajectories for eleven fish taxa inhabiting the Gulf of Mexico (GOM). Dispersal models are at family level resolution for Scaridae, Lutjanidae, Scombridae, Labridae, Ophichthidae, and Ophidiidae, at genus level resolution for Hemanthias, and at species level resolution for Trachurus lathami, Decapterus punctatus, Katsuwonus pelamis, and Euthynnus alleteratus. Hydrodynamics are provided by the West Florida Coastal Ocean Model (WFCOM). Larval samples are from the spring and fall SEAMAP ichthyoplankton surveys from 2007 to 2011. The Lagrangian model was run backwards/forwards in time from the sampling event to estimate spawning/settlement locations. Results were used to update larval dispersal dynamics in the GOM Atlantis ‘end-to-end’ ecosystem model for twelve functional groups. We compare dispersal and non-dispersal scenarios in the Gulf of Mexico Atlantis model and find differences in stock abundance and distribution of fish. This highlights that the abundance and distribution of fishery resources are sensitive to changing circulation patterns. This work takes an interdisciplinary approach to understanding larval dynamics and their impacts on ecosystems at the intersection of predictive statistical modeling, hydrodynamic modeling, and ecosystem modeling.

我们开发了一个拉格朗日幼虫扩散模型来估计居住在墨西哥湾(GOM)的11种鱼类类群的轨迹。分散模型在Scaridae、Lutjanidae、Scombridae、Labridae、Ophichididae和Ophididae的科级分辨率,在Hemanthias的属级分辨率,以及在Trachurus lathami、Decapterus punctatus、Katsuwonus pelamis和Euthynus alleteratus的物种级分辨率。流体动力学由西佛罗里达海岸海洋模型(WFCOM)提供。幼虫样本来自2007年至2011年的春季和秋季SEAMAP鱼类浮游生物调查。拉格朗日模型从采样事件开始在时间上向后/向前运行,以估计产卵/定居位置。结果用于更新GOM亚特兰蒂斯“端到端”生态系统模型中12个功能组的幼虫扩散动力学。我们比较了墨西哥湾亚特兰蒂斯模型中的扩散和非扩散情景,发现鱼类种群丰度和分布存在差异。这突出表明,渔业资源的丰富程度和分布对不断变化的循环模式很敏感。这项工作采用了一种跨学科的方法,通过预测统计建模、流体动力学建模和生态系统建模来理解幼虫动力学及其对生态系统的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Sea surface temperature trends for Tampa Bay, West Florida Shelf and the deep Gulf of Mexico 坦帕湾、西佛罗里达大陆架和墨西哥湾深处的海面温度趋势
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2023.105321
Alexander K. Nickerson, Robert H. Weisberg, Lianyuan Zheng, Yonggang Liu

Sea surface temperatures for Tampa Bay, the West Florida Continental Shelf (WFS) and the adjacent deep Gulf of Mexico are examined for trends. Data sets are from stations maintained by the Hillsborough County Environmental Protection Commission, buoys maintained by the University of South Florida Coastal Ocean Monitoring and Prediction System and the National Oceanic and Atmosphere Administration (NOAA) National Data Buoy Center, the Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature analyses by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, and the Hadley Centre Sea Surface Temperature. These various data sets, each with different record lengths, require the consideration of trends both on the basis of record length and start time. Tampa Bay shows a warming trend, but with considerable inter-annual variability and start time bias resulting in a lack of statistical significance in more recent years. The WFS is also generally warming, and its inter-annual variability is largely controlled by the upwelling of cooler, deeper Gulf of Mexico water across the shelf break. The deep GOM shows statistically significant warming in most of the data except for the “gappy” records from buoys, both along the continental shelf and in the deep water. Trends in the Gulf of Mexico are mostly between 0.1 and 0.5 °C/decade, somewhat larger than the secular rise found globally, although within the range of the observed decadal variability.

对坦帕湾、西佛罗里达大陆架(WFS)和邻近的墨西哥湾深海的海面温度趋势进行了研究。数据集来自希尔斯伯勒县环境保护委员会维护的站点、南佛罗里达大学海岸海洋监测和预测系统以及美国国家海洋和大气管理局(NOAA)国家数据浮标中心维护的浮标,NOAA国家环境信息中心的最佳插值海面温度分析和哈德利中心的海面温度。这些不同的数据集,每个数据集都有不同的记录长度,需要根据记录长度和开始时间来考虑趋势。坦帕湾呈现出变暖趋势,但具有相当大的年际变化性和开始时间偏差,导致近年来缺乏统计意义。WFS总体上也在变暖,其年际变化在很大程度上受较冷、较深的墨西哥湾水通过陆架断裂的上升流控制。除了大陆架沿岸和深水中浮标的“gappy”记录外,深层GOM在大多数数据中都显示出统计学意义上的显著变暖。墨西哥湾的趋势大多在0.1至0.5°C/十年之间,略大于全球的长期上升,尽管在观测到的十年变化范围内。
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引用次数: 0
A Tampa Bay coastal ocean model (TBCOM) nowcast/forecast system 坦帕湾沿岸海洋模型(TBCOM)现播/预报系统
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2023.105322
Jing Chen, Robert H. Weisberg, Yonggang Liu, Lianyuan Zheng, Jason Law, Sherryl Gilbert, Steven A. Murawski

As a partially mixed estuary, Tampa Bay is influenced both by its connections to the adjacent Gulf of Mexico (GOM) and what occurs locally within the estuary. To assist in addressing the many scientific questions arising from various environmental factors, a very high resolution Tampa Bay Coastal Ocean Model (TBCOM) is modified to downscale from the deep GOM, across the continental shelf and into Tampa Bay to provide daily, automated nowcasts and forecasts. Veracity tests are provided for sea levels and currents forced by tides, synoptic weather variations and for extreme events. The model is also demonstrated to reproduce the net estuarine circulation through comparisons between in situ observations and model simulations. With demonstrated accuracy, TBCOM forecast sea levels are provided online as a reference for navigation support and for extreme events such as hurricane storm surge. Model simulations, even with a perfect model, are subject to errors by the forcing functions. For Tampa Bay, the NOAA NAM winds used to force the model are found to underestimate the actual winds, suggesting that additional wind observations for assimilation into operational weather forecast models may offer further improvements. This finding highlights the need for further coordination between coastal ocean observing systems and the ocean and atmosphere modeling communities. With coastal ocean and estuary material properties determined largely by the circulation, most ecological applications require accurate and timely circulation information, which the TBCOM Nowcast/Forecast System for Tampa Bay endeavors to provide.

作为一个部分混合的河口,坦帕湾受到其与邻近墨西哥湾(GOM)的连接以及河口内局部情况的影响。为了帮助解决由各种环境因素引起的许多科学问题,对一个非常高分辨率的坦帕湾沿海海洋模型(TBCOM)进行了修改,使其从GOM深处缩小,穿过大陆架,进入坦帕湾,以提供每日自动的现时预报和预测。针对潮汐、天气变化和极端事件造成的海平面和洋流,提供了准确度测试。通过现场观测和模型模拟的比较,该模型也被证明可以重现河口净环流。TBCOM的海平面预报已被证明是准确的,可在线提供,作为导航支持和飓风风暴潮等极端事件的参考。模型模拟,即使有一个完美的模型,也会受到强迫函数的误差。对于坦帕湾,美国国家海洋和大气管理局用于强制该模型的NAM风被发现低估了实际风,这表明用于同化到操作天气预报模型中的额外风观测可能会提供进一步的改进。这一发现强调了沿海海洋观测系统与海洋和大气建模社区之间进一步协调的必要性。由于沿海海洋和河口的物质特性主要由环流决定,大多数生态应用都需要准确及时的环流信息,而坦帕湾的TBCOM Nowcast/预报系统正致力于提供这些信息。
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引用次数: 3
Intraseasonal oscillations of the Andaman Sea thermocline 安达曼海温跃层的季节内振荡
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2023.105337
Sreedevi P. Vasu, P.N. Vinayachandran

Variations in the upper ocean thermal structure have significant implications for air-sea interaction and upper-ocean ecosystem processes. Vertical profiles of temperature measured by a moored buoy located at 10.5°N, 94°E in the Andaman Sea and simulation by an Indian Ocean model are used in this study to characterise the intraseasonal variations (ISV) in the Andaman Sea (AndS) thermal structure and identify their sources. The seasonal variations in the upper ocean thermal structure show a strong semi-annual cycle driven by monsoons. The sub-surface temperature shows significant intraseasonal oscillations within a band of 40–110 days, which are de-coupled from that in the mixed layer, which has dominant periodicity in the band of 90–120 days. Thermocline ISV are seasonally modulated with a primary peak during August–September and a secondary peak during February–March, with significant year-to-year variations. A cross-wavelet analysis shows that ISV in the 40–60 days period is in phase with that at the eastern boundary and they are locally forced by the passage of eddies. The 60–110 day band is out of phase with the eastern boundary and is forced by Rossby waves radiated from the equatorially generated intraseasonal coastal Kelvin waves.

上层海洋热结构的变化对海气相互作用和上层海洋生态系统过程具有重要意义。本研究使用位于安达曼海10.5°N,94°E的系泊浮标测量的温度垂直剖面和印度洋模型的模拟来表征安达曼海热结构的季节内变化(ISV)并确定其来源。上层海洋热结构的季节变化显示出由季风驱动的强烈半年周期。地下温度在40–110天的波段内表现出显著的季节内振荡,这与混合层的温度不耦合,混合层在90–120天的波段具有主导周期性。温跃层ISV受季节性调节,8月至9月为主峰,2月至3月为次峰,逐年变化显著。交叉小波分析表明,40–60天期间的ISV与东部边界的ISV同相,并且它们是受涡流通过的局部强迫。60–110天的波段与东部边界异相,并受到季节内海岸Kelvin波辐射的Rossby波的强迫。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive performance from abundance distribution models of Vinciguerria lucetia larvae in the southern portion of the California current system using XGBOOST 使用XGBOOST从加利福尼亚洋流系统南部的lucetia Vinciguerria幼虫丰度分布模型中预测性能
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2023.105336
Rubén Esteban García-Gómez , Gerardo Aceves-Medina , Héctor Villalobos , Sylvia Patricia Adelheid Jiménez Rosenberg , Reginaldo Durazo

Vinciguerria lucetia is a mesopelagic fish whose larvae show an almost permanent presence in the southern portion of the California Current System. Due to its sensitivity to environmental changes, the species has been considered an indicator of water masses and interannual variability. Fish larvae abundance registered from 1997 to 2015 by the program Investigaciones Mexicanas de la Corriente de California was used to predict the abundance distribution of V. lucetia larvae under two extreme thermal conditions (2000 La Niña and 2015 El Niño), utilizing the novel machine learning algorithm eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBOOST). The data were segmented into COLD and WARM groups based on the mean sea surface temperature recorded at each station and contrasted with an undivided TOTAL group. Models were generated using 12 environmental and biological predictor features. Root-mean-squared logarithm error (RMSLE) was used as a prediction performance metric for both internal and external validation. The COLD model showed the best performance for the internal validation with a lower RMSLE value, while the TOTAL model for both the coldest and warmest external validation presented the lowest RMSLE values. The external validation demonstrated models that accurately predicted the spatial distribution; however, none of the models were able to accurately predict the same abundance magnitude observed in both extreme thermal conditions. Nevertheless, XGBOOST shows promise for describing the future distribution traits of V. lucetia.

lucetia Vinciguerria是一种中上层鱼类,其幼虫几乎永久存在于加利福尼亚洋流系统的南部。由于其对环境变化的敏感性,该物种被认为是水体和年际变化的指标。利用新的机器学习算法极限梯度提升(XGBOOST),利用加利福尼亚州墨西哥科学研究计划(Investigaciones Mexicanas de la Corriente de California)在1997年至2015年登记的鱼类幼虫丰度,预测了两种极端热条件(2000年拉尼娜和2015年厄尔尼诺)下的lucetia幼虫丰度分布。根据每个站记录的平均海面温度,将数据分为COLD组和WARM组,并与未划分的TOTAL组进行对比。使用12个环境和生物预测特征生成模型。均方根对数误差(RMSLE)被用作内部和外部验证的预测性能指标。COLD模型在内部验证中表现出最好的性能,RMSLE值较低,而在最冷和最热的外部验证中,TOTAL模型的RMSLE值最低。外部验证证明了准确预测空间分布的模型;然而,没有一个模型能够准确预测在两种极端热条件下观测到的相同丰度大小。然而,XGBOOST在描述苜蓿未来的分布特征方面显示出了前景。
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引用次数: 0
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Deep-sea Research Part Ii-topical Studies in Oceanography
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