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Palliative care, socioeconomic position, and end-of-life cancer quality outcomes: a mediation analysis. 姑息治疗、社会经济地位和临终癌症质量结果:中介分析。
IF 1 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2026-01-23 eCollection Date: 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103759
Javaid Iqbal, Rahim Moineddin, Robert A Fowler, Monika K Krzyzanowska, Christopher M Booth, Craig C Earle, Jenny Lau, Lisa W Le, Timo Carpen, James Downar, Peter Tanuseputro, Gary Rodin, Hsien Seow, Kieran L Quinn, Breffni Hannon, Camilla Zimmermann

Background: Lower socioeconomic position (SEP) is a risk factor for poor-quality end-of-life cancer care, but mechanisms of this disparity are not fully understood. We investigated whether receipt of specialised palliative care (SPC) mediates the effect of SEP on end-of-life cancer care quality outcomes.

Methods: This cohort study included all adults who died with cancer from 2015 to 2021, in Ontario, Canada. We performed a mediation analysis using material deprivation as a measure of SEP, classified into quintiles from least (Q1) to most deprived (Q5). End-of-life outcomes included receipt of systemic anticancer treatment (SACT) and high health services use (≥2 emergency department visits, ≥2 hospitalisations, ≥1 intensive care unit admission) in the last 30 days of life, and home death. Generalised linear models estimated the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for each outcome, and direct effect of SEP, and the indirect effect via SPC, across each quintile (Q1 = reference).

Findings: Among 173,915 patients, SPC mediated the effects of SEP on end-of-life outcomes. Compared to Q1, patients in Q2-Q5 were progressively less likely to receive SACT at end-of-life (aOR [95% CI], Q3: 0.89 [0.84-0.93]; Q5: 0.77 [0.74-0.81]), or to die at home (Q3: 0.90 [0.87-0.93]; Q5: 0.78 [0.76-0.81]); lack of SPC partially mediated these effects, blunting the effect on SACT and augmenting the effect on home deaths. Compared to Q1, patients in Q2 to 5 were more likely to experience high health services use (Q3: 1.06 [1.02-1.10]; Q5: 1.12 [1.08-1.16]); lack of SPC fully mediated this effect, driven by increasing likelihood of multiple emergency department visits in more deprived quintiles.

Interpretation: Receipt of SPC mediated the effects of SEP on end-of-life quality outcomes. Equitable access to SPC for all patients with cancer may mitigate these disparities.

Funding: This study was supported by an Operating Grant from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (Dr. Zimmermann), the Harold and Shirley Lederman Chair in Palliative Care and Psychosocial Oncology (Grant number MM1-174912; Dr. Zimmermann), a Doctoral Research Award: Canada Graduate Scholarship (Grant number FBD-181354; Dr. Iqbal) from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR), and a Peterborough KM Hunter Charitable Foundation Graduate Award in Cancer Research (Dr. Iqbal).

背景:较低的社会经济地位(SEP)是低质量临终癌症护理的一个危险因素,但这种差异的机制尚不完全清楚。我们调查了接受专门姑息治疗(SPC)是否介导SEP对临终癌症治疗质量结果的影响。方法:该队列研究纳入了2015年至2021年在加拿大安大略省死于癌症的所有成年人。我们使用物质剥夺作为SEP的衡量标准进行了中介分析,从最低(Q1)到最贫困(Q5)分为五分位数。临终结局包括在生命的最后30天内接受全身抗癌治疗(SACT)和高卫生服务使用率(急诊≥2次,住院≥2次,重症监护病房≥1次),以及家中死亡。广义线性模型估计了每个结果的调整优势比(aOR),以及SEP的直接影响,以及通过SPC的间接影响,每个五分位数(Q1 =参考)。结果:在173,915例患者中,SPC介导SEP对临终预后的影响。与Q1相比,Q2-Q5患者在生命末期接受SACT治疗的可能性逐渐降低(aOR [95% CI], Q3: 0.89 [0.84-0.93]; Q5: 0.77[0.74-0.81]),或在家死亡(Q3: 0.90 [0.87-0.93]; Q5: 0.78 [0.76-0.81]);缺乏SPC部分介导了这些影响,减弱了对SACT的影响,增强了对家庭死亡的影响。与第一季度相比,第二季度至第五季度的患者更有可能经历高医疗服务使用率(第三季度:1.06[1.02-1.10];第五季度:1.12 [1.08-1.16]);缺乏SPC完全介导了这种影响,在更贫困的五分之一中,多次急诊就诊的可能性增加。解释:接受SPC介导了SEP对生命末期质量结果的影响。所有癌症患者公平获得SPC可能会减轻这些差异。资助:本研究由加拿大卫生研究院(齐默尔曼博士)、哈罗德和雪莉莱德曼姑息治疗和社会心理肿瘤学主席(资助号MM1-174912;齐默尔曼博士)、加拿大卫生研究院(CIHR)的博士研究奖:加拿大研究生奖学金(资助号fdb -181354;伊克巴尔博士)和彼得伯勒KM Hunter慈善基金会癌症研究研究生奖(伊克巴尔博士)支持。
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引用次数: 0
Incentive-based interventions to improve HIV prevention and care continuum: a global systematic review and meta-analysis. 以激励为基础的干预措施改善艾滋病毒预防和护理连续性:全球系统回顾和荟萃分析。
IF 1 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2026-01-23 eCollection Date: 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103754
Jing Zhang, Fanshun Zhao, Guomei Huang, Yihua Chen, Lan Chen, Roger Chu, Joseph D Tucker, Weiming Tang

Background: Incentive-based intervention has been widely implemented for HIV prevention and care, necessitating an urgent evidence-based synthesis of the extensive new evidence.

Methods: We conducted a global systematic review and meta-analysis (PROSPERO: CRD42022368634) of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) identified through MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Google Scholar, Embase, Scopus, and region-specific databases (inception to Sep 10, 2024). Two reviewers independently selected studies using the Covidence online tool. Eligible studies with money-type, non-money type, and lottery type of incentives reporting outcomes along HIV prevention and care continuum were included. Cochrane Risk-of -Bias Tool (ROB) and the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) approach were used to assess risk of bias and evidence grading. We pooled risk ratio (RR) using random-effects model versus standard care.

Findings: We included 62 RCTs with 118,432 participants from 16 countries, over half of which were published in the recent five years. Compared to standard care, incentive-based intervention was associated with improvements from a 1.8 times increase in HIV testing uptakes (15 studies, 82,327 participants, RR 1.83 [95% CI: 1.31-2.54], I2 = 99%) to a 1.25 times increase in viral suppression (14 studies, 14,341 participants, RR 1.25 [1.14-1.38], I2 = 75%). When limited to monetary-type incentives, it is associated with 2.13 times of HIV testing uptakes (nine studies, 17,320 participants, [95% CI: 1.36-3.33], I2 = 98%). When limited to studies with 2-3 months implementation, it is associated with 2.82 times of HIV testing uptakes (four studies, 25,167 participants, [95% CI: 1.10-7.21], I2 = 98%) The effect of incentives varied across countries with different income levels, but consistent across different sexes. There were negative effects found in studies with outcomes of reducing HIV incidence, STI prevalence, and mortality.

Interpretation: Incentive-based interventions are associated with improved outcomes across the HIV prevention and care continuum, with inconsistency between incentive types, implementation duration, income-levels of countries. The results of its implementation, including outcomes and sustainability, are required to maximize its effectiveness in practice.

Funding: National Natural Science Foundation of China and Guangdong Province (Grant No. 82304201 and 2024A1515012123).

背景:基于激励的干预措施已广泛应用于艾滋病毒预防和护理,迫切需要对大量新证据进行循证综合。方法:我们对通过MEDLINE、Web of Science、b谷歌Scholar、Embase、Scopus和地区特定数据库(启动至2024年9月10日)确定的随机对照试验(RCTs)进行了全球系统评价和荟萃分析(PROSPERO: CRD42022368634)。两位审稿人使用covid在线工具独立选择了研究。符合条件的研究包括金钱类型、非金钱类型和彩票类型的奖励,报告了艾滋病毒预防和护理连续体的结果。采用Cochrane风险-偏倚工具(ROB)和推荐、评估、发展和评价分级(GRADE)方法评估偏倚风险和证据分级。我们使用随机效应模型与标准护理合并风险比(RR)。研究结果:我们纳入了62项随机对照试验,涉及来自16个国家的118,432名参与者,其中一半以上是在最近五年内发表的。与标准治疗相比,基于激励的干预与HIV检测增加1.8倍(15项研究,82,327名参与者,RR 1.83 [95% CI: 1.31-2.54], I2 = 99%)到病毒抑制增加1.25倍(14项研究,14,341名参与者,RR 1.25 [1.14-1.38], I2 = 75%)相关。当仅限于金钱类型的激励时,它与2.13倍的艾滋病毒检测接受率相关(9项研究,17,320名参与者,[95% CI: 1.36-3.33], I2 = 98%)。当限于实施2-3个月的研究时,它与2.82次艾滋病毒检测有关(四项研究,25,167名参与者,[95% CI: 1.10-7.21], I2 = 98%)。激励措施的效果在不同收入水平的国家有所不同,但在不同性别之间是一致的。在研究中发现了降低艾滋病毒发病率、性传播感染患病率和死亡率的负面影响。解释:基于激励的干预措施与改善整个艾滋病毒预防和护理连续体的结果有关,但激励类型、实施期限和各国收入水平之间存在不一致。为了在实践中最大限度地发挥其效力,需要其实施结果,包括成果和可持续性。基金资助:广东省自然科学基金(批准号:82304201和2024A1515012123)。
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引用次数: 0
Efficacy, safety, and tolerability of arbaclofen in Autistic children and adolescents, the AIMS-2-TRIALS-CT1: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase II trial. arbaclofen在自闭症儿童和青少年中的疗效、安全性和耐受性,AIMS-2-TRIALS-CT1:一项随机、双盲、安慰剂对照的II期试验。
IF 1 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2026-01-22 eCollection Date: 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103760
M Parellada, A San José Cáceres, R Delorme, A Moscoso, C Moreno, R Calvo, R Canal-Bedia, M A Franco Martín, T Charman, A Strydom, J R Parr, E Urbiola Merino, M Burdeus-Olavarrieta, P Hernández Jusdado, A Solis, M Lucas, L Sipos, P González Navarro, A Blázquez, L Lázaro, A Tomás, E Humeau, S Antoun, J Cooke, M Megalogeni, H Liang, V B de-Vena-Díez, H Leonard, N White, P Wang, K Walton-Bowen, I Winter-van Rossum, D Murphy, C Arango

Background: Previous trials have indicated the potential of arbaclofen for improving social difficulties among autistic children and adolescents with fluent speech. AIMS-2-TRIALS-Clinical Trial 1 (AIMS-2-CT1) examined whether arbaclofen is superior to placebo in improving social function and other secondary outcomes, along with safety and tolerability profiles.

Methods: AIMS-2-CT1 is a multi-site, placebo-controlled double-blind, parallel group Phase II randomized clinical trial. Recruitment was conducted in 7 sites in Spain, United Kingdom and France between September 2019 and September 2022. Eligible participants were randomized 1:1, stratified by age and site, for a 16-week treatment period. Age of participants ranged from 5 to 17 years of age. Primary outcome: Socialization domain of the Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales change. Secondary outcome measures: CGI-S (Clinical Global Impression-Severity), CGI-I (Clinical Global Impression-Improvement), Social Responsiveness Scale (SRS-2), Autism Impact Measure (AIM), behavioral measurements (CBCL, ABC-C) and Quality of Life (PedsQL). Safety and tolerability were assessed via several instruments. Clinical trial registration: EudraCT number: 2018-000942-21 and ClinicalTrials.gov registry number: NCT03682978. Last protocol v.9.1, dated June 18th, 2022.

Findings: 122 participants (out of 123 randomized) comprised the Intention-to-treat sample (59/63 arbaclofen/placebo); 85%/95% of participants on arbaclofen/placebo completed the study.Improvements in the primary endpoint and pre-specified key secondary outcomes did not achieve statistical significance [effect size 1.30 (95% CI: -2.6, 5.1)]. Results on all secondary endpoints favored arbaclofen, with significant improvements on many secondary outcomes including the SRS, the AIM Total scores, some subscales of the ABC, and QoL measures. One Serious Adverse Event (psychotic symptoms) was reported on placebo. Sleep-related problems were more frequent on arbaclofen (N = 34, 57.6% in participants on arbaclofen and N = 22, 34.9% in participants on placebo).

Interpretation: Although we found no significant effect on the primary outcome, improvements were apparent on several secondary measures of autistic related behaviors as well as quality of life. Arbaclofen shows promise in addressing some autistic difficulties and in improving quality of life, but larger scale trials are needed to further advance our understanding of its potential and to inform future drug development in autism.

Funding: Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking under grant agreement No 777394.

背景:先前的试验表明,arbaclofen有可能改善自闭症儿童和青少年的社交困难,并具有流利的语言。aims -2- trials -临床试验1 (AIMS-2-CT1)检查了arbaclofen在改善社会功能和其他次要结局方面是否优于安慰剂,以及安全性和耐受性。方法:AIMS-2-CT1是一项多位点、安慰剂对照、双盲、平行组的II期随机临床试验。招聘于2019年9月至2022年9月在西班牙、英国和法国的7个地点进行。符合条件的参与者按年龄和地点按1:1随机分组,治疗期为16周。参与者的年龄从5岁到17岁不等。主要结果:Vineland适应行为量表的社会化领域发生变化。次要结果测量:CGI-S(临床总体印象严重程度),CGI-I(临床总体印象改善),社会反应量表(SRS-2),自闭症影响量表(AIM),行为测量(CBCL, ABC-C)和生活质量(PedsQL)。通过几种仪器评估了安全性和耐受性。临床试验注册:edract号:2018-000942-21,ClinicalTrials.gov注册号:NCT03682978。最后的协议v9.1,日期是2022年6月18日。结果:122名参与者(123名随机分组)包括意向治疗样本(59/63 arbaclofen/安慰剂);85%/95%服用阿巴氯芬/安慰剂的受试者完成了研究。主要终点和预先指定的关键次要结局的改善没有达到统计学意义[效应值1.30 (95% CI: -2.6, 5.1)]。所有次要终点的结果都支持arbaclofen,许多次要终点的结果都有显著改善,包括SRS、AIM总分、ABC的一些亚量表和生活质量测量。安慰剂组报告1例严重不良事件(精神病症状)。阿巴氯芬组与睡眠相关的问题更常见(阿巴氯芬组N = 34,57.6%,安慰剂组N = 22,34.9%)。解释:虽然我们发现对主要结果没有显著影响,但在自闭症相关行为和生活质量的几个次要测量上有明显的改善。Arbaclofen在解决自闭症的一些困难和改善生活质量方面显示出希望,但需要更大规模的试验来进一步提高我们对其潜力的理解,并为未来的自闭症药物开发提供信息。资助:创新药物倡议2联合项目,资助协议编号777394。
{"title":"Efficacy, safety, and tolerability of arbaclofen in Autistic children and adolescents, the AIMS-2-TRIALS-CT1: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase II trial.","authors":"M Parellada, A San José Cáceres, R Delorme, A Moscoso, C Moreno, R Calvo, R Canal-Bedia, M A Franco Martín, T Charman, A Strydom, J R Parr, E Urbiola Merino, M Burdeus-Olavarrieta, P Hernández Jusdado, A Solis, M Lucas, L Sipos, P González Navarro, A Blázquez, L Lázaro, A Tomás, E Humeau, S Antoun, J Cooke, M Megalogeni, H Liang, V B de-Vena-Díez, H Leonard, N White, P Wang, K Walton-Bowen, I Winter-van Rossum, D Murphy, C Arango","doi":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103760","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103760","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Previous trials have indicated the potential of arbaclofen for improving social difficulties among autistic children and adolescents with fluent speech. AIMS-2-TRIALS-Clinical Trial 1 (AIMS-2-CT1) examined whether arbaclofen is superior to placebo in improving social function and other secondary outcomes, along with safety and tolerability profiles.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>AIMS-2-CT1 is a multi-site, placebo-controlled double-blind, parallel group Phase II randomized clinical trial. Recruitment was conducted in 7 sites in Spain, United Kingdom and France between September 2019 and September 2022. Eligible participants were randomized 1:1, stratified by age and site, for a 16-week treatment period. Age of participants ranged from 5 to 17 years of age. Primary outcome: Socialization domain of the Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales change. Secondary outcome measures: CGI-S (Clinical Global Impression-Severity), CGI-I (Clinical Global Impression-Improvement), Social Responsiveness Scale (SRS-2), Autism Impact Measure (AIM), behavioral measurements (CBCL, ABC-C) and Quality of Life (PedsQL). Safety and tolerability were assessed via several instruments. Clinical trial registration: EudraCT number: 2018-000942-21 and ClinicalTrials.gov registry number: NCT03682978. Last protocol v.9.1, dated June 18th, 2022.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>122 participants (out of 123 randomized) comprised the Intention-to-treat sample (59/63 arbaclofen/placebo); 85%/95% of participants on arbaclofen/placebo completed the study.Improvements in the primary endpoint and pre-specified key secondary outcomes did not achieve statistical significance [effect size 1.30 (95% CI: -2.6, 5.1)]. Results on all secondary endpoints favored arbaclofen, with significant improvements on many secondary outcomes including the SRS, the AIM Total scores, some subscales of the ABC, and QoL measures. One Serious Adverse Event (psychotic symptoms) was reported on placebo. Sleep-related problems were more frequent on arbaclofen (N = 34, 57.6% in participants on arbaclofen and N = 22, 34.9% in participants on placebo).</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Although we found no significant effect on the primary outcome, improvements were apparent on several secondary measures of autistic related behaviors as well as quality of life. Arbaclofen shows promise in addressing some autistic difficulties and in improving quality of life, but larger scale trials are needed to further advance our understanding of its potential and to inform future drug development in autism.</p><p><strong>Funding: </strong>Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking under grant agreement No 777394.</p>","PeriodicalId":11393,"journal":{"name":"EClinicalMedicine","volume":"92 ","pages":"103760"},"PeriodicalIF":10.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12861286/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146104281","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Iparomlimab and tuvonralimab (QL1706) combined definitive chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (QL1706-IIT-02): a single arm, phase 2 trial. Iparomlimab和tuvonralimab (QL1706)联合决定性放化疗治疗局部晚期食管鳞状细胞癌(QL1706- iit02):单组2期试验
IF 1 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2026-01-21 eCollection Date: 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103758
Wencheng Zhang, Tian Zhang, Xi Chen, Jiacheng Li, Linrui Gao, Shengpeng Jiang, Yufei Wang, Zhunhao Zheng, Jie Dong, Zewei Li, Gang Zhao, Fuliang Cao, Na Bai, Ping Wang, Cihui Yan, Qingsong Pang
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Definitive chemoradiotherapy is the standard treatment for inoperable locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). However, the prognosis for these patients remains poor. This study aimed to evaluate iparomlimab and tuvonralimab (QL1706), a novel PD-1/CTLA-4 dual inhibitor, combined with definitive chemoradiotherapy in patients with unresectable stage III-IVA ESCC.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This single-arm, open-label phase 2 trial was conducted at a single center in China between August 2022 and September 2023. 39 patients with unresectable stage III-IVA ESCC were included. QL1706 is composed of iparomlimab (anti-PD-1 IgG4) and tuvonralimab (anti-CTLA-4 IgG1) in a fixed 2:1 ratio. Patients received radiotherapy (50.4 Gy/28 in fractions on 5 days per week), concurrent chemotherapy (paclitaxel 135 mg/m<sup>2</sup> d1+ cisplatin 25 mg/m<sup>2</sup> d1-3, q3w, 2 cycles), and QL1706 (5 mg/kg q3w for up to 1 year [total of 18 cycles]). The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05490719).</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>20 patients (51.3%) completed the full cycles of QL-1706. Reasons for the premature cessation of QL1706 were disease progression (n = 7), COVID-19 infection (n = 2), pneumonia (n = 2), allergic reaction (n = 2), patient refusal (n = 4), rash (n = 1), and esophageal hemorrhage (n = 1). With a median follow-up of 21.1 months, the median progression-free survival (PFS) was 14.8 (95% CI: 11.2-NA) months. The median overall survival (OS) was immature. The 1-year PFS and OS rates were 58.6% (95% CI: 44.9-76.4) and 84.6% (95% CI: 74.0-96.7). The objective response rate and median duration of response were 84.6% (95% CI: 69.5-94.1) and 12.7 months (95% CI: 8.9-NA). Exploratory biomarker analyses identified several potential predictive biomarkers: 1) immunochemistry staining revealed that PD-L1 combined positive score ≥1 correlated with prolonged PFS (HR 0.37, p = 0.036); 2) Whole-exome sequencing detected high tumor mutation burden associated with better PFS (HR 0.24, p = 0.0066), while the mutated group (TNRC18/CAMSAP3/CARMIL2/ZFHX4 gene alterations) correlated with poor PFS (HR 6.40, p = 0.0002) and OS (HR 6.45, p = 0.0020); and 3) Olink plasma proteomics identified baseline levels of TWEAK and FASLG were both positively associated with PFS and OS (p < 0.05 for all). Grade ≥3 adverse events occurred in 89.7% (35/39) of the patients, predominantly lymphopenia (31/39, 79.5%).</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>QL1706 combined with chemoradiotherapy demonstrated potential antitumor activity and manageable toxicity, supporting further investigation.</p><p><strong>Funding: </strong>National Natural Science Foundation of China, State Key Laboratory of Druggability Evaluation and Systematic Translational Medicine, Tianjin Key Medical Discipline Construction Project, and Tianjin Key Medical Discipline (Specialty) Construction
背景:明确的放化疗是不能手术的局部晚期食管鳞状细胞癌(ESCC)的标准治疗。然而,这些患者的预后仍然很差。本研究旨在评估iparomlimab和tuvonralimab (QL1706),一种新型PD-1/CTLA-4双抑制剂,联合化疗治疗无法切除的III-IVA期ESCC患者。方法:这项单臂、开放标签的2期试验于2022年8月至2023年9月在中国的一个单中心进行。39例不能切除的III-IVA期ESCC。QL1706由iparomlimab(抗pd -1 IgG4)和tuvonralimab(抗ctla -4 IgG1)按固定2:1的比例组成。患者接受放疗(50.4 Gy/28分次,每周5天),同期化疗(紫杉醇135 mg/m2 d1+顺铂25 mg/m2 d1-3, q3w, 2个周期)和QL1706 (5 mg/kg q3w,为期1年[共18个周期])。主要终点为无进展生存期(PFS)。该研究已在ClinicalTrials.gov注册(NCT05490719)。结果:20例患者(51.3%)完成了QL-1706的全周期治疗。过早停用QL1706的原因为疾病进展(n = 7)、COVID-19感染(n = 2)、肺炎(n = 2)、过敏反应(n = 2)、患者拒绝(n = 4)、皮疹(n = 1)、食管出血(n = 1)。中位随访21.1个月,中位无进展生存期(PFS)为14.8个月(95% CI: 11.2-NA)。中位总生存期(OS)不成熟。1年PFS和OS率分别为58.6% (95% CI: 44.9-76.4)和84.6% (95% CI: 74.0-96.7)。客观缓解率和中位缓解持续时间分别为84.6% (95% CI: 69.5-94.1)和12.7个月(95% CI: 8.9-NA)。探索性生物标志物分析发现了几个潜在的预测性生物标志物:1)免疫化学染色显示PD-L1联合阳性评分≥1与PFS延长相关(HR 0.37, p = 0.036);2)全外显子组测序检测到高肿瘤突变负荷与较好的PFS相关(HR 0.24, p = 0.0066),而突变组(TNRC18/CAMSAP3/CARMIL2/ZFHX4基因改变)与较差的PFS相关(HR 6.40, p = 0.0002)和OS相关(HR 6.45, p = 0.0020);3) Olink血浆蛋白质组学发现,基线水平的TWEAK和FASLG与PFS和OS均呈正相关(p < 0.05)。≥3级不良事件发生率为89.7%(35/39),以淋巴细胞减少为主(31/39,79.5%)。解释:QL1706联合放化疗显示出潜在的抗肿瘤活性和可控的毒性,支持进一步的研究。资助项目:国家自然科学基金,“可药性评价与系统转化医学”国家重点实验室,天津市医学重点学科建设项目,天津市医学重点学科(专业)建设项目。
{"title":"Iparomlimab and tuvonralimab (QL1706) combined definitive chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (QL1706-IIT-02): a single arm, phase 2 trial.","authors":"Wencheng Zhang, Tian Zhang, Xi Chen, Jiacheng Li, Linrui Gao, Shengpeng Jiang, Yufei Wang, Zhunhao Zheng, Jie Dong, Zewei Li, Gang Zhao, Fuliang Cao, Na Bai, Ping Wang, Cihui Yan, Qingsong Pang","doi":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103758","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103758","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;Definitive chemoradiotherapy is the standard treatment for inoperable locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). However, the prognosis for these patients remains poor. This study aimed to evaluate iparomlimab and tuvonralimab (QL1706), a novel PD-1/CTLA-4 dual inhibitor, combined with definitive chemoradiotherapy in patients with unresectable stage III-IVA ESCC.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods: &lt;/strong&gt;This single-arm, open-label phase 2 trial was conducted at a single center in China between August 2022 and September 2023. 39 patients with unresectable stage III-IVA ESCC were included. QL1706 is composed of iparomlimab (anti-PD-1 IgG4) and tuvonralimab (anti-CTLA-4 IgG1) in a fixed 2:1 ratio. Patients received radiotherapy (50.4 Gy/28 in fractions on 5 days per week), concurrent chemotherapy (paclitaxel 135 mg/m&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; d1+ cisplatin 25 mg/m&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; d1-3, q3w, 2 cycles), and QL1706 (5 mg/kg q3w for up to 1 year [total of 18 cycles]). The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05490719).&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Findings: &lt;/strong&gt;20 patients (51.3%) completed the full cycles of QL-1706. Reasons for the premature cessation of QL1706 were disease progression (n = 7), COVID-19 infection (n = 2), pneumonia (n = 2), allergic reaction (n = 2), patient refusal (n = 4), rash (n = 1), and esophageal hemorrhage (n = 1). With a median follow-up of 21.1 months, the median progression-free survival (PFS) was 14.8 (95% CI: 11.2-NA) months. The median overall survival (OS) was immature. The 1-year PFS and OS rates were 58.6% (95% CI: 44.9-76.4) and 84.6% (95% CI: 74.0-96.7). The objective response rate and median duration of response were 84.6% (95% CI: 69.5-94.1) and 12.7 months (95% CI: 8.9-NA). Exploratory biomarker analyses identified several potential predictive biomarkers: 1) immunochemistry staining revealed that PD-L1 combined positive score ≥1 correlated with prolonged PFS (HR 0.37, p = 0.036); 2) Whole-exome sequencing detected high tumor mutation burden associated with better PFS (HR 0.24, p = 0.0066), while the mutated group (TNRC18/CAMSAP3/CARMIL2/ZFHX4 gene alterations) correlated with poor PFS (HR 6.40, p = 0.0002) and OS (HR 6.45, p = 0.0020); and 3) Olink plasma proteomics identified baseline levels of TWEAK and FASLG were both positively associated with PFS and OS (p &lt; 0.05 for all). Grade ≥3 adverse events occurred in 89.7% (35/39) of the patients, predominantly lymphopenia (31/39, 79.5%).&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Interpretation: &lt;/strong&gt;QL1706 combined with chemoradiotherapy demonstrated potential antitumor activity and manageable toxicity, supporting further investigation.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Funding: &lt;/strong&gt;National Natural Science Foundation of China, State Key Laboratory of Druggability Evaluation and Systematic Translational Medicine, Tianjin Key Medical Discipline Construction Project, and Tianjin Key Medical Discipline (Specialty) Construction","PeriodicalId":11393,"journal":{"name":"EClinicalMedicine","volume":"92 ","pages":"103758"},"PeriodicalIF":10.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12859413/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146104284","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to Association between maternal vitamin D supplementation during pregnancy and the risk of acute respiratory infections in offspring: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 孕妇孕期补充维生素D与后代急性呼吸道感染风险之间的关系:一项系统综述和荟萃分析。
IF 1 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2026-01-21 eCollection Date: 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103762
David A Jolliffe, Nicklas Brustad, Bo Chawes, Cyrus Cooper, Stefania D'angelo, Nicholas C Harvey, Augusto A Litonjua, Rebecca Moon, Shaun K Morris, John D Sluyter, Scott T Weiss, Adrian R Martineau

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2025.103682.].

[这更正了文章DOI: 10.1016/ j.c eclinm.2025.103682.]。
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引用次数: 0
Motor development in toddlers prenatally exposed to maternal cancer treatment: a national cohort study in the Netherlands. 幼儿运动发育产前暴露于母亲癌症治疗:荷兰的一项国家队列研究。
IF 1 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2026-01-17 eCollection Date: 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2025.103738
Anouk M Kruse, Evangeline A Huis In 't Veld, Martine van Grotel, Frédéric Amant, Harm van Tinteren, Marry M van den Heuvel-Eibrink, Emma J Verwaaijen

Background: Limited knowledge exists on the impact of prenatal exposure to maternal cancer (treatment) on child motor development. We aimed to assess motor outcomes in toddlers and explore potential associations with perinatal and treatment-related factors.

Methods: This national cohort study reports a cross-sectional analysis of children prenatally exposed to maternal cancer who completed the planned 18-month motor assessment at the national Cancer in Pregnancy offspring outpatient clinic (2018-2024), Princess Máxima Center for Pediatric Oncology. Motor development was assessed using the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development (BSID-III-NL), with outcomes expressed as Z-scores compared with Dutch norms (delay defined as Z < -1). Multivariable linear regression examined associations between predefined prenatal exposures (gestational age at birth, birthweight, timing of maternal treatment, chemotherapy, systemic therapy) and postnatal family burden with motor outcomes. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00330447.

Findings: Of 102 eligible children, 96 (94.2%) were included (mean age 19.8 months; mean gestational age 36.8 weeks). Mean Z-scores were -0.38 (95% CI: -0.56, -0.20) for gross motor and 0.09 (95% CI: -0.08, 0.25) for fine motor development. Delayed gross motor development was observed in 32 children (33%), and delayed fine motor development in 16 children (17%). Regression analyses showed no significant associations between gross motor development and the studied prenatal or postnatal factors. Fine motor scores were lower in children with lower gestational age at birth (β = 0.085; 95% CI: 0.011, 0.159) and higher postnatal family burden (β = -0.736; 95% CI: -1.211, -0.261).

Interpretation: At 19 months, one in three children exposed to maternal cancer during pregnancy demonstrated delayed gross motor development. Mean gross motor scores were significantly lower compared with the BSID-III-NL normative population, whereas fine motor development did not differ from reference values. Neither gross nor fine motor development was associated with prenatal exposure to chemotherapy or systemic therapy. Fine motor outcomes were associated with gestational age and postnatal family burden. These findings highlight the need for structured motor surveillance in this population.

Funding: KWF Kankerbestrijding (KWF) grant number 13192.

背景:关于产前暴露于母体癌症(治疗)对儿童运动发育的影响的知识有限。我们的目的是评估幼儿的运动结果,并探索与围产期和治疗相关因素的潜在关联。方法:这项国家队列研究报告了一项横断面分析,对在公主Máxima儿科肿瘤中心国家妊娠癌症后代门诊(2018-2024)完成计划的18个月运动评估的产前暴露于母亲癌症的儿童进行了分析。使用Bayley婴幼儿发育量表(BSID-III-NL)评估运动发育,结果表示为与荷兰标准比较的Z分数(延迟定义为Z < -1)。多变量线性回归检验了预先确定的产前暴露(出生时胎龄、出生体重、母体治疗时间、化疗、全身治疗)和产后家庭负担与运动预后之间的关系。本研究已在ClinicalTrials.gov注册,编号NCT00330447。结果:102名符合条件的儿童中,96名(94.2%)被纳入(平均年龄19.8个月,平均胎龄36.8周)。大运动发育的平均z分数为-0.38 (95% CI: -0.56, -0.20),精细运动发育的平均z分数为0.09 (95% CI: -0.08, 0.25)。大运动发育迟缓32例(33%),精细运动发育迟缓16例(17%)。回归分析显示大肌肉运动发育与所研究的产前或产后因素之间没有显著关联。出生时胎龄较低的儿童精细运动评分较低(β = 0.085; 95% CI: 0.011, 0.159),产后家庭负担较高的儿童精细运动评分较低(β = -0.736; 95% CI: -1.211, -0.261)。解释:在19个月时,三分之一在怀孕期间暴露于母亲癌症的儿童表现出大肌肉运动发育迟缓。与BSID-III-NL标准人群相比,平均大运动得分显着降低,而精细运动发展与参考值没有差异。粗大和精细运动的发展与产前接受化疗或全身治疗无关。精细运动结果与胎龄和产后家庭负担有关。这些发现强调了对这一人群进行结构化运动监测的必要性。资助:KWF kankerstrijding (KWF)资助号13192。
{"title":"Motor development in toddlers prenatally exposed to maternal cancer treatment: a national cohort study in the Netherlands.","authors":"Anouk M Kruse, Evangeline A Huis In 't Veld, Martine van Grotel, Frédéric Amant, Harm van Tinteren, Marry M van den Heuvel-Eibrink, Emma J Verwaaijen","doi":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2025.103738","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2025.103738","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Limited knowledge exists on the impact of prenatal exposure to maternal cancer (treatment) on child motor development. We aimed to assess motor outcomes in toddlers and explore potential associations with perinatal and treatment-related factors.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This national cohort study reports a cross-sectional analysis of children prenatally exposed to maternal cancer who completed the planned 18-month motor assessment at the national Cancer in Pregnancy offspring outpatient clinic (2018-2024), Princess Máxima Center for Pediatric Oncology. Motor development was assessed using the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development (BSID-III-NL), with outcomes expressed as Z-scores compared with Dutch norms (delay defined as Z < -1). Multivariable linear regression examined associations between predefined prenatal exposures (gestational age at birth, birthweight, timing of maternal treatment, chemotherapy, systemic therapy) and postnatal family burden with motor outcomes. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00330447.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>Of 102 eligible children, 96 (94.2%) were included (mean age 19.8 months; mean gestational age 36.8 weeks). Mean Z-scores were -0.38 (95% CI: -0.56, -0.20) for gross motor and 0.09 (95% CI: -0.08, 0.25) for fine motor development. Delayed gross motor development was observed in 32 children (33%), and delayed fine motor development in 16 children (17%). Regression analyses showed no significant associations between gross motor development and the studied prenatal or postnatal factors. Fine motor scores were lower in children with lower gestational age at birth (β = 0.085; 95% CI: 0.011, 0.159) and higher postnatal family burden (β = -0.736; 95% CI: -1.211, -0.261).</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>At 19 months, one in three children exposed to maternal cancer during pregnancy demonstrated delayed gross motor development. Mean gross motor scores were significantly lower compared with the BSID-III-NL normative population, whereas fine motor development did not differ from reference values. Neither gross nor fine motor development was associated with prenatal exposure to chemotherapy or systemic therapy. Fine motor outcomes were associated with gestational age and postnatal family burden. These findings highlight the need for structured motor surveillance in this population.</p><p><strong>Funding: </strong>KWF Kankerbestrijding (KWF) grant number 13192.</p>","PeriodicalId":11393,"journal":{"name":"EClinicalMedicine","volume":"92 ","pages":"103738"},"PeriodicalIF":10.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12853778/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146104236","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Development and validation of an interpretable machine learning model for non-invasive screening of precancerous gastric lesions using symptom and lifestyle data: a multicentre cohort study. 利用症状和生活方式数据开发和验证可解释的机器学习模型,用于无创筛查胃癌前病变:多中心队列研究
IF 1 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2026-01-17 eCollection Date: 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103756
Lan Wang, Kaiqiang Tang, Peng Zhang, Jiasheng Liu, Bowen Wu, Jun Chen, Yan Li, Shiyu Du, Yan Wang, Shao Li
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Precancerous gastric lesions (PLGC) are a critical stage in gastric cancer progression, where timely intervention can substantially reduce mortality. However, current screening strategies are predominantly endoscopic, which are invasive, costly, and often inaccessible in resource-limited settings. We aimed to develop and validate an interpretable machine learning model for non-invasive PLGC screening using symptom and lifestyle data.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this multicentre study, we enrolled eligible adult participants undergoing or scheduled to undergo upper gastrointestinal endoscopy with no prior diagnosis of malignancy. The development cohort comprised 1034 participants recruited at two hospitals between Nov 16, 2022, and Apr 7, 2023. Symptom and lifestyle data from this cohort were used to construct the development dataset, which was randomly split into a training set (n = 620), an internal validation set (n = 207), and a hold-out test set (n = 207). External performance was assessed in a retrospective hospital-based cohort from four additional hospitals (n = 630; May 21, 2018 to Jul 30, 2023) and a prospective community-based cohort from 32 screening sites (n = 847; June 21, 2023, to Nov 7, 2023). We developed a stacking ensemble model to predict the primary outcome (presence of PLGC) by integrating seven base learners (Gaussian Naïve Bayes, Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbours, Gradient Boosting Classifier, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Adaptive Boosting) and applied Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) for clinical interpretability. Model performance was compared with guideline-based screening strategies from the <i>Chinese Guidelines for Gastric Cancer Screening and Early Diagnosis and Treatment</i> and the <i>British Society of Gastroenterology gastric cancer risk guidance</i>, using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC; 95% CI), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>In total, 2511 participants (male: n = 871, 34.7%; female: n = 1640, 65.3%) were included. The primary outcome, PLGC, was present in 509 of 1034 participants (49.2%) in the development cohort, in 331 of 630 participants (52.5%) in the retrospective validation cohort, and in 312 of 847 participants (36.8%) in the prospective validation cohort. The model showed robust performance for non-invasive PLGC screening, with AUCs of 0.82 (95% CI: 0.77-0.87) in the internal hold-out test set, 0.80 (95% CI: 0.78-0.82) in the external retrospective validation set, and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.77-0.81) in the prospective validation set. With AUC improvements of 0.18-0.35, our model exceeded both guideline-based strategies across all datasets (internal hold-out test: 0.82 (95% CI: 0.77-0.87) vs. 0.47 (95% CI: 0.42-0.53)/0.48 (95% CI: 0.42-0.53); external retrospective validation: 0.80 (95% CI: 0.78-0.82) vs. 0.62 (95% CI: 0.60-0.64)/
背景:胃癌前病变(PLGC)是胃癌进展的关键阶段,及时干预可显著降低死亡率。然而,目前的筛查策略主要是内窥镜检查,这是侵入性的,昂贵的,而且在资源有限的情况下往往无法获得。我们的目标是开发和验证一种可解释的机器学习模型,用于使用症状和生活方式数据进行无创PLGC筛查。方法:在这项多中心研究中,我们招募了符合条件的成人参与者,他们正在或计划接受上消化道内窥镜检查,之前没有恶性诊断。发展队列包括1034名参与者,于2022年11月16日至2023年4月7日在两家医院招募。来自该队列的症状和生活方式数据用于构建发展数据集,该数据集随机分为训练集(n = 620)、内部验证集(n = 207)和持续测试集(n = 207)。外部表现通过来自另外四家医院的回顾性医院队列(n = 630; 2018年5月21日至2023年7月30日)和来自32个筛查点的前瞻性社区队列(n = 847; 2023年6月21日至2023年11月7日)进行评估。我们开发了一个堆叠集成模型,通过整合七个基本学习器(高斯Naïve贝叶斯,逻辑回归,k近邻,梯度增强分类器,极端梯度增强,随机森林,自适应增强)来预测主要结果(PLGC的存在),并应用Shapley加性解释(SHAP)进行临床可解释性。采用受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC; 95% CI)、敏感性、特异性、阳性预测值和阴性预测值,将模型性能与《中国胃癌筛查与早期诊断与治疗指南》和英国胃肠病学会胃癌风险指南中基于指南的筛查策略进行比较。结果:共纳入2511名受试者(男性:n = 871,占34.7%;女性:n = 1640,占65.3%)。发展组1034名受试者中有509名(49.2%)出现PLGC,回顾性验证组630名受试者中有331名(52.5%)出现PLGC,前瞻性验证组847名受试者中有312名(36.8%)出现PLGC。该模型在非侵入性PLGC筛查方面表现出稳健的性能,内部保持测试集的auc为0.82 (95% CI: 0.77-0.87),外部回顾性验证集的auc为0.80 (95% CI: 0.78-0.82),前瞻性验证集的auc为0.79 (95% CI: 0.77-0.81)。AUC改善为0.18-0.35,我们的模型在所有数据集上都超过了基于指南的策略(内部保留检验:0.82 (95% CI: 0.77-0.87) vs. 0.47 (95% CI: 0.42-0.53)/0.48 (95% CI: 0.42-0.53);外部回顾性验证:0.80 (95% CI: 0.78-0.82) vs. 0.62 (95% CI: 0.60-0.64)/0.58 (95% CI: 0.55-0.60);前瞻性验证:0.79 (95% CI: 0.77-0.81) vs. 0.57 (95% CI: 0.54-0.59)/0.52 (95% CI: 0.50-0.55);均p < 0.001)。在成本效益分析中,与基于指南的工具相比,每个检测到的PLGC病例的平均成本降低了37.1%。SHAP分析进一步确定了15个关键预测因素,包括幽门螺杆菌感染、年龄和黑素瘤。解释:一个可解释的机器学习模型整合了症状和生活方式信息,其中一些与传统医学有关,在基于医院和社区的人群中,基于指南的PLGC非侵入性筛查策略取得了更好的表现。然而,这种普遍性可能受到队列年龄和地区分布的限制;进一步的研究应该纳入更多的非侵入性指标来优化筛选模型,并寻求更广泛的外部验证和现实世界的实施。资助项目:国家自然科学基金。国家中医药管理局创新团队和人才培养计划。教育部基础学科与交叉学科突破计划。
{"title":"Development and validation of an interpretable machine learning model for non-invasive screening of precancerous gastric lesions using symptom and lifestyle data: a multicentre cohort study.","authors":"Lan Wang, Kaiqiang Tang, Peng Zhang, Jiasheng Liu, Bowen Wu, Jun Chen, Yan Li, Shiyu Du, Yan Wang, Shao Li","doi":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103756","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.103756","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;Precancerous gastric lesions (PLGC) are a critical stage in gastric cancer progression, where timely intervention can substantially reduce mortality. However, current screening strategies are predominantly endoscopic, which are invasive, costly, and often inaccessible in resource-limited settings. We aimed to develop and validate an interpretable machine learning model for non-invasive PLGC screening using symptom and lifestyle data.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods: &lt;/strong&gt;In this multicentre study, we enrolled eligible adult participants undergoing or scheduled to undergo upper gastrointestinal endoscopy with no prior diagnosis of malignancy. The development cohort comprised 1034 participants recruited at two hospitals between Nov 16, 2022, and Apr 7, 2023. Symptom and lifestyle data from this cohort were used to construct the development dataset, which was randomly split into a training set (n = 620), an internal validation set (n = 207), and a hold-out test set (n = 207). External performance was assessed in a retrospective hospital-based cohort from four additional hospitals (n = 630; May 21, 2018 to Jul 30, 2023) and a prospective community-based cohort from 32 screening sites (n = 847; June 21, 2023, to Nov 7, 2023). We developed a stacking ensemble model to predict the primary outcome (presence of PLGC) by integrating seven base learners (Gaussian Naïve Bayes, Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbours, Gradient Boosting Classifier, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Adaptive Boosting) and applied Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) for clinical interpretability. Model performance was compared with guideline-based screening strategies from the &lt;i&gt;Chinese Guidelines for Gastric Cancer Screening and Early Diagnosis and Treatment&lt;/i&gt; and the &lt;i&gt;British Society of Gastroenterology gastric cancer risk guidance&lt;/i&gt;, using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC; 95% CI), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Findings: &lt;/strong&gt;In total, 2511 participants (male: n = 871, 34.7%; female: n = 1640, 65.3%) were included. The primary outcome, PLGC, was present in 509 of 1034 participants (49.2%) in the development cohort, in 331 of 630 participants (52.5%) in the retrospective validation cohort, and in 312 of 847 participants (36.8%) in the prospective validation cohort. The model showed robust performance for non-invasive PLGC screening, with AUCs of 0.82 (95% CI: 0.77-0.87) in the internal hold-out test set, 0.80 (95% CI: 0.78-0.82) in the external retrospective validation set, and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.77-0.81) in the prospective validation set. With AUC improvements of 0.18-0.35, our model exceeded both guideline-based strategies across all datasets (internal hold-out test: 0.82 (95% CI: 0.77-0.87) vs. 0.47 (95% CI: 0.42-0.53)/0.48 (95% CI: 0.42-0.53); external retrospective validation: 0.80 (95% CI: 0.78-0.82) vs. 0.62 (95% CI: 0.60-0.64)/","PeriodicalId":11393,"journal":{"name":"EClinicalMedicine","volume":"92 ","pages":"103756"},"PeriodicalIF":10.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12856190/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146104304","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Timing of household contact investigation for tuberculosis among rural and urban populations in South Africa (Kharituwe study): a pragmatic individually randomized controlled trial. 南非农村和城市人口中结核病家庭接触调查的时机(Kharituwe研究):一项实用的个体随机对照试验。
IF 1 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2026-01-16 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2025.103744
Colleen F Hanrahan, Bareng Aletta Sanny Nonyane, Patrick Biche, Mbali Mohlamonyane, Matshidiso Morolo, Shaheed V Omar, Khatija Ahmed, Neil Martinson, David W Dowdy

Background: One major challenge in the implementation of household contact investigation (HCI) for tuberculosis (TB) in high burden settings is finding contact persons in the home for screening. Conducting HCI during evenings, weekends, or holidays, particularly in settings with high levels of poverty, may improve effectiveness and implementation.

Methods: We conducted a pragmatic, individually randomized controlled trial of HCI for TB at two sites in South Africa, comparing the effectiveness of two novel strategies for timing (during evenings and weekends in an urban area and during three annual holiday periods in a rural area) to weekday working hours. The primary outcome was the number of secondary cases identified and started on TB treatment per index participant, comparing novel versus standard timing at each site. Clinicaltrials.gov registration: NCT04520113.

Findings: From September 2020 to August 2023, we randomized 1335 index participants with TB in Limpopo to receive standard HCI and 666 to receive holiday = based HCI, and 1616 to receive standard HCI and 805 to receive evening/weekend HCI in Soshanguve. In Limpopo, standard HCI and holidy-based HCI and resulted in 0.6 and 0.7 secondary TB diagnoses started on treatment per 100 index participants, respectively (difference: 0.1 [95% CI: -0.7, 0.8, p = 0.84]). In Soshanguve, evening/weekend-based HCI and standard HCI generated 0.4 and 0.6 diagnoses started on TB treatment per 100 index participants, respectively (difference 0.3 [95% CI: -0.8, 0.4, p = 0.54]).

Interpretation: HCI conducted either during evenings/weekends or during holiday did not increase effectiveness compared to HCI conducted during weekday working hours.

Funding: Funding was provided by the United States National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (Grant # 5R01AI147681).

背景:在高负担环境中实施结核病家庭接触者调查(HCI)的一个主要挑战是寻找家中的接触者进行筛查。在晚上、周末或节假日开展人力资源综合管理,特别是在高度贫困的环境中,可能会提高效率和实施情况。方法:我们在南非的两个地点进行了一项实用的、单独随机对照的结核病HCI试验,比较了两种新的时间策略(城市地区的晚上和周末以及农村地区的三个年度假期)与工作日工作时间的有效性。主要结局是每个指数参与者确定并开始结核病治疗的继发病例数,比较每个地点的新时间与标准时间。Clinicaltrials.gov注册号:NCT04520113。研究结果:从2020年9月到2023年8月,我们在林波波省随机分配了1335名结核病患者接受标准HCI, 666名接受假日HCI, 1616名接受标准HCI, 805名接受soshananguve的晚间/周末HCI。在林波波省,每100名指数参与者中,标准HCI和假日HCI导致的继发性结核病诊断分别为0.6和0.7(差异:0.1 [95% CI: -0.7, 0.8, p = 0.84])。在Soshanguve,每100名指数参与者中,基于晚间/周末的HCI和标准HCI分别产生0.4和0.6个开始结核病治疗的诊断(差异为0.3 [95% CI: -0.8, 0.4, p = 0.54])。解释:与在工作日工作时间进行的HCI相比,在晚上/周末或假期进行的HCI并没有提高效率。资助:资金由美国国家过敏和传染病研究所提供(批准号5R01AI147681)。
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引用次数: 0
Incidence of hematologic malignancies and mortality associated with GLP-1 receptor agonist and SGLT2 inhibitor use in type 2 diabetes mellitus: results of a retrospective cohort study of electronic health records. 2型糖尿病患者使用GLP-1受体激动剂和SGLT2抑制剂与血液恶性肿瘤的发病率和死亡率相关:电子健康记录的回顾性队列研究结果
IF 1 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2026-01-14 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2025.103749
Eric Edward Irons, Keri Ann Pfeil, Jaime Abraham Perez, Koen van Besien

Background: Individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus are treated with a growing variety of medications targeting multiple metabolic pathways. In recent years, incretins such as the GLP-1 receptor agonists have proven effective in the control of hyperglycemia but also in weight loss, where they are now separately approved as a treatment for obesity. Given the importance of obesity and metabolic syndrome as risk factors for malignancy, the impact of GLP-1 receptor agonists on cancer risk is of increasing interest. Here, we performed an analysis of the impact of GLP-1 receptor agonists and SGLT2 inhibitors on cancer risk and mortality.

Methods: We performed a multicenter retrospective cohort study using the TriNetX database of electronic health records between 2019 and 2024, including patients with a diagnosis of type 2 diabetes mellitus. Individuals prescribed GLP-1 receptor agonists, SGLT2 inhibitors, or neither were compared for the incidence of four obesity-related hematologic malignancies using a Cox proportional hazards model. Similar analysis was applied to mortality associated with these medication classes in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus and the hematologic malignancies under study.

Findings: GLP-1 receptor agonist use is associated with a significantly decreased risk of multiple myeloma (HR 0.64, p = 0.01), but not chronic myeloid leukemia (HR 1.06, p = 0.857), acute myeloid leukemia (HR 0.81, p = 0.354), or myelodysplastic syndrome (HR 0.98, p = 0.996). This effect was preserved in subgroups with BMI >30 and HbA1c >8%. Further, we find that in patients with multiple myeloma and acute myeloid leukemia, SGLT2 inhibitor use is associated with a significantly increased risk of mortality, independent of heart or kidney failure (MM HR 2.27, p < 0.001, AML HR 2.00, p = 0.006).

Interpretation: Our results strengthen the association between metabolic disease and multiple myeloma yet call for prospective investigation into the use of SGTL2 inhibitors in patients with specific hematologic neoplasms.

Funding: National Institutes of Health.

背景:治疗2型糖尿病的药物越来越多,针对多种代谢途径。近年来,像GLP-1受体激动剂这样的肠促胰岛素已被证明在控制高血糖和减肥方面有效,它们现在被单独批准用于治疗肥胖。鉴于肥胖和代谢综合征作为恶性肿瘤危险因素的重要性,GLP-1受体激动剂对癌症风险的影响越来越受到关注。在这里,我们分析了GLP-1受体激动剂和SGLT2抑制剂对癌症风险和死亡率的影响。方法:我们使用TriNetX电子健康记录数据库,在2019年至2024年间进行了一项多中心回顾性队列研究,其中包括诊断为2型糖尿病的患者。使用Cox比例风险模型比较了服用GLP-1受体激动剂、SGLT2抑制剂或两者都不服用的个体的四种肥胖相关血液恶性肿瘤的发病率。类似的分析也应用于研究中2型糖尿病和血液恶性肿瘤患者与这些药物类别相关的死亡率。结果:GLP-1受体激动剂的使用与多发性骨髓瘤(HR 0.64, p = 0.01)的风险显著降低相关,但与慢性髓性白血病(HR 1.06, p = 0.857)、急性髓性白血病(HR 0.81, p = 0.354)或骨髓增生异常综合征(HR 0.98, p = 0.996)的风险降低无关。这种效果在BMI为30、HbA1c为8%的亚组中保持不变。此外,我们发现在多发性骨髓瘤和急性髓性白血病患者中,SGLT2抑制剂的使用与死亡风险显著增加相关,与心脏或肾衰竭无关(MM HR 2.27, p < 0.001, AML HR 2.00, p = 0.006)。解释:我们的研究结果加强了代谢性疾病和多发性骨髓瘤之间的联系,但要求对特定血液肿瘤患者使用SGTL2抑制剂进行前瞻性研究。资助:美国国立卫生研究院。
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引用次数: 0
Association between statin use and risk of incident cancer in healthy older adults: a target trial emulation using data from a multicentre, randomised trial of community-dwelling older adults in Australia and the USA. 健康老年人使用他汀类药物与癌症发生风险之间的关系:一项目标试验模拟,使用来自澳大利亚和美国社区居住老年人的多中心随机试验数据。
IF 1 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2026-01-12 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2025.103746
Gebiso Roba Debele, Najmeh Davoodian, Mojtaba Lotfaliany, Rory Wolfe, Michael Berk, Andrew M Tonkin, Peter Gibbs, Zhen Zhou, Robyn L Woods, Suzanne G Orchard, A R M Saifuddin Ekram, Anne M Murray, Mark Nelson, Jeremy L Millar, Aaron R Kent, Wee Loon Ong, Christopher M Reid, Raj C Shah, Andrew Chan, Daniel Clayton-Chubb, Sophia Zoungas, John J McNeil, Mohammadreza Mohebbi
<p><strong>Background: </strong>The evidence on whether statin use affects cancer incidence is inconclusive and limited among apparently healthy older adults. This study emulated a target trial comparing statin initiators versus non-initiators, with further analyses stratified by statin lipophilicity.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a target trial emulation using ASPREE (ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) and its extended observational data (ASPREE-XT). ASPREE was a placebo-controlled trial of low-dose aspirin in 19,114 older adults predominantly ≥70 years of age in Australia and the United States, who had no cardiovascular events, dementia, and independence-limiting physical disability at enrolment. We emulated a target trial of statin initiators versus non-initiators, following a prespecified target protocol. Key exclusion criteria were prior cardiovascular or cerebrovascular disease, high bleeding risk, conditions likely to limit 5-year survival, and anemia. The primary outcome was any-incident cancer and site-specific cancer, as adjudicated by an expert panel. Inverse probability weighting (IPW) was applied to adjust for predefined confounders including sociodemographic, clinical, and anthropometric factors, comorbidities, and co-medications to achieve balance between treatment groups.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>Participants were enrolled from March 01, 2010, to December 31, 2014, with follow-up to June 12, 2017, during the trial phase and then extended to January 08, 2022, as observational study. Of 12,557 eligible participants, 1596 (12.7%) initiated statin, including 882 (7.0% lipophilic and 714 (5.7%) hydrophilic statin. Over a median follow-up of 8.3 years (IQR; 6.5-9.5), the cumulative incidence of cancer per 1000 person-years was 16.0 (95% CI: [13.8-18.3]) in statin initiators and 21.6 (95% CI: [20.6-22.6]) in the non-initiators. Statin use was associated with a lower risk of cancer (Sub-distribution Hazard Ratio (SHR): 0.70 95% CI [0.59-0.82]), metastatic (SHR: 0.70 95% CI [0.52-0.93]) and non-metastatic (SHR: 0.71 95% CI [0.58-0.87]) cancers. This association remained significant for lipophilic statins (metastatic (SHR: 0.65 95% CI [0.45-0.94]) and non-metastatic (SHR: 0.64 95% CI [0.49-0.84]) cancers), but not for hydrophilic statins (metastatic (SHR: 0.77 95% CI [0.52-1.13]) and non-metastatic (SHR: 0.80 95% CI [0.61-1.06]) cancers). Among site-specific cancers, prostate cancer (SHR 0.67; 95% CI 0.47-0.95) and breast cancer (SHR 0.55; 95% CI 0.33-0.93) showed significant association. The estimated number needed to treat associated with statin use was 31 (95% CI: 25-47) for any cancer, 56 (95% CI: 44-87) metastatic cancer, and 72 (95% CI: 46-100) non-metastatic cancer over a median follow-up of 8.3 years.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>In this target trial emulation, statin use was associated with lower cancer incidence in older adults, with potential differences by cancer type and statin lipophili
背景:关于他汀类药物是否影响癌症发病率的证据是不确定的,并且在表面健康的老年人中是有限的。本研究模拟了一项比较他汀类药物启动剂与非启动剂的靶试验,并根据他汀类药物的亲脂性进行了进一步的分析。方法:我们使用ASPREE(阿司匹林在减少老年人事件中的作用)及其扩展观察数据(ASPREE- xt)进行了目标试验模拟。ASPREE是一项低剂量阿司匹林的安慰剂对照试验,在澳大利亚和美国招募了19,114名年龄≥70岁的老年人,这些老年人在入组时没有心血管事件、痴呆和独立性受限的身体残疾。我们模拟了他汀类药物启动剂与非启动剂的靶试验,遵循预先指定的靶方案。主要的排除标准是既往心脑血管疾病、高出血风险、可能限制5年生存的条件和贫血。主要结果是由专家小组裁定的任何事件癌症和部位特异性癌症。应用逆概率加权(IPW)来调整预定义的混杂因素,包括社会人口学、临床和人体测量因素、合并症和联合用药,以实现治疗组之间的平衡。研究结果:参与者于2010年3月1日至2014年12月31日入组,在试验阶段随访至2017年6月12日,然后作为观察性研究延长至2022年1月8日。在12557名符合条件的参与者中,1596名(12.7%)开始使用他汀类药物,包括882名(7.0%)亲脂性和714名(5.7%)亲水性他汀类药物。在中位随访8.3年(IQR; 6.5-9.5)中,他汀类药物启动者每1000人年的累积癌症发病率为16.0 (95% CI:[13.8-18.3]),非他汀类药物启动者为21.6 (95% CI:[20.6-22.6])。他汀类药物的使用与较低的癌症风险(亚分布风险比(SHR): 0.70 95% CI[0.59-0.82])、转移性(SHR: 0.70 95% CI[0.52-0.93])和非转移性(SHR: 0.71 95% CI[0.58-0.87])相关。这种相关性在亲脂性他汀类药物(转移性癌症(SHR: 0.65 95% CI[0.45-0.94])和非转移性癌症(SHR: 0.64 95% CI[0.49-0.84])中仍然显著,但在亲水他汀类药物(转移性癌症(SHR: 0.77 95% CI[0.52-1.13])和非转移性癌症(SHR: 0.80 95% CI[0.61-1.06])中则不显著。在部位特异性癌症中,前列腺癌(SHR 0.67; 95% CI 0.47-0.95)和乳腺癌(SHR 0.55; 95% CI 0.33-0.93)显示显著相关性。在中位随访8.3年期间,与他汀类药物使用相关的任何癌症所需治疗的估计数量为31例(95% CI: 25-47),转移性癌症为56例(95% CI: 44-87),非转移性癌症为72例(95% CI: 46-100)。解释:在这个目标试验模拟中,他汀类药物的使用与老年人较低的癌症发病率相关,这与癌症类型和他汀类药物亲脂性的潜在差异有关。这些发现强调需要长期随机对照试验来证实这种关联。由于非随机观察设计,可能存在无法测量的混杂和偏倚,这是研究的局限性,纳入健康参与者可能会限制研究结果的可推广性。资助:国家老龄研究所、国家癌症研究所、澳大利亚国家卫生和医学研究委员会、莫纳什大学、维多利亚癌症机构和迪肯大学研究生研究奖学金。
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