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Associations of socioeconomic status and healthy lifestyle with incident dementia and cognitive decline: two prospective cohort studies. 社会经济地位和健康生活方式与痴呆症和认知能力下降的关系:两项前瞻性队列研究。
IF 9.6 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-09-16 eCollection Date: 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102831
Kan Wang, Yuan Fang, Ruizhi Zheng, Xuan Zhao, Siyu Wang, Jieli Lu, Weiqing Wang, Guang Ning, Yu Xu, Yufang Bi

Background: Little is known about the complex associations of socioeconomic status (SES) and healthy lifestyle with cognitive dysfunction.

Methods: Using data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) [2008-2020] and the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) [2004-2018], SES was constructed by latent class analysis using education level, total household income and wealth. Overall healthy lifestyle was derived using information on never smoking, low to moderate alcohol consumption (drinks/day: (0, 1] for women and (0, 2] for men), top tertile of physical activity, and active social contact.

Findings: A total of 12,437 and 6565 participants from the HRS and ELSA were included (40.8% and 46.0% men and mean age 69.3 years and 65.1 years, respectively). Compared with participants of high SES, those of low SES had higher risk of incident dementia (hazard ratio 3.17, 95% confidence interval 2.72-3.69 in the HRS; 1.43, 1.09-1.86 in the ELSA), and the proportions mediated by overall lifestyle were 10.4% (7.3%-14.6%) and 2.7% (0.5%-14.0%), respectively. Compared with participants of high SES and favorable lifestyle, those with low SES and unfavorable lifestyle had a higher risk of incident dementia (4.27, 3.40-5.38 in the HRS; 2.02, 1.25-3.27 in the ELSA) and accelerated rate of global cognitive decline (β = -0.058 SD/year; 95% CI: -0.073, -0.043 in the HRS; β = -0.049 SD/year; 95% CI: -0.063, -0.035 in the ELSA).

Interpretation: Unhealthy lifestyle only mediated a small proportion of the socioeconomic inequality in dementia risk in both US and UK older adults.

Funding: This work was supported by grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82088102 and 82370819), the National Key R&D Program of China (2023YFC2506700), the Shanghai Municipal Government (22Y31900300), the Shanghai Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (19MC1910100), the Innovative Research Team of High-Level Local Universities in Shanghai, the Special Project for Clinical Research in Health Industry of Shanghai Municipal Health Commission (202340084), and Ruijin Hospital Youth Incubation Project (KY20240805). Y.X. is supported by the National Top Young Talents program.

背景人们对社会经济地位(SES)和健康生活方式与认知功能障碍之间的复杂关系知之甚少:利用健康与退休研究(HRS)[2008-2020]和英国老龄化纵向研究(ELSA)[2004-2018]的数据,通过潜类分析法利用教育水平、家庭总收入和财富构建社会经济地位。总体健康生活方式是通过从不吸烟、中低度饮酒量(饮酒量/天:女性为(0,1),男性为(0,2))、体力活动最高三分位数和积极的社会接触等信息得出的:共有 12,437 人和 6565 人参加了 HRS 和 ELSA(男性分别占 40.8% 和 46.0%,平均年龄分别为 69.3 岁和 65.1 岁)。与社会经济地位高的参与者相比,社会经济地位低的参与者患痴呆症的风险更高(HRS 的危险比为 3.17,95% 置信区间为 2.72-3.69;ELSA 的危险比为 1.43,1.09-1.86),受整体生活方式影响的比例分别为 10.4% (7.3%-14.6%)和 2.7% (0.5%-14.0%)。与社会经济地位高且生活方式良好的参与者相比,社会经济地位低且生活方式不良的参与者发生痴呆症的风险更高(在 HRS 中为 4.27,3.40-5.38;在 ELSA 中为 2.02,1.25-3.27),并且痴呆症的发病速度更快。在ELSA中为2.02,1.25-3.27),整体认知能力下降速度加快(β=-0.058 SD/年;在HRS中为95% CI:-0.073,-0.043;在ELSA中为β=-0.049 SD/年;在HRS中为95% CI:-0.063,-0.035):不健康的生活方式只调节了美国和英国老年人痴呆症风险中社会经济不平等的一小部分:本研究得到了国家自然科学基金(82088102和82370819)、国家重点研发计划(2023YFC2506700)、上海市政府(22Y31900300)、上海市代谢性疾病临床研究中心(19MC1910100)、上海市地方高校高水平创新研究团队、上海市卫生健康委员会健康产业临床研究专项(202340084)和瑞金医院青年孵化项目(KY20240805)的资助。Y.X. 获国家 "青年拔尖人才 "项目资助。
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引用次数: 0
Comparing approaches for chemoprevention for school-based malaria control in Malawi: an open label, randomized, controlled clinical trial. 比较马拉维校内疟疾控制的化学预防方法:一项开放标签、随机对照临床试验。
IF 9.6 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-09-16 eCollection Date: 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102832
Alick Sixpence, Maclean Vokhiwa, Wangisani Kumalakwaanthu, Nicola J Pitchford, Karl B Seydel, Laurence S Magder, Miriam K Laufer, Don P Mathanga, Lauren M Cohee

Background: School-age children in sub-Saharan Africa suffer an underappreciated burden of malaria which threatens their health and education. To address this problem, we compared the efficacy of two school-based chemoprevention approaches: giving all students intermittent preventive treatment (IPT) or screening and treating only students with detected infections (IST).

Methods: In a three-arm, open-label, randomized, controlled trial (NCT05244954) in Malawi, 746 primary school students, aged 5-19 years, were individually randomized within each grade-level to IPT (n = 249), IST with a high-sensitivity rapid diagnostic test (hs-RDT, n = 248), or control (n = 249). At six-week intervals three times within the peak malaria transmission season (February-June 2022) treatment with dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine (DP) was administered to girls <10 years and all boys, and chloroquine to older girls. The primary outcome was Plasmodium falciparum (Pf) infection detected by PCR 6-8 weeks after the final intervention. Secondary outcomes included anaemia, clinical malaria, and scores on tests of attention, literacy, and math. Analysis was by modified intention-to-treat.

Findings: Outcomes analyses included 727 (97%) participants. At the end of the study, prevalence of Pf infection was 17% (41/243) in the IPT arm, 24% (58/244) in the IST arm, and 53% (127/240) in the control arm. Compared to controls, IPT and IST reduced the odds of Pf infection (IPT adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 0.18 (95% CI: 0.11, 0.27); p < 0.0001; IST aOR: 0.27 (95% CI: 0.18, 0.40); p < 0.0001). However, only participants receiving IPT had a lower incidence of clinical malaria (0.19 cases per person per six months (95% CI: 0.14, 0.27) vs 0.56 (95% CI: 0.46, 0.68); incidence rate ratio: 0.38 (95% CI: 0.26, 0.55); p < 0.0001)) and prevalence of anaemia (8% [20/243] vs 15% [36/240]; aOR: 0.49 (95% CI: 0.27, 0.91); p = 0.023) compared to controls. Literacy scores were higher in both intervention arms. No between group differences in tests of attention or math or number of serious adverse events were found.

Interpretation: Results support implementation of IST with hs-RDTs or IPT for reduction in the prevalence of infection. Based on reductions in clinical malaria, IPT may provide additional benefits warranting further consideration by school-based malaria chemoprevention programs.

Funding: Doris Duke Charitable Foundation Clinical Scientist Development Award 2021191, U.S. NIH K24AI114996 & K23AI135076.

背景:撒哈拉以南非洲地区的学龄儿童因疟疾而承受的负担未得到充分重视,疟疾威胁着他们的健康和教育。为了解决这一问题,我们比较了两种校内化学预防方法的疗效:对所有学生进行间歇性预防治疗(IPT)或只对发现感染的学生进行筛查和治疗(IST):在马拉维进行的一项三臂、开放标签、随机对照试验(NCT05244954)中,746名5-19岁的小学生在每个年级被随机分配到IPT(249人)、使用高灵敏度快速诊断检测(hs-RDT,248人)的IST或对照组(249人)。在疟疾传播高峰期(2022 年 2 月至 6 月),每隔六周用双氢青蒿素-哌喹(DP)治疗三次,在最后一次干预 6-8 周后,用 PCR 检测出女孩感染恶性疟原虫(Pf)。次要结果包括贫血、临床疟疾以及注意力、识字和数学测试成绩。分析方法为修正的意向治疗法:结果分析包括 727 名参与者(97%)。研究结束时,IPT治疗组的Pf感染率为17%(41/243),IST治疗组为24%(58/244),对照组为53%(127/240)。与对照组相比,IPT 和 IST 降低了 Pf 感染的几率(IPT 调整后的几率比 [aOR]:0.18 (95% CI)0.18(95% CI:0.11,0.27);P 解释:结果支持通过使用 hs-RDT 或 IPT 实施 IST 以降低感染率。根据临床疟疾的减少情况,IPT可能会带来更多益处,值得学校疟疾化学预防计划进一步考虑:多丽丝-杜克慈善基金会临床科学家发展奖 2021191,美国国立卫生研究院 K24AI114996 和 K23AI135076。
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引用次数: 0
Early, medium and long-term mental health in cancer survivors compared with cancer-free comparators: matched cohort study using linked UK electronic health records. 癌症幸存者的早期、中期和长期精神健康状况与未患癌症的比较者的比较:使用链接的英国电子健康记录进行匹配队列研究。
IF 9.6 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-09-16 eCollection Date: 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102826
Harriet Forbes, Helena Carreira, Garth Funston, Kirsty Andresen, Urvita Bhatia, Helen Strongman, Esha Abrol, Liza Bowen, Ceinwen Giles, Krishnan Bhaskaran

Background: We aimed to compare the risk of incident depression, anxiety, non-fatal self-harm and completed suicide in survivors from a wide range of cancers versus cancer-free individuals.

Methods: We used electronic health records from the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink linked to cancer registry data, hospital admissions data and death records between 1998 and 2021. Adult survivors of the 20 most common cancers were matched (age, sex, general practice) 1:10 to cancer-free individuals. Cox regression models, adjusted for shared risk factors, were used to estimate associations between cancer survivorship and mental health outcomes.

Findings: 853,177 adults with cancer diagnosed in 1998-2018 were matched to 8,106,643 cancer-free individuals. Survivors of all 20 cancer types under study had a higher risk of experiencing a new episode of anxiety and depression during follow-up compared with cancer-free individuals; there was also evidence of raised risks of non-fatal self-harm in 17/20 cancers and completed suicide in 8/20 cancers. Effect sizes were greatest in cancers with poorer 5-year survival: hazard ratios (HRs) for anxiety and depression of 1.1-1.2 were seen for malignant melanoma survivors, while HRs for both outcomes were >2.5 for lung and oesophageal cancer survivors. HRs were highest in the first year from cancer diagnosis, reducing over time since diagnosis. However, 5-year cancer survivors still experienced elevated risks of a subsequent new episode of anxiety or depression, in 18/20 cancers.

Interpretation: Survivors of the 20 most common cancers were at increased risk of experiencing depression and anxiety, and these increased risks persisted in medium-to long-term cancer survivors. Substantially raised risks of non-fatal self-harm and completed suicide were also seen for several types of cancer. The risks of all mental health outcomes were generally higher in survivors of cancers with poorer prognosis. Our findings suggest a need for improved psychological support for all patients with cancer.

Funding: Wellcome Trust.

背景我们旨在比较多种癌症幸存者与未患癌症者发生抑郁、焦虑、非致命性自残和自杀的风险:我们使用了英国临床实践研究数据链接(Clinical Practice Research Datalink)中的电子健康记录,这些记录与 1998 年至 2021 年间的癌症登记数据、入院数据和死亡记录相链接。20 种最常见癌症的成年幸存者与未患癌症者的匹配比例为 1:10(年龄、性别、全科)。在对共同风险因素进行调整后,采用 Cox 回归模型来估计癌症幸存者与心理健康结果之间的关系:1998年至2018年期间确诊的853,177名癌症患者与8,106,643名无癌症患者进行了配对。与未患癌症的人相比,研究中所有20种癌症的幸存者在随访期间经历新的焦虑和抑郁发作的风险更高;还有证据表明,17/20种癌症中的非致命性自残风险和8/20种癌症中的自杀风险也有所上升。5年存活率较低的癌症的影响程度最大:恶性黑色素瘤幸存者焦虑和抑郁的危险比(HRs)为1.1-1.2,而肺癌和食道癌幸存者这两种结果的危险比均大于2.5。HRs在癌症确诊后的第一年最高,随着确诊时间的推移而降低。然而,在18/20种癌症中,5年期癌症幸存者随后再次发生焦虑或抑郁的风险仍然较高:解释:20 种最常见癌症的幸存者患抑郁和焦虑症的风险增加,这些增加的风险在中长期癌症幸存者中持续存在。在几种癌症中,非致命性自残和自杀的风险也大大增加。预后较差的癌症幸存者出现所有心理健康后果的风险普遍较高。我们的研究结果表明,有必要为所有癌症患者提供更好的心理支持:资金来源:惠康基金会。
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引用次数: 0
Safety and procedural success of daycase-based endovascular procedures in lower extremity arteries of patients with peripheral artery disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 外周动脉疾病患者下肢动脉日间血管内手术的安全性和手术成功率:系统回顾和荟萃分析。
IF 9.6 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-09-05 eCollection Date: 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102788
Lydia Hanna, Alexander D Rodway, Puneet Garcha, Luci Maynard, Janane Sivayogi, Oliver Schlager, Juraj Madaric, Vinko Boc, Lucas Busch, Martin B Whyte, Simon S Skene, Jenny Harris, Christian Heiss

Background: Timely and economic provision of revascularisation procedures is a major healthcare need. We aimed to examine the safety and efficacy of daycase-based lower extremity endovascular revascularisation procedures in patients with peripheral artery disease.

Methods: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE and Embase for studies from Jan 01, 2000 through Apr 01, 2024 reporting complications of lower limb endovascular revascularisation procedures with same-day discharge. Eligibility-criteria, complications, and patient characteristics were extracted, methodological quality assessed (adapted Newcastle-Ottawa Scale), and meta-analyses of complications and technical success performed to provide pooled estimates. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42022316466.

Findings: Thirty observational studies (17 retrospective, 13 prospective) and 1 RCT reported 2427 minor and 653 major complications after 99,600 daycase procedures (93,344 patients). Eighteen studies reported daycase eligibility-criteria including 'responsible adult companion' (78%), 'proximity to hospital', and 'telephone availability' and excluding unstable and severe co-morbidities, offset coagulation, and severe chronic kidney disease. Pooled incidences of minor (4.7% [95% CI 3.8-5.6%], I 2 = 96%) and major (0.64% [95% CI 0.48-0.79%], I 2  = 46%) complications were low and technical success high (93% [95% CI 91-96%], I 2 = 97%). Most complications were related to the puncture site. Pooled conversion-to-hospitalisation rates and re-admission after discharge were 1.6% (95% CI 1.1-2.2%, I 2 = 82%) and 0.11% (95% CI 0.095-0.23%, I 2 = 97%), respectively. Meta-regression identified that minor complications decreased since 2000. Male sex and coronary artery disease were associated with more frequent, and higher age and closure device use with less minor complications. Diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease were associated with less major complications. Six studies reported complication rates both in daycases and inpatients and there was no significant difference (-0.8% [95% CI -1.9 to 0.3%]).

Interpretation: After careful evaluation of eligibility, lower limb angioplasty can be performed safely with high technical success in a daycase setting. Most complications arise from the puncture site and not the procedure itself highlighting the importance of optimal access site management. The heterogeneity between studies warrants standardised monitoring of complications and outcomes.

Funding: European Partnership on Metrology, co-financed from European Union's Horizon Europe Research and Innovation Programme and UK Research and Innovation, and Medical Research Council.

背景:及时、经济地提供血管重建手术是医疗保健的主要需求。我们旨在研究外周动脉疾病患者日间下肢血管内再通手术的安全性和有效性:在这项系统性回顾和荟萃分析中,我们检索了 MEDLINE 和 Embase 中从 2000 年 1 月 1 日到 2024 年 4 月 1 日报道当天出院的下肢血管内再通手术并发症的研究。我们提取了合格标准、并发症和患者特征,评估了方法学质量(改编的纽卡斯尔-渥太华量表),并对并发症和技术成功率进行了荟萃分析,以提供汇总估计值。本研究已在 PROSPERO 注册,编号为 CRD42022316466:30项观察性研究(17项回顾性研究、13项前瞻性研究)和1项研究性试验报告了99,600例日间手术(93,344名患者)后的2427例轻微并发症和653例主要并发症。18 项研究报告了日间病例的资格标准,包括 "有责任心的成人陪伴"(78%)、"靠近医院 "和 "有电话",并排除了不稳定和严重的并发症、凝血功能障碍和严重的慢性肾病。轻微(4.7% [95% CI 3.8-5.6%],I 2 = 96%)和严重(0.64% [95% CI 0.48-0.79%],I 2 = 46%)并发症的汇总发生率较低,技术成功率较高(93% [95% CI 91-96%],I 2 = 97%)。大多数并发症与穿刺部位有关。汇总的转院率和出院后再次入院率分别为 1.6% (95% CI 1.1-2.2%, I 2 = 82%) 和 0.11% (95% CI 0.095-0.23%, I 2 = 97%)。元回归发现,自2000年以来,轻微并发症有所减少。男性和冠状动脉疾病与更频繁的轻微并发症有关,而高年龄和使用闭合器械与较少的轻微并发症有关。糖尿病和慢性肾病与较少的主要并发症有关。六项研究报告了日间病例和住院病人的并发症发生率,两者之间没有显著差异(-0.8% [95% CI -1.9 至 0.3%]):解读:在仔细评估手术资格后,下肢血管成形术可在日间病例环境下安全进行,且技术成功率高。大多数并发症都是由穿刺部位引起的,而非手术本身,这凸显了最佳入路部位管理的重要性。不同研究之间的异质性要求对并发症和结果进行标准化监测:欧洲计量合作组织,由欧盟地平线欧洲研究与创新计划、英国研究与创新以及医学研究理事会共同资助。
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引用次数: 0
A deep learning model for personalized intra-arterial therapy planning in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter retrospective study. 用于不可切除肝细胞癌个性化动脉内治疗计划的深度学习模型:一项多中心回顾性研究。
IF 9.6 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-09-05 eCollection Date: 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102808
Xiaoqi Lin, Ran Wei, Ziming Xu, Shuiqing Zhuo, Jiaqi Dou, Haozhong Sun, Rui Li, Runyu Yang, Qian Lu, Chao An, Huijun Chen

Background: Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma (uHCC) poses a substantial global health challenge, demanding innovative prognostic and therapeutic planning tools for improved patient management. The predominant treatment strategies include Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC).

Methods: Between January 2014 and November 2021, a total of 1725 uHCC patients [mean age, 52.8 ± 11.5 years; 1529 males] received preoperative CECT scans and were eligible for TACE or HAIC. Patients were assigned to one of the four cohorts according to their treatment, four transformer models (SELECTION) were trained and validated on each cohort; AUC was used to determine the prognostic performance of the trained models. Patients were stratified into high and low-risk groups based on the survival scores computed by SELECTION. The proposed AI-based treatment decision model (ATOM) utilizes survival scores to further inform final therapeutic recommendation.

Findings: In this study, the training and validation sets included 1448 patients, with an additional 277 patients allocated to the external validation sets. The SELECTION model outperformed both clinical models and the ResNet approach in terms of AUC. Specifically, SELECTION-TACE and SELECTION-HAIC achieved AUCs of 0.761 (95% CI, 0.693-0.820) and 0.805 (95% CI, 0.707-0.881) respectively, in predicting ORR in their external validation cohorts. In predicting OS, SELECTION-TC and SELECTION-HC demonstrated AUCs of 0.736 (95% CI, 0.608-0.841) and 0.748 (95% CI, 0.599-0.865) respectively, in their external validation sets. SELECTION-derived survival scores effectively stratified patients into high and low-risk groups, showing significant differences in survival probabilities (P < 0.05 across all four cohorts). Additionally, the concordance between ATOM and clinician recommendations was associated with significantly higher response/survival rates in cases of agreement, particularly within the TACE, HAIC, and TC cohorts in the external validation sets (P < 0.05).

Interpretation: ATOM was proposed based on SELECTION-derived survival scores, emerges as a promising tool to inform the selection among different intra-arterial interventional therapy techniques.

Funding: This study received funding from the Beijing Municipal Natural Science Foundation, China (Z190024); the Key Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China, China (81930119); The Science and Technology Planning Program of Beijing Municipal Science & Technology Commission and Administrative Commission of Zhongguancun Science Park, China (Z231100004823012); Tsinghua University Initiative Scientific Research Program of Precision Medicine, China (10001020108); and Institute for Intelligent Healthcare, Tsinghua University, China (041531001).

背景:无法切除的肝细胞癌(uHCC)对全球健康构成巨大挑战,需要创新的预后和治疗规划工具来改善患者管理。主要的治疗策略包括经动脉化疗栓塞术(TACE)和肝动脉灌注化疗(HAIC):2014年1月至2021年11月期间,共有1725名uHCC患者[平均年龄(52.8±11.5)岁;男性1529名]接受了术前CECT扫描,符合TACE或HAIC治疗条件。根据治疗方法将患者分配到四个队列中的一个,在每个队列中训练和验证了四个转换器模型(SELECTION);AUC 用于确定训练模型的预后性能。根据 SELECTION 计算出的生存评分,将患者分为高风险组和低风险组。所提出的基于人工智能的治疗决策模型(ATOM)利用生存分数进一步为最终治疗建议提供依据:在这项研究中,训练集和验证集包括 1448 名患者,另有 277 名患者被分配到外部验证集。就AUC而言,SELECTION模型优于临床模型和ResNet方法。具体来说,SELECTION-TACE 和 SELECTION-HAIC 在预测外部验证组的 ORR 时,AUC 分别为 0.761(95% CI,0.693-0.820)和 0.805(95% CI,0.707-0.881)。在预测OS方面,SELECTION-TC和SELECTION-HC在其外部验证组中的AUC分别为0.736(95% CI,0.608-0.841)和0.748(95% CI,0.599-0.865)。SELECTION 衍生的生存评分能有效地将患者分为高风险组和低风险组,并显示出生存概率的显著差异(P 解释:SELECTION 衍生的生存评分能有效地将患者分为高风险组和低风险组,并显示出生存概率的显著差异:ATOM是基于SELECTION衍生的生存评分提出的,是一种很有前途的工具,可为选择不同的动脉内介入治疗技术提供依据:本研究得到了北京市自然科学基金(Z190024)、国家自然科学基金重点项目(81930119)、北京市科委和中关村科技园区管委会科技计划项目(Z231100004823012)、清华大学精准医学科学研究计划(10001020108)和清华大学智慧医疗研究院(041531001)的资助。
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引用次数: 0
Association between substituting macronutrients and all-cause mortality: a network meta-analysis of prospective observational studies. 替代宏量营养素与全因死亡率之间的关系:前瞻性观察研究的网络荟萃分析。
IF 9.6 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-09-05 eCollection Date: 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102807
Sabina Wallerer, Theodoros Papakonstantinou, Jakub Morze, Julia Stadelmaier, Eva Kiesswetter, Lea Gorenflo, Janett Barbaresko, Edyta Szczerba, Manuela Neuenschwander, William Bell, Tilman Kühn, Szimonetta Lohner, Marta Guasch-Ferré, Georg Hoffmann, Joerg J Meerpohl, Sabrina Schlesinger, Adriani Nikolakopoulou, Lukas Schwingshackl

Background: Suboptimal diet quality is a key risk factor for premature death. Assuming relatively stable energy intake among individuals, changes in nutrient intakes occur by exchanging different nutrients. Therefore we aimed to examine the association of isocaloric substitution of dietary (macro)nutrients with all-cause mortality using network meta-analysis (NMA).

Methods: For this systematic review and NMA of prospective observational studies MEDLINE, Embase, and Scopus were searched from inception to February 13th, 2024. Eligible studies reported substitution analyses for quantity and/or quality of macronutrients, including carbohydrates, proteins, and fatty acids on all-cause mortality. Random-effects NMA were used in order to evaluate the pooled hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of substituting each included nutrient with another. We assessed risk of bias with the ROBINS-E tool, and the certainty of evidence (CoE) using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) approach. This study is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023450706).

Findings: Thirty-nine studies with 1,737,644 participants, 395,491 deaths, 297 direct comparisons, and seven nutrient-specific networks were included. Moderate CoE was found for an association with lower mortality risk when replacing 5% of energy intake from carbohydrates with polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA; HR: 0.90; 95%CI: 0.84, 0.95), n-6 PUFA (0.85; 0.77, 0.94), n-3 PUFA (0.72; 0.59, 0.86), and plant monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFA; 0.90; 0.85, 0.95), and when replacing 5% of energy from saturated fatty acids (SFA) and trans-fatty acids (TFA), with PUFA, MUFA, and plant-MUFA (HRrange: 0.75 to 0.91). A lower mortality risk was additionally found when 5% of animal-MUFA was replaced with plant-MUFA, and when replacing animal protein, and SFA with plant protein (HRrange: 0.81 to 0.87, moderate CoE).

Interpretation: Our results provide practical knowledge for public health professionals and can inform upcoming dietary guidelines. The beneficial association of increasing PUFA (both n-3 and n-6) and (plant-) MUFA intake while reducing carbohydrates, SFA and TFA, along with replacing animal protein and animal-MUFA with plant-based sources of protein and fat (MUFA) on the all-cause mortality risk, underscores the importance of plant-based dietary recommendations.

Funding: None.

背景:饮食质量不达标是导致过早死亡的一个关键风险因素。假设个体间的能量摄入相对稳定,那么营养素摄入量的变化是通过交换不同的营养素来实现的。因此,我们旨在通过网络荟萃分析(NMA)研究等热量替代膳食(大)营养素与全因死亡率的关系:为了对前瞻性观察研究进行系统回顾和网络荟萃分析,我们检索了从开始到 2024 年 2 月 13 日期间的 MEDLINE、Embase 和 Scopus。符合条件的研究报告了碳水化合物、蛋白质和脂肪酸等宏量营养素的数量和/或质量对全因死亡率的替代分析。我们使用随机效应 NMA 来评估用每种营养素替代另一种营养素的集合危险比 (HR) 和 95% 置信区间 (CI)。我们使用 ROBINS-E 工具评估了偏倚风险,并使用建议评估、发展和评价分级 (GRADE) 方法评估了证据的确定性 (CoE)。本研究已在 PROSPERO 注册(CRD42023450706):共纳入 39 项研究,涉及 1,737,644 名参与者、395,491 例死亡、297 项直接比较和 7 个特定营养素网络。当用多不饱和脂肪酸(PUFA;HR:0.90;95%CI:0.84,0.95)、n-6 PUFA(0.85;0.77,0.94)、n-3 PUFA(0.72;0.59,0.86)和植物性单不饱和脂肪酸(MUFA;0.90;0.85,0.95),以及用 PUFA、MUFA 和植物性-MUFA 取代 5% 的饱和脂肪酸 (SFA) 和反式脂肪酸 (TFA) 时(HR 范围:0.75 至 0.91)。此外,当以植物性 MUFA 取代 5%的动物性 MUFA,以及以植物性蛋白质取代动物性蛋白质和 SFA 时,死亡率风险较低(HR 范围:0.81 至 0.87,中等 CoE):我们的研究结果为公共卫生专业人员提供了实用知识,并可为即将出台的膳食指南提供参考。增加 PUFA(n-3 和 n-6)和(植物)MUFA 的摄入量,同时减少碳水化合物、SFA 和反式脂肪酸的摄入量,以及用植物蛋白和脂肪(MUFA)替代动物蛋白和动物-MUFA,对全因死亡风险有益,这强调了以植物为基础的膳食建议的重要性:无。
{"title":"Association between substituting macronutrients and all-cause mortality: a network meta-analysis of prospective observational studies.","authors":"Sabina Wallerer, Theodoros Papakonstantinou, Jakub Morze, Julia Stadelmaier, Eva Kiesswetter, Lea Gorenflo, Janett Barbaresko, Edyta Szczerba, Manuela Neuenschwander, William Bell, Tilman Kühn, Szimonetta Lohner, Marta Guasch-Ferré, Georg Hoffmann, Joerg J Meerpohl, Sabrina Schlesinger, Adriani Nikolakopoulou, Lukas Schwingshackl","doi":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102807","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102807","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Suboptimal diet quality is a key risk factor for premature death. Assuming relatively stable energy intake among individuals, changes in nutrient intakes occur by exchanging different nutrients. Therefore we aimed to examine the association of isocaloric substitution of dietary (macro)nutrients with all-cause mortality using network meta-analysis (NMA).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>For this systematic review and NMA of prospective observational studies MEDLINE, Embase, and Scopus were searched from inception to February 13th, 2024. Eligible studies reported substitution analyses for quantity and/or quality of macronutrients, including carbohydrates, proteins, and fatty acids on all-cause mortality. Random-effects NMA were used in order to evaluate the pooled hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of substituting each included nutrient with another. We assessed risk of bias with the ROBINS-E tool, and the certainty of evidence (CoE) using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) approach. This study is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023450706).</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>Thirty-nine studies with 1,737,644 participants, 395,491 deaths, 297 direct comparisons, and seven nutrient-specific networks were included. Moderate CoE was found for an association with lower mortality risk when replacing 5% of energy intake from carbohydrates with polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA; HR: 0.90; 95%CI: 0.84, 0.95), n-6 PUFA (0.85; 0.77, 0.94), n-3 PUFA (0.72; 0.59, 0.86), and plant monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFA; 0.90; 0.85, 0.95), and when replacing 5% of energy from saturated fatty acids (SFA) and trans-fatty acids (TFA), with PUFA, MUFA, and plant-MUFA (HR<sub>range</sub>: 0.75 to 0.91). A lower mortality risk was additionally found when 5% of animal-MUFA was replaced with plant-MUFA, and when replacing animal protein, and SFA with plant protein (HR<sub>range</sub>: 0.81 to 0.87, moderate CoE).</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Our results provide practical knowledge for public health professionals and can inform upcoming dietary guidelines. The beneficial association of increasing PUFA (both n-3 and n-6) and (plant-) MUFA intake while reducing carbohydrates, SFA and TFA, along with replacing animal protein and animal-MUFA with plant-based sources of protein and fat (MUFA) on the all-cause mortality risk, underscores the importance of plant-based dietary recommendations.</p><p><strong>Funding: </strong>None.</p>","PeriodicalId":11393,"journal":{"name":"EClinicalMedicine","volume":"75 ","pages":"102807"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11408053/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142282065","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Antimicrobial resistance among migrants in Europe: a systematic review and meta-analysis - update from 2017 to 2023. 欧洲移民的抗菌药耐药性:系统回顾和荟萃分析--2017 年至 2023 年的更新。
IF 9.6 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-09-05 eCollection Date: 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102801
Bridget Chukwudile, Daniel Pan, Luisa Silva, Mayuri Gogoi, Amani Al-Oraibi, Paul Bird, Nisha George, Hayley A Thompson, Rebecca F Baggaley, Sally Hargreaves, Manish Pareek, Laura B Nellums
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a critical global health concern. A previous systematic review showed that migrants in Europe are at increased risk of AMR. Since the COVID-19 pandemic there have been rapid changes in patterns of antibiotic use, AMR, and migration. We aimed to present an updated evidence synthesis on the current distribution of AMR among migrants in Europe.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We carried out a systematic review and meta-analysis in accordance with PRISMA guidelines (PROSPERO ID: CRD42022343263). We searched databases (MEDLINE, Embase, PubMed and Scopus) from 18 January 2017 until 18 January 2023 to identify primary data from observational studies reporting any laboratory-confirmed AMR among migrants in the European Economic Area (EEA) and European Union-15 (EU-15) countries using over 7 key search terms for migrants and over 70 terms for AMR and countries in Europe. Outcomes were infection with, or colonisation of AMR bacteria. Methodological quality was assessed using Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist for Observational Studies. We meta-analysed the pooled-prevalence of infection and/or colonisation of AMR organisms.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>Among 630 articles, 21 observational studies met the inclusion criteria and were included in this review. The pooled prevalence for any detected AMR was 28.0% (95% CI 18.0%-41.0%, <i>I</i> <sup><i>2</i></sup>  = 100%) compared to a 25.4% seen in the previous review; gram-negative bacteria 31.0% (95% CI 20.0%-44.0%, <i>I</i> <sup><i>2</i></sup>  = 100%), and methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus 10.0% (95% CI 5.0%-16.0%, <i>I</i> <sup><i>2</i></sup>  = 99%). Drug-resistant bacteria were more prevalent in community settings in large migrant populations (pooled prevalence: 41.0%, 95% CI 24.0%-60.0%, <i>I</i> <sup><i>2</i></sup>  = 99%) than in hospitals (21.0%, 95% CI 12.0%-32.0%, <i>I</i> <sup><i>2</i></sup>  = 99%). AMR estimates in 'other' migrants were 32.0%, (95% CI 12.0%-57.0%, <i>I</i> <sup><i>2</i></sup>  = 100%) and 28.0% (95% CI 18.0%-38.0%, <i>I</i> <sup>2</sup> = 100%) in forced migrants. No firm evidence of AMR acquisition with arrival time or length of stay in the host country was found.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Studies investigating AMR in migrants are highly heterogenous. However, since the COVID-19 pandemic, migrants may be at higher risk of acquiring resistant bacteria, particularly gram-negative bacteria, within community settings such as refugee camps and detention centres in Europe. Our study highlights the importance of infrastructure and hygiene measures within these settings, to mitigate transmission of resistant pathogens. Policy-makers should screen for AMR in migrants prior to departure from countries of origin, where feasible, and upon arrival to a new country to ensure optimal health screening, infection control and effective treatment.</p><p><strong>Funding: </strong>There wa
背景:抗菌素耐药性(AMR)是全球关注的一个重要健康问题。之前的一项系统性研究表明,欧洲移民感染 AMR 的风险增加。自 COVID-19 大流行以来,抗生素使用、AMR 和移民模式发生了迅速变化。我们旨在就目前欧洲移民中 AMR 的分布情况提供最新的证据综述:我们按照 PRISMA 指南(PROSPERO ID:CRD42022343263)进行了系统回顾和荟萃分析。我们检索了从 2017 年 1 月 18 日到 2023 年 1 月 18 日的数据库(MEDLINE、Embase、PubMed 和 Scopus),以确定报告欧洲经济区(EEA)和欧盟 15 国(EU-15)移民中任何经实验室证实的 AMR 的观察性研究的原始数据,其中使用了 7 个以上关于移民的关键检索词和 70 个以上关于 AMR 和欧洲各国的检索词。结果是感染或定植了 AMR 细菌。方法学质量采用乔安娜-布里格斯研究所的观察性研究批判性评估核对表进行评估。我们对AMR病菌感染和/或定植的总发生率进行了荟萃分析:在 630 篇文章中,有 21 项观察性研究符合纳入标准并被纳入本综述。任何检测到的AMR的总流行率为28.0%(95% CI为18.0%-41.0%,I 2 = 100%),而之前的综述中为25.4%;革兰氏阴性菌为31.0%(95% CI为20.0%-44.0%,I 2 = 100%),耐甲氧西林金黄色葡萄球菌为10.0%(95% CI为5.0%-16.0%,I 2 = 99%)。与医院(21.0%,95% CI 12.0%-32.0%,I 2 = 99%)相比,耐药细菌在大量流动人口的社区环境中更为普遍(总流行率:41.0%,95% CI 24.0%-60.0%,I 2 = 99%)。其他 "移民的 AMR 估计值为 32.0%(95% CI 12.0%-57.0%,I 2 = 100%),被迫移民的 AMR 估计值为 28.0%(95% CI 18.0%-38.0%,I 2 = 100%)。没有发现确凿证据表明AMR的获得与抵达时间或在东道国的停留时间有关:对移民中 AMR 的调查研究存在很大差异。然而,自 COVID-19 大流行以来,移民在欧洲难民营和拘留中心等社区环境中感染耐药细菌(尤其是革兰氏阴性菌)的风险可能更高。我们的研究强调了在这些环境中采取基础设施和卫生措施以减少耐药病原体传播的重要性。在可行的情况下,政策制定者应在移民离开原籍国之前和抵达新国家后对其进行AMR筛查,以确保最佳的健康检查、感染控制和有效治疗:本研究无资金来源。
{"title":"Antimicrobial resistance among migrants in Europe: a systematic review and meta-analysis - update from 2017 to 2023.","authors":"Bridget Chukwudile, Daniel Pan, Luisa Silva, Mayuri Gogoi, Amani Al-Oraibi, Paul Bird, Nisha George, Hayley A Thompson, Rebecca F Baggaley, Sally Hargreaves, Manish Pareek, Laura B Nellums","doi":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102801","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102801","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a critical global health concern. A previous systematic review showed that migrants in Europe are at increased risk of AMR. Since the COVID-19 pandemic there have been rapid changes in patterns of antibiotic use, AMR, and migration. We aimed to present an updated evidence synthesis on the current distribution of AMR among migrants in Europe.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods: &lt;/strong&gt;We carried out a systematic review and meta-analysis in accordance with PRISMA guidelines (PROSPERO ID: CRD42022343263). We searched databases (MEDLINE, Embase, PubMed and Scopus) from 18 January 2017 until 18 January 2023 to identify primary data from observational studies reporting any laboratory-confirmed AMR among migrants in the European Economic Area (EEA) and European Union-15 (EU-15) countries using over 7 key search terms for migrants and over 70 terms for AMR and countries in Europe. Outcomes were infection with, or colonisation of AMR bacteria. Methodological quality was assessed using Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist for Observational Studies. We meta-analysed the pooled-prevalence of infection and/or colonisation of AMR organisms.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Findings: &lt;/strong&gt;Among 630 articles, 21 observational studies met the inclusion criteria and were included in this review. The pooled prevalence for any detected AMR was 28.0% (95% CI 18.0%-41.0%, &lt;i&gt;I&lt;/i&gt; &lt;sup&gt;&lt;i&gt;2&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;  = 100%) compared to a 25.4% seen in the previous review; gram-negative bacteria 31.0% (95% CI 20.0%-44.0%, &lt;i&gt;I&lt;/i&gt; &lt;sup&gt;&lt;i&gt;2&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;  = 100%), and methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus 10.0% (95% CI 5.0%-16.0%, &lt;i&gt;I&lt;/i&gt; &lt;sup&gt;&lt;i&gt;2&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;  = 99%). Drug-resistant bacteria were more prevalent in community settings in large migrant populations (pooled prevalence: 41.0%, 95% CI 24.0%-60.0%, &lt;i&gt;I&lt;/i&gt; &lt;sup&gt;&lt;i&gt;2&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;  = 99%) than in hospitals (21.0%, 95% CI 12.0%-32.0%, &lt;i&gt;I&lt;/i&gt; &lt;sup&gt;&lt;i&gt;2&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;  = 99%). AMR estimates in 'other' migrants were 32.0%, (95% CI 12.0%-57.0%, &lt;i&gt;I&lt;/i&gt; &lt;sup&gt;&lt;i&gt;2&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;  = 100%) and 28.0% (95% CI 18.0%-38.0%, &lt;i&gt;I&lt;/i&gt; &lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; = 100%) in forced migrants. No firm evidence of AMR acquisition with arrival time or length of stay in the host country was found.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Interpretation: &lt;/strong&gt;Studies investigating AMR in migrants are highly heterogenous. However, since the COVID-19 pandemic, migrants may be at higher risk of acquiring resistant bacteria, particularly gram-negative bacteria, within community settings such as refugee camps and detention centres in Europe. Our study highlights the importance of infrastructure and hygiene measures within these settings, to mitigate transmission of resistant pathogens. Policy-makers should screen for AMR in migrants prior to departure from countries of origin, where feasible, and upon arrival to a new country to ensure optimal health screening, infection control and effective treatment.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Funding: &lt;/strong&gt;There wa","PeriodicalId":11393,"journal":{"name":"EClinicalMedicine","volume":"75 ","pages":"102801"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11408055/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142282064","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global, regional, and national burden of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer and its risk factors from 1990 to 2021: findings from the global burden of disease study 2021. 1990 至 2021 年全球、地区和国家气管、支气管和肺癌负担及其风险因素:2021 年全球疾病负担研究的发现。
IF 9.6 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-09-05 eCollection Date: 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102804
Ziyu Kuang, Jiaxi Wang, Kexin Liu, Jingyuan Wu, Yuansha Ge, Guanghui Zhu, Luchang Cao, Xinyi Ma, Jie Li

Background: Studies from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 can guide screening and prevention strategies for tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer. We aim to provide global, regional, and national estimates of the TBL cancer burden and its attributable risk from 1990 to 2021, including during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.

Methods: Incidence, age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR), deaths, age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR), disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardised rate of DALYs (ASDR), and the burden due to risk factors associated with TBL cancer were analysed from 1990 to 2021. Trends in ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR of TBL cancer during the COVID-19 pandemic (2019-2021) were also determined. All statistical analyses were performed using Join-point software (version 4.9.1.0).

Findings: Between 1990 and 2021, the global incidence, deaths, and DALYs of TBL cancer to varying degrees. However, the ASIR (Average Annual Percent Change [AAPC], -0.3 [-0.4 to -0.2]), ASMR (AAPC, -0.5 [-0.7 to -0.4]), and ASDR (AAPC, -0.9 [-1.0 to -0.7]) all showed a decreasing trend. However, the ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR of TBL cancer in males all showed a decreasing trend from 1990 to 2021. In contrast, the ASIR and ASMR of TBL cancer in females showed an increasing trend, while the ASDR showed a relatively stable trend. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the trends for ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR remained stable across both sexes combined, females, males, five socio-demographic index (SDI) quintiles, and the 21 GBD regions. In 2021, smoking was a major risk factor for TBL cancer DALYs, but the attributable ASDR for smoking decreased from 1990 to 2021 in both sexes combined, as well as individually for males and females. Conversely, the attributable ASDR for secondhand smoke, high fasting plasma glucose and occupational exposure factors increased primarily among females. Furthermore, the attributable ASDR for ambient particulate matter pollution, household air pollution from solid fuels, and low-fruit diets increased primarily in regions with lower SDI quintiles from 1990 to 2021.

Interpretation: The burden attributable to TBL cancer has increased in some populations from 1990 to 2021, highlighting the importance of implementing targeted measures to mitigate this trend. No significant change in the burden of TBL cancer was observed during the COVID-19 pandemic; however, post-COVID-19 rates still require further observation.

Funding: This study was supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China (2023YFC3503300, 2023YFC3503305), and High Level Chinese Medical Hospital Promotion Project (HLCMHPP2023085, HLCMHPP2023001, HLCMHPP2023097).

背景:全球疾病负担、伤害和风险因素研究(GBD)2021的研究结果可以指导气管、支气管和肺(TBL)癌的筛查和预防策略。我们旨在提供 1990 年至 2021 年全球、地区和国家气管、支气管和肺癌负担及其可归因风险的估计值,包括 2019 年冠状病毒疾病(COVID-19)大流行期间的估计值:方法:分析了 1990 年至 2021 年期间的发病率、年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)、死亡率、年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)、残疾调整生命年(DALYs)、残疾调整生命年年龄标准化率(ASDR)以及与 TBL 癌症相关的风险因素造成的负担。此外,还确定了 COVID-19 大流行期间(2019-2021 年)TBL 癌的 ASIR、ASMR 和 ASDR 的趋势。所有统计分析均使用 Join-point 软件(4.9.1.0 版)进行:结果:1990 年至 2021 年期间,全球 TBL 癌症的发病率、死亡人数和 DALYs 均有不同程度的下降。然而,ASIR(年均百分比变化[AAPC],-0.3 [-0.4 至 -0.2])、ASMR(AAPC,-0.5 [-0.7 至 -0.4])和 ASDR(AAPC,-0.9 [-1.0 至 -0.7])均呈下降趋势。然而,从 1990 年到 2021 年,男性 TBL 癌的 ASIR、ASMR 和 ASDR 均呈下降趋势。相比之下,女性 TBL 癌的 ASIR 和 ASMR 呈上升趋势,而 ASDR 则呈相对稳定趋势。在COVID-19大流行期间,男女两性、女性、男性、五个社会人口指数(SDI)五分位数和21个GBD地区的ASIR、ASMR和ASDR的趋势保持稳定。2021 年,吸烟是造成 TBL 癌症残疾调整寿命年数的主要风险因素,但从 1990 年到 2021 年,男女两性吸烟的可归因 ASDR 均有所下降,男性和女性的可归因 ASDR 也分别有所下降。相反,二手烟、高空腹血浆葡萄糖和职业暴露因素的可归因 ASDR 主要在女性中增加。此外,从 1990 年到 2021 年,环境颗粒物污染、来自固体燃料的家庭空气污染和低水果膳食的可归因 ASDR 主要在 SDI 五分位数较低的地区增加:从 1990 年到 2021 年,某些人群因 TBL 癌症造成的负担有所增加,这凸显了实施有针对性的措施来缓解这一趋势的重要性。在 COVID-19 大流行期间,TBL 癌症负担没有发生重大变化;但是,COVID-19 后的发病率仍需进一步观察:本研究得到了国家重点研发计划(2023YFC3503300、2023YFC3503305)和高水平中医医院促进项目(HLCMHPP2023085、HLCMHPP2023001、HLCMHPP2023097)的资助。
{"title":"Global, regional, and national burden of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer and its risk factors from 1990 to 2021: findings from the global burden of disease study 2021.","authors":"Ziyu Kuang, Jiaxi Wang, Kexin Liu, Jingyuan Wu, Yuansha Ge, Guanghui Zhu, Luchang Cao, Xinyi Ma, Jie Li","doi":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102804","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102804","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Studies from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 can guide screening and prevention strategies for tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer. We aim to provide global, regional, and national estimates of the TBL cancer burden and its attributable risk from 1990 to 2021, including during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Incidence, age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR), deaths, age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR), disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardised rate of DALYs (ASDR), and the burden due to risk factors associated with TBL cancer were analysed from 1990 to 2021. Trends in ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR of TBL cancer during the COVID-19 pandemic (2019-2021) were also determined. All statistical analyses were performed using Join-point software (version 4.9.1.0).</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>Between 1990 and 2021, the global incidence, deaths, and DALYs of TBL cancer to varying degrees. However, the ASIR (Average Annual Percent Change [AAPC], -0.3 [-0.4 to -0.2]), ASMR (AAPC, -0.5 [-0.7 to -0.4]), and ASDR (AAPC, -0.9 [-1.0 to -0.7]) all showed a decreasing trend. However, the ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR of TBL cancer in males all showed a decreasing trend from 1990 to 2021. In contrast, the ASIR and ASMR of TBL cancer in females showed an increasing trend, while the ASDR showed a relatively stable trend. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the trends for ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR remained stable across both sexes combined, females, males, five socio-demographic index (SDI) quintiles, and the 21 GBD regions. In 2021, smoking was a major risk factor for TBL cancer DALYs, but the attributable ASDR for smoking decreased from 1990 to 2021 in both sexes combined, as well as individually for males and females. Conversely, the attributable ASDR for secondhand smoke, high fasting plasma glucose and occupational exposure factors increased primarily among females. Furthermore, the attributable ASDR for ambient particulate matter pollution, household air pollution from solid fuels, and low-fruit diets increased primarily in regions with lower SDI quintiles from 1990 to 2021.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>The burden attributable to TBL cancer has increased in some populations from 1990 to 2021, highlighting the importance of implementing targeted measures to mitigate this trend. No significant change in the burden of TBL cancer was observed during the COVID-19 pandemic; however, post-COVID-19 rates still require further observation.</p><p><strong>Funding: </strong>This study was supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China (2023YFC3503300, 2023YFC3503305), and High Level Chinese Medical Hospital Promotion Project (HLCMHPP2023085, HLCMHPP2023001, HLCMHPP2023097).</p>","PeriodicalId":11393,"journal":{"name":"EClinicalMedicine","volume":"75 ","pages":"102804"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11406099/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142282087","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Phase 2 dose-ranging study to evaluate the efficacy and safety of liposomal irinotecan (LY01610) as a second-line treatment for patients with relapsed small cell lung cancer. 旨在评估脂质体伊立替康(LY01610)作为复发小细胞肺癌患者二线治疗药物的疗效和安全性的 2 期剂量范围研究。
IF 9.6 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-09-03 eCollection Date: 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102791
Puyuan Xing, Shanbing Wang, Minghong Bi, Yong Liu, Jia Zeng, Xicheng Wang, Ke Xiao, Weidong Li, Jun Guo, Pu Wang, Yueyin Pan, Biyong Ren, Emei Gao, Lei Zhang, Yingchun Wang, Tianyi Gan, Guang Cheng, Yuankai Shi

Background: This was a multicenter, single-arm dose-ranging phase 2 study aimed to assess the efficacy and safety of LY01610, a liposomal irinotecan, at various doses for patients with relapsed small cell lung cancer (SCLC).

Methods: This study (NCT04381910) enrolled patients with relapsed SCLC at 10 hospitals across China, who have failed with previous platinum-based treatments. LY01610 was administered at doses of 60 mg/m2, 80 mg/m2, and 100 mg/m2. Primary endpoints were investigator-assessed objective response rate (ORR) and investigator-assessed duration of response (DoR). Secondary endpoints included investigator-assessed disease control rate (DCR), investigator-assessed progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and safety.

Findings: From September 3, 2020 to March 3, 2022, a total of 66 patients were enrolled, with 6, 30, and 30 allocated to the 60 mg/m2, 80 mg/m2, and 100 mg/m2 dose groups, respectively, with 68% (45/66) having a chemotherapy-free interval <90 days. In all 66 patients, the ORR was 32% (21/66, 95% confidence interval [CI], 21-44), with a median DoR of 5.2 months (95% CI, 3.0-8.3). Median PFS and OS were 4.0 (95% CI, 2.9-5.5) and 9.7 (95% CI, 7.2-12.3) months, respectively. The ORR of 60 mg/m2, 80 mg/m2, and 100 mg/m2 dose group were 33% (2/6), 33% (10/30), and 30% (9/30), respectively. The median DoR of 60 mg/m2, 80 mg/m2, and 100 mg/m2 dose group were 4.2 (95% CI, 2.8-not reached), 6.9 (95% CI, 2.5-9.9), and 4.0 (95% CI, 2.7-6.8) months, respectively. The incidence of ≥ grade 3 treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) in the 60 mg/m2, 80 mg/m2, and 100 mg/m2 dose group were 33% (2/6), 47% (14/30), and 50% (15/30), respectively. The most common ≥ grade 3 TRAEs of all 66 patients were neutropenia (27%), leukopenia (24%) and anemia (15%).

Interpretation: LY01610 exhibited promising clinical efficacy and manageable safety profiles in patients with relapsed SCLC, the 80 mg/m2 dose group had the best benefit-risk ratio.

Funding: This study was supported by Luye Pharma Group Ltd.

研究背景这是一项多中心、单臂、剂量范围2期研究,旨在评估不同剂量脂质体伊立替康LY01610治疗复发小细胞肺癌(SCLC)患者的疗效和安全性:该研究(NCT04381910)在全国10家医院招募了既往铂类治疗失败的复发小细胞肺癌患者。LY01610的剂量分别为60毫克/平方米、80毫克/平方米和100毫克/平方米。主要终点为研究者评估的客观反应率(ORR)和研究者评估的反应持续时间(DoR)。次要终点包括研究者评估的疾病控制率(DCR)、研究者评估的无进展生存期(PFS)、总生存期(OS)和安全性:2020年9月3日至2022年3月3日,共有66名患者入组,其中6人、30人和30人分别被分配到60 mg/m2、80 mg/m2和100 mg/m2剂量组,无化疗间隔2、80 mg/m2和100 mg/m2剂量组分别为68%(45/66)、33%(2/6)、33%(10/30)和30%(9/30)。60毫克/平方米、80毫克/平方米和100毫克/平方米剂量组的中位DoR分别为4.2个月(95% CI,2.8-未达到)、6.9个月(95% CI,2.5-9.9)和4.0个月(95% CI,2.7-6.8)。60毫克/平方米、80毫克/平方米和100毫克/平方米剂量组的≥3级治疗相关不良事件(TRAE)发生率分别为33%(2/6)、47%(14/30)和50%(15/30)。在所有66例患者中,最常见的≥3级TRAE为中性粒细胞减少(27%)、白细胞减少(24%)和贫血(15%):LY01610对复发SCLC患者具有良好的临床疗效和可控的安全性,80 mg/m2剂量组的获益风险比最佳:本研究得到了绿叶制药集团有限公司的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Maternal autoimmune disease and offspring risk of haematological malignancies: a case-control study. 母体自身免疫性疾病与后代罹患血液恶性肿瘤的风险:一项病例对照研究。
IF 9.6 1区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-08-30 eCollection Date: 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102794
Shu-Ning Liu, Meng-Che Wu, Wei-Szu Lin, Ching-Heng Lin, James Cheng-Chung Wei

Background: Autoimmune diseases are known to be associated with an increased risk of cancer. Whether maternal immune dysregulation can have an impact on the development of haematological malignancies in offspring remains uncertain. Therefore, we explored the association between offspring risk of haematological malignancies and maternal autoimmune disease using a real-world nationwide population-based study.

Methods: In this case-control study, we identified 2172 children with haematological malignancies between 2004 and 2019 from Taiwan's National Health Insurance program and compared them with population-based controls without haematologic malignancies, who were matched with each individual at a ratio of 1:4. The medical information of the autoimmune mothers were obtained from the Taiwan Maternal and Child Health Database. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratio for haematologic malignancy in offspring. Furthermore, subgroup and stratified analyses were conducted.

Findings: Among the rheumatologic diseases in our study, Crohn's disease was the most common disease both in the haematological malignancy group (1.1%) and the control group (0.9%). In multivariable analysis, the odds ratio for haematological malignancy in offspring with maternal autoimmune diseases was 1.2 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.91-1.58). The overall risk of haematologic malignancy was not significantly higher when adjusted for specific risk factors, including neonatal age, maternal age, family income, urbanization, maternal occupation, birth weight, or maternal comorbidity, except for prematurity. When comparing different autoimmune diseases among haematological malignancies and the control group, maternal psoriatic arthritis/psoriasis had the highest adjusted overall risk for haematological malignancies (adjusted OR 2.11, CI 0.89-5), followed by ankylosing spondylitis (adjusted OR 1.45, CI 0.7-3), autoimmune thyroiditis (OR 1.26, CI 0.57-2.81), systemic lupus erythematosus (OR 1.21, CI 0.48-3.02), Crohn's disease (OR 1.19, CI 0.75-1.9), and Sjogren's syndrome (OR 1.18, CI 0.65-2.15), but no significance was reached in these analyses. Multivariable analysis of risk factors associated with haematological malignancy subtypes was done. It showed no associations between maternal autoimmune disease and childhood haematological malignancies.

Interpretation: We found no significant relationship between maternal autoimmune disease and childhood haematological malignancies. The influence of maternal immune dysregulation on the next generation with respect to haematological malignancies development may be limited.

Funding: There was no funding source for this study.

背景:众所周知,自身免疫性疾病与癌症风险增加有关。母体免疫失调是否会影响后代血液恶性肿瘤的发生仍不确定。因此,我们利用一项真实世界的全国性人群研究,探讨了后代罹患血液恶性肿瘤的风险与母体自身免疫性疾病之间的关联:在这项病例对照研究中,我们从台湾国民健康保险计划中发现了 2004 年至 2019 年间 2172 名患有血液恶性肿瘤的儿童,并将他们与未患有血液恶性肿瘤的人群对照组进行了比较,对照组与每个个体的匹配比例为 1:4。自身免疫性母亲的医疗信息来自台湾妇幼保健数据库。条件逻辑回归用于估算后代患血液恶性肿瘤的几率。此外,还进行了分组和分层分析:在我们的研究中,在风湿病中,克罗恩病是血液恶性肿瘤组(1.1%)和对照组(0.9%)中最常见的疾病。在多变量分析中,患有母体自身免疫性疾病的后代患血液恶性肿瘤的几率比为 1.2(95% 置信区间 [CI]:0.91-1.58)。在对特定风险因素(包括新生儿年龄、孕产妇年龄、家庭收入、城市化程度、孕产妇职业、出生体重或孕产妇合并症)进行调整后,除早产外,血液恶性肿瘤的总体风险并没有明显升高。在比较血液恶性肿瘤和对照组中不同的自身免疫性疾病时,孕产妇银屑病关节炎/牛皮癣的调整后血液恶性肿瘤总体风险最高(调整后 OR 2.11,CI 0.89-5),其次是强直性脊柱炎(调整后 OR 1.45,CI 0.7-3)、自身免疫性甲状腺炎(OR 1.26,CI 0.57-2.81)、系统性红斑狼疮(OR 1.21,CI 0.48-3.02)、克罗恩病(OR 1.19,CI 0.75-1.9)和斯约格伦综合征(OR 1.18,CI 0.65-2.15),但这些分析均未达到显著性。对与血液恶性肿瘤亚型相关的风险因素进行了多变量分析。结果显示,母体自身免疫性疾病与儿童血液恶性肿瘤之间没有关联:我们发现母体自身免疫性疾病与儿童血液恶性肿瘤之间没有明显关系。母体免疫失调对下一代血液恶性肿瘤发展的影响可能有限:本研究没有资金来源。
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引用次数: 0
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