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Evaluating the accessibility of on-street household electric vehicle charging stations in London: Policy insights from equity analysis across emission zones 评估伦敦街头家用电动汽车充电站的便利性:跨排放区公平分析的政策启示
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114375
Yuerong Zhang , Maria Kamargianni , Long Cheng , Jonas De Vos , Mengqiu Cao
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引用次数: 0
Strategic investments: Electrolysis vs. storage for Europe’s energy security in the hydrogen era 战略投资:氢时代欧洲能源安全的电解与存储之争
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114371
Ange Blanchard
European hydrogen demand is projected to surge in the upcoming decade, leading to a potential risk of excessive dependence on imports, which may exceed 50% by 2035. This paper compares two strategies to tackle this hydrogen import disruption vulnerability. The first option is to invest in Underground Hydrogen Storage (UHS) for strategic stockpiling. The second option is to increase electrolysis capacity to inflate local production potential. We identify the most effective investment strategies for Central Western Europe (CWE) in 2035 by implementing a Multistage Stochastic Dynamic Programming (MSDP) model. Results show electrolysis outperforms UHS in preventing import disruption risks, although the two technologies are complementary. Notably, electrolysis represents 95% of the strategic investment budget. The overall cost of the optimal strategic investment amounts to 5–10% of the total investment in hydrogen infrastructure.
预计未来十年欧洲的氢气需求量将激增,这将导致过度依赖进口的潜在风险,到 2035 年进口量可能超过 50%。本文比较了应对氢进口中断脆弱性的两种策略。第一个方案是投资地下氢储存(UHS),进行战略储备。第二种方案是提高电解能力,扩大本地生产潜力。我们通过实施多阶段随机动态编程 (MSDP) 模型,确定了 2035 年中西欧 (CWE) 最有效的投资战略。结果表明,在防止进口中断风险方面,电解技术优于超高压输电技术,尽管这两种技术具有互补性。值得注意的是,电解技术占战略投资预算的 95%。最优战略投资的总成本占氢基础设施总投资的 5-10%。
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引用次数: 0
Analysing the energy landscape in Africa using cluster analysis: Drivers of renewable energy development 利用聚类分析分析非洲的能源状况:可再生能源发展的驱动因素
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114366
Emna Kanzari, Gioacchino Fazio, Stefano Fricano
International attention toward energy transition has seen significant growth recently. Each region has focused on some of its aspects according to its own context. Our work focuses on African countries and analyses their energy transition. Our study adds to the literature on energy transition studies by understanding the energy landscape of African countries and identifying similarities and differences between them using a cluster analysis based on a multivariate Euclidean distance measure. Thanks to this measure, we highlighted four clusters. We discuss how these clusters are explained by similar economic, political and cultural factors. The cluster that uses the most RE (Green-Cluster) has low political stability and high foreign direct investment, suggesting that RE can be an opportunity to attract investors and enhance green economic development. Countries of cluster that show high FF consumption (Brown-cluster), have high CO2 emissions but better economic and social situations. Lastly, we proposed diverse policy implications for the different clusters, offering a range of indications aimed at advancing specific Sustainable Development Goals. It is necessary to focus on developing strategies to leverage RE and enhance governance for countries of Green-Cluster. For Brown-cluster, they should accelerate the transition to cleaner energy sources to combat climate change.
最近,国际社会对能源转型的关注显著增加。每个地区都根据自己的情况关注其某些方面。我们的工作重点是非洲国家,分析其能源转型情况。我们的研究通过了解非洲国家的能源状况,并利用基于多元欧几里得距离测量的聚类分析确定它们之间的异同,从而为能源转型研究文献增添了新的内容。借助这一方法,我们突出了四个聚类。我们讨论了这些聚类如何通过相似的经济、政治和文化因素来解释。使用可再生能源最多的聚类(绿色聚类)政治稳定性较低,外国直接投资较高,这表明可再生能源可以成为吸引投资者和促进绿色经济发展的契机。可再生能源消费较高的国家集群(棕色集群)的二氧化碳排放量较高,但经济和社会状况较好。最后,我们针对不同集群提出了不同的政策影响,提供了一系列旨在推进特定可持续发展目标的指标。对于绿色集群国家,有必要重点制定利用可再生能源和加强治理的战略。对于棕色组,它们应加快向清洁能源过渡,以应对气候变化。
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引用次数: 0
Maintaining reliability in a 100% decarbonized power sector: The interrelated role of flexible resources 在 100% 去碳化的电力行业中保持可靠性:灵活资源的相互关联作用
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114365
Olympe Tournier , Pierre-Olivier Pineau
Reliability will remain a key requirement for decarbonized power sectors, but also a concern with the high penetration of variable renewable energy (VRE). The traditional approach for reliability is by producing enough energy and adapting rapidly to changes in load with the dispatch of fossil fuel power plants, especially natural gas power plants. However, this will have to evolve as decarbonization progresses. Can various flexibility resources such as transmission, storage and demand response provide the same reliability benefits? This paper uses a detailed, capacity expansion and hourly operation model to investigate the possibility and the cost of reaching different levels of planning reserve margins (PRM), in the multi-regional context of the North American Northeast. We find that while it is possible to entirely avoid natural gas power plants or nuclear ones to obtain high PRM, it would come at a very high cost and would require high levels of transmission, storage and demand response. We also detail why these three flexibility resources are needed in combination. The implications for energy policies are significant: in order for power system's cost to remain reasonable, reliability must count on some carbon-neutral natural gas or nuclear generation, along with interties with neighboring systems, storage and high levels of demand response.
可靠性仍将是电力行业去碳化的关键要求,但随着可再生能源(VRE)的高度普及,可靠性也将成为一个令人担忧的问题。提高可靠性的传统方法是生产足够的能源,并通过调度化石燃料发电厂(尤其是天然气发电厂)来迅速适应负荷的变化。然而,随着去碳化进程的推进,这种方法也将发生变化。输电、储能和需求响应等各种灵活性资源能否提供同样的可靠性优势?本文使用了一个详细的容量扩展和每小时运行模型,以北美东北部的多区域为背景,研究了达到不同水平的规划储备裕度(PRM)的可能性和成本。我们发现,虽然可以完全避免天然气发电厂或核电厂,以获得较高的计划储备裕度,但成本非常高,而且需要高水平的输电、储能和需求响应。我们还详细说明了为什么需要将这三种灵活性资源结合起来。这对能源政策的影响是巨大的:为了使电力系统的成本保持合理,可靠性必须依靠一些碳中和的天然气或核能发电,以及与邻近系统的互联、储能和高水平的需求响应。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating electrical distribution network length and capital investment needs from real-world topologies and land cover data 根据现实世界的拓扑结构和土地覆盖数据估算配电网络长度和资本投资需求
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114368
Lenard Rüde , Moritz Wussow , Miguel Heleno , Gunther Gust , Dirk Neumann
Green technologies such as solar photovoltaic systems and electric vehicles play a fundamental role in the global decarbonization effort. To enable their diffusion, electricity distribution networks need to be upgraded, which is a complex and expensive endeavor. However, utilities face budgetary constraints and seek to reduce planning uncertainty. Here, we utilize 7,527 real-world grid topologies and land cover data to develop a model for estimating conductor and capital investment needs for electrifying a specific area. Our work yields three main contributions: First, we demonstrate the important role of land cover data in power line planning. We show that, for medium and large networks, distinct methodologies are needed due to the significant impact of land cover, particularly buildings and roads. Second, we introduce a parsimonious model of power line length and identify the number of consumption points as the primary determinant of network investment costs. Third, we present a cost assessment model tailored for regulators and investors, offering valuable insights for network planning, policymaking, due diligence, and research. Our work highlights the importance of combining land cover data and operations research algorithms in distribution network planning and provides policymakers with a tool to ensure cost-efficient network expansion.
太阳能光伏系统和电动汽车等绿色技术在全球去碳化努力中发挥着重要作用。为了推广这些技术,需要对配电网络进行升级,这是一项复杂而昂贵的工作。然而,电力公司面临预算限制,并寻求减少规划的不确定性。在此,我们利用 7527 个真实世界的电网拓扑结构和土地覆盖数据,开发了一个模型,用于估算特定区域电气化的导线和资本投资需求。我们的工作有三大贡献:首先,我们证明了土地覆盖数据在电力线路规划中的重要作用。我们表明,对于中型和大型网络,由于土地覆被,特别是建筑物和道路的重大影响,需要采用不同的方法。其次,我们引入了一个关于电力线路长度的简易模型,并将用电点数量确定为网络投资成本的主要决定因素。第三,我们提出了一个为监管机构和投资者量身定制的成本评估模型,为电网规划、政策制定、尽职调查和研究提供了宝贵的见解。我们的工作凸显了在配电网络规划中结合土地覆盖数据和运筹学算法的重要性,并为政策制定者提供了确保网络扩展成本效益的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Does size matter? The effects of biomethane project size on social acceptability 规模重要吗?生物甲烷项目规模对社会接受度的影响
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114363
Sébastien Bourdin, Hugo Delcayre
This article examines the influence of the size of renewable energy projects on their social acceptability. To do so, it focuses on biomethane in France. Using a qualitative approach based on interviews and press analysis, we reveal that the perception of project size varies considerably according to territorial context and associated emotional impacts. The results show that even large projects can be socially acceptable if they are properly integrated with their objectives aligned with local expectations. The study highlights the tension between ambitions for large-scale biomethane development and local preferences for human-scale initiatives. The article proposes strategies for improving the social acceptability of biomethane projects, taking account of local specificities and promoting in-depth consultation with communities.
本文探讨了可再生能源项目的规模对其社会可接受性的影响。为此,文章重点关注法国的生物甲烷。通过采用基于访谈和新闻分析的定性方法,我们揭示了人们对项目规模的看法因地域环境和相关情感影响的不同而有很大差异。研究结果表明,如果大型项目的目标与当地人的期望相一致,那么即使是大型项目也能为社会所接受。研究强调了大规模生物甲烷开发的雄心与当地人对人性化举措的偏好之间的矛盾。文章提出了提高生物甲烷项目社会可接受性的策略,同时考虑到了当地的具体情况,并促进了与社区的深入协商。
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引用次数: 0
Water and energy deprivation: Addressing the problem of essential utility services poverty in Mayotte 水和能源匮乏:解决马约特岛基本公用事业服务贫困问题
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114364
Dorothée Charlier , Bérangère Legendre , Olivia Ricci
Among the 17 sustainable development goals adopted by the United Nations in 2015 are ensuring “availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation” and “access to modern energy sources”. One problem for Mahorais households is access to safe, clean and affordable essential utility services, such as electricity, water and sewerage. Moreover, Mayotte, a French oversea department, is experiencing an unprecedented drought. The island, which is sinking into a severe water crisis, has been depriving its inhabitants of running water two days out of three since the beginning of September 2023. We define a new concept of utility services poverty (basic utility services deprivation) based on the theoretical capabilities framework of Sen and Nussbaum. Using a latent class model, we identify households that are poor in utility services and characterize four household profiles. One main advantage of this methodology is replicability in many Low and Middle Income Countries’ (LMICs). We demonstrate that access to water is more discriminatory than access to electricity in Mayotte. The top priority in fighting utility services poverty should be access to water and sanitary facilities. Public policies should be implemented not according to income but to facilitate water and energy access and improve basic hygiene conditions notably through social housing.
联合国 2015 年通过的 17 项可持续发展目标中包括确保 "水和卫生设施的可用性和可持续管理 "以及 "获得现代能源"。马奥莱人家庭面临的一个问题是如何获得安全、清洁和负担得起的基本公用事业服务,如电力、供水和污水处理。此外,法国海外省马约特岛正在经历一场前所未有的干旱。自 2023 年 9 月以来,该岛居民三天中有两天用不上自来水,正陷入严重的水危机。我们以森和努斯鲍姆的理论能力框架为基础,定义了公用事业服务贫困(基本公用事业服务匮乏)的新概念。利用潜类模型,我们确定了公用事业服务贫困家庭,并描述了四种家庭特征。这种方法的一个主要优点是可以在许多中低收入国家(LMICs)推广。我们证明,在马约特岛,获得水比获得电更具歧视性。消除公用事业服务贫困的首要任务应该是获得水和卫生设施。公共政策的实施不应以收入为依据,而应促进水和能源的获取,改善基本卫生条件,特别是通过社会住房。
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引用次数: 0
Profile contracts for electricity retail customers 电力零售客户简介合同
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114358
Christian Winzer , Héctor Ramírez-Molina , Lion Hirth , Ingmar Schlecht
Decarbonization involves a large-scale expansion of low-carbon generators such as wind and solar and the electrification of heating and transport. Both space heating and battery-electric cars have significant embedded flexibility potential. Granular price signals that convey abundance or scarcity of electricity are a precondition for customers or aggregators acting on their behalf to exploit this flexibility. However, unmitigated real-time prices expose customers to electricity price risks. To tackle the dual need of providing flexibility incentives while protecting customers from cost shocks, real-time tariffs with a hedging component can be a solution. In such contracts customers pre-agree an amount of energy and a consumption profile, while hourly deviations are charged at spot prices. In this paper we analyze design options by using a dataset of anonymized smart meter data and show that profile tariffs can bring electricity bill volatility to similarly low levels as fixed tariffs while providing full flexibility incentives from spot prices.
去碳化涉及风能和太阳能等低碳发电机的大规模推广,以及供暖和运输的电气化。空间供暖和电池电动汽车都具有巨大的嵌入式灵活性潜力。传递电力充裕或稀缺的细粒度价格信号是客户或代表客户的聚合器利用这种灵活性的先决条件。然而,不加控制的实时价格会使客户面临电价风险。为了解决既要提供灵活性激励,又要保护客户免受成本冲击的双重需求,包含对冲成分的实时电价不失为一种解决方案。在这种合同中,客户预先商定能源量和消费情况,而每小时的偏差则按现货价格收费。在本文中,我们利用匿名智能电表数据集对设计方案进行了分析,结果表明,曲线电价可将电费波动性降到与固定电价类似的低水平,同时还能从现货价格中获得充分的灵活性激励。
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引用次数: 0
The barriers, determinants, and willingness-to-pay in electric motorcycle conversion (EMC) adoption 采用电动摩托车改装(EMC)的障碍、决定因素和支付意愿
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114361
Muhamad Rizki , Oleksandr Rossolov , Yusak O. Susilo
The rise in motorcycle use in Southeast Asian countries like Indonesia has caused environmental issues and transitioning from fossil-fuel to electric motorcycles (EM) will reduce emissions and improve air quality. This study aims to investigate the barriers, determinants, and willingness-to-pay in electric motorcycle conversion (EMC). In a choice experiment, data from motorcycle users in Bali, Indonesia, was collected and analysed in this study using K-modes cluster analysis and the Mixed-Logit Model. The study identified different barriers to EMC among motorcyclist groups: mix-motor commuters and hardcore oldies concerned with financial challenges, all-day riders with mature motorcycles face a lack of information on EMC costs and procedures, and higher-power enthusiasts and newbies with light motorcycles concerned with daily travel disruptions during the conversion process. This study also found waiting and conversion time to play a role in EM adoption and travellers who use older motorcycles are the most likely to adopt EMC. Lower-income individuals tend to be more inclined towards EMC and younger demographics lean towards internal combustion engine (ICE) motorcycles. Moreover, the study indicates that EMC reduces the adoption of ICE motorcycles more than conventional EM. A 50% increase in conversion time lowers EMC adoption probability by 5.2%pts. and increases new ICE motorcycle adoption by 3%pts. and new EM adoption by 2.2%pts. Additionally, motorcyclists are more willing to invest in EMC if it means reducing conversion time/charging costs, particularly for older motorcycles. This study offers several policy recommendations for accelerating EMC adoption in Indonesia.
印度尼西亚等东南亚国家摩托车使用量的增加引发了环境问题,而从化石燃料摩托车过渡到电动摩托车(EM)将减少排放并改善空气质量。本研究旨在调查电动摩托车转换(EMC)的障碍、决定因素和支付意愿。在选择实验中,本研究收集了印度尼西亚巴厘岛摩托车用户的数据,并使用 K-模式聚类分析和混合对数模型进行了分析。研究发现了不同摩托车用户群体在进行 EMC 转换时遇到的不同障碍:混合动力通勤者和 "铁杆老人 "担心经济上的困难;拥有成熟摩托车的全日骑行者缺乏有关 EMC 转换成本和程序的信息;拥有轻型摩托车的大功率爱好者和新手担心在转换过程中会影响日常出行。这项研究还发现,等待和转换时间对采用电动车也有影响,使用老式摩托车的旅行者最有可能采用 EMC。低收入人群更倾向于使用 EMC,而年轻人则更倾向于使用内燃机(ICE)摩托车。此外,研究还表明,EMC 比传统 EM 更能降低内燃机摩托车的采用率。转换时间每增加 50%,EMC 的采用概率就会降低 5.2%,内燃机摩托车的新采用概率会增加 3%,电动摩托车的新采用概率会增加 2.2%。此外,如果 EMC 意味着减少转换时间/充电成本,摩托车驾驶员更愿意投资 EMC,特别是对于老式摩托车。本研究为加快 EMC 在印尼的应用提供了若干政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
The geography of energy poverty in Canada: Spatial clustering and inequalities at the municipal level 加拿大能源贫困的地理分布:市镇一级的空间集聚和不平等现象
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114298
Mylene Riva , Ellen Grubbs , Sebastien Breau
Energy poverty happens when households cannot attain levels of domestic energy services required to meet their needs. Almost 20% of Canadian households face energy poverty. This study examines the geography of energy poverty in Canada, focusing on the clustering of energy poverty at the municipal level. Using data from the 2016 Canadian census, expenditure-based indicators of energy poverty were computed for 3227 municipalities across the 10 provinces. Local indicators of spatial autocorrelation were employed to identify clusters of municipalities characterized by higher levels of energy poverty. Findings reveal significant clustering of energy poverty at the municipal level across Canada, with clusters of higher energy poverty mostly observed in Ontario and the Atlantic Provinces. Municipal clusters of higher energy poverty were characterized by rural-remote location, an older population, lower socioeconomic status, and older and unaffordable housing. Close to 2 million Canadians live in municipalities categorized in a cluster of higher energy poverty. Formal recognition of energy poverty in Canada has the potential to catalyze innovative solutions and investments. Findings from this study can assist with guiding the targeting of solutions and investments, e.g., residential energy retrofits, to areas where energy poverty is most acute.
当家庭无法获得满足其需求的家用能源服务时,就会出现能源贫困。近 20% 的加拿大家庭面临能源贫困。本研究考察了加拿大能源贫困的地理状况,重点关注市镇一级的能源贫困集群。利用 2016 年加拿大人口普查数据,计算了 10 个省 3227 个城市基于支出的能源贫困指标。利用空间自相关性的地方指标来识别能源贫困程度较高的城市群。研究结果表明,在加拿大各地的市镇一级,能源贫困有明显的集群特征,能源贫困程度较高的集群主要分布在安大略省和大西洋省份。能源贫困程度较高的城市群的特点是:地处农村偏远地区、人口年龄较大、社会经济地位较低、住房陈旧且负担不起。近 200 万加拿大人生活在能源贫困程度较高的城市群中。在加拿大,正式承认能源贫困有可能促进创新的解决方案和投资。这项研究的结果有助于指导将解决方案和投资(如住宅能源改造)投向能源贫困最严重的地区。
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