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Long-term evaluation of the energy consumption of 100 energy-efficient buildings in Austria 奥地利100座节能建筑能耗的长期评价
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115107
Thomas Roßkopf-Nachbaur , Günter Lang , Martin Ploß , Markus Lang , Andreas Peter , Tobias Hatt , Diana Ürge-Vorsatz , Souran Chatterjee , Luisa F. Cabeza
In 2019, buildings greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions accounted for 21 % of global emissions, therefore regions such as Europe have strong policies to decrease such emissions. The literature shows different examples simulating energy refurbishment of buildings or districts where an important GHG reduction can be achieved, but there is a clear gap on real measurements of exemplary buildings. This paper shows an assessment of more than 100 energy-efficient buildings in Austria, showing that this GHG emissions reduction is really possible. The paper evaluates residential and non-residential buildings, where the energy consumption was 50 % below the consumption of typical multi-apartment buildings. Moreover, the emissions in such buildings were well below the Paris agreement targets.
2019年,建筑温室气体(GHG)排放量占全球排放量的21%,因此欧洲等地区有强有力的政策来减少此类排放。文献显示了不同的例子,模拟建筑物或地区的能源翻新,可以实现重要的温室气体减排,但在示范建筑的实际测量上存在明显的差距。这篇论文展示了对奥地利100多座节能建筑的评估,表明温室气体减排确实是可能的。本文对住宅和非住宅建筑进行了评价,其中能耗比典型的多公寓建筑低50%。此外,这些建筑的排放量远低于《巴黎协定》的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Fuelling energy poverty? Evidence on the role of deforestation in developing countries 加剧能源贫困?关于发展中国家森林砍伐作用的证据
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115085
Windbeneti Arnaud Zahonogo , Relwendé Sawadogo
Energy poverty remains a critical development challenge in low- and middle-income countries, central to achieving Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG7). This study investigates the causal impact of deforestation on energy poverty, focusing on two key dimensions: access to electricity and access to clean cooking fuels. Using a panel of 95 developing countries from 2000 to 2023, we employ robust econometric techniques, including ordinary least squares (OLS), two-stage least squares (2SLS), and smoothed instrumental variable quantile regression (SIVQR), to account for endogeneity and distributional heterogeneity. The results consistently show that deforestation significantly worsens energy poverty, particularly in more deprived contexts, by reducing access to clean fuels and electricity. These findings remain robust across alternative deforestation measures and model specifications. Furthermore, income growth, human capital, and carbon efficiency mitigate energy poverty, while population pressure, natural resource dependence, and institutional weaknesses exacerbate it. The findings call for integrated policies that link forest conservation with equitable energy access to support inclusive and sustainable energy transitions.
能源贫困仍然是低收入和中等收入国家面临的重大发展挑战,对实现可持续发展目标7至关重要。这项研究调查了森林砍伐对能源贫困的因果影响,重点关注两个关键方面:获得电力和获得清洁烹饪燃料。利用2000年至2023年95个发展中国家的面板,我们采用了稳健的计量经济学技术,包括普通最小二乘法(OLS)、两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)和平滑工具变量分位数回归(SIVQR),以解释内质性和分布异质性。研究结果一致表明,森林砍伐减少了获得清洁燃料和电力的机会,从而显著加剧了能源贫困,特别是在更贫困的地区。这些发现在其他森林砍伐措施和模型规范中仍然是强有力的。此外,收入增长、人力资本和碳效率缓解了能源贫困,而人口压力、自然资源依赖和制度弱点加剧了能源贫困。研究结果呼吁制定综合政策,将森林保护与公平的能源获取联系起来,以支持包容和可持续的能源转型。
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引用次数: 0
Rising operational costs from power outages: Implications for hydropower 电力中断带来的运营成本上升:对水电的影响
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115071
Jayash Paudel
Power outages can cause electric utilities to lose revenues and incur larger operational costs from system repair and restoration. Yet reliable estimates on the economic impact of power interruptions on electric utilities are not available. This article exploits spatial and temporal variation in different levels of transmission-led service interruption among 71 electric utilities from 42 countries in Africa to estimate changes in operational costs from rising power outages. Results based on cross-utility panel data over an eleven-year-long period from 2012 to 2022 illustrate that an average total duration of outages from transmission exceeding 900 hours a year (relative to the baseline levels of less than 100 hours a year) results in a 0.85% increase in operational costs ($ per kWh). These costs increase in magnitude in response to power interruptions corresponding to higher bins. Electrical utilities also report declines in both total revenues and shares of cash revenues, indicating signs of operational burden from severe power outages. Estimates further indicate that utilities with lower shares of hydroelectricity generation experience substantial increases in operational costs, implying that hydropower can effectively mitigate transmission power outages. Regression analysis also shows that higher shares of generation from non-hydro renewable energy sources that experience grid stabilization challenges do not lower outage-induced operational costs. Together, these results illustrate that large investments in hydroelectricity generation have the potential to address energy poverty in Africa.
停电会导致电力公司损失收入,并因系统维修和恢复而产生更大的运营成本。然而,目前还没有关于电力中断对电力设施的经济影响的可靠估计。本文利用来自非洲42个国家的71个电力公司不同程度的输电导致的服务中断的空间和时间变化来估计日益增加的停电对运营成本的影响。基于2012年至2022年11年期间的跨公用事业面板数据的结果表明,输电中断的平均总持续时间超过每年900小时(相对于每年不到100小时的基线水平)导致运营成本增加0.85%(每千瓦时美元)。这些成本在响应与更高的箱相对应的电源中断时增加幅度。电力公司还报告总收入和现金收入份额双双下降,显示出严重停电造成运营负担的迹象。估计进一步表明,水力发电份额较低的公用事业公司的运营成本大幅增加,这意味着水力发电可以有效地缓解输电中断。回归分析还表明,在电网稳定方面面临挑战的非水电可再生能源发电所占比例较高,但这并不能降低因停电而导致的运营成本。总之,这些结果表明,对水力发电的大规模投资有可能解决非洲的能源贫困问题。
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引用次数: 0
The heterogeneous impact of energy subsidy reform: The ill-targeted nature of energy subsidies in Mongolia 能源补贴改革的异质影响:蒙古能源补贴的非针对性
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115105
Tuvshintugs Batdelger , Manlaibaatar Zagdbazar
The Mongolian energy sector faces mounting difficulties, with infrastructure dating back to the Soviet era and increasing energy demand surpassing installed capacity. The Government of Mongolia has begun implementing energy sector reforms, including significant increases in electricity tariffs. However, there is a lack of studies assessing the impact of these changes on inflation and household living costs. This study fills this void by estimating the heterogeneous impact of energy subsidy removal on inflation and household living costs using a behavioral microsimulation model based on the Household Socio-Economic Survey and the Input-Output Table data. Our findings reveal that current electricity subsidies disproportionately benefit richer households. The complete removal of these subsidies will impose an additional 3.4 % burden on the poorest decile, compared to 1.8 % on the richest decile, while the average increase in household expenditures will be 2.7 %. Eliminating these subsidies could increase poverty rates and economic inequality. Interestingly, the government's policy of moderately increasing household electricity prices, shifting some of the burden to the industrial sector, and maintaining subsidies for heating and briquettes still imposes a comparable burden on household expenses. Although this policy framework reduces the financial burden on low-income populations, it unfairly impacts the livelihoods of rural populations, particularly herders, who do not benefit from energy subsidies, by fueling overall inflation. To mitigate these adverse effects, we recommend targeted support measures for vulnerable populations.
蒙古能源行业面临越来越多的困难,该国的基础设施可以追溯到苏联时代,而日益增长的能源需求超过了装机容量。蒙古政府已开始实施能源部门改革,包括大幅提高电价。然而,缺乏评估这些变化对通货膨胀和家庭生活成本影响的研究。本研究利用基于家庭社会经济调查和投入产出表数据的行为微观模拟模型,估计了能源补贴取消对通货膨胀和家庭生活成本的异质影响,填补了这一空白。我们的研究结果表明,目前的电力补贴不成比例地惠及较富裕的家庭。完全取消这些补贴将给最贫穷的十分之一人口带来3.4%的额外负担,而最富有的十分之一人口的负担为1.8%,而家庭支出的平均增幅将为2.7%。取消这些补贴可能会增加贫困率和经济不平等。有趣的是,政府适度提高家庭电价、将部分负担转移给工业部门、维持取暖和煤球补贴的政策,仍然对家庭开支造成了相当的负担。虽然这一政策框架减轻了低收入人口的经济负担,但它通过助长总体通货膨胀,不公平地影响了农村人口的生计,特别是无法从能源补贴中受益的牧民。为了减轻这些不利影响,我们建议针对弱势群体采取有针对性的支持措施。
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引用次数: 0
Promoting broad participation in CCUS system via a technical service business model and bi-level optimization with carbon trading incentives 通过技术服务商业模式和碳交易激励的双层优化,促进CCUS体系的广泛参与
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115099
Peng Wu , Sha Xiao , Wen Wang , Hong Wang , Shansen Wei
Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage (CCUS) is widely recognized as a critical technology for achieving carbon neutrality. However, large-scale deployment still faces two key challenges: the spatial mismatch between CO2 sources and storage sites and the absence of sustainable business models that can incentivize broad enterprises' participation. To address these challenges, this paper proposed a bi-level planning framework for CCUS cluster optimization, introducing a business model where a large oil and gas company provides integrated technical service to individual emitters. A case study demonstrates that carbon trading policies can effectively promote CCUS involvement and improve system viability. The major results indicate that higher carbon costs increase the proportion of service fees, rising from 17.91 % to 31.34 %. This modification enhances their resilience to variations in oil prices. Participation shows a threshold-based, non-linear response, with higher prices improving investment robustness and favoring dedicated pipelines over infrastructure reuse. Our findings suggest that, along with carbon pricing, early-stage cost reductions are critical for scalable CCUS deployment.
碳捕集、利用与封存(CCUS)是实现碳中和的一项重要技术。然而,大规模部署仍然面临两个关键挑战:二氧化碳源和储存地点之间的空间不匹配,以及缺乏能够激励广泛企业参与的可持续商业模式。为了应对这些挑战,本文提出了CCUS集群优化的双层规划框架,引入了大型油气公司为单个排放者提供综合技术服务的商业模式。案例研究表明,碳交易政策可以有效地促进CCUS的参与,提高系统的可行性。主要结果表明,碳成本的增加增加了服务费用的比重,从17.91%上升到31.34%。这种调整增强了它们对油价变化的适应能力。参与表现出基于阈值的非线性响应,较高的价格提高了投资稳健性,并且有利于专用管道而不是基础设施的重用。我们的研究结果表明,与碳定价一样,早期阶段的成本降低对于可扩展的CCUS部署至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Do all roads lead to Rome? Assessing the effectiveness of governance strategies for energy justice 条条大路通罗马吗?评估能源公正治理战略的有效性
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115089
Kees van der Wel, Sanne Akerboom
While the ‘promised land’ of clean, affordable, and abundant energy is in reach for some, it is but a distant dream for others. Socioeconomically disadvantaged groups often do not have the means and opportunities to enter this ‘land of milk and honey’. In response to growing awareness of this issue, the call for a more just, inclusive, and fair energy transition has found its way to policy agendas. To implement this energy justice agenda, policy-makers must decide on a governance strategy – i.e., a plan of action outlining who should do what, and how. The field of public administration offers three such strategies: rowing, steering, and serving. However, no study has yet examined the strengths and weaknesses of these different strategies in achieving energy justice, leaving policymakers without guidance on how to choose between them. To address this gap, we evaluated two initiatives for each strategy using an assessment framework with five criteria based on energy justice literature. Our analysis revealed three key patterns: (i) each strategy has its own strengths and weaknesses for realizing a just transition, (ii) there are synergies and trade-offs between the criteria, and (iii) each strategy has broad but seemingly superficial support. These findings suggest that no single strategy is perfect, and none will become perfect due to the inherent trade-offs between criteria. However, hybrid strategies that use the strengths of one strategy to offset another strategy's weaknesses could offer an effective approach to pursuing energy justice.
虽然清洁、廉价和丰富能源的“应许之地”对一些人来说触手可及,但对另一些人来说,这只是一个遥远的梦想。社会经济上处于不利地位的群体往往没有进入这片“牛奶和蜂蜜之地”的手段和机会。随着人们对这一问题的认识日益提高,对更加公正、包容和公平的能源转型的呼吁已被提上了政策议程。为了实施这一能源正义议程,政策制定者必须决定一项治理战略——即一项行动计划,概述谁应该做什么,以及如何做。公共行政领域提供了三种这样的策略:划船、掌舵和服务。然而,目前还没有研究考察这些不同战略在实现能源公平方面的优缺点,这使得政策制定者在如何在它们之间进行选择方面缺乏指导。为了解决这一差距,我们使用基于能源公正文献的五个标准的评估框架评估了每个战略的两个举措。我们的分析揭示了三个关键模式:(i)每个战略都有自己的优势和弱点,以实现公正的过渡;(ii)标准之间存在协同效应和权衡;(iii)每个战略都有广泛但看似肤浅的支持。这些发现表明,没有单一的策略是完美的,由于标准之间的内在权衡,没有一个策略会变得完美。然而,利用一种战略的优势来抵消另一种战略的弱点的混合战略可能是追求能源公平的有效途径。
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引用次数: 0
The role of charging infrastructure and income on electric vehicle adoption 充电基础设施和收入对电动汽车普及的影响
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115098
Thomas Gifford, Edward Barbier
This paper examines how the expansion of public charging infrastructure influences electric vehicle (EV) adoption across income levels. Using county-level panel data from Washington State (2019–2023), we estimate the marginal effect of new chargers on EV uptake and test for heterogeneity by income and charger type. We find that charger deployment increases EV adoption, but the effect is concentrated in high-income counties. Fast chargers generate larger and more widely distributed adoption gains than slower charging options, and income consistently conditions these effects. These patterns appear only in the battery electric vehicle (BEV) market; comparable models for plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs) show no significant relationships. Robustness checks also indicate that charger deployment drives BEV growth rather than responding to it. These results highlight both the central role of infrastructure in enabling decarbonized transport and the risk that exclusive reliance on chargers may widen inequities, underscoring the need for complementary policies that expand access to zero-emission mobility. Charging investments alone may not yield equitable adoption outcomes and underscore the importance of complementary policies that address barriers to entry beyond charging availability.
本文研究了公共充电基础设施的扩张如何影响不同收入水平的电动汽车(EV)的采用。利用华盛顿州(2019-2023)的县级面板数据,我们估计了新充电器对电动汽车吸收的边际效应,并测试了收入和充电器类型的异质性。我们发现,充电器的部署增加了电动汽车的使用率,但这种影响主要集中在高收入国家。与慢速充电相比,快速充电带来了更大、更广泛的采用收益,而收入一直制约着这些影响。这些模式只出现在纯电动汽车(BEV)市场;插电式混合动力汽车(phev)的可比模型没有显示出显著的关系。稳健性检查还表明,充电器的部署推动了纯电动汽车的增长,而不是对其做出反应。这些结果强调了基础设施在实现脱碳运输方面的核心作用,以及完全依赖充电器可能扩大不平等的风险,强调了扩大零排放交通的补充政策的必要性。仅靠收费投资可能无法产生公平的采用结果,并强调了解决收费可用性之外的进入壁垒的补充政策的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
How should China exit clean heating subsidies? Policy design for the post-subsidy transition 中国应如何退出清洁供暖补贴?补贴后过渡的政策设计
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115094
Xiaodan Guo , Bowen Xiao , Ce Jia , Jintao Gu , Shao-Chao Ma
Initiated in 2017, China's Clean Heating Campaign (CHC) has substantially promoted the transition of heating energy use toward cleaner alternatives through extensive government subsidies. However, under growing fiscal pressure, 53 CHC pilot cities have exited the national subsidy program, confronting the critical challenge of achieving a stable transition from the “strong subsidy era” to the “post-subsidy era.” This study employs a dynamic partial equilibrium model incorporating endogenous technological innovation to evaluate subsidy phase-out strategies and alternative policies to subsidies. Results indicate that the current stepwise phase-out approach will trigger resurgences in scattered-coal use. To address this, we propose a self-feedback mechanism that adjusts subsidy levels directly with the gap between clean heating's cost competitiveness and coal heating. This adaptive mechanism enhances environmental performance while mitigating fiscal pressure and energy poverty. Furthermore, peak-valley electricity pricing emerges as a cost-effective alternative to direct subsidies by encouraging economically efficient demand-side responses. The findings offer actionable insights for designing environmentally and fiscally sustainable clean heating policies in the post-subsidy context.
2017年启动的中国清洁供暖运动(CHC)通过广泛的政府补贴,极大地推动了供暖能源向更清洁的替代能源的过渡。然而,在日益增长的财政压力下,53个城市退出了国家补贴计划,面临着从“强补贴时代”向“后补贴时代”平稳过渡的关键挑战。本研究采用一个包含内生技术创新的动态部分均衡模型来评估补贴逐步淘汰策略和补贴替代政策。结果表明,目前的逐步淘汰方法将引发散煤使用的复苏。为了解决这个问题,我们提出了一种自我反馈机制,根据清洁供暖与燃煤供暖的成本竞争力差距直接调整补贴水平。这种适应性机制提高了环境绩效,同时减轻了财政压力和能源贫困。此外,峰谷电价通过鼓励经济上有效的需求侧反应而成为直接补贴的一种具有成本效益的替代办法。研究结果为在补贴后的背景下设计环境和财政可持续的清洁供暖政策提供了可行的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Mismatch between where solar projects are proposed and approved: the case of PV acceptance in the French Alps 太阳能项目的提议和批准之间的不匹配:法国阿尔卑斯山的光伏接受情况
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115103
Caroline Bottu , Eric F. Lambin
As many countries worldwide accelerate renewable energy deployment to meet climate targets, understanding the factors shaping acceptance of solar PV projects is essential for effective spatial planning. This study examined 236 utility-scale solar projects (>1 MWp) across various development stages in the French Alps, aiming to identify what influences market, socio-political, and community acceptance. This study adopts a mixed-method approach, combining spatial autocorrelation analysis, logistic regression, random forest modelling, and qualitative assessment of environmental impact reports, we explored the spatial patterns of project submission and approval. Market acceptance is primarily associated with economic factors: solar irradiance, slope, grid proximity, and land costs. Developers tend to avoid agricultural areas given regulatory constraints under the Mountain law, and rather favour forested or artificial surfaces. In contrast, socio-political acceptance is determined almost exclusively by environmental protection, with biophysical integrity being the only significant predictor of project approval, whereas socio-demographic characteristics of local populations show no measurable influence. Both submitted and approved projects display significant spatial clustering, with 51 % of recent projects (since 2020) concentrated in suitable areas representing just 9 % of the territory. This reflects a learning process among developers, who increasingly target areas with higher approval rates. While this suggests opportunities for targeted spatial planning via designated acceleration areas, it also raises concerns about energy justice and uneven community burdens. The spatial mismatch between market and socio-political acceptance criteria, and the dominance of environmental over social considerations, highlight the need for more transparent and inclusive permitting processes.
随着全球许多国家加快可再生能源部署以实现气候目标,了解影响太阳能光伏项目接受度的因素对于有效的空间规划至关重要。本研究调查了法国阿尔卑斯山不同发展阶段的236个公用事业规模的太阳能项目(1mwp),旨在确定影响市场、社会政治和社区接受程度的因素。本研究采用混合方法,结合空间自相关分析、logistic回归、随机森林模型和环境影响报告定性评价等方法,探讨项目报批的空间格局。市场接受度主要与经济因素有关:太阳辐照度、坡度、电网邻近度和土地成本。由于山区法的监管限制,开发商倾向于避开农业区,而更倾向于森林或人造地面。相比之下,社会政治接受度几乎完全由环境保护决定,生物物理完整性是项目批准的唯一重要预测因素,而当地人口的社会人口特征没有显示出可衡量的影响。提交和批准的项目都显示出明显的空间集群性,51%的近期项目(自2020年以来)集中在合适的地区,仅占领土的9%。这反映了开发者之间的学习过程,他们越来越多地瞄准高认可率的领域。虽然这为通过指定加速区进行有针对性的空间规划提供了机会,但它也引发了对能源公平和社区负担不均的担忧。市场和社会政治接受标准之间的空间不匹配,以及环境因素对社会因素的主导地位,突出了对更加透明和包容的许可程序的需求。
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引用次数: 0
Good governance and energy security in OECD countries: The mediating role of environmental policy stringency 经合组织国家的善治与能源安全:环境政策严格性的中介作用
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115100
Kanchan Kumar Sen , Shamal Chandra Karmaker , Bidyut Baran Saha
Energy security has emerged as a central policy challenge as climate change intensifies alongside rising energy demand and increasing geopolitical uncertainty. For developed economies, ensuring secure energy systems while advancing environmental sustainability requires not only technological progress but also effective governance and regulatory frameworks. Despite this importance, empirical evidence on how governance quality influences energy security through environmental policy remains limited, and existing studies largely rely on traditional econometric approaches that struggle to capture non-linear dynamics. To address these gaps, this study examines the role of good governance in enhancing sustainable energy security in OECD countries, with a particular focus on the mediating role of environmental policy stringency. By applying both machine learning and econometric approaches, the study explored a positive and significant impact of good governance on energy security, highlighting that stronger governance enhances the resilience, efficiency, and sustainability of national energy systems. The study also found that environmental policy stringency acts as a key indirect channel through which governance quality enhances energy security. This highlights the importance of strong institutions and well-enforced environmental regulations for improving energy security in developed economies. From a policy perspective, these findings emphasize the value of integrating governance reforms with strong environmental policies. These insights offer practical guidance for policymakers aiming to strengthen energy resilience while promoting decarbonization and sustainable development goals.
随着气候变化加剧、能源需求上升和地缘政治不确定性增加,能源安全已成为一项核心政策挑战。对于发达经济体而言,在确保能源系统安全的同时推进环境可持续性,不仅需要技术进步,还需要有效的治理和监管框架。尽管如此,关于治理质量如何通过环境政策影响能源安全的经验证据仍然有限,现有的研究主要依赖于传统的计量经济学方法,难以捕捉非线性动态。为了解决这些差距,本研究考察了善治在加强经合组织国家可持续能源安全方面的作用,特别侧重于环境政策严格性的中介作用。通过应用机器学习和计量经济学方法,该研究探讨了良好治理对能源安全的积极和重大影响,强调了更强有力的治理可以提高国家能源系统的弹性、效率和可持续性。研究还发现,严格的环境政策是治理质量提高能源安全的一个关键的间接渠道。这凸显了强有力的制度和执行良好的环境法规对改善发达经济体能源安全的重要性。从政策角度来看,这些发现强调了将治理改革与强有力的环境政策相结合的价值。这些见解为旨在加强能源弹性、同时促进脱碳和实现可持续发展目标的政策制定者提供了实用指导。
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