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Do climate mitigation policies reduce within-country carbon inequality? Evidence from cross-national panel data 气候减缓政策是否减少了国家内部的碳不平等?来自跨国小组数据的证据
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115056
Xiaolan Chen, Qiuyue Xie, Xiang Cao
Reducing inequality within and between countries is central to Sustainable Development Goal 10 (SDG 10). Climate change worsens existing disparities through unequal carbon footprints. High-income groups contribute a large share of global emissions, while low-income populations face heavier environmental and social burdens. Although mitigation policies are essential for reducing emissions, their distributional effects within countries remain unclear. This study examines whether and how climate mitigation policies influence within-country carbon inequality worldwide. We use panel data for 166 countries and territories from 2000 to 2019. The analysis combines the Climate Change Laws of the World database with carbon-footprint inequality indicators from the World Inequality Database. Domestic emission disparities are measured by the carbon-footprint Gini coefficient, which reflects how unequally emissions are distributed across income groups. We analyze the cumulative stock of climate mitigation policies rather than individual instruments to capture sustained policy efforts and their variation across policy types, governance capacity, decarbonization pressures, and trade-related spillovers. The results show that mitigation policies generally reduce within-country carbon inequality. Executive and strategic measures have the strongest effects, especially in the energy and transport sectors. The impact is greater in countries with stronger governance and higher decarbonization pressure. Policies in exporting countries also reduce inequality in importers through cleaner trade linkages. These findings suggest that integrating social equity considerations into climate governance can enhance both fairness and policy effectiveness.
减少国家内部和国家之间的不平等是可持续发展目标10的核心。气候变化通过不平等的碳足迹加剧了现有的差距。高收入群体占全球排放量的很大一部分,而低收入群体则面临更沉重的环境和社会负担。虽然缓解政策对减少排放至关重要,但其在各国内部的分配效果仍不清楚。本研究探讨了气候减缓政策是否以及如何影响世界范围内的国家内部碳不平等。我们使用了2000年至2019年166个国家和地区的面板数据。该分析结合了世界气候变化规律数据库和世界不平等数据库中的碳足迹不平等指标。国内的排放差距是通过碳足迹基尼系数来衡量的,基尼系数反映了不同收入群体之间排放分配的不平等程度。我们分析了气候减缓政策的累积存量,而不是单个工具,以捕捉持续的政策努力及其在政策类型、治理能力、脱碳压力和贸易相关溢出效应之间的差异。结果表明,减缓政策总体上减少了国家内部的碳不平等。行政和战略措施的效果最强,特别是在能源和运输部门。在治理更强、脱碳压力更大的国家,这种影响更大。出口国的政策也通过更清洁的贸易联系减少了进口国的不平等。这些发现表明,将社会公平因素纳入气候治理可以提高政策的公平性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneity in policy preferences for energy renovation: Evidence from a mixed-effects ordinal model 能源更新政策偏好的异质性:来自混合效应序贯模型的证据
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115033
Antonin Beringhs , Joël Wagner , Gabrielle Wanzenried
Energy renovations are a key pillar for reducing CO2 emissions and lowering energy demand in the residential sector. This work makes a central contribution by linking the determinants of renovation decisions among owner-occupiers with the impact they assign to a wide range of existing and prospective policy instruments, thereby providing robust empirical evidence for guiding the evolution of the energy renovation policy mix. The analyses rely on data from a custom-designed survey administered in 2024 to 1 400 Swiss owner-occupiers. We employ a two-step methodology, combining a descriptive analysis of the determinants and the importance assigned to the instruments with the estimation of cumulative link mixed models (CLMMs) that characterise the heterogeneity factors shaping the importance assigned to prospective instruments. The descriptive analyses show that technical and financial considerations primarily drive renovation decisions, while the procedural complexity is a major barrier. Financial instruments clearly dominate renovation incentives, with information, cooperative or regulatory measures perceived as weak motivators. Homeowners also express strong support for strengthening existing financial instruments and introducing risk-management tools, while new regulatory measures garner little support. The importance assigned to these instruments is influenced by behavioural traits and varies systematically with socio-demographic and technical characteristics. Although based on Swiss data, the similarity of building stock characteristics across Europe and the standard typology of the policy instruments examined make these conclusions relevant beyond the Swiss context.
能源改造是减少二氧化碳排放和降低住宅部门能源需求的关键支柱。这项工作的核心贡献是将自住业主翻新决策的决定因素与他们分配给各种现有和未来政策工具的影响联系起来,从而为指导能源翻新政策组合的演变提供了强有力的经验证据。这些分析依赖于一项针对1400名瑞士自住业主的定制调查的数据。我们采用两步方法,将决定因素和分配给工具的重要性的描述性分析与累积链接混合模型(clmm)的估计相结合,该模型描述了塑造分配给预期工具的重要性的异质性因素。描述性分析表明,技术和财政方面的考虑主要推动了改造决策,而程序的复杂性是一个主要障碍。金融工具显然主导着革新激励,信息、合作或管制措施被认为是弱激励。房主还表示强烈支持加强现有金融工具和引入风险管理工具,而新的监管措施几乎得不到支持。赋予这些工具的重要性受到行为特征的影响,并随着社会人口和技术特征而有系统地变化。虽然基于瑞士的数据,但欧洲各地建筑存量特征的相似性以及所检查的政策工具的标准类型使这些结论超出了瑞士的范围。
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引用次数: 0
Divergent paths: A machine learning analysis of post-pandemic decarbonization trajectories and the global climate policy imperative 发散路径:大流行后脱碳轨迹和全球气候政策必要性的机器学习分析
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115049
Solomon Evro, Moones Alamooti, Olusegun S. Tomomewo
This study analyzes global decarbonization pathways using trend and machine learning–based clustering of CO2 emissions from 20 major economies responsible for over 80 % of global emissions. The model used emissions intensity (CO2/TJ) and absolute levels in million tons (Mt) per annum. The analysis identified four archetypes: Sustainable Performers, Scale Challenges, Efficiency Laggards, and Critical Emitters. The pandemic was a reflexive experiment that exposed the fragility of decarbonization progress, signaled by differing recovery strategies. Gains from green stimulus investments in countries like Germany, the U.K., and the U.S. were counterbalanced by much sharper post-pandemic rebounds in China (+407 Mt/year), India, and Nigeria (+7.1 CO2/TJ/year) under fossil-intensive recoveries driven by energy security concerns. Scenario modeling shows that only the Net Zero pathway with an 83 % emissions reduction by 2050 adheres to the 1.5 °C climate target, while an imminently projected business-as-usual growth would overshoot global emissions of 53–55 Gt by 2030 and breach the 2 °C limit. There are still many relevant structural barriers left unattended: policy inertia, fragmented recovery policies, and entrenched dependence on fossil fuels. A coalition-based global approach is the only way forward and should include binding emissions targets, scaled-up clean energy finance, and promoting equity in low-carbon infrastructure access. Projections based on these clusters indicate a most-likely trajectory of ∼40 Gt CO2/year by 2050, a projection insufficient for either 1.5 °C or 2.0 °C pathways. If left unaddressed, global decarbonization will fracture along clusters, structural and geopolitical lines, derailing climate goals while deepening global inequality. This analysis offers a reproducible framework to classify national transitions and guide equitable, cluster-based climate action.
本研究使用趋势和基于机器学习的20个主要经济体的二氧化碳排放聚类分析了全球脱碳途径,这些经济体占全球排放量的80%以上。该模型使用排放强度(CO2/TJ)和绝对水平,单位为每年百万吨(Mt)。分析确定了四种原型:可持续执行者、规模挑战、效率落后者和关键排放者。这次大流行是一场反射性实验,暴露了脱碳进程的脆弱性,表现为不同的复苏战略。德国、英国和美国等国绿色刺激投资的收益被中国(+ 4.07亿吨/年)、印度和尼日利亚(+7.1 CO2/TJ/年)在能源安全担忧驱动下的化石密集型复苏所抵消。情景模型显示,只有到2050年减排83%的净零排放途径符合1.5°C的气候目标,而即将预测的经济增长将超过全球排放量的53-55亿吨,到2030年将突破2°C的限制。仍有许多相关的结构性障碍未被解决:政策惯性、支离破碎的恢复政策以及对化石燃料根深蒂固的依赖。以联盟为基础的全球方法是前进的唯一途径,应该包括约束性排放目标、扩大清洁能源融资和促进低碳基础设施准入的公平性。基于这些聚类的预估表明,到2050年最可能的轨迹为~ 40 Gt CO2/年,这一预估对于1.5°C或2.0°C的路径都是不够的。如果不加以解决,全球脱碳将沿着集群、结构和地缘政治路线破裂,使气候目标脱轨,同时加剧全球不平等。该分析提供了一个可重复的框架,用于对国家转型进行分类,并指导公平的、基于集群的气候行动。
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引用次数: 0
Geopolitical fragmentation and energy transition inequalities: Climate policy uncertainty, sanctions, and the oil and gas sector 地缘政治碎片化和能源转型不平等:气候政策不确定性、制裁和油气行业
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115048
Huan Huu Nguyen , Duc Huu Nguyen , Tam Ha Minh Nguyen , Xihui Haviour Chen
Geopolitical fragmentation, intensifying climate policy uncertainty, and conflict-driven trade disruptions have reshaped the global energy landscape, with serious implications for both energy transition and energy poverty. This study investigates how geopolitical risks, such as war, sanctions, and fractured alliances, interact with climate policy uncertainty to influence the financial performance and strategic adaptability of oil and gas firms. Using ATET analysis on 374 publicly listed firms across 45 countries (2019–2023), we assess market responses before and after the 2022 Russia–Ukraine conflict. Key findings include: (1) Russian oil and gas firms significantly outperformed peers prior to 2022 under stable geopolitical conditions; (2) Post-sanctions, Western firms gained competitive advantage while Russian firms experienced declining profit margins despite stable revenues; (3) Firms based in sanctioning and sanctioned nations demonstrated higher resilience, whereas those in neutral economies faced growing financial instability amid policy unpredictability. The findings highlight how climate policy uncertainty and fragmented global governance exacerbate energy access inequalities, complicating efforts to achieve a just and inclusive energy transition. To address these tensions, the study advocates for coordinated energy policies that integrate geopolitical risk into climate strategies, especially for supporting vulnerable economies in the Global South. Aligning energy security with long-term sustainability goals is essential to mitigate the risks of energy poverty and ensure equitable progress toward decarbonization.
地缘政治碎片化、气候政策不确定性加剧以及冲突导致的贸易中断重塑了全球能源格局,对能源转型和能源贫困都产生了严重影响。本研究探讨了地缘政治风险(如战争、制裁和联盟破裂)如何与气候政策不确定性相互作用,从而影响石油和天然气公司的财务绩效和战略适应性。通过对45个国家(2019-2023年)的374家上市公司的ATET分析,我们评估了2022年俄乌冲突前后的市场反应。主要发现包括:(1)在稳定的地缘政治条件下,俄罗斯石油和天然气公司在2022年之前的表现明显优于同行;(2)制裁后,西方公司获得了竞争优势,而俄罗斯公司尽管收入稳定,但利润率却在下降;(3)受制裁国家和被制裁国家的企业表现出更高的弹性,而中立经济体的企业在政策不可预测性的影响下面临越来越大的金融不稳定性。研究结果强调了气候政策的不确定性和全球治理的碎片化如何加剧了能源获取的不平等,使实现公正和包容性能源转型的努力复杂化。为了解决这些紧张关系,该研究提倡协调能源政策,将地缘政治风险纳入气候战略,特别是支持全球南方脆弱经济体。将能源安全与长期可持续性目标相结合,对于减轻能源贫困风险和确保在脱碳方面取得公平进展至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Camelina oil for sustainable aviation fuel production: A scenario assessment for recovering European degraded soils 用于可持续航空燃料生产的亚麻荠油:恢复欧洲退化土壤的情景评估
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115043
M. Buffi , S. Bergonzoli , E. Medina-Martos , O. Hurtig , D. Chiaramonti , F. Tozzi , A. Monti , M.G. Sessa , C. Thiel , C. Schillaci
The European aviation sector is currently under pressure to rapidly integrate renewable energy sources, with a particular emphasis on sustainable aviation fuels (SAF), which are essential for achieving short-term decarbonization targets. This study proposes an innovative supply chain producing SAF according to the REFuelEU Aviation's progressive targets for 2050, the international ICAO-CORSIA mandates and the European Union's Renewable Energy Directive for greening the transport sector.
The study focuses on camelina (Camelina sativa L. Crantz) grown in Southern European regions on marginal land affected by severe soil degradation. In this case, according to the most recent policy requirements, “severely degraded lands” suitable for advanced biofuels production are currently defined as those under erosion with poor soil organic matter content or with high salinity. Unlike other common oilseeds, camelina can successfully grow in degraded and eroded soils making it particularly well-suited to produce low indirect land-use change (iLUC) risk feedstocks for SAF. The challenges of achieving profitable yields under marginal conditions are examined and discussed.
The results show a potential of 116 thousand km2 of available lands that can produce 3.2 Mtoe per year of SAF, corresponding to 175 % of bio-SAF mandates in 2030. The calculated carbon intensity of SAF ranges between 10.5 and −30.8 gCO2eq MJ−1 depending on the carbon accumulation performances achieved in the cultivated soil and green energy used in the supply chain. By combining economics and greenhouse gas emission savings, the study explores the current gaps between conventional and innovative SAF production.
欧洲航空部门目前面临着迅速整合可再生能源的压力,特别强调可持续航空燃料(SAF),这对实现短期脱碳目标至关重要。本研究根据燃料燃料航空公司2050年的进步目标、国际民航组织- corsia的要求和欧盟绿色运输部门的可再生能源指令,提出了一个生产SAF的创新供应链。本研究以南欧地区受严重土壤退化影响的边缘土地上种植的亚麻荠(camelina sativa L. Crantz)为对象。在这种情况下,根据最新的政策要求,适合先进生物燃料生产的“严重退化土地”目前被定义为土壤有机质含量低或盐度高的侵蚀土地。与其他常见油籽不同,亚麻荠可以在退化和侵蚀的土壤中成功生长,使其特别适合生产低间接土地利用变化(iLUC)风险的SAF原料。在边际条件下实现盈利产量的挑战进行了审查和讨论。结果显示,11.6万平方公里的可用土地每年可生产320万吨油当量的SAF,相当于2030年生物SAF任务的175%。SAF的计算碳强度范围在10.5和- 30.8 gCO2eq MJ - 1之间,这取决于在耕地土壤中实现的碳积累性能和供应链中使用的绿色能源。通过结合经济效益和温室气体减排,该研究探讨了目前传统和创新SAF生产之间的差距。
{"title":"Camelina oil for sustainable aviation fuel production: A scenario assessment for recovering European degraded soils","authors":"M. Buffi ,&nbsp;S. Bergonzoli ,&nbsp;E. Medina-Martos ,&nbsp;O. Hurtig ,&nbsp;D. Chiaramonti ,&nbsp;F. Tozzi ,&nbsp;A. Monti ,&nbsp;M.G. Sessa ,&nbsp;C. Thiel ,&nbsp;C. Schillaci","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115043","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115043","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The European aviation sector is currently under pressure to rapidly integrate renewable energy sources, with a particular emphasis on sustainable aviation fuels (SAF), which are essential for achieving short-term decarbonization targets. This study proposes an innovative supply chain producing SAF according to the REFuelEU Aviation's progressive targets for 2050, the international ICAO-CORSIA mandates and the European Union's Renewable Energy Directive for greening the transport sector.</div><div>The study focuses on camelina (<em>Camelina sativa L. Crantz</em>) grown in Southern European regions on marginal land affected by severe soil degradation. In this case, according to the most recent policy requirements, “severely degraded lands” suitable for advanced biofuels production are currently defined as those under erosion with poor soil organic matter content or with high salinity. Unlike other common oilseeds, camelina can successfully grow in degraded and eroded soils making it particularly well-suited to produce low indirect land-use change (iLUC) risk feedstocks for SAF. The challenges of achieving profitable yields under marginal conditions are examined and discussed.</div><div>The results show a potential of 116 thousand km<sup>2</sup> of available lands that can produce 3.2 Mtoe per year of SAF, corresponding to 175 % of bio-SAF mandates in 2030. The calculated carbon intensity of SAF ranges between 10.5 and −30.8 gCO<sub>2</sub>eq MJ<sup>−1</sup> depending on the carbon accumulation performances achieved in the cultivated soil and green energy used in the supply chain. By combining economics and greenhouse gas emission savings, the study explores the current gaps between conventional and innovative SAF production.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 115043"},"PeriodicalIF":9.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145837364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of minimum energy efficiency standards on the private rental market 最低能源效益标准对私人租赁市场的影响
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115039
Franz Fuerst , Xinyan Huang , Martin Sheppard
The decarbonisation of the built environment constitutes a critical frontier in global climate mitigation, yet it presents substantial challenges within the Private Rental Sector (PRS), where the “split incentive” problem results in landlords bearing the upfront costs of energy retrofits while tenants capture both economic benefits, such as reduced energy bills, and non-economic benefits, including improved thermal comfort, indoor air quality, and wellbeing. This study examines the economic effects of the UK's Minimum Energy Efficiency Standards (MEES), which restrict the ability of landlords to let out properties with the lowest two Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) ratings, F and G. Using a uniquely comprehensive dataset linking over 520,000 rental listings with seven million property sales records, we employ a dual empirical strategy combining an EPC index-based Difference-in-Differences framework with a sharp Regression Discontinuity Design. The results reveal no statistically significant impact on rents for F-G rated properties and no spillover effects for potentially “next-in-line” D and E-rated properties. Large-sample evidence further indicates a slight increase in PRS property sales relative to other housing tenures following the implementation of MEES. These findings suggest that MEES has successfully driven improvements in building energy efficiency without inducing rent inflation and has exerted only a minimal effect on aggregate PRS supply, providing critical insights for the design of policies aimed at achieving net-zero targets in rental housing markets.
建筑环境的脱碳构成了全球气候减缓的关键前沿,但它在私人租赁行业(PRS)中提出了重大挑战,其中“分裂激励”问题导致房东承担能源改造的前期成本,而租户既获得经济效益,如减少能源费用,又获得非经济效益,包括改善热舒适度、室内空气质量和福祉。本研究考察了英国最低能源效率标准(MEES)的经济影响,该标准限制了房东出租最低两个能源绩效证书(EPC)评级F和g的房产的能力。我们使用了一个独特的综合数据集,将超过52万个租赁清单与700万个房产销售记录联系起来,我们采用了双重经验策略,将基于EPC指数的差异框架与尖锐的回归不连续性设计相结合。结果显示,对F-G级物业的租金没有统计学上的显著影响,对潜在的“下一个”D级和e级物业也没有溢出效应。大样本证据进一步表明,在实施MEES后,PRS物业销售相对于其他房屋租赁略有增加。这些发现表明,MEES成功地推动了建筑能源效率的提高,而没有引起租金通胀,并且对总PRS供应的影响很小,这为旨在实现租赁住房市场净零目标的政策设计提供了重要见解。
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引用次数: 0
Dealing with the ILUC risk of biofuel production for the energy transition 应对能源转型中生物燃料生产的ILUC风险
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115035
Renan Milagres L. Novaes , Marcelo Melo Ramalho Moreira , Sofia Marques Arantes , Luciane Chiodi Bachion , Thayse Aparecida Dourado Hernandes
Achieving climate neutrality requires renewable, diversified, and efficient energy systems, with sustainable biofuels playing a critical role in decarbonizing transportation. However, major concerns persist regarding indirect land-use change (ILUC). Adding ILUC quantitative emission factors to the carbon intensity of biofuels faced challenges and has been subject to criticism. In response, ILUC risk management approaches are increasingly considered as alternatives. Nevertheless, the most adequate ways to address them are still under debate. Drawing on the effectiveness of existing regulatory measures and insights from scientific literature, this paper proposes five main measures to address ILUC risk. They are focused on increasing the deployment of low ILUC-risk biofuels while preventing high ILUC-risk conditions. Key recommendations include: a) a ‘tiered approach’ for classifying low ILUC risk; b) comprehensive eligibility criteria for low-ILUC risk classification; c) considering zero deforestation criteria as measures to reduce high ILUC risks; d) establishing an intermediate risk category between low and high; and e) measures to address incomplete knowledge, such as phased implementation over time. By focusing on overcoming current limitations, this proposal aims to contribute to the deployment of sustainable biofuels on a sufficient scale to promote the energy transition while minimizing high ILUC risks.
实现气候中和需要可再生、多样化和高效的能源系统,可持续生物燃料在脱碳运输中发挥着关键作用。然而,关于间接土地利用变化(ILUC)的主要关切仍然存在。在生物燃料的碳强度中加入ILUC定量排放因子面临挑战,并受到批评。因此,ILUC风险管理方法越来越被视为替代方案。然而,解决这些问题的最适当方法仍在辩论中。根据现有监管措施的有效性和科学文献的见解,本文提出了应对ILUC风险的五项主要措施。他们的重点是增加低iluc风险生物燃料的部署,同时防止高iluc风险条件。主要建议包括:a)对低ILUC风险进行分级的“分层方法”;b)低iluc风险分类综合资格标准;c)考虑将零毁林标准作为降低ILUC高风险的措施;D)建立介于低和高之间的中间风险类别;e)解决不完全知识的措施,例如随着时间的推移分阶段实施。通过专注于克服当前的限制,本提案旨在促进可持续生物燃料的大规模部署,以促进能源转型,同时最大限度地降低高ILUC风险。
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引用次数: 0
Geospatial energy poverty assessment and clustering for policy prioritization 地理空间能源贫困评价与政策优选聚类
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115047
Giuliano Rancilio , Laura Campagna , Mattia Ricci , Paolo Sdringola , Marco Merlo
Energy poverty remains a critical challenge, marked by households struggling to access or afford adequate energy services. Previous research focuses on metrics for investigating energy poverty geospatially. Some of these metrics fail in spotting the vulnerabilities, considering average values in a territory. Moreover, the connection between energy poverty assessment and policy proposal is often missing. This paper presents a geospatial analysis of energy poverty in a developed country, focusing on Italian municipalities, using a novel multiparameter indicator to measure both economic and energy vulnerabilities. Building on previous research, the indicator integrates economic indices reflecting income-to-cost ratios and energy indices based on building efficiency and age. It concentrates on the critical tails of the distribution of incomes and buildings, to avoid being misled by mean values. Through clustering, the study identifies municipalities in three categories: highly vulnerable, energy poverty-relevant, and nonvulnerable. Each cluster highlights the socioeconomic and energy challenges faced by households, offering tailored policy recommendations. In particular, the energy poverty-relevant cluster includes 85 % of Italian municipalities and shows a clear correlation between low-performance building share and economic situation of poorer households. The findings suggest the importance of targeted interventions, including direct financial aid for the most vulnerable, energy efficiency incentives for middle-tier municipalities, and nonfinancial measures for better-performing areas (where barriers to energy efficiency could be regulatory, instead of economic). This approach allows policymakers to optimize public expenditures while addressing both immediate and structural drivers of energy poverty.
能源贫困仍然是一个严峻的挑战,其特点是家庭难以获得或负担得起充足的能源服务。以前的研究主要集中在地理空间上调查能源贫困的指标上。考虑到一个地区的平均值,其中一些指标在发现漏洞方面失败了。此外,能源贫困评估与政策建议之间的联系往往缺失。本文采用一种新的多参数指标来衡量经济和能源脆弱性,对一个发达国家的能源贫困进行了地理空间分析,重点是意大利的市政当局。在以往研究的基础上,该指标综合了反映收入成本比的经济指数和基于建筑效率和楼龄的能源指数。它集中于收入和建筑分布的关键尾部,以避免被平均值误导。通过聚类,该研究将城市划分为三类:高度脆弱、能源贫困相关和非脆弱。每个集群都强调了家庭面临的社会经济和能源挑战,并提供了量身定制的政策建议。特别是,与能源贫困相关的集群包括85%的意大利市政当局,并显示出低性能建筑份额与较贫困家庭的经济状况之间的明确相关性。研究结果表明,有针对性的干预措施很重要,包括对最弱势群体的直接财政援助,对中等城市的能效激励措施,以及对表现较好的地区(能效障碍可能是监管方面的,而不是经济方面的)采取非金融措施。这种方法使政策制定者能够优化公共支出,同时解决能源贫困的直接和结构性驱动因素。
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引用次数: 0
Technology-society nexus in post-COP 27 era: How digital innovation, energy transition, and green finance drive net-zero pathways in OECD countries 后缔约方会议时代的技术-社会联系:数字创新、能源转型和绿色金融如何推动经合组织国家的净零路径
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115045
Mubasher Zaman , Atta Ullah , Quande Qin , Muhammad Kashif
Eco-friendly green investments in digital technologies and renewable energy transition harmonized with climate policies are essential to achieving the net-zero carbon objective post-27th conference of the parties (COP-27). This research provides new policy implications on the technology-society nexus, analyzing data on energy transition, green finance, digital innovation, and carbon emissions in 37 OECD countries during 2000–2022, which is shaped by emerging climate policies. Utilizing a novel Method of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR), robust through fully-modified OLS, bootstrap quantile regression, and Driscoll-Kraay fixed effects model, the study offers assistance in the transition towards a low-carbon society. It reveals that energy transition and green finance have a significantly negative effect on carbon emissions in all the quantiles. Digital innovation cuts carbon emissions very significantly up to the 0.60 quantile, and has no significant influence for higher quantiles, suggesting mixed/diverse technological impacts in various social settings. However, digital innovation moderates with energy transition (ETI × DIN) and significantly diminishes carbon emissions across all quantiles. Additionally, social inequality and economic growth hurt environmental health by increasing carbon emissions. Further, the D-H causality test reports both unidirectional and bidirectional relationships between the variables. Policymakers should formulate strategies that align with socially inclusive initiatives, enhance eco-oriented investments in digital technologies and renewable energy transition to implement zero-carbon policies and socio-technical strategies into climate frameworks, advancing the Sustainable Development Goals 7, 9, 13, and COP-27 commitments.
与气候政策相协调的生态友好型绿色数字技术投资和可再生能源转型对于实现缔约方第27次会议(COP-27)后的净零碳目标至关重要。本研究分析了37个经合组织国家2000-2022年期间的能源转型、绿色金融、数字创新和碳排放数据,为技术-社会关系提供了新的政策启示。利用一种新颖的矩分位数回归方法(MMQR),通过完全修正的OLS,自举分位数回归和Driscoll-Kraay固定效应模型具有鲁棒性,该研究为向低碳社会过渡提供了帮助。结果表明,能源转型和绿色金融在各分位数对碳排放均有显著的负向影响。数字创新在0.60分位数以内显著降低了碳排放,而在更高的分位数以内没有显著影响,这表明技术对各种社会环境的影响是混合的/多样化的。然而,数字创新随着能源转型(ETI × DIN)而趋于缓和,并显著减少了所有分位数的碳排放。此外,社会不平等和经济增长增加了碳排放,损害了环境健康。此外,D-H因果关系检验报告了变量之间的单向和双向关系。政策制定者应制定与社会包容性倡议相一致的战略,加强对数字技术和可再生能源转型的生态投资,将零碳政策和社会技术战略纳入气候框架,推进可持续发展目标7、9、13和cop27承诺。
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引用次数: 0
Barrier or driver: Patent thickets in the path of technological transition 障碍还是驱动者:技术转型道路上的专利丛林
IF 9.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115046
Yishuang Liu , Hanmin Dong
The global transition to a low-carbon economy is a pressing challenge that requires fair and inclusive technological innovation. This study examines the influence of patent thickets on both corporate green innovation and sustainability performance, drawing on a panel of 2667 listed companies from 2015 to 2021. The main results reveal a dual effect: patent thickets significantly stimulate internal green innovation but increase ESG rating divergence, reflecting tensions between innovation incentives and consistent social recognition. Mechanism analysis reveals that operating leverage fosters innovation, while total leverage mitigates ESG divergence by balancing financial and operational structures. Heterogeneity results indicate that older and state-owned companies achieve stronger innovation gains, whereas ESG convergence depends on comprehensive, multi-channel environmental disclosure. By linking patent structures, innovation strategies, and ESG outcomes, this study provides global evidence from China, underscoring how to facilitate a just technological transition to a low-carbon economy.
全球向低碳经济转型是一项紧迫的挑战,需要公平和包容的技术创新。本研究以2015年至2021年的2667家上市公司为样本,考察了专利丛林对企业绿色创新和可持续发展绩效的影响。主要结果显示了双重效应:专利丛显著刺激了内部绿色创新,但增加了ESG评级差异,反映了创新激励与一致的社会认可之间的紧张关系。机制分析表明,经营杠杆促进创新,而总杠杆通过平衡财务结构和经营结构来缓解ESG分化。异质性结果表明,老企业和国有企业的创新收益更强,而ESG趋同依赖于全面、多渠道的环境信息披露。通过将专利结构、创新战略和ESG成果联系起来,本研究提供了来自中国的全球证据,强调了如何促进向低碳经济的公正技术转型。
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Energy Policy
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