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Putting off the coal in Europe: Socio-economic trade-offs across the European regions 欧洲推迟燃煤:欧洲各地区的社会经济取舍
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114360
MiguelÁngel Almazán-Gómez , Carlos Llano , Julián Pérez
This study quantifies the socioeconomic and environmental repercussions of complete substitution of coal and lignite in the EU27 providing insights for policymakers. The analysis is conducted at the NUTS-2 level, using the EUREGIO-2017 multiregional input-output table, and considers the substitution of coal and lignite for electricity generation and household heating. The results reveal winners and losers at the regional level, with job losses in coal-reliant regions but gains in areas with alternative energy sectors. A pronounced reduction in CO2 emissions emerges as a key positive outcome, with significant abatements concentrated in Central-Eastern European regions where coal and lignite were historically more intensively utilized. This study emphasizes the importance of adopting balanced policies that strike an equilibrium between environmental goals and mitigating adverse socioeconomic effects, including at the subnational level. Policymakers are strongly encouraged to conduct comprehensive analyses, considering direct and indirect impacts on variables such as value-added, employment, and CO2 emissions. Moreover, compensatory measures, such as the Just Transition Mechanism, should be tailored to provide targeted support to the most affected regions, fostering fair and equitable social change.
本研究量化了欧盟 27 国完全替代煤炭和褐煤对社会经济和环境的影响,为政策制定者提供了深刻见解。分析在 NUTS-2 级别进行,使用了 EUREGIO-2017 多区域投入产出表,并考虑了煤炭和褐煤在发电和家庭取暖方面的替代情况。结果显示,在地区层面上有赢家也有输家,依赖煤炭的地区就业机会减少,而拥有替代能源行业的地区就业机会增加。二氧化碳排放量的显著减少是一项重要的积极成果,减排效果显著的地区主要集中在历史上煤炭和褐煤使用较多的中东欧地区。本研究强调了采取平衡政策的重要性,即在环境目标和减轻不利社会经济影响之间取得平衡,包括在国家以下层面。强烈建议决策者进行全面分析,考虑对附加值、就业和二氧化碳排放等变量的直接和间接影响。此外,公正过渡机制等补偿措施应量体裁衣,为受影响最严重的地区提供有针对性的支持,促进公平公正的社会变革。
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引用次数: 0
Neighbor's profit or Neighbor's beggar? Evidence from China's low carbon cities pilot scheme on green development 邻居的利润还是邻居的乞丐?中国低碳城市绿色发展试点的证据
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114318
Bei Zhu , Tomoaki Nakaishi , Shigemi Kagawa
China has implemented three sets of low-carbon city pilot policies (LCCP), making it the world's most extensive low-carbon and green development program. Many studies have examined the impact of this policy on green development. However, studies rarely discuss spillover effects. This deficiency can lead to biased policy evaluations. This study employs a quasi-experimental approach to investigate the spillover effects of LCCP on the green total factor productivity (GTFP) of neighboring non-pilot cities and identify the underlying mechanisms. Using panel data from 283 cities in China spanning from 2004 to 2020, this study employs the time-varying difference-in-difference method. The empirical evidence suggests that LCCP can significantly enhance the GTFP growth of non-pilot cities located within 100 km, with an average annual increase of approximately 1.43%. Mechanism analysis indicates that increasing technological innovation and learning from the pacesetter play crucial intermediary roles in promoting GTFP improvements in neighboring cities. Furthermore, the spillover effects exhibit noticeable heterogeneity, particularly among cities in the eastern region, middle region, and large cities. These findings provide empirical evidence regarding the spillover effects of China's largest carbon pilot policies, contributing to a comprehensive assessment of policy impacts and offering fresh insights for climate policy tools.
中国已经实施了三套低碳城市试点政策(LCCP),是世界上范围最广的低碳和绿色发展项目。许多研究都探讨了这一政策对绿色发展的影响。然而,这些研究很少讨论溢出效应。这一缺陷可能导致政策评估出现偏差。本研究采用准实验方法,考察低碳和绿色发展计划对周边非试点城市绿色全要素生产率(GTFP)的溢出效应,并找出其背后的机制。本研究使用中国 283 个城市从 2004 年到 2020 年的面板数据,采用时变差分法。实证结果表明,LCCP 能显著提高 100 公里范围内非试点城市的 GTFP 增长率,年均增幅约为 1.43%。机制分析表明,技术创新的增加和对标杆城市的学习在促进周边城市 GTFP 改善方面发挥了重要的中介作用。此外,溢出效应表现出明显的异质性,尤其是在东部地区、中部地区和大城市之间。这些研究结果为中国最大碳试点政策的溢出效应提供了经验证据,有助于全面评估政策影响,并为气候政策工具提供新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Governance in multi-system transitions: A new methodological approach for actor involvement in policy making processes 多系统过渡时期的治理:行动者参与决策过程的新方法论
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114313
Aslı Ateş , Karoline S. Rogge , Katherine Lovell
Multi-system interactions associated with the decarbonisation of energy and mobility systems represent a complex phenomenon in the acceleration phase of net-zero transitions. In this paper, we present a novel methodological approach to examine actor involvement in the governance of multi-system transitions, with a focus on the UK's net-zero energy-mobility transitions from 2008 to 2021. Utilising Named Entity Recognition (NER), a natural language processing technique, we systematically map actors and their interactions within policy consultations and how these have changed over time. Our analysis differentiates between single-system and multi-system policy making processes; identifies weak and strong links among actors as two types of multi-system interactions; categorises actors into business, policy, academia, and society groups; and examines the evolution of engagement across multiple governance levels. Our findings indicate an increasing trend of multi-system interactions, suggesting the UK's progression towards the acceleration phase of net-zero transitions. Our analysis further reveals the predominance of policy actors, particularly from the national level, in governing such multi-system transitions processes, followed by business actors. Despite some limitations, our approach offers a scalable method for analysing large volumes of text, providing valuable insights into the governance dynamics of multi-system transitions. We conclude with implications for policy making and offer suggestions for future research, emphasising the importance of understanding actor involvement and political contestations around net-zero trajectories for ensuring the achievement of sustainability goals.
在净零过渡的加速阶段,与能源和交通系统脱碳相关的多系统互动是一个复杂的现象。在本文中,我们提出了一种新颖的方法论,以英国从 2008 年到 2021 年的净零能源-机动性过渡为重点,研究参与者参与多系统过渡治理的情况。利用自然语言处理技术--命名实体识别(NER),我们系统地绘制了参与者及其在政策咨询中的互动关系,以及这些关系随着时间的推移发生了哪些变化。我们的分析区分了单系统和多系统决策过程;将参与者之间的弱联系和强联系确定为多系统互动的两种类型;将参与者分为企业、政策、学术界和社会团体;并研究了跨多个治理层面的参与演变。我们的研究结果表明,多系统互动呈上升趋势,这表明英国正在向净零过渡的加速阶段迈进。我们的分析进一步揭示了政策参与者(尤其是国家层面的政策参与者)在管理此类多系统过渡过程中的主导地位,其次是企业参与者。尽管存在一些局限性,但我们的方法为分析大量文本提供了一种可扩展的方法,为了解多系统过渡的治理动态提供了宝贵的见解。最后,我们提出了对政策制定的启示以及对未来研究的建议,并强调了理解参与者的参与和围绕净零排放轨迹的政治争论对于确保实现可持续发展目标的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Equity-based energy retrofits to address energy poverty in Canada 以公平为基础的能源改造,解决加拿大的能源贫困问题
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114341
Laura Tozer , Guilherme Baggio , Abhilash Kantamneni , Hannah MacRae
Many energy efficiency and decarbonization retrofit programs aim to alleviate energy poverty by targeting low-income households, but these programs do not always address the multiple determinants of energy poverty. This study develops a vulnerability-based framework to explore the extent to which energy retrofit programs designed for low-income households comprehensively account for socioeconomic, demographic, and cultural structures that shape energy poverty experiences, employing Canada as an empirical case study using key informant interviews with program administrators. The framework conceptualizes energy poverty as the vulnerability to future housing-related harms, amplified by energy-related risk factors, and conditioned by a household's inability to adequately respond. The study finds several key issues limiting the capacity of low-income retrofit programs to address the overlapping and compounding determinants of energy poverty, including inadequate funding, exclusion of the poorest quality housing, limited retrofit options, and a narrow focus on energy efficiency gains. This study shows key opportunities to expand and deepen the current ecosystem of low-income retrofit programs by expanding existing policy innovations. The paper also offers suggestions for widening the policy arena to address energy poverty, both within retrofit programs and beyond.
许多能源效率和去碳化改造项目以低收入家庭为目标,旨在缓解能源贫困,但这些项目并不总是能解决能源贫困的多重决定因素。本研究以加拿大为例,通过对项目管理人员进行关键信息访谈,建立了一个基于脆弱性的框架,以探讨为低收入家庭设计的能源改造项目在多大程度上全面考虑了影响能源贫困经历的社会经济、人口和文化结构。该框架将能源贫困概念化为对未来与住房相关的伤害的脆弱性,这种脆弱性被与能源相关的风险因素放大,并以家庭无法做出适当应对为条件。该研究发现了几个关键问题,这些问题限制了低收入改造项目解决能源贫困的重叠和复合决定因素的能力,包括资金不足、将质量最差的住房排除在外、改造选择有限以及狭隘地关注能效收益。本研究通过扩展现有的政策创新,展示了扩大和深化当前低收入改造项目生态系统的关键机遇。本文还提出了在改造项目内外扩大政策范围以解决能源贫困问题的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon taxes, CO2 emissions, and the economy: The effects of fuel taxation in the UK 碳税、二氧化碳排放与经济:英国燃料税的影响
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114359
Lucas Bretschger , Elise Grieg
Carbon taxes remain economists’ preferred policy tool to curb emissions, but they are often criticized by the wider public as ineffective and damaging to the economy. This paper provides new evidence of the effectiveness of carbon taxation through empirical ex-post analysis, using the synthetic control method. We base our quantitative work on a theoretical general equilibrium model with dirty and clean transportation. We take the predictions of the model to data on the UK Fuel Tax Escalator, and estimate the impact of the tax on CO2 emissions, GDP, and transport behaviour. With a potential control pool of OECD countries, we estimate the difference between the observed outcome in the UK and a synthetic counterfactual UK. We find that the tax has a large and significant impact on CO2 emissions from traffic, while there is no discernible impact on GDP or growth. We do not find large changes in driving behaviours, but the available evidence points to a possible switch to rail travel from road travel. Our results are relevant for energy policy makers as they show how a suitable pricing system can effectively reduce climate-damaging emissions without causing macroeconomic damage.
碳税仍然是经济学家首选的抑制排放的政策工具,但却经常被广大公众批评为无效和破坏经济。本文采用合成控制法,通过事后实证分析,为碳税的有效性提供了新的证据。我们的定量研究以理论上的一般均衡模型为基础,该模型包含污染和清洁运输。我们将模型的预测与英国燃料税递增的数据相结合,并估算了该税对二氧化碳排放、GDP 和交通行为的影响。通过经合组织国家的潜在对照库,我们估算了英国的观察结果与合成的反事实英国之间的差异。我们发现,征税对交通产生的二氧化碳排放有很大的显著影响,而对 GDP 或经济增长没有明显影响。我们没有发现驾驶行为的巨大变化,但现有证据表明,人们可能会从公路出行转向铁路出行。我们的研究结果与能源政策制定者息息相关,因为它们展示了一个合适的定价系统如何在不对宏观经济造成损害的情况下有效减少破坏气候的排放。
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引用次数: 0
Managing forest residues for biodiversity, bioenergy, and smoke reduction: Insights from a Discrete Choice Experiment in Tasmania, Australia 为生物多样性、生物能源和减少烟雾而管理森林残留物:澳大利亚塔斯马尼亚离散选择实验的启示
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114351
Bassie Yizengaw Limenih , Natalie Stoeckl , Julianne O'Reilly-Wapstra , Peter Volker

The management of forest residue following timber harvesting is an important global issue. If forest residues are not managed appropriately, they can increase the risk of catastrophic wildfires, negatively impact wildlife and aesthetic values. These risks can be reduced if forest residues are used for bioenergy production, which can also generate jobs, but using forest residues for bioenergy production may adversely impact biodiversity. We explore public preferences relating to the varied impacts of forest residue management outcomes using data collected for a Discrete Choice Experiment in Tasmania, Australia. On average, respondents were willing to pay AUD 34, AUD 29, and AUD 14 per year, respectively, to reduce smoke emissions, increase the abundance and diversity of invertebrate species, and create employment. This suggests that Tasmanian forest managers may find public support for residue management practices that include the production of at least some bioenergy products. Moreover, the social benefits of the state-wide harvesting of forest residues for bioenergy could be positive even with relatively high costs. WTP varied by age, education, environmental group membership, invertebrate fear, and wildfire exposure. The influence of these factors varies across regions, offering insights into forest residue management for regions with similar socioeconomic and environmental contexts.

木材采伐后的森林残留物管理是一个重要的全球性问题。如果森林残留物管理不当,会增加灾难性野火的风险,对野生动物和美学价值产生负面影响。如果将森林剩余物用于生物能源生产,则可以降低这些风险,同时还能创造就业机会,但将森林剩余物用于生物能源生产可能会对生物多样性造成不利影响。我们利用在澳大利亚塔斯马尼亚州进行的离散选择实验收集的数据,探讨了公众对森林残留物管理结果的各种影响的偏好。平均而言,受访者愿意每年分别支付 34 澳元、29 澳元和 14 澳元,以减少烟雾排放、增加无脊椎动物物种的数量和多样性并创造就业机会。这表明,塔斯马尼亚州的森林管理者可能会发现公众支持残留物管理实践,其中至少包括生产一些生物能源产品。此外,即使成本相对较高,在全州范围内采伐森林残留物用于生物能源的社会效益也可能是积极的。WTP 因年龄、教育程度、环保团体成员、对无脊椎动物的恐惧以及野火风险而异。这些因素对不同地区的影响各不相同,为社会经济和环境背景相似的地区的森林残留物管理提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
A comparative study of strategic petroleum reserve policies of major countries in the world 世界主要国家战略石油储备政策比较研究
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114362
Lei Zhang

Petroleum security is the guarantee of national security that plays an important role in national energy security, while petroleum strategic reserve is the most basic guarantee of national petroleum security. At present, the number of selected countries in the study of petroleum strategic reserves is insufficient, as there are too much vertical comparison and the horizontal comparison analysis is not enough. Based on this, on the basis of comparing the strategic petroleum reserves of major countries in the world in terms of storage methods, address selection, policy formulation, management system and utilization mechanism, this paper conducts longitudinal comparison and horizontal comparative analysis and research, trying to find out their common policy characteristics and advantages from different strategic petroleum reserve policies, modes and practices of various countries, and carries out eliminating the rough and learning from the strong. The experience gained can be used for reference by other countries.

石油安全是国家安全的保障,在国家能源安全中占有重要地位,而石油战略储备是国家石油安全最基本的保障。目前,石油战略储备研究选取的国家数量不足,纵向比较过多,横向比较分析不够。基于此,本文在比较世界主要国家的战略石油储备在储存方式、地址选择、政策制定、管理体制和动用机制等方面的基础上,进行纵向比较和横向比较分析研究,试图从各国不同的战略石油储备政策、模式和实践中找出其共同的政策特点和优势,进行去粗取精、取长补短。所取得的经验可供其他国家借鉴。
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引用次数: 0
How diversification in energy and economic sectors influences environmental quality: International evidence 能源和经济部门的多样化如何影响环境质量?国际证据
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114347
Dung Phuong Hoang , Lan Khanh Chu , Thanh Trung To , Ha Thanh Le

Diversification in economic and energy sectors has been proven to contribute enormously to economic development. However, given the sustainability targets, the effectiveness of those strategies in alleviating environmental deterioration is ambiguous. This research examines how economic complexity and energy diversification could affect the levels of carbon emissions among economies that are in different phases of economic growth. Applying a novel panel quantile regression to a sample of 66 economies from 1995 to 2018, dividing into high-income, upper-middle-income, and lower-middle-income subgroups, allows us to reveal and compare the heterogeneous impacts across different levels of carbon emissions and income levels. The empirical results reveal that the environmental impacts of both economic complexity and energy diversification are not only heterogeneous across quantiles of carbon emissions but also vary among high-, upper-middle-, and lower-middle-income countries. While economic sophistication improves environmental sustainability in high- and upper-middle-income countries, it exacerbates ecological degradation in lower-middle-income countries. While energy diversification benefits environmental quality across all quantiles of carbon emissions in both upper and lower-middle-income countries, a harmful effect of energy diversification is only found in some high-income economies. Our research findings suggest that although energy and economic diversification could be a viable path for upper-middle-income countries to attain sustainability targets, these strategies should be combined with other environmental protection strategies to demonstrate desirable environmental benefits in high-income and lower-middle-income countries.

经济和能源部门的多样化已被证明能极大地促进经济发展。然而,考虑到可持续发展的目标,这些战略在缓解环境恶化方面的有效性并不明确。本研究探讨了经济复杂性和能源多样化如何影响处于不同经济增长阶段的经济体的碳排放水平。在 1995 年至 2018 年的 66 个经济体样本中,我们将其分为高收入、中上收入和中低收入三个子组,运用新颖的面板量化回归方法,揭示并比较了不同碳排放水平和收入水平的异质性影响。实证结果表明,经济复杂性和能源多样化对环境的影响不仅在不同碳排放数量级之间存在差异,而且在高、中上和中低收入国家之间也存在差异。在高收入和中高收入国家,经济复杂性提高了环境可持续性,但在中低收入国家,经济复杂性加剧了生态退化。在中高收入和中低收入国家,能源多样化有利于所有碳排放数量级的环境质量,但能源多样化的有害影响只出现在一些高收入经济体。我们的研究结果表明,虽然能源和经济多样化是中上收入国家实现可持续发展目标的可行途径,但这些战略应与其他环境保护战略相结合,以在高收入和中低收入国家展示理想的环境效益。
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引用次数: 0
Green innovation and carbon emission performance: The role of digital economy 绿色创新与碳排放绩效:数字经济的作用
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114344
Ziyi Zhao , Yuhuan Zhao , Xunpeng Shi , Lu Zheng , Shunan Fan , Sumin Zuo

Improving carbon emission performance contributes to climate change mitigation, and green innovation may help achieve this goal. Digital economy may promote the diffusion and application of green innovation. Thus, we explore how digital economy affects the impact of green innovation on carbon emission performance based on the panel data covering 240 cities in China from 2005 to 2019. System-generalized method of moments (SYS-GMM), the two stage least square method (2SLS), and the panel quantile regression approach are adopted. The results show that, (1) Green innovation improves carbon emission performance. (2) The digital economy (digital development carrier, digital industrialization, industry digitization, digital development environment) promote the positive impact of green innovation on carbon emission performance. (3) The specifical digital economy elements, such as new digital infrastructure, communication business and services industrialization, service digitalization, institutional and innovation environment also have the positive role. (4) For the mechanism, digital economy is conducive to green innovation for lower energy consumption scale, higher energy efficiency, and cleaner energy structure, thus improving carbon emission performance. (5) Asymmetric analyses imply that green innovation improves carbon emission performance better with developed digital economy.

提高碳排放绩效有助于减缓气候变化,而绿色创新可能有助于实现这一目标。数字经济可以促进绿色创新的推广和应用。因此,我们基于 2005 年至 2019 年中国 240 个城市的面板数据,探讨数字经济如何影响绿色创新对碳排放绩效的影响。研究采用了系统广义矩法(SYS-GMM)、两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)和面板量化回归方法。结果表明:(1)绿色创新提高了碳排放绩效。(2)数字经济(数字发展载体、数字产业化、产业数字化、数字发展环境)促进了绿色创新对碳排放绩效的积极影响。(3)具体的数字经济要素,如新型数字基础设施、通信业务与服务产业化、服务数字化、制度与创新环境等也具有积极作用。(4)在机制上,数字经济有利于绿色创新,实现更低的能耗规模、更高的能源效率和更清洁的能源结构,从而提高碳排放绩效。(5)不对称分析表明,数字经济发达的地区,绿色创新对碳排放绩效的改善效果更好。
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引用次数: 0
Shaping stable support: Leveraging digital feedback interventions to elicit socio-Political acceptance of renewable energy 形成稳定的支持:利用数字反馈干预,激发社会政治对可再生能源的接受度
IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114307
Felix Wagon , Gilbert Fridgen , Verena Tiefenbeck

In democratic countries, the success of energy policies hinges on citizens' support and their acceptance of policy outcomes. In this study, we develop a digital feedback intervention to prompt citizens with information that visualizes the geographical distribution of wind turbines and to evaluate the effects on socio-political acceptance. In an online experiment, we exposed 430 German citizens to a personalized digital feedback intervention and elicited their acceptance of renewable wind energy. The results are threefold: First, citizens' acceptance of renewable wind energy that results from digital feedback is lower than initially claimed. Second, citizens who meaningfully engage with the digital feedback intervention are more likely to revise their acceptance of wind energy. Third, and surprisingly, citizens’ ecological attitude and place attachment to their current residence had no significant effect on the extent to which they revised their acceptance of renewable wind energy. Our results demonstrate that digital feedback interventions can act as a “sensor” for socio-political acceptance. This contributes to informing citizens about energy policy outcomes and provides valuable insights for policymakers promoting a participatory democracy paradigm.

在民主国家,能源政策的成功与否取决于公民对政策结果的支持和接受程度。在本研究中,我们开发了一种数字反馈干预,向公民提供可视化风力涡轮机地理分布的信息,并评估其对社会政治接受度的影响。在一项在线实验中,我们向 430 名德国公民展示了个性化的数字反馈干预措施,并了解了他们对可再生风能的接受程度。实验结果有三个方面:首先,通过数字反馈获得的公民对可再生风能的接受度比最初声称的要低。其次,有意义地参与数字反馈干预的公民更有可能修正他们对风能的接受度。第三,令人惊讶的是,公民的生态态度和对当前居住地的依恋程度对他们修正对可再生风能的接受程度没有显著影响。我们的研究结果表明,数字反馈干预可以作为社会政治接受度的 "传感器"。这有助于让公民了解能源政策的结果,并为倡导参与式民主范例的政策制定者提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
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Energy Policy
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