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Advancing extreme heat risk assessments to better capture individually-experienced temperatures: A new approach to describe individual and subgroup vulnerabilities. 推进极端高温风险评估以更好地捕捉个人经历的温度:描述个人和子群体脆弱性的新方法。
IF 10.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-11 DOI: 10.1289/EHP15223
Carina J Gronlund, David M Hondula, Evan Mallen, Marie S O'Neill, Mayuri Rajput, E Scott Krayenhoff, Ashley Broadbent, Santiago C Grijalva, Larissa S Larsen, Sharon L Harlan, Brian Stone

Background: Extreme heat risk assessments often rely on epidemiologic studies that used the nearest available outdoor airport temperatures (OATs) rather than individually-experienced temperatures (IETs) and frequently lack key individual-level determinants of exposure, including occupation, housing, and air conditioning. This hampers efforts to characterize heat burden inequities and guide interventions for vulnerable populations.

Objectives: We developed an approach to estimate individual and subgroup-specific health impacts from modeled IETs before and during extreme heat events for three U.S. cities: Atlanta, Georgia (hot-humid), Detroit, Michigan (temperate), and Phoenix, Arizona (hot-dry).

Methods: IET profiles were estimated using modeled parcel-linked population microdata, housing-specific indoor temperatures from building energy models, ambient temperatures from urban-scale climate models, and time activity patterns from surveys. We linked each IET profile to daily OATs, then fit mixed-effects regressions to predict "equivalent" OATs (eOATs), based on IET, housing, and demographics. We assigned risk ratios (RRs) from existing literature on all-cause mortality, all-cause emergency department (ED) visits, and preterm births to each person-day's eOAT and estimated 5-day-extreme-heat absolute risks (ARs) by age-race-income-occupation subgroup.

Results: The eOATs, RRs, and ARs differed between people due to variability in IETs and baseline health outcome incidence rates. All-cause mortality RRs ranges were 1.00-1.16 (Atlanta), 1.01-7.08 (Detroit), and 1.00-6.38 (Phoenix). All-cause-mortality ARs ranged 0.01-32 (Atlanta), 0.01-1,100 (Detroit), and 0.01-950 (Phoenix) per 100,000 persons. ED visit ARs ranges were 0.2-270 (Atlanta) and 0.04-6,200 (Phoenix) per 100,000 persons. Heat mortality ARs were higher among older adults and, only in Detroit, in young, Black, outdoor workers (median = 6.6 per 100,000) compared to young, non-Black, higher-income, indoor workers (median = 0.3 per 100,000).

Discussion: When IETs can be estimated or directly measured, person-specific eOATs can be used to estimate the subgroup-specific heat-health burdens that would be experienced without adaptive behaviors. This approach could be adapted for other contexts to inform climate preparedness and justice policies. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP15223.

背景:极端高温风险评估通常依赖于流行病学研究,这些研究使用了最近可用的室外机场温度(OATs),而不是个人体验温度(IETs),并且经常缺乏关键的个人水平暴露决定因素,包括职业、住房和空调。这阻碍了对热负担不平等现象进行表征并指导针对弱势群体的干预措施的努力。目的:我们开发了一种方法来估计美国三个城市在极端高温事件之前和期间模拟的et对个体和亚组特定健康的影响:佐治亚州亚特兰大(湿热)、密歇根州底特律(温带)和亚利桑那州凤凰城(干热)。方法:利用模拟的与地块相关的人口微观数据、建筑能源模型中特定住房的室内温度、城市尺度气候模型中的环境温度以及调查中的时间活动模式来估计IET分布。我们将每个IET档案与每日燕麦联系起来,然后根据IET、住房和人口统计数据,拟合混合效应回归来预测“等效”燕麦(eoat)。我们将现有文献中关于全因死亡率、全因急诊科(ED)就诊和早产的风险比(rr)分配给每个人日的eOAT,并按年龄、种族、收入、职业亚组估计5天极端高温绝对风险(ARs)。结果:人与人之间的eats、rr和ar的差异是由于eats和基线健康结局发生率的差异。全因死亡率rr范围分别为1.00-1.16(亚特兰大)、1.01-7.08(底特律)和1.00-6.38(凤凰城)。全因死亡率为每10万人0.01-32(亚特兰大)、0.01- 1100(底特律)和0.01-950(凤凰城)。急诊ARs范围为每10万人0.2-270(亚特兰大)和0.04- 6200(凤凰城)。与年轻、非黑人、高收入、室内工人(中位数= 0.3 / 10万)相比,老年人和年轻、黑人户外工人(中位数= 6.6 / 10万)的热死亡率更高(仅在底特律)。讨论:当IETs可以被估计或直接测量时,个体特异性IETs可以被用来估计没有适应性行为的亚组特异性热健康负担。这种方法可以适用于其他情况,为气候准备和司法政策提供信息。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP15223。
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引用次数: 0
Prenatal Air Pollution Exposure and Autism Spectrum Disorder in the ECHO Consortium. 产前空气污染暴露与自闭症谱系障碍在ECHO联盟。
IF 10.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-11 DOI: 10.1289/EHP16675
Akhgar Ghassabian, Aisha S Dickerson, Yuyan Wang, Joseph M Braun, Deborah H Bennett, Lisa A Croen, Kaja Z LeWinn, Heather H Burris, Rima Habre, Kristen Lyall, Jean A Frazier, Hannah C Glass, Stephen R Hooper, Robert M Joseph, Catherine J Karr, Rebecca J Schmidt, Chloe Friedman, Margaret R Karagas, Annemarie Stroustrup, Jennifer K Straughen, Anne L Dunlop, Jody M Ganiban, Leslie D Leve, Rosalind J Wright, Cindy T McEvoy, Alison E Hipwell, Angelo P Giardino, Hudson P Santos, Hannah Krause, Emily Oken, Carlos A Camargo, Jiwon Oh, Christine Loftus, T Michael O'Shea, Thomas G O'Connor, Adam Szpiro, Heather E Volk

Background: The relationship between prenatal exposure to low-level air pollution and child autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is unclear.

Objective: To examine associations of prenatal air pollution exposure with autism.

Methods: We analyzed data from 8,035 mother-child pairs from 44 United States cohorts in the Environmental influences on Child Health Outcomes (ECHO) Cohort. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and 8-hour-max ozone (O3) levels were estimated at residential addresses during pregnancy. Parents rated children's autism-related traits using the Social Responsiveness Scale (SRS) (mean age 9.4 years, SD=3.6) and reported physician-diagnosed ASD. We examined associations of the three air pollutants with SRS scores (10th, 50th, and 90th quantiles) using quantile regression and with ASD diagnosis using logistic regression. Models were run within census divisions, and coefficients were pooled in a meta-analysis.

Results: Average (SD) pregnancy exposures were 9.3 µg/m3 (2.7) for PM2.5, 21.8 ppb (8.8) for NO2, and 40.3 ppb (5.5) for O3, with variations across census divisions. The median SRS T-score was 46 (IQR=41 to 52), and 444 children (5.5%) had an ASD diagnosis. Higher PM2.5 was associated with higher SRS scores at the 10th quantile (β=0.74, 95% CI: 0.09, 1.40) but not at the median or highest quantile. The association between PM2.5 and ASD diagnosis was highly heterogeneous, with associations present in the South Central, Mountain, and Pacific census divisions. Heterogeneity was also high in the association between NO2 and SRS at the median and only in the mid-Atlantic, West North Central, and South Atlantic census divisions. Higher O3 was associated with higher SRS scores at the median (β per IQR increment=0.83, 95% CI: 0.05, 1.61) and highest quantile (β=2.19, 95% CI: 0.06, 4.32) in the meta-analysis. Higher O3 also was associated with ASD.

Discussion: Associations with ASD outcomes were present even at low levels of air pollutants. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16675.

背景:产前暴露于低水平空气污染与儿童自闭症谱系障碍(ASD)之间的关系尚不清楚。目的:探讨产前空气污染暴露与自闭症的关系。方法:我们分析了来自44个美国环境对儿童健康结果影响队列(ECHO)的8035对母婴的数据。细颗粒物(PM2.5)、二氧化氮(NO2)和8小时最大臭氧(O3)水平在怀孕期间的住宅地址进行了估计。父母使用社会反应量表(SRS)(平均年龄9.4岁,SD=3.6)对孩子的自闭症相关特征进行评分,并报告医生诊断的自闭症。我们使用分位数回归检查了三种空气污染物与SRS评分(第10、50和90分位数)的关系,并使用逻辑回归检查了与ASD诊断的关系。模型在人口普查部门内运行,系数在荟萃分析中汇总。结果:PM2.5的平均妊娠暴露(SD)为9.3 μ g/m3 (2.7), NO2为21.8 ppb (8.8), O3为40.3 ppb(5.5),不同人口普查区划存在差异。SRS t评分中位数为46 (IQR=41 ~ 52), 444名儿童(5.5%)被诊断为ASD。较高的PM2.5与较高的SRS评分在第10分位数相关(β=0.74, 95% CI: 0.09, 1.40),但与中位数或最高分位数无关。PM2.5与ASD诊断之间的关联是高度异质性的,在中南部、山区和太平洋地区存在关联。NO2和SRS之间的相关性在中位数上也具有很高的异质性,仅在大西洋中部、西北中部和南大西洋人口普查分区。在meta分析中,较高的O3与较高的SRS评分在中位数(β每IQR增量=0.83,95% CI: 0.05, 1.61)和最高分位数(β=2.19, 95% CI: 0.06, 4.32)相关。较高的O3也与ASD有关。讨论:即使在低水平的空气污染物中,也存在与ASD结果的关联。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16675。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the potential impacts of California Senate Bill 27 (SB27) on the antimicrobial susceptibility of Escherichia coli from raw meat. 评估加州参议院第27号法案(SB27)对生肉中大肠杆菌抗菌敏感性的潜在影响。
IF 10.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-11 DOI: 10.1289/EHP16115
Vanessa Quinlivan, Daniel E Park, Maliha Aziz, Joan A Casey, Meghan Davis, Qi Hu, Gabriel Innes, Keeve Nachman, Ann Nyaboe, Magdalena Pomichowski, Hanna-Grace Rabanes, Annie Roberts, Erika Roloff, Harpreet S Takhar, Sara Y Tartof, Cindy Liu, Lance Price

Background: Antimicrobial use in food-animal production selects for antimicrobial-resistant Escherichia coli (E. coli) that can be transmitted to humans via contaminated meat products. California Senate Bill 27 (SB27), which took effect on January 1, 2018, restricts the use of medically important antimicrobials in California food-animal production. Over time, SB27 could reduce the prevalence of antimicrobial-resistant E. coli on meat produced in California.

Objectives: We aimed to assess whether the implementation of SB27 was associated with significant decreases in resistance to medically important antimicrobials among E. coli strains contaminating raw chicken produced in California.

Methods: We purchased raw chicken products in Southern California, including those produced in and outside of California, from 2017 to 2021 and cultured them for E. coli. Susceptibility to 19 antimicrobials was determined using the disk diffusion method. Changes in antimicrobial susceptibility over the course of the study were evaluated using the Mann-Kendall test.

Results: We observed significant decreases in resistance to multiple classes of antimicrobials in E. coli isolated from retail chicken meat from 2017 to 2021. Resistance to penicillins had a relative decrease of 14-18% annually in E. coli from chicken raised in California but not from chicken raised outside California, potentially indicating that SB27 was effective. Resistance to multiple other classes of antimicrobials saw an absolute decrease of up to 8% in chicken produced both inside and outside California.

Discussion: Our findings suggest that the downward trends in antimicrobial resistance among E. coli populations from California-produced chicken products reflect national trends. It is possible that the California SB27 legislation helped motivate industry-wide decreases in antimicrobial use among broiler chicken producers. Alternatively, the changes observed in California may have been driven by industry-wide trends independent of SB27. The lack of publicly available data regarding actual antimicrobial use in California and non-California broiler chicken production limits our ability to make stronger conclusions about our observations. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16115.

背景:在食品动物生产中使用抗菌素选择可通过受污染的肉制品传播给人类的耐抗生素大肠杆菌(E. coli)。加州参议院第27号法案(SB27)于2018年1月1日生效,限制在加州食品动物生产中使用具有重要医学意义的抗菌素。随着时间的推移,SB27可以减少加州生产的肉类中耐抗生素大肠杆菌的流行。目的:我们旨在评估SB27的实施是否与污染加州生鸡肉的大肠杆菌菌株对医学上重要的抗菌素的耐药性显著降低有关。方法:我们从2017年至2021年在南加州购买了生鸡肉产品,包括在加州境内和境外生产的鸡肉产品,并对其进行大肠杆菌培养。采用纸片扩散法测定19种抗菌药物的药敏。使用Mann-Kendall试验评估研究过程中抗菌药物敏感性的变化。结果:我们观察到,从2017年至2021年,从零售鸡肉中分离出的大肠杆菌对多种抗菌素的耐药性显著下降。在加州饲养的鸡中,大肠杆菌对青霉素的耐药性每年相对下降14-18%,而在加州以外饲养的鸡中则没有,这可能表明SB27是有效的。在加州内外生产的鸡中,对其他多种抗菌素的耐药性绝对下降了8%。讨论:我们的研究结果表明,加州生产的鸡肉产品的大肠杆菌种群中抗菌素耐药性的下降趋势反映了全国趋势。加州SB27立法可能有助于推动肉鸡生产商在全行业范围内减少抗菌药物的使用。或者,在加州观察到的变化可能是由独立于SB27的行业趋势驱动的。由于缺乏加州和非加州肉鸡生产中实际使用抗菌药物的公开数据,我们无法对我们的观察得出更有力的结论。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16115。
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引用次数: 0
Linking "big" geospatial and health data: implications for research in environmental epidemiology. 链接“大”地理空间和卫生数据:对环境流行病学研究的影响。
IF 10.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-11 DOI: 10.1289/EHP15756
Andrea R Titus, Tarik Benmarhnia, Lorna E Thorpe

Background: Environmental epidemiology studies increasingly integrate "big" geospatial and health datasets to examine associations between environmental factors and health outcomes. Using such datasets - and linking between them - presents a number of complexities with regard to study design and analytic approaches. These complexities are often magnified with the integration of additional contextual data representing other neighborhood characteristics, including socioeconomic factors. Guidance regarding the design of environmental health studies that leverage "big" geospatial and health outcome data is limited and fragmented.

Objective: Drawing on methodological literature and case studies, this commentary outlines common challenges related to geospatial and health data linkages, posing a series of guiding questions and considerations for investigators conducting environmental health studies, particularly analyses with an etiological focus.

Discussion: Recommendations include: 1) using a target trial approach to guide causal analysis, 2) aligning measures with hypothesized causal mechanisms, 3) exploring opportunities to "groundtruth" and validate data, and 4) prioritizing interdisciplinary science. The goal of the commentary is to consolidate insights from multiple disciplines - including exposure science, epidemiology, and sociology - to provide a foundation for etiologic research focused on advancing environmental health for all populations. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP15756.

背景:环境流行病学研究越来越多地整合“大”地理空间和健康数据集,以检查环境因素与健康结果之间的关联。使用这样的数据集——以及它们之间的联系——在研究设计和分析方法方面呈现出许多复杂性。这些复杂性往往会随着代表其他社区特征(包括社会经济因素)的额外背景数据的整合而被放大。关于设计利用“大”地理空间和健康结果数据的环境卫生研究的指导是有限和零碎的。目标:根据方法学文献和案例研究,本评论概述了与地理空间和卫生数据联系有关的共同挑战,为开展环境卫生研究,特别是以病因为重点的分析的调查人员提出了一系列指导性问题和考虑事项。讨论:建议包括:1)使用目标试验方法来指导因果分析,2)将测量与假设的因果机制结合起来,3)探索“基础真相”和验证数据的机会,以及4)优先考虑跨学科科学。本评论的目标是整合来自多学科的见解,包括暴露科学、流行病学和社会学,为病因学研究提供基础,重点是促进所有人群的环境健康。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP15756。
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引用次数: 0
Prenatal exposure to ambient air pollution and fetal growth trajectories in Wuhan, China. 中国武汉产前环境空气污染暴露与胎儿生长轨迹
IF 10.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-10 DOI: 10.1289/EHP15204
Chen Hu, Hongxiu Liu, Yang Peng, Jie Hu, Wei Xia, Shunqing Xu, Yuanyuan Li

Background: While numerous studies have examined associations between prenatal air pollution exposure and fetal growth measures, investigations assessing longitudinal growth trajectories across multiple time points during mid-to-late pregnancy remain limited.

Objectives: The aim of this study is to explore the effects of prenatal exposure to air pollution during pregnancy on fetal growth trajectories.

Methods: From a prospective birth cohort in Wuhan, China recruited from 2013 to 2016, we included a total of 4283 eligible pregnant women. At 16, 24, 31, and 38 weeks of gestation, we collected ultrasound measurements, including biparietal diameter (BPD), abdominal circumference (AC), femur length (FL), and estimated fetal weight (EFW). Exposure to air pollution during pregnancy was estimated for the participants' residential addresses using a spatial interpolation method. Associations between air pollutants and fetal growth parameters across four exposure windows were examined using multiple informant models. A group-based trajectory modelling (GBTM) combined with multinomial logistic regression model were used to explore the effect of air pollution exposure on fetal growth trajectories.

Results: Four trajectory groups for AC, FL, and EFW, and three trajectory groups for BPD were selected based on GBTM. Compared with the reference trajectory group, exposure to higher PM2.5 during weeks 1-16 was significantly associated with lower odds of "fast growth group" for AC(OR=0.68, 95% CI: 0.55, 0.84) and EFW(OR=0.71, 95% CI: 0.56, 0.91). Exposures to PM2.5, PM10, NO2, SO2, and CO during 1-16 weeks were negatively associated with AC, FL, and EFW at 16 weeks, as well as BPD, FL, and EFW at 24 weeks. While similar negative associations were observed between air pollution exposure during 25-38 weeks and AC and EFW at 38 weeks.

Discussion: Our study provided evidence of negative associations between air pollution exposure during 1-16 weeks gestation and fast growth trajectory group. In addition, we observed distinct lagged associations between air pollution and fetal growth, with early-pregnancy exposure negatively related to early and mid-gestational growth, and mid-to-late pregnancy exposure negatively related to growth in the late window. These results underscore the importance of identifying critical windows of susceptibility during pregnancy and support early intervention strategies to mitigate adverse fetal developmental outcomes. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP15204.

背景:虽然许多研究已经调查了产前空气污染暴露与胎儿生长指标之间的关系,但评估妊娠中后期多个时间点纵向生长轨迹的调查仍然有限。目的:本研究旨在探讨孕期空气污染对胎儿生长轨迹的影响。方法:从2013年至2016年在中国武汉招募的前瞻性出生队列中,我们共纳入了4283名符合条件的孕妇。在妊娠16、24、31和38周,我们收集了超声测量数据,包括双顶直径(BPD)、腹围(AC)、股骨长度(FL)和估计胎儿体重(EFW)。采用空间插值法对孕妇居住地的孕期空气污染暴露程度进行估算。使用多重信息模型检查了四个暴露窗口中空气污染物与胎儿生长参数之间的关系。采用基于群体的轨迹模型(GBTM)结合多项logistic回归模型探讨空气污染暴露对胎儿生长轨迹的影响。结果:基于GBTM选择AC、FL、EFW 4个轨迹组,BPD 3个轨迹组。与参考轨迹组相比,1-16周暴露于较高的PM2.5与AC(OR=0.68, 95% CI: 0.55, 0.84)和EFW(OR=0.71, 95% CI: 0.56, 0.91)“快速生长组”的几率较低显著相关。1-16周暴露于PM2.5、PM10、NO2、SO2和CO与16周时的AC、FL和EFW以及24周时的BPD、FL和EFW呈负相关。而在25-38周的空气污染暴露与38周的AC和EFW之间也观察到类似的负相关。讨论:我们的研究提供了妊娠1-16周空气污染暴露与快速生长轨迹组负相关的证据。此外,我们观察到空气污染与胎儿生长之间存在明显的滞后关系,妊娠早期暴露与妊娠早期和中期生长负相关,妊娠中后期暴露与妊娠后期生长负相关。这些结果强调了确定孕期易感性关键窗口的重要性,并支持早期干预策略以减轻不良的胎儿发育结果。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP15204。
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引用次数: 0
The Association of Arsenic Exposure and Metabolism Biomarkers with Subclinical Measures of Liver Disease: a cross-sectional investigation in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. 砷暴露和代谢生物标志物与肝脏疾病亚临床指标的关联:动脉粥样硬化多种族研究的横断面调查
IF 10.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-10 DOI: 10.1289/EHP16728
Hui-Chen Wu, Ronald A Glabonjat, Kathrin Schilling, William A Anderson, Siyue Gao, Arce Domingo Relloso, Nancy LoIacono, Monique Slowly, Anne E Nigra, Tiffany Sanchez, Marisa H Sobel, Marta Galvez-Fernandez, Matthew J Budoff, Mary V Gamble, Ana Navas-Acien, Mariana Lazo

Background: Long-term exposure to arsenic (As) can cause many health effects and As metabolism is key in the detoxification and elimination of As. We hypothesize that hepatic steatosis might affect As metabolism efficiency. We evaluated the association of As exposure and As metabolism biomarkers with hepatic steatosis.

Methods: In this cross-sectional analysis, we analyzed data from 3,577 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), an ethnically diverse US adult population, with urinary metals and liver CT scan data available. We measured total As and As species in urine, and summarized As methylation biomarkers as inorganic (iAs%), monomethylarsonic acid (MMA%), and dimethylarsinic acid (DMA%). The ratio of liver-to-spleen (L/S) Hounsfield units (HU) < 1.0 and liver attenuation < 40 HU were used to assess the presence and severity of liver fat content. We used logistic regression to estimate the odds ratio (OR) (95%CI) of steatosis per higher interquartile range (IQR) of log-transformed total urinary As levels (ΣAs, μg/L), and per 5% higher in log-transformed As species (iAs%, MMA%, DMA%).

Results: The adjusted ORs (95%CI) for L/S < 1.0 were 1.09 (0.91, 1.30) per higher IQR of ΣAs, and 0.80 (0.68, 0.95), 0.69 (0.61, 0.77), and 1.24 (1.15, 1.34) per 5% higher iAs%, MMA%, and DMA%, respectively. The corresponding ORs (95% CI) for HU < 40 were 0.99 (0.75, 1.30) per higher IQR of increase ΣAs, and 0.70 (0.50, 0.91), 0.65 (0.55, 0.78), and 1.31 (1.16, 1.48) per 5% higher iAs%, MMA%, and DMA%, respectively. The associations were consistent by self-reported race/ethnicity and sex.

Conclusions: Arsenic methylation capacity, but not exposure, was associated with the prevalence of hepatic steatosis. Studies are needed to examine the longitudinal association between the progression of hepatic steatosis with As metabolism biomarkers and As-related disease. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16728.

背景:长期接触砷(As)会引起许多健康影响,而砷代谢是砷解毒和消除的关键。我们假设肝脏脂肪变性可能影响As代谢效率。我们评估了砷暴露和砷代谢生物标志物与肝脂肪变性的关系。方法:在这项横断面分析中,我们分析了来自3577名多种族动脉粥样硬化研究(MESA)参与者的数据,这是一个多种族的美国成年人群,有尿金属和肝脏CT扫描数据。我们测量了尿液中总As和As种类,并将As甲基化生物标志物总结为无机(iAs%)、单甲基larsinic酸(MMA%)和二甲基larsinic酸(DMA%)。以肝脾比(L/S) Hounsfield单位(HU) < 1.0和肝脏衰减< 40 HU评价肝脏脂肪含量的存在及严重程度。我们使用逻辑回归来估计每高对数转化总尿As水平(ΣAs, μg/L)四分位数范围(IQR)脂肪变性的比值比(OR) (95%CI),以及每高5%对数转化As物种(iAs%, MMA%, DMA%)的比值比(OR)。结果:L/S < 1.0的调整ORs (95%CI)分别为1.09 (0.91,1.30)/ ΣAs的IQR高,0.80(0.68,0.95),0.69(0.61,0.77)和1.24 (1.15,1.34)/ iAs%, MMA%和DMA%的IQR高5%。HU < 40对应的or (95% CI)为0.99 (0.75,1.30),IQR增加ΣAs每增加5%,对应的or (95% CI)分别为0.70(0.50,0.91)、0.65(0.55,0.78)和1.31(1.16,1.48)。这种关联与自我报告的种族/民族和性别是一致的。结论:砷甲基化能力,而不是暴露,与肝脂肪变性的患病率相关。肝脂肪变性进展与As代谢生物标志物和As相关疾病之间的纵向关联需要研究。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16728。
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引用次数: 0
Pesticide Exposure Estimation across Census Tracts in Washington State: Identifying Vulnerable Areas and Populations. 华盛顿州人口普查区农药暴露评估:确定脆弱地区和人口。
IF 10.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-10 DOI: 10.1289/EHP15686
Solmaz Amiri, Jeffrey M Bryant, Daniel H Farber, Ofer Amram, Jennifer C Sabel

Introduction: Disparities in exposure to and harm associated with pesticides are established. However, high resolution spatial data on exposure to pesticides are lacking.

Purpose: To describe the development of a pesticide metric for Washington State and to evaluate the associations between pesticide exposure and sociodemographic characteristics of census tracts.

Methods: We used the US cropland dataset to quantify the location and size of agricultural land. These data were overlayed with state- and county-level estimated annual agricultural pesticide use to estimate pesticide exposure at the census tract level. Sociodemographic characteristics of census tracts were from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Social Vulnerability Index (SVI). Generalized additive models evaluated the associations between pesticide exposure and each of the SVI variables.

Results: The median exposure to pesticides was 1.5 lbs/sq mi. Significant associations were observed between exposure to pesticides and higher percentage of population below poverty, populations unemployed, populations 65 and older, non-Hispanic white populations, those with limited English language proficiency, mobile homes, and group quarters.

Conclusions: The results inform public health and policy efforts to identify areas and populations that are most vulnerable to pesticide exposure and improve the health and wellbeing of farmworkers and populations residing near agricultural areas. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP15686.

导言:确定了农药暴露和相关危害的差异。然而,缺乏关于农药暴露的高分辨率空间数据。目的:描述华盛顿州农药度量标准的发展,并评估农药暴露与人口普查区社会人口特征之间的关系。方法:我们使用美国耕地数据集来量化农业用地的位置和规模。这些数据与州和县一级估计的年度农业农药使用量重叠,以估计人口普查区水平的农药暴露。人口普查区的社会人口学特征来自美国疾病控制和预防中心的社会脆弱性指数(SVI)。广义加性模型评估了农药暴露与SVI各变量之间的关系。结果:农药暴露的中位数为1.5磅/平方英里。在农药暴露与较高比例的贫困人口、失业人口、65岁及以上人口、非西班牙裔白人人口、英语能力有限的人口、移动住房和群体住房之间存在显著关联。结论:这些结果为公共卫生和政策工作提供了信息,以确定最易受农药暴露的地区和人群,并改善农场工人和居住在农业区附近的人口的健康和福祉。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP15686。
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引用次数: 0
Source-specific air pollution and risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A pooled cohort study. 特定来源的空气污染与慢性阻塞性肺疾病的风险:一项汇总队列研究
IF 10.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-09 DOI: 10.1289/EHP16554
Manuella Lech Cantuaria, Aslak Harbo Poulsen, Ole Raaschou-Nielsen, Étienne Audureau, Ralph Epaud, Sophie Lanone, Jørgen Brandt, Lisa Marie Frohn, Matthias Ketzel, Anja Olsen, Lau Caspar Thygesen, Mette Sørensen

Background: The evidence linking long-term exposure to air pollution and development of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is still controversial. Furthermore, most studies have investigated associations with particulate matter (PM) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2), disregarding their emission source and other relevant air pollutants, such as ultrafine particles (UFP) and elemental carbon (EC).

Objectives: This study aimed to assess associations between long-term residential exposure to PM2.5, NO2, UFP, and EC and risk of COPD, distinguishing the effects of air pollution from local traffic and other sources.

Methods: We pooled data from two large Danish cohorts - the Diet, Cancer, and Health cohort and the Danish National Health Survey. For all participants (N = 159,769), we estimated long-term air pollution exposure to total, local traffic, and other contributions, based on complete address histories. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate associations between 10-year time-weighted averaged air pollution and incident COPD, adjusting for demographic, socioeconomic, and lifestyle factors, including smoking.We evaluated possible modification of these associations by sex, smoking status, and previous asthma diagnosis.

Results: Long-term exposures to PM2.5, NO2, UFP, and EC were associated with higher risk of COPD. The highest hazard ratio (HR) per interquartile range of total contributions was observed for PM2.5 (HR: 1.11 [95% confidence interval: 1.05, 1.17]), followed by NO2 (1.08 [1.04, 1.13]), UFP (1.05 [0.99, 1.11]), and EC (1.02 [1.00, 1.05]), after full adjustment. PM2.5 from other sources than local traffic was more strongly associated with COPD than PM2.5 from local traffic, while for UFP and EC, the contributions from local traffic seemed most harmful. Effect modification analyses showed stronger associations among women, never smokers, and those with an asthma diagnosis.

Discussion: Our findings suggest that air pollution from local traffic and other sources contribute to COPD risk, with variations depending on the pollutant type. Further research is needed to validate these findings across different populations and geographical settings. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16554.

背景:长期暴露于空气污染与慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)发展之间的证据仍然存在争议。此外,大多数研究都研究了颗粒物(PM)和二氧化氮(NO2)的相关性,而忽略了它们的排放源和其他相关的空气污染物,如超细颗粒(UFP)和单质碳(EC)。目的:本研究旨在评估长期居住暴露于PM2.5、NO2、UFP和EC与COPD风险之间的关系,区分来自当地交通和其他来源的空气污染的影响。方法:我们汇集了两个大型丹麦队列的数据——饮食、癌症和健康队列和丹麦国家健康调查。对于所有参与者(N = 159,769),我们根据完整的地址历史估算了长期空气污染暴露对总、当地交通和其他贡献的影响。我们使用Cox比例风险模型来估计10年时间加权平均空气污染与COPD事件之间的关联,并对人口统计学、社会经济和生活方式因素(包括吸烟)进行了调整。我们评估了性别、吸烟状况和既往哮喘诊断可能改变这些关联的可能性。结果:长期暴露于PM2.5、NO2、UFP和EC与COPD的高风险相关。经完全校正后,PM2.5在总贡献四分位数范围内的风险比(HR)最高(HR: 1.11[95%置信区间:1.05,1.17]),其次是NO2(1.08[1.04, 1.13])、UFP(1.05[0.99, 1.11])和EC(1.02[1.00, 1.05])。与本地交通PM2.5相比,其他来源的PM2.5与慢性阻塞性肺病的相关性更强,而对于UFP和EC,本地交通的贡献似乎是最有害的。效应修正分析显示,在女性、从不吸烟者和哮喘患者之间存在更强的相关性。讨论:我们的研究结果表明,来自当地交通和其他来源的空气污染会导致COPD风险,其差异取决于污染物类型。需要进一步的研究在不同的人群和地理环境中验证这些发现。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16554。
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引用次数: 0
Ambient temperature and injury-related emergency department visits in China and its Provinces: a large national case-crossover study. 中国及其各省环境温度与伤害相关急诊就诊:一项大型全国性病例交叉研究
IF 10.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-09 DOI: 10.1289/EHP16878
Guanhao He, Yuan Wang, Tao Liu, Xiao Deng, Jianxiong Hu, Yuliang Er, Pengpeng Ye, Qijiong Zhu, Ye Jin, Cuirong Ji, Ziqiang Lin, Fengrui Jing, Leilei Duan, Wenjun Ma

Background: Temperature-related risks on non-accidental morbidity or mortality have been well documented. However, limited studies have investigated the injury morbidity risk and burden attributed to ambient temperature.

Objective: The current study aimed to assess the injury morbidity risk and burden attributed to ambient temperature in China.

Methods: A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted in 31 provincial-level administrations across mainland China, and 11.5 million injury-related emergency department visits recorded in National Injury Surveillance System (NISS) during 2006-2021 were included in the study. An injury case refers to a patient who takes the first visit to the outpatient or emergency department in NISS due to an injury. Daily meteorological data were collected from the fifth generation of European ReAnalysis-Land. A two-stage approach, including a conditional logistic regression and a multilevel meta-analysis, was applied to estimate the temperature-injury association, which were then applied to assess the morbidity burden attributable to temperature.

Results: We observed that injury risk increased 1.2% (95%CI: 1.0%-1.4%) for a 1 °C increase in daily mean temperature with higher risk for males, children aged 0-4, and residents in tropical and subtropical zone. We also found that animal injury, violence and attack, and injury in agricultural area were more susceptible to temperature. Compared to the 2020s, we projected 5.7 times increase of injury cases and 10.4 times of attributable fraction due to temperature change driven by global warming in the 2090s under SSP5-8.5 scenario in China. Our findings might be informative for injury prevention in the context of climate change in China.

Conclusion: Our findings identify susceptible populations, regions and mechanism-specific injuries when exposure to ambient temperature, which could be informative for injury prevention in the context of climate change in China. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16878.

背景:温度对非意外发病或死亡的相关风险已被充分记录。然而,对环境温度引起的损伤发病风险和负担的研究有限。目的:了解中国环境温度对人体伤害的致病风险和负担。方法:在中国大陆31个省级行政部门进行时间分层病例交叉研究,并纳入2006-2021年国家伤害监测系统(NISS)记录的1150万例与伤害相关的急诊就诊。受伤病例是指因受伤而首次到NISS门诊或急诊科就诊的患者。每日气象数据收集自第五代欧洲reanalysisland。采用两阶段方法,包括条件逻辑回归和多水平荟萃分析,来估计温度与伤害的关联,然后用于评估归因于温度的发病率负担。结果:我们观察到,日平均温度每升高1°C,男性、0-4岁儿童以及热带和亚热带居民的伤害风险增加1.2% (95%CI: 1.0%-1.4%)。我们还发现,动物伤害、暴力袭击和农业地区的伤害更容易受到温度的影响。与20世纪20年代相比,在SSP5-8.5情景下,我们预测20世纪90年代中国因全球变暖导致的温度变化造成的伤害病例增加了5.7倍,可归因比例增加了10.4倍。我们的研究结果可能为中国气候变化背景下的伤害预防提供信息。结论:我们的研究结果确定了暴露于环境温度下的易感人群、区域和机制特异性损伤,这可能为中国气候变化背景下的伤害预防提供信息。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16878。
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引用次数: 0
Pre-disease biomarkers of persistent organic pollutants (POPs) and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) risk in Finland. 芬兰持久性有机污染物(POPs)和肌萎缩侧索硬化症(ALS)风险的病前生物标志物
IF 10.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-09 DOI: 10.1289/EHP16539
Ian W Tang, Paul Knekt, Panu Rantakokko, Markku Heliövaara, Harri Rissanen, Päivi Ruokojärvi, Rajarshi Mukherjee, Marc G Weisskopf

Background: Persistent organic pollutants (POPs) are toxic chemicals that bioaccumulate and were used in pesticides and industrial products/processes. POP-exposed occupations and environmental exposure to POPs have been associated with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), but no study has evaluated the association with ALS when measuring POPs in samples collected before ALS onset.

Objectives: This study examined the relationship between pre-disease POP exposure and ALS risk.

Methods: We conducted a nested case-control study pooling three Finnish cohorts (n=56,862). During a median follow-up of 27 years, 97 incident ALS cases were identified (mean age at ALS=68). Within each cohort, two controls per case were selected by individual matching for age, sex, municipality, and serum freeze-thaw cycles. Thirteen polychlorinated biphenyls (PCB) and nine organochlorine pesticides (OCP) were determined in serum samples collected at baseline and stored at -20C. We considered these POPs both in groups (similar congener, isomer, metabolite groups) and separately. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated using a conditional logistic model in a two-stage approach, further adjusting for smoking, occupation, marital status, BMI, and serum cholesterol level in primary models.

Results: In the main model hexachlorobenzene (HCB) showed a positive association with ALS occurrence. In contrast, Σnon-dioxin-like (NDL) PCB and ΣDDT were significantly inversely associated with ALS incidence. Most other POP groups were non-significantly inversely associated with ALS risk. In co-pollutant models, the only notable changes were that Σdioxin-like PCB and ΣHCH showed large non-significant, elevated, ORs, suggesting some negative co-pollutant confounding. There were some suggestions of stronger findings when limiting to some subgroups.

Discussion: We found little evidence that POPs were associated with ALS, but we identified a suggestive positive association with HCB and HCH. ΣNDL PCB and ΣDDT were inversely associated with ALS. This could suggest protective mechanisms or uncontrolled confounding by neuroprotective factors (e.g. fish oils). https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16539.

背景:持久性有机污染物(POPs)是生物积累的有毒化学物质,用于农药和工业产品/工艺。暴露于持久性有机污染物的职业和环境暴露与肌萎缩性侧索硬化症(ALS)有关,但在测量ALS发病前收集的样本中的持久性有机污染物时,没有研究评估其与ALS的关系。目的:本研究探讨疾病前POP暴露与ALS风险之间的关系。方法:我们进行了一项巢式病例对照研究,纳入了三个芬兰队列(n=56,862)。在中位27年的随访期间,发现了97例ALS病例(ALS时平均年龄为68岁)。在每个队列中,通过年龄、性别、城市和血清冻融周期的个体匹配,每个病例选择两个对照。在-20℃保存的血清样品中检测了13种多氯联苯(PCB)和9种有机氯农药(OCP)。我们将这些持久性有机污染物分为两组(相似的同系物、异构体、代谢物组)和单独考虑。比值比和95%置信区间采用两阶段方法的条件logistic模型进行估计,并在初级模型中进一步调整吸烟、职业、婚姻状况、BMI和血清胆固醇水平。结果:在主要模型中,六氯苯(HCB)与ALS的发生呈正相关。相反,Σnon-dioxin-like (NDL) PCB和ΣDDT与ALS发病率呈显著负相关。大多数其他POP组与ALS风险无显著负相关。在共污染物模型中,唯一显著的变化是Σdioxin-like PCB和ΣHCH显示出较大的、不显著的、升高的or,这表明存在一些负的共污染物混淆。当限制在某些亚组时,有一些更强的发现的建议。讨论:我们几乎没有发现持久性有机污染物与ALS相关的证据,但我们确定了与六氯环己烷和六氯环己烷的暗示性正相关。ΣNDL PCB和ΣDDT与ALS呈负相关。这可能表明保护机制或不受控制的神经保护因素(如鱼油)混淆。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP16539。
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引用次数: 0
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Environmental Health Perspectives
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