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On Nonlinear Effects of Inflation Across Countries 论各国通货膨胀的非线性效应
Pub Date : 2018-12-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3300610
Chao He
Many emerging market economies have a higher tolerance for inflation than industrialized economies. Recent empirical studies find nonlinear effects of inflation and that the threshold rate is higher for emerging countries. Motivated by the fact that emerging countries have higher business costs, this paper incorporates entrepreneurial occupational choices in a parsimonious monetary model and rationalizes the observed different thresholds rates. The reason is that business costs distort the occupational decisions and affect the inflation-output tradeoff.
许多新兴市场经济体对通货膨胀的容忍度高于工业化经济体。最近的实证研究发现了通货膨胀的非线性效应,新兴国家的门槛率更高。考虑到新兴国家的商业成本较高,本文将企业家职业选择纳入简约货币模型,并对观察到的不同门槛率进行合理化。其原因是商业成本扭曲了职业决策并影响了通胀-产出的权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Why Does an IPO Impact Rival Firms? IPO为何会影响竞争对手?
Pub Date : 2018-12-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2437027
M. Spiegel, H. Tookes
We use the IPO setting to demonstrate how the forecasts generated by a dynamic oligopoly model can help researchers overcome empirical challenges associated with establishing causality and identify appropriate control firms. Both of these are common issues in the empirical corporate finance literature. Recent papers report deteriorating performance by rivals following an IPO in the industry. Authors have attributed this to the competitive advantages a firm acquires by going public. When we reexamine this issue via a dynamic structural model, the results indicate that the value reductions across the industry primarily arise from an increased commoditization of the product market post-IPO. Based on the structural model, the paper develops a new causality test analogous to the difference-in-differences methodology and concludes that IPOs forecast future industry changes but do not cause them.
我们使用IPO设置来证明动态寡头垄断模型生成的预测如何帮助研究人员克服与建立因果关系相关的经验挑战,并确定适当的控制公司。这两个问题都是实证企业金融文献中常见的问题。最近的一些论文报告称,该行业的竞争对手在IPO后业绩不断恶化。作者将其归因于公司通过上市获得的竞争优势。当我们通过动态结构模型重新审视这个问题时,结果表明,整个行业的价值减少主要是由于ipo后产品市场商品化程度的提高。在结构模型的基础上,本文提出了一种类似于差分法的因果检验方法,并得出ipo预测了未来行业的变化,但并不导致未来行业的变化。
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引用次数: 5
Founders' Commitment and Firm Financing: Multiple 'Skins in the Game' as a Signal to Investors 创始人的承诺和公司融资:向投资者发出的多重“皮肤”信号
Pub Date : 2018-11-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3290378
Aleksandar Giga
A new method of financing known as equity crowdfunding, propelled by internet technology and deregulation, has emerged rapidly as a promising new source of startup financing and a window into early-stage investment process. By studying companies raising funds on one of the largest US equity crowdfunding platforms, this study finds that companies with multiple founders with prior personal financial commitment (“Skin in the Game” (SITG)) raise more funds, suggesting a signaling mechanism to investors of founders’ cross-validation of the project’s prospects. Single founders lack such mechanism. The study uncovers a link between the team structure, a key organizational aspect, and signaling to future stakeholders. The same mechanism may be at work in other contexts, such as venture capital syndication and mutual fund management decisions. In addition, the work offers insights into the potential of crowdfunding.
在互联网技术和监管放松的推动下,一种被称为股权众筹(equity crowdfunding)的新融资方式迅速崛起,成为初创企业融资的一个有前景的新来源,也是了解早期投资过程的一个窗口。通过研究在美国最大的股权众筹平台之一上筹集资金的公司,本研究发现,拥有多个创始人且先前有个人财务承诺的公司(“共同承担风险”(SITG))筹集了更多资金,这表明创始人对项目前景的交叉验证向投资者发出了一种信号机制。单身创始人缺乏这样的机制。该研究揭示了团队结构、关键组织方面和向未来利益相关者发出信号之间的联系。同样的机制可能在其他情况下发挥作用,例如风险资本联合和共同基金管理决策。此外,这项工作还提供了对众筹潜力的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Capital Gains Taxation and Funding for Start-Ups 资本利得税和初创企业融资
Pub Date : 2018-10-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3265385
A. Edwards, Maximilian Todtenhaupt
We examine how capital gains taxes affect investment in start-up (i.e., pre-IPO) firms. Using data on capital raised by start-up firms in individual funding rounds, we estimate the effect of the SBJA of 2010, which implemented a full exemption from federal capital gains tax on the sale of qualified shares. Because of higher expected after-tax returns (lower future capital gains taxes), we hypothesize and find evidence consistent with this capital gains tax reduction increasing the amount of investment in start-up firms per funding round by about 12%. We also provide evidence that this effect is concentrated in start-up firms that are likely to be more financially sophisticated.
我们研究了资本利得税如何影响对初创公司(即上市前)的投资。利用创业公司在个别融资轮次中筹集的资金数据,我们估计了2010年SBJA的影响,该法案对出售合格股票完全免征联邦资本利得税。由于更高的预期税后回报(更低的未来资本利得税),我们假设并找到了与资本利得税减免相一致的证据,每轮融资增加了创业公司约12%的投资额。我们还提供了证据,表明这种影响集中在可能在财务上更复杂的初创公司。
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引用次数: 19
Survey of the Kenyan Private Equity and Venture Capital Landscape 肯尼亚私募股权和风险投资概况调查
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-8598
Shanthi Divakaran, Patrick J. Mcginnis, S. Schneider
This paper discusses the landscape for private equity and venture capital financing in Kenya. It provides an overview of the private equity and venture capital market in the country, describing key players, including funds, fund managers, investors, and public sector entities. The paper provides an analysis of key market drivers and impediments, as well as legal/regulatory/taxation drivers and impediments that affect Kenya’s private equity and venture capital industry.
本文讨论了肯尼亚私募股权和风险资本融资的前景。它概述了该国的私募股权和风险资本市场,描述了主要参与者,包括基金、基金经理、投资者和公共部门实体。本文分析了主要的市场驱动因素和障碍,以及影响肯尼亚私募股权和风险投资行业的法律/监管/税收驱动因素和障碍。
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引用次数: 8
The Dynamics of SMEs' Capital Structure and Performance: Evidence From a Panel VAR 中小企业资本结构与绩效的动态关系:来自面板VAR的证据
Pub Date : 2018-09-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3257002
C. Bannier, Thomas Heyden
We study the dynamics of the relationship between capital structure and performance of unlisted small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Germany. A panel vector autoregressive model allows us to account for potential endogeneity and individual heterogeneity. Our results show that there is a strong positive association between leverage and performance for small and medium-sized firms. However, we find no relation for micro-sized firms. While the smallest SMEs hence seem unable to seize the performance-enhancing effects of higher leverage, it appears important to keep credit restrictions at bay for larger SMEs.
本文研究了德国非上市中小企业资本结构与绩效之间的动态关系。面板向量自回归模型允许我们考虑潜在的内生性和个体异质性。我们的研究结果表明,中小企业的杠杆与绩效之间存在很强的正相关关系。然而,我们发现,对于微型企业,这种关系并不存在。因此,虽然规模最小的中小企业似乎无法抓住高杠杆率带来的业绩提升效应,但对规模较大的中小企业保持信贷限制似乎很重要。
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引用次数: 1
Sinners or Saints? Top Underwriters, Venture Capitalists, and IPO Underpricing 罪人还是圣徒?顶级承销商、风险投资家和IPO定价过低
Pub Date : 2018-09-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3245657
Kose John, A. Knyazeva, D. Knyazeva
This paper examines strategic interactions between venture capitalists (VCs) and top underwriters in the IPO process. We test two contrasting hypotheses: certification and rent extraction. On the one hand, the joint involvement of VCs and top underwriters can amplify their certification effect, reducing IPO underpricing. On the other hand, the rent extraction incentives of VCs and top underwriters, particularly in a repeated dealing context, can increase underpricing. We test these contrasting effects on IPO underpricing in the cross-section and around two regulatory shocks. First, VC-backed IPOs, VC-backed deals with top underwriters, and deals with stronger VC-underwriter ties exhibit greater underpricing. The cross-sectional results continue to hold in two-stage least squares estimation with geographical instruments. Second, the 2012 JOBS Act decreased disclosures by issuers and increased informational asymmetry. We find that IPO underpricing increased among VC-backed IPOs involving top underwriters after the JOBS Act. Third, a 2003 NASD rule limited explicit rents that may be extracted from preferential allocations of new IPO issues. We find that VC-backed IPO underpricing declined after the shock, and the effect was concentrated among VC-backed deals involving top underwriters and VCs with ties to underwriters. Importantly, we find no effect of top underwriters alone unless a VC is also involved. The observed decline in IPO underpricing cannot be explained by analyst involvement or the passage of Regulation FD. Moreover, repeat dealing between large institutions and underwriters similarly increases underpricing, but the effect does not explain the role of VC-underwriter ties and does not decline after the 2003 shock. Overall, our results support rent extraction, shed new light on the effects of VC backing, underwriters, and institutions on IPO underpricing, and emphasize the role of strategic interactions between them in the post-dot-com period.
本文考察了风险资本家与顶级承销商在IPO过程中的战略互动。我们检验了两个截然不同的假设:认证和租金提取。一方面,风投和顶级承销商的共同参与可以放大他们的认证效应,减少IPO的低定价。另一方面,风投和顶级承销商的租金提取激励,特别是在重复交易的背景下,可能会加剧定价过低。我们在横截面和两种监管冲击下测试了这些对IPO抑价的不同影响。首先,风投支持的ipo、风投支持的与顶级承销商的交易,以及与更强的风投承销商关系的交易,都表现出更大的定价低估。横截面结果继续适用于地理工具的两阶段最小二乘估计。其次,2012年JOBS法案减少了发行人的披露,增加了信息不对称。我们发现,在《就业法案》实施后,在由顶级承销商参与的风投支持的IPO中,IPO定价偏低的情况有所增加。第三,2003年NASD的一项规定限制了可能从新股优先分配中提取的明确租金。我们发现,风险投资支持的IPO抑价在冲击后有所下降,且影响主要集中在涉及顶级承销商和与承销商有联系的风险投资支持的交易中。重要的是,我们发现顶级承销商没有单独的影响,除非风险投资也参与其中。观察到的IPO低定价的下降不能用分析师的参与或FD条例的通过来解释。此外,大型机构和承销商之间的重复交易同样会增加定价过低,但这种效应并不能解释风投承销商关系的作用,而且在2003年的冲击之后也没有下降。总体而言,我们的研究结果支持租金提取,揭示了风险投资支持、承销商和机构对IPO定价过低的影响,并强调了后互联网时代它们之间战略互动的作用。
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引用次数: 2
Fintech for Financial Inclusion: A Framework for Digital Financial Transformation 金融科技促进普惠金融:数字金融转型框架
Pub Date : 2018-09-04 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3245287
D. Arner, Ross P. Buckley, D. Zetzsche
Access to finance, financial inclusion and financial sector development have long been major policy objectives. A series of initiatives have aimed to increase access to finance and financial inclusion, but these have accelerated in the last decade as technological developments combined with strategic policy support show potential for progress beyond anything that has been achieved. The World Bank’s 2017 Global Findex shows that in the last three years, 515 million adults acquired a financial account, and between 2010 and 2017, 1.2 billion people opened an account with a formal financial institution or mobile financial services provider (including mobile money) for the first time. This is impressive progress by any measure, but much remains to be done: as of 2017, 1.7 billion people 16 years or older still did not have access to an account, some 31 percent of the world’s adult population. We argue that to reap the greatest benefits for financial inclusion and maximize the potential of FinTech, a framework that supports infrastructure and an enabling policy and regulatory environment, built on a strong foundation of digital identification and electronic payment systems, will support much broader digital financial transformation. The full potential of FinTech for financial inclusion may be realized with a strategic framework of underlying infrastructure and an enabling policy and regulatory environment to support digital financial transformation. Drawing from experiences in a range of developing, emerging and developed countries, our research suggests that the best approach is staged and progressive, and is focused on four main pillars. 1) The first pillar requires building digital identification and e-KYC systems to simplify access to the financial system. Once these are established for individuals and businesses, they provide a solid foundation not only for finance, but also for the development of the digital economy more broadly. 2) The second pillar requires digital payment infrastructure and open electronic payments systems, as these are the primary way to facilitate digital financial flows in an economy. 3) The third pillar combines the promotion of account opening and access with the electronic provision of government services, particularly for public transfers and payments, so as to scale up the use of digital finance and related services. By supporting access, payments and savings, together these three pillars provide a foundation for digital financial transformation and financial inclusion. 4) The fourth pillar – design of digital financial markets and systems – builds on the first three to support broader access to finance and investment, by underpinning use cases including securities trading, clearing and settlement, and other more sophisticated financial functions. There is a need for regulatory approaches that support and adapt to these four pillars. These regulatory changes are a major journey for any economy, but
长期以来,融资渠道、普惠金融和金融部门发展一直是主要政策目标。一系列举措旨在增加融资和普惠金融的可及性,但在过去十年中,随着技术发展与战略政策支持的结合显示出超越现有成就的进步潜力,这些举措加快了步伐。世界银行2017年全球金融包容性指数显示,在过去三年中,5.15亿成年人获得了金融账户,2010年至2017年期间,有12亿人首次在正规金融机构或移动金融服务提供商(包括移动货币)开设账户。无论以何种标准衡量,这都是令人印象深刻的进步,但仍有许多工作要做:截至2017年,仍有17亿16岁及以上的人没有账户,约占世界成年人口的31%。我们认为,为了获得普惠金融的最大利益,并最大限度地发挥金融科技的潜力,一个支持基础设施和有利的政策和监管环境的框架,建立在数字识别和电子支付系统的坚实基础之上,将支持更广泛的数字金融转型。金融科技在普惠金融方面的全部潜力可以通过基础设施的战略框架和有利的政策和监管环境来实现,以支持数字金融转型。根据一系列发展中国家、新兴国家和发达国家的经验,我们的研究表明,最好的方法是分阶段渐进的,并侧重于四个主要支柱。1)第一个支柱需要建立数字识别和e-KYC系统,以简化对金融系统的访问。一旦这些为个人和企业建立起来,它们不仅为金融提供了坚实的基础,而且为更广泛的数字经济发展提供了坚实的基础。2)第二个支柱需要数字支付基础设施和开放的电子支付系统,因为这些是促进经济中数字金融流动的主要方式。(3)第三个支柱是将促进账户开立和接入与电子化提供政府服务,特别是公共转移支付服务相结合,扩大数字金融及相关服务的使用。通过支持获取、支付和储蓄,这三大支柱共同为数字金融转型和普惠金融奠定了基础。4)第四个支柱——数字金融市场和系统的设计——建立在前三个支柱的基础上,通过支持包括证券交易、清算和结算以及其他更复杂的金融功能在内的用例,支持更广泛的金融和投资渠道。有必要制定支持和适应这四大支柱的监管方法。这些监管变革对任何经济体来说都是一段重要的旅程,但经验越来越表明,这一变革在改变普惠金融和支持数字经济发展方面具有巨大潜力。
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引用次数: 55
Equity Crowdfunding, Shareholder Structures, and Firm Performance 股权众筹、股东结构和公司绩效
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1111/corg.12259
Xavier Walthoff‐Borm, T. Vanacker, Veroniek Collewaert
Research question/issue. This paper provides a first‐time glimpse into the postcampaign financial and innovative performance of equity‐crowdfunded (ECF) and matched nonequity‐crowdfunded (NECF) firms. We further investigate how direct and nominee shareholder structures in ECF firms are associated with firm performance. Research findings/insights. We find that ECF firms have 8.5 times higher failure rates than matched NECF firms. However, 3.4 times more ECF firms have patent applications than matched NECF firms. Within the group of ECF firms, we find that ECF firms financed through a nominee structure make smaller losses, whereas ECF firms financed through a direct shareholder structure have more new patent applications, including foreign patent applications. Theoretical/academic implications. Our findings suggest that there are important adverse selection issues on equity crowdfunding platforms, although these platforms also serve as a catalyst for innovative activities. Moreover, our findings suggest that there is a more complex relationship between dispersed versus concentrated crowd shareholders and firm performance than currently assumed in the literature. Practitioner/policy implications. For policy makers and crowdfunding platforms, investor protection against adverse selection will be important to ensure the sustainability of equity crowdfunding markets. For entrepreneurs and crowd investors, our study highlights how equity crowdfunding and the adopted shareholder structure relate to short‐term firm performance.
研究问题/问题。本文首次对股权众筹公司(ECF)和相匹配的非股权众筹公司(NECF)的竞选后财务和创新绩效进行了分析。我们进一步研究了ECF公司的直接股东和代记名股东结构与公司绩效的关系。研究发现/见解。我们发现ECF公司的失败率是NECF公司的8.5倍。然而,ECF公司的专利申请数量是NECF公司的3.4倍。在ECF公司内部,我们发现通过代记名结构融资的ECF公司亏损较小,而通过直接股东结构融资的ECF公司有更多的新专利申请,包括外国专利申请。理论/学术影响。我们的研究结果表明,股权众筹平台存在重要的逆向选择问题,尽管这些平台也可以作为创新活动的催化剂。此外,我们的研究结果表明,分散股东与集中股东与公司绩效之间的关系比目前文献中假设的更为复杂。医生/政策影响。对于政策制定者和众筹平台而言,保护投资者免受逆向选择对确保股权众筹市场的可持续性至关重要。对于企业家和众筹投资者,我们的研究强调了股权众筹和采用的股东结构与短期公司绩效之间的关系。
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引用次数: 101
Unicorn Stock Options - Golden Goose or Trojan Horse? 独角兽股票期权——金鹅还是特洛伊木马?
Pub Date : 2018-08-08 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3228400
Anat Alon-Beck
Large privately held startups valued at $1 billion or more (“unicorns”) are grappling with how to deal with employees’ expectations caused by the illiquidity of the shares of stock acquired upon exercise of their options. Until about eight years ago, many talented workers chose to work for a startup company for a lower cash salary combined with a substantial stock option grant and the dream of cashing out for a large sum of money after an initial public offering (“IPO”) of the startup’s stock. Today, unicorns remain private for extended periods of time, in part, because they are often no longer dependent on an IPO or a trade sale to raise sufficient capital. As a result, they are delaying liquidity events for their founders, employees, and investors, thereby causing their employee stock options to lose some of their allure as a hiring and retention device. This Article examines a contemporary puzzle in Silicon Valley: Is there a shift in unicorn employees’ expectations that results in labor contract renegotiations? To answer this question, this Article explores the challenges faced by unicorn firms as repeat players in competitive technology markets and offers the following possible solutions. First, it proposes new equity-based compensation contracts, and critiques them. Second, it suggests alternatives to the traditional liquidity mechanisms, and critiques them. Unfortunately, current securities and tax laws create legal barriers to private ordering, which prevent the parties from solving these issues on their own. This Article concludes with proposals to remove these legal barriers to private ordering to allow for the proposed solutions to take hold, accompanied with new mandatory disclosure requirements to limit the risks.
估值在10亿美元或以上的大型私营初创公司(“独角兽”)正在努力应对员工的期望,这些期望是通过行使期权获得的股票缺乏流动性造成的。直到大约8年前,许多有才华的员工选择为初创公司工作,因为他们的现金工资较低,还能获得大量的股票期权,并梦想着在初创公司的股票首次公开发行(IPO)后兑现一大笔钱。如今,独角兽公司在很长一段时间内保持私有化,部分原因是它们往往不再依赖IPO或交易出售来筹集足够的资金。因此,他们推迟了创始人、员工和投资者的流动性事件,从而导致他们的员工股票期权作为招聘和留住员工的手段失去了一些吸引力。本文探讨了硅谷当代的一个谜题:独角兽员工的期望是否发生了转变,从而导致了劳动合同的重新谈判?为了回答这个问题,本文探讨了独角兽公司在竞争激烈的技术市场中作为重复参与者所面临的挑战,并提供了以下可能的解决方案。首先,它提出了新的基于股权的薪酬合同,并对其进行了批评。其次,本文提出了传统流动性机制的替代方案,并对其进行了批判。不幸的是,现行的证券法和税法为私人订购设置了法律障碍,使各方无法自行解决这些问题。本文最后提出了一些建议,以消除私人订购的这些法律障碍,使所提议的解决方案得以实施,并附有新的强制性披露要求,以限制风险。
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引用次数: 3
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