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The Emperor's Old Bonds 皇帝的旧债券
Pub Date : 2020-02-23 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3544241
M. Chen, Charlie Fendrych, Andres Paciuc
Tracy Alloway’s recent article in Bloomberg has suggested that Trump’s trade war may finally provide relief to American holders of defaulted, pre-1950s Chinese bonds. Here, we examine the hurdles set before these bondholders, namely establishing jurisdiction over the People’s Republic of China as sovereign and the long-lapsed statute of limitations. We also evaluate the Chinese government’s possible recourse. The key takeaways from our investigation: To establish jurisdiction in the U.S., the bond must be denominated in U.S. Dollars or state a place of performance within the country. To overcome the long-expired statute of limitations, and win an equitable remedy, it must be shown that the PRC not only violated an absolute priority or pari passu clause, but also that they are a “uniquely recalcitrant” debtor. Finally, despite China’s commitment to the odious debt doctrine, the doctrine is unlikely to provide meaningful legal protection in the event of an otherwise successful suit. Overall, it is a difficult suit to bring, but through our investigations we have discovered one issue in particular which holds the greatest danger — or perhaps the greatest promise: the 1919 Gold Bond.
特蕾西·阿洛韦(Tracy Alloway)最近在彭博社(Bloomberg)发表的一篇文章表明,特朗普的贸易战可能最终会让持有20世纪50年代以前违约的中国债券的美国人松一口气。在这里,我们研究了这些债券持有人面临的障碍,即建立对中华人民共和国的主权管辖权和长期失效的诉讼时效。我们还评估了中国政府可能采取的措施。我们的调查得出的关键结论是:要在美国建立管辖权,债券必须以美元计价或在美国境内写明履约地点。为了克服过期已久的诉讼时效,并赢得公平救济,必须证明中华人民共和国不仅违反了绝对优先权或同等权益条款,而且他们是一个“独特的顽固”债务人。最后,尽管中国坚持可恶的债务原则,但在诉讼成功的情况下,这一原则不太可能提供有意义的法律保护。总的来说,这是一场很难提起的诉讼,但通过我们的调查,我们发现了一个特别的问题,它蕴含着最大的危险,也可能是最大的希望:1919年的黄金债券。
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引用次数: 0
The Ramadan Effect in the Workplace 工作场所的斋月效应
Pub Date : 2020-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3587363
P. Bertoli, V. Grembi, Judit Vall Castelló
We investigate the consequences of Ramadan on the incidence of work accidents. Using daily observations from 2003 to 2016, we exploit the solar rotation of Ramadan days (11 days backward each year) to assess the impact of Ramadan on accidents involving Muslim workers in Spain, estimating a decrease in injuries for these workers with no spillover effects on non Muslim workers (mainly South Americans and Romanians). We explain our results as mainly driven by adjustments at both the extensive and intensive margin in the labor market. We show that the effect is stronger where Ramadan is harsher (longer duration of the fasting day based on latitude), and in provinces where there is a higher concentration of naturalized Muslims. Based on our results, policies supporting religious diversity and reconciling religious practices with the working schedule might decrease health costs related to occupational injuries.
我们调查了斋月对工作事故发生率的影响。利用2003年至2016年的日常观测,我们利用斋月日的太阳自转(每年向后11天)来评估斋月对涉及西班牙穆斯林工人的事故的影响,估计这些工人的伤害减少,而对非穆斯林工人(主要是南美人和罗马尼亚人)没有溢出效应。我们解释说,我们的结果主要是由劳动力市场中粗放型和集约型边际的调整所驱动的。我们表明,在斋月更严厉的地方(根据纬度,斋戒日的持续时间更长),以及在归化穆斯林更集中的省份,这种影响更强。根据我们的研究结果,支持宗教多样性和协调宗教习俗与工作时间表的政策可能会降低与职业伤害相关的健康成本。
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引用次数: 1
Evaluation of the Service Quality: A Practical Experience in a Coffeehouse Chain (Evaluación De La Calidad En El Servicio: Una Aplicación Práctica En Un Establecimiento De Café) 服务质量评价:咖啡店连锁的实际经验(服务质量评价:咖啡店的实际应用)
Pub Date : 2020-01-30 DOI: 10.22430/24223182.1430
Luis Enrique Ibarra-Morales, Laura Elena Woolfolk-Gallego, Bethania Irelia Meza-López, Edith Teresita Gelain-Rodríguez
La evaluacion de la calidad en el servicio se ha convertido en una herramienta muy poderosa para que las organizaciones logren, entre otros propositos, fidelizar a los clientes y ser mas competitivas. En un contexto particular; este articulo ofrece un estudio de caracter cuantitativo sobre la percepcion de los clientes en torno a la calidad en el servicio brindado por una cadena de cafe localizada en Hermosillo, Sonora. El objetivo general es hacer esta evaluacion a traves de la metodologia Servperf, en los establecimientos de cafe de una marca reconocida. Con este objetivo, fue necesario aplicar una encuesta a 750 clientes a fin de determinar que las pruebas de validez y consistencia interna de la escala fueron satisfactorias, con un alfa de Cronbach a nivel de 0.977. Para indagar sobre la estructura subyacente de los 25 items que integraron la encuesta, se empleo el analisis de componentes principales con rotacion Varimax, que revelo la existencia de dos variables que explican el 70.999 % de la varianza. Como parte de los resultados principales, se concluye que la encuesta adaptada a partir de la metodologia Servperf permitio evaluar de forma exitosa la calidad en el servicio otorgado por la cadena de cafe y el nivel de satisfaccion global del cliente; asi lo determino el coeficiente de correlacion Rho de Spearman, con un alto porcentaje de correlacion (74.3?%) entre ambas variables. Por ultimo, la dimension que centro la confianza y la capacidad de respuesta fue la que obtuvo una mayor correlacion (0.578), con respecto a la dimension de empatia y tangibles (0.410). ****** Service quality evaluation has become a very powerful tool for organizations to achieve, among other purposes, customer loyalty and competitiveness. In a particular context, this article offers a quantitative study of customer perception of the service quality provided by a coffeehouse chain located in Hermosillo, Sonora. The general objective is to evaluate the quality of the service, through the Servperf methodology, in the coffee houses of a recognized brand. Consequently, a survey of 750 clients was required to determine that the validity and internal consistency tests of the scale were satisfactory, with a Cronbach's alpha at the level of 0.977. To investigate the underlying structure of the 25 items that made up the survey, a Varimax rotation in Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used, revealing the existence of two variables that explain 70.999 % of the variance. As part of the main results, it can be concluded that the adapted survey, based on the Servperf methodology, allowed for a successful evaluation of the quality of service provided by the coffeehouse chain and the level of overall customer satisfaction, as determined by Spearman's Rho correlation coefficient, with a high percentage of correlation (74.3%) between both variables. Finally, the confidence and responsiveness dimension had a higher correlation (0.578) than the empathy and tangible dimension (0.41
服务质量评估已经成为组织实现客户忠诚度和更具竞争力的一个非常强大的工具。在特定的背景下;在这一过程中,我们发现了一种新的方法,通过这种方法,顾客对服务质量的感知与他们对服务质量的感知相匹配。总体目标是通过Servperf方法对知名品牌的咖啡馆进行评估。为此,有必要对750名客户进行调查,以确定量表的效度和内部一致性测试令人满意,Cronbach alpha水平为0.977。在本研究中,我们分析了25个项目的基本结构,采用方差旋转的主成分分析,揭示了两个变量的存在,解释了70.999%的方差。作为主要结果的一部分,我们得出结论,采用Servperf方法的调查成功地评估了咖啡连锁店提供的服务质量和整体客户满意度水平;这是由Spearman的Rho相关系数决定的,这两个变量之间的相关百分比很高(74.3%)。最后,以信任和反应为中心的维度与同理心和有形维度(0.410)的相关性最高(0.578)。******服务质量评估已成为组织实现客户忠诚度和竞争力等目标的非常有力的工具。在一个特定的背景下,本文对位于索诺拉埃莫西略的连锁咖啡店提供的服务质量的顾客感知进行了定量研究。总体目标是通过Servperf方法评估知名品牌咖啡店的服务质量。因此,需要对750名客户进行调查,以确定该量表的有效性和内部一致性测试令人满意,Cronbach的alpha值为0.977。为了调查构成调查的25个项目的基本结构,采用了主成分分析(PCA)中的方差旋转,揭示了存在两个变量,可以解释70.999%的方差。As part of the main结果,it can be concluded that the adapted测绘,based on the Servperf方法,为成功evaluation of the quality of service提供coffeehouse chain and the level of全面customer满意,As果决by Spearman ' sρcorrelation coefficient, correlation with a high百分比(74.3%)between both变数。最后,the confidence and responsiveness dimension,到高等correlation有形的(0.578)than the empathy and dimension(0.410)。
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引用次数: 7
Visionary Leadership Role: Building a Ghost Town Civilization 有远见的领导角色:建设鬼城文明
Pub Date : 2020-01-30 DOI: 10.34218/ijm.11.1.2020.005
Makna Ani Marlia, Rahmi Fahmy, H. Lukito, Ratni Prima Lita
This paper aims to explore the role of a visionary leader in rebuilding the city's civilization dubbed the ghost town as a result of being abandoned by its inhabitants because of the cessation of mining activity in Sawahlunto City. This mayor-level visionary leader's role is considered successful as an example of a successful visionary leader for achievement in reviving the dying city and making the city a growing economy. The methodology used in this study is a literature review and a comprehensive library review and case study approach. The collecting data were conducted by interviewing some local communities and women entrepreneurs in Sawahlunto to strengthen this study. The interview was recorded in video recording.The success of the visionary leader begins with the success of the leader on the city's vision. The regulatory legitimacy becomes a reference and common goal in building the city. The success is associated with the vision implementation sustainability through real action by the next leadership’s successor encompasses the key success factor. The success is indicated by the achievement gained in 2019 as one of the world Heritage Sites by UNESCO. However, some questions are proposed related to the city’s vision sustainability on age and destination, the forming of cadres of leadership, and the next leader’s vision commitment
本文旨在探讨一位有远见的领导者在重建被称为鬼城的城市文明中的作用,因为Sawahlunto市的采矿活动停止而被居民遗弃。这位市长级远见领袖的作用被认为是一个成功的远见领袖的成功范例,他在复兴垂死的城市和使城市成为一个增长的经济方面取得了成就。本研究使用的研究方法是文献回顾法、综合文献回顾法和个案研究法。为了加强本研究,我们通过采访一些当地社区和萨瓦伦托的女企业家来收集数据。这次采访被录像了。有远见的领导者的成功始于领导者对城市愿景的成功。规制合法性成为城市建设的参考和共同目标。成功与下一任领导人的继任者通过实际行动实现愿景的可持续性有关,这是成功的关键因素。2019年被联合国教科文组织(UNESCO)列入世界文化遗产名录就是成功的标志。然而,对城市愿景的可持续性、年龄和目的地、领导干部的形成以及下一任领导人的愿景承诺提出了一些问题
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引用次数: 3
Does Internal Capital Market Membership Matter for Financing Behavior? Evidence from the Euro Area 内部资本市场成员资格对融资行为有影响吗?来自欧元区的证据
Pub Date : 2020-01-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3532122
Jorge H. F. Mota, Mário Coutinho dos Santos
This paper examines several dimensions of the financing behavior of subsidiary of diversified firms and of their comparable single-segment firms. To investigate this, we use two balanced panels of 636-euro area firms each, over the 2004-2017 period. Our empirical analysis document that subsidiary firms are, on average, 6.07 percent more leveraged and exhibit a 2.80 percent lower cost of capital than their comparable stand-alone peers. Both types of firms have preferred target capital structures proxied by the medians of their industry leverage ratios. Results also document that stand-alone firms adjust their capital structures to their preferred leverage ratios at an 8.71 percent higher speed than ICM members. The paper contributes to the literature providing evidence on the role of incentives and informational asymmetries on firms financing behavior.
本文考察了多元化企业子公司融资行为的几个维度及其可比的单一部门企业的融资行为。为了调查这一点,我们在2004-2017年期间使用了两个由636家欧元区公司组成的平衡面板。我们的实证分析表明,子公司的杠杆率平均比独立公司高6.07%,资本成本平均比独立公司低2.80%。这两种类型的公司都有首选的目标资本结构,由其行业杠杆率的中位数代表。结果还表明,独立公司将其资本结构调整到首选杠杆比率的速度比ICM成员高8.71%。本文为激励和信息不对称在企业融资行为中的作用提供了文献证据。
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引用次数: 0
IFAD RESEARCH SERIES 50 Rural Transformation and the Double Burden of Malnutrition Among Rural Youth in Developing Countries 农发基金研究系列50:农村转型和发展中国家农村青年营养不良的双重负担
Pub Date : 2020-01-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3523118
S. Kadiyala, E. Aurino, C. Cirillo, C. Srinivasan, G. Zanello
Adolescence and early adulthood are periods of major biological, economic and social transitions for rural youth. They provide a critical window of opportunity for addressing chronic nutritional deficits from childhood, for “catch-up�? growth, for providing a solid foundation for a healthy productive and reproductive life, and for arresting the intergenerational transmission of malnutrition. In this study we show that rural transformation processes are associated with improvements in rural youth nutrition – malnutrition and underweight – in nearly all regions, although the pace of change varies considerably across countries. Most low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are faced with the double burden of malnutrition and overweight/obesity, and in some countries this double burden is increasing, with the prevalence of underweight and overweight/obesity rising concurrently. The effect of rural transformation processes on rural youth nutrition is mediated by its effects on the external and personal domains of the “food environment�?. Transformation of agri-food systems are bringing about large changes in the diets of rural youth in LMICs, and particularly of the younger age groups, who appear to be witnessing rapid dietary transitions. The Young Lives dataset suggest that certain near-universal changes in patterns of dietary and nutrient intake patterns can be discerned in LMICs, although the pace of change varies. Dietary transitions are also driven by “globalisation influences�? – especially dissemination of information through digital/social media and food industry advertising and marketing strategies – even in countries with low/slow rural transformation. Our results show that rural transformation processes can have both positive and negative effects on rural youth nutrition in LMICs. Despite the globalisation influences of international trade and agri-food systems, dietary changes in individual LMICs are still influenced by national policies and production patterns. Understanding the pathways to impact of rural transformation on rural youth nutrition is crucial for designing “nutrition-sensitive�? rural transformation policies.
青春期和成年早期是农村青年在生理、经济和社会方面发生重大转变的时期。它们为解决儿童时期的慢性营养缺乏问题提供了一个关键的机会窗口,以“迎头赶上”。成长,为健康的生产和生殖生活提供坚实的基础,并阻止营养不良的代际传播。在这项研究中,我们发现,几乎所有地区的农村转型进程都与农村青年营养状况(营养不良和体重不足)的改善有关,尽管各国的变化速度差异很大。大多数低收入和中等收入国家面临营养不良和超重/肥胖的双重负担,在一些国家,这种双重负担正在增加,体重不足和超重/肥胖的流行率同时上升。农村转型过程对农村青年营养的影响是通过其对“粮食环境”的外部和个人领域的影响来调节的。农业粮食系统的转型正在给中低收入国家农村青年的饮食带来巨大变化,尤其是年轻群体,他们似乎正在经历快速的饮食转变。《年轻的生命》数据集表明,在中低收入国家,饮食和营养摄入模式的某些近乎普遍的变化可以被识别出来,尽管变化的速度各不相同。饮食结构的转变也受到“全球化影响”的推动。-特别是通过数字/社交媒体以及食品行业广告和营销战略传播信息-即使在农村转型低/缓慢的国家也是如此。我们的研究结果表明,农村转型过程对中低收入国家农村青年营养既有积极影响,也有消极影响。尽管受到国际贸易和农业粮食系统全球化的影响,个别中低收入国家的饮食变化仍然受到国家政策和生产模式的影响。了解农村转型对农村青年营养影响的途径对于设计“营养敏感型”食品至关重要。农村转型政策。
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引用次数: 5
Analysing Entrepreneurial Avenues for Library and Information Science Professionals: Indian and International Perspective 分析图书馆和信息科学专业人员的创业途径:印度和国际视角
Pub Date : 2020-01-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3519116
Perumal Alagiri, M. Visalatchi
Entrepreneurship is an opportunity for aspiring creative individual to stand on one’s own legs independently so as to secure one’s livelihood and generate wealth with self esteem. Entrepreneurial avenues are either established models on the market or otherwise innovative new ideas to start-ups. This study is an attempt to explore traditional and modern entrepreneurial options and opportunities for the Library and Information Science (LIS) professionals so as to predict and forecast the commercial and professional self employments in the emerging digital era. The conventional self employment of library and information science field includes book indexing, publishing and selling, binding, lending libraries, bibliotherapy, content writing and reviewing, subject bibliographies based on demand and anticipating needs of the users and others. The convergence of science and technology directed libraries has brought about a shift from paper library to digital library which subsume typical online jobs like electronic publishing, webometric services, library oriented software developments, citation analysis, big data analytics, information brokerage, etc. Competent LIS Professionals can choose any of the above said library related freelance assignments and sustain successfully in their business endeavours.
创业是一个有抱负、有创造力的人独立自立的机会,以确保自己的生计,创造自尊的财富。创业途径要么是市场上的既定模式,要么是初创企业的创新理念。本研究旨在探讨图书馆情报学专业人士的传统与现代创业选择与机会,以预测与预测新兴数位时代的商业与专业创业。图书馆情报学领域的传统自营职业包括图书标引、出版与销售、装订、图书馆借阅、阅读疗法、内容撰写与评审、基于需求的主题书目以及对用户和他人需求的预测。科技导向图书馆的融合带来了从纸质图书馆到数字图书馆的转变,其中包含了典型的在线工作,如电子出版、网络测量服务、面向图书馆的软件开发、引文分析、大数据分析、信息经纪等。有能力的图书馆专业人员可以选择上述任何一项与图书馆相关的自由职业,并在他们的商业努力中保持成功。
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引用次数: 0
La economía antioqueña antes de la Independencia, 1760-1821 (Economy in Antioquia before Independence, 1760-1821) 独立前的安蒂奥基亚经济,1760-1821
Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.21789/24222704.1561
Juan Carlos Jurado Jurado, Rodrigo de J. García Estrada
Based on the most important historiography, this article reviews the economic history of the region of Antioquia during the period 1760-1810, showing the most significant changes in the structures and, particularly, in the dynamic relations between different economic sectors. Bearing in mind the differentiation and specialization of the different Neogranadine regions, the particularities of the Antioquia case are evident, characterized by the sustained growth of the population, an accelerated process of miscegenation, the decomposition of slavery, and the predominance of a free and multiethnic population. It was precisely this economic agent which allowed to understand the development of gold mining in the hands of the so-called “mazamorreros”, whose consumption capacity explains the proliferation of people engaged in trade and, in turn, the creation of an internal market.
本文以最重要的史学为基础,回顾了1760-1810年间安蒂奥基亚地区的经济史,展示了结构上最重大的变化,特别是不同经济部门之间的动态关系。考虑到新格拉纳定不同地区的差异和专门化,安蒂奥基亚的情况的特殊性是明显的,其特点是人口的持续增长、加速的通婚进程、奴隶制的解体以及自由和多种族人口的占主导地位。正是这种经济因素使我们能够理解所谓的“mazamorreros”手中金矿开采的发展,他们的消费能力解释了从事贸易的人的激增,进而解释了内部市场的建立。
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引用次数: 1
Ageing Calls for Shorter Full-Time Tertiary Education and Increased Continuing Education 老龄化需要缩短全日制高等教育,增加继续教育
Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3520778
V. Vandenberghe
Population ageing requires a better-educated workforce capable of producing more of the goods and services consumed by a fast-rising number of old dependent individuals. At the same time, an ageing society badly needs its educated youth to rapidly become economically productive. In other words, the opportunity cost of educating young adults, particularly on a full-time basis, is on the rise. This paper argues that, in an ageing society, the challenge of policy-making is to find ways to foster education while limiting the time young adults spend in full-time tertiary education. In many countries, this probably implies compressing the theoretical duration of degrees (BA in 2 years instead of 3, MA in 4 years instead of 5) and introducing age-based financial incentives to reduce the time to graduation. For instance, the State subsidy (a grant) could be turned into an interest-charging loan beyond the age of 22. In all countries, the challenge is also to rediscover the virtues of massive continuing/part-time/evening education : a formula that enables people who work to acquire/update skills at a very low opportunity cost. The financing of the direct costs of massive continuing education could take the form of State/employer-subsidised educational stipends granted to adults every 5 years beyond the age of 22.
人口老龄化需要受过更好教育的劳动力,他们有能力生产更多的商品和服务,而这些商品和服务正被数量迅速增长的老年人所消费。与此同时,老龄化社会迫切需要受过教育的年轻人迅速成为经济上的生产力。换句话说,教育年轻人的机会成本,尤其是全日制教育的机会成本正在上升。本文认为,在老龄化社会中,政策制定的挑战是找到促进教育的方法,同时限制年轻人在全日制高等教育上花费的时间。在许多国家,这可能意味着压缩学位的理论学习时间(学士学位从3年改为2年,硕士学位从5年改为4年),并引入基于年龄的经济激励措施,以缩短毕业时间。例如,22岁以上的人可将国家补贴(赠款)转为计息贷款。在所有国家,挑战还在于重新发现大规模继续教育/非全日制教育/夜间教育的优点:这种模式使劳动者能够以极低的机会成本获得/更新技能。为大规模继续教育的直接费用提供资金可以采取国家/雇主补贴的教育津贴的形式,每5年向22岁以上的成年人发放一次。
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引用次数: 5
Profits and Risks of Banks in a Developing Country: A Case for Bank Taxation in Ghana 发展中国家银行的利润与风险:加纳银行征税案例
Pub Date : 2019-12-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3510697
S. Chaudhry
The big ten banks in Ghana are too profitable (in terms of what is socially optimal) and they earn much higher profits compared to other industries. Their excess profits are being made at the expense of the public and that they should contribute toward the public finances. We propose a bank tax that not only taxes the profits of banks but also aims to tax short term borrowing of banks, while assessing the individual and systemic bank risks in Ghana. We also investigate why the National Fiscal Stabilisation Levy (NFSL) should remain in place for banks in Ghana and gauge its impact on bank returns and profits. Specifically, we propose a bank tax of 1% of total liabilities net of equity and insured deposits or 5% of profit before tax, whichever is higher. It is estimated to raise revenue of about GHc 220 million per year, more than the amount of aid that Ghana receives every year. Our research has policy implications not only for Ghana but for all the developing countries that have a banking sector earning hefty profits.
加纳的十大银行利润过高(从社会最优角度而言),与其他行业相比,它们的利润要高得多。它们的超额利润是以牺牲公众利益为代价的,因此它们应该为公共财政做出贡献。我们建议征收银行税,不仅对银行利润征税,还旨在对银行短期借款征税,同时评估加纳银行的个体和系统风险。我们还调查了加纳银行应继续征收国家财政稳定税(NFSL)的原因,并评估了其对银行回报和利润的影响。具体而言,我们建议征收银行税,税额为总负债扣除股本和保险存款后的 1%,或税前利润的 5%,以较高者为准。据估计,这将每年增加约 2.2 亿加纳塞舌尔卢比的收入,超过加纳每年获得的援助金额。我们的研究不仅对加纳,而且对所有拥有赚取高额利润的银行业的发展中国家都具有政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Economic Anthropology eJournal
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