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Metrological performances of the global chronic morbidity indicator of the Minimum European Health Module and implications for chronic disease prevalence and socioeconomic gradient estimations. 欧洲最低健康标准模块全球慢性病发病率指标的计量性能及其对慢性病发病率和社会经济梯度估算的影响。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae064
Joël Coste, Jean-Marie Robine, Herman Van Oyen, Laure Carcaillon-Bentata

Background: Although the global chronic morbidity indicator (GCMI) of the Minimum European Health Module (MEHM) was not specifically designed to monitor chronic disease in the population, it is increasingly used for this purpose in Europe and elsewhere. However, its metrological characteristics have seldom been examined, with various sensitivity issues being raised. The present study investigated the metrological performances of the GCMI and analyzed its implications in terms of prevalence and demographic and socioeconomic gradients of chronic conditions in the population.

Methods: We used data from two large French nationwide representative surveys with cross-sectional and longitudinal data conducted between 2010 and 2021. The surveys used MEHM and collected data on numerous chronic conditions and socioeconomic indicators. Criterion and predictive validity of the GCMI regarding chronic conditions and the resultant socioeconomic gradients were compared with indicators based on reports of individual chronic conditions.

Results: GCMI sensitivity to capture chronic conditions varied from <20 to 80% depending on the chronic condition. Number of chronic conditions, gender, age and education were also associated with GCMI endorsement. However, the GCMI was predictive of mortality and activity limitations independently of individual conditions.

Conclusion: The varying lack of sensitivity depending on the chronic condition and the respondent's sociodemographic status may bias estimates of demographic and socioeconomic gradients compared with indicators based on reports of individual chronic conditions. Differences between GCMI and list-based approaches should be more cautiously considered when monitoring chronic conditions in the population. These approaches should be viewed as complementary rather than contradictory or interchangeable.

背景:尽管欧洲最低健康标准模块(MEHM)中的全球慢性病发病率指标(GCMI)并非专门为监测人口中的慢性病而设计,但在欧洲和其他地区,该指标正越来越多地被用于此目的。然而,人们很少对其计量特性进行研究,并提出了各种敏感性问题。本研究调查了 GCMI 的计量性能,并分析了其对慢性病在人群中的流行程度以及人口和社会经济梯度的影响:我们使用了 2010 年至 2021 年期间进行的两项大型法国全国代表性调查的数据,包括横截面和纵向数据。这些调查使用了 MEHM,收集了许多慢性疾病和社会经济指标的数据。我们将 GCMI 在慢性病方面的标准有效性和预测有效性以及由此产生的社会经济梯度与基于个人慢性病报告的指标进行了比较:结果:GCMI 对慢性病的敏感度因人而异:与基于个人慢性病报告的指标相比,慢性病和受访者的社会人口状况不同,灵敏度也不同,这可能会对人口和社会经济梯度的估计产生偏差。在监测人口慢性病时,应更谨慎地考虑 GCMI 和基于清单的方法之间的差异。这些方法应被视为互补的,而不是相互矛盾或可以互换的。
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引用次数: 0
Social inequalities in medical appointment cancellations and reschedulings at the onset of the COVID-19 epidemic in France. 法国 COVID-19 疫情爆发时取消预约和重新预约的社会不平等现象。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae101
Jeanna-Eve Pousson, Florence Jusot, Léna Silberzan, Nathalie Bajos

Inconsistent results are found regarding social inequalities related to healthcare appointment cancellations during the COVID-19 crisis. Whether rescheduling was associated with social status is unknown. By studying both cancellations and rescheduling, we comprehensively describe which social groups were affected by care disruption. First follow-up of a random population-based cohort was used, including 95 118 people aged 18 or older at baseline and who live in France. Poisson and multinomial regressions were used to study social factors associated with experiencing both medical appointment cancellation by health professionals during the first COVID-19 lockdown, and rescheduling within six months. Among all individuals (including those without scheduled appointment), 21.1% reported cancellations initiated by healthcare professionals. Women, the richest, and those with a chronic disease were the most affected by these cancellations. Although 78.1% who had their appointment cancelled obtained a new appointment within six months, 6.6% failed to reschedule and 15.2% did not want to reschedule. While the oldest were more likely to reschedule, regardless of their health status, the poorest and those with multiple chronic diseases were less likely to do so. Difficulties in rescheduling revealed certain social groups were ultimately more penalized by the restriction of access to care during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. Given that the poorest people, a social group that is in poorer health condition compared to other groups, were the most affected, our results raise questions about the ability of the healthcare system to reduce social health inequalities during a major health crisis.

关于在 COVID-19 危机期间取消医疗预约的社会不平等现象,结果并不一致。重新安排时间是否与社会地位相关尚不清楚。通过对取消预约和重新安排预约的研究,我们全面描述了哪些社会群体受到了医疗服务中断的影响。我们采用了随机人群队列的首次随访,其中包括 95 118 名基线年龄在 18 岁或以上、居住在法国的人。我们使用泊松回归和多项式回归研究了在第一次 COVID-19 封锁期间被医护人员取消就诊预约和在六个月内重新安排就诊预约的相关社会因素。在所有人(包括没有预约的人员)中,21.1% 的人报告了医疗专业人员主动取消预约的情况。女性、最富有人群和慢性病患者受取消预约的影响最大。虽然 78.1%被取消预约的人在 6 个月内获得了新的预约,但仍有 6.6%的人未能重新预约,15.2%的人不想重新预约。无论健康状况如何,年龄最大的人更有可能重新预约,而最贫穷的人和患有多种慢性疾病的人则较少重新预约。重新安排就诊时间的困难表明,在 COVID-19 第一波大流行期间,某些社会群体最终因就诊受限而受到了更大的惩罚。与其他群体相比,最贫穷的人是健康状况最差的社会群体,鉴于他们受到的影响最大,我们的研究结果提出了医疗保健系统在重大健康危机中减少社会健康不平等的能力问题。
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引用次数: 0
A pandemic of harmful international travel-related control measures. 有害的国际旅行相关控制措施大流行。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae065
Knut Lönnroth
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引用次数: 0
The power of collective voices. 集体声音的力量
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae111
Charlotte Marchandise, Hans Henri P Kluge, Ricardo Mexia, Floris Barnhoorn
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引用次数: 0
Health related taxes in focus: a win-win. 聚焦与健康相关的税收:双赢。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae043
Pekka Puska
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引用次数: 0
Medical occupational check-ups during the COVID-19 pandemic in the European Union. 欧盟 COVID-19 大流行期间的职业体检。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae103
Matyáš Fošum, Ladislav Štěpánek, Kateřina Ivanová, Marie Nakládalová

Given the enormous scale of the COVID-19 pandemic affecting the healthcare sector, limited human resource capacity, and efforts to prevent the spread of COVID-19, occupational health protection could not escape changes. The aim was to identify and compare the regulations regarding the provision of medical occupational check-ups (MOCs) during the pandemic in all European Union member states (EU MS). The study employed the Delphi method, involving experts from EU MS to assess MOC regulations between January 2020 and May 2021. Experts were queried regarding the existence and specifics of MOC regulations, particularly for entrance and periodic MOCs at hazardous and non-hazardous workplaces. Out of the 27 EU MS surveyed, 13 EU MS did not regulate MOCs, while 14 EU MS (51.6%) regulated the provision of MOCs. The regulations were changes in the way MOCs were provided, modifications (postponement in time, alternative provision, e.g. using telemedicine or online connection, or replacing the medical certificate of fitness to work based on the MOC with a declaration by the worker), or interruption without compensation, even for hazardous works. The regulations were in effect for different lengths of time and varied in some countries during the study period. The cumulative duration of MOC interruptions in all EU MS during the study period was 137 months (7.5% of the cumulative study period of 1836 months). Given the different approaches to the provision of MOCs in EU MS, it has proved appropriate to develop an optimal unified framework plan for future similar situations.

鉴于 COVID-19 大流行影响医疗保健部门的规模巨大、人力资源能力有限以及为防止 COVID-19 传播所做的努力,职业健康保护不能逃避改变。本研究旨在确定和比较欧盟所有成员国(EU MS)在大流行期间提供职业体检(MOCs)的相关规定。研究采用了德尔菲法,由欧盟成员国的专家参与评估 2020 年 1 月至 2021 年 5 月期间的职业体检法规。专家们被问及是否存在平等机会委员会法规及其具体内容,特别是危险和非危险工作场所的入场平等机会委员会和定期平等机会委员会。在接受调查的 27 个欧盟成员国中,有 13 个欧盟成员国没有对海洋学和海洋气象学进行监管,有 14 个欧盟成员国(51.6%)对提供海洋学和海洋气象学进行了监管。这些管理条例改变了提供医疗事故证明的方式,对其进行了修改(推迟时间、替代性提供,如使用远程医疗或在线连接,或用工人的声明取代基于医疗事故证明的适合工作的医疗证明),或无偿中断,即使是对危险工作也是如此。在研究期间,这些规定的有效期长短不一,在一些国家还有所不同。在研究期间,所有欧盟成员国的最低工资中断时间累计为 137 个月(占研究期间累计 1836 个月的 7.5%)。鉴于欧盟成员国在提供增支经营成本方面采取了不同的方法,事实证明制定一个最佳的统一框架计划以应对未来的类似情况是合适的。
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引用次数: 0
Trends in gestational diabetes in Iceland before and after guideline changes in 2012: a nationwide study from 1997 to 2020. 2012 年指南修订前后冰岛妊娠糖尿病的趋势:1997 年至 2020 年的全国性研究。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae105
Jamie Ontiveros, Jóhanna Gunnarsdóttir, Kristjana Einarsdóttir

Internationally accepted diagnostic criteria recommendations for gestational diabetes (GDM) in 2010 resulted in a rise in global prevalence of GDM. Our aim was to describe the trends in GDM before and after Icelandic guideline changes in 2012 and the trends in pregestational diabetes (PGDM). The study included all singleton births (N = 101 093) in Iceland during 1997-2020. Modified Poisson regression models were used to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for risk of GDM overall and by maternal age group, as well as overall risk of PGDM, according to time period of birth. The overall prevalence of GDM by time period of birth ranged from 0.6% (N = 101) in 1997-2000 to 16.2% (N = 2720) in 2017-2020, and the prevalence of PGDM ranged from 0.4% (N = 57) in 1997-2000 to 0.7% (N = 120) in 2017-2020. The overall relative GDM prevalence rate difference before and after 2012 was 380%, and the largest difference was found among women aged <25 years at 473%. Risk of GDM increased in 2017-2020 (PR 14.21, CI 11.45, 17.64) compared to 1997-2000 and was highest among women aged >34 years with PR 19.46 (CI 12.36, 30.63) in 2017-2020. Prevalence rates of GDM and PGDM increased during the study period. An accelerated rate of increase in GDM was found after 2012, overall, and among all maternal age groups. Women aged >34 years had the greatest risk of GDM throughout all time periods, while women aged <25 years appear to have a higher relative rate difference after 2012.

2010 年国际公认的妊娠糖尿病(GDM)诊断标准建议导致全球 GDM 患病率上升。我们的目的是描述2012年冰岛指南修改前后GDM的趋势以及妊娠糖尿病(PGDM)的趋势。研究对象包括 1997-2020 年间冰岛的所有单胎新生儿(N = 101 093)。研究采用修正的泊松回归模型来估算GDM的总体患病率(PR)及95%置信区间(CI),并按产妇年龄组以及出生时间段估算PGDM的总体患病率。按出生时间段划分的GDM总体患病率从1997-2000年的0.6%(N = 101)到2017-2020年的16.2%(N = 2720)不等,PGDM患病率从1997-2000年的0.4%(N = 57)到2017-2020年的0.7%(N = 120)不等。2012年前后的GDM总体相对患病率差异为380%,其中34岁女性的差异最大,2017-2020年的PR为19.46(CI为12.36,30.63)。在研究期间,GDM 和 PGDM 的患病率有所上升。总体而言,2012 年之后,在所有孕产妇年龄组中,GDM 的增长速度加快。在所有时间段内,年龄大于 34 岁的女性患 GDM 的风险最大,而年龄小于 34 岁的女性患 PGDM 的风险最小。
{"title":"Trends in gestational diabetes in Iceland before and after guideline changes in 2012: a nationwide study from 1997 to 2020.","authors":"Jamie Ontiveros, Jóhanna Gunnarsdóttir, Kristjana Einarsdóttir","doi":"10.1093/eurpub/ckae105","DOIUrl":"10.1093/eurpub/ckae105","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Internationally accepted diagnostic criteria recommendations for gestational diabetes (GDM) in 2010 resulted in a rise in global prevalence of GDM. Our aim was to describe the trends in GDM before and after Icelandic guideline changes in 2012 and the trends in pregestational diabetes (PGDM). The study included all singleton births (N = 101 093) in Iceland during 1997-2020. Modified Poisson regression models were used to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for risk of GDM overall and by maternal age group, as well as overall risk of PGDM, according to time period of birth. The overall prevalence of GDM by time period of birth ranged from 0.6% (N = 101) in 1997-2000 to 16.2% (N = 2720) in 2017-2020, and the prevalence of PGDM ranged from 0.4% (N = 57) in 1997-2000 to 0.7% (N = 120) in 2017-2020. The overall relative GDM prevalence rate difference before and after 2012 was 380%, and the largest difference was found among women aged <25 years at 473%. Risk of GDM increased in 2017-2020 (PR 14.21, CI 11.45, 17.64) compared to 1997-2000 and was highest among women aged >34 years with PR 19.46 (CI 12.36, 30.63) in 2017-2020. Prevalence rates of GDM and PGDM increased during the study period. An accelerated rate of increase in GDM was found after 2012, overall, and among all maternal age groups. Women aged >34 years had the greatest risk of GDM throughout all time periods, while women aged <25 years appear to have a higher relative rate difference after 2012.</p>","PeriodicalId":12059,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Public Health","volume":" ","pages":"794-799"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11293813/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141436752","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Effect of fine particulate matter exposure on gestational diabetes mellitus risk: a retrospective cohort study. 细颗粒物暴露对妊娠糖尿病风险的影响:一项回顾性队列研究。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae094
Zhenyan Wan, Shandan Zhang, Guiying Zhuang, Weiqi Liu, Cuiqing Qiu, Huiqin Lai, Weiling Liu

Background: The literature on the association between fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) risk has focused mainly on exposure during the first and second trimesters, and the research results are inconsistent. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the associations between PM2.5 exposure during preconception, the first trimester and second trimester and GDM risk in pregnant women in Guangzhou.

Methods: A retrospective cohort study of 26 354 pregnant women was conducted, estimating PM2.5, particulate matter with a diameter >10 µm (PM10), sulphur dioxide (SO2), carbon monoxide (CO) and ozone (O3) exposure during preconception and the first and second trimesters. Analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards models and nonlinear distributed lag models.

Results: The study found that exposure to PM2.5 or a combination of two pollutants (PM2.5+PM10, PM2.5+SO2, PM2.5+CO and PM2.5+O3) was found to be significantly associated with GDM risk (P < 0.05). In the second trimester, with significant interactions found for occupation and anaemia between PM2.5 and GDM. When the PM2.5 concentrations were ≥19.56, ≥25.69 and ≥23.87 μg/m3 during preconception and the first and second trimesters, respectively, the hazard ratio for GDM started to increase. The critical window for PM2.5 exposure was identified to be from 9 to 11 weeks before conception.

Conclusions: Our study results suggest that PM2.5 exposure during preconception and the first and second trimesters increases the risk of GDM, with the preconception period appearing to be the critical window for PM2.5 exposure.

背景:有关细颗粒物(PM2.5)暴露与妊娠糖尿病(GDM)风险相关性的文献主要集中在孕前三个月和孕后三个月的暴露,研究结果不一致。因此,本研究旨在调查广州孕妇在孕前、孕期前三个月和后三个月的PM2.5暴露与妊娠糖尿病风险之间的关系:本研究对26 354名孕妇进行了回顾性队列研究,估算了孕前、头三个月和后三个月孕妇的PM2.5、直径大于10微米的颗粒物(PM10)、二氧化硫(SO2)、一氧化碳(CO)和臭氧(O3)暴露量。研究采用 Cox 比例危险模型和非线性分布滞后模型进行分析:研究发现,PM2.5 或两种污染物的组合(PM2.5+PM10、PM2.5+SO2、PM2.5+CO 和 PM2.5+O3)暴露与 GDM 风险显著相关(P 结论:我们的研究结果表明,PM2.5 或两种污染物的组合与 GDM 风险显著相关:我们的研究结果表明,在孕前、孕期前三个月和后三个月暴露于 PM2.5 会增加患 GDM 的风险,而孕前似乎是 PM2.5 暴露的关键窗口期。
{"title":"Effect of fine particulate matter exposure on gestational diabetes mellitus risk: a retrospective cohort study.","authors":"Zhenyan Wan, Shandan Zhang, Guiying Zhuang, Weiqi Liu, Cuiqing Qiu, Huiqin Lai, Weiling Liu","doi":"10.1093/eurpub/ckae094","DOIUrl":"10.1093/eurpub/ckae094","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The literature on the association between fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) risk has focused mainly on exposure during the first and second trimesters, and the research results are inconsistent. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the associations between PM2.5 exposure during preconception, the first trimester and second trimester and GDM risk in pregnant women in Guangzhou.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective cohort study of 26 354 pregnant women was conducted, estimating PM2.5, particulate matter with a diameter >10 µm (PM10), sulphur dioxide (SO2), carbon monoxide (CO) and ozone (O3) exposure during preconception and the first and second trimesters. Analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards models and nonlinear distributed lag models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The study found that exposure to PM2.5 or a combination of two pollutants (PM2.5+PM10, PM2.5+SO2, PM2.5+CO and PM2.5+O3) was found to be significantly associated with GDM risk (P < 0.05). In the second trimester, with significant interactions found for occupation and anaemia between PM2.5 and GDM. When the PM2.5 concentrations were ≥19.56, ≥25.69 and ≥23.87 μg/m3 during preconception and the first and second trimesters, respectively, the hazard ratio for GDM started to increase. The critical window for PM2.5 exposure was identified to be from 9 to 11 weeks before conception.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our study results suggest that PM2.5 exposure during preconception and the first and second trimesters increases the risk of GDM, with the preconception period appearing to be the critical window for PM2.5 exposure.</p>","PeriodicalId":12059,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Public Health","volume":" ","pages":"787-793"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11293809/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141087352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Educational inequalities in multimorbidity at older ages: a multi-generational population-based study. 老年多病症的教育不平等:一项基于多代人的人口研究。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae096
Cornelia Wagner, Josephine Jackisch, Natalia Ortega, Arnaud Chiolero, Stéphane Cullati, Cristian Carmeli

Background: Social inequalities in multimorbidity may occur due to familial and/or individual factors and may differ between men and women. Using population-based multi-generational data, this study aimed to (1) assess the roles of parental and individual education in the risk of multimorbidity and (2) examine the potential effect modification by sex.

Methods: Data were analysed from 62 060 adults aged 50+ who participated in the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe, comprising 14 European countries. Intergenerational educational trajectories (exposure) were High-High (reference), Low-High, High-Low and Low-Low, corresponding to parental-individual educational attainments. Multimorbidity (outcome) was ascertained between 2013 and 2020 as self-reported occurrence of ≥2 diagnosed chronic conditions. Inequalities were quantified as multimorbidity-free years lost (MFYL) between the ages of 50 and 90 and estimated via differences in the area under the standardized cumulative risk curves. Effect modification by sex was assessed via stratification.

Results: Low individual education was associated with higher multimorbidity risk regardless of parental education. Compared to the High-High trajectory, Low-High was associated with -0.2 MFYL (95% confidence intervals: -0.5 to 0.1), High-Low with 3.0 (2.4-3.5), and Low-Low with 2.6 (2.3-2.9) MFYL. This pattern was observed for both sexes, with a greater magnitude for women. This effect modification was not observed when only diseases diagnosed independently of healthcare-seeking behaviours were examined.

Conclusions: Individual education was the main contributor to intergenerational inequalities in multimorbidity risk among older European adults. These findings support the importance of achieving a high education to mitigate multimorbidity risk.

背景:多病症的社会不平等可能是由于家庭和/或个人因素造成的,男女之间也可能存在差异。本研究利用基于人口的多代数据,旨在(1)评估父母和个人教育在多病症风险中的作用;(2)研究性别对潜在影响的修正作用:对参加欧洲健康、老龄化和退休调查的 62 060 名 50 岁以上成年人的数据进行了分析,其中包括 14 个欧洲国家。代际教育轨迹(暴露)分为高-高(参考)、低-高、高-低和低-低,与父母的个人教育程度相对应。2013年至2020年期间的多病症(结果)是指自我报告的≥2种已确诊慢性病的发生率。不平等被量化为 50 岁至 90 岁之间的无多病损失年数(MFYL),并通过标准化累积风险曲线下面积的差异进行估算。通过分层评估了性别对效果的影响:结果:无论父母的教育程度如何,个人教育程度越低,多病风险越高。与 "高-高 "轨迹相比,"低-高 "的多病症风险为-0.2(95% 置信区间:-0.5 至 0.1),"高-低 "的多病症风险为 3.0(2.4 至 3.5),而 "低-低 "的多病症风险为 2.6(2.3 至 2.9)。男女均可观察到这一模式,女性的影响更大。如果只研究与就医行为无关的疾病诊断,则无法观察到这种效应修正:个人教育是造成欧洲老年人多病风险代际不平等的主要原因。这些研究结果支持了接受高教育对降低多病风险的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Daylight saving time was not associated with a change in suicide rates in Austria, Switzerland and Sweden. 在奥地利、瑞士和瑞典,夏令时与自杀率的变化无关。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae061
Martin Plöderl, Eva-Maria Pichler, Joakim Westerlund, David Niederseer, Clemens Fartacek

Background: Some studies have reported an increase in suicides after the start of daylight saving time (DST), but the evidence is mixed and more research about proposed mechanisms (disrupted sleep, changing light exposure) is needed.

Methods: In our preregistered study, we analyzed change in suicide rates in the 2 weeks before/after DST, based on data between 1980 and 2022 from Austria, Switzerland and Sweden, using Poisson regression models and changepoint analyses. To explore the impact of disrupted sleep, we repeated the analysis for retired people who are likely less bound to DST, and for younger people. To explore the effect of changed daylight exposure, we repeated the analysis for northern and southern regions because twilight and daylight exposure varies by latitude.

Results: Suicide rates did not significantly increase after the start of DST (adjusted incidence rate ratio IRR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.91-1.06, P = 0.66, n = 13 362 suicides) or after DST ended (adjusted IRR = 0.99, 95% CI 0.91-1.07, P = 0.76, n = 12 319 suicides). There were no statistically significant findings among younger or older subgroups and also not in Sweden and Austria/Switzerland. No changepoints were detected.

Conclusions: There were no significant changes in suicide rates associated with DST and no clear evidence to support proposed mechanisms (light exposure, disruption of sleep). Our study is one of the largest and was adequately powered. Nonetheless, even larger studies to detect smaller effects could be important to inform the debate about harms and benefits of DST.

背景:一些研究报告称,夏令时开始后自杀率上升,但证据不一,需要对拟议机制(睡眠中断、光照变化)进行更多研究:在这项预先登记的研究中,我们根据奥地利、瑞士和瑞典在 1980 年至 2022 年期间的数据,采用泊松回归模型和变化点分析方法,分析了夏令时开始前后两周内自杀率的变化。为了探究睡眠中断的影响,我们对可能不太受夏令时约束的退休人员和年轻人进行了重复分析。为了探究日光照射变化的影响,我们对北方和南方地区进行了重复分析,因为纬度不同,黄昏和日光照射也不同:结果:自杀率在夏令时开始后(调整后的发病率比 IRR = 0.98,95% CI 0.91-1.06,P = 0.66,n = 13 362 例自杀)或夏令时结束后(调整后的发病率比 IRR = 0.99,95% CI 0.91-1.07,P = 0.76,n = 12 319 例自杀)都没有明显上升。在瑞典和奥地利/瑞士,年轻或年长的亚群中没有发现有统计学意义的结果。没有发现变化点:结论:与夏令时相关的自杀率没有明显变化,也没有明确的证据支持所提出的机制(光照、睡眠中断)。我们的研究是规模最大的研究之一,并且具有充分的研究动力。尽管如此,进行更大规模的研究以检测较小的影响,对于了解有关 DST 的危害和益处的辩论可能非常重要。
{"title":"Daylight saving time was not associated with a change in suicide rates in Austria, Switzerland and Sweden.","authors":"Martin Plöderl, Eva-Maria Pichler, Joakim Westerlund, David Niederseer, Clemens Fartacek","doi":"10.1093/eurpub/ckae061","DOIUrl":"10.1093/eurpub/ckae061","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Some studies have reported an increase in suicides after the start of daylight saving time (DST), but the evidence is mixed and more research about proposed mechanisms (disrupted sleep, changing light exposure) is needed.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In our preregistered study, we analyzed change in suicide rates in the 2 weeks before/after DST, based on data between 1980 and 2022 from Austria, Switzerland and Sweden, using Poisson regression models and changepoint analyses. To explore the impact of disrupted sleep, we repeated the analysis for retired people who are likely less bound to DST, and for younger people. To explore the effect of changed daylight exposure, we repeated the analysis for northern and southern regions because twilight and daylight exposure varies by latitude.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Suicide rates did not significantly increase after the start of DST (adjusted incidence rate ratio IRR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.91-1.06, P = 0.66, n = 13 362 suicides) or after DST ended (adjusted IRR = 0.99, 95% CI 0.91-1.07, P = 0.76, n = 12 319 suicides). There were no statistically significant findings among younger or older subgroups and also not in Sweden and Austria/Switzerland. No changepoints were detected.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>There were no significant changes in suicide rates associated with DST and no clear evidence to support proposed mechanisms (light exposure, disruption of sleep). Our study is one of the largest and was adequately powered. Nonetheless, even larger studies to detect smaller effects could be important to inform the debate about harms and benefits of DST.</p>","PeriodicalId":12059,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Public Health","volume":" ","pages":"717-722"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11293815/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140335310","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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