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Towards the institutionalization of wastewater surveillance for public health: results from the EU-WISH mapping survey. 为促进公共卫生将废水监测制度化:欧盟-世界卫生组织测绘调查的结果。
IF 3.9 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaf259
Jose Antonio Baz-Lomba, Jori Perälä, Tarja Pitkänen, Tuija Leino

Wastewater-based surveillance (WBS) is increasingly recognized as a valuable tool for monitoring public health at the population level. However, its integration into national public health frameworks across Europe remains uneven. In mid-2024, the EU-WISH Joint Action conducted a system mapping survey across 27 European countries to assess the governance, development, and integration of WBS systems. The survey combined quantitative and qualitative data to evaluate national strategies, legal and financial frameworks, and system capacities. By May 2024, most participating countries had operational WBS systems, primarily targeting SARS-CoV-2. Other monitored targets included influenza and other respiratory viruses, poliovirus, antimicrobial resistance (AMR), emerging pathogens, illicit drugs, and health-related biomarkers. Prioritization in system design was largely based on operational feasibility and perceived public health value. Challenges identified included fragmented governance, lack of sustainable financing, and limited workforce capacity. Integration into public health decision-making varied, and dissemination practices differed significantly across countries and surveillance targets. The EU-WISH survey provides a baseline assessment of WBS implementation across Europe and highlights key enablers and barriers to its institutionalization. The findings support ongoing efforts at national and EU levels to enhance coordination, sustainability, and integration of WBS into routine public health frameworks.

基于废水的监测(WBS)越来越被认为是监测人口层面公共卫生的宝贵工具。然而,欧洲各国将其纳入国家公共卫生框架的情况仍然参差不齐。2024年中期,EU-WISH联合行动在27个欧洲国家进行了系统测绘调查,以评估WBS系统的治理、发展和集成。该调查结合了定量和定性数据,以评估国家战略、法律和财务框架以及系统能力。到2024年5月,大多数参与国都拥有可操作的WBS系统,主要针对SARS-CoV-2。其他监测目标包括流感和其他呼吸道病毒、脊髓灰质炎病毒、抗菌素耐药性(AMR)、新出现的病原体、非法药物和与健康有关的生物标志物。系统设计的优先次序主要基于操作可行性和感知到的公共卫生价值。确定的挑战包括治理分散、缺乏可持续融资和劳动力能力有限。纳入公共卫生决策的情况各不相同,传播做法在不同国家和监测目标之间存在显著差异。EU-WISH调查提供了整个欧洲实施WBS的基线评估,并突出了其制度化的关键推动因素和障碍。研究结果支持国家和欧盟层面正在进行的努力,以加强协调、可持续性,并将WBS纳入常规公共卫生框架。
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引用次数: 0
Does recovery reduce stigma? Icelanders' attitudes toward individuals experiencing Schizophrenia and addiction. 康复能减轻耻辱感吗?冰岛人对患有精神分裂症和成瘾的人的态度。
IF 3.9 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaf260
Sigrun Olafsdottir, Kari Kristinsson, Jon Gunnar Bernburg

Public stigma toward individuals with mental illness and addiction remains a major barrier to treatment, recovery, and social integration. While previous studies have documented widespread negative attitudes, less is known about the role of recovery narratives in shaping stigma. This study draws on the 2025 Icelandic Stigma Study to examine whether descriptions of recovery reduce preferred social distance from individuals experiencing schizophrenia, alcohol addiction, or heroin addiction. Data were collected using a nationally representative online panel (N = 1755). Respondents were randomly assigned to vignettes describing a character with one of the three conditions, with or without an added description of recovery. Preferred social distance was measured using a scale of eight items, and responses were analyzed with OLS regression models controlling for vignette characteristics and respondent demographics. Results show that descriptions of recovery significantly reduced preferred social distance across all conditions. The effect was strongest for alcohol addiction (33% reduction), followed by heroin addiction (23%) and schizophrenia (8%). Recovery narratives also reversed the relative ordering of conditions: while alcohol addiction was initially more stigmatized than schizophrenia, individuals in recovery from alcohol addiction were viewed more positively than those in recovery from schizophrenia. Female vignette characters elicited less social distance, while respondent characteristics had limited and inconsistent effects. The findings highlight the importance of recovery-oriented narratives in reducing stigma, particularly for addiction. Public campaigns that emphasize successful treatment and recovery may be especially effective in contexts such as Iceland, though condition-specific tailoring remains crucial.

公众对精神疾病和成瘾者的耻辱感仍然是治疗、康复和社会融合的主要障碍。虽然以前的研究记录了普遍的负面态度,但人们对康复叙事在形成耻辱感方面的作用知之甚少。这项研究借鉴了2025年冰岛耻辱研究,以检验康复的描述是否减少了与精神分裂症、酒精成瘾或海洛因成瘾者的首选社会距离。数据收集使用全国代表性在线面板(N = 1755)。受访者被随机分配到描述具有三种情况之一的人物的小插曲中,有或没有附加的恢复描述。首选社会距离采用8个项目的量表进行测量,并使用OLS回归模型对小短文特征和被调查者人口统计学进行分析。结果表明,在所有条件下,恢复描述显著降低了偏好的社会距离。对酒精成瘾的影响最大(减少33%),其次是海洛因成瘾(23%)和精神分裂症(8%)。康复叙述也颠倒了条件的相对顺序:虽然酒精成瘾最初比精神分裂症更受歧视,但从酒精成瘾中康复的人比从精神分裂症中康复的人被认为更积极。女性小插图特征对社会距离的影响较小,而被调查者特征的影响有限且不一致。研究结果强调了以康复为导向的叙述在减少耻辱方面的重要性,特别是对成瘾而言。强调成功治疗和康复的公共运动在冰岛这样的情况下可能特别有效,尽管因地制宜仍然至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Mortality risk for healthcare workers and journalists in the Gaza Strip over 2023-24. 2023- 2024年期间加沙地带医护人员和记者的死亡风险。
IF 3.9 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaf241
Francesca Incardona, Federica Bellerba, Sara Gandini, Alessandro Cozzi-Lepri

Armed conflicts often expose groups protected under international humanitarian law, such as healthcare workers (HW) and journalists (JN), to disproportionate risks and in the Israel Gaza war it was particularly evident. However, quantitative assessments of their mortality relative to the general population remain limited. Using official data sources, cross-referenced lists from professional associations, and rigorous statistical methods, we estimated higher mortality among HW and JN during the 2023-24 Israel Gaza war. Mortality risks were consistently higher among these protected groups, ranging from 36% to more than sixfold higher for journalists compared with Gaza residents of the same age and sex. Our findings highlight the urgent global need to protect HW and JN in all conflict settings and to ensure accountability for violations of international humanitarian law.

武装冲突往往使受国际人道主义法保护的群体,如卫生保健工作者和记者,面临不成比例的风险,这在以色列加沙战争中尤为明显。然而,对其相对于一般人口死亡率的定量评估仍然有限。使用官方数据来源、专业协会的交叉参考列表和严格的统计方法,我们估计在2023-24年以色列加沙战争期间,HW和JN的死亡率更高。这些受保护群体的死亡风险一直较高,与同年龄和性别的加沙居民相比,记者的死亡率高出36%至6倍以上。我们的调查结果突出表明,全球迫切需要在所有冲突环境中保护难民和难民,并确保对违反国际人道法的行为追究责任。
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引用次数: 0
Risk of testicular cancer and exposure to welding fumes. 患睾丸癌和接触焊接烟雾的风险。
IF 3.9 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaf255
Benjamin Kendzia, Thomas Behrens, Thomas Brüning, Andreas Stang, Karl-Heinz Jöckel, Wolfgang Ahrens

The incidence of germ-cell testicular cancer (TC) has increased in recent decades. Current evidence does not indicate a unanimous association between occupational exposure to welding fumes and TC risk. However, most publications do not provide information on exposure levels to welding fumes. We investigated the association between occupational exposure to welding fumes and the risk of TC in a German case-control study (268 cases and 797 control subjects). A measurement-based welding-exposure matrix was used to estimate year-specific exposure values which were linked to job-task descriptions. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated via logistic regression, conditional on study area and 5-year age groups. ORs were adjusted for a history of cryptorchidism, a family history of TC, and ever exposure to metal-working fluids (MWF). Regular welding was associated with an elevated TC risk (OR: 2.26, CI: 0.92-5.53) compared to occasional welding (OR: 1.14, CI: 0.78-1.69). For non-seminoma, there was an indication of a strong association among regular welders (OR: 3.71, CI: 1.08-12.80) and for non-welders using MWFs (OR: 3.39, CI: 1.21-9.53). However, these estimates were based on few exposed cases. We did not observe dose-effect relationships with increasing lifetime exposure to welding fumes, duration, or average intensity. We found an association between regular welding and TC risk based on standardized job-task descriptions, but not when using the year-specific exposure values.

近几十年来,生殖细胞睾丸癌(TC)的发病率有所增加。目前的证据并不表明职业接触焊接烟雾与TC风险之间存在一致的联系。然而,大多数出版物没有提供有关焊接烟雾暴露水平的信息。我们在德国的一项病例对照研究中调查了职业接触焊接烟雾与TC风险之间的关系(268例病例和797例对照受试者)。使用基于测量的焊接暴露矩阵来估计与工作任务描述相关的特定年份暴露值。以研究区域和5岁年龄组为条件,通过logistic回归计算95%置信区间的比值比(ORs)。根据隐睾病史、TC家族史和曾接触金属加工液(MWF)调整or。与偶尔焊接(OR: 1.14, CI: 0.78-1.69)相比,定期焊接与TC风险升高相关(OR: 2.26, CI: 0.92-5.53)。对于非精原细胞瘤,有迹象表明常规焊工(OR: 3.71, CI: 1.08-12.80)和使用MWFs的非焊工(OR: 3.39, CI: 1.21-9.53)之间存在很强的关联。然而,这些估计是基于少数暴露病例。我们没有观察到剂量效应关系与增加寿命暴露于焊接烟雾,持续时间,或平均强度。我们发现基于标准化工作任务描述的常规焊接和TC风险之间存在关联,但当使用特定年份的暴露值时则不存在关联。
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引用次数: 0
Trends in the diagnostic prevalence of cannabis-related disorders and co-occurring psychiatric disorders in adolescents: analysis of German health insurance data from 2013 to 2022. 青少年大麻相关疾病和共存精神疾病的诊断流行趋势:2013年至2022年德国健康保险数据分析。
IF 3.9 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaf228
Alexander Zarour, Christian Bachmann, Lisa Dandolo, Jakob Holstiege, Falk Hoffmann, Constanze Scholman, Yulia Golub

Cannabis use can have detrimental effects on adolescents' mental health, often co-occurring with child and adolescent psychiatric disorders (CAPD). This study assessed diagnostic prevalence trends in cannabis-related disorders and co-occurring diagnosed CAPD in adolescents receiving outpatient treatment in Germany. Outpatient claims data from the national public health insurance system, covering almost 4 million children and adolescents, were assessed for diagnostic prevalence of cannabis-related disorders (ICD-10 diagnoses F12.X) in insurees aged 12 to 17 years for the years 2013-22, stratified by age group and sex. In addition, the diagnostic prevalence of co-occurring CAPD during the year 2022 was evaluated. From 2013 to 2022, the diagnostic prevalence of cannabis-related disorders among German adolescents utilizing outpatient services increased from 0.08% to 0.10% (+22.4%), with a decline during the COVID-19 pandemic and a higher diagnostic prevalence in older adolescents. Up to 14 years of age, the diagnostic prevalence of cannabis-related disorders was distributed evenly among males and females, while from age 15 onwards, the diagnostic prevalence was higher in males. Overall, 78.3% of adolescents diagnosed with cannabis-related disorders had at least one co-occurring CAPD diagnosis in 2022. Most common co-occurring conditions were depressive disorders, conduct disorders, adjustment disorders, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorders, and anxiety disorders. Co-occurring depression was particularly often diagnosed, underscoring the urgent need for integrated treatment approaches addressing both disorders simultaneously in this age group.

大麻的使用会对青少年的心理健康产生有害影响,而且往往与儿童和青少年精神疾病同时发生。本研究评估了在德国接受门诊治疗的青少年中大麻相关疾病和并发诊断的CAPD的诊断流行趋势。来自全国公共健康保险系统的门诊索赔数据,涵盖了近400万儿童和青少年,评估了大麻相关疾病的诊断患病率(ICD-10诊断F12)。X) 2013-22年12至17岁被保险人按年龄组和性别分层。此外,还评估了2022年合并CAPD的诊断患病率。从2013年到2022年,在使用门诊服务的德国青少年中,大麻相关疾病的诊断率从0.08%上升到0.10%(+22.4%),在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间有所下降,而大龄青少年的诊断率较高。直到14岁,大麻相关疾病的诊断患病率在男性和女性中分布均匀,而从15岁起,男性的诊断患病率更高。总体而言,在2022年,被诊断患有大麻相关疾病的青少年中,78.3%至少同时患有一种CAPD诊断。最常见的并发疾病是抑郁症、行为障碍、适应障碍、注意力缺陷/多动障碍和焦虑症。同时发生的抑郁症尤其经常被诊断出来,这强调了迫切需要在这个年龄组同时解决这两种疾病的综合治疗方法。
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引用次数: 0
Community-based interventions for management of antimicrobial resistance in Europe: a systematic review. 欧洲管理抗菌素耐药性的社区干预措施:系统回顾。
IF 3.9 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaf257
Winifred Ekezie, Mayuri Gogoi, Nataly Papadopoulou, Farah Badakshi, Karen J Bowman, Beauty Igein, Manish Pareek

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a growing global health problem. Several public interventions have been designed to increase AMR knowledge and awareness. This review assesses the availability and effectiveness of community-based AMR interventions in Europe. Four databases-Medline (OVID), Pubmed, Scopus, Web of Science- and grey literature were searched for AMR interventions in community settings in Europe between 2000 and 2024. Studies reporting empirical findings in English were considered. A narrative synthesis was performed, and findings were presented in text and tables. Forty-nine studies were eligible for inclusion from 14 European countries. Interventions were primarily educational to raise awareness, targeting individuals, small groups, or the general public through mass campaigns, school-based programmes, online games, and pledges. Some interventions also monitored adherence, consumption, and doctor consultation. The majority of interventions reported increased knowledge and awareness of antibiotics and AMR; reduced antibiotic prescription, purchase, use, and non-compliance; reduced respiratory incidence and doctor consultations, and increased overall adherence. Fluctuations in knowledge over time were observed, but evidence was insufficient to analyse the long-term sustainability of outcomes of the interventions. Our findings show that community-based interventions can enhance knowledge and awareness of appropriate antibiotic use and AMR risks among different population groups. These can also positively improve adherence, expectation, and prescribing. However, long-term engagement and interventions are needed to attain sustainability and bring behavioural changes.

抗菌素耐药性(AMR)是一个日益严重的全球卫生问题。一些公共干预措施旨在提高抗菌素耐药性的知识和认识。本综述评估了欧洲社区抗菌素耐药性干预措施的可得性和有效性。我们检索了四个数据库——medline (OVID)、Pubmed、Scopus、Web of Science和灰色文献,以查找2000年至2024年间欧洲社区环境中的AMR干预措施。考虑了用英语报告实证结果的研究。进行了叙述综合,并以文本和表格的形式提出了调查结果。来自14个欧洲国家的49项研究符合纳入条件。干预措施主要是教育性的,以提高认识为目标,针对个人、小团体或公众,通过大规模运动、学校规划、在线游戏和认捐。一些干预措施还监测依从性、消费和医生咨询。大多数干预措施报告提高了对抗生素和抗菌素耐药性的认识和认识;减少抗生素处方、购买、使用和不合规;减少呼吸道疾病的发病率和医生咨询,提高总体依从性。观察到知识随时间的波动,但证据不足,无法分析干预措施结果的长期可持续性。我们的研究结果表明,以社区为基础的干预措施可以提高不同人群对抗生素适当使用和抗菌素耐药性风险的认识和认识。这些也可以积极地提高依从性、期望和处方。然而,需要长期参与和干预才能实现可持续性并带来行为改变。
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引用次数: 0
Using a return on investment analysis to estimate the economic impact of potential changes to alcohol control policies in Estonia. 使用投资回报率分析来估计爱沙尼亚酒精控制政策可能变化的经济影响。
IF 3.9 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaf265
Pol Rovira, Taavi Lai, Rainer Reile, Ahmed S Hassan, Jürgen Rehm

Estonia is planning an update of its national alcohol policies where an economic return on investment (ROI) analysis is needed to guide decisions against their monetary returns. Using mostly national data sources, the ROI analysis was based on direct healthcare costs and productivity losses due to premature mortality. The interventions compared comprised availability restrictions and taxation increases. For taxation increases, associated revenue increases to government were included. All analyses used a one-year time horizon and different sensitivity analyses. In 2023, all alcohol-attributable harms in Estonia totalled €510.00 million (1.3% of the Gross Domestic Product of Estonia) with €263.91 million direct costs and €246.08 million indirect costs. The proposed availability reductions are expected to yield a net benefit of €6.33 million, whereas a 15% increase in alcohol excise taxation could lower healthcare costs and productivity losses by €1.77 million in addition to increasing tax revenue by €32.27 million. Moreover, the interventions were estimated to lead to substantial reductions in mortality and hospitalizations. In terms of ROI, the availability interventions would result in €15 gained for each euro invested, and the taxation increase in €477 per euro invested, and without revenue in €25 per euro invested. Positive ROI was also shown in all sensitivity analyses. The proposed alcohol control policies for Estonia would not only reduce mortality and morbidity but also bring sizeable gains for each euro invested. Higher ROI for taxation increase compared to availability restrictions was mainly due to the added tax revenue.

爱沙尼亚正在计划更新其国家酒精政策,需要进行经济投资回报率分析,以指导有关货币回报的决策。ROI分析主要使用国家数据源,基于过早死亡导致的直接医疗保健成本和生产力损失。比较的干预措施包括可用性限制和税收增加。增加的税收包括政府的相关收入增加。所有的分析都采用一年的时间范围和不同的敏感性分析。2023年,爱沙尼亚所有可归因于酒精的危害总额为5.1亿欧元(占爱沙尼亚国内生产总值的1.3%),直接成本为2.6391亿欧元,间接成本为2.4608亿欧元。拟议的可得性减少预计将产生633万欧元的净收益,而酒精消费税增加15%,除了增加税收3227万欧元外,还可以降低医疗成本和生产力损失177万欧元。此外,据估计,这些干预措施导致死亡率和住院率大幅下降。在ROI方面,可用性干预将导致每投资1欧元获得15欧元,每投资1欧元增加477欧元的税收,每投资1欧元没有收入25欧元。在所有敏感性分析中也显示为正的ROI。拟议的爱沙尼亚酒精管制政策不仅可以降低死亡率和发病率,而且还可以为每一欧元的投资带来可观的收益。与可用性限制相比,税收增加的投资回报率更高,主要是由于增加了税收收入。
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引用次数: 0
Reclaiming trust: public health action to counter the infodemic. 重拾信任:应对信息大流行的公共卫生行动。
IF 3.9 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaf249
Paula Del Rey Puech, Natasha Azzopardi Muscat, Charlotte Marchandise, Martin McKee
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引用次数: 0
Real-world comparative effectiveness of SARS-CoV-2 primary vaccination campaigns against SARS-CoV-2 infections: a federated observational study emulating a target trial in three nations. 针对SARS-CoV-2感染的SARS-CoV-2初级疫苗接种运动的实际比较有效性:一项模拟三个国家目标试验的联合观察性研究。
IF 3.9 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaf247
Marjan Meurisse, Francisco Estupiñán-Romero, Markus Perola, Teemu Paajanen, Javier González-Galindo, Nina Van Goethem, Enrique Bernal-Delgado

To assess the impact of large-scale severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccination campaigns in real-world settings across regions, we performed a reproducible cross-border comparison of the real-world effectiveness of primary vaccination in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infections across three sites: Aragon (Spain), Brussels and Wallonia (Belgium), and Finland. This observational study emulated a target trial by daily matching primary vaccinated individuals 1:1 to un- or partially vaccinated individuals using propensity scores estimated on a set of relevant confounders from January to September 2021. Matched individuals were followed up until a SARS-CoV-2 infection was contracted or a censoring event occurred. Vaccine effectiveness in preventing infections was estimated by the difference in restricted mean survival time (RMST). Primary vaccination extended the average free-of-infection time by 35.9 [95% confidence interval (CI) (34.9-37.0)], 59.6 [95% CI (59.3-60.0)], and 1.6 [95% CI (1.1-2.0)] days over 365 days in the population cohort of Aragon (Spain), Brussels and Wallonia (Belgium), and Finland, respectively. This federated population-based observational study showed the effectiveness of the SARS-CoV-2 primary vaccination campaign in prolonging the mean time to infection in the Aragon (Spain) and Brussels and Wallonia (Belgium) population cohorts. Only a minor difference over this time frame was found in Finland's population cohort.

为了评估大规模严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2 (SARS-CoV-2)疫苗接种运动在现实世界中跨地区的影响,我们在三个地点(西班牙阿拉贡)、比利时布鲁塞尔和瓦隆尼亚以及芬兰)对初次接种预防SARS-CoV-2感染的实际有效性进行了可重复的跨境比较。这项观察性研究模拟了一项目标试验,使用2021年1月至9月期间一组相关混杂因素估计的倾向得分,每天将初级疫苗接种个体与未接种或部分接种个体1:1匹配。对匹配的个体进行随访,直到感染SARS-CoV-2或发生审查事件。通过限制平均生存时间(RMST)的差异来估计疫苗预防感染的有效性。在西班牙阿拉贡(Aragon)、比利时布鲁塞尔和瓦隆尼亚(Wallonia)以及芬兰的人群队列中,初次接种可使365天的平均无感染时间分别延长35.9天[95%置信区间(CI) 34.9-37.0]、59.6天[95% CI(59.3-60.0)]和1.6天[95% CI(1.1-2.0)]。这项以人群为基础的联合观察性研究显示,在阿拉贡(西班牙)、布鲁塞尔和瓦隆(比利时)人群中,SARS-CoV-2初级疫苗接种运动在延长平均感染时间方面是有效的。在这段时间内,在芬兰的人口队列中只发现了微小的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Predictors of avoidable and unavoidable hospital admissions in older adults: a 15-year population-based cohort study. 老年人可避免和不可避免住院的预测因素:一项为期15年的基于人群的队列研究
IF 3.9 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaf264
Susanna Gentili, Giuliana Locatelli, Rino Bellocco, Amaia Calderón-Larrañaga, Debora Rizzuto, Megan Doheny, Carin Lennartsson, Åsa Hedberg-Rundgren, Laura Fratiglioni, Davide L Vetrano

We examined sociodemographic, clinical, and functional characteristics influencing avoidable and unavoidable hospital admissions in older adults over 15 years. The study included 3166 participants aged 60+ years from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen. Hospital admissions were identified through national registers and classified as avoidable using official Swedish criteria. Multistate models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for both admission types. During the 15-year follow-up, the incidence rates of avoidable and unavoidable hospital admissions were, respectively, 5.74 and 35.17 per 100 person-years. Avoidable admissions due to chronic conditions were more common than those due to acute conditions (3.94 vs. 1.80 per 100 person-years over 15 years). Women had lower risk of both avoidable and unavoidable admissions compared to men (HRs range 0.46-0.76), while being unpartnered increased the risk for both hospitalization types (HRs range 1.13-1.33). Receiving formal care lowered the risk of unavoidable admissions (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.73-0.84), whereas informal care increased the likelihood of avoidable admissions due to chronic condition (HRs range 1.17-1.34). Multimorbidity, slow gait speed, and polypharmacy associated strongly with avoidable admissions (HRs range 1.41-2.50). Conversely, cognitive impairment and disability lowered risk of avoidable admissions for chronic conditions (HRs range 0.62-0.83). Multimorbidity, slow gait speed, and polypharmacy predicted higher risks for avoidable admissions from chronic conditions, while disability and cognitive impairment showed lower risks. These findings underscore the need for timely and comprehensive evaluation strategies to reduce the burden of avoidable hospital care.

我们研究了影响15岁以上老年人可避免和不可避免住院的社会人口学、临床和功能特征。这项研究包括了3166名60岁以上的参与者,他们来自瑞典Kungsholmen国家老龄化和护理研究。通过国家登记册确定住院情况,并根据瑞典官方标准将其归类为可避免的住院情况。多状态模型估计了两种入院类型的风险比(hr)和95%置信区间(ci)。在15年的随访期间,可避免和不可避免的住院率分别为5.74和35.17 / 100人年。可避免的慢性疾病入院比急性疾病更常见(15年内每100人年3.94比1.80)。与男性相比,女性可避免和不可避免入院的风险较低(hr范围为0.46-0.76),而单身则增加了两种住院类型的风险(hr范围为1.13-1.33)。接受正规护理降低了不可避免入院的风险(HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.73-0.84),而非正规护理增加了因慢性疾病而不可避免入院的可能性(HR范围1.17-1.34)。多病、慢步速和多药与可避免入院密切相关(hr范围1.41-2.50)。相反,认知障碍和残疾降低了慢性疾病可避免入院的风险(hr范围为0.62-0.83)。多病、慢速步态和多药预示着可避免的慢性病入院风险较高,而残疾和认知障碍的风险较低。这些发现强调需要及时和全面的评估策略,以减轻可避免的医院护理的负担。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
European Journal of Public Health
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