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A data-driven prioritisation framework to mitigate maintenance impact on passengers during metro line operation 数据驱动的优先排序框架,以减轻地铁线路运营期间维护工作对乘客的影响
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-023-00631-z
Alice Consilvio, Giulia Vignola, Paula López Arévalo, Federico Gallo, Marco Borinato, Carlo Crovetto
The application of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques may lead to significant improvements in different aspects of rail sector. Considering asset management and maintenance, AI can improve data analysis and asset status forecasting and decision-making processes, fostering predictive and prescriptive maintenance strategies. A prescriptive approach should be able to predict future scenarios as well as to suggest a course of actions. Nevertheless, the decision-making in rail asset management is often based on the classical asset-oriented approach, concentrating on the function of the asset itself as a main key performance indicator (KPI), whereas a user-oriented approach could lead to improved performance in terms of level of service. This paper is aimed at integrating the passengers’ perspective in the decision-making process for asset management to mitigate the impact that service interruptions may have on the final users. A data-driven prioritisation framework is developed to prioritise maintenance interventions taking into account asset status and criticality. In particular, a three-step approach is proposed, which focuses on the analysis of passenger data to evaluate the failure impact on the service, the analysis of alarms and anomalies to evaluate the asset status, and the suggestion of maintenance interventions. The proposed approach is applied to the maintenance of the metro line M5 in the Italian city of Milan. Results show the usefulness of the proposed approach to support infrastructure managers and maintenance operators in making decisions regarding the priority of maintenance activities, reducing the risk of critical failures and service interruptions.
人工智能(AI)技术的应用可显著改善铁路部门的各个方面。考虑到资产管理和维护,人工智能可以改进数据分析和资产状态预测及决策过程,促进预测性和规范性维护战略。规范性方法应能预测未来情景并提出行动方案。然而,铁路资产管理的决策往往基于传统的以资产为导向的方法,将资产本身的功能作为主要的关键绩效指标(KPI),而以用户为导向的方法可以提高服务水平方面的绩效。本文旨在将乘客的观点纳入资产管理决策过程,以减轻服务中断可能对最终用户造成的影响。本文开发了一个数据驱动的优先排序框架,以根据资产状态和关键性确定维护干预措施的优先排序。具体而言,提出了一种三步法,重点是分析乘客数据以评估故障对服务的影响,分析警报和异常情况以评估资产状态,以及提出维护干预建议。建议的方法被应用于意大利米兰市地铁 M5 号线的维护。结果表明,所提出的方法非常有用,可以支持基础设施管理人员和维护操作人员就维护活动的优先级做出决策,降低关键故障和服务中断的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Urban (UMaaS) and rural (RMaaS) mobility as a service (MaaS): practical insights from international practitioners and experts 城市(UMaaS)和农村(RMaaS)移动即服务(MaaS):国际从业者和专家的实践见解
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-023-00620-2
Jenny Milne, Mark Beecroft, John D. Nelson, Philip Greening, Caitlin Cottrill, Steve Wright
The concept and potential of Mobility as a Service (MaaS) has been the subject of significant debate in academia and industry for nearly a decade. There are several city-based Mobility as a Service (MaaS) pilots globally. There remains a significant lack of practitioner evidence of MaaS with the focus on city-based solutions rather than in rural and suburban areas. To that end, this paper asks four research questions to contribute to the gap in Rural MaaS (RMaaS) and Urban MaaS (UMaaS); firstly, is MaaS a mobility option for rural areas given the identified evidence in scientific literature? Secondly, how do practitioner experiences with MaaS (in all areas) differ considering factors like phraseology, geography, available modes, transportation, the origin and implementation stages? Thirdly, what practical learnings can be drawn from practitioners in the field? Fourthly, what is the future of MaaS for rural and urban areas. The research and findings are based upon grey literature and twenty semi-structured interviews with representatives from research or government organisations, public bodies, MaaS technology suppliers, transport operators and experts. Each participant discussed and contributed to the practicalities around real-world applications of MaaS in urban, regional, or rural areas. The analysis produced 2 applied tools which will be useful to practitioners interested in MaaS; a Thematic Map visualising the common matters emerging from the interviews revolving around ‘People, Policy, Practice and Pilots (4Ps); a Practical Framework for Implementing MaaS tool, which can be used by any practitioner at any stage of a MaaS project.
近十年来,"移动即服务"(MaaS)的概念和潜力一直是学术界和产业界热议的话题。全球有几个以城市为基础的移动即服务(MaaS)试点项目。但在以城市为基础的解决方案方面,而不是在农村和郊区,仍然严重缺乏有关移动即服务的实践证据。为此,本文提出了四个研究问题,以弥补农村移动即服务(RMaaS)和城市移动即服务(UMaaS)方面的不足;首先,鉴于科学文献中已确定的证据,移动即服务是否是农村地区的移动选择?其次,考虑到措辞、地理、可用模式、交通、起源和实施阶段等因素,(所有地区的)实践者在使用 MaaS 方面的经验有何不同?第三,从该领域的从业者身上可以汲取哪些实用经验?第四,MaaS 在农村和城市地区的前景如何?研究和结论基于灰色文献和 20 个半结构式访谈,访谈对象包括研究或政府组织、公共机构、MaaS 技术供应商、交通运营商和专家代表。每位参与者都围绕 MaaS 在城市、区域或农村地区的实际应用进行了讨论,并提出了自己的看法。分析结果产生了两个对 MaaS 有兴趣的从业人员非常有用的应用工具:一个主题地图,可视化访谈中围绕 "人员、政策、实践和试点(4Ps)"出现的共同问题;一个实施 MaaS 工具的实用框架,可供任何从业人员在 MaaS 项目的任何阶段使用。
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引用次数: 0
Autonomous last-mile delivery robots: a literature review 最后一英里自主配送机器人:文献综述
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-023-00629-7
Elin Alverhed, Simon Hellgren, Hanna Isaksson, Lisa Olsson, Hanna Palmqvist, Jonas Flodén
This literature review investigates how self-driving autonomous delivery robots (ADRs) impact last-mile deliveries, add value to the logistics and transport industry, and contribute to creating competitive business models. Autonomous vehicles are still a developing technology and ADRs could possibly be one of the solutions to the last-mile problem, in particular in cities and for urban freight with an increasing number of parcels to deliver. Last-mile delivery is also changing as e-commerce and more demanding customers emerge. Such development, however, faces challenges regarding infrastructure, externalities such as CO2 emissions, and shorter delivery-time requirements. This review, focused on ADRs, reveals four major themes (operations, infrastructure, regulations, and acceptance) through which we explain the barriers and benefits of using ADRs for last-mile deliveries. The review shows that the operations of ADRs can impact last-mile deliveries by lowering costs, optimising the use of time, and reducing externalities. The review also shows that the foundation of last-mile infrastructure would have to change if ADRs are to be used to a greater extent. Regulations for ADRs are still not yet in place, which makes the market somewhat confused. The acceptance of ADRs in society is another challenge because the innovation of ADRs is still new and unfamiliar. Altogether, the use of ADRs for last-mile deliveries shows great potential, based on the promising results of the articles reviewed. However, most studies on ADRs have been theoretical in nature, such as models, which highlights the need for real-world case studies and implementations.
本文献综述探讨了自动驾驶自主配送机器人(ADRs)如何影响最后一英里配送,如何为物流和运输业增值,以及如何为创造有竞争力的商业模式做出贡献。自动驾驶汽车仍是一项发展中的技术,而自动驾驶送货机器人有可能成为最后一英里问题的解决方案之一,特别是在城市和需要运送越来越多包裹的城市货运中。随着电子商务和要求更高的客户的出现,最后一英里配送也在发生变化。然而,这种发展面临着基础设施、二氧化碳排放等外部因素以及更短交货时间要求等方面的挑战。本综述重点关注路边自动取货系统,揭示了四大主题(运营、基础设施、法规和接受度),通过这些主题,我们解释了使用路边自动取货系统进行最后一英里送货的障碍和益处。研究表明,ADR 的运营可以通过降低成本、优化时间利用和减少外部性来影响最后一英里配送。审查还表明,如果要更广泛地使用路边自动取货系统,就必须改变最后一英里基础设施的基础。ADR 的法规尚未出台,这使得市场有些混乱。社会对 ADR 的接受程度是另一个挑战,因为 ADR 的创新仍是一个陌生的新事物。总之,根据所审查文章的良好结果,ADR 在最后一英里配送中的应用显示出巨大的潜力。然而,大多数关于 ADR 的研究都是理论性的,例如模型,这就凸显了实际案例研究和实施的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Ride2Rail: integrating ridesharing to increase the attractiveness of rail travel Ride2Rail: 整合共享乘车服务,提高铁路旅行的吸引力
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-023-00627-9
David Golightly, Emiliano Altobelli, Nicola Bassi, Petr Buchníček, Cristian Consonni, Petra Juránková, Lambros Mitropoulos, Giuseppe Rizzi, Matteo Rossi, Maria Scrocca, Eetu Rutanen, Annie Kortsari, Harris Niavis
Shared travel offers an important way to increase the accessibility of rail services. However, providing an integrated shared travel capability for rail travel is both a conceptual and technical challenge. This paper presents an overview of Ride2Rail, enabling ‘Easy use for all’ of rail through ridesharing as part of a multimodal journey. Ride2Rail has the overall objective of developing intelligent multimodal mobility, by facilitating the efficient combination of flexible and crowdsourced transport services, such as ridesharing, with scheduled transport. A requirements activity has set out the travel behaviour and system requirements for Ride2Rail. Development activities have covered the technical implementation of Ride2Rail, involving both development of the Ride2Rail functionalities and the Ride2Rail Driver Companion application, integrated within the wider Shift2Rail ecosystem. Demonstration activities have involved the preparation, implementation, execution and monitoring of Ride2Rail at four demonstration sites. This paper outlines the overall approach and findings of the Ride2Rail. This demonstrates the technical feasibility of integrating shared travel, including the architecture for a shared ride capability that can be readily integrated into pre-existing Mobility as a Service (MaaS) platform. Additionally, the paper reports positive user attitudes to this kind of shared travel, within the context of multimodal trips.
共享出行为提高铁路服务的可及性提供了重要途径。然而,为铁路旅行提供综合共享出行能力既是概念上的挑战,也是技术上的挑战。本文概述了 Ride2Rail,通过共享出行作为多式联运旅程的一部分,实现 "人人轻松使用 "铁路。Ride2Rail 的总体目标是发展智能多式联运,促进灵活的众包交通服务(如共享乘车)与定期交通的有效结合。一项需求活动为 Ride2Rail 提出了出行行为和系统要求。开发活动涉及 Ride2Rail 的技术实施,包括开发 Ride2Rail 功能和 Ride2Rail Driver Companion 应用程序,并将其整合到更广泛的 Shift2Rail 生态系统中。示范活动包括在四个示范点准备、实施、执行和监控 Ride2Rail。本文概述了 Ride2Rail 的总体方法和研究结果。这证明了整合共享出行的技术可行性,包括可随时整合到现有移动即服务(MaaS)平台的共享乘车功能架构。此外,论文还报告了在多模式出行背景下,用户对这种共享出行的积极态度。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the intention to uptake MaaS: the case of Randstad 评估采用 MaaS 的意向:Randstad 案例
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-023-00625-x
Iria Lopez-Carreiro, Andres Monzon, Elena Lopez
Mobility as a Service (MaaS) has recently gained popularity as an opportunity to encourage a more sustainable mobility model and improve urban liveability. Today, it is still uncertain if travellers are willing to uptake MaaS and transform their habits. In the paper, we explore individuals’ behavioural intention based on a survey comprising 418 respondents in the metropolitan area of Randstad (The Netherlands). The application of a Structural Equation Model allows to uncover a series of explanatory (attitudinal and personality) factors relevant for MaaS acceptance. Then, a cluster analysis determines four profiles of travellers in relation to their intention to embrace this new solution: ‘Short-duration commuters’, ‘Active travellers’, ‘Traditional car-supporters’, and ‘MaaS admirers’. Overall, we identify three main barriers for the potential adoption of MaaS: low willingness to combine different modes of transport, low affinity with technology, and low reliability on the new mobility services. We also recognise that low environmental concerns seem to frustrate individuals’ innovativeness.
移动即服务(MaaS)作为鼓励更可持续的移动模式和改善城市宜居性的契机,近来广受欢迎。如今,旅行者是否愿意接受 MaaS 并改变自己的习惯仍是个未知数。本文通过对荷兰兰斯塔德(Randstad)大都市区 418 名受访者的调查,探讨了个人的行为意向。通过应用结构方程模型,我们发现了一系列与 MaaS 接受度相关的解释性(态度和个性)因素。然后,通过聚类分析确定了与接受这种新解决方案的意向相关的四种旅行者特征:"短时通勤者"、"积极旅行者"、"传统汽车支持者 "和 "MaaS 崇拜者"。总的来说,我们发现了潜在采用 MaaS 的三个主要障碍:结合不同交通方式的意愿低、对技术的亲和力低以及新交通服务的可靠性低。我们还认识到,对环境问题的低关注度似乎阻碍了个人的创新能力。
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引用次数: 0
Synchromodal transport re-planning: an agent-based simulation approach 同步交通重新规划:基于代理的模拟方法
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-023-00624-y
Shafagh Alaei, Javier Durán-Micco, Cathy Macharis
In the rapidly evolving global marketplace, the logistics sector faces a multitude of challenges that demand implementation of more resilient solutions to respond to any future disturbance. Synchromodal transport, which is viewed as an extension of multimodal transport, is known as a key answer to this issue, as it provides more flexible and sustainable freight transport and also focuses on collaboration between different logistics players. We consider synchromodal transport as a collection of agents that not only have their own characteristics and behaviors, but also interact with each other, which impacts the entire system. In this paper, we study the system using an Agent-Based Modeling approach. The network represents the combination of long-haul and drayage transport, where pre-haulage and end-haulage are done only by truck, and the rest can be done by trucks, trains, or barges. A numerical experiment is conducted to evaluate cost savings and emissions reduction under different logistics service providers’ relation and re-routing scenarios. Our findings show that synchromodal scenarios are more economically and environmentally efficient, and that they lead to higher flexibility and reliability compared to business-as-usual scenarios. Additionally, our model verifies that the cost saving is considerable when logistics service providers collaborate with each other. The results of sensitivity analyses show consistent overall trends when comparing the different scenarios. Therefore, the conclusions drawn from the original experiment appear to be applicable, not only for that specific instance, but have broader relevance and applicability.
在快速发展的全球市场中,物流业面临着诸多挑战,需要实施更具弹性的解决方案,以应对未来的任何干扰。同步多式联运被视为多式联运的延伸,是解决这一问题的关键,因为它提供了更加灵活和可持续的货运方式,同时还注重不同物流参与者之间的合作。我们将同步多式联运视为一个代理集合,这些代理不仅具有各自的特征和行为,而且还相互影响,从而影响整个系统。在本文中,我们采用基于代理的建模方法来研究该系统。该网络代表了长途运输和拖运的结合,其中预运和终运仅由卡车完成,其余部分可由卡车、火车或驳船完成。我们进行了一项数值实验,以评估在不同物流服务提供商的关系和重新安排运输路线的情况下节省成本和减少排放的情况。我们的研究结果表明,与 "一切照旧 "方案相比,"同步模式 "方案更具经济效益和环境效益,灵活性和可靠性也更高。此外,我们的模型还验证了当物流服务供应商相互协作时,成本节约的幅度相当大。敏感性分析的结果表明,在比较不同方案时,总体趋势是一致的。因此,从原始实验中得出的结论似乎不仅适用于该具体实例,而且具有更广泛的相关性和适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Development of Mobility as a Service (MaaS) for intercity travel & rural/island areas: the case study of Greece 为城际旅行和农村/岛屿地区开发移动即服务(MaaS):希腊案例研究
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-023-00619-9
Georgios Papaioannou, Amalia Polydoropoulou, Athena Tsirimpa, Ioanna Pagoni
The specific features and requirements of island regions and rural areas make Mobility as a Service (MaaS) an attractive and evolving concept in the realm of Intercity/Rural/Island transportation. The primary goal of this research is to provide qualitative insights relative to the added value and development of MaaS for the previously mentioned transport services through a case study from Greece, a country with approximately 250 inhabited islands. In island settings, the primary societal motivation for MaaS is to enhance the accessibility of islands and improve individuals' access to multiple transport services. MaaS is found to have a strong potential to act as an enabler for more efficient transport and better accessibility to remote/island locations, acting in a complementary manner with currently applied “external” measures such as the Greek “Transport Equivalent”. To further assess the potential, development and impact of MaaS a focus group comprised by key-representatives from industry and academia stakeholders is created. The MaaS Ecosystem, as described by the experts, is comprised of the MaaS Provider, all the intercity/rural/island transport providers currently operating in the Greek market, MaaS Enabling entities (associations, regulators, investors, research institutions), the Integration Drivers and the customers. The issue of transport providers’ liability in case of disruptions and existing market regulations constitute, according to the results, an important challenge towards development of an Intercity MaaS, which needs to be addressed by legislative studies in a pan-European level. Most likely user groups for Intercity/Rural/Island MaaS are young people and digitally educated people, whilst less likely patronage groups are the elderly and “vulnerable” population groups. Relative to the external environment, high degree of fragmentation of the intercity transport industry combined by “autonomous” behavior of actors (“silo effect”) appears to be the greatest threat towards MaaS whilst anticipated capital investments in infrastructure and vehicles, which are foreseen in the proxime future, are the greatest opportunities.
岛屿地区和农村地区的具体特点和要求使得 "移动即服务"(MaaS)成为城际/农村/岛屿交通领域一个极具吸引力且不断发展的概念。本研究的主要目的是通过对希腊--一个拥有约 250 个有人居住岛屿的国家--的案例研究,提供有关 MaaS 对上述交通服务的附加值和发展的定性见解。在岛屿环境中,发展 MaaS 的主要社会动机是提高岛屿的可达性,改善个人获得多种交通服务的途径。研究发现,MaaS 具有强大的潜力,可作为提高交通效率和改善偏远/岛屿地区交通可达性的推动力,与目前应用的 "外部 "措施(如希腊的 "交通等价物")相辅相成。为进一步评估 MaaS 的潜力、发展和影响,成立了一个由行业和学术界利益相关者主要代表组成的焦点小组。根据专家的描述,MaaS 生态系统由 MaaS 提供商、目前在希腊市场运营的所有城际/农村/岛屿运输提供商、MaaS 扶持实体(协会、监管机构、投资者、研究机构)、整合驱动者和客户组成。根据研究结果,运输提供商在中断情况下的责任问题和现有市场法规构成了城际 MaaS 发展的重要挑战,需要通过泛欧层面的立法研究加以解决。城际/乡村/岛屿 MaaS 最有可能的用户群体是年轻人和受过数字教育的人,而老年人和 "弱势 "人群则不太可能成为用户群体。相对于外部环境而言,城际运输行业的高度分散以及参与者的 "自主 "行为("筒仓效应")似乎是 MaaS 面临的最大威胁,而预计在不久的将来对基础设施和车辆的资本投资则是最大的机遇。
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引用次数: 0
How to improve public transport usage in a medium-sized city: key factors for a successful bus system 如何提高中等城市的公共交通使用率:公交系统成功的关键因素
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-023-00616-y
Shireen Al Suleiman, Adriana Cortez, Andrés Monzón, Antonio Lara
In recent years, the promotion and use of public transport (PT) has become key to overcoming the negative impacts of mobility, such as traffic congestion, high pollution (GHG), and traffic accidents. Improving users’ satisfaction and increasing the attractiveness of buses play an essential role in increasing PT patronage. Whilst most of the literature concentrates on large and complex bus systems, less attention has been paid to European medium-sized cities, the region’s most common urban configuration, where public transport mainly depends on bus services. To this end, a survey campaign was conducted on passengers of urban buses in Oviedo, Spain, a representative medium-sized city. An Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) was used to identify key user satisfaction factors. In this case, three factors were the most important: comfort and information, service performance, and integration. That was complemented by the overall satisfaction (OS) with services, which was used for ranking the importance of the factors using an ordinal logistic regression model; comfort and information appear as the most important. These findings can serve bus operators to identify service-related attributes that need more attention or investment to increase users’ satisfaction and to make the service attractive to potential users.
近年来,推广和使用公共交通(PT)已成为克服交通拥堵、高污染(GHG)和交通事故等流动性负面影响的关键。提高乘客的满意度和增加巴士的吸引力是增加巴士乘客的关键。虽然大多数文献集中在大型和复杂的公交系统,很少关注欧洲中型城市,该地区最常见的城市配置,其中公共交通主要依赖于公交服务。为此,在具有代表性的中型城市西班牙奥维耶多,对乘坐城市公交车的乘客进行了问卷调查。探索性因素分析(EFA)用于确定关键的用户满意度因素。在这种情况下,三个因素是最重要的:舒适和信息,服务性能和集成。这是对服务的总体满意度(OS)的补充,该满意度用于使用有序逻辑回归模型对因素的重要性进行排序;舒适和信息似乎是最重要的。这些发现可以帮助公交运营商识别需要更多关注或投资的服务相关属性,以提高用户满意度,并使服务对潜在用户具有吸引力。
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引用次数: 0
Improving citizens’ quality of life and societal transitions: Highlights of the 49th European transport conference 提高市民的生活质量和社会转型:第49届欧洲交通会议的亮点
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-023-00623-z
António Lobo, Pierluigi Coppola

This Topical Collection of European Transport Research Review includes a selection of papers presented at the 49th European Transport Conference (ETC), organized on-line by the Association for European Transport (AET), from September 9th to September 15th, 2021. The ETC is a major annual event where European transport practitioners and researchers come together to keep abreast of policy issues, research findings and best practices across a broad spectrum of transport topics: from advanced modelling for passenger and freight transport to appraisal methods; from sustainable planning to public transport and rail case studies. Uniquely in Europe, the Conference provides a forum for those engaged in research, policy and business in transport, bridging the gap that often arises between theory and practice.

For the second year in a row, ETC was held online due to health protection measures and travel restrictions imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic. Although this was not an ideal situation for taking full advantage of the discussion and networking opportunities ETC offers, the conference still attracted around 500 delegates to debate emerging topics in transport and mobility. Considering this context, the immediate [1] and longstanding impacts [2] of COVID-19 on the transport sector were naturally hot topics at ETC 2021. However, as the vaccination was ramping up in Europe and across the globe, and with the end of the pandemic on the horizon, it was also time to refocus transport research on its core goals: improving citizens’ quality of life and supporting societal transitions through the provision of environmentallyfriendly and resilient mobility options. This Topical Collection brings together a number of contributions to address this endeavour at different spatial scales.

Two studies analysed accessibility issues at the neighbourhood scale, focusing on social impacts and exclusion. Glock and Gerlach [3] presented some findings that counteract some preconceived ideas associated with the implementation of the 15 min city concept. Focusing on the case study of the Pankow district, in Berlin, the authors observed that neighbourhoods with poor accessibility are not necessarily associated with disadvantaged socioeconomic statuses. However, good accessibility, especially by public transport, usually involves a trade-off with noise and air pollution. Goralzik et al. [4] analysed how do people with disabilities perceive emerging shared mobility services through the results of a pan-European survey involving more than 500 respondents from 21 countries. Predictably, disabled people have more positive views about accessing to car- or van-based services than to services provided on two-wheel vehicles. However, participants stressed that none of the current offers ensure equal access for people with disabilities, considering that barriers are not limited to the physical access to vehicles, but also concern the accessibility and use of booking apps.

本《欧洲交通研究评论》专题合集包括由欧洲交通协会(AET)于2021年9月9日至9月15日在线组织的第49届欧洲交通会议(ETC)上发表的论文选集。ETC是一个重要的年度活动,欧洲运输从业者和研究人员聚集在一起,及时了解政策问题,研究成果和最佳实践,涉及广泛的运输主题:从客运和货运的先进模型到评估方法;从可持续规划到公共交通和铁路的案例研究。该会议为从事交通研究、政策和商业的人士提供了一个论坛,在欧洲是独一无二的,它弥合了理论与实践之间经常出现的差距。受新冠肺炎疫情影响,ETC已连续第二年在线举办。虽然这不是充分利用ETC提供的讨论和交流机会的理想情况,但会议仍然吸引了大约500名代表讨论交通和移动领域的新兴话题。在这种背景下,2019冠状病毒病对交通部门的直接[1]和长期影响[2]自然成为ETC 2021的热门话题。然而,随着疫苗接种在欧洲和全球范围内的增加,以及大流行即将结束,现在也是时候将交通研究的重点重新放在其核心目标上了:通过提供环境友好和有弹性的交通选择,改善公民的生活质量,支持社会转型。这个专题合集汇集了许多在不同空间尺度上解决这一努力的贡献。两项研究分析了社区尺度上的可达性问题,重点关注社会影响和排斥。Glock和Gerlach[3]提出了一些研究结果,抵消了与实施15分钟城市概念相关的一些先入为主的想法。以柏林Pankow区的案例研究为重点,作者观察到,交通不便的社区并不一定与社会经济地位低下有关。然而,良好的可达性,特别是公共交通,通常需要与噪音和空气污染相权衡。Goralzik等人[4]通过一项涉及来自21个国家的500多名受访者的泛欧调查结果,分析了残疾人如何看待新兴的共享移动服务。可以预见的是,与两轮车提供的服务相比,残疾人对汽车或面包车提供的服务有更积极的看法。然而,与会者强调,考虑到障碍不仅限于车辆的物理通道,还涉及预订应用程序的可及性和使用,目前的提议都不能确保残疾人的平等机会。其他研究则侧重于城市尺度上交通网络建模的不同步骤。Cerqueira等人[5]从行程生成和分布开始,利用智能卡验证开发数学模型和用户界面来推断动态出发地矩阵。该工具的主要优点是通过检测与不同的公共汽车和地铁运营商一起进行的个人旅行来考虑旅行和转移状态。接下来是模式选择,Wiman等人[6]开发了一个小型系统动力学模型,尽管存在结构和参数的不确定性,但可以比较旨在减少赫尔辛基汽车依赖的替代政策对排放影响的影响。此外,作者能够将高杠杆不确定性确定为政策行动的目标,并展示了对因果结构的不同假设如何导致相同干预的截然不同的结果。Tiam-Lee和Henriques[7]估算了城市轨道交通系统的路线选择。在本研究中,使用车站出入口智能卡验证的峰值来推断列车到达,而每个乘客在出入口和列车位置的验证之间的一致性确定了合格路线的可能性。作者发现,大多数乘客选择换乘次数最少的路线,但也有相当一部分乘客优先选择距离较短的路线。此外,Aparício等人[8]通过模拟不同的故障场景,评估了里斯本目前由八种不同模式组成的多式联运网络的稳健性。作者提出了一种归一化度量来比较各模式网络的鲁棒性,并分析了级联事件。结果表明,站点故障的影响通常大于网络链路故障。在ETC 2021上提出的许多贡献旨在跟上当前超越城市背景的社会转型。 这就是Krauth和Haalboom[9]的例子,他们认为,在减缓气候变化政策的背景下,更多的运输将通过铁路进行。作者开发了一个优化模型来评估在德国九个主要货运集运中心之间增加单货车运输的影响,分析了与不同容量和路线限制相关的不同情景。结果强调了有效操作的重要性,以防止通过增加产量获得的边际成本下降被增加的拥堵成本所抵消,从而实现规模经济。在技术创新方面,Bilal和Giglio[10]分析了自动驾驶汽车的引入及其与手动驾驶汽车共存所导致的宏观基本图的演变。本研究主张自动驾驶功能可以自适应管理车速、车头时距等交通参数,以增加道路通行能力。以热那亚市为例,研究人员估计,在未来15年内,自动驾驶汽车的普及率将达到35%,而道路容量将增加59%。作为客座编辑,我们很高兴看到如此多的文章对交通领域最突出的问题和转型做出了贡献。通过这种方式,本论文合集是之前的ETC 2020主题合集的合适继承者[11],该合集已经确定并讨论了需要弥合的几个差距,以实现交通运输在各个方面的可持续性。不适用。Ferreira, S., Amorim ., Lobo, A., Kern, M., Fanderl, N.;库托,A.(2022)。COVID-19大流行期间德国通勤者的出行方式偏好交通政策,26,55-64。https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.07.011.Article谷歌学者Susilo, Y., Floden, J., &Geurs, K.(2021)。第一年COVID-19限制的六个教训:我们未来可以做得更好吗?交通运输研究,2013(4):1 - 4。https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-021-00513-2.Article谷歌学者格洛克,j.p, &Gerlach, J.(2023)。柏林潘科:每个人都能在15分钟内到达的城市?结合可达性、交通噪音、空气污染和社会结构数据的案例研究。交通运输研究,2015(1)。https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-023-00577-2.Article Google Scholar Goralzik, A., König, A., al<e:1> iauskaitnik, L., &Hatzakis, T.(2022)。共享移动服务:残障人士视角下的可及性评估。交通运输研究,2014,34。https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-022-00559-w.Article Google Scholar Cerqueira, S., arssamio, A., &Henriques, R.(2022)。基于智能卡个人数据的动态起点-目的地矩阵的行程和传输状态推断。交通运输研究,2014(2):1 - 4。https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-022-00562-1.Article Google Scholar Wiman, H., Tuominen, A., Mesimäki, J., Penttinen, M., Innamaa, S., &;伊尔萨姆,P.(2022)。结构和参数不确定性下运输方式选择转变的系统动力学仿真。交通运输工程学报,2014(4):444 - 444。https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-022-00564-z.Article谷歌学者Tiam-Lee, t.j., &Henriques, R.(2022)。基于智能卡数据的轨道交通系统路径选择估计:处理车辆调度和步行时间的不确定性。交通运输研究,2014,31。https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-022-00558-x.Article Goog
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引用次数: 0
Integrating future trends and uncertainties in urban mobility design via data-driven personas and scenarios 通过数据驱动的人物和场景,整合城市交通设计的未来趋势和不确定性
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-023-00622-0
Tjark Gall, Sebastian Hörl, Flore Vallet, Bernard Yannou
Urban mobility contributes significantly to greenhouse gas emissions and comes with negative social impacts for various groups, such as limited accessibility to opportunity or basic services. Transitions towards sustainable and people-centred urban mobility systems are paramount. Yet, this is accompanied by various challenges. Complex urban systems are accompanied by high uncertainties (e.g., technological progress, demographics, climate change) which are currently not well integrated. Possible solutions originate from design, policymaking, and innovation, with a widespread disconnection due to non-compatible methods. This paper presents a method to improve the ability to design future urban mobility systems by integrating different approaches for modelling what the future could be and who could be the users. The research question is how diverse future user needs can be integrated in design processes for urban mobility systems. The proposed scenario-based design and personas allows to create data-driven proto-personas—a set of archetypical users with assigned characteristics and behaviours—test their validity, derive distributions across geographical areas, and transform them for different 2030 scenarios. This serves as input to create full personas and synthetic populations as intermediary design objects for the collaboration of designers and simulation experts. The methodology is exemplarily applied in the context of Paris. It contributes to urban mobility solution design that is more aware of future uncertainty and diverse needs of users, therefore, better capable to respond to today’s challenges. The approach is replicable with open data and accessible source code: https://github.com/TjarkGall/proto-persona-clustering .
城市交通大大增加了温室气体排放,并给不同群体带来了负面的社会影响,例如获得机会或基本服务的机会有限。向可持续和以人为本的城市交通系统转型至关重要。然而,这也伴随着各种挑战。复杂的城市系统伴随着高度的不确定性(例如,技术进步、人口、气候变化),这些不确定性目前没有得到很好的整合。可能的解决方案源于设计、政策制定和创新,但由于方法不兼容,存在广泛的脱节。本文提出了一种方法,通过整合不同的方法来建模未来可能是什么以及谁可能是用户,从而提高设计未来城市交通系统的能力。研究的问题是如何将不同的未来用户需求整合到城市交通系统的设计过程中。拟议的基于场景的设计和人物角色允许创建数据驱动的原型人物角色-一组具有指定特征和行为的原型用户-测试其有效性,推导跨地理区域的分布,并将其转换为2030年不同的场景。这可以作为创建完整人物角色和合成人群的输入,作为设计师和模拟专家协作的中间设计对象。该方法在巴黎的背景下得到了典型的应用。它有助于城市交通解决方案的设计,使其更能意识到未来的不确定性和用户的多样化需求,从而更好地应对当今的挑战。该方法可以通过开放数据和可访问的源代码复制:https://github.com/TjarkGall/proto-persona-clustering。
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引用次数: 0
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European Transport Research Review
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