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Inference of dynamic origin–destination matrices with trip and transfer status from individual smart card data 基于智能卡个人数据的动态起点-目的地矩阵的行程和传输状态推断
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-09-13 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-022-00562-1
Cerqueira, Sofia, Arsenio, Elisabete, Henriques, Rui
The provision of seamless public transport supply requires a complete understanding of the real traffic dynamics, comprising origin-to-destination multimodal mobility patterns along the transport network. However, most current solutions are centred on the volumetric analysis of passengers’ flows, generally neglecting transfer, walking, and waiting needs, as well as the changes in the mobility patterns with the calendar and user profile. These challenges prevent a comprehensive assessment of the routing and scheduling vulnerabilities of (multimodal) public transport networks. The research presented in this paper aims at addressing the above challenges by proposing a novel approach that extends dynamic Origin-Destination (OD) matrix inference to dynamic OD matrix inference with aggregated statistics, highlighting vulnerabilities and multimodal mobility patterns from individual trip record data. Given specific spatial and temporal criteria, the proposed methodology extends dynamic Origin-Destination (OD) matrices with aggregated statistics, using smart-card validations gathered from (multimodal) public transport networks. More specifically, three major contributions are tackled; i) the data enrichment in the OD matrices with statistical information besides trip volume (e.g., transfer and trip features); ii) the detection of vulnerabilities on the network pertaining to walking distances and trip durations in a user-centric way and iii) the decomposition of traffic flows in accordance with calendrical rules and user (passenger) profiles. The set of contributions are validated on the bus-and-metro public transport network in the city of Lisbon. The proposed approach for inferring OD matrices yields four unique contributions. First, we allow inference to consider multimodal commuting patterns, detecting individual trips undertaken along with different operators. Second, we support dynamic matrices’ OD inference along with parameterizable time intervals and calendrical rules, and further support the decomposition of traffic flows according to the user profile. Third, we allow parameterization of the desirable spatial granularity and visualisation preferences. Fourth, our solution efficiently computes several statistics that support OD matrix analysis, helping with the detection of vulnerabilities throughout the transport network. More specifically, statistical indicators related to travellers’ functional mobility needs (commuters for working purposes, etc.), walking distances and trip durations are supported. The inferred dynamic OD matrices are the outcome of a developed software with strict guarantees of usability. Results from the case study using data gathered from the two main public transport operators (Bus and Metro) in the city of Lisbon show that 77.3% of alighting stops can be estimated with a high confidence degree from bus smart-card data. The inferred OD matrices (Bus and Metro) in the city of Lisbon reveal vulnerabilities along specific OD
提供无缝的公共交通供应需要完全了解真实的交通动态,包括交通网络中从起点到目的地的多式联运模式。然而,目前的大多数解决方案都集中在对乘客流量的体积分析上,通常忽略了换乘、步行和等待需求,以及随日历和用户资料而变化的移动模式。这些挑战阻碍了对(多式联运)公共交通网络的路由和调度漏洞的全面评估。本文的研究旨在通过提出一种新的方法来解决上述挑战,该方法将动态始发-目的地(OD)矩阵推理扩展到具有聚合统计的动态OD矩阵推理,突出了个体旅行记录数据的脆弱性和多模式移动模式。给定特定的空间和时间标准,建议的方法扩展动态起点-目的地(OD)矩阵与汇总统计,使用从(多式联运)公共交通网络收集的智能卡验证。更具体地说,解决了三个主要贡献;i)在OD矩阵中加入除行程量以外的统计信息(例如,转移和行程特征)来丰富数据;Ii)以用户为中心的方式检测网络上与步行距离和行程持续时间有关的漏洞;iii)根据日历规则和用户(乘客)配置文件分解交通流。这组贡献在里斯本市的公共汽车和地铁公共交通网络上得到了验证。所提出的推断OD矩阵的方法有四个独特的贡献。首先,我们允许推理考虑多模式通勤模式,检测与不同运营商一起进行的个人旅行。其次,我们支持动态矩阵的OD推断以及可参数化的时间间隔和日历规则,并进一步支持根据用户配置文件分解交通流。第三,我们允许对理想的空间粒度和可视化偏好进行参数化。第四,我们的解决方案有效地计算了几种支持OD矩阵分析的统计数据,帮助检测整个传输网络中的漏洞。更具体地说,支持与旅行者的功能移动需求(工作目的的通勤者等)、步行距离和行程持续时间有关的统计指标。推导出的动态OD矩阵是在严格保证可用性的情况下开发的软件的结果。案例研究使用了里斯本市两家主要公共交通运营商(公共汽车和地铁)收集的数据,结果表明,77.3%的下车站点可以从公共汽车智能卡数据中获得高置信度。里斯本市推断的OD矩阵(公交和地铁)揭示了特定OD对的漏洞,为里斯本的公交公共运营商提供了新的知识和方法,以更好地理解动态和验证OD假设。
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引用次数: 9
Initiatives and challenges in using gamification in transportation: a systematic mapping 在交通运输中使用游戏化的倡议和挑战:一个系统的地图
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-09-13 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-022-00567-w
Wang, Wenjing, Gan, Hongcheng, Wang, Xinyu, Lu, Huan, Huang, Yue
Gamification is a new theme that has been applied in different fields and has contributed to different types of behavioural change. This paper aims to describe how gamification is adopted in the context of transportation. We performed a systematic mapping of the scientific literature of Web of Science and retrieved 211 studies. After the inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied, 66 studies were selected. After the full texts were read, 30 studies remained to be analysed. The results show that the most commonly used gamification elements are goals/challenges and points. Gamification provides support for outcomes such as changing travel behaviour, improving driving behaviour and encouraging bicycle commuting. The use of gamification has changed the behavior of travelers, promoted sustainable travel modes, encouraged safe driving, reduced carbon dioxide emissions and reduced energy consumption. Although gamification has achieved many positive results related to transportation, there are still many difficulties and challenges.
游戏化是一个新的主题,已经应用于不同的领域,并促成了不同类型的行为改变。本文旨在描述游戏化如何在交通运输的背景下被采用。我们对Web of Science的科学文献进行了系统的映射,并检索了211项研究。应用纳入和排除标准后,共选择66项研究。读完全文后,还有30项研究有待分析。结果显示,最常用的游戏化元素是目标/挑战和点数。游戏化为改变出行行为、改善驾驶行为和鼓励骑自行车上下班等结果提供了支持。游戏化的使用改变了旅行者的行为,促进了可持续的旅行模式,鼓励了安全驾驶,减少了二氧化碳排放,降低了能源消耗。虽然游戏化在交通运输方面取得了许多积极的成果,但仍然存在许多困难和挑战。
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引用次数: 6
System dynamics simulation of transport mode choice transitions under structural and parametric uncertainty 结构和参数不确定性下运输方式选择转变的系统动力学仿真
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-09-09 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-022-00564-z
Wiman, Henri, Tuominen, Anu, Mesimäki, Johannes, Penttinen, Merja, Innamaa, Satu, Ylén, Peter
Complex social processes introduce difficulties to validating causal parameters and identifying the correct system structure in modelling. Policy impact assessment for sustainability transitions should therefore not expend too many resources modelling any single set of assumptions about the world. Furthermore, keeping models relatively simple allows more effective communication and stakeholder collaboration. This paper presents an exploratory system dynamics model of urban mode choice. We demonstrate that, despite structural and parametric uncertainty, it is possible to rank alternative policy approaches and identify high-leverage uncertainties as targets of policy action or further analysis. We also show how different narrative theories of change can have drastically different or unintuitive outcomes for the same intervention. Simulation can benefit both impact assessment and the further scrutiny and refinement of change narratives. We argue that the following methodological choices and their synergies made our modelling approach effective: exploratory modelling, focus on endogeneity, coarse resolution and avoidance of abstract variables.
复杂的社会过程给验证因果参数和识别正确的系统结构建模带来了困难。因此,对可持续性转型的政策影响评估不应花费太多资源来模拟任何一套关于世界的假设。此外,保持模型相对简单允许更有效的沟通和涉众协作。本文提出了一个探索性的城市模式选择系统动力学模型。我们证明,尽管存在结构和参数上的不确定性,但仍有可能对可供选择的政策方法进行排名,并将高杠杆不确定性确定为政策行动或进一步分析的目标。我们还展示了不同的变化叙事理论如何对相同的干预产生截然不同或不直观的结果。模拟可以对影响评估和变更叙述的进一步审查和细化都有好处。我们认为,以下方法选择及其协同作用使我们的建模方法有效:探索性建模,关注内生性,粗分辨率和避免抽象变量。
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引用次数: 2
Sustainable development assessment of incentive-driven shared on-demand mobility systems in rural settings 农村环境中激励驱动的按需共享移动系统的可持续发展评估
IF 4.3 3区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-09-08 DOI: 10.1186/s12544-022-00565-y
Heinitz, Florian
In the light of the sustainable development goals, a set of operationalizable criteria quantifying societal benefits versus costs is needed to prepare for the introduction of an incentive-driven, high adoption shared on-demand mobility service in a rural transportation area. Aiming to reduce still-existing uncertainty about the impacts of a market entry and to balance substantial monetary incentives for suppliers of pooled rides with the progress in net GHG emission reduction and accessibility gain, the framework is applicable at the transactional and/or aggregate level. The presented set of indicators is decision-oriented, and applicable both at the transactional and macro level. Scenarios and user choice situations for two regulatory options of demand responsive transport—one in line with the current legislation in Germany, avoiding overlap with existing fixed-route scheduled public transport and one not strictly complementary which assumes direct competition—are formalized. By the help of a case study, the outcome of the different organizational models at three levels of incentivization can be systematically compared. The implementation effort of the assessment method is examined in view of the forthcoming sustainability compliance reporting in this sector. A system-optimal constrained public private DRT deployment offers the opportunity of a reduction of uneconomic routes and parallel services upon selection of eligible rides. As shown, a crowding out of existing, publicly financed offerings in an unsaturated mobility market should not be the primary concern. At the contrary, resorting to supply-side incentives, a proportion of the high volume of solo car trips could be consolidated while levels of service improve in total. However, this may be associated with considerable expense, as demonstrated by the quantity structure of the provided case study.
根据可持续发展目标,需要一套量化社会效益与成本的可操作标准,以便为在农村运输地区引入激励驱动、高采用率的按需共享移动服务做准备。该框架旨在减少市场进入影响的不确定性,并平衡拼车供应商的大量货币激励与温室气体净减排和可达性增益的进展,适用于交易和/或总水平。所提出的一套指标是面向决策的,在事务和宏观层面都适用。需求响应交通的两种监管方案的场景和用户选择情况——一种符合德国现行立法,避免与现有的固定路线定期公共交通重叠,另一种不严格互补,假设直接竞争——已正式确定。通过案例分析,可以系统地比较三种激励水平下不同组织模式的结果。鉴于即将在该部门提出可持续性遵守情况报告,审查了评估方法的执行工作。系统最优约束的公共-私人DRT部署提供了在选择符合条件的乘车方式时减少不经济路线和平行服务的机会。如上所示,在一个不饱和的流动性市场中,现有的公共融资产品被挤出市场不应成为主要问题。相反,如果采取供应方面的激励措施,就可以在整体服务水平提高的同时,巩固大量独自驾车出行的一部分。然而,正如所提供的案例研究的数量结构所证明的那样,这可能与相当大的费用有关。
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引用次数: 1
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European Transport Research Review
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