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Foreign investment screening and cross-border M&A in sensitive sectors: Evidence from Germany 敏感行业外商投资审查与跨国并购:来自德国的证据
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109525
Orçun Kaya, Mehdi Mostowfi, Sugandhita Sugandhita
Foreign investment screening has become a central instrument for safeguarding strategic technologies in recent years. This paper examines how such measures shape cross-border M&A patterns, using Germany’s 2020 policy reform as a case study. Applying a difference-in-differences framework to firm-level M&A data from 2016 to 2024, we find that the reform significantly increased the likelihood of investment in German firms by other EU investors in newly regulated sectors, with majority-control acquisitions emerging as a mechanism in this pattern. Our findings indicate that investment screening fosters a shift toward European ownership in sensitive sectors, as partner economies increase their investment, thereby reshaping the dynamics of cross-border capital flows.
近年来,外商投资审查已成为保护战略技术的核心手段。本文以德国2020年的政策改革为例,探讨了这些措施如何影响跨境并购模式。将差异中的差异框架应用于2016年至2024年的公司层面并购数据,我们发现改革显著增加了其他欧盟投资者在新监管行业投资德国公司的可能性,多数控股收购成为这种模式的一种机制。我们的研究结果表明,随着伙伴经济体增加投资,投资筛选促进了敏感部门向欧洲所有权的转变,从而重塑了跨境资本流动的动态。
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引用次数: 0
Climate risk and corporate cross-boundary digital innovation: An analysis based on the threshold effect of green digital finance 气候风险与企业跨境数字创新——基于绿色数字金融门槛效应的分析
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109537
Yue Zhu , Yuyang Wu
This study employs data from Chinese A-share listed firms from 2012 to 2023 to investigate the direct impact and underlying mechanisms by which climate risk (CR) on cross-boundary digital innovation (DI) of traditional firms. The findings indicate that CR significantly enhances DI, which is supported by robustness tests and endogeneity estimates using El Niño index and air ventilation as instrumental variables. Identify three key mechanisms for driving DI: increasing patient capital, analyst attention, and industrial robot application level. In addition, DI in firms with lower financing constraints, non-state-owned, high-polluting industries, and eastern regions are particularly driven by CR. This indicates that DI may be a conscious selection for firms to adapt to climate change, implying that there are business opportunities behind climate change to promote digital-real integration. Finally, the impact of CR on DI is influenced by the threshold effect of green digital finance (GDF). Research provides new insights for policy makers to guide firms to adjust innovation strategies to adapt to climate change from the perspective of coordinated development of green finance and digital finance.
本文采用2012 - 2023年中国a股上市公司数据,探讨气候风险对传统企业跨境数字创新的直接影响及其机制。研究结果表明,CR显著提高了DI,这得到了鲁棒性检验和内生性估计的支持,并将El Niño指数和空气通风量作为工具变量。确定驱动人工智能的三个关键机制:增加患者资本、分析师关注和工业机器人应用水平。此外,融资约束程度较低的企业、非国有、高污染行业和东部地区企业的直接投资受到企业责任的驱动尤为明显。这表明直接投资可能是企业适应气候变化的有意识选择,意味着气候变化背后存在促进数字与现实融合的商业机会。最后,CR对DI的影响受到绿色数字金融(GDF)阈值效应的影响。研究从绿色金融与数字金融协同发展的视角为政策制定者指导企业调整创新战略以适应气候变化提供了新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Digital marketing, social media sentiment, and corporate cash flow 数字营销、社会媒体情感和企业现金流
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109538
Yang Zhang , Manru Jiang
This paper utilizes panel data from non-financial listed companies in the A-share market from 2015 to 2023 to construct a two-way fixed effects model that explores the impact of digital marketing, social media sentiment, and their interactions on corporate cash flow. Empirical results indicate that: digital marketing significantly enhances corporate cash flow; social media sentiment positively moderates the relationship between digital marketing and operating cash flow; there exists a marginal diminishing return of the relationship between digital marketing and corporate cash flow, characterized as an inverted "U" shape; the moderating effect of social media sentiment in the relationship between digital marketing and operating cash flow exhibits heterogeneity across companies with different operational leverage.
本文利用2015 - 2023年a股非金融类上市公司的面板数据,构建双向固定效应模型,探讨数字营销、社交媒体情绪及其交互作用对企业现金流的影响。实证结果表明:数字营销显著提高了企业现金流;社交媒体情绪正向调节数字营销与经营性现金流的关系;数字营销与企业现金流之间存在边际收益递减关系,呈倒“U”型;社交媒体情绪对数字营销与经营性现金流关系的调节作用在不同经营杠杆的公司中表现出异质性。
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引用次数: 0
Fintech and Urban-Rural Integrated Development: A Human Capital Perspective 金融科技与城乡融合发展:人力资本视角
IF 10.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109534
Shengbin Wang, Jiayi Song
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引用次数: 0
Monetary policy surprises and the distribution of art-market returns: evidence from panel quantile local projections 货币政策意外和艺术市场回报的分布:来自小组分位数本地预测的证据
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109539
Ziwen Chen
How do monetary policy shocks affect the distribution of art-market returns? This paper addresses the question using Artprice hedonic indices for fourteen segments over 1998Q1- 2023Q4. Panel mean local projections show that the average response of realized auction returns to a one-standard-deviation contractionary surprise is modest and briefly positive. Panel quantile local projections, combined with Bauer and Swanson (2023b) orthogonalized surprises, indicate pronounced asymmetry: the same shock lowers the 10th percentile of realized auction returns by 2.9 percentage points while raising the 90th percentile by 4.6 percentage points at the one-quarter horizon. The 90–10 spread thus widens by roughly 7.5 percentage points. Tail widening is concentrated in high-liquidity regimes measured by the Fed balance sheet-to-GDP ratio and financial conditions. The pattern is consistent with selection and within-segment flight to quality, rather than a uniform increase in art valuations. Placebo and randomization exercises provide supporting evidence that the estimated tail responses are unlikely to be generated by chance timing. Overall, art returns display state-dependent tail exposure to monetary shocks.
货币政策冲击如何影响艺术市场回报的分布?本文使用Artprice在1998Q1- 2023Q4期间的14个细分市场的享乐指数来解决这个问题。面板平均本地预测表明,已实现的拍卖收益对一个标准差的收缩意外的平均反应是温和的,并且短暂为正。面板分位数局部预测,结合Bauer和Swanson (2023b)的正交惊喜,显示出明显的不对称性:同样的冲击使第10百分位的实现拍卖回报率降低了2.9个百分点,而在1 / 4的范围内,使第90百分位的实现拍卖回报率提高了4.6个百分点。因此,90-10的价差扩大了大约7.5个百分点。尾部扩张集中在以美联储资产负债表与gdp之比和金融状况衡量的高流动性体制。这种模式与选择和细分市场内追求质量的趋势是一致的,而不是艺术品估值的统一增长。安慰剂和随机化试验提供了支持性证据,表明估计的尾部反应不太可能是由随机时机产生的。总体而言,艺术品回报率显示出国家对货币冲击的尾部敞口。
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引用次数: 0
Big data recommendations and portfolio diversification: evidence from account-level data 大数据建议和投资组合多样化:来自账户级数据的证据
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109541
Chenhao Wang , Ting Zhang , Shanyi Zhu
Retail investors are often underdiversified, limiting potential gains from broader asset allocation. This paper studies whether big data–driven recommendations can improve portfolio diversification. We exploit a natural experiment in a large Chinese commercial bank, where a data fusion platform provides personalized recommendations in FinTech branches. Using proprietary account-level data and a difference-in-differences design, we find that portfolios in FinTech branches become 7.6% more diversified, with higher investment income and lower overall risk. Clients reduce their share of deposits and increase their holdings of wealth management products. Mechanism analyses show that recommendations alleviate information frictions, and the effects are more pronounced for clients whose portfolios underutilize their risk-bearing capacity. The impact is stronger in central business district branches and those lacking human advisors, as well as among male and non-wealthy clients.
散户投资者的投资往往不够分散,限制了从更广泛的资产配置中获得的潜在收益。本文研究了大数据驱动的投资推荐是否能够提高投资组合的多元化。我们在中国一家大型商业银行进行了一个自然实验,在该实验中,数据融合平台为FinTech分支机构提供个性化推荐。使用专有账户级数据和差异中之差设计,我们发现FinTech分支机构的投资组合多样化程度提高了7.6%,投资收益更高,整体风险更低。客户减少存款份额,增加理财产品的持有量。机制分析表明,推荐能够缓解信息摩擦,且对于风险承受能力未充分利用的客户,其效果更为显著。这种影响在中心商务区的分行和那些缺乏人力顾问的分行,以及男性和非富裕客户中更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Blockchain Investment, dual-class share structure, and asset pricing efficiency 区块链投资、双层股权结构与资产定价效率
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109536
Yueyang Qiu , Xuebao Yin , Nan Hu
This study empirically analyzes data from Chinese A-share listed companies between 2006 and 2023 to explore the relationship between blockchain investment, dual-class share structures, and asset pricing efficiency. The findings indicate that blockchain investment significantly enhances asset pricing efficiency; dual-class share structures play a moderating role between blockchain investment and asset pricing efficiency; the impact of blockchain investment on asset pricing efficiency exhibits heterogeneity between state-owned enterprises and non-state-owned enterprises; and there is also heterogeneity in the effects of blockchain investment on asset pricing efficiency between southern enterprises and non-southern enterprises. Based on these conclusions, this study suggests that policymakers should further promote the adoption and application of blockchain technology, optimize corporate governance structures, and strengthen regional digital infrastructure development to improve the overall market's asset pricing efficiency.
本文对2006 - 2023年中国a股上市公司数据进行实证分析,探讨区块链投资、双层股权结构与资产定价效率之间的关系。研究发现:区块链投资显著提高了资产定价效率;双层股权结构在bb0投资与资产定价效率之间起调节作用;国有企业和非国有企业的bb0投资对资产定价效率的影响呈现异质性;南方企业与非南方企业之间bb0投资对资产定价效率的影响也存在异质性。基于上述结论,本文建议政策制定者应进一步推动区块链技术的采用和应用,优化公司治理结构,加强区域数字基础设施建设,以提高整体市场的资产定价效率。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamics of monetary policy regimes in China under rising global uncertainty: A time-varying approach 全球不确定性上升背景下中国货币政策机制的动态:一个时变方法
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109523
Eun Young Oh , Georgios Magkonis , Shuonan Zhang
This paper studies how China’s monetary policy has responded to global uncertainty under different policy regimes. Using a time-varying parameter VAR with stochastic volatility (TVP-VAR-SV) and monthly data from 2002–2020, the analysis identifies regime dependence. In the 2000s, uncertainty shocks generated sharp declines in output and inflation and were accompanied by accommodative policy easing. Under the 2010s “new normal”, both real and policy responses became smaller and more stable. Monetary adjustments are more closely related to inflation overshooting than to output deviations, indicating a stronger forward-looking orientation toward inflation stabilization. These results suggest that the evolution of China’s monetary framework has increased its resilience to external uncertainty. The main findings are robust across alternative policy instruments and remain unchanged when the exchange rate is incorporated into the analysis.
本文研究了在不同的政策制度下,中国货币政策对全球不确定性的反应。使用随机波动的时变参数VAR (TVP-VAR-SV)和2002-2020年的月度数据,分析确定了制度依赖性。本世纪头十年,不确定性冲击导致产出和通胀大幅下降,并伴随着宽松的政策。在2010年代的“新常态”下,实际反应和政策反应都变得更小、更稳定。货币调整与通胀超调的关系比与产出偏差的关系更密切,这表明稳定通胀的前瞻性更强。这些结果表明,中国货币框架的演变增强了其对外部不确定性的抵御能力。主要研究结果在其他政策工具中都很强劲,在将汇率纳入分析后仍保持不变。
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引用次数: 0
Climate risk and internal pay gap 气候风险与内部薪酬差距
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109531
Xiaolin Kong , Sabri Boubaker , Yong Jiang , Yi-Shuai Ren
This study examines the influence of climate risk on the internal pay gap of Chinese A-share listed firms from 2007 to 2022. We find that climate risk increases the average compensation of both employees and executives. More importantly, the pay gap is narrowed by both institutional investors' engagement and participation by controlling shareholders. In non-SOEs and non-heavily polluting firms, climate risks will have larger and more significant impacts on the pay gap. These findings enhance the theoretical framework of corporate governance in the context of climate-related uncertainty and help optimize compensation systems for climate risk.
本研究考察了2007 - 2022年气候风险对中国a股上市公司内部薪酬差距的影响。我们发现,气候风险增加了员工和高管的平均薪酬。更重要的是,机构投资者的参与和控股股东的参与都缩小了薪酬差距。在非国有企业和非重污染企业,气候风险将对薪酬差距产生更大、更显著的影响。这些发现增强了气候相关不确定性背景下公司治理的理论框架,并有助于优化针对气候风险的补偿制度。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of data as a production factor on the low-altitude economy 数据作为生产要素对低空经济的影响
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109504
Shenghan Huang , Huan Hua
As data increasingly functions as a fundamental production factor in the modern economy, understanding its influence on fostering emerging industries has become essential. This study investigates how data factor development influences the low-altitude economy’s (LAE’s) growth in China, an emerging sector encompassing drone services, general aviation, and related commercial activities operating within low-altitude airspace. Using provincial panel data spanning 2012–2023, we apply a two-way fixed effects framework supplemented by instrumental variable estimation, Heckman selection correction, and propensity score matching for addressing potential endogeneity and selection bias. Results demonstrate that data factor development has a statistically significant positive effect on LAE performance, and this finding remains consistent across all estimation approaches. Further, we examine the transmission mechanisms through mediation analysis, revealing that digital infrastructure and research and development intensity are partial mediators linking data development to LAE growth. Digital infrastructure has a stronger mediating effect, underscoring the critical relevance of connectivity and communication networks for supporting low-altitude operations. Heterogeneity analyses indicate that the positive relationship is more evident in provinces with advanced industrial structures and geographically advantaged southern regions. These findings offer valuable guidance for policymakers, demonstrating that promoting LAE requires coordinated effort to strengthen data governance, expand digital infrastructure, and cultivate regional innovation capacity. Regions with less developed industrial bases may require targeted interventions to establish the preconditions for benefiting from data-driven growth in this strategic sector.
随着数据日益成为现代经济的基本生产要素,了解其对培育新兴产业的影响变得至关重要。本研究探讨了数据因素的发展如何影响中国低空经济(LAE)的增长,这是一个新兴的行业,包括无人机服务、通用航空和在低空空域运营的相关商业活动。使用2012-2023年的省级面板数据,我们采用双向固定效应框架,辅以工具变量估计、Heckman选择校正和倾向得分匹配来解决潜在的内生性和选择偏差。结果表明,数据因子开发对LAE性能具有统计学上显著的积极影响,并且这一发现在所有估计方法中都是一致的。此外,我们通过中介分析考察了传导机制,发现数字基础设施和研发强度是数据发展与LAE增长之间的部分中介。数字基础设施具有更强的中介效应,强调了连接和通信网络对支持低空作战的关键相关性。异质性分析表明,在产业结构发达的省份和南方区位优势地区,二者之间的正相关关系更为明显。这些发现为政策制定者提供了有价值的指导,表明促进LAE需要协调努力,加强数据治理,扩大数字基础设施,培养区域创新能力。工业基础较不发达的地区可能需要有针对性的干预措施,为从这一战略部门的数据驱动型增长中受益创造先决条件。
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引用次数: 0
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Finance Research Letters
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