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Forecasting Carbon Prices with High-Frequency Data and Irregular Shocks: A Hybrid P-NN-MIDAS Framework 利用高频数据和不规则冲击预测碳价格:一个混合P-NN-MIDAS框架
IF 10.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-03-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109828
Xingxuan Zhuo, Zijiao Chen, Fangyun Zhang
While carbon pricing is a critical indicator of market efficiency, existing research largely relies on low-frequency macroeconomic data, neglecting the real-time impact of ultra-high-frequency drivers. This paper addresses this gap by examining the influence of intraday weather, electricity, and financial uncertainty on daily carbon price dynamics. To achieve this, this study proposes a novel hybrid model integrating Prophet, Neural Networks, and Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) to fuse mixed-frequency time series with irregular event data. Applied to the EU ETS, the model significantly outperforms traditional benchmarks. These results highlight the critical role of high-frequency dynamics in carbon markets and offer precise tools for policy optimization.
虽然碳定价是市场效率的关键指标,但现有研究主要依赖于低频宏观经济数据,忽视了超高频驱动因素的实时影响。本文通过考察日内天气、电力和金融不确定性对每日碳价格动态的影响来解决这一差距。为了实现这一目标,本研究提出了一种新的混合模型,集成了先知,神经网络和混合数据采样(MIDAS),以融合混合频率时间序列和不规则事件数据。应用于EU ETS,该模型的表现明显优于传统基准。这些结果突出了高频动态在碳市场中的关键作用,并为政策优化提供了精确的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Shall we have a chat? Exchange platform interaction and Corporate Tax Avoidance 我们谈谈好吗?交易平台互动与企业避税
IF 10.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-03-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109829
Huanmin Yan, Siyuan Zhang, Yujing Wu, Dongfei Gao
The Shenzhen and Shanghai Stock Exchanges have successively launched the “Interactive Easy” and “E-Interaction” platforms, providing online communication channels between stakeholders and listed companies. Based on this unique Q&A dataset, we construct exchange platform interaction indicators from three perspectives: interaction frequency, interaction quality, and interaction content. Our findings have implications for understanding the negative association between platform interactions and corporate tax avoidance. We further provide suggestive evidence that enhanced information transparency and alleviated financing constraints are potential explanations for the observed association. The moderating effect tests indicate that this association is slightly stronger for non-state-owned and non-high-tech firms.
深交所、上交所先后推出“易易互动”、“易易互动”平台,为利益相关方和上市公司提供线上沟通渠道。基于这一独特的Q&;A数据集,我们从交互频率、交互质量和交互内容三个角度构建了交流平台交互指标。我们的研究结果对理解平台互动与企业避税之间的负相关关系具有启示意义。我们进一步提供了暗示性证据,表明信息透明度的提高和融资约束的缓解是观察到的关联的潜在解释。调节效应检验表明,在非国有企业和非高新技术企业中,这种关联略强。
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引用次数: 0
Tail market linkage between Canadian banks and non-bank financial intermediaries 加拿大银行与非银行金融中介机构之间的尾部市场联系
IF 10.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-03-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109820
Javier Ojea-Ferreiro
This paper analyzes market-based connections between Canadian banks and non-bank financial institutions during periods of stress. Using weekly equity data from 1990-2024, I find an increase in the perceived interconnections between Canadian banks and NBFIs in the period leading up to the COVID-19 pandemic and stabilized after. After policy measures were taken to control the liquidity issue of Home Trust during 2017, the systemic risk spillovers from mortgage firms to the banking sector decreased. Tail dependence with NBFIs is stronger for larger banks, emphasizing their central role in the financial system. Overall, the findings highlight the growing importance of the bank–NBFI nexus for financial stability monitoring and the usefulness of market‑based tail risk measures for tracking systemic vulnerabilities in real time.
本文分析了加拿大银行和非银行金融机构在压力时期的市场联系。使用1990年至2024年的每周股票数据,我发现在COVID-19大流行之前的一段时间里,加拿大银行和nbfi之间的相互联系有所增加,并在之后趋于稳定。在2017年采取政策措施控制捷信的流动性问题后,抵押贷款公司对银行业的系统性风险溢出有所下降。大型银行对非银行金融机构的尾部依赖性更强,这强调了它们在金融体系中的核心作用。总体而言,研究结果强调了银行与新兴金融机构之间的联系对金融稳定监测的重要性日益增强,以及基于市场的尾部风险措施对实时跟踪系统脆弱性的有用性。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Citizenship and Capital Market Participation in Brazil: A Macro-Level Regional Analysis 巴西金融公民与资本市场参与:宏观层面的区域分析
IF 10.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-03-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109817
Diogo dos Santos Damas, Gilson Brito Alves Lima, Ricardo Bordeaux Rego
This study presents a macro-level analysis of financial citizenship and capital market participation in Brazil using official data from 27 federative units. Unlike traditional individual-level surveys focused on stocks, we examine participation in both the stock market (B3) and public bonds (Tesouro Direto). K-means clustering identifies two regional groups (“Northern” and “Southern”), and OLS regressions with HC3 robust errors show that the Financial Education Index consistently predicts participation across regions. The Municipal Human Development Index strongly predicts participation in the South but not in the North, highlighting structural regional disparities. Results suggest financial citizenship policies should be tailored regionally.
本研究使用来自27个联邦单位的官方数据,对巴西金融公民和资本市场参与进行了宏观层面的分析。与传统的以股票为重点的个人层面调查不同,我们考察了股票市场(B3)和公共债券(Tesouro direct)的参与情况。K-means聚类确定了两个区域组(“北方”和“南方”),具有HC3稳健误差的OLS回归表明,金融教育指数一致地预测了不同地区的参与情况。城市人类发展指数强有力地预测了南方的参与率,而北方则不然,凸显了结构性的地区差异。研究结果表明,金融公民政策应因地制宜。
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引用次数: 0
Wealth effect versus portfolio rebalancing in driving cross-market contagion: A time–frequency quantile approach 推动跨市场传染的财富效应与投资组合再平衡:时频分位数方法
IF 10.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-03-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109813
Jichuan Zong, Jingyu Xiong, Xinxin Zhu
Investor behavioral mechanisms driving cross-market contagion remain empirically disputed, with portfolio rebalancing and wealth effect offering competing predictions. We hypothesize that temporal aggregation bias may obscure how investor behaviors vary across time horizons. By analyzing 6 emerging and 9 developed markets (2004–2025) during four crises using a time–frequency quantile VAR model, we identify systematic pattern of investor-induced contagion mechanisms: portfolio rebalancing plays a relatively more important role in short-term transmission (1–5 days) and moderate stress, while wealth effect tends to drive medium- to long-term contagion (6–250 days) and severe distress scenarios, reflecting investors’ transition from strategic adjustment to forced liquidation. Both investor behaviors coexist with time-varying importance: wealth effect behavior generally amplifies as market stress intensifies from moderate to extreme levels. Notably, wealth effect exerts more consistent impacts between emerging and developed markets.
驱动跨市场传染的投资者行为机制在经验上仍存在争议,投资组合再平衡和财富效应提供了相互竞争的预测。我们假设,时间聚集偏差可能会模糊投资者行为在不同时间范围内的变化。通过使用时频分位数VAR模型分析2004-2025年四次危机期间的6个新兴市场和9个发达市场,我们确定了投资者诱发传染机制的系统模式:投资组合再平衡在短期传导(1-5天)和适度压力中发挥相对重要的作用,而财富效应则倾向于推动中长期传染(6-250天)和严重困境情景,反映了投资者从战略调整向被迫清算的过渡。这两种投资者行为共存,且重要性随时间变化:财富效应行为通常随着市场压力从中度到极端水平的加剧而放大。值得注意的是,财富效应在新兴市场和发达市场之间的影响更加一致。
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引用次数: 0
Can Digital Regulation Curb Corporate Leverage Manipulation? Evidence from the "Golden Tax Phase III" Project 数字监管能否遏制企业杠杆操纵?来自“金税三期”项目的证据
IF 10.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-03-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109814
Yuelong Liu, Yaya Wu, Jie Zhou
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to "The Piggy Bank Index: An intuitive risk measure to assess liquidity and capital adequacy in banks" Finance Research Letters, Volume 60, February 2024, 104846 “小猪储蓄罐指数:评估银行流动性和资本充足率的直观风险措施”的勘误表《金融研究快报》,第60卷,2024年2月,104846
IF 10.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-03-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109711
Oliver González, Benjamin Keddad
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the Intriguing Connection between Carbon Emissions, Renewable Energy Consumption, and Performance: Evidence from NSE CNX500 揭示碳排放、可再生能源消耗和性能之间的有趣联系:来自NSE CNX500的证据
IF 10.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-03-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109807
Umar Kayani, Suzan Dsouza, Farrukh Nawaz, Tonmoy Choudhury
{"title":"Unveiling the Intriguing Connection between Carbon Emissions, Renewable Energy Consumption, and Performance: Evidence from NSE CNX500","authors":"Umar Kayani, Suzan Dsouza, Farrukh Nawaz, Tonmoy Choudhury","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2026.109807","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2026.109807","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12167,"journal":{"name":"Finance Research Letters","volume":"54 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147448462","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Inequality Effects of Climate Concern: Evidence from U.S. Income and Financial Data 气候关注的不平等效应:来自美国收入和金融数据的证据
IF 10.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109805
Juan-Francisco Albert, Nerea Gómez-Fernández
{"title":"Inequality Effects of Climate Concern: Evidence from U.S. Income and Financial Data","authors":"Juan-Francisco Albert, Nerea Gómez-Fernández","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2026.109805","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2026.109805","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12167,"journal":{"name":"Finance Research Letters","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147447120","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shareholder Protection and Corporate Cash Holdings: Evidence from Delaware Senate Bill 21 股东保护与公司现金持有:来自特拉华州参议院第21号法案的证据
IF 10.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109809
Chen-Ting (Chris) Lien
{"title":"Shareholder Protection and Corporate Cash Holdings: Evidence from Delaware Senate Bill 21","authors":"Chen-Ting (Chris) Lien","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2026.109809","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2026.109809","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12167,"journal":{"name":"Finance Research Letters","volume":"94 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147447124","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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