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AI-driven capital-skill complementarity: Implications for skill premiums and labor mobility 人工智能驱动的资本-技能互补:对技能溢价和劳动力流动的影响
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106044

To explain the newly discovered coevolution of capital and labor structures, this study presents a modified capital-skill complementarity hypothesis within the framework of structural transformation. We propose that artificial intelligence (AI) and skilled labor exhibit relative complementarity. Specifically, advancements in AI services or AI-enhanced technologies incentivize the mobilization of skilled labor across different industry sectors. The direction of this labor movement is contingent upon variations across industry sectors, including AI output elasticity and the substitutability between AI and conventional production methods. This structural transformation process also induces fluctuations in skill premiums.

为了解释新发现的资本和劳动力结构的共同演化,本研究在结构转型的框架内提出了一个修正的资本-技能互补假说。我们提出,人工智能(AI)和熟练劳动力表现出相对互补性。具体来说,人工智能服务或人工智能增强技术的进步会激励不同行业部门调动熟练劳动力。劳动力流动的方向取决于各行业部门的变化,包括人工智能的产出弹性以及人工智能与传统生产方式之间的可替代性。这一结构转型过程也会引起技能溢价的波动。
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引用次数: 0
The COVID-19 pandemic, digitalization level, and financing constraints of listed tourism companies COVID-19 大流行、数字化水平和旅游上市公司的融资限制
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106040

This paper empirically examines the impact of digital transformation on the financing constraints of tourism-related listed companies in the Chinese capital market during the COVID-19 pandemic. The empirical results indicate that digital transformation significantly reduces financing constraints during the pandemic. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the mitigating effect of digital transformation on financing constraints during the pandemic is mainly evident in large-scale enterprises and those with a higher proportion of institutional investors.

本文实证研究了在 COVID-19 大流行期间,数字化转型对中国资本市场旅游相关上市公司融资约束的影响。实证结果表明,数字化转型显著降低了大流行期间的融资约束。异质性分析表明,数字化转型对大流行期间融资约束的缓解作用主要体现在大型企业和机构投资者比例较高的企业。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate net income smoothing: A variance decomposition approach 公司净收入平滑法:方差分解法
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106041

This study introduces an enriched framework depicting the channels through which managers can mitigate sales shock impacts on firm net income and dividends. Employing variance decomposition, this study provides insights into the proportion of sales shocks absorbed through different firm-level net income smoothing channels. We control for the nature (positive vs. negative) and duration (persistent vs. transitory) of sales shocks. Our findings offer significant insights into income and dividend smoothing. Research implications for theory and practice are further explored.

本研究引入了一个丰富的框架,描述了管理者减轻销售冲击对公司净收入和红利影响的渠道。本研究采用方差分解法,深入分析了通过不同公司层面的净收入平滑渠道吸收销售冲击的比例。我们对销售冲击的性质(正向与负向)和持续时间(持续性与短暂性)进行了控制。我们的研究结果为收入和股息平滑提供了重要启示。我们还进一步探讨了理论和实践的研究意义。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon pricing: Necessary but not sufficient 碳定价:必要但不充分
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106017

Global carbon pricing has been recognized as one of the most efficient mechanisms that can be used to reduce CO2 emissions, but questions remain about the magnitude of the price and the speed of implementation. We examine this important issue by extending the Dynamic Integrated Climate and Economy (DICE) model to estimate global carbon prices that will be required to reach various warming scenarios. Our analysis suggests that while carbon pricing can play a critical role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and limiting global warming, it must be supported by other policy measures and innovations in order to reach the Paris Agreement targets. In particular, we found there was no feasible carbon pricing scenario that was high enough to limit emissions sufficiently to achieve anything below 2.4°C warming on its own. We project significant differences in global physical costs due to climate change across various warming scenarios, which range from a total (to 2100) of $152tr under a 1.5° scenario to $765tr under 4.2° warming.

全球碳定价已被公认为可用于减少二氧化碳排放的最有效机制之一,但在价格幅度和实施速度方面仍存在问题。我们通过扩展动态综合气候与经济(DICE)模型来估算达到各种气候变暖情景所需的全球碳价格,从而研究了这一重要问题。我们的分析表明,虽然碳定价可以在减少温室气体排放和限制全球变暖方面发挥关键作用,但它必须得到其他政策措施和创新的支持,才能实现《巴黎协定》的目标。特别是,我们发现,没有一种可行的碳定价方案,其水平足以限制排放,从而使升温幅度低于 2.4°C。我们预测,在各种升温情景下,气候变化造成的全球实际成本差异巨大,从升温 1.5° 情景下的总额(到 2100 年)152 万亿美元到升温 4.2° 情景下的 765 万亿美元不等。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging the green gap: How digital financial inclusion affects corporate ESG greenwashing 弥合绿色鸿沟:数字普惠金融如何影响企业的环境、社会和治理 "洗绿 "行为
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106018

We examine whether and how the development of digital financial inclusion (DFI) affects firm environmental, social, and governance (ESG) greenwashing. Our findings indicate that local DFI prohibits firms' greenwashing behaviors. These conclusions are supported through robust analysis using a multidimensional fixed-effects model, alternative measures, and an instrumental variable approach. Our research provides compelling evidence that DFI dampens corporate greenwashing by easing financial constraints and reducing information asymmetry. Additionally, DFI promotes genuine corporate engagement in ESG activities, though it does not influence ESG disclosure practices. Notably, the effects are more pronounced in firms with limited analyst coverage and increased government supervision.

我们研究了数字普惠金融(DFI)的发展是否以及如何影响企业的环境、社会和治理(ESG)"洗绿 "行为。我们的研究结果表明,本地 DFI 会禁止企业的 "洗绿 "行为。通过使用多维固定效应模型、替代措施和工具变量方法进行稳健分析,这些结论得到了支持。我们的研究提供了令人信服的证据,表明发展融资机制通过缓解金融约束和减少信息不对称来抑制企业的 "洗绿 "行为。此外,尽管 DFI 并不影响 ESG 披露实践,但它促进了企业真正参与 ESG 活动。值得注意的是,在分析师覆盖面有限和政府监管加强的企业中,这种效应更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Economic uncertainty and time-varying return predictability 经济不确定性和时变回报可预测性
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106025

We propose a predictive regression for stock returns in which the parameter variation is driven by economic uncertainty. A locally weighted least squares approach is developed to obtain parameter estimates which are used to generate forecasts of returns for the S&P 500 index. Our results indicate that the time-varying parameter model accounting for the role of economic uncertainty (TVP-EU) significantly improves upon the standard ordinary least squares model and the historical average benchmark.

我们提出了一种股票收益预测回归方法,其中的参数变化是由经济不确定性驱动的。我们开发了一种局部加权最小二乘法来获得参数估计值,并利用这些估计值生成 S&P 500 指数的收益预测。我们的结果表明,考虑经济不确定性作用的时变参数模型(TVP-EU)明显优于标准普通最小二乘法模型和历史平均基准。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of local incentive-based legislation on the financing constraints of private firms–Evidence from China 地方激励性立法对民营企业融资约束的影响--来自中国的证据
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106022

This study selects A-share private firms in Zhejiang Province and its neighboring provinces in 2018–2021 and finds that private firms’ incentive-based legislation significantly alleviates private firms' financing constraints through a double difference model. The legislation alleviates the financing constraints of private firms by reducing the burden of financial liabilities, broadening financing channels such as operating liabilities, and enhancing debt servicing capacity. The effect of the private firm's incentive-based legislation on alleviating financing constraints is more pronounced in firms that are consistently private, have higher tax burdens, have lower competition in the industry, and do not have internal control deficiencies.

本研究选取2018-2021年浙江省及其周边省份的A股民营企业为研究对象,通过双重差分模型发现民营企业激励型立法显著缓解了民营企业的融资约束。立法通过减轻财务负债负担、拓宽经营负债等融资渠道、增强偿债能力等方式缓解了民营企业的融资约束。民营企业激励型立法对缓解融资约束的效果在持续民营化、税负较高、行业竞争较小、不存在内部控制缺陷的企业中更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
The endogenous growth and asset prices nexus revisited with closed-form solution 内生增长与资产价格关系的闭式解法再探讨
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105986

Endogenous growth models exhibit long-run risks, which are considered a potential explanation of the equity premium puzzle. Unlike previous literature, we use a closed-form solution of a simplified model to make the following contributions. First, we derive a set of conditions for a positive and large equity premium. Second, we match a key driver of endogenous growth, the R&D spending-to-GDP ratio. Third, we include a novel discussion on the role of patent obsolescence. Given that the literature concerns the accuracy of loglinear-lognormal solutions, we solve our model numerically with third-order perturbation. We find additional risk correction due to higher-order terms.

内生增长模型表现出长期风险,这被认为是股票溢价之谜的潜在解释。与以往的文献不同,我们利用简化模型的闭式解法做出了以下贡献。首先,我们推导出了一系列正且大的股票溢价的条件。其次,我们匹配了内生增长的一个关键驱动因素,即研发支出与国内生产总值之比。第三,我们对专利过时的作用进行了新颖的讨论。鉴于文献关注对数对数正态解法的准确性,我们对模型进行了三阶扰动数值求解。我们发现高阶项会带来额外的风险修正。
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引用次数: 0
Guest Editorial: Recent advances and future directions in macrofinance: Geopolitical Risk and Uncertainty – University Jaume I - 2023 客座社论:宏观金融的最新进展和未来方向:地缘政治风险与不确定性 - 豪梅第一大学 - 2023年
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105996
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引用次数: 0
Optimal dividend and risk control strategies for an insurer when there are multiple reinsurers with different risk attitudes 当有多个风险态度不同的再保险人时,保险公司的最佳分红和风险控制策略
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106010

Suppose that insurer can control dividend, refinancing and reinsurance strategies dynamically. Different from the past, there are multiple reinsurers rather than sole reinsurer in the market. The insurer aim at finding the optimal strategies for maximizing the company’s value. It illustrates that refinancing can be considered iff the company has strong profitability; It should reduce reinsurance purchase when the surplus increases. The amount of risk ceded to the reinsurer depends on its risk attitude. The optimal dividend policy is of barrier type when the dividend rate is unbounded and is of threshold type when the dividend rate is bounded.

假设保险公司可以动态控制分红、再融资和再保险策略。与以往不同的是,市场上有多个再保险公司,而不是唯一的再保险公司。保险公司的目标是找到最优策略,实现公司价值最大化。这说明,如果公司盈利能力强,可以考虑再融资;当盈余增加时,应减少再保险的购买。分给再保险公司的风险大小取决于其风险态度。当股息率不受限制时,最优股息政策属于障碍型;当股息率受限制时,最优股息政策属于临界型。
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Finance Research Letters
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