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Analysis of Height Growth Suggests Moderate Growth of Tilia cordata and Acer platanoides at the Native Hemiboreal Stands in Latvia 高度增长分析表明拉脱维亚原生半坡树丛中的椴树和槭树生长适中
IF 2.9 2区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.3390/f15010007
Ilze Matisone, G. Snepsts, Dārta Kaupe, Sebastian Hein, Raitis Rieksts-Riekstiņš, Ā. Jansons
In the Eastern Baltics, climatic changes are expected to alter forest composition favouring broadleaved species. The height growth of trees influences the productivity of stands and the competitiveness of species, particularly in mixed sites, thus emphasising the necessity for accurate projections. Accordingly, height models are paramount for projecting productivity and yields of stands. As tree height growth dynamics vary regionally, regional or even local models are needed. Based upon 214 National Forest Inventory plots and 510 individual canopy trees, dominant height growth for small-leaved lime (Tilia cordata Mill.) and Norway maple (Acer platanoides L.) in Latvia were analysed. Height growth was modelled using a generalised algebraic difference approach, testing several non-linear equations. The Sloboda (for lime) and Hossfeld I (for maple) models showed the best fit and were the most realistic, predicting slower initial and middle-age (maturing period) growth, yet also displayed higher asymptotes compared to Western Europe. The predicted height at the age of 80 years was 14–33 m and 13–34 m for lime and maple, accordingly. A longer establishment period and later growth culmination suggest longer rotation, highlighting the assessment of long-term risks. In this case, supplementation of the models with climatic effects appears advantageous.
在东波罗的海地区,预计气候变化将改变森林构成,使其更倾向于阔叶树种。树木的生长高度会影响林分的生产力和树种的竞争力,尤其是在混交林地,因此需要进行准确的预测。因此,高度模型对于预测林分的生产力和产量至关重要。由于树木高度生长动态因地区而异,因此需要建立地区甚至地方模型。根据 214 个国家森林资源调查地块和 510 棵冠层树,分析了拉脱维亚小叶椴(Tilia cordata Mill.)和挪威枫(Acer platanoides L.)的主要高度生长情况。采用广义代数差分法建立了高度增长模型,测试了几个非线性方程。Sloboda(石灰)和 Hossfeld I(枫树)模型的拟合效果最好,也最符合实际情况,预测的初始和中年(成熟期)生长速度较慢,但与西欧相比,也显示出较高的渐近线。椴树和枫树 80 岁时的预测高度分别为 14-33 米和 13-34 米。较长的建立期和较晚的生长顶点表明需要更长时间的轮作,这突出了对长期风险的评估。在这种情况下,利用气候效应对模型进行补充似乎是有利的。
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引用次数: 0
Nutrient Element Stocks and Dynamic Changes in Stump–Root Systems of Eucalyptus urophylla × E. grandis Eucalyptus urophylla × E. grandis 树桩-根系统中的营养元素储量和动态变化
IF 2.9 2区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.3390/f15010001
Zhushan Xie, Xiang Liang, Haiyu Liu, Xiangsheng Deng, Fei Cheng
Stump–root systems consist of aboveground stumps and underground coarse roots after timber harvesting. Stump–root systems are the primary source of coarse woody debris (CWD) in plantations, and they play a crucial role in the material cycle, energy flow, and biodiversity of Eucalyptus plantation ecosystems. However, there is limited knowledge about the changes in elemental stock within this CWD type during decomposition. To address this gap, we conducted a study on Eucalyptus urophylla × E. grandis stump–root systems at various times (0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 years) after clearcutting. Our aim was to investigate the stock changes in eight elements (K, Ca, Mg, S, Fe, Mn, Cu, and Zn) within the stumps and coarse roots over time and their decay levels, and we analyzed the relationship between elemental stocks and the physical, chemical, and structural components of stump–root systems. Our findings revealed the following: (1) The majority of each element’s stock within the stump–root system was found in the coarse roots. The elemental stocks in both stumps and coarse roots decreased as time passed after clearcutting and as decay progressed. (2) Notably, the elemental stocks in stumps and coarse roots were significantly higher than in other treatments during the initial 0–2 years after clearcutting and at decay classes I and II. In terms of elemental stocks, stumps from all clearcutting times or decay classes had the highest K stock, followed by Ca and Fe. Mg, Mn, and S stocks were lower than the first three, while Zn and Cu stocks were very low. The ordering of elemental stocks from high to low in the stump–root systems generally aligned with that of the coarse roots. (3) The residual rates of K, Mg, and Mn stocks in the stump–root systems fit the negative exponential model well. It took approximately 1 to 3.5 years for a 50% loss of the initial stocks of these elements and 5 to 10 years for a 95% loss. (4) The large amount of biomass in the stump–root system is the long-term nutrient reservoir of plantations, and any factor related to biomass loss affects the magnitude and duration of the nutrient reservoir, such as N, P, stoichiometric ratios, density, water-holding capacity, and hemicellulose. These findings contribute to a better understanding of the nutrient elemental dynamics and ecological functions of stump–root systems in Eucalyptus plantations.
树桩-树根系统由木材采伐后的地上树桩和地下粗根组成。树桩-树根系统是人工林中粗木质碎屑(CWD)的主要来源,在桉树人工林生态系统的物质循环、能量流动和生物多样性方面起着至关重要的作用。然而,人们对这种 CWD 在分解过程中的元素储量变化了解有限。为了填补这一空白,我们对桉树 × 桉树树桩-根系系统进行了一项研究,研究时间为砍伐后的不同时期(0、1、2、3、4、5 和 6 年)。我们的目的是研究树桩和粗根中八种元素(K、Ca、Mg、S、Fe、Mn、Cu 和 Zn)的储量随时间的变化及其衰变程度,并分析元素储量与树桩-根系统的物理、化学和结构成分之间的关系。我们的研究结果表明(1) 在树桩-根系中,每种元素的大部分存量都存在于粗根中。随着砍伐后时间的推移和腐烂程度的加深,树桩和粗根中的元素储量都在减少。(2)值得注意的是,在砍伐后最初的 0-2 年内,以及在腐烂等级 I 和 II 时,树桩和粗根的元素储量明显高于其他处理。就元素储量而言,所有砍伐时间或腐烂等级的树桩中 K 储量最高,其次是 Ca 和 Fe。镁、锰和硫的储量低于前三者,而锌和铜的储量则非常低。树桩-根系中元素储量从高到低的排序与粗根的排序基本一致。(3) 树桩-根系中钾、镁和锰元素储量的残留率非常符合负指数模型。这些元素的初始存量损失 50%大约需要 1 至 3.5 年,损失 95%大约需要 5 至 10 年。(4) 树桩-根系中的大量生物量是种植园的长期营养库,与生物量损失有关的任何因素都会影响营养库的规模和持续时间,如氮、磷、化学计量比、密度、持水能力和半纤维素。这些发现有助于更好地了解桉树种植园中树桩-根系的营养元素动态和生态功能。
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引用次数: 0
QPWS Feature Selection and CAE Fusion of Visible/Near-Infrared Spectroscopy Data for the Identification of Salix psammophila Origin 利用 QPWS 特征选择和 CAE 融合可见光/近红外光谱数据鉴定沙柳产地
IF 2.9 2区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.3390/f15010006
Yicheng Ma, Ying Li, Xinkai Peng, Congyu Chen, Hengkai Li, Xinping Wang, Weilong Wang, Xiaozhen Lan, Jixuan Wang, Zhiyong Pei
Salix psammophila, classified under the Salicaceae family, is a deciduous, densely branched, and erect shrub. As a leading pioneer tree species in windbreak and sand stabilization, it has played a crucial role in combating desertification in northwestern China. However, different genetic sources of Salix psammophila exhibit significant variations in their effectiveness for windbreak and sand stabilization. Therefore, it is essential to establish a rapid and reliable method for identifying different Salix psammophila varieties. Visible and near-infrared (Vis-NIR) spectroscopy is currently a reliable non-destructive solution for origin traceability. This study introduced a novel feature selection strategy, called qualitative percentile weighted sampling (QPWS), based on the principle of the long tail effect for Vis-NIR spectroscopy. The core idea of QPWS combines weighted sampling and percentage wavelength selection to identify key wavelengths. By employing a multi-threaded parallel execution of multiple QPWS instances, we aimed to search for the optimal feature bands to address the instability issues that can arise during the feature selection process. To address the problem of reduced prediction performance in one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN) models after feature selection, we have introduced convolutional autoencoders (CAEs) to reduce the dimensions of wavelengths that are discarded during feature selection. Subsequently, these reduced dimensions are fused with the selected wavelengths, thereby enhancing the model’s performance. With our completed model, we selected outstanding models for model fusion and established a decision system for Salix psammophila. It is worth noting that all 1D-CNN models in this study were developed using Bayesian optimization methods. In comparison with principal component analysis (PCA) and full spectrum methods, QPWS exhibits superior predictive performance in the field of machine learning. In the realm of deep learning, the fusion of data combining QPWS with CAE demonstrated even greater potential with an improvement of average accuracy of approximately 2.13% when compared to QPWS alone and a 228% increase in operational speed compared to a model with full spectra. These results indicated that the combination of CAE with QPWS can be an effective tool for identifying the origin of Salix psammophila.
沙柳(Salix psammophila)隶属于沙柳科,是一种落叶、密枝、直立灌木。作为防风固沙的主要先锋树种,它在中国西北地区的荒漠化防治中发挥了重要作用。然而,不同基因来源的沙柳在防风固沙效果上存在显著差异。因此,建立一种快速可靠的方法来鉴别不同的沙柳品种至关重要。目前,可见光和近红外(Vis-NIR)光谱是一种可靠的非破坏性原产地溯源解决方案。本研究基于可见近红外光谱的长尾效应原理,引入了一种新颖的特征选择策略,即定性百分位加权采样(QPWS)。QPWS 的核心思想是结合加权采样和百分比波长选择来识别关键波长。通过多线程并行执行多个 QPWS 实例,我们旨在搜索最佳特征带,以解决特征选择过程中可能出现的不稳定性问题。为了解决一维卷积神经网络(1D-CNN)模型在特征选择后预测性能下降的问题,我们引入了卷积自动编码器(CAE)来减少特征选择过程中被丢弃的波长维数。随后,这些减小的维度与所选波长融合,从而提高了模型的性能。有了我们完成的模型,我们选择了优秀的模型进行模型融合,并为沙柳建立了一个决策系统。值得注意的是,本研究中的所有 1D-CNN 模型都是采用贝叶斯优化方法建立的。与主成分分析(PCA)和全谱分析方法相比,QPWS 在机器学习领域表现出更优越的预测性能。在深度学习领域,将 QPWS 与 CAE 相结合的数据融合表现出了更大的潜力,与单独使用 QPWS 相比,平均准确率提高了约 2.13%,与使用全光谱的模型相比,运行速度提高了 228%。这些结果表明,CAE 与 QPWS 的结合可以成为确定沙柳起源的有效工具。
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引用次数: 0
Searching for Optimal Measurement Parameters by Thermogravimetry for Determining the Degree of Modification of Thermally Modified Wood 利用热重法测定热改性木材的改性程度,寻找最佳测量参数
IF 2.9 2区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.3390/f15010008
R. Cerc Korošec, Boštjan Žener, N. Čelan Korošin, M. Humar, Davor Kržišnik, G. Rep, Urška Lavrenčič Štangar
When wood is thermally modified, several chemical reactions take place that change the chemical and physical properties of the wood. These changes correlate with the degree of modification, which is mostly a function of the temperature and duration of modification, and consequently with the mass loss during this process. There is a lack of standardised quality control to verify the degree of heat treatment of wood and thus its quality. One of the possible methods to check the degree of thermal modification of a particular type of wood is thermogravimetry (TG). It is based on the assumption that processes that did not take place during thermal modification continue when the TG experiment is carried out. In this method, calibration curves have to be established based on TG measurements of standard samples that have been thermally modified at different temperatures and whose mass loss during modification is known. The calibration curves show the mass loss during the TG measurement as a function of the mass loss during the previous thermal modification. The course of thermal decomposition during the TG measurements is influenced by many parameters, such as the mass of the sample, the heating rate, the atmosphere in which the measurement takes place, and the shape of the crucible in which the sample is placed. In this paper, the influence of these parameters on the calibration curves was investigated. We have focused on oak wood. The best parameters result in a calibration curve with the largest correlation coefficient R2 and the highest slope of the line k. On this basis, we can determine the mass loss during the thermal modification of unknown samples of the same wood species under the same measurement conditions.
对木材进行热改性时,会发生一些化学反应,从而改变木材的化学和物理特性。这些变化与改性程度有关,而改性程度主要是改性温度和持续时间的函数,因此也与这一过程中的质量损失有关。目前缺乏标准的质量控制来检验木材的热处理程度,从而检验其质量。检查特定类型木材热改性程度的可行方法之一是热重分析法 (TG)。该方法基于这样一个假设,即在进行 TG 实验时,热改性过程中未发生的过程仍在继续。在这种方法中,必须根据在不同温度下经过热改性的标准样品的 TG 测量结果建立校准曲线,这些样品在改性过程中的质量损失是已知的。校准曲线显示了 TG 测量过程中的质量损失与之前热改性过程中质量损失的函数关系。TG 测量过程中的热分解过程受许多参数的影响,如样品的质量、加热速率、测量时的气氛以及放置样品的坩埚形状。本文研究了这些参数对校准曲线的影响。我们重点研究了橡木。在此基础上,我们可以确定在相同测量条件下,同一木材种类的未知样品在热改性过程中的质量损失。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Shephard et al. Climate Smart Forestry in the Southern United States. Forests 2022, 13, 1460 更正:Shephard et al. 美国南部的气候智能林业。森林 2022》,13, 1460
IF 2.9 2区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.3390/f14122462
N. Shephard, Lana L. Narine, Yucheng Peng, Adam Maggard
There are two errors related to units in the original manuscript [...]
原稿中有两处与单位有关的错误[......]
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引用次数: 0
Study on the Comprehensive Health Effects of Coastal Green Areas in Qingdao City, China 中国青岛市滨海绿地的综合健康效应研究
IF 2.9 2区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.3390/f14122463
Xiushan Leng, Di Kong, Zhiwen Gao, Kai Wang, Yu Zhang, Chunyu Li, Hong Liang
The recuperation factors (negative air ion concentration, airborne particulate matter, human comfort index, and acoustic environment index) of coastal green spaces have significant health effects. Most current studies focus on the distribution pattern of single recuperation factors in the forest environment; however, the comprehensive health effects of coastal green spaces are still unknown. To address this, we analyzed the distribution patterns of single and comprehensive health factors in different landscape configurations, landscape compositions, and coastal distances by principal component analysis and systematic clustering. The results show that: (1) coniferous and broadleaf mixed forests exhibit higher integrated health benefits than other landscape compositions; (2) closed and partially closed landscape configurations exhibit enhanced potential for promoting health benefits as opposed to partially open and open spaces; (3) a coastal distance of 150–300 m offers the strongest comprehensive health benefits. These findings collectively suggest that the increased cultivation of closed and partially closed mixed coniferous and broadleaf forest species at a distance of 150–300 m could effectively provide higher comprehensive health effects. Our study complements the ecosystem service of coastal green areas, especially in coastal health ecological services, providing support for coastal rehabilitation landscape planning; and can help to guide tourists in scheduling coastal health activities scientifically.
滨海绿地的休养因子(空气负离子浓度、空气颗粒物、人体舒适度指数和声环境指数)对健康有显著的影响。目前的研究大多集中于森林环境中单一休养因子的分布模式,但滨海绿地的综合健康效应尚不清楚。针对这一问题,我们通过主成分分析和系统聚类分析,分析了不同景观配置、景观构成和海岸距离下单一健康因子和综合健康因子的分布模式。结果表明(1) 针叶林和阔叶混交林的综合健康效益高于其他景观组合;(2) 相对于部分开放和开放空间,封闭和部分封闭的景观组合具有更强的促进健康效益的潜力;(3) 150-300 米的海岸距离具有最强的综合健康效益。这些发现共同表明,在 150-300 米的距离内增加栽培封闭和部分封闭的针阔叶混交林树种,可有效提供更高的综合健康效应。我们的研究补充了滨海绿地的生态系统服务,尤其是滨海健康生态服务,为滨海康复景观规划提供了支持;有助于指导游客科学安排滨海健康活动。
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引用次数: 0
Forest Insect Outbreak Dynamics: Fractal Properties, Viscous Fingers, and Holographic Principle 森林昆虫爆发动力学:分形特性、粘指和全息原理
IF 2.9 2区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.3390/f14122459
Vladislav Soukhovolsky, A. Kovalev, O. Tarasova, Yulia Ivanova
During the growth of a forest insect outbreak epicenter, there are processes that involve the formation and expansion of the primary epicenter of forest damage, as well as secondary epicenters—both connected and unconnected to the primary one. This study characterizes outbreak epicenters in terms of their fractal dimensions and “viscous finger” parameters at the epicenter boundary, highlighting their significance in the context of forest insect management. Local outbreak epicenters were found to be characterized by fractal dimension D = 1.4–1.5, and the boundaries of the epicenters were described using the “viscous finger” model. Proposed models were constructed and validated using remote sensing data obtained from MODIS and Sentinel-2 satellites at epicenter sites and boundaries during the outbreak of the Siberian silk moth Dendrolimus sibiricus Tschetverikov from 2014 to 2020 in the Krasnoyarsk region of Russia. The study revealed that the frequency of the mode spectrum of one-stage spatial series of “viscous fingers” corresponds with the data on the development of the outbreak foci area.
在森林昆虫暴发震源的生长过程中,会有森林损害的主震源以及次震源(与主震源有联系或无联系)的形成和扩展过程。本研究从震中边界的分形维度和 "粘性手指 "参数方面描述了疫情震中的特征,强调了它们在森林昆虫管理方面的意义。研究发现,局部疫情震中的分形维数 D = 1.4-1.5,震中边界采用 "粘性指 "模型进行描述。在俄罗斯克拉斯诺亚尔斯克地区 2014-2020 年西伯利亚蚕蛾 Dendrolimus sibiricus Tschetverikov 爆发期间,利用 MODIS 和 Sentinel-2 卫星获取的震源点和震源边界遥感数据,构建并验证了拟议模型。研究发现,"粘性手指 "单级空间序列的模态频谱频率与疫情病灶区的发展数据相吻合。
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引用次数: 0
Experimental Analysis on the Behaviors of a Laboratory Surface Fire Spreading across a Firebreak with Different Winds 不同风力下实验室地表火在防火带蔓延行为的实验分析
IF 2.9 2区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-12-17 DOI: 10.3390/f14122455
Hanwen Guo, Zhengyuan Yang, Ziqun Ye, Dong Xiang, Yunji Gao, Yuchun Zhang
In this work, a series of laboratory surface fire experiments were performed over a pine needle fuel bed to investigate the effectiveness of a firebreak and the behaviors of a surface fire across a firebreak. Seven wind velocities of 0~3.0 m/s and six firebreak widths of 10~35 cm are varied. The behaviors of a surface fire across the firebreak, the heat flux received by fuel surface and fuel temperature before and after the firebreak are analyzed and compared simultaneously. The main conclusions are as follows: the behaviors of a surface fire spreading across a firebreak under different wind velocities are classified into three categories—no ignition, ignition by flame contact and ignition by spot fires. When the wind velocity is not more than 1.0 m/s, the surface fire cannot successfully cross the firebreak; as wind velocity changes from 1.5 m/s to 2.5 m/s, the fuel after the firebreak can be ignited by flame contact for relatively narrow firebreak conditions; when the wind velocity increases to 3.0 m/s, the burning fuel can be blown away along the fuel bed, and the fuel behind the firebreak will be ignited by spot fire. A linear relationship between the threshold of firebreak width and the fireline intensity is obtained, and the linear fitting coefficient in this paper is larger than the results reported by Wilson (0.36). For no ignition conditions, the fuel temperature and the heat flux received by the fuel after firebreak are significantly lower than those before the firebreak, whereas their variations over time are similar to those before the firebreak for ignition conditions. Moreover, for no ignition conditions, the maximum fuel temperature and the heat flux after the firebreak increase with wind velocity, but decrease with firebreak width. Additionally, when the fuel temperature (253 °C) and the heat flux received by the fuel considering the radiation and convection (43 kW/m2) after firebreak exceed a threshold value, the surface fire can successfully cross the firebreak.
这项工作在松针燃料层上进行了一系列实验室地表火实验,以研究防火带的有效性和地表火穿过防火带的行为。实验采用了 0~3.0 m/s 的七种风速和 10~35 cm 的六种防火带宽度。同时分析比较了地表火穿越防火带的行为、燃料表面接收的热通量以及防火带前后的燃料温度。主要结论如下:地表火在不同风速下穿过防火带的行为分为三类--无引燃、火焰接触引燃和点火引燃。当风速不大于 1.0 m/s 时,地表火无法成功穿越防火线;当风速从 1.5 m/s 变为 2.5 m/s 时,在防火线相对较窄的条件下,防火线后的燃料可以通过火焰接触点燃;当风速增加到 3.0 m/s 时,燃烧的燃料可以沿着燃料层被吹走,防火线后的燃料将被点燃。防火带宽度临界值与火线强度之间呈线性关系,本文的线性拟合系数大于 Wilson 报告的结果(0.36)。在无着火条件下,防火带后的燃料温度和燃料接收的热通量明显低于防火带前,而在有着火条件下,它们随时间的变化与防火带前相似。此外,在无着火条件下,防火带后燃料的最高温度和热通量随风速的增加而增加,但随防火带宽度的增加而减少。此外,当防火带后的燃料温度(253 °C)和燃料接收的辐射与对流热通量(43 kW/m2)超过临界值时,地表火可以成功穿越防火带。
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引用次数: 0
Climate-Sensitive Diameter Growth Models for White Spruce and White Pine Plantations 白云杉和白松种植园对气候敏感的直径生长模型
IF 2.9 2区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-12-17 DOI: 10.3390/f14122457
Mahadev Sharma
Global change in the climate is affecting tree/forest growth. There have been many studies that analyzed climate effects on tree growth. Results presented in these studies showed that the climate had both positive and negative effects on tree growth. The nature (positive/negative) and magnitude of the effects and the climate variables affecting growth depended on tree species. Climate-sensitive diameter growth models are not available for white pine (Pinus strobus L.) and white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) plantations. These models are needed to project forest growth and yield and develop forest management plans. Therefore, diameter growth models were developed for white pine and white spruce plantations by incorporating climate variables. Four hundred white pine and white spruce trees (200 per species) were sampled from 80 (40 per species) even-aged monospecific plantations (five trees per plantation) across Ontario, Canada. Diameter–age pairs were obtained from these trees using stem analysis. A nonlinear mixed-effects modeling approach was used to develop diameter growth models. To make the models climate sensitive, model parameters were expressed in term of climate variables. Inclusion of climate variables significantly improved model fit statistics and predictive accuracy. For evaluation, diameters (inside bark) at breast height were estimated for three geographic locations (east, west, and south) across Ontario for an 80-year growth period (2021–2100) under three climate change (emissions) scenarios (representative concentration pathway or RCP 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5 watts m−2). For both species, the overall climate effects were negative. For white spruce, the maximum pronounced difference in projected diameters after the 80-year growth period was in the west. At this location, compared to the no climate change scenario, projected spruce diameters under RCPs 2.6 and 8.5 were thinner by 4.64 (15.99%) and 3.72 (12.80%) cm, respectively. For white pine, the maximum difference was in the south. Compared to the no climate change scenario, projected pine diameters at age 80 under RCPs 2.6 and 8.5 at this location were narrower by 4.54 (13.99%) and 7.60 (23.43%) cm, respectively. For both species, climate effects on diameter growth were less evident at other locations. If the values of climate variables are unavailable, models fitted without climate variables can be used to estimate these diameters for both species.
全球气候变化正在影响树木/森林的生长。有许多研究分析了气候对树木生长的影响。这些研究的结果表明,气候对树木生长既有积极影响,也有消极影响。影响的性质(正/负)和程度以及影响生长的气候变量取决于树种。目前还没有针对白松(Pinus strobus L.)和白云杉(Picea glauca (Moench) Voss)人工林的对气候敏感的直径生长模型。预测森林生长和产量以及制定森林管理计划都需要这些模型。因此,通过纳入气候变量,为白松和白云杉人工林开发了直径生长模型。从加拿大安大略省的 80 个(每个物种 40 个)均匀年龄的单一物种人工林(每个人工林 5 棵树)中抽取了 400 棵白松和白云杉(每个物种 200 棵)。利用茎干分析法从这些树木中获得了直径-年龄对。采用非线性混合效应建模方法建立了直径生长模型。为了使模型对气候敏感,模型参数用气候变量表示。气候变量的加入大大提高了模型拟合统计量和预测准确性。为了进行评估,在三种气候变化(排放)情景(代表性浓度途径或 RCP 2.6、4.5 和 8.5 瓦特 m-2)下,对安大略省三个地理位置(东部、西部和南部)的 80 年生长期(2021-2100 年)的胸径(树皮内侧)进行了估算。对这两个物种而言,总体气候效应都是负面的。对于白云杉,80 年生长期后预计直径的最大明显差异出现在西部。在该地点,与无气候变化情景相比,在 RCPs 2.6 和 8.5 条件下预测的云杉直径分别变细了 4.64 厘米(15.99%)和 3.72 厘米(12.80%)。白松的最大差异出现在南部。与无气候变化情景相比,该地点在 RCPs 2.6 和 8.5 条件下 80 岁时的松树直径预计分别窄了 4.54 (13.99%) 厘米和 7.60 (23.43%) 厘米。对于这两个物种,气候对直径增长的影响在其他地点不太明显。如果没有气候变量值,可以使用不含气候变量的模型来估计这两个物种的直径。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Eco-Environmental Quality of an Urban Forest Park Using LTSS and Modified RSEI from 1990 to 2020—A Case Study of Zijin Mountain National Forest Park, Nanjing, China 利用 LTSS 和修正的 RSEI 分析 1990-2020 年城市森林公园的生态环境质量--南京紫金山国家森林公园案例研究
IF 2.9 2区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-12-17 DOI: 10.3390/f14122458
Fang Ren, Jiaoyang Xu, Yi Wu, Tao Li, Mingyang Li
Evaluating the long-term urban forest ecological environmental quality (EEQ) and analyzing the drivers of its spatiotemporal changes can provide a scientific basis for making long-term urban forest planning decisions. Taking into account the characteristics of urban forest parks with low area proportions of construction land and bare land, high vegetation coverage, and serious forest disturbances, we constructed a modified urban forest park EEQ evaluation index based on a remote sensing ecological index named MRSEI, which is composed of the Landsat enhanced vegetation index (EVI), wetness, land surface temperature (LST), and forest disturbance index (FDI). We selected the Nanjing Zijin Mountain National Forest Park as the study area, used landsat time series stack (LTSS) remote sensing images from 1990 to 2020 as the main data source, and adopted the suggested modified MRSEI, the Theil-Sen median method, and the Hurst index to evaluate the EEQ to analyze its spatiotemporal variations and its driving factors in the study area. The main research results were as follows: (1) the EEQ of Zijin Mountain showed an up-and-down, overall slowly increasing trend from 1990 to 2020, while the spatial auto-correlation coefficient showed an overall decreasing trend; (2) the area percentage of the EEQ-persistent region accounted for 78.69%, and the anti-sustainable region accounted for 21.31%; (3) the spatial centers of the EEQ in the study area were mainly concentrated on the middle and upper part of the southern slope of Zijin Mountain, moving southward from 1990 to 2020; (4) the analysis of drivers showed that climate factors, forest landscape structure, forest disturbances, and forest growth conditions were the main driving factors affecting the EEQ in the study area. These results provide a research framework for the analysis of EEQ changes over a long-term period in the urban forest parks of China.
对城市森林生态环境质量(EEQ)进行长期评价并分析其时空变化的驱动因素,可为城市森林长期规划决策提供科学依据。考虑到城市森林公园建设用地和裸露土地面积比例低、植被覆盖率高、森林干扰严重等特点,我们基于遥感生态指数MRSEI构建了修正的城市森林公园生态环境质量评价指标。选取南京紫金山国家森林公园为研究区域,以1990-2020年的陆地卫星时间序列叠加(LTSS)遥感影像为主要数据源,采用建议的修正MRSEI、Theil-Sen中值法和Hurst指数对EEQ进行评价,分析其在研究区域的时空变化及其驱动因素。主要研究成果如下(1)1990-2020 年紫金山 EEQ 呈上下波动、总体缓慢上升趋势,空间自相关系数总体呈下降趋势;(2)EEQ 持续区面积占比 78.69%,反持续区面积占比 21.31%;(3)研究区 EEQ 空间中心主要集中在紫金山南坡中上部,1990-2020 年呈南移趋势;(4)驱动因素分析表明,气候因素、森林景观结构、森林干扰和森林生长条件是影响研究区 EEQ 的主要驱动因素。这些结果为分析中国城市森林公园长期的 EEQ 变化提供了一个研究框架。
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