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Systematic Experimental Validation of High-Order Spectral Method for Deterministic Wave Prediction 确定性波浪预报的高阶谱法系统实验验证
Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI: 10.1115/omae2019-95063
Marco Klein, M. Dudek, G. Clauss, N. Hoffmann, J. Behrendt, S. Ehlers
The applicability of the High-Order Spectral Method (HOSM) as a very fast non-linear method for deterministic short-term wave prediction is discussed within this paper. The focus lies on the systematic experimental validation of the HOSM in order to identify and evaluate possible areas of application as well as limitations of use. For this purpose, irregular sea states with varying parameters such as wave steepness and underlying wave spectrum are addressed by numerical simulations and model tests in the controlled environment of a seakeeping basin. In addition, the influence of the propagation distance is discussed. For the evaluation of the accuracy of the HOSM prediction, the surface similarity parameter (SSP) is utilized, allowing a quantitative validation of the results. The results obtained are compared to linear wave prediction to discuss the pros and cons of a non-linear deterministic short-term wave prediction. In conclusion, this paper shows that the non-linear deterministic wave prediction based on HOSM leads to a substantial improvement of the prediction quality for moderate and steep irregular wave trains in terms of individual waves and prediction distance.
本文讨论了高阶谱法(HOSM)作为一种非常快速的非线性方法在确定性短期波浪预报中的适用性。重点在于对HOSM进行系统的实验验证,以确定和评估可能的应用领域以及使用限制。为此,通过数值模拟和模型试验,研究了具有不同波陡度和下伏波谱等参数的不规则海况。此外,还讨论了传播距离的影响。为了评估HOSM预测的准确性,使用表面相似参数(SSP),允许对结果进行定量验证。将所得结果与线性波浪预报进行比较,讨论非线性确定性短期波浪预报的优缺点。综上所述,基于HOSM的非线性确定性波浪预报在单个波数和预报距离方面显著提高了中陡不规则波列的预报质量。
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引用次数: 5
Global Assessments of Surface Winds and Waves From an Ensemble Forecast System Using Satellite Data 利用卫星数据的综合预报系统对地面风和波的全球评估
Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI: 10.1115/omae2019-96627
R. Campos, Carlos Soares
This paper evaluates the 10-m wind intensities and significant wave heights from the NCEP Ensemble Forecast System using altimeter data. A total of 20 perturbed members plus a control member (deterministic run) compose the ensemble. The assessment is focused on the comparison between the control run and the ensemble mean, in terms of benefits presented by four error metrics. Four satellite missions are selected for the assessments, obtained from AVISO and NESDIS/NOAA databases. Results show that the scatter components of the errors strongly depends on the latitude, were extra-tropical locations at longer forecast times present large errors. A significant improvement using the ensemble forecast compared to deterministic runs was verified at these locations, where the RMSE of day 10 was reduced from 5 to 3.5 m/s for U10 and from 1.8 to 1.3 meters for Hs.
本文利用高度计资料对NCEP综合预报系统的10米风强和有效波高进行了评价。总共20个受干扰的成员加上一个控制成员(确定性运行)组成了这个集合。评估的重点是对照运行和集成平均值之间的比较,根据四个误差度量提出的好处。从AVISO和NESDIS/NOAA数据库获得的评估选择了四个卫星任务。结果表明,误差的散射分量与纬度有很大的关系,在较长的预报时间内,热带外地区的误差较大。与确定性运行相比,在这些地点验证了使用集合预报的显着改进,其中第10天的RMSE从U10的5减少到3.5 m/s,从h的1.8减少到1.3 m/s。
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引用次数: 1
An Experimental Investigation of the Trim Effect on the Behaviour of a Containership in Shallow Water 浅水中纵倾对集装箱船性能影响的实验研究
Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI: 10.1115/omae2019-95790
K. Elsherbiny, T. Tezdogan, M. Kotb, A. Incecik, S. Day
A new division of the Suez Canal in Egypt, termed the New Suez Canal, was opened for international navigation in August 2015. It is therefore important to ensure the safety of ships navigating this new section of the canal. Measures to avoid grounding and/or drifting to the canal banks are necessary. Additionally, accurate prediction data for ship squat and under keel clearance is crucial. This paper presents the results of experimental work carried out at the Kelvin Hydrodynamic Laboratory at the University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, to study the effect of trim on containership sailing characteristics in shallow waters using Kriso Container Ship (KCS) model. A series of model tests were conducted to measure the resistance, sinkage variations with speed, water depth and loading conditions under different trimming angles at 1:75 scale. The objective of this work is to examine the range of ship trim for safe and efficient sailing in restricted water in both depth and width. The study also aimed to provide data to be used in validating numerical computations to be carried on the same type of vessel to detect the best trim angle for ships during sailing in restricted waters to reduce resistance and therefore fuel consumption. For depth Froude numbers higher than 0.4, the results show that the ship model sinkage is less for aft trim than for level trim or forward trim. Concurrently, it can be observed that there is less water resistance for aft trim than for forward trim, albeit level trim shows the least resistance. The test was conducted for one value of model draft which was 0.144 m. Side bank effect were also examined.
埃及苏伊士运河的一个新分支,被称为新苏伊士运河,于2015年8月开通国际航行。因此,确保在这段新运河上航行的船只的安全是很重要的。必须采取措施避免搁浅和/或漂流到运河岸边。此外,准确的船舶深蹲和龙骨间隙预测数据至关重要。本文介绍了在格拉斯哥斯特拉斯克莱德大学开尔文流体动力学实验室进行的实验工作的结果,利用Kriso集装箱船(KCS)模型研究了浅水域中纵倾对集装箱船航行特性的影响。在1:75比例尺下,进行了一系列模型试验,测量了不同修边角下的阻力、下沉随航速、水深和加载条件的变化。这项工作的目的是检查船舶在深度和宽度受限的水域中安全有效航行的纵倾范围。该研究还旨在提供数据,用于验证在同一类型船舶上进行的数值计算,以检测船舶在受限水域航行时的最佳纵倾角,以减少阻力,从而减少燃料消耗。当深度弗劳德数大于0.4时,船尾纵倾比水平纵倾和前纵倾对船模下沉的影响更小。同时,它可以观察到,有更小的水阻力为后饰板比前饰板,虽然水平饰板显示阻力最小。以模型吃水0.144 m为1个值进行试验。对侧岸效应也进行了研究。
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引用次数: 4
A Preliminary Study on the Development of a Novel Marine Growth Cleaning Robot for Jacket Platforms 新型导管架平台海洋生长清扫机器人研制的初步研究
Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI: 10.1115/omae2019-95176
Jiang Zhe, S. Tao, Luo Gaosheng, Wang Biao, Guo Wei
As the underwater structures of offshore Jacket platforms are always immersed in seawater, the marine growth, which include various forms of algae, slime, and seaweed, barnacles, mussels and other species of adhesive shellfish, will attach to steel-pipe surface and will accelerate structural corrosion and impair structural safety. Currently, routine cleaning and inspection task is undertaken by divers using cleaning jets in normally every 3∼5 years. The cleaning duration for one single platform will take up more than two months, even up to half a year, due to the constraints of weather windows and limited working hours of divers. It is a risky job for divers not only because of huge pressures that water-jets produce, but also the harsh working conditions of poor visibility, unexpected vortex and waves around platform, and etc. Underwater robots are being developed for various applications in offshore oil industry ranging from inspection to maintenance and cleaning of submerged surfaces and constructions. This paper introduces a novel underwater robot specializing in cleaning marine growth for offshore Jackets. Since the diameter of steel-pipes varies from about 600mm to 2000mm, a self-adapted mechanism is designed. The self-adaption mechanism makes the robot travel on pipes in different directions with high mobility and clean continuous region of underwater pipes’ surface at the same time. Two key issues have been studied in this paper. The magnetic adhesion method is adopted in the robot. A sensitivity study on the distance between steel-pipes and thickness of steel pipes with the adhesion force are conducted both using finite element method and experiments. Besides, the flushing capability for various nozzles has been simulated using computational fluid dynamics method. The proposed underwater robot is needed in the inspection and maintenance of offshore Jacket platforms. Compared with traditional maintenance by divers, it is more efficient, economic and safe.
由于海上护套平台水下结构体长期浸泡在海水中,各种形式的藻类、黏液以及海藻、甲壳类、贻贝等黏附贝类等海洋生物会附着在钢管表面,加速结构腐蚀,影响结构安全。目前,潜水员通常每3 ~ 5年使用清洁射流进行常规清洁和检查。由于天气窗口的限制和潜水员工作时间的限制,单个平台的清洁时间将长达两个多月,甚至长达半年。对潜水员来说,这是一项危险的工作,不仅因为水射流产生巨大的压力,而且工作条件恶劣,能见度低,平台周围有意想不到的漩涡和波浪等。水下机器人正被开发用于海上石油工业的各种应用,从水下表面和建筑的检查到维护和清洁。本文介绍了一种新型的水下机器人,专门用于清洗近海护套海洋生长体。针对钢管直径在600mm ~ 2000mm之间的变化,设计了自适应机构。该自适应机构使机器人在管道上进行不同方向的移动,同时具有较高的机动性和清洁水下管道表面的连续区域。本文主要研究了两个关键问题。该机器人采用磁附着方式。采用有限元法和试验相结合的方法,对钢管间距和钢管厚度随附着力的变化进行了敏感性研究。此外,还采用计算流体力学方法对不同喷嘴的冲刷能力进行了模拟。本文提出的水下机器人适用于近海护套平台的检测与维护。与传统的潜水员维修相比,更高效、经济、安全。
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引用次数: 1
Study on Gust Parameters and Wind Spectrum of South China Sea 南海阵风参数及风谱研究
Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI: 10.1115/omae2019-95779
Botao Xie, Xuhe Ren, Jiagang Li, W. Duan, Junrong Wang, Binbin Zhao
Wind loads are one of the main loads on offshore structures during typhoons in the South China Sea (SCS). The accuracy of wind turbulence characteristic parameters were very important for the calculation of wind load of these large structures and floating platforms. The parameters of the gust factor and wind spectra are studied in this paper. Characteristics of the gust factor and the turbulence during typhoon and monsoon period were analyzed by using the observational data of long-term wind on a platform in South China Sea. The relationships among the gust factor, mean wind speed and turbulence intensity were described. The most suitable wind spectrum for SCS had been compared for the different wind speed conditions. The results can provide reference and technical guarantee for the offshore constructions of SCS.
风荷载是南海台风期间海上结构的主要荷载之一。风湍流特征参数的准确性对这些大型结构和浮式平台的风荷载计算至关重要。本文对阵风因子和风谱参数进行了研究。利用南海某平台的长期风观测资料,分析了台风和季风期间阵风因子和湍流的特征。描述了阵风因子、平均风速和湍流强度之间的关系。比较了不同风速条件下最适合南海的风谱。研究结果可为南海近海建设提供参考和技术保障。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial and Seasonal Variability of Metocean Design Criteria in the Southern South China Sea From Covariate Extreme Value Analysis 来自协变量极值分析的南海南部海洋设计准则的空间和季节变异
Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI: 10.1115/OMAE2019-95913
V. Anokhin, E. Ross, D. Randell, P. Jonathan
This paper describes spatial and seasonal variability of metocean design criteria in the southern South China Sea. Non-stationary extreme value analysis was performed using the CEVA approach (Covariate Extreme Value Analysis,[1]) for a 59-year long SEAFINE hindcast of winds and waves, estimating metocean design criteria up to 10,000-year return period. Wind design criteria are mostly driven by large-scale monsoonal events; at higher return periods infrequent cyclonic events have strong influence on the tail of the extreme value distribution but confined to a limited geographical area. The CEVA analysis of waves showed much less dependence on the tropical cyclone events; the spatial metocean design criteria were smoother, mostly influenced by the monsoonal wind strength, fetch and local bathymetry. Return value estimates illustrate the strong seasonality of metocean design criteria, with boreal winter (December-February, Northeasterly monsoon) contributing most to the extremes, while April and May are the mildest months. Estimates for the ratio of 10,000/100-year return values are also presented, both for winds and waves. There is empirical evidence that the range of “typical” values of generalised Pareto shape parameter observed for Hs is different to that observed for wind speed. For this reason, an upper bound of +0.2 for generalised Pareto shape was specified for wind speed analysis, compared to 0.0 for Hs. In some cases, increase of upper bound for waves to 0.1 is justified, leading to slightly more conservative Hs values. We confirmed that the upper end point constraint was not too influential on the distributions of generalised Pareto shape parameter estimated. Nevertheless, it is apparent that specification of bounds for generalised Pareto shape is a critical, but problematic choice in metocean applications.
本文描述了南海南部海洋设计准则的空间和季节变化。使用CEVA方法(协变量极值分析,[1])对59年的海风和海浪后报进行了非平稳极值分析,估计了长达10,000年的回归期的海洋设计标准。风的设计标准主要由大型季风事件驱动;在较高的回归期,不频繁的气旋事件对极值分布的尾部有很强的影响,但仅限于有限的地理区域。波浪的CEVA分析表明,对热带气旋事件的依赖程度较低;空间气象海洋设计准则较为平滑,主要受季风风强度、水深和局地水深的影响。回归值估计说明了海洋设计标准的强烈季节性,北方冬季(12月至2月,东北季风)对极端情况的贡献最大,而4月和5月是最温和的月份。还提出了风和浪的1万/100年返回值比率的估计值。有经验证据表明,观测到的Hs广义Pareto形状参数的“典型”值范围与观测到的风速不同。由于这个原因,风速分析指定广义帕累托形状的上限为+0.2,而Hs的上限为0.0。在某些情况下,波的上限增加到0.1是合理的,导致Hs值稍微保守一些。我们证实了上限约束对广义Pareto形状参数估计的分布没有太大的影响。然而,很明显,广义帕累托形状的边界规范是一个关键的,但在海洋应用中有问题的选择。
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引用次数: 2
A New Method for Deriving Soliton Design Criteria 导出孤子设计准则的新方法
Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI: 10.1115/omae2019-96637
G. Jeans, Oliver P. H. Jones, Michael Zhang, C. Jackson, N. Stashchuk, A. Osborne, O. Petersen, J. M. D. Silva
A new method for deriving extreme soliton current criteria for offshore engineering applications is described. The primary data source was site specific measurement close to the continental shelf break where metocean criteria were required. A dedicated oceanographic mooring was designed to quantify solitons, with rapidly sampled measurement of seawater temperature and velocities through the vertical. As described in two previous OMAE papers, quantification of soliton velocity profiles was achieved via temperature measurement and theory, with measured velocities playing a secondary role in critical validation. The previous methodology was extended in the present study, with separate contributions quantified from variations in soliton amplitude and water column density structure. The nonlinear Fourier techniques first described in OMAE 2017 were again used to reduce uncertainty in estimates of extreme soliton amplitude. In a new development, the long-term distribution of the density structure contribution was quantified using a calibrated hindcast of seawater temperature. Extreme conditions were defined at the boundary of a MITgcm model domain. This sophisticated model was then used to estimate extreme soliton velocities, through the water column and a few metres above the seabed, at a wide range of shallower target locations.
提出了一种求解海洋工程极端孤子电流判据的新方法。主要数据来源是靠近大陆架断裂的特定地点的测量,那里需要海洋标准。设计了一个专用的海洋系泊来量化孤子,通过垂直方向快速采样测量海水温度和速度。正如前两篇OMAE论文所述,孤子速度分布的量化是通过温度测量和理论来实现的,而测量的速度在关键验证中起着次要作用。在本研究中扩展了以前的方法,从孤子振幅和水柱密度结构的变化中分别量化了贡献。在OMAE 2017中首次描述的非线性傅立叶技术再次用于减少极端孤子振幅估计的不确定性。在一个新的发展中,密度结构贡献的长期分布被量化使用校准海水温度的后预报。在MITgcm模型域的边界处定义了极端条件。然后,这个复杂的模型被用来估计在大范围较浅的目标位置上,通过水柱和海床上方几米的极端孤子速度。
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引用次数: 0
Linear Evolution of a Narrow-Banded Surface Gravity Wavepacket Over an Infinite Step 一个窄带表面重力波包在无限阶上的线性演化
Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI: 10.1115/omae2019-96082
Yan Li, T. Adcock, T. V. D. Bremer
This paper focuses on the classical and fundamental problem of waves propagating over an infinite step in finite water depth. Specifically, this paper aims to extend classical narrow-banded wave theory for constant water depth which uses a multiple-scales expansion to the case of an abrupt change in the water depth, known as an infinite step. This paper derives the linear evolution equations and is the first step towards the calculation of second-order and higher-order effects for wavepackets travelling over a step using commonly employed envelope-type evolution equations, in particular the bound sub- and super-harmonics at second order.
本文主要研究有限水深下波在无限阶上传播的经典问题和基本问题。具体而言,本文旨在将经典的定水深窄带波理论(多尺度展开)推广到水深突变的无限步长情况。本文导出了线性演化方程,并利用常用的包络型演化方程,特别是二阶有界次谐波和超谐波,为计算波包在阶跃上的二阶和高阶效应迈出了第一步。
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引用次数: 0
On the Estimation and Application of Directional Design Criteria 定向设计准则的估计与应用
Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI: 10.1115/OMAE2019-96586
G. Feld, P. Jonathan, D. Randell
This article discusses the estimation of directional metocean design criteria for engineering applications. We provide a summary of current code recommendations relating to directional design criteria and illustrate conceptually and mathematically some of the difficulties of their derivation. We also discuss the application of directional criteria for the specific examples of Code Check and Pushover analyses for fixed structures and jack-up rigs.
本文讨论了工程应用的定向海洋设计准则的估计。我们提供了有关定向设计标准的当前代码建议的摘要,并从概念上和数学上说明了其推导的一些困难。我们还讨论了定向准则在固定结构和自升式钻井平台的Code Check和Pushover分析中的具体应用。
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引用次数: 6
Path Following and Collision Avoidance of Underactuated Marine Vessels Based on MPC Design 基于MPC设计的欠驱动船舶路径跟踪与避碰
Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI: 10.1115/omae2019-95081
G. Zheng, Cheng Liu, Cheng Li
Path following of underactuated marine vessels is a fundamental marine practice in shipping industry. However, the collision avoidance, which is frequently encountered during the process of path following of ships sailing in seaways, is neglected in traditional studies of path following. In this paper, a novel control design for path following with auxiliary system for collision avoidance is presented. Taking advantage of the capability of dealing with multi-variable system with the constraints, the model predictive control (MPC) method is employed to deal with the input saturation (rudder) and underactuated problem. Furthermore, the parallel computational nature of projection neural network (PNN) is included to reduce the computational burden of traditional MPC technique and make the control design more efficient. Simulations are conducted to validate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed control design.
欠驱动船舶路径跟踪是航运业的一项基本海上实践。然而,传统的船舶路径跟踪研究却忽视了船舶在航道上的路径跟踪过程中经常遇到的避碰问题。本文提出了一种具有避碰辅助系统的路径跟踪控制方法。利用模型预测控制(MPC)方法处理约束条件下的多变量系统的能力,解决了输入饱和(方向舵)和欠驱动问题。同时,利用投影神经网络(PNN)的并行计算特性,减少传统MPC技术的计算量,提高控制设计效率。仿真验证了所提控制设计的有效性和高效性。
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引用次数: 0
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Volume 7B: Ocean Engineering
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