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Elucidating Conundrum of Palm Oil Under Illusion of Global Economy Well-Being (Presentation Slides) 在全球经济繁荣的假象下阐释棕榈油的难题(演示幻灯片)
Pub Date : 2014-10-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2707035
Ali Muhammad Lakdawala
Paper discusses the effect of global growth impacting petroleum & in turn driving or curtailing demand for BioD (biodiesel).Asian markets are very price sensitive: BioD becomes priority at feedstock producing centres for arresting prices from falling further & at consuming centres only if economy is growing at good pace which at present is being curtailed by CAD (Current Account Deficit).
本文讨论了全球经济增长对石油的影响,并反过来推动或减少对生物柴油的需求。亚洲市场对价格非常敏感:在原料生产中心,BioD成为阻止价格进一步下跌的优先事项;在消费中心,只有在经济增长速度良好的情况下,目前正受到CAD(经常账户赤字)的限制。
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引用次数: 0
Volatility Transmission in Energy Futures Markets 能源期货市场的波动传导
Pub Date : 2014-09-30 DOI: 10.21314/JEM.2014.113
M. Soucek, N. Todorova
This study is novel in its application of a multivariate heterogeneous autoregressive model to studying volatility transmission patterns in energy futures markets. In particular, the nature of volatility spillovers between futures on crude oil, natural gas and gasoil is examined by using range-based volatility proxies and splitting volatility in components defined over different time horizons. The results provide evidence that crude oil futures carry significant information for the volatility evolution of other energy futures traded on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and reveal interesting insights into the sources of the documented volatility interrelations. Short-term shocks in Brent oil volatility significantly affect the volatility of gasoil futures, while the impact of oil and gasoil on natural gas is driven by the long-term volatility component. Additionally, Brent oil and gasoil ICE futures volatilities exhibit strong positive dynamic correlation, whereas the remaining pairwise correlation curves fluctuate around zero.
本研究新颖地运用多元异质自回归模型研究能源期货市场波动传导模式。特别是,通过使用基于区间的波动率代理和将波动率划分为不同时间范围内定义的组成部分,研究了原油、天然气和汽油期货之间波动率溢出的性质。研究结果表明,原油期货为洲际交易所(ICE)交易的其他能源期货的波动演化提供了重要信息,并揭示了记录波动相互关系的有趣来源。布伦特原油波动的短期冲击显著影响天然气期货的波动,而石油和天然气对天然气的影响是由长期波动分量驱动的。此外,布伦特原油和汽油ICE期货波动率表现出较强的正动态相关性,其余两两相关曲线在零附近波动。
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引用次数: 2
Peru as a Regional Hub for Trade Facilitation and Logistics Services: Strategic Considerations 秘鲁作为贸易便利化和物流服务的区域中心:战略考虑
Pub Date : 2014-08-05 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2618488
Manuel Angel Quindimil
Peru has been implementing a policy of opening up and liberalizing trade aimed at integrating the country into the global economy with a view to improving the well-being of the population and benefiting from international market specialization. In spite of such trade policy assertiveness, the country continues to face many pending challenges in developmental policies. One such challenge relates to trade facilitation, logistics, and transport facilitation. As import tariffs have been reduced, border management and behind the border measures are becoming much more important for Peruvian competitiveness in both internal and external markets. Apart from the purpose of incorporating Peruvian production to the international economy, Peru aims to be a hub in the Southern Cone region to serve the Asian Pacific Rim markets. To achieve both goals Peru has to design a national and sub-regional policy which includes elements of trade facilitation and transport facilitation. This plan should be coherent and aligned with the country’s and the region’s present and future integration schemes.
秘鲁一直在执行一项开放和自由化贸易的政策,目的是使该国融入全球经济,以期改善人民的福利,并从国际市场专业化中获益。尽管有这种贸易政策的自信,该国在发展政策方面继续面临许多悬而未决的挑战。其中一个挑战涉及贸易便利化、物流和运输便利化。随着进口关税的降低,边境管理和边境措施对秘鲁在国内和国外市场的竞争力变得更加重要。除了将秘鲁生产纳入国际经济的目的外,秘鲁的目标是成为南锥体地区的中心,为亚太地区市场提供服务。为了实现这两个目标,秘鲁必须设计一项国家和分区域政策,其中包括贸易便利化和运输便利化的要素。该计划应与该国和该区域目前和未来的一体化计划保持一致和一致。
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引用次数: 0
Squaring the Circle: Management, Measurement and Performance of Sustainability in Supply Chains 圆的正方形:供应链中可持续性的管理、测量和绩效
Pub Date : 2014-04-19 DOI: 10.1108/SCM-12-2013-0440
Johanne Grosvold, Stefan Hoejmose, J. Roehrich
Purpose – The purpose of this study is to evaluate the relationships between management, measurement and performance of sustainability in supply chains. The authors develop a framework which explores these links through decoupling as articulated by the institutional theory. They draw on a conceptual continuum of reactive-proactive sustainable supply chain practices and identify clusters of companies along these dimensions and evaluate the theoretical and managerial implications of this for sustainability performance. Design/methodology/approach – This study uses primary and secondary datasets from 12 inductive, multiple case studies across different industries. This method ensures that we are better able to encapsulate a broader and more diverse set of practices and settings which in turn adds robustness to the theory we induced from our findings. Findings – The authors find varying degrees of alignment between management practices and measurement systems of sustainable supply chains. Some firms better al...
目的-本研究的目的是评估供应链中可持续性管理,测量和绩效之间的关系。作者开发了一个框架,通过制度理论阐述的脱钩来探索这些联系。他们借鉴了反应-主动可持续供应链实践的概念连续体,并确定了沿着这些维度的公司集群,并评估了这对可持续发展绩效的理论和管理意义。设计/方法论/方法-本研究使用了来自不同行业的12个归纳的多个案例研究的主要和次要数据集。这种方法确保我们能够更好地封装更广泛和更多样化的实践和设置,这反过来又增加了我们从发现中归纳出的理论的稳健性。研究结果-作者发现可持续供应链的管理实践和测量系统之间存在不同程度的一致性。有些公司最好……
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引用次数: 162
Managing Competing Channels through Nonlinear Contracts 通过非线性契约管理竞争渠道
Pub Date : 2014-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3378458
R. Inderst, G. Shaffer
An upstream supplier constrained by downstream competition and the threat of demand-side substitution faces a trade-off between maximizing overall joint-profit and extracting surplus. By inducing more intra-brand competition through lower wholesale prices, the supplier makes it less attractive for downstream firms to switch to alternative sources of supply. This insight yields various implications that are strikingly different from those of extant models of vertical contracting: (1) Though the supplier can control competing channels through non-linear supply contracts, marginal wholesale prices and final goods' prices both decrease when either down- stream competition intensifies or the supplier becomes more constrained by the threat of demand-side substitution. (2) It may be optimal for the supplier to "balance" his sales across competing channels through disadvantaging more efficient downstream firms, thereby smoothing out differences in market shares.
上游供应商受到下游竞争和需求侧替代威胁的约束,面临着总体联合利润最大化和获取剩余之间的权衡。通过较低的批发价格诱导更多的品牌内竞争,供应商降低了下游公司转向其他供应来源的吸引力。这一见解产生了与现有垂直合同模型截然不同的各种含义:(1)尽管供应商可以通过非线性供应合同控制竞争渠道,但当下游竞争加剧或供应商受到需求侧替代威胁的约束时,边际批发价格和最终产品价格都会下降。(2)对于供应商来说,通过使效率更高的下游企业处于劣势来“平衡”其在竞争渠道上的销售,从而消除市场份额的差异,可能是最优的。
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引用次数: 0
Trade in Agricultural and Food Products in Central Asia 中亚地区的农产品和食品贸易
Pub Date : 2014-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2946713
R. Mogilevskii, Akramov Kamiljon
This paper discusses trends in and patterns of trade in agricultural and food products in Central Asia. The analysis shows that these products’ exports lose and imports increase its importance for all economies of Central Asia. Trade policies with regards to agricultural and food products vary greatly in the region from very liberal to quite protectionist. No correlation is observed between the type of trade regime and performance of agricultural production and trade. The paper also provides an overview of the recent changes in trade policies including those related to the creation of the Customs Union of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russian Federation and their potential impact on agricultural and food trade in the region.
本文讨论了中亚地区农产品和食品贸易的趋势和模式。分析表明,这些产品的出口损失和进口增加了其对中亚所有经济体的重要性。关于农产品和食品的贸易政策在该地区差别很大,从非常自由到相当保护主义。贸易制度类型与农业生产和贸易绩效之间没有相关性。该文件还概述了最近贸易政策的变化,包括与白俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦和俄罗斯联邦关税同盟的建立有关的变化及其对该地区农业和食品贸易的潜在影响。
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引用次数: 17
Commodity Position Limit Rules Should Be Based on a Finding of Necessity 商品持仓限制规则应以必要性认定为基础
Pub Date : 2013-05-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2641331
H. Till
One hopes that the CFTC will carefully consider how necessary and appropriate the imposition of speculative position limits is, across commodity markets. This article argues that before making such a finding, the agency should (a) review the empirical evidence on the causes of both commodity price volatility and price spikes and (b) study how market participants have learned and responded to the Global Financial Crisis of five years ago.
人们希望CFTC仔细考虑在整个大宗商品市场实施投机头寸限制的必要性和适当性。本文认为,在做出这样的发现之前,该机构应该(a)审查关于商品价格波动和价格飙升原因的经验证据,(b)研究市场参与者如何了解和应对五年前的全球金融危机。
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引用次数: 0
Funding the Australian Resources Investment Boom 为澳大利亚资源投资热潮提供资金
Pub Date : 2013-03-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3496110
Ivailo Arsov, Ben Shanahan, T. Williams
Investment by the Australian resources sector has risen steadily since the early 2000s to be at record levels. Most of the investment has been made by publicly listed companies, with contributions split evenly between Australian and foreign listed companies. The funding for this investment has overwhelmingly come from the profits generated by these companies. External funding sources, such as new debt and equity issuance, have played only a limited role.
自本世纪初以来,澳大利亚资源行业的投资一直稳步上升,达到创纪录水平。大部分投资都是由上市公司进行的,澳大利亚和外国上市公司平分出资。这项投资的资金绝大部分来自这些公司产生的利润。外部资金来源,如发行新债和股票,只发挥了有限的作用。
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引用次数: 10
The Strategic Use of Private Quality Standards in Food Supply Chains 私营质量标准在食品供应链中的战略应用
Pub Date : 2011-04-01 DOI: 10.1093/ajae/aas070
Vanessa von Schlippenbach, I. Teichmann
We explore the strategic role of private quality standards in food supply chains. Considering two symmetric retailers that are exclusively supplied by a finite number of producers and endogenizing the suppliers' delivery choice, we show that there exist two asymmetric equilibria in the retailers' quality requirements. Our results reveal that the retailers use private quality standards to improve their bargaining position in the intermediate goods market. This is associated with inefficiencies in the upstream production, which can be mitigated by enforcing a minimum quality standard.
我们将探讨私营企业质量标准在食品供应链中的战略作用。考虑由有限数量的生产商独家供应的两个对称零售商,并内生供应商的交货选择,我们证明了零售商的质量需求存在两个不对称均衡。我们的研究结果表明,零售商使用私人质量标准来提高他们在中间产品市场的议价地位。这与上游生产的低效率有关,可以通过执行最低质量标准来缓解。
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引用次数: 143
Asymmetric Effect of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Markets 石油价格冲击对股市的不对称效应
Pub Date : 2010-09-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2787019
Hamed Markazi Moghadam
In this study, we investigate the relationship between stock market price and crude oil market price using Multivariate GARCH type model. We use daily frequency data of stock price indices S&P500 and NASDAQ composite and the prices of one major Crude Oil products, defined as the US price of West Texas Intermediate Cushing (WTI). Our findings provide strong evidence of asymmetries for both NASDAQ and S&P500 price indices; stock market prices rise faster, than they fall, as a reaction to changes in oil prices, after controlling for volatility and price dynamics in a multivariate GARCH context. In other words, adjustment in mean equations is faster in the presence of positive shocks. In addition, we find that volatility shocks are quite persistent and they will have long memory. This study distinguishes itself from the previous studies within the oil and financial literature by not only examining the asymmetric effects of oil prices on stock returns but also applying multivariate GARCH approach in this literature, whilst others use univariate GARCH structure.
本文采用多元GARCH模型研究了原油市场价格与股票市场价格之间的关系。我们使用标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克综合指数的每日频率数据以及一种主要原油产品的价格,定义为美国西德克萨斯中质库欣(WTI)的价格。我们的研究结果为纳斯达克和标准普尔500价格指数的不对称性提供了强有力的证据;在多元GARCH背景下,在控制波动性和价格动态之后,作为对油价变化的反应,股票市场价格上涨得比下跌得快。换句话说,在存在正冲击的情况下,平均方程的调整速度更快。此外,我们发现波动冲击是相当持久的,它们将有很长的记忆。本研究与之前的石油和金融文献中的研究不同,它不仅研究了油价对股票回报的不对称影响,而且在本文献中应用了多元GARCH方法,而其他研究则使用单变量GARCH结构。
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引用次数: 2
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Global Commodity Issues eJournal
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