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Inundation analysis using coupling storage function model with a distributed hydrological model in Kushiro marsh, Japan 基于分布式水文模型和耦合蓄水函数模型的钏路沼泽淹没分析
IF 1.1 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3178/hrl.14.75
S. Sakaguchi, K. Nakayama, Kenichiro Kobayashi, K. Komai
: In Kushiro River basin, inundation is likely to occur due to heavy rain, since the river-bed slope is very gentle in the downstream portion, which has natural levees. Conse‐ quently, in past floods, river discharge was observed to increase slowly and a delay of a few days in peak river dis‐ charge was observed compared to the peak precipitation. Therefore, we applied a distributed hydrological model, Geophysical fluid CIRCulation model (GeoCIRC), to reproduce such flood discharge in Kushiro River. GeoCIRC is based on object-oriented programming and various hydrological processes, such as infiltration flow, under‐ ground water flow, surface flow, and river flow can be implemented easily. We proposed a model that can incorpo‐ rate the effect of return flow using storage function by introducing new parameters, such as storage time and time lag. This was done to consider not only the flood inunda‐ tion in Kushiro River but also the return flow from flood inundation to the river flow. As a result, we obtained high Nash-Sutcliffe coefficients for river discharge for two large flood events.
在钏路河流域,由于下游有天然堤防,河床坡度非常平缓,因此暴雨可能会导致洪水泛滥。通常,在过去的洪水中,观察到河流流量增长缓慢,与峰值降水相比,观察到河流流量峰值延迟了几天。为此,我们采用分布式水文模型地球物理流体循环模型(GeoCIRC)来模拟钏路河的洪水流量。GeoCIRC是基于面向对象的编程和各种水文过程,如入渗流,地下水流,地表水流,河流流量可以很容易地实现。我们提出了一个模型,该模型可以通过引入新的参数,如存储时间和时滞,来结合使用存储函数的回流效应。这样做不仅考虑了钏路河的洪水淹没,而且考虑了洪水淹没到河流量的回流。结果,我们获得了两次大洪水事件中河流流量的高Nash-Sutcliffe系数。
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引用次数: 1
Reconstructing the pristine flow of highly developed rivers − a case study on the Chao Phraya River 重建高度发展的河流的原始水流——以湄南河为例
IF 1.1 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3178/hrl.14.89
Adisorn Champathong, N. Hanasaki, Masashi Kiguchi, T. Oki
Understanding the extent to which human activities affect river flow is fundamental for enhancing effective water resources management. In past decades, various methods have been proposed to estimate naturalized flow (i.e. the expected flow if the basin is unaffected by human activities). However, there are still drawbacks to natural‐ ized flow estimation, particularly in a highly regulated basin with incomplete hydrological observation. This study proposes a method for daily naturalized flow development at the key station of the Chao Phraya River Basin; the most highly regulated basin in Thailand. The naturalized flow is estimated by applying the Naturalization with Coarse and Fine Components (NCFC) method to perceive river flow conditions unaffected by human disturbance. The estima‐ tion is derived with the integration of five components: (1) observed river flow at the key hydrological station; (2) changes in major reservoir storage; (3) water withdrawal along the river; (4) travel time from major reservoirs to the station; and (5) the filtering technique used by SavitzkyGolay with a three-day window.
了解人类活动对河流流量的影响程度是加强有效水资源管理的基础。在过去的几十年里,人们提出了各种方法来估计自然流量(即流域不受人类活动影响时的预期流量)。然而,自然流量估算仍然存在缺陷,特别是在水文观测不完整的高度调节流域。提出了湄南河流域重点站点日归化流量开发方法;是泰国监管最严格的盆地。采用粗细分量归化法(NCFC)感知不受人为干扰的河流流量,估计归化流量。综合考虑了5个分量的估算结果:(1)重点水文站观测河流量;(2)主要水库库容变化;(3)沿江取水;(4)主要水库到车站的行程时间;(5) SavitzkyGolay采用的3天窗口过滤技术。
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引用次数: 2
Evaluation of the impact of landfill on floodplain water quality in a tropical monsoon region 热带季风区填埋对洪泛区水质影响的评价
IF 1.1 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3178/hrl.14.48
Y. Hiraga, S. Kazama, C. Ekkawatpanit, Keitaro Yamada
Nowadays, a deterioration of floodplain water quality in the Lower Mekong River Basin in Cambodia is expected because of urbanization/industrialization by landfilling. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of floodplain land‐ filling on basin water quality. Field observations of total phosphorus (TP), chemical oxygen demand and heavy met‐ als were conducted in the Mekong River Basin in Cambodia and the Chao Phraya River Basin in Thailand. In the Mekong River Basin, TP was 2.05 mg/L in the flood‐ plain where large-scale landfill was carried out using waste, with iron (Fe) at the factory site 6.54 mg/L. In comparison, in the Chao Phraya River Basin, TP and Fe concentrations were low. A degree of floodplain water quality manage‐ ment commensurate to the level of economic development was confirmed from water quality conservation efforts, among others, in Thailand.
目前,由于填埋的城市化/工业化,预计柬埔寨湄公河下游流域洪泛平原水质将恶化。本研究旨在评估漫滩填埋对流域水质的影响。在柬埔寨湄公河流域和泰国湄南河流域进行了总磷、化学需氧量和重重金属的野外观测。在湄公河流域进行大规模垃圾填埋的洪泛平原,总磷为2.05 mg/L,工厂场地的铁(Fe)为6.54 mg/L。而湄南河流域TP和Fe浓度较低。泰国的水质保护工作等证实了洪泛区水质管理与经济发展水平相适应的程度。
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引用次数: 1
Transient damping method for narrowing down leak location in pressurized pipelines 压缩管道泄漏位置的瞬态阻尼法
IF 1.1 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3178/hrl.14.41
Y. Asada, M. Kimura, Issaku Azechi, T. Iida, Naritaka Kubo
: Numerous leak detection methods have been developed for pipeline systems because of the shortage of water resources, increased water demand, and leak accidents. These methods have their advantages and disadvantages in terms of cost, labor, and accuracy; therefore, it is important to narrow down the location of a leak as easily, rapidly, and accurately as possible. This study applies the technologies based on the execution of a transient event (transient test-based technologies (TTBTs)), and a model is presented for representing the relation between the leak location and the damping of the pressure transient due to the leakage. The model is verified with laboratory experiments in which the leak location can be narrowed down to be less than 10% to 30% of the total pipe length. The model is found to be more effective if the leak location is nearer to the upstream end. In addition, the leak location found by the damping model varies with an approximate absolute error of 2% to 5% of the pipe length. It is suggested that the damping model is suitable for narrowing down and not for finding the leak location, and should be used in combination with other leak detection methods.
由于水资源的短缺、用水需求的增加和泄漏事故的发生,许多管道系统的泄漏检测方法已经被开发出来。这些方法在成本、人工和准确性方面各有优缺点;因此,尽可能容易、快速和准确地缩小泄漏的位置非常重要。本研究应用了基于瞬态事件执行的技术(基于瞬态测试的技术(ttbt)),并提出了一个模型来表示泄漏位置与泄漏引起的瞬态压力阻尼之间的关系。通过室内实验对模型进行了验证,泄漏位置可以缩小到管道总长度的10% ~ 30%以内。结果表明,泄漏位置越靠近上游端,该模型越有效。此外,阻尼模型发现的泄漏位置变化近似的绝对误差为管道长度的2%至5%。建议阻尼模型适用于缩小泄漏位置,而不适用于寻找泄漏位置,应与其他泄漏检测方法结合使用。
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引用次数: 6
Aquifer classification and pneumatic diffusivity estimation using periodic groundwater level changes induced by barometric pressure 利用气压引起的周期性地下水位变化估算含水层分类和气动扩散系数
IF 1.1 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3178/HRL.14.111
Heejun Yang, T. Shibata
: To classify the aquifer type and to estimate the pneu‐ matic diffusivity using harmonic analysis and analytical expressions, we measured groundwater levels and baro‐ metric pressure in an unconfined aquifer with a thick un‐ saturated zone at a southern part of the Beppu volcanic fan, Japan. The groundwater level was inversely related to the barometric pressure, with little or no time lag behind baro‐ metric pressure. The groundwater level and barometric pressure exhibit periodic changes with prominent spectra at K 1 (lunar-solar diurnal) and S 2 (main solar semidiurnal) tidal constituents but not at O 1 (main lunar diurnal) and M 2 (main lunar semidiurnal) tidal constituents, which are the motions of solar and lunar relative to the earth. It indicates that the aquifer is an unconfined aquifer type with no earth tide effect. Pneumatic diffusivity in the unsaturated zone was estimated as 7.6 × 10 –2 to 5.7 × 10 –3 m 2 /s using changes between the groundwater level and the barometric pressure. The pneumatic diffusivity and the unsaturated zone thick‐ ness strongly affect amplitude ratios and phase lags between the groundwater level and the barometric pressure in the unconfined aquifer.
为了对含水层类型进行分类,并利用谐波分析和解析表达式估计气压扩散率,我们测量了日本别府火山扇南部具有厚不饱和带的无承压含水层的地下水位和气压。地下水位与大气压力呈负相关,与大气压力的时间差很小或没有时间差。地下水位和气压在k1(月-日)和s2(主日-半日)潮汐分量上表现出明显的周期性变化,而在O(主月-日)和m2(主月-半日)潮汐分量上表现不明显,这是太阳和月球相对地球的运动。说明该含水层为无潮汐作用的无承压含水层类型。利用地下水位和大气压之间的变化,估计非饱和带的气动扩散系数为7.6 × 10 -2 ~ 5.7 × 10 -3 m2 /s。气动扩散系数和非饱和带厚度对无承压含水层地下水位与大气压之间的幅值比和相位滞后有较大影响。
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引用次数: 2
Potential for and feasibility of small hydropower generation at headworks in Japan 日本水头工程小型水力发电的潜力和可行性
IF 1.1 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3178/hrl.14.23
Fenglan Wang, K. Noda, Issaku Azechi, M. Senge
: In this research, power generation potential is estimated using overflow discharge for eight headworks (Inuyama, Meiji-yousui, Muromatsubara, Kansakawa, Furikusa, Onyu, Hosokawa and Okajima) located in Aichi and Gifu Prefectures, and the characteristics of their power genera‐ tion are clarified in order to evaluate the feasibility of small hydropower plants. The results are as follows. Firstly, over‐ flow discharge is more stable than the discharge of intake water at the headworks, which suggests that power genera‐ tion using overflow discharge is more suitable for actual power generation. Secondly, maximum power outputs of 43 kW to 2,002 kW, under a discharge utilization factor of 60%, show great potential for power generation at these eight headworks. Finally, fluctuations in monthly power generation are higher than that of annual power generation due to the influences of irrigation and seasonal changes in precipitation on water intake.
本研究以位于爱知县和岐阜县的八个水头(井山、明治友井、森松原、关川、古瑞草、翁游、细川和冈岛)为例,利用溢流流量估算其发电潜力,并厘清其发电特点,以评估小型水力发电厂的可行性。结果如下:首先,溢流排放比水头来水排放更稳定,表明溢流发电更适合实际发电。其次,在放电利用率为60%的情况下,最大输出功率为43千瓦至2,002千瓦,显示出这八个水头的发电潜力。最后,由于灌溉和降水季节变化对取水量的影响,月发电量波动大于年发电量波动。
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引用次数: 5
Incorporating snow model and snowmelt runoff model for streamflow simulation in a snow-dominated mountainous basin in the western Hindukush-Himalaya region 结合积雪模型和融雪径流模型在西兴都库什-喜马拉雅地区积雪为主的山地盆地进行水流模拟
IF 1.1 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3178/hrl.14.34
Abdul Haseeb Azizi, Y. Asaoka
: A Snow Model (SM) using a temperature-index method was used to optimize the degree-day factor ( DDF ) and pre‐ cipitation gradient ( PG ) for the different elevation zones of the Panjshir sub-basin for snowmelt runoff modelling. The values derived for DDF and PG were calibrated and vali‐ dated by comparing observed snow cover area and snow cover area simulated by SM. The Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) was used to simulate daily runoff over the hydro‐ logical years 2009–2014 using the optimized values for SRM accuracy. The optimized DDF values were 0.3 to 0.9 (cm °C –1 d –1 ) for elevations from 1593 m to 5694 m. Mean‐ while the PG was +0.002 m –1 for elevations 1593–4000 m and 0 m –1 above 4000 m. The simulated runoff by SRM during the entire data period correlated very well with a Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient NS = 0.93 utilizing both observed and simulated snow cover area. This method not only evaluates the characteristics of snowfall and snowmelt in different elevation zones to obtain the DDF and PG , but can also estimate the snowmelt runoff.
采用温度指数法的积雪模型(SM)优化了潘杰希尔次流域不同高程带的日数因子(DDF)和降水梯度(PG),用于融雪径流模拟。通过比较观测积雪面积和SM模拟积雪面积,对DDF和PG的数值进行了校准和验证。采用融雪径流模型(SRM)对2009-2014年水文年的日径流进行了模拟,得到了SRM精度的优化值。在海拔1593 ~ 5694 m范围内,最佳DDF值为0.3 ~ 0.9 (cm°C -1 d -1)。而海拔1593-4000 m的PG平均值为+0.002 m -1,海拔4000 m以上的PG平均值为0 m -1。利用实测和模拟积雪面积,SRM模拟径流在整个数据期内与Nash-Sutcliffe系数NS = 0.93的相关性非常好。该方法不仅可以评价不同高程带的降雪和融雪特征,得到DDF和PG,还可以估算融雪径流量。
{"title":"Incorporating snow model and snowmelt runoff model for streamflow simulation in a snow-dominated mountainous basin in the western Hindukush-Himalaya region","authors":"Abdul Haseeb Azizi, Y. Asaoka","doi":"10.3178/hrl.14.34","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3178/hrl.14.34","url":null,"abstract":": A Snow Model (SM) using a temperature-index method was used to optimize the degree-day factor ( DDF ) and pre‐ cipitation gradient ( PG ) for the different elevation zones of the Panjshir sub-basin for snowmelt runoff modelling. The values derived for DDF and PG were calibrated and vali‐ dated by comparing observed snow cover area and snow cover area simulated by SM. The Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) was used to simulate daily runoff over the hydro‐ logical years 2009–2014 using the optimized values for SRM accuracy. The optimized DDF values were 0.3 to 0.9 (cm °C –1 d –1 ) for elevations from 1593 m to 5694 m. Mean‐ while the PG was +0.002 m –1 for elevations 1593–4000 m and 0 m –1 above 4000 m. The simulated runoff by SRM during the entire data period correlated very well with a Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient NS = 0.93 utilizing both observed and simulated snow cover area. This method not only evaluates the characteristics of snowfall and snowmelt in different elevation zones to obtain the DDF and PG , but can also estimate the snowmelt runoff.","PeriodicalId":13111,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Research Letters","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.3178/hrl.14.34","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69393874","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Improving the UAV-based yield estimation of paddy rice by using the solar radiation of geostationary satellite Himawari-8 利用地球同步卫星Himawari-8的太阳辐射改进无人机水稻产量估算
IF 1.1 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3178/hrl.14.56
A. Hama, Kei Tanaka, A. Mochizuki, Y. Tsuruoka, A. Kondoh
: The objectives of this study were to improve the yield estimation of paddy rice based on the unmanned aerial vehicle remote sensing (UAV-RS) and solar radiation data sets. The study used the UAV-RS-based normalized differ‐ ence vegetation index (NDVI) at the heading stage, the solar radiation data of geostationary satellite Himawari-8 and the solar radiation data of polar orbiting satellite Aqua/ MODIS. A comparison of two satellite-based solar radia‐ tion data sets (Himawari-8 and MODIS PAR) showed that the coefficient of determination ( R 2 ) of estimated yield based on Himawari-8 solar radiation was 0.7606 while the R 2 of estimated yield based on the MODIS PAR was 0.4749. Additionally, the root mean square error (RMSE) of Himawari-8 solar radiation was 26.5 g/m 2 while the RMSE of estimated yield based on the MODIS PAR was 39.2 g/m 2 (The average observed yield was 489.3 g/m 2 ). The Estimated yield based on Himawari-8 solar radiation, therefore, outperformed the MODIS PAR-based estimated yield. The improvement of the temporal resolution of the satellite-based dataset allowed by using the Himawari-8 data set contributed to the improvement of estimation accu‐ racy. Satellite-based solar radiation data allow yield estima‐ tion based on remote sensing in regions where there are no ground observation data of solar radiation.
本研究旨在改进基于无人机遥感(UAV-RS)和太阳辐射数据集的水稻产量估算。本研究利用基于无人机- rs的顶风期归一化植被差异指数(NDVI)、Himawari-8地球同步卫星太阳辐射数据和Aqua/ MODIS极轨卫星太阳辐射数据。对比Himawari-8和MODIS PAR两组卫星太阳辐射数据,发现基于Himawari-8的估算产量的决定系数(r2)为0.7606,而基于MODIS PAR的估算产量的决定系数(r2)为0.4749。此外,Himawari-8太阳辐射的均方根误差(RMSE)为26.5 g/m 2,而基于MODIS PAR估算产量的均方根误差(RMSE)为39.2 g/m 2(平均观测产量为489.3 g/m 2)。因此,基于Himawari-8太阳辐射的估算产量优于基于MODIS par的估算产量。利用Himawari-8数据集提高卫星数据集的时间分辨率有助于提高估算精度。在没有太阳辐射地面观测数据的地区,基于卫星的太阳辐射数据可以根据遥感估算产量。
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引用次数: 6
Structural improvement of a kinematic wave-based distributed hydrologic model to estimate long-term river discharge in a tropical climate basin 基于运动波的分布水文模型在热带气候流域长期河流流量估算中的结构改进
IF 1.1 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3178/hrl.14.104
Thatkiat Meema, Y. Tachikawa
: A distributed hydrologic model based on a kinematic wave approximation with surface and subsurface flow com‐ ponents is applicable to basins that have temperate climatic conditions similar to those in Japan. However, it is difficult to present long-term river discharge using the existing model structure in basins with different climatic conditions. This study aims to improve the model structure for better estimates of long-term discharge in the Nam Ngum River, the main tributary of the Mekong River, by incorporating bedrock aquifers as part of the slope flow component of the original model structure. Three bedrock groundwater struc‐ tures are configured to incorporate the original model structure. The results show that a combination of the origi‐ nal model component and one unconfined aquifer structure are the best representations of the river flow regime from the original model structure, in which the rate of infiltration from the layer into the bedrock aquifer was calculated using vertical hydraulic conductivity. The Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient of the original and improved models increased from 0.80 to 0.86 during the calibration period and from 0.56 to 0.62 during the validation period. The results of this study show that the improved model structure is applicable for long-term hydrologic predictions in South‐ east Asian catchments with distinct dry and rainy seasons.
基于运动波近似和地表及地下流分量的分布式水文模型适用于气候条件与日本相似的温带流域。然而,在不同气候条件的流域,现有的模型结构难以反映长期的河流流量。本研究旨在通过将基岩含水层作为原始模型结构的坡流组成部分,改进模型结构,以便更好地估计湄公河主要支流南江的长期流量。三个基岩地下水结构被配置为包含原始模型结构。结果表明,原始模型成分和一个无约束含水层结构的组合是原始模型结构中河流流动状况的最佳代表,其中从该层到基岩含水层的入渗速率是使用垂直水力导率计算的。原始模型和改进模型的Nash-Sutcliffe效率系数在校正期间从0.80增加到0.86,在验证期间从0.56增加到0.62。研究结果表明,改进后的模型结构适用于具有明显旱季和雨季的东南亚流域的长期水文预测。
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引用次数: 2
Seasonal characteristics of future climate change over Japan and the associated atmospheric circulation anomalies in global model experiments 全球模式试验中未来日本气候变化的季节特征及相关的大气环流异常
IF 1.1 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3178/hrl.14.130
R. Ito, T. Ose, H. Endo, R. Mizuta, K. Yoshida, A. Kitoh, T. Nakaegawa
: Information on future climate change considering regional characteristics is necessary to establish adaptation strategies for global warming. We investigated the seasonal characteristics of future climate projections over Japan and surroundings (JPN) in the late 21st century, focusing espe‐ cially on the source of uncertainty, based on two ensembles of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and the Meteorological Research Institute atmo‐ spheric general circulation model (MRI-AGCM) global warming simulations. The ensemble mean surface air tem‐ perature increase over JPN is lower than that over the East Asian land region (EAS), reflecting the continent–ocean contrast, whereas quantitative changes in future precipita‐ tion depend on the ensembles. The CMIP5 mean atmo‐ spheric circulation around JPN weakens in winter and sum‐ mer, while the future seasonal march tends to be delayed in the northern part of JPN during spring and autumn. Signifi‐ cant CMIP5 inter-model correlations are detected between the JPN climate projections and future circulation anoma‐ lies − e.g. the ensemble members simulating the westerly/ southeasterly wind anomaly tend to project hotter/wetter future summers. The high-resolution MRI-AGCM projec‐ tion is consistent with the CMIP5 inter-model correlations when the future change in typhoon–associated precipitation is removed, indicating typhoon simulations can substan‐ tially influence future projections.
:考虑到区域特征的未来气候变化信息对于制定全球变暖适应战略是必要的。基于耦合模式比对项目第5阶段(CMIP5)和气象研究所大气环流模式(MRI-AGCM)的全球变暖模拟,研究了21世纪后期日本及其周边地区(JPN)未来气候预估的季节特征,重点分析了不确定性的来源。JPN的整体平均地表气温增幅低于东亚陆区(EAS),反映了大陆-海洋的对比,而未来降水的定量变化取决于整体。CMIP5平均大气环流在冬季和夏季减弱,而在春季和秋季,日本北部的未来季节行军有延迟的趋势。CMIP5模式间的显著相关性在JPN气候预估和未来环流异常之间被发现,例如,模拟西风/东南风异常的集合成员倾向于预测未来夏季更热/更湿。当台风相关降水的未来变化被去除时,高分辨率MRI-AGCM预估与CMIP5模式间相关性一致,表明台风模拟可以对未来预估产生实质性影响。
{"title":"Seasonal characteristics of future climate change over Japan and the associated atmospheric circulation anomalies in global model experiments","authors":"R. Ito, T. Ose, H. Endo, R. Mizuta, K. Yoshida, A. Kitoh, T. Nakaegawa","doi":"10.3178/hrl.14.130","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3178/hrl.14.130","url":null,"abstract":": Information on future climate change considering regional characteristics is necessary to establish adaptation strategies for global warming. We investigated the seasonal characteristics of future climate projections over Japan and surroundings (JPN) in the late 21st century, focusing espe‐ cially on the source of uncertainty, based on two ensembles of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and the Meteorological Research Institute atmo‐ spheric general circulation model (MRI-AGCM) global warming simulations. The ensemble mean surface air tem‐ perature increase over JPN is lower than that over the East Asian land region (EAS), reflecting the continent–ocean contrast, whereas quantitative changes in future precipita‐ tion depend on the ensembles. The CMIP5 mean atmo‐ spheric circulation around JPN weakens in winter and sum‐ mer, while the future seasonal march tends to be delayed in the northern part of JPN during spring and autumn. Signifi‐ cant CMIP5 inter-model correlations are detected between the JPN climate projections and future circulation anoma‐ lies − e.g. the ensemble members simulating the westerly/ southeasterly wind anomaly tend to project hotter/wetter future summers. The high-resolution MRI-AGCM projec‐ tion is consistent with the CMIP5 inter-model correlations when the future change in typhoon–associated precipitation is removed, indicating typhoon simulations can substan‐ tially influence future projections.","PeriodicalId":13111,"journal":{"name":"Hydrological Research Letters","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69394211","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
期刊
Hydrological Research Letters
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