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Distributive Politics under Institutionalized Authoritarianism: Evidence from China's Subnational Land Finance 制度化威权主义下的分配政治:来自中国地方土地财政的证据
Pub Date : 2017-04-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2947392
Qi Zhang
In this research we advance a theory to explain the distributive politics under an institutionalized single-party regime. We argue that the need of support from below, and therefore the need of support-buying, varies with the degree of power concentration among the authoritarian leadership. Compared with the scenario in which a few leaders have concentrated more power in their hands, when power are dispersed more evenly among political leaders, they face more competition, more uncertainties and risks, providing them with greater incentive of dispensing benefits to their constituents in exchange of their loyalty and support. To test the theory, this study uses a provincial-year panel data spanning 2003-2012 to examine how provincial power concentration in a provincial leadership is related with land finance within its jurisdiction, a policy practice that tilts the interest distribution disproportionately towards local politicians at the costs of the marginalized and powerless groups. The empirical results robustly show the less (more) power concentrated in the provincial leaders, the greater (less) extent the province will allow the practice of land finance to please the local officials.
在本研究中,我们提出了一种理论来解释制度化的一党制度下的分配政治。我们认为,从下层获得支持的需求,以及因此而产生的购买支持的需求,随着威权主义领导层的权力集中程度而变化。与少数领导人将更多的权力集中在自己手中的情况相比,当权力更均匀地分散在政治领导人之间时,他们面临更多的竞争,更多的不确定性和风险,这使他们有更大的动机向选民分配利益,以换取他们的忠诚和支持。为了验证这一理论,本研究使用了2003-2012年的省级年度面板数据,以检验省级领导层的省级权力集中与其管辖范围内的土地财政之间的关系,这种政策实践使利益分配不成比例地向地方政客倾斜,代价是边缘化和无权群体。实证结果有力地表明,省级领导集中的权力越少(越多),该省允许土地财政实践取悦地方官员的程度就越大(越少)。
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引用次数: 0
Реализация Конституционно Закрепленной Модели Местного Самоуправления в России (Implementation of the Constitutional Model of Local Self-government in Russia) РеализацияКонституционноЗакрепленнойМоделиМестногоСамоуправлениявРоссии(实施地方自治在俄罗斯的宪法模式)
Pub Date : 2017-01-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3085461
Maxim Mokeev
Russian Abstract: В статье рассматриваются некоторые аспекты современного правового регулирования местного самоуправления с точки зрения из соответствия конституционным принципам организации и функционирования местного самоуправления. English Abstract: The article is focused on certain aspects of contemporary legislation on local self-government from the point of its correspondence to the constitutional principals.
俄文摘要:文章从地方自治的组织与运作宪法原则的对应角度出发,论述了当代地方自治法律规范的某些方面。英文摘要:文章从与宪法原则相对应的角度,重点论述了当代地方自治立法的某些方面。
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引用次数: 0
Sick Pay Reforms and Health Status in a Unionised Labour Market 工会化劳动力市场中的病假工资改革和健康状况
Pub Date : 2016-11-15 DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12123
L. Goerke
We theoretically analyse the effects of sick pay and employees' health on collective bargaining, assuming that individuals determine absence optimally. If sick pay is set by the government and not paid for by firms, it induces the trade union to lower wages. This mitigates the positive impact on absence. Moreover, a union may oppose higher sick pay if it reduces labour supply sufficiently. Better employee health tends to foster wage demands. If the union determines both wages and sick pay, we identify situations in which it will substitute wages for sick pay because adverse absence effects can be mitigated.
我们从理论上分析了病假工资和雇员健康对集体谈判的影响,假设个人决定最优缺席。如果病假工资是由政府制定的,而不是由企业支付,它就会诱使工会降低工资。这减轻了对缺席的积极影响。此外,如果提高病假工资足以减少劳动力供应,工会可能会反对。员工健康状况的改善往往会促进加薪要求。如果工会决定工资和病假工资,我们将确定它将用工资代替病假工资的情况,因为可以减轻不利的缺勤影响。
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引用次数: 22
The Evolution of Governance Structures in a Polycentric System 多中心系统中治理结构的演化
Pub Date : 2016-08-26 DOI: 10.4337/9781782549598.00025
E. McPhail, Vlad Tarko
The Tiebout competition model is often criticized for its unrealistic assumptions. We develop an imperfect Tiebout competition model in which households have no information about other jurisdictions (moving decisions are blind), and local jurisdictions operate as revenue-maximizing Leviathans. We show that, even under such harsh assumptions, jurisdictions will not increase taxes without also increasing the quality of their public services. The model also opens the door for understanding various possible vicious spirals, e.g. as a result of factor prices shocks, co-production problems, and income-based sorting. We also show that, in general, the model does not lead to the calculus of consent optimum, which opens the possibility for conceptualizing which constitutional rules would tend to constrain the system to evolve towards optimum levels of centralization or decentralization across all public issues. Last but not least, because the model involves positive moving costs, we explain the origins of voice, as an alternative to exit. When people do not engage in exit, either because they still hold up hope that public services will improve or because they do not have the resources to move, they increase their involvement in other activities such as voice and co-production.
蒂布特竞争模型经常因其不切实际的假设而受到批评。我们开发了一个不完美的Tiebout竞争模型,在这个模型中,家庭没有关于其他司法管辖区的信息(移动决策是盲目的),而当地司法管辖区就像收入最大化的利维坦一样运作。我们表明,即使在如此苛刻的假设下,司法管辖区也不会在不提高公共服务质量的情况下增加税收。该模型还为理解各种可能的恶性循环打开了大门,例如,由于要素价格冲击、合作生产问题和基于收入的分类。我们还表明,一般来说,该模型不会导致最优同意计算,这为概念化哪些宪法规则倾向于限制系统在所有公共问题上向最优集中化或分散化发展提供了可能性。最后但并非最不重要的是,由于该模型涉及正移动成本,我们解释了声音的起源,作为退出的另一种选择。当人们不参与退出时,要么是因为他们仍然对公共服务的改善抱有希望,要么是因为他们没有资源来移动,他们会增加对其他活动的参与,如声音和合作制作。
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引用次数: 20
A Spatial Stochastic Frontier Model with Spillovers: Evidence for Italian Regions 一个具有溢出效应的空间随机前沿模型:意大利地区的证据
Pub Date : 2016-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12081
M. Tsionas, P. Michaelides
Efficiency measurement using stochastic frontier models is well established in applied econometrics. However, no published work seems to be available on efficiency analysis using spatial data dealing with possible spatial dependence between regions. This article considers a stochastic frontier model with decomposition of inefficiency into an idiosyncratic and a spatial, spillover component. Exact posterior distributions of parameters are derived, and computational schemes based on Gibbs sampling with data augmentation are proposed to conduct simulation-based inference and efficiency measurement. The new method is illustrated using production data for Italian regions (1970–1993). Clearly, further theoretical and empirical research on the subject would be of great interest.
在应用计量经济学中,利用随机前沿模型进行效率度量已经很成熟。然而,关于利用空间数据处理区域之间可能的空间依赖性的效率分析,似乎没有发表的工作。本文考虑了一个随机前沿模型,该模型将无效率分解为特质和空间溢出成分。推导了参数的精确后验分布,并提出了基于Gibbs抽样和数据增强的计算方案,进行了基于仿真的推理和效率测量。用意大利各地区(1970-1993年)的生产数据说明了这种新方法。显然,对这个问题进行进一步的理论和实证研究将是非常有趣的。
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引用次数: 51
State Capitalism: A New Perspective on Land Sale in China 国家资本主义:中国土地出让的新视角
Pub Date : 2016-02-01 DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12153
W. Tian, Liugang Sheng, Hongyan Zhao
This paper presents a new perspective for understanding the land sale behaviour of local governments in China, focusing on the ‘institutional trinity’ of the land market; namely, state ownership, economic performance‐based political promotion and the unbalanced fiscal structure. The paper argues that the main motivations of local government to sell land are to promote industrial growth and to enhance government fiscal capacity. These two hypotheses are tested using prefecture‐level data covering approximately 330 municipalities during the period of 1999–2007. The paper finds that industrial output and fiscal expenditure increase by approximately 1.8% and 1.0%, respectively, if the area of land sale doubles. Evidence also shows that land sale promotes industrial growth by boosting fixed asset investment and foreign direct investment. Interestingly, the paper also finds that the land‐sale strategy of local governments is more effective in the eastern provinces than in other regions.
本文以土地市场的“制度三位一体”为视角,提出了理解中国地方政府卖地行为的新视角;即国有制、基于经济绩效的政治促进和不平衡的财政结构。本文认为,地方政府卖地的主要动机是促进产业增长和增强政府财政能力。我们使用1999-2007年期间覆盖约330个城市的地级数据对这两个假设进行了检验。研究发现,如果土地出让面积增加一倍,工业产出和财政支出分别增长约1.8%和1.0%。有证据表明,土地出让通过增加固定资产投资和外国直接投资来促进工业增长。有趣的是,本文还发现,东部省份的地方政府卖地策略比其他地区更有效。
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引用次数: 5
It Takes Two to Tango: A Regime‐Switching Analysis of the Correlation Dynamics between the Mainland Chinese and Hong Kong Stock Markets 一个巴掌拍不响:中国内地和香港股市相关动态的制度转换分析
Pub Date : 2016-02-01 DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12110
K. Ho, Yanlin Shi, Zhaoyong Zhang
This paper proposes a regime‐switching model to examine the correlation dynamics of the mainland Chinese and Hong Kong stock markets with high‐frequency A‐, B‐, H‐shares and Red Chip indexes. We find significant evidence of volatility persistence and asymmetries in these markets. Our model further suggests all correlations are significantly time‐varying with various patterns and co‐persistence in both low‐ and high‐correlation states. Our findings have important implications for both policymakers and investors, such as understanding the extent and nature of integration between the mainland Chinese and Hong Kong stock markets over time and developing dynamic strategies for optimal hedging and portfolio management.
本文提出了一个制度转换模型来研究中国大陆和香港股票市场与高频a股、B股、H股和红筹股指数的相关性动态。我们在这些市场中发现了波动性持久性和不对称性的显著证据。我们的模型进一步表明,在低相关性和高相关性状态下,所有相关性都具有显著的时间变化,具有不同的模式和共同持久性。我们的研究结果对政策制定者和投资者都有重要的启示,例如了解中国内地和香港股票市场之间的整合程度和性质,以及制定最佳对冲和投资组合管理的动态策略。
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引用次数: 9
Taking Care of the Elderly: Political Economy of the Old Age Assistance Program, 1931-1955 照顾老年人:老年援助计划的政治经济学,1931-1955
Pub Date : 2015-09-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2663536
Andreea Balan-Cohen, Radu Ban
We use the variation in political incentives of state governors provided by term limits to show that the variation in the level of Old Age Assistance (OAA) benefits per recipient between 1931 and 1955 was due to governors' vote seeking behavior. Governors who faced reelection were more likely to increase benefits than "lame duck" office holders. The manipulation of OAA only occurred in states with intermediate sizes of the elderly population. In addition, this manipulation increased with the degree of political competition. This paper provides evidence that the elderly and not other vulnerable groups, were the target of politically motivated transfers in accordance with the electoral incentives of state governors.
我们使用任期限制所提供的州长政治激励的变化来表明,1931年至1955年间每个接受者的老年援助(OAA)福利水平的变化是由于州长寻求投票的行为。面临连任的州长比“跛脚鸭”官员更有可能增加福利。对OAA的操纵仅发生在老年人口中等规模的州。此外,这种操纵随着政治竞争的程度而增加。本文提供的证据表明,根据州长的选举激励,老年人而不是其他弱势群体是出于政治动机的转移的目标。
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引用次数: 1
Exporting and Productivity: The Effects of Multi‐Product and Multi‐Market Export Entry 出口与生产率:多产品和多市场出口进入的影响
Pub Date : 2015-09-01 DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12077
J. Masso, Priit Vahter
type="main" xml:id="sjpe12077-abs-0001"> Empirical studies on the micro-level effects of exporting on productivity pay usually little attention to the potentially heterogeneous effects of the different modes of export market entry. We show that multi-product export entry is associated with higher post-entry productivity compared to other firms. This can imply significant benefits from experimentation with different products. Our analysis is based on detailed export data from full population of firms in Estonia, disaggregated for each firm by export markets and individual products.
关于出口对生产率的微观影响的实证研究通常很少注意到不同出口市场进入模式的潜在异质性效应。我们表明,与其他公司相比,多产品出口进入与更高的进入后生产率相关。这意味着尝试不同的产品会带来显著的好处。我们的分析基于爱沙尼亚所有公司的详细出口数据,并按出口市场和个别产品对每家公司进行了分类。
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引用次数: 20
Does Flattening Government Improve Economic Performance? 政府扁平化能提高经济绩效吗?
Pub Date : 2015-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2638647
Pei Li, Yi Lu, Jin Wang
In this paper, we examine a causal relationship between flattening of a government hierarchy and economic performance. Exploiting a novel panel dataset on government reorganization in China from 1999 to 2012, we find that delayering has led to increases in revenue and inter-govermental transfers for county governments. However, the associated enlarged span of control of the upper-level governments, has led to a reduction in county government's total public expenditure and pro-growth expenditure. Overall, the flattening of the government hierarchy has a negative effect on economic performance.
本文研究了政府层级扁平化与经济绩效之间的因果关系。利用1999 - 2012年中国政府重组的面板数据,我们发现,分权导致了县政府收入和政府间转移支付的增加。然而,与之相关的上级政府控制范围的扩大,导致了县政府公共支出总额和促增长支出的减少。总体而言,政府层级的扁平化对经济表现有负面影响。
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引用次数: 23
期刊
ERN: Other Political Economy: National
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