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Disentangling Tax Evasion from Inefficiency in Firms Tax Declaration: An Integrated Approach 从企业税收申报的低效率中分离偷税漏税:一个综合的方法
Pub Date : 2019-09-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3449228
Giancarlo Ferrara, A. Campagna, V. Atella
In this article we present a new methodology to support fiscal monitoring by the Italian Revenue Agency (IRA) with the aim of improving current taxpayers fiscal compliance and fighting tax evasion within small and medium enterprises. In fact, given the methodology behind the Sector Studies (Studi di Settore - SdS) system, there is room for firms to implement tax evasion strategies by simply adjusting revenues (and costs) toward an estimated average threshold (known ex-ante), the so called "presumptive" revenues, and achieving the fiscal "congruity" status. By estimating a production function through stochastic frontier analysis we avoid estimating the average threshold know ex-ante and can combine information on firm economic efficiency with those on fiscal congruity, thus being able to disentangle underreporting of revenues due to potential firm tax evasion behaviours from underreporting due to firm inefficiencies. We apply this framework to two samples of Italian firms belonging to two Sector Studies. Our results confirm the potentiality of the approach, although more work is needed before moving to a large scale implementation for policy purposes.
在本文中,我们提出了一种新的方法来支持意大利税务局(IRA)的财政监测,目的是提高当前纳税人的财政合规性,打击中小企业的逃税行为。事实上,考虑到部门研究(Studi di Settore - SdS)系统背后的方法,企业有空间通过简单地将收入(和成本)调整到估计的平均阈值(已知的事前),即所谓的“假定”收入,并实现财政“一致性”状态来实施逃税策略。通过随机前沿分析估计生产函数,我们避免了预估已知的平均阈值,并且可以将企业经济效率的信息与财政一致性的信息结合起来,从而能够将由于潜在的企业逃税行为而导致的收入漏报与由于企业效率低下而导致的收入漏报区分开来。我们将这一框架应用于属于两个部门研究的两个意大利公司样本。我们的研究结果证实了这种方法的潜力,尽管在大规模实施政策之前还需要做更多的工作。
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring Online Media Pluralism in Flanders: Lessons Drawn from DIAMOND SBO Studies 监测法兰德斯的网络媒体多元化:来自DIAMOND SBO研究的经验教训
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3459919
I. Lambrecht, P. Valcke
This paper was written in the context of the DIAMOND SBO project. Against the background of a growing concern over increasing market power by a handful of widely used online services, this paper starts from the assumption that such a situation may limit citizens’ access to or consumption of a diverse set of media content. Consequently, this would have a negative impact on citizens’ fundamental right of access to information, which would affect media pluralism in general.

This assumption sparks the question if the rise of such new digital media services necessitates a reconceptualization of existing monitoring frameworks for media pluralism. The development of practical indicators that are capable of measuring media pluralism in the online environment would allow more accurate monitoring of the situation. This could introduce more transparency of the online media environment, in turn enabling public scrutiny. Considering the complex nature of this environment however, close cooperation and interaction with various stakeholders based on a minimal consensus and understanding of the issues at hand are essential while developing relevant indicators. Therefore, this paper integrates the results of empirical studies with various stakeholders with the evaluation of the legal and policy framework for monitoring media pluralism in and for the Flemish community in Belgium specifically.
本文是在DIAMOND SBO项目的背景下编写的。在对少数广泛使用的在线服务日益增长的市场力量日益关注的背景下,本文从这样一个假设开始,即这种情况可能会限制公民对各种媒体内容的访问或消费。因此,这将对公民获得信息的基本权利产生负面影响,从而影响到一般媒体的多元化。这一假设引发了这样一个问题,即这种新的数字媒体服务的兴起是否需要重新构想现有的媒体多元化监测框架。制定能够衡量在线环境中媒体多元化的实际指标,将有助于更准确地监测情况。这可能会提高网络媒体环境的透明度,从而使公众得以监督。然而,考虑到这一环境的复杂性,在制定相关指标时,与各利益攸关方在对手头问题达成最小共识和了解的基础上进行密切合作和互动至关重要。因此,本文将与各利益相关者的实证研究结果结合起来,具体评估了监控比利时佛兰德社区媒体多元化的法律和政策框架。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Housing Transfer Taxes on Household Mobility 住房转让税对家庭流动性的影响
Pub Date : 2019-07-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3426938
E. Eerola, Oskari Harjunen, Teemu Lyytikäinen, Tuukka Saarimaa
Housing transfer taxes are fiscally important in many countries despite evidence of substantial welfare losses found in several quasi-experimental studies. Research designs used in this prior literature are prone to attenuation bias due to spillovers from mobility or trading across control and treatment groups. We account for these spillovers by combining quasi-experimental empirical analysis with a one-sided housing market model where households act as both buyers and sellers. Using a Finnish tax reform and total population register data, we find that an increase in the transfer tax has a significant negative effect on household mobility. We calibrate our theoretical model to match the mobility rates in our data and our quasi-experimental estimate. In our setting, relying only on the quasi-experiment and ignoring the spillovers would lead to a 20% underestimation of the effect. We argue that the welfare costs of transfer taxes are larger than previously thought.
在许多国家,住房转让税在财政上是重要的,尽管在几项准实验研究中发现了大量福利损失的证据。先前文献中使用的研究设计容易由于控制组和实验组之间的流动性或交易的溢出效应而产生衰减偏差。我们通过将准实验实证分析与家庭同时充当买家和卖家的片面住房市场模型相结合来解释这些溢出效应。利用芬兰税制改革和总人口登记数据,我们发现转移税的增加对家庭流动性有显著的负面影响。我们校准了我们的理论模型,以匹配我们的数据和准实验估计中的迁移率。在我们的设定中,仅依赖准实验而忽略溢出效应将导致对效果的低估20%。我们认为,转让税的福利成本比以前认为的要大。
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引用次数: 5
Aggregate Effects of Budget Stimulus: Evidence from the Large Fiscal Expansions Database 预算刺激的总体效应:来自大型财政扩张数据库的证据
Pub Date : 2019-07-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3426598
Jérémie Cohen-Setton, Egor Gornostay, Colombe Ladreit
This paper estimates the effects of fiscal stimulus on economic activity using a novel database on large fiscal expansions for 17 OECD countries for the period 1960-2006. The database is constructed by combining the statistical approach to identifying large shifts in fiscal policy with narrative evidence from contemporaneous policy documents. When correctly identified, large fiscal stimulus packages are found to have strong and persistent expansionary effects on economic activity, with a multiplier of 1 or above. The effects of stimulus are largest in slumps and smallest in booms.
本文利用一个新颖的数据库估算了17个经合组织国家1960-2006年期间大规模财政扩张的财政刺激对经济活动的影响。该数据库是通过将识别财政政策重大变化的统计方法与来自同期政策文件的叙述性证据相结合来构建的。如果正确识别,大型财政刺激方案会对经济活动产生强劲而持久的扩张效应,其乘数为1或更高。经济衰退时刺激的效果最大,繁荣时效果最小。
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引用次数: 7
A Strategic Defeat of Populism in Greece 希腊民粹主义的战略失败
Pub Date : 2019-07-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3423322
Emmanouil Mavrozacharakis
The recent elections in Greece reflects an enormous change in the political behavior of the electorate. The citizens have not chosen a simple switch on the power, but contributed with their votes to a strategic defeat of populism and in same time they paved the way for the search of a new type of leadership, which is close to realism in handling with social problems that can't be implemented with calculated financial costs. The vote of 7 th Juli is a vote against the over-promising and under-delivery experienced under Syriza’s rule. The voting for conservative ND is not an ideological choice. It's a choice that runs counter to the logic of falsely or hypocritical negotiating austerity measures opposed to Greece buy his Lenders (memorandum) and the consequent tax-tornado as a result of negotiating failure with the partners in the EEC and the IMF. The positive vote for ND also reflects the contradiction with the misguided manipulations of public opinion regarding the Skopje-Question and finally the strategy of micro concessions and micro- allowances as a means of concluding a “political-social alliance�? with an undefined hostile establishment.
希腊最近的选举反映了选民政治行为的巨大变化。国民们选择的不是简单的权力开关,而是通过投票在战略上击败了民粹主义,同时也为寻找一种接近现实主义的新型领导方式铺平了道路,这种新型领导方式可以处理以计算的财政成本无法实现的社会问题。7月7日的投票是对激进左翼联盟执政期间过度承诺和兑现不足的投票。投票给保守的民族民主党并不是意识形态上的选择。这一选择与错误或虚伪的谈判紧缩措施的逻辑背道而驰,这些措施反对希腊购买他的贷方(备忘录),以及由于与欧洲经济共同体和国际货币基金组织的合作伙伴谈判失败而随之而来的税收龙卷风。新民族党的积极投票也反映了在斯科普里问题上被误导的舆论操纵的矛盾,最后是微让步和微津贴战略,作为缔结“政治-社会联盟”的手段。一个不明确的敌对机构。
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引用次数: 0
Debt Restructuring for the Eurozone 欧元区债务重组
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3427067
D. Tsomocos, Xuan Wang
The Eurozone Debt Crisis has rekindled the debate on the nexus between currency areas and fiscal sovereigns. After the crisis, much of the intellectual and political debate has been on the benefit of a fiscal union, the idea of creating a common fiscal entity that is well equipped to make state-contingent cross-country transfers within the eurozone. Although the role of a benevolent fiscal union can in theory be welfare-improving for a currency union, it is understood that this is a highly politically constrained option, particularly in the Eurozone. Given this constraint, in this paper, we take the implausibility of fiscal union as given, and argue that debt restructuring can be a close substitute to a fiscal union, leading to welfare improvement. In contrast to a fiscal union that resorts to the government’s visible hand to move nominal resources across countries, the debt restructuring plan designs the bankruptcy rules, but it allows the invisible hand of the markets to make the choice based on context-dependent incentives. Much of the insight in this paper originates from Goodhart, Peiris and Tsomocos (2018) and Wang (2019). The authors show that debt restructuring is particularly vital in currency unions and can lead to significant welfare improvement for both the debtor and the creditor, given a hard government budget constraint. A wider implication of this paper is that for the understanding of modern monetary and financial phenomena, particularly the viability of a currency union, we simply cannot ignore the interplay of liquidity and default.
欧元区债务危机重新点燃了关于货币区与财政主权之间关系的辩论。危机过后,学界和政界的辩论大多围绕财政联盟的好处展开,即建立一个共同的财政实体,使其具备在欧元区内部进行以国家为基础的跨国转移的能力。尽管从理论上讲,一个仁慈的财政联盟的作用可以改善货币联盟的福利,但可以理解的是,这是一个政治上受到高度限制的选择,尤其是在欧元区。鉴于这一约束,本文假定财政联盟的不可行性,并认为债务重组可以作为财政联盟的密切替代品,从而改善福利。与依靠政府“看得见的手”在各国之间转移名义资源的财政联盟不同,债务重组计划设计了破产规则,但它允许市场“看不见的手”根据具体情况做出选择。本文的大部分见解来自Goodhart, Peiris和Tsomocos(2018)和Wang(2019)。作者表明,债务重组在货币联盟中尤为重要,在政府预算严格限制的情况下,债务重组可以为债务人和债权人带来显著的福利改善。本文的一个更广泛的含义是,为了理解现代货币和金融现象,特别是货币联盟的可行性,我们根本不能忽视流动性和违约的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
Bilateral Trade and Investment Agreements and the Harmonisation of Copyright Law at International Level: Lessons to be Learned from the TTIP 双边贸易和投资协定与国际版权法的协调:从TTIP中吸取的教训
Pub Date : 2019-06-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3410946
C. Geiger
The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership, better known under the name “TTIP”, is a bilateral trade and investment agreement that has been negotiated between the European Union and the United States since 2013. The respective administrations on both sides of the Atlantic have several times indicated their desire to resume the negotiations that have been put on hold (but not officially abandoned) after the last US presidential elections. If it is currently uncertain what will be the fate of the TTIP, the topic could be revived as the EU Council in April gave a new mandate to the European Commission to negotiate a Bilateral Trade Agreement with the US, without it being entirely clear what will be the exact scope of the negotiations. More generally, the dynamics of signing bilateral trade and investment agreements with third countries is steadily going forward so that lessons can certainly be learned from the TTIP experience, no matter what happens in the future with its negotiations. The proposed TTIP agreement has given rise to a number of concerns within European public opinion, in particular because of the secret nature of the discussions, which raised questions about the potential contents of the texts and the commitments made on both sides. These concerns recall those expressed at the time of the negotiations on the Anti-Counterfeiting Trade Agreement (ACTA), which mobilised significant concern among public opinion in Europe and ultimately led to the rejection of the Agreement by a large majority in the European Parliament in July 2012. The TTIP, although it obviously has a much broader content than ACTA, likewise contains provisions dedicated to intellectual property rights and more particularly to copyright. Its principal characteristic, however, lies in the inclusion of intellectual property rights in the list of investments protected by a specific section of the agreement. If implemented, the enforcement of this protection would be entrusted to arbitration tribunals or to a special court for the protection of investments that is yet to be set up. Hence the question arises as to whether the regulation of intellectual property by the European Union or one of its Member States, in a way that would affect the scope of the intellectual property rights held by certain large private companies, could be considered as a potential threat to their investments. If this was the case, proceedings could be brought against the EU or one of its Member States, leading to the risk of considerable limitations being imposed on legislators in the necessary implementation of a balanced and effective copyright law in Europe.
《跨大西洋贸易与投资伙伴关系协定》(TTIP)是欧盟和美国自2013年以来谈判达成的一项双边贸易和投资协定。大西洋两岸各自的政府多次表示,他们希望恢复在上次美国总统选举后搁置(但没有正式放弃)的谈判。如果目前还不确定TTIP的命运,那么这个话题可能会被重新提起,因为欧盟理事会(EU Council)今年4月授权欧盟委员会(European Commission)与美国谈判一项双边贸易协定(Bilateral Trade Agreement),但目前还不完全清楚谈判的确切范围是什么。更广泛地说,与第三国签署双边贸易和投资协定的动力正在稳步推进,因此,无论未来谈判发生什么,TTIP的经验教训肯定是可以借鉴的。拟议的TTIP协议在欧洲公众舆论中引起了许多担忧,特别是因为讨论的秘密性质,这引发了对文本的潜在内容和双方所作承诺的质疑。这些担忧让人回想起《反假冒贸易协定》(ACTA)谈判时所表达的担忧,该协定在欧洲公众舆论中引起了重大关注,并最终导致2012年7月欧洲议会以绝大多数否决了该协定。尽管TTIP的内容显然比ACTA广泛得多,但它同样包含了专门针对知识产权,尤其是版权的条款。然而,该协定的主要特点在于将知识产权列入了受协定某一特定条款保护的投资清单。如果实施,这一保护的执行将委托给仲裁法庭或一个尚未设立的保护投资的特别法庭。因此,出现了一个问题,即欧洲联盟或其成员国对知识产权的管制,如果影响到某些大型私营公司所拥有的知识产权的范围,是否可以被视为对其投资的潜在威胁。如果是这种情况,可能会对欧盟或其成员国之一提起诉讼,导致立法者在欧洲实施平衡和有效的版权法时面临相当大的限制风险。
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引用次数: 1
Capital Structure Variation across Europe: Decomposing Country-, Industry- and Firm-Specific Effects on Leverage 欧洲资本结构变化:分解国家、行业和公司对杠杆的特定影响
Pub Date : 2019-06-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3406806
Stefan Pohl
I find that corporate European leverage variation between 2007 and 2015 is largely driven by firm and industry characteristics. Conventional, time-varying firm characteristics explain as much leverage variation as country and industry fixed effects combined. Cross-sectional leverage disparities are more distinct between industries than between countries. Corporate tax rate does have a significant positive effect on leverage, as predicted by the traditional tradeoff theory. The impact is however negligibly small relative to firm- and industry-specific effects. Evidence on both the tradeoff and pecking order model is, at best, mixed. Moreover, macroeconomic conditions are largely insignificant and unable to explain leverage differences in a linear regression context. Macroeconomic effects on capital structure might however channel through firm and industry determinants, thus affecting financing choice indirectly. A more dynamic, possibly nonlinear model specification is needed. Effects of the financial crisis of 2008 and the subsequent European debt crisis are apparent across all of corporate Europe and are most severe for Southern European firms.
我发现,2007年至2015年间欧洲企业杠杆率的变化在很大程度上是由企业和行业特征驱动的。传统的时变企业特征解释的杠杆变化与国家和行业固定效应的总和一样多。行业之间的杠杆横截面差异比国家之间更为明显。正如传统权衡理论所预测的那样,企业税率确实对杠杆有显著的正向影响。然而,相对于企业和行业特定的影响,这种影响是微不足道的。关于权衡和优先顺序模型的证据充其量是混杂的。此外,宏观经济条件在很大程度上是无关紧要的,无法解释线性回归背景下的杠杆差异。然而,对资本结构的宏观经济影响可能通过企业和行业决定因素传导,从而间接影响融资选择。需要一个更动态的、可能是非线性的模型规范。2008年金融危机和随后的欧洲债务危机的影响在整个欧洲企业中都很明显,对南欧企业的影响最为严重。
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引用次数: 0
Market Pressure and Multinational Corporations’ Tax-Motivated Decisions: Evidence from an SEC Experiment 市场压力与跨国公司税收动机决策:来自SEC实验的证据
Pub Date : 2019-06-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3590737
Jeong‐Bon Kim, K. Klassen, Betty (Bin) Xing
We examine the role of capital market pressure in firms' international tax-motivated decisions. We use two exogenous events to identify the relation: the temporary lifting of short selling restrictions for randomly selected pilot firms under SEC Regulation SHO (called Pilot firms) and the repatriation tax holiday under the American Jobs Creation Act that occurred in this time period. We document that the Pilot firms are more likely to respond to the tax holiday only when they have foreign losses or generally do not repatriate foreign earnings. We also find that Pilot firms repatriate more, on average. This evidence is consistent with managers generally facing a conflict between self-serving international investment decisions and value-enhancing tax-motivated investment decisions, but this situation is mitigated by greater monitoring by active short sellers that occurs when short-selling restrictions are absent.
我们考察了资本市场压力在企业国际税收动机决策中的作用。我们使用两个外生事件来确定这种关系:根据SEC法规SHO(称为试点公司)随机选择的试点公司临时取消卖空限制,以及在此期间发生的美国就业创造法案下的汇回免税期。我们的文件表明,试点公司更有可能对免税期作出反应,只有当他们有国外损失或一般不汇回国外收入。我们还发现,平均而言,试点公司汇回的资金更多。这一证据与管理者普遍面临的自我服务的国际投资决策和增值的税收激励的投资决策之间的冲突是一致的,但这种情况是由活跃的卖空者进行更大的监督,在卖空限制缺失的情况下发生。
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引用次数: 0
De PEPP – Verordening. Pensioenfondsen: Quo Vadis? (The PEPP: Pensionfunds: Quo Vadis) PEPP规定。养老基金:现状如何?(PEPP:养老金基金:Quo Vadis)
Pub Date : 2019-06-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3516587
H. V. Meerten, An Wouters
Dutch Abstract: Het voorstel van 29 juni 2017 betreffende een Verordening van het Europees Parlement en de Raad voor een Pan-Europees Persoonlijk Pensioenproduct (hierna: PEPP) werd in Nederland met argusogen ontvangen. Met dit voorstel wilde de Europese Commissie een impuls geven om de fragmentatie van nationale markten op het gebied van persoonlijke pensioenen aan te pakken. Via het PEPP wil de EU wetgever een vrijwillig, aanvullend, eenvoudig en kostenbesparend pensioenproduct in het leven roepen dat grotendeels op EU niveau wordt gereguleerd. Vanwege de meeneembaarheid voor consumenten is PEPP een welkome aanvulling voor de pensioenen van EU burgers. Nederland echter heeft te allen tijde kritisch tegenover de komst van een PEPP gestaan vanwege onder andere een vermeende inbreuk op de ‘verplichtstelling’ en de rol voor de Europese Autoriteit voor verzekeringen en bedrijfspensioenen (EIOPA). In dit artikel wordt het PEPP besproken: wat is de meerwaarde van het PEPP? Is de vrees van Nederland wel terecht? English Abstract: The proposal of 29 June 2017 concerning a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council for a Pan-European Personal Pension Product (hereinafter: PEPP) was received with suspicion in the Netherlands. With this proposal, the European Commission wanted to give an impulse to tackle the fragmentation of national markets in the field of personal pensions. Through the PEPP, the EU legislator wants to invoke a voluntary, supplementary, simple and cost-saving pension product that is regulated at EU level. Thanks to portability for consumers, PEPP is a welcome addition to the pensions of EU citizens. The Netherlands, however, has always criticized the arrival of a PEPP because of, among other things, an alleged breach of the "mandatory obligation" and the role for the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA). This article discusses the PEPP: what is the added value of the PEPP? Is the fear of the Netherlands justified?
荷兰摘要:2017年6月29日关于欧洲议会和泛欧洲个人养老金产品理事会(以下简称PEPP)条例的提案在荷兰受到了热烈欢迎。欧盟委员会(european commission)提出这一建议,是为了推动解决个人养老金领域国家市场的碎片化。通过PEPP,欧盟立法者希望创建一个自愿的、补充的、简单的、低成本的养老金产品,该产品主要在欧盟层面受到监管。由于消费者的可转移性,PEPP是欧盟公民养老金的一个受欢迎的补充。然而,荷兰一直对PEPP的出现持批评态度,原因包括涉嫌违反“义务”和欧洲保险和职业养老金管理局(EIOPA)的角色。本文讨论了PEPP: PEPP的附加价值是什么?荷兰的担忧合理吗?摘要:2017年6月29日关于欧洲议会和泛欧洲个人养老金产品理事会(hereinna: PEPP)法规的提案在荷兰遭到怀疑。有了这一提议,欧盟委员会(European Commission)希望推动解决个人养老金领域国家市场的碎片化。通过PEPP,欧盟立法者希望推出一种自愿的、补充的、简单的、节省成本的养老金产品,该产品在欧盟层面受到监管。由于消费者的可移植性,PEPP是欧盟公民养老金的受欢迎补充。然而,荷兰一直批评PEPP的到来,因为在其他方面,它违反了强制义务和欧洲保险和职业养老金管理局(EIOPA)的作用。本文讨论了PEPP: PEPP的附加价值是什么?对荷兰的恐惧是正当的吗?
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引用次数: 1
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