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Security constrained optimal power shutoff for wildfire risk mitigation 降低野火风险的安全约束最优断电方案
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13246
Noah Rhodes, Carleton Coffrin, Line Roald

Electric grid faults are increasingly the source of ignition for major wildfires. To reduce the likelihood of such ignitions in high risk situations, utilities use preemptive de-energization of power lines, commonly referred to as Public Safety Power Shutoffs (PSPS). Besides raising challenging trade-offs between power outages and wildfire safety, PSPS removes redundancy from the network at a time when component faults are likely to happen. This may leave the network particularly vulnerable to unexpected line faults that may occur while the PSPS is in place. Previous works have not explicitly considered the impacts of these outages. To address this gap, the Security Constrained Optimal Power Shutoff problem is proposed which uses post-contingency security constraints to model the impact of unexpected line faults when planning a PSPS. This model enables, for the first time, the exploration of a wide range of trade-offs between both wildfire risk and pre- and post-contingency load shedding when designing PSPS plans, providing useful insights for utilities and policy makers considering different approaches to PSPS. The efficacy of the model is demonstrated using the EPRI 39-bus system as a case study. The results highlight the potential risks of not considering security constraints when planning PSPS and show that incorporating security constraints into the PSPS design process improves the resilience of current PSPS plans.

电网故障越来越多地成为重大野火的引燃源。为了降低在高风险情况下发生此类火灾的可能性,电力公司采用了先发制人的断电措施,即通常所说的公共安全断电(PSPS)。除了要在停电和野火安全之间做出艰难的权衡之外,PSPS 还会在组件故障可能发生时消除网络的冗余。这可能会使网络特别容易受到 PSPS 存在期间可能发生的意外线路故障的影响。以前的工作没有明确考虑这些故障的影响。为了弥补这一不足,我们提出了安全约束的最优停电问题,该问题在规划 PSPS 时使用后应急安全约束来模拟意外线路故障的影响。该模型首次实现了在设计 PSPS 计划时,对野火风险与应急前后负荷削减之间的广泛权衡进行探索,为考虑采用不同 PSPS 方法的电力公司和政策制定者提供了有用的见解。以 EPRI 39 总线系统为案例,展示了该模型的功效。研究结果强调了在规划 PSPS 时不考虑安全限制因素的潜在风险,并表明将安全限制因素纳入 PSPS 设计过程可提高当前 PSPS 计划的弹性。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-agent reinforcement learning in a new transactive energy mechanism 新交易能源机制中的多代理强化学习
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13244
Hossein Mohsenzadeh-Yazdi, Hamed Kebriaei, Farrokh Aminifar

Thanks to reinforcement learning (RL), decision-making is more convenient and more economical in different situations with high uncertainty. In line with the same fact, it is proposed that prosumers can apply RL to earn more profit in the transactive energy market (TEM). In this article, an environment that represents a novel framework of TEM is designed, where all participants send their bids to this framework and receive their profit from it. Also, new state-action spaces are designed for sellers and buyers so that they can apply the Soft Actor-Critic (SAC) algorithm to converge to the best policy. A brief of this algorithm, which is for continuous state-action space, is described. First, this algorithm is implemented for a single agent (a seller and a buyer). Then we consider all players including sellers and buyers who can apply this algorithm as Multi-Agent. In this situation, there is a comprehensive game between participants that is investigated, and it is analyzed whether the players converge to the Nash equilibrium (NE) in this game. Finally, numerical results for the IEEE 33-bus distribution power system illustrate the effectiveness of the new framework for TEM, increasing sellers' and buyers' profits by applying SAC with the new state-action spaces. SAC is implemented as a Multi-Agent, demonstrating that players converge to a singular or one of the multiple NEs in this game. The results demonstrate that buyers converge to their optimal policies within 80 days, while sellers achieve optimality after 150 days in the games created between all participants.

得益于强化学习(RL),在高度不确定的不同情况下,决策变得更加方便和经济。基于同样的事实,有人提出,专业消费者可以应用强化学习在交易型能源市场(TEM)中赚取更多利润。本文设计了一个代表新型 TEM 框架的环境,所有参与者都向该框架发送竞价并从中获利。此外,还为卖方和买方设计了新的状态-行动空间,使他们可以应用软行为批判(SAC)算法收敛到最佳策略。本文简要介绍了这种适用于连续状态-行动空间的算法。首先,该算法是针对单个代理(卖方和买方)实施的。然后,我们把包括卖方和买方在内的所有可以应用该算法的参与者视为多代理。在这种情况下,我们研究了参与者之间的综合博弈,并分析了在此博弈中,参与者是否收敛到纳什均衡(NE)。最后,IEEE 33 总线配电系统的数值结果表明了新框架对 TEM 的有效性,通过应用具有新状态-行动空间的 SAC,增加了卖方和买方的利润。SAC 是作为多代理实现的,它证明了博弈者在此博弈中会趋同于一个单一的或多个近似值中的一个。结果表明,在所有参与者之间创建的博弈中,买方在 80 天内收敛到最优政策,而卖方在 150 天后达到最优。
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引用次数: 0
Optimized operation of integrated electricity-HCNG systems with distributed hydrogen injecting 采用分布式氢气喷射技术的电力-氢化天然气集成系统的优化运行
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13222
Kun Yang, Yulong Deng, Chunyan Li, Derong Yi, Yang Liu, Bo Hu, Changzhen Shao

Green hydrogen, the cleanest energy carrier, is receiving increased attention in recent years. Transporting hydrogen through a natural gas system (NGS) will significantly promote the use of hydrogen, moreover, hydrogen-enriched compressed natural gas (HCNG) has great potential for renewable energy accommodation. To solve the problem of altered gas flow caused by hydrogen injection into natural gas networks, an optimized operation model of integrated electricity-HCNG systems (IEHCNGS) with distributed hydrogen injecting is proposed in this paper. Firstly, a calculating model of hydrogen volume fraction based on minimum square summation and depth-first search is established to describe the gas flow distribution of NGS accurately. Secondly, a quantitative method of gas supply reliability based on maximum entropy is proposed to ensure the safe operation of the system. Finally, an optimization model of IEHCNGS is established considering the coupling constraints of the integrated system and the reliability of NGS. The case study shows that the hydrogen volume fraction calculation model can correct the heat value of gas in each pipeline in real-time, the maximum entropy model helps to improve the gas supply reliability of NGS, and the distributed hydrogen injecting mode is more capable of accommodating renewable energy.

绿色氢气作为最清洁的能源载体,近年来受到越来越多的关注。通过天然气系统(NGS)输送氢气将大大促进氢气的使用,此外,富氢压缩天然气(HCNG)在可再生能源利用方面具有巨大潜力。为解决天然气管网注氢导致天然气流量改变的问题,本文提出了分布式注氢的电-氢-天然气一体化系统(IEHCNGS)优化运行模型。首先,建立了基于最小平方求和和深度优先搜索的氢气体积分数计算模型,以准确描述 NGS 的气流分布。其次,提出了基于最大熵的供气可靠性定量方法,以确保系统安全运行。最后,考虑集成系统的耦合约束和 NGS 的可靠性,建立了 IEHCNGS 的优化模型。案例研究表明,氢气体积分数计算模型可以实时修正各管线中气体的热值,最大熵模型有助于提高 NGS 的供气可靠性,分布式注氢模式更能适应可再生能源。
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引用次数: 0
Disturbance observer-based finite-time control of a photovoltaic-battery hybrid power system 基于扰动观测器的光伏-电池混合电力系统有限时间控制
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13248
Fatemeh Esmaeili, Hamid Reza Koofigar

Herein, the load power control of the stand-alone photovoltaic-battery hybrid power system (HPS) has been investigated. The underlying HPS consists of a boost DC-DC converter, a non-isolated bidirectional half-bridge converter, a photovoltaic (PV) panel, and a battery pack. On the PV side, a disturbance observer-based finite-time terminal sliding mode control (FTSMC) is used to regulate the DC bus to the desired voltage, in the presence of irradiation variation and load changes. On the battery side, the load power control system is constructed, based on a model predictive control (MPC) algorithm, with constraints on state-of-charge (SOC) and maximum current value of the battery to improve the battery life cycle and high reliability of the system. To highlight the benefits of the closed-loop system, the analytical proofs and numerical analysis are presented from a comparative viewpoint. The experimentally derived results, by implementation on TMS320F28335 digital signal processing (DSP), are also presented and discussed for practical justification.

本文研究了独立光伏电池混合动力系统(HPS)的负载功率控制。基础 HPS 由升压 DC-DC 转换器、非隔离双向半桥转换器、光伏(PV)面板和电池组组成。在光伏侧,采用基于扰动观测器的有限时间终端滑动模式控制(FTSMC),在辐照变化和负载变化的情况下,将直流母线调节到所需电压。在电池方面,基于模型预测控制(MPC)算法构建了负载功率控制系统,并对电池的充电状态(SOC)和最大电流值进行了限制,以提高电池的使用寿命和系统的高可靠性。为了突出闭环系统的优势,本文从比较的角度介绍了分析证明和数值分析。此外,还介绍了在 TMS320F28335 数字信号处理器 (DSP) 上实现的实验结果,并对其进行了讨论,以说明其实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic partitioning of island smart distribution systems in emergencies 紧急情况下岛屿智能配电系统的动态分区
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13242
Zahra Hosseini Najafabadi, Asghar Akbari Foroud

When a severe fault occurs in the distribution network, all or parts of it may be disconnected from the upstream network. Partitioning of these islanded areas is a solution to supplying the affected loads. Due to the variable nature of loads and renewable distributed generation (DG), the static model of partitioning with a fixed nature during island operation cannot be suitable. Therefore, in this article, considering the variable nature of loads and renewable distributed generation, a dynamic model is presented for the island partitioning to restore more valuable loads, which is suitable for quick decision-making in emergencies. Also, a method for deciding on the mode of charging and discharging storage systems in emergencies is proposed. This model considers time limitation, uncontrollable DGs, controllable DGs and their control, controllability, and priority of loads, tie-switches, storage systems, simultaneous faults, different situations of unintentional islanding of the distribution network, position of switches, and variable nature of loads and distributed generations. So, it is more comprehensive than the previous methods. Applying the proposed model to the modified IEEE 69-bus system with controllable and uncontrollable generation and storage systems assuming different scenarios shows the effectiveness of the proposed scheme.

当配电网络发生严重故障时,全部或部分配电网络可能会与上游网络断开。对这些孤岛区域进行分区是向受影响负荷供电的一种解决方案。由于负荷和可再生分布式发电(DG)的可变性,孤岛运行期间固定性质的静态分区模型并不适用。因此,考虑到负荷和可再生分布式发电的可变性,本文提出了一种动态模型,用于岛屿分区,以恢复更有价值的负荷,该模型适用于紧急情况下的快速决策。此外,还提出了一种在紧急情况下决定储能系统充放电模式的方法。该模型考虑了时间限制、不可控的 DG、可控的 DG 及其控制、可控性、负载的优先级、连接开关、储能系统、同时发生的故障、配电网意外孤岛的不同情况、开关的位置以及负载和分布式发电的可变性。因此,它比以往的方法更加全面。将提出的模型应用于带有可控和不可控发电和储能系统的改进型 IEEE 69 总线系统,并假设了不同的情况,显示了提出的方案的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
DC overvoltage suppression method of wind farm connected via MMC-HVDC system 通过 MMC-HVDC 系统连接风电场的直流过电压抑制方法
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13253
Siying Chen, Yingbiao Li, Shun Li, Cong Fu, Yixing Chen, Lu Miao, Bo Bao

A new integration strategy of grid-forming-controlled wind farms connected to the bulk power systems through high-voltage direct current transmission based on the modular multi-level converter (MMC) is proposed to solve the problem of traditional uncontrollable DC overvoltage during the short circuit faults at the receiving end. However, a new DC overvoltage phenomenon appears after the fault is cleared, and the interaction between the wind farm and sending- and receiving-end MMCs makes the DC overvoltage mechanism more complex; further exploration shows that DC overvoltage during the sending-end fault recovery stage occurs under the new integration strategy. Therefore, the evolution process and mechanism of the new DC overvoltage are analysed. It is found that affected by the interaction between wind farms and MMCs, the alternate saturation of the integrators in the PI controller of MMCs is the main cause. Based on this understanding, additional controls are proposed to suppress this DC overvoltage during the fault recovery stage. Simulations are carried out on a test with MATLAB/Simulink, and the results verify the efficacy of the proposed methods in suppressing DC overvoltage.

提出了一种基于模块化多电平变流器(MMC)的、通过高压直流输电与大容量电力系统相连的并网控制风电场集成新策略,以解决传统的受端短路故障时不可控的直流过电压问题。然而,故障排除后又出现了新的直流过电压现象,风电场与送端、受端多电平换流器之间的相互作用使得直流过电压机理更加复杂;进一步的探索表明,在新的集成策略下,送端故障恢复阶段会出现直流过电压。因此,分析了新直流过电压的演变过程和机理。结果发现,受风电场和多联机之间相互作用的影响,多联机 PI 控制器中积分器的交替饱和是主要原因。基于这一认识,我们提出了额外的控制措施,以抑制故障恢复阶段的直流过电压。利用 MATLAB/Simulink 进行了模拟测试,结果验证了所提方法在抑制直流过电压方面的功效。
{"title":"DC overvoltage suppression method of wind farm connected via MMC-HVDC system","authors":"Siying Chen,&nbsp;Yingbiao Li,&nbsp;Shun Li,&nbsp;Cong Fu,&nbsp;Yixing Chen,&nbsp;Lu Miao,&nbsp;Bo Bao","doi":"10.1049/gtd2.13253","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1049/gtd2.13253","url":null,"abstract":"<p>A new integration strategy of grid-forming-controlled wind farms connected to the bulk power systems through high-voltage direct current transmission based on the modular multi-level converter (MMC) is proposed to solve the problem of traditional uncontrollable DC overvoltage during the short circuit faults at the receiving end. However, a new DC overvoltage phenomenon appears after the fault is cleared, and the interaction between the wind farm and sending- and receiving-end MMCs makes the DC overvoltage mechanism more complex; further exploration shows that DC overvoltage during the sending-end fault recovery stage occurs under the new integration strategy. Therefore, the evolution process and mechanism of the new DC overvoltage are analysed. It is found that affected by the interaction between wind farms and MMCs, the alternate saturation of the integrators in the PI controller of MMCs is the main cause. Based on this understanding, additional controls are proposed to suppress this DC overvoltage during the fault recovery stage. Simulations are carried out on a test with MATLAB/Simulink, and the results verify the efficacy of the proposed methods in suppressing DC overvoltage.</p>","PeriodicalId":13261,"journal":{"name":"Iet Generation Transmission & Distribution","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/gtd2.13253","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142430128","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Distributionally robust sequential load restoration of distribution system considering random contingencies 考虑随机突发事件的配电系统分布式稳健顺序负载恢复
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13155
Yangwu Shen, Feifan Shen, Heping Jin, Ziqian Li, Zhongchu Huang, Yunyun Xie

Natural disasters would destroy power grids and lead to blackouts. To enhance resilience of distribution systems, the sequential load restoration strategy can be adopted to restore outage portions using a sequence of control actions, such as switch on/off, load pickup, distributed energy resource dispatch etc. However, the traditional strategy may be unable to restore the distribution system in extreme weather events due to random sequential contingencies during the restoration process. To address this issue, this paper proposes a distributionally robust sequential load restoration strategy to determine restoration actions. Firstly, a novel multi-time period and multi-zone contingency occurrence uncertainty set is constructed to model spatial and temporal nature of sequential line contingencies caused by natural disasters. Then, a distributionally robust load restoration model considering uncertain line contingency probability distribution is formulated to maximize the expected restored load amount with respect to the worst-case line contingency probability distribution. Case studies were carried out on the modified IEEE 123-node system. Simulation results show that the proposed distributionally robust sequential load restoration strategy can produce a more resilient load restoration strategy against random sequential contingencies. Moreover, as compared with the conventional robust restoration strategy, the proposed strategy yields a less conservative restoration solution.

自然灾害会破坏电网,导致停电。为提高配电系统的恢复能力,可采用顺序负荷恢复策略,利用开关、负荷拾取、分布式能源资源调度等一系列控制操作来恢复停电部分。然而,在极端天气事件中,由于恢复过程中存在随机顺序突发事件,传统策略可能无法恢复配电系统。针对这一问题,本文提出了一种分布式鲁棒顺序负荷恢复策略来确定恢复行动。首先,构建了一个新颖的多时段、多区域突发事件发生不确定性集,以模拟自然灾害导致的连续线路突发事件的空间和时间性质。然后,考虑到不确定的线路突发事件概率分布,建立了分布稳健的负荷恢复模型,以最大化相对于最坏情况线路突发事件概率分布的预期恢复负荷量。对修改后的 IEEE 123 节点系统进行了案例研究。仿真结果表明,所提出的分布鲁棒性顺序负载恢复策略能够产生一种更有弹性的负载恢复策略,以应对随机顺序突发事件。此外,与传统的鲁棒性恢复策略相比,所提出的策略产生的恢复方案不那么保守。
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引用次数: 0
A multi-objective interval optimization approach to expansion planning of active distribution system with distributed internet data centers and renewable energy resources 分布式互联网数据中心和可再生能源主动配电系统扩展规划的多目标区间优化方法
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13249
Yuying Zhang, Chen Liang, Han Wang, Jiayi Zhang, Bo Zeng, Wenxia Liu

With the development of the digital economy, the power demand for data centers (DCs) is rising rapidly, which presents a challenge to the economic and low-carbon operation of the future distribution system. To this end, this paper fully considers the multiple flexibility of DC and its impact on the active distribution network, and establishes a collaborative planning model of DC and active distribution network. Differing from most existing studies that apply robust optimization or stochastic optimization for uncertainty characterization, this study employs a novel interval optimization approach to capture the inherent uncertainties within the system (including the renewable energy source (RES) generation, electricity price, electrical loads, emissions factor and workloads). Subsequently, the planning model is reformulated as the interval multi-objective optimization problem (IMOP) to minimize economic cost and carbon emission. On this basis, instead of using a conventional deterministic-conversion approach, an interval multi-objective optimization evolutionary algorithm based on decomposition (IMOEA/D) is proposed to solve the proposed IMOP, which is able to fully preserve the uncertainty inherent in interval-typed information and allow to obtain an interval-formed Pareto front for risk-averse decision-making. Finally, an IEEE 33-node active distribution network is utilized for simulation and analysis to confirm the efficacy of the proposed approach.

随着数字经济的发展,数据中心(DC)的电力需求快速增长,这对未来配电系统的经济性和低碳运行提出了挑战。为此,本文充分考虑了直流的多重灵活性及其对有功配电网的影响,建立了直流与有功配电网的协同规划模型。有别于现有大多数研究采用稳健优化或随机优化来描述不确定性,本研究采用了一种新颖的区间优化方法来捕捉系统内固有的不确定性(包括可再生能源发电量、电价、电力负荷、排放因子和工作量)。随后,规划模型被重新表述为区间多目标优化问题(IMOP),以实现经济成本和碳排放的最小化。在此基础上,提出了一种基于分解的区间多目标优化进化算法(IMOEA/D),而不是使用传统的确定性转换方法来求解所提出的 IMOP,该算法能够充分保留区间型信息中固有的不确定性,并允许获得区间形成的帕累托前沿以进行规避风险的决策。最后,利用 IEEE 33 节点有源配电网络进行了仿真和分析,以证实所提方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Research on live detection technology of distribution network cable insulation deterioration state based on harmonic components 基于谐波成分的配电网电缆绝缘劣化状态带电检测技术研究
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13238
Ran Hu, Haisong Xu, Xu Lu, Anzhe Wang, Zhifeng Xu, Yuli Wang, Daning Zhang

Due to the limitations imposed by urban power grid outages for maintenance, on-line harmonic current detection technology for distribution network cables is expected to become an effective supplement to traditional offline diagnostic methods, enhancing the real-time diagnosis of distribution network cable insulation conditions. This study established a 10 kV distribution network cable test platform and prepared typical defective cables subjected to moisture and long-term thermal aging. Using COMSOL finite element electromagnetic simulation, the magnetic flux evolution laws of the cable insulation under typical defects were obtained. Experimental tests provided the harmonic current characteristics and statistical features of cables with typical defects. Based on these data, a method for analysing the degradation degree of distribution network cables was constructed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. Furthermore, a defect-type identification method based on cluster analysis was proposed. Results indicate that the odd harmonics and the 4th harmonic of the distribution network cable's harmonic current are closely related to the cable's degradation state. A model integrating principal component analysis (PCA) data dimensionality reduction and expectation-maximization clustering analysis achieved a recognition accuracy of up to 75.64% in distinguishing between moisture-affected and normal cable states. The proposed on-line detection and evaluation methods can effectively identify high-risk cables with latent defects.

由于城市电网停电检修的限制,配网电缆谐波电流在线检测技术有望成为传统离线诊断方法的有效补充,提高配网电缆绝缘状况的实时诊断能力。本研究建立了 10 kV 配电网电缆测试平台,并制备了受潮和长期热老化的典型缺陷电缆。利用 COMSOL 有限元电磁仿真,获得了典型缺陷下电缆绝缘的磁通演化规律。实验测试提供了具有典型缺陷的电缆的谐波电流特性和统计特征。在这些数据的基础上,利用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归分析,构建了配电网电缆劣化程度的分析方法。此外,还提出了一种基于聚类分析的缺陷类型识别方法。结果表明,配电网电缆谐波电流的奇次谐波和 4 次谐波与电缆的劣化状态密切相关。主成分分析(PCA)数据降维与期望最大化聚类分析相结合的模型在区分受潮电缆和正常电缆状态方面的识别准确率高达 75.64%。所提出的在线检测和评估方法可有效识别存在潜在缺陷的高风险电缆。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated demand response optimization strategy considering risk appetite under multi-dimensional uncertain information 多维不确定信息下考虑风险偏好的综合需求响应优化策略
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13245
Shunlin Zheng, Yaliang Liu, Yi Sun, Xinpeng Mo, Liming Feng, Xinya Liu, Quan Chao, Wangzhang Cao

Integrated demand response (IDR) is deemed as an effective tool to balance energy supply and demand. User’s uncertain information containing prior uncertain information and posterior uncertain information is a key factor affecting the implementation effectiveness of IDR, but existing studies fail to consider the two types of uncertain information, response risk caused by the uncertain information, and risk appetite comprehensively. Based on the principal-agent theory of optimal incentive contract under uncertain information and Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio theory, a new IDR model is established in this paper, and an IDR optimization strategy considering risk appetite under uncertain information is proposed. By proposing the user model considering multi-dimensional uncertain information and the risk appetite-based integrated energy service providers (IESP) model based on the principal-agent theory and Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio theory, we have achieved effective modelling of the user’s uncertain information and the risk borne by IESP. The arithmetic examples have verified advantages of the model in enhancing the accuracy of user’s actual response prediction and the superiority of incentive strategies, which is beneficial to reduce the cost of IESPs and enhance the benefit of users participating in IDR.

综合需求响应(IDR)被认为是平衡能源供需的有效工具。用户的不确定性信息包括先验不确定性信息和后验不确定性信息,是影响 IDR 实施效果的关键因素,但现有研究未能全面考虑这两类不确定性信息、不确定性信息导致的响应风险以及风险偏好。本文基于不确定信息下最优激励契约的委托代理理论和马科维茨的均值-方差投资组合理论,建立了新的 IDR 模型,并提出了考虑不确定信息下风险偏好的 IDR 优化策略。通过提出考虑多维不确定信息的用户模型,以及基于委托代理理论和马科维茨均值方差投资组合理论的基于风险偏好的综合能源服务提供商(IESP)模型,实现了对用户不确定信息和综合能源服务提供商所承担风险的有效建模。算例验证了该模型在提高用户实际响应预测准确性和激励策略优越性方面的优势,有利于降低 IESP 的成本,提高用户参与 IDR 的收益。
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引用次数: 0
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