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RETRACTION: Machine learning based load prediction in smart-grid under different contract scenario 回收:不同合同情况下智能电网中基于机器学习的负荷预测
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13334

RETRACTION: P. K. Yadav, R. Bhasker, A. A. Stonier, G. Peter, A. Vijayakumar, and V. Ganji: Machine learning based load prediction in smart-grid under different contract scenario. IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution 17, no. 8, 1918-1931 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1049/gtd2.12828

The above article, published online on 27th March 2023 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) has been retracted by agreement between the journal's Editors-in-Chief; Christian Rehtanz and Federico Milano; the Institution of Engineering and Technology; and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Concerns were raised regarding the article, including the presence of tortured phrases, and duplication of images with the following article:

L. Wang, S. Mao, B. M. Wilamowski and R. M. Nelms, “Ensemble Learning for Load Forecasting,” in IEEE Transactions on Green Communications and Networking, 4, no. 2, pp. 616–628 (2020), https://doi.org/10.1109/TGCN.2020.2987304.

When the authors were contacted for an explanation, they did not address the concerns adequately. Accordingly, we cannot vouch for the integrity or reliability of the content and have taken the decision to retract the article. The authors have been informed and they disagree with the retraction.

返回:P. K. Yadav、R. Bhasker、A. A. Stonier、G. Peter、A. Vijayakumar 和 V. Ganji:不同合同场景下基于机器学习的智能电网负荷预测。IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution 17, no. 8, 1918-1931 (2023)。https://doi.org/10.1049/gtd2.12828The 上述文章于 2023 年 3 月 27 日在线发表于 Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com),经期刊主编 Christian Rehtanz 和 Federico Milano、工程与技术学会以及 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.同意,已被撤回。有人对该文章提出了质疑,包括出现了折磨人的短语,以及与以下文章的图片重复:L.Wang, S. Mao, B. M. Wilamowski and R. M. Nelms, "Ensemble Learning for Load Forecasting," in IEEE Transactions on Green Communications and Networking, 4, no. 2, pp.因此,我们无法保证文章内容的完整性和可靠性,决定撤回该文章。我们已通知作者,他们不同意撤稿。
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引用次数: 0
Economic consistency enhancement by optimal operation of hybrid WF-thermal-EV-fuel cell system in a power network 电网中wf -热-电动混合燃料电池系统优化运行的经济一致性增强
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-11-19 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13332
Ravindranadh Chowdary V, Sadhan Gope, Subhojit Dawn, Ahmed Al Mansur, Taha Selim Ustun

This work introduces an efficient operational strategy for electric vehicles (EVs) to optimize economic outcomes in a wind-integrated hybrid power system. The proposed method enhances the profitability of a combined wind-thermal-EV-fuel cell system while maintaining grid frequency stability and managing the energy states of EV storage. Accurate wind speed forecasts are crucial, as wind farms must provide projected generation data to the market controller for coordinated scheduling with thermal units. Due to wind speed variability, discrepancies between actual and predicted values can lead to mismatches in wind power output, causing financial penalties from divergence prices. To address this, the optimal deployment of the EV storage system is designed to mitigate these financial impacts. By coordinating EV, wind, and thermal operations, the approach effectively reduces wind power unpredictability and ensures economic efficiency, a necessity in competitive power markets. Four distinct energy states of the EV battery- maximum, optimal, low, and minimum, are proposed to enhance cost efficiency. The EV storage mode is dynamically adjusted based on real-time grid frequency and wind speed data. Additionally, a fuel cell is incorporated to boost economic returns further. The effectiveness of the strategy is validated using an IEEE 30-bus test system, employing sequential quadratic programming and demonstrating notable improvements over existing methods.

这项研究介绍了一种高效的电动汽车(EV)运行策略,以优化风光互补电力系统的经济效益。所提出的方法可提高风-热-电动汽车-燃料电池组合系统的盈利能力,同时保持电网频率稳定并管理电动汽车存储的能量状态。准确的风速预测至关重要,因为风电场必须向市场控制器提供预测发电数据,以便与火电机组进行协调调度。由于风速的可变性,实际值与预测值之间的差异会导致风力发电输出的不匹配,从而造成价格差异带来的经济损失。为解决这一问题,设计了电动汽车储能系统的优化部署,以减轻这些财务影响。通过协调电动汽车、风能和热能的运行,该方法可有效降低风能的不可预测性,确保经济效益,这在竞争激烈的电力市场中是必不可少的。为提高成本效益,提出了电动汽车电池的四种不同能量状态--最大、最佳、低和最小。电动汽车存储模式可根据实时电网频率和风速数据进行动态调整。此外,还加入了燃料电池,以进一步提高经济收益。该策略的有效性通过 IEEE 30 总线测试系统进行了验证,采用了连续二次编程法,与现有方法相比有明显改善。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of different mission profiles and ambient temperature on the lifetime of boost converter IGBT with a robust controller in a hybrid electric vehicle 不同任务曲线和环境温度对混合动力电动汽车中带有鲁棒控制器的升压转换器 IGBT 寿命的影响
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13318
Majid Salim, Omid Safarzadeh

The reliability of power electronic converters is one of the essential issues in designing of electric vehicles. This paper estimates the lifetime of the boost converter switch by Semikron and Coffin-Manson models for two common failure mechanisms of Bond wire and Base plate solder, respectively. Four mission profiles based on the Artemis standard are applied to hybrid electrical vehicle model to determine unidirectional output power. Kharitonov's theory is used to design a robust controller to handle the uncertainty raised by different power cycles of the electric vehicle and the parameters of the converter during simulation. Stability of converter is achieved during simulation by identifying simple proportional integral controller coefficients with Kharitonov's theorem. A prototype 230 W boost converter is designed and utilized to validate average model and switch loss calculation relationships. The lifetime results indicate that the number of cycles, and the average and the maximum junction temperature have a more impact than the duration of the drive cycle on the lifetime of the converter. A mixed mission profile is considered to investigate the effect of sudden change in driving modes and speed on total consumed life and lifetime to enhance the study's applicability. Lifetime of switch is decreased significantly in mixed mode in comparison with other mission profiles in the same driving time. Furthermore, the motorway mission profile has 53%, 39.6%, and 160% less total consumed life in comparison with the urban, rural and mixed mission profiles, respectively. In addition, the effect of ambient temperature changes on IGBT lifetime has been investigated for four mission profiles. While motorway had the least total consumed life in 25°C, the urban had better performance in comparison with other mission profiles from 25 to 55°C.

电力电子变换器的可靠性是电动汽车设计中的核心问题之一。本文采用赛米控和Coffin-Manson模型对升压变换器开关的两种常见失效机制分别进行了估算。将基于Artemis标准的四种任务剖面应用于混合动力汽车模型,确定单向输出功率。利用Kharitonov理论设计了鲁棒控制器,以处理仿真过程中电动汽车不同功率循环和变换器参数所带来的不确定性。利用Kharitonov定理辨识简单的比例积分控制器系数,实现了变换器的稳定性。设计了一个230 W升压变换器样机,并利用该样机验证了平均模型和开关损耗计算关系。寿命结果表明,循环次数、平均结温和最高结温对变换器寿命的影响大于驱动周期的持续时间。为了提高研究的适用性,考虑了混合任务剖面,研究了驾驶模式和速度突变对总消耗寿命和寿命的影响。混合模式下的开关寿命比其他任务模式下的开关寿命明显缩短。此外,与城市、农村和混合任务剖面相比,高速公路任务剖面的总消耗寿命分别减少53%、39.6%和160%。此外,还研究了环境温度变化对IGBT寿命的影响。高速公路在25°C条件下的总消耗寿命最少,而城市在25 ~ 55°C条件下的性能优于其他任务剖面。
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引用次数: 0
Unit commitment in solar-based integrated energy distribution systems with electrical, thermal and natural gas flexibilities: Application of information gap decision theory 具有电力、热力和天然气灵活性的太阳能综合能源分配系统中的单位承诺:信息差距决策理论的应用
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13310
Nima Nasiri, Saeed Zeynali, Sajad Najafi Ravadanegh

The depleting oil reserves, air pollution and increasing energy demand, have overturned the focus of the scientific community to renewable energy sources. Among which the photovoltaic (PV) systems occupy more than half of the market share and are generally installed at the distribution level. The volatile and uncertain nature of these PV productions necessitates flexible resources in energy systems. To this end, the district heating systems have an outstanding flexibility on account of their high thermal inertia. This study investigates the optimal unit commitment scheduling for gas-fired and non-gas-fired distributed generation units (NGU) in an integrated energy distribution system (IEDS) within the physical constraints of the electrical, natural gas and thermal energy distribution networks. Moreover, a planning-based optimization framework is proposed to investigate the investment of battery storage systems in the electric distribution network under the high penetration of PV systems with the aim of enhancing flexibility and reducing the operating costs of the IEDS. In this framework, the information gap decision theory is deployed under risk-averse and risk-seeker strategies to deal with uncertain PV energy production. Additionally, the environmental emissions are considered in a multi-objective approach. The IEDS is embodied through IEEE 33-bus EDS, 20-node natural gas network and an 8-node district heating systems. Eventually, The proposed approach makes a noteworthy contribution to the advancement of solar energy systems in IEDS.

石油储量的枯竭、空气污染和日益增长的能源需求,使科学界将目光转向了可再生能源。其中,光伏(PV)系统占据了一半以上的市场份额,一般安装在配电层面。由于光伏发电的不稳定性和不确定性,能源系统需要灵活的资源。为此,区域供热系统因其高热惯性而具有出色的灵活性。本研究探讨了在电力、天然气和热能分配网络的物理约束条件下,综合能源分配系统(IEDS)中燃气和非燃气分布式发电机组(NGU)的最优机组承诺调度。此外,还提出了一个基于规划的优化框架,用于研究在光伏系统高渗透率的情况下配电网络中电池存储系统的投资问题,目的是提高 IEDS 的灵活性并降低其运营成本。在该框架中,信息差距决策理论被应用于风险规避和风险寻求策略中,以应对不确定的光伏发电量。此外,还采用多目标方法考虑了环境排放问题。IEDS 通过 IEEE 33 总线 EDS、20 节点天然气网络和 8 节点区域供热系统得以体现。最终,所提出的方法为推动 IEDS 中太阳能系统的发展做出了显著贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Three-phase four-wire power flow solution for multi-grounded distribution networks with non-bolted grounding 非螺栓接地的多接地配电网三相四线制潮流解决方案
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-11-11 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13316
Nien-Che Yang, Song-Ting Zeng

This study proposes a direct ZBUS${{bm{Z}}}_{{{bf BUS}}}$ three-phase four-wire power flow method to accurately analyse the neutral line and multiple grounding characteristics. In particular, the proposed grounding impedance building-based solution method was used to analyse the neutral grounding impedance in power flow studies based on the slack bus grounding impedance. The accuracy of the proposed method was verified using a neutral-to-earth voltage test system. IEEE 13-bus and 123-bus test systems were used to compare the advantages and disadvantages of the proposed method. Compared to the current injection full Newton and forward–backward sweep methods, the proposed method achieves a significant reduction in iteration numbers of up to 76.92% and 77.78%, respectively. For different grounding scenarios, stable convergence characteristics were exhibited by the proposed method after six to seven iterations.

本研究提出了一种直接 Z BUS ${{bm{Z}}}_{{{/{bf BUS}}}$ 三相四线制功率流方法,用于精确分析中性线和多重接地特性。特别是,所提出的基于接地阻抗建筑物的求解方法被用于分析电力流研究中基于松弛母线接地阻抗的中性线接地阻抗。利用中性点对地电压测试系统验证了所提方法的准确性。IEEE 13 总线和 123 总线测试系统用于比较建议方法的优缺点。与电流注入全牛顿法和前向-后向扫描法相比,所提出的方法显著减少了迭代次数,分别达到 76.92% 和 77.78%。对于不同的接地情况,拟议方法在经过六到七次迭代后表现出稳定的收敛特性。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of fire danger index using a new machine learning based method to enhance power system resiliency against wildfires 使用基于机器学习的新方法预测火灾危险指数,以增强电力系统对野火的弹性
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-11-11 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13320
Tan Nhat Pham, Rakibuzzaman Shah, Nima Amjady, Syed Islam

Wildfires, which can cause significant damage to power systems, are mostly inevitable and unpredictable. Fire danger indexes, such as the Forest Fire Danger Index (FFDI) and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (FWI), measure the potential wildfire danger at a given time and location. Thus, by predicting these fire danger indexes in advance, power system operators can obtain valuable insight into the potential wildfire risks and can better be prepared to tackle the wildfires. However, due to dependency on weather conditions, these indexes usually have volatile time series, which make their prediction complex. Taking these facts into account, this paper, unlike previous approaches that predict fire danger indexes based on climatological models, develops a machine learning-based forecast process to predict these indexes using the relevant weather data and past performance. To do this, first, a volatility analysis approach is presented to analyse the volatility level of the time series data of a fire danger index. Afterwards, an effective machine learning-based forecast methodology using a new deep feature selection model is proposed to predict fire danger indexes. The developed forecast methodology is tested on the real-world data of FFDI and FWI and is compared with several popular alternative methods reported in the literature.

野火会对电力系统造成重大破坏,这在很大程度上是不可避免和不可预测的。火灾危险指数,如森林火灾危险指数(FFDI)和加拿大火灾天气指数(FWI),衡量在给定时间和地点的潜在野火危险。因此,通过提前预测这些火灾危险指标,电力系统运营商可以对潜在的野火风险获得有价值的洞察,从而更好地应对野火。然而,由于依赖于天气条件,这些指数通常具有不稳定的时间序列,这使得它们的预测复杂。考虑到这些事实,本文与以往基于气候模型预测火灾危险指数的方法不同,开发了一种基于机器学习的预测过程,利用相关天气数据和过去的表现来预测这些指数。为此,首先提出了一种波动性分析方法来分析火灾危险指数时间序列数据的波动性水平。然后,提出了一种有效的基于机器学习的预测方法,该方法使用一种新的深度特征选择模型来预测火灾危险指数。开发的预测方法在FFDI和FWI的真实数据上进行了测试,并与文献中报道的几种流行的替代方法进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
A collaborative planning of PCCs siting and transmission network expansion for super large-scale offshore wind clusters 超大规模海上风电集群的 PCC 选址和输电网络扩展协同规划
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13317
Jingwen Ling, Xiaoyan Bian, Yue Yang, Ling Xu, Mengyao Zhang, Zhong Liu

The integration of super large-scale offshore wind clusters into the onshore power grid brings challenges for the flexibility of the transmission network. Therefore, this paper proposes a two-stage collaborative planning of points of common coupling siting and transmission network expansion for super large-scale offshore wind clusters, based on a multi-voltage-level stratified integration mode which enables offshore wind power to transmit to larger regions for accommodation. At first, the transmission network flexibility indexes are established. Then, a two-stage collaborative planning model for points of common couplings siting and transmission network expansion is proposed, which comprises a collaborative planning model and an optimal power flow operation model. The proposed model reduces wind curtailment and load shedding by optimizing the annual total cost and flexibility transmission capability of the network. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified using a modified IEEE 30-bus system and a 65-bus system.

超大规模海上风电集群并入陆上电网给输电网络的灵活性带来了挑战。因此,本文提出了超大规模海上风电集群共同耦合点选址和输电网络扩容两阶段协同规划,基于多电压等级分层并网模式,实现海上风电向更大区域输送消纳。首先,建立输电网络灵活性指标。然后,提出了共同耦合点选址和输电网络扩展的两阶段协同规划模型,该模型由协同规划模型和优化功率流运行模型组成。提出的模型通过优化年度总成本和网络的柔性输电能力,减少了风电削减和甩负荷。最后,利用修改后的 IEEE 30 总线系统和 65 总线系统验证了所提方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of steady-state operation of active distribution network under uncertain conditions 不确定条件下主动配电网稳态运行分析
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13315
Ruijing Zhu

Recently, distributed generators (DGs) have been widely integrated into distribution network, so that the distribution network is gradually transforming into an active distribution network (ADN). Due to the influence of meteorological conditions, the output of DGs has high uncertainty. At the same time, considering the increasing variety of loads in ADNs, the uncertainty of load demand of user side is also increasing. In order to fully consider the uncertainty of measurement and quantitatively evaluate the operational status, this paper proposes a steady-state analysis method for ADNs under uncertain conditions. Firstly, this paper proposes a steady-state analysis method including power flow analysis model and evaluation indicators for the operation status from the perspectives of node and network. Secondly, the uncertainty factors are elaborated from three aspects: sources, impact on evaluation index and impact on scheduling. The evaluation indicators considering uncertain conditions, the impact on system security and scheduling of network are further discussed. Finally, through the simulation analysis of the modified IEEE 33-node test system, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified.

近年来,分布式发电机(DGs)被广泛集成到配电网络中,使配电网络逐渐转变为主动配电网络(ADN)。由于受气象条件的影响,DGs 的输出具有很大的不确定性。同时,考虑到 ADN 中的负荷种类越来越多,用户侧负荷需求的不确定性也越来越大。为了充分考虑测量的不确定性,定量评估运行状态,本文提出了不确定条件下 ADN 的稳态分析方法。首先,本文提出了一种稳态分析方法,包括功率流分析模型,并从节点和网络的角度提出了运行状态的评价指标。其次,从不确定性因素的来源、对评价指标的影响和对调度的影响三个方面阐述了不确定性因素。进一步讨论了考虑不确定条件的评价指标、对系统安全和网络调度的影响。最后,通过对修改后的 IEEE 33 节点测试系统进行仿真分析,验证了所提方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
A generalized method of power oscillation characteristic analysis for multi-VSC grid-connected system 多电压互感器并网系统功率振荡特性分析的通用方法
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13306
Yonghai Xu, Benshuang Qin, Jiaoxin Jia, Aobo Shan, Yidan Chen, Wang Yingxin

The grid-connection of high-permeability new energy through voltage-source converters (VSCs) brings new oscillation risks to the power system, which seriously threatens the stable operation of the system. Therefore, an evaluating method based on modal analysis is proposed to investigate the power oscillation characteristics in a multi-VSC grid-connected system. Initially, based on the analogy method, the output admittance model of voltage-source controlled VSCs (VC-VSCs) and current-source controlled VSCs (CC-VSCs) is established. Subsequently, the output admittance model of a multi-VSC grid-connected system is constructed. Then, the modal analysis method is introduced to investigate the power oscillation characteristics of VC-VSCs and CC-VSCs, and the influence factors of power oscillation and its variation law are analysed. Next, a sensitivity analysis is also employed, which helps to identify the origin of each oscillation mode and determine the contribution of each component to the power oscillation. Finally, simulation and experiment are carried out to verify the effectiveness of the above analysis method.

通过电压源变换器(VSC)并网的高渗透率新能源给电力系统带来了新的振荡风险,严重威胁系统的稳定运行。因此,本文提出了一种基于模态分析的评估方法来研究多 VSC 并网系统的功率振荡特性。首先,基于类比法,建立电压源控制型可控硅(VC-VSC)和电流源控制型可控硅(CC-VSC)的输出导纳模型。随后,构建了多 VSC 并网系统的输出导纳模型。然后,引入模态分析方法来研究 VC-VSC 和 CC-VSC 的功率振荡特性,并分析功率振荡的影响因素及其变化规律。接着,还采用了灵敏度分析,这有助于确定每种振荡模式的起源,并确定每个组件对功率振荡的贡献。最后,通过仿真和实验验证了上述分析方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Resilience assessment of power transmission system during wildfire disasters considering spread process 考虑蔓延过程的野火灾害期间输电系统复原力评估
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1049/gtd2.13313
Shengwen Shu, Nan Xiao, Shiyun Cao, Jun Xu, Caoying Fang, Wenbing Xie

Large-scale wildfires can significantly reduce the air gap insulation resistance of high-voltage transmission lines and cause chain tripping incidents. To assess the resilience of the power transmission system during wildfire, this paper proposes a resilience assessment framework for transmission system that considers the entire process of wildfire disaster. Firstly, a wildfire spread model, considering multiple influencing factors, is developed based on the cellular automaton. Based on the air gap breakdown mechanism during wildfires, the trip-out probability of transmission lines is calculated, and various failure scenarios are obtained by using the Monte Carlo sampling. Secondly, considering the geographical location of failures, maintenance personnel schedules and restoration time, a power transmission system restoration model is established. Thus, a resilience assessment method for power transmission system during wildfire disasters is proposed. Finally, IEEE RTS-79 transmission system is taken as an example to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed resilience assessment method. The results show that the proposed method can effectively calculate the wildfire spread tendency and transmission line's trip-out probability. Furthermore, three typical resilience improvement measures are quantitatively analysed, which provides a quantifiable reference for the power sector to formulate prevention and recovery strategies for extreme wildfire disasters.

大规模野火会大大降低高压输电线路的气隙绝缘电阻,造成连锁跳闸事故。为评估输电系统在野火中的抗灾能力,本文提出了考虑野火灾害全过程的输电系统抗灾能力评估框架。首先,基于蜂窝自动机建立了考虑多种影响因素的野火蔓延模型。根据野火期间的气隙击穿机制,计算输电线路的跳闸概率,并通过蒙特卡洛采样得到各种故障情况。其次,考虑到故障发生的地理位置、维护人员时间表和恢复时间,建立了输电系统恢复模型。由此,提出了野火灾害期间输电系统的恢复能力评估方法。最后,以 IEEE RTS-79 输电系统为例,演示了所提恢复能力评估方法的有效性。结果表明,所提方法能有效计算野火蔓延趋势和输电线路跳闸概率。此外,还定量分析了三种典型的抗灾能力改进措施,为电力部门制定极端野火灾害的预防和恢复策略提供了可量化的参考。
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引用次数: 0
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