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Effect of Inclined-Tube on the Removal Performance of Fine Sediment in a Gravity Sedimentation Tank 倾斜管对重力沉淀池细沉淀物去除性能的影响
IF 1.7 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-10-11 DOI: 10.1002/ird.70046
Yingdong Zha, Peng Hou, Zeyuan Liu, Kai Zhang, Yang Xiao, Yunkai Li

Addressing limitations in fine sediment particle removal within gravity sedimentation tanks, this study investigates three inclined tube configurations: straight with an angle of 60° (ITS), V-shaped with angles of 60° and 60° (ITV1) and V-shaped with angles of 60° and 45° (ITV2), alongside a control group without inclined tubes. Three sediment sizes (0–150, 0–200 and 0–250 μm) and two flow rates (36 and 72 m3·h−1) were tested. Numerical simulations were conducted to examine the mechanisms behind sediment removal. Compared with the control, the use of inclined tubes significantly reduced the sediment concentration by 34%–64% and the median particle size by 36%–65%. V-shaped tubes outperformed straight tubes, especially the ITV2. This improvement was attributed to flow redistribution, expanding the sedimentation area, while the sedimentation tubes promote better flow uniformity than straight tubes through secondary flow redistribution. Furthermore, the inclined tubes showed notable differences in the removal of large, medium and small particles, with the most significant reduction in medium-sized particles, achieving a 36%–65% decrease compared with that of the control. This study clarifies the effects of different inclined tube designs on fine sediment removal, providing insights for optimizing sedimentation tanks in agricultural irrigation systems.

为了解决重力沉淀池中细沉淀物颗粒去除的局限性,本研究调查了三种倾斜管配置:60°角的直管(ITS)、60°和60°角的v形管(ITV1)和60°和45°角的v形管(ITV2),以及没有倾斜管的对照组。试验了3种泥沙粒径(0-150、0-200和0-250 μm)和2种流速(36和72 m3·h−1)。数值模拟研究了泥沙去除的机制。与对照组相比,斜管的使用使泥沙浓度降低了34% ~ 64%,中位粒径降低了36% ~ 65%。v形管的性能优于直管,尤其是ITV2。这种改善归因于流动再分配,扩大了沉降面积,而沉降管通过二次流再分配使流动均匀性优于直管。此外,倾斜管对大、中、小颗粒的去除效果也有显著差异,其中对中型颗粒的去除效果最为显著,与对照组相比减少了36%-65%。本研究阐明了不同倾斜管设计对细沉淀物去除的影响,为优化农业灌溉系统中的沉淀池提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
Five-Year Observations on Scion–Rootstock Combinations of Peach Under Mild and Severe Deficit Irrigation in Warm Area 温暖地区轻度和重度亏缺灌溉条件下桃接穗-砧木组合5年观察
IF 1.7 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1002/ird.70039
Mohamed Ghrab, Mohamed Moncef Masmoudi, Mehdi Ben Mimoun, Netij Ben Mechlia

With new trends for intensification, questions on the sustainability of irrigated agriculture and efficient water demand management need to be investigated under water shortage. A field experiment was conducted to improve water management of peach orchards in Northern Tunisia. An early peach cultivar grafted on GF677 and Cadaman was subjected to mild (DI1) and severe (DI2) deficit irrigation in a public irrigation network with poor reliability of supply. Tree and soil water status, yield, fruit quality and water productivity (Wp) were investigated. Tree water status under contrasting water supply was affected by rootstock. Lower predawn (ΨPD) and stem (Ψstem) water potentials were observed on less vigorous Cadaman. ΨPD and Ψstem were linearly correlated with each other and with soil water content and water supply index Ks (as ratio [Irrigation + Precipitation]/ETo). Fruit yield and Wp were significantly reduced with DI2 for both rootstocks. Lower yields were also obtained in the warmest year. In conclusion, Ψstem and Ks could be considered as valuable tools for deficit irrigation scheduling with threshold values established for DI1 and DI2 with adjustment according to rootstock type. Low-chill cultivar with vigorous rootstock and mild deficit seemed to be the best solution in warm areas under water scarcity.

随着集约化的新趋势,在水资源短缺的情况下,需要研究灌溉农业的可持续性和有效的用水需求管理问题。为改善突尼斯北部桃园的水分管理,进行了田间试验。嫁接在GF677和Cadaman上的早桃品种在供水可靠性差的公共灌溉网络中遭受了轻度(DI1)和重度(DI2)亏缺灌溉。研究了树木和土壤水分状况、产量、果实品质和水分生产力(Wp)。对比供水条件下,树木水分状况受砧木影响。在较弱的尸体上观察到较低的黎明前(ΨPD)和茎部(Ψstem)水势。ΨPD和Ψstem与土壤含水量和供水指数Ks (as ratio [Irrigation + Precipitation]/ETo)呈线性相关。施用DI2显著降低了两种砧木的产量和Wp。在最温暖的年份,产量也较低。综上所述,Ψstem和Ks可作为亏缺灌溉调度的重要工具,对DI1和DI2设定阈值,并根据砧木类型进行调整。在缺水的温暖地区,以低寒性强、砧木健壮、亏缺轻微的品种为最佳解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Five-Year Observations on Scion–Rootstock Combinations of Peach Under Mild and Severe Deficit Irrigation in Warm Area 温暖地区轻度和重度亏缺灌溉条件下桃接穗-砧木组合5年观察
IF 1.7 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1002/ird.70039
Mohamed Ghrab, Mohamed Moncef Masmoudi, Mehdi Ben Mimoun, Netij Ben Mechlia

With new trends for intensification, questions on the sustainability of irrigated agriculture and efficient water demand management need to be investigated under water shortage. A field experiment was conducted to improve water management of peach orchards in Northern Tunisia. An early peach cultivar grafted on GF677 and Cadaman was subjected to mild (DI1) and severe (DI2) deficit irrigation in a public irrigation network with poor reliability of supply. Tree and soil water status, yield, fruit quality and water productivity (Wp) were investigated. Tree water status under contrasting water supply was affected by rootstock. Lower predawn (ΨPD) and stem (Ψstem) water potentials were observed on less vigorous Cadaman. ΨPD and Ψstem were linearly correlated with each other and with soil water content and water supply index Ks (as ratio [Irrigation + Precipitation]/ETo). Fruit yield and Wp were significantly reduced with DI2 for both rootstocks. Lower yields were also obtained in the warmest year. In conclusion, Ψstem and Ks could be considered as valuable tools for deficit irrigation scheduling with threshold values established for DI1 and DI2 with adjustment according to rootstock type. Low-chill cultivar with vigorous rootstock and mild deficit seemed to be the best solution in warm areas under water scarcity.

随着集约化的新趋势,在水资源短缺的情况下,需要研究灌溉农业的可持续性和有效的用水需求管理问题。为改善突尼斯北部桃园的水分管理,进行了田间试验。嫁接在GF677和Cadaman上的早桃品种在供水可靠性差的公共灌溉网络中遭受了轻度(DI1)和重度(DI2)亏缺灌溉。研究了树木和土壤水分状况、产量、果实品质和水分生产力(Wp)。对比供水条件下,树木水分状况受砧木影响。在较弱的尸体上观察到较低的黎明前(ΨPD)和茎部(Ψstem)水势。ΨPD和Ψstem与土壤含水量和供水指数Ks (as ratio [Irrigation + Precipitation]/ETo)呈线性相关。施用DI2显著降低了两种砧木的产量和Wp。在最温暖的年份,产量也较低。综上所述,Ψstem和Ks可作为亏缺灌溉调度的重要工具,对DI1和DI2设定阈值,并根据砧木类型进行调整。在缺水的温暖地区,以低寒性强、砧木健壮、亏缺轻微的品种为最佳解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Future Projections of Crop Production Water Footprint Integrated With SWAP-WOFOST and ARIMA Models 基于SWAP-WOFOST和ARIMA模型的作物生产水足迹时空动态及未来预测
IF 1.7 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1002/ird.70035
Zhao Chen, Jing Xue, Jiangtong Lin, Junfeng Chen, Lihong Cui

Assessing the spatiotemporal dynamics of crop production water footprint (WF) at the regional scale is critical for optimizing agricultural water resource management. However, studies quantifying WF in the Hetao Irrigation District (HID) using distributed agro-hydrological models remain limited, and integration of WF quantification with time-series models for short-term forecasting and WF-driven planting optimization is still lacking. In this study, a calibrated SWAP-WOFOST model was employed to quantify the total water footprint (WFtotal), blue water footprint (WFblue) and green water footprint (WFgreen) of spring wheat, spring maize and sunflower in the HID during 2000–2017. Temporal trends were analysed using time-series techniques, and the evolution of WFtotal from 2018 to 2027 was projected using the ARIMA model. Spatial WF patterns were further mapped to optimize crop allocation. The results revealed that WFblue for all crops exhibited a continuous upward trend during 2000–2017, which consistently exceeded WFgreen that showed a declining trend. Projections indicated a sustained increase in WFtotal from 2018 to 2027, with spring wheat demonstrating the highest growth rate. Following crop allocation optimization, WFtotal for all crops decreased significantly, accompanied by enhanced water use efficiency. This study provides scientific insights for water-efficient crop placement strategies in arid irrigation regions.

在区域尺度上评估作物生产水足迹的时空动态对优化农业水资源管理具有重要意义。然而,利用分布式农业水文模型量化河套灌区水分流通量的研究仍然有限,并且缺乏将水分流通量量化与时间序列模型相结合,用于短期预测和水分驱动的种植优化。本研究采用校正后的SWAP-WOFOST模型,对2000-2017年青藏高原春小麦、春玉米和向日葵的总水足迹(WFtotal)、蓝水足迹(WFblue)和绿水足迹(WFgreen)进行量化。利用时间序列技术分析了时间趋势,并利用ARIMA模型预测了2018 - 2027年WFtotal的演变。进一步绘制WF空间格局,优化作物配置。结果表明:2000-2017年,所有作物的WFblue呈持续上升趋势,WFgreen呈持续下降趋势;预测显示,从2018年到2027年,世界粮食总产量持续增长,其中春小麦的增长率最高。作物配置优化后,各作物的总水分显著减少,水分利用效率显著提高。本研究为干旱灌区的节水作物种植策略提供了科学的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Future Projections of Crop Production Water Footprint Integrated With SWAP-WOFOST and ARIMA Models 基于SWAP-WOFOST和ARIMA模型的作物生产水足迹时空动态及未来预测
IF 1.7 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1002/ird.70035
Zhao Chen, Jing Xue, Jiangtong Lin, Junfeng Chen, Lihong Cui

Assessing the spatiotemporal dynamics of crop production water footprint (WF) at the regional scale is critical for optimizing agricultural water resource management. However, studies quantifying WF in the Hetao Irrigation District (HID) using distributed agro-hydrological models remain limited, and integration of WF quantification with time-series models for short-term forecasting and WF-driven planting optimization is still lacking. In this study, a calibrated SWAP-WOFOST model was employed to quantify the total water footprint (WFtotal), blue water footprint (WFblue) and green water footprint (WFgreen) of spring wheat, spring maize and sunflower in the HID during 2000–2017. Temporal trends were analysed using time-series techniques, and the evolution of WFtotal from 2018 to 2027 was projected using the ARIMA model. Spatial WF patterns were further mapped to optimize crop allocation. The results revealed that WFblue for all crops exhibited a continuous upward trend during 2000–2017, which consistently exceeded WFgreen that showed a declining trend. Projections indicated a sustained increase in WFtotal from 2018 to 2027, with spring wheat demonstrating the highest growth rate. Following crop allocation optimization, WFtotal for all crops decreased significantly, accompanied by enhanced water use efficiency. This study provides scientific insights for water-efficient crop placement strategies in arid irrigation regions.

在区域尺度上评估作物生产水足迹的时空动态对优化农业水资源管理具有重要意义。然而,利用分布式农业水文模型量化河套灌区水分流通量的研究仍然有限,并且缺乏将水分流通量量化与时间序列模型相结合,用于短期预测和水分驱动的种植优化。本研究采用校正后的SWAP-WOFOST模型,对2000-2017年青藏高原春小麦、春玉米和向日葵的总水足迹(WFtotal)、蓝水足迹(WFblue)和绿水足迹(WFgreen)进行量化。利用时间序列技术分析了时间趋势,并利用ARIMA模型预测了2018 - 2027年WFtotal的演变。进一步绘制WF空间格局,优化作物配置。结果表明:2000-2017年,所有作物的WFblue呈持续上升趋势,WFgreen呈持续下降趋势;预测显示,从2018年到2027年,世界粮食总产量持续增长,其中春小麦的增长率最高。作物配置优化后,各作物的总水分显著减少,水分利用效率显著提高。本研究为干旱灌区的节水作物种植策略提供了科学的见解。
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引用次数: 0
AquaCrop Model Performance Under Various Reference Evapotranspiration Equations for Simulating the Growth and Yield of Wheat 不同参考蒸散方程下AquaCrop模型模拟小麦生长和产量的性能
IF 1.7 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-09-21 DOI: 10.1002/ird.70033
Ali Shabani, Halimeh Madadi, Fatemeh Razzaghi

This study evaluated the performance of the AquaCrop model in simulating wheat yield, dry matter and evapotranspiration under various irrigation levels (50%, 75% and 100% water requirements) and seed densities (120–280 kg ha−1) over 2 years. The model's accuracy was tested via nine ET₀ equations, including Penman–Monteith (PM), Penman–FAO (PFAO), Hargreaves–Samani (HS), Blaney–Criddle (BC), Turc, Evaporation Pan (PAN), Jensen–Haise (JH), Priestley–Taylor (PT) and FAO–radiation (RAD). The results revealed that AquaCrop effectively simulated evapotranspiration, dry matter and yield during calibration and validation. Importantly, the model demonstrated acceptable accuracy in simulating wheat yield across all evaluated ETo calculation equations. The normalized root mean squared error (NRMSE) values were 0.08 for HS, 0.09 for Turc, 0.10 for both BC and PM, 0.11 for PT, 0.14 for both PAN and PFAO and 0.17 for JH. This study highlights the potential of using simplified ETo equations such as HS, Turc, BC, PAN and JH instead of more complex equations such as PM, PFAO and PT as a practical approach for modelling crop growth and yield in regions with limited meteorological data. This provides a useful framework for researchers and practitioners working in water-scarce environments to simulate crop performance effectively via the AquaCrop model with reduced data requirements.

本研究评估了AquaCrop模型在不同灌溉水平(50%、75%和100%需水量)和种子密度(120-280 kg ha - 1)下2年小麦产量、干物质和蒸散的模拟性能。模型的准确性通过九个ET 0方程进行了测试,包括Penman-Monteith (PM), Penman-FAO (PFAO), Hargreaves-Samani (HS), Blaney-Criddle (BC), Turc,蒸发盘(Pan), Jensen-Haise (JH), Priestley-Taylor (PT)和FAO-radiation (RAD)。结果表明,在标定和验证过程中,AquaCrop可以有效地模拟蒸散发、干物质和产量。重要的是,该模型在所有评估的ETo计算方程中都显示出可接受的模拟小麦产量的准确性。归一化均方根误差(NRMSE)值HS为0.08,Turc为0.09,BC和PM均为0.10,PT为0.11,PAN和PFAO均为0.14,JH为0.17。这项研究强调了使用简化的ETo方程,如HS、Turc、BC、PAN和JH,而不是更复杂的方程,如PM、PFAO和PT,作为在气象数据有限的地区模拟作物生长和产量的实用方法的潜力。这为在缺水环境中工作的研究人员和实践者提供了一个有用的框架,通过AquaCrop模型有效地模拟作物性能,减少了数据需求。
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引用次数: 0
Intrinsic and Integrated Models for Groundwater Vulnerability Assessment in Tay Ninh Province, Vietnam 越南德宁省地下水脆弱性评价的内在模型和综合模型
IF 1.7 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1002/ird.70037
Vy Minh Hong Tat, Nhi Tuyet Thi Pham, Linh Khanh Luu, Khai Quang Nguyen Vo, Nga Kim Thi Nguyen, Au Hai Nguyen

This study assessed the vulnerability of upper–middle Pleistocene aquifers in Tay Ninh Province, Vietnam. This shallow aquifer is susceptible to contamination from natural geological, climatic and anthropogenic sources, particularly agricultural activities, in the context of rapid socio-economic development in this study area. In this study, the GOD, DRASTIC and combined DRASTIC methods were used to identify vulnerable areas, particularly the susceptibility of aquifers to nitrate. The study indicates that the extended vulnerability index (DL) has low, medium and high levels of 1.4%, 72.1% and 26.5%, respectively. Moreover, the nitrate vulnerability index (DN) has low, medium and high levels of sensitivity: 29.4%, 47.8% and 22.8%, respectively. The DN index showed a strong correlation coefficient (r = 0.746) for the spatial distribution of nitrate concentration in the aquifer, which was related to different land uses. The DN multiplicative model outperformed traditional methods in evaluating the vulnerability related to the impacts of land use types. The results of this study on the vulnerability of groundwater to nitrate provide a basis for sustainable groundwater protection and land use planning in the current study area.

本文对越南德宁省上更新世含水层的脆弱性进行了评价。在本研究地区社会经济迅速发展的背景下,这一浅层含水层容易受到自然地质、气候和人为来源,特别是农业活动的污染。本研究采用GOD、DRASTIC方法和联合DRASTIC方法确定脆弱区,特别是含水层对硝酸盐的敏感性。研究表明,扩展脆弱性指数(DL)低、中、高水平,分别为1.4%、72.1%和26.5%。此外,硝酸盐脆弱性指数(DN)具有低、中、高敏感性,分别为29.4%、47.8%和22.8%。DN指数对含水层硝酸盐浓度的空间分布具有较强的相关系数(r = 0.746),与不同土地利用方式有关。DN乘法模型在评估土地利用类型影响相关脆弱性方面优于传统方法。研究结果可为研究区地下水对硝酸盐的可持续保护和土地利用规划提供依据。
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引用次数: 0
Intrinsic and Integrated Models for Groundwater Vulnerability Assessment in Tay Ninh Province, Vietnam 越南德宁省地下水脆弱性评价的内在模型和综合模型
IF 1.7 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1002/ird.70037
Vy Minh Hong Tat, Nhi Tuyet Thi Pham, Linh Khanh Luu, Khai Quang Nguyen Vo, Nga Kim Thi Nguyen, Au Hai Nguyen

This study assessed the vulnerability of upper–middle Pleistocene aquifers in Tay Ninh Province, Vietnam. This shallow aquifer is susceptible to contamination from natural geological, climatic and anthropogenic sources, particularly agricultural activities, in the context of rapid socio-economic development in this study area. In this study, the GOD, DRASTIC and combined DRASTIC methods were used to identify vulnerable areas, particularly the susceptibility of aquifers to nitrate. The study indicates that the extended vulnerability index (DL) has low, medium and high levels of 1.4%, 72.1% and 26.5%, respectively. Moreover, the nitrate vulnerability index (DN) has low, medium and high levels of sensitivity: 29.4%, 47.8% and 22.8%, respectively. The DN index showed a strong correlation coefficient (r = 0.746) for the spatial distribution of nitrate concentration in the aquifer, which was related to different land uses. The DN multiplicative model outperformed traditional methods in evaluating the vulnerability related to the impacts of land use types. The results of this study on the vulnerability of groundwater to nitrate provide a basis for sustainable groundwater protection and land use planning in the current study area.

本文对越南德宁省上更新世含水层的脆弱性进行了评价。在本研究地区社会经济迅速发展的背景下,这一浅层含水层容易受到自然地质、气候和人为来源,特别是农业活动的污染。本研究采用GOD、DRASTIC方法和联合DRASTIC方法确定脆弱区,特别是含水层对硝酸盐的敏感性。研究表明,扩展脆弱性指数(DL)低、中、高水平,分别为1.4%、72.1%和26.5%。此外,硝酸盐脆弱性指数(DN)具有低、中、高敏感性,分别为29.4%、47.8%和22.8%。DN指数对含水层硝酸盐浓度的空间分布具有较强的相关系数(r = 0.746),与不同土地利用方式有关。DN乘法模型在评估土地利用类型影响相关脆弱性方面优于传统方法。研究结果可为研究区地下水对硝酸盐的可持续保护和土地利用规划提供依据。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Study on Resource Efficiency and Environmental Impacts in Vertical Hydroponic Controlled–Environment and Crop Evapotranspiration–Based Drip Irrigation Systems for Bok Choy Cultivation (Brassica rapa subsp. chinensis L.) 垂直水培控制环境与作物蒸散滴灌系统在白菜栽培中的资源效率与环境影响比较研究对l .)
IF 1.7 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1002/ird.70036
Murtaza Hasan, Vinayak Paradkar, S. Vinod Kumar

Conventional farming systems face significant challenges due to resource depletion from climate change and population growth. Alternative techniques like soilless culture (hydroponics) can produce high yields using limited space, water and no soil. This study evaluated the efficacy of a nutrient film technique (NFT)–based vertical hydroponic system for cultivating bok choy, comparing it with conventional soil-based cultivation. The experiment was conducted in a controlled greenhouse at the Centre for Protected Cultivation Technology, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi, India. The hydroponic system used a standard Hoagland solution, while soil-based cultivation applied a recommended dose of fertilizer (76:46:83 kg N:P:K) and 100% crop evapotranspiration (ETc) via drip irrigation. Results showed the vertical hydroponic system outperformed conventional methods, with shorter growth periods, better growth parameters and higher photosynthetic activity. Over the 2022–2023 two-season cycle, hydroponics yielded 3.5–4 times more production and 3 times greater nutrient efficiency. Its water use efficiency (WUE) was 69% higher, significantly reducing water use. Additionally, it required 65% less space than traditional farming. This study demonstrates that vertical hydroponics is a sustainable, space-efficient solution for urban agriculture, offering higher yields, reduced water usage, improved efficiency and space savings compared to conventional methods.

由于气候变化和人口增长造成的资源枯竭,传统农业系统面临重大挑战。像无土栽培(水培)这样的替代技术可以在有限的空间、水和无土条件下产生高产量。本研究评价了基于营养膜技术(NFT)的垂直水培系统栽培小白菜的效果,并与传统的土壤栽培进行了比较。该实验是在印度新德里印度农业研究所保护栽培技术中心的一个受控温室中进行的。水培系统使用标准的Hoagland溶液,而土壤栽培使用推荐剂量的肥料(76:46:83 kg N:P:K),并通过滴灌100%作物蒸散(ETc)。结果表明,垂直水培系统具有较短的生育期、较好的生长参数和较高的光合活性。在2022-2023年的两季循环中,水培的产量提高3.5-4倍,养分效率提高3倍。其水分利用效率(WUE)提高69%,显著减少了水分的使用。此外,它所需的空间比传统农业少65%。这项研究表明,垂直水培法是一种可持续的、节省空间的城市农业解决方案,与传统方法相比,它可以提供更高的产量,减少用水量,提高效率并节省空间。
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引用次数: 0
Construction of an Intelligent Risk Identification Model for Rural Water Supply Projects and Analysis of the Influencing Factors 农村供水工程智能风险识别模型构建及影响因素分析
IF 1.7 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1002/ird.70021
Chen Wan, Xiaoqin Li, Wei Dai, Fuhui Du, Xinmei Chen

Enhancing risk identification and early warning capabilities for rural water supply projects is of great significance for promoting high-quality development in rural water services. This study developed an intelligent risk assessment model using the XGBoost algorithm and SHAP interpretability framework based on data from Wuxi County, Chongqing, China. The results demonstrate high model accuracy (F1 = 0.89) and identify climate factors as primary risk sources, with daily rainfall (SHAP = 0.91) and maximum temperature (SHAP = 0.83) showing significant impacts. Pipeline service life (SHAP = 0.86) was found to substantially affect system reliability. The study reveals that climate change and infrastructure aging significantly influence rural water supply security. In comparison, factors related to water supply scale, water quality and payment methods showed secondary importance, while water source type, purification methods and operational management had minimal effects. The findings suggest promoting large-scale centralized water supply systems and standardized upgrades for small-scale water projects to enhance resilience against rural water supply risks.

提高农村供水工程风险识别和预警能力,对推动农村供水事业高质量发展具有重要意义。本研究基于中国重庆市无锡县的数据,利用XGBoost算法和SHAP可解释性框架开发了一个智能风险评估模型。结果表明,模型精度较高(F1 = 0.89),气候因子为主要风险源,日降雨量(SHAP = 0.91)和最高气温(SHAP = 0.83)对气候因子的影响显著。发现管道使用寿命(SHAP = 0.86)对系统可靠性有很大影响。研究表明,气候变化和基础设施老化对农村供水安全影响显著。相比之下,供水规模、水质和支付方式的影响次要,水源类型、净化方式和运营管理的影响最小。研究结果建议推广大规模集中式供水系统,并对小规模供水项目进行标准化升级,以增强对农村供水风险的抵御能力。
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引用次数: 0
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Irrigation and Drainage
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