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Deaths, injuries, and damages from lightning in the United States in the 1890s in comparison with the 1990s 19世纪90年代美国雷电造成的死亡、伤害和损失与20世纪90年代的比较
Pub Date : 2005-10-01 DOI: 10.1175/JAM2287.1
R. Holle, R. López, B. C. Navarro
A reduction by a factor of 10 in the population-weighted rate of lightning-caused deaths over the last century has been determined in several previous studies. The reasons have been attributed to a number of factors, but none have been quantified in detail with a large dataset. Several thousand lightning-caused deaths, injuries, and reports of property damage in the United States from 1891 to 1894 were analyzed manually from descriptions provided by an 1895 data source. A similar manual analysis was made of information in the NOAA publication Storm Data 100 yr later, from 1991 to 1994. Comparisons show that the decrease in lightning risk to people coincides with a shift in population from rural to urban regions. Major changes in the types of property damaged by lightning between the two periods 100 yr apart are also shown. In addition, the results identify significant shifts in the kinds of incidents in which people and objects are impacted by lightning. This information can help in the development of better guidelines for lightning safety and education.
过去的几项研究已经确定,在上个世纪,闪电造成的人口加权死亡率降低了10倍。原因可以归结为许多因素,但没有一个因素可以通过大型数据集进行详细量化。根据1895年的一个数据源提供的描述,对1891年至1894年美国数千起闪电造成的死亡、受伤和财产损失报告进行了人工分析。100年后,即1991年至1994年,NOAA出版的《风暴数据》中的信息也进行了类似的人工分析。比较表明,人们遭受雷击风险的减少与人口从农村地区向城市地区的转移相吻合。在相隔100年的两个时期之间,被闪电损坏的财产类型的主要变化也被显示出来。此外,研究结果还确定了闪电对人和物体造成影响的事件类型的重大变化。这些信息有助于制定更好的雷电安全和教育指南。
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引用次数: 80
Sensitivity of MM5-Simulated Boundary Layer Characteristics to Turbulence Parameterizations mm5模拟边界层特征对湍流参数化的敏感性
Pub Date : 2005-09-01 DOI: 10.1175/JAM2292.1
L. Berg, S. Zhong
Abstract The sensitivity of high-resolution mesoscale simulations to boundary layer turbulence parameterizations is investigated using the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5) and observations from two field campaigns. Three widely used turbulence parameterizations were selected for evaluation, two of which [Blackadar (BK) and Medium Range Forecast (MRF) schemes] are simple first-order nonlocal schemes and one [Gayno–Seaman (GS) scheme] of which is a more complex 1.5-order local scheme that solves a prognostic equation for turbulence kinetic energy (TKE). The two datasets are the summer 1996 Boundary Layer Experiment (BLX96) in the southern Great Plains and the autumn 2000 Vertical Transport and Mixing (VTMX) field campaign in the Salt Lake Valley in Utah. Comparisons are made between observed and simulated mean variables and turbulence statistics. Despite the differences in their complexity, all three schemes show similar skill predicting near-surface and boundary lay...
利用第五代美国宾夕法尼亚州立大学- ncar中尺度模式(MM5)和两次野外观测资料,研究了高分辨率中尺度模拟对边界层湍流参数化的敏感性。本文选择了三种广泛使用的湍流参数化进行评价,其中两种[Blackadar (BK)和Medium Range Forecast (MRF)格式]是简单的一阶非局部格式,另一种[Gayno-Seaman (GS)格式]是更复杂的1.5阶局部格式,可以求解湍流动能(TKE)的预测方程。这两个数据集分别是1996年夏季大平原南部边界层实验(BLX96)和2000年秋季犹他州盐湖谷垂直输送和混合(VTMX)野外运动。对观测和模拟的平均变量和湍流统计量进行了比较。尽管它们的复杂程度不同,但这三种方案在预测近地表和边界平面方面表现出相似的能力。
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引用次数: 80
An Integrated Turbulence Scheme for Boundary Layers with Shallow Cumulus Applied to Pollutant Transport 含浅积云边界层湍流综合方案在污染物输送中的应用
Pub Date : 2005-09-01 DOI: 10.1175/JAM2284.1
W. Angevine
Abstract A scheme is described that provides an integrated description of turbulent transport in free convective boundary layers with shallow cumulus. The scheme uses a mass-flux formulation, as is commonly found in cumulus schemes, and a 1.5-order closure, involving turbulent kinetic energy and eddy diffusivity. Both components are active in both the subcloud and cloud layers. The scheme is called “mass flux–diffusion.” In the subcloud layer, the mass-flux component provides nonlocal transport. The scheme combines elements from schemes that are conceptually similar but differ in detail. An entraining plume model is used to find the mass flux. The mass flux is continuous through the cloud base. The lateral fractional entrainment rate is constant with height, while the detrainment-rate profile reduces the mass flux smoothly to zero at the cloud top. The eddy diffusivity comes from a turbulent kinetic energy–length scale formulation. The scheme has been implemented in a simple one-dimensional (single column...
摘要本文提出了一种综合描述具有浅积云的自由对流边界层湍流输运的方案。该格式使用质量通量公式,就像通常在积云格式中发现的那样,以及涉及湍流动能和涡流扩散率的1.5阶闭包。这两个组件在子云和云层中都是活动的。这个方案被称为“质量通量扩散”。在亚云层中,质量通量分量提供非局域输运。该方案结合了概念上相似但细节上不同的方案的元素。采用带烟羽模型求解质量通量。质量通量通过云底是连续的。横向分数夹带率随高度不变,而夹带率剖面则在云顶平滑地将质量通量降至零。涡流扩散系数来源于湍流动能长度尺度公式。该方案已在一个简单的一维(单列)…
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引用次数: 44
Validation of a Physical Retrieval Scheme of Solar Surface Irradiances from Narrowband Satellite Radiances 窄带卫星辐照度物理反演太阳表面辐照度方案的验证
Pub Date : 2005-09-01 DOI: 10.1175/JAM2290.1
H. Deneke, A. Feijt, A. Lammeren, C. Simmer
Abstract An algorithm is presented to derive the downwelling solar surface irradiance from satellite measurements of the 0.63-μm reflectance, which explicitly accounts for variations in cloud optical depth and integrated water vapor. For validation, a long-term dataset of 40 356 pyranometer measurements and 1450 NOAA-14 Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) satellite scenes of the Netherlands is used. A mean overestimate of the satellite-retrieved irradiance by 7% is found, which is consistent with numerous other studies reporting positive biases of atmospheric transmissivities that are calculated by radiative transfer schemes in comparison with measurements. The bias can be explained by the calibration and measurement uncertainties of both the AVHRR and pyranometer. A strong solar zenith angle dependence of the bias is found when water clouds are assumed in the retrieval. Such a dependence is not observed for ice clouds. Currently, there is not enough information for a conclusive explanation o...
摘要提出了一种利用卫星测量的0.63 μm反射率反演下坡太阳表面辐照度的算法,该算法明确地考虑了云光学深度和综合水汽的变化。为了验证,使用了荷兰40 356个高温计测量数据和1450个NOAA-14先进甚高分辨率辐射计(AVHRR)卫星场景的长期数据集。发现卫星获取的辐照度平均高估了7%,这与许多其他研究一致,这些研究报告了由辐射传输方案计算的大气透过率与测量值相比的正偏差。这种偏差可以用AVHRR和pyranometer的校准和测量不确定度来解释。当在反演中假设水云时,发现太阳天顶角对偏差有很强的依赖性。在冰云中没有观察到这种依赖关系。目前,没有足够的资料对……作出结论性的解释。
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引用次数: 30
Urban Modifications in a Mesoscale Meteorological Model and the Effects on Near-Surface Variables in an Arid Metropolitan Region 干旱大都市地区中尺度气象模式中的城市变化及其对近地表变量的影响
Pub Date : 2005-09-01 DOI: 10.1175/JAM2286.1
S. Grossman‐Clarke, J. Zehnder, W. Stefanov, Yubao Liu, M. Zołdak
Abstract A refined land cover classification for the arid Phoenix (Arizona) metropolitan area and some simple modifications to the surface energetics were introduced in the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model (MM5). The single urban category in the existing 24-category U.S. Geological Survey land cover classification used in MM5 was divided into three classes to account for heterogeneity of urban land cover. Updated land cover data were derived from 1998 Landsat Thematic Mapper satellite images. The composition of the urban land use classes in terms of typical fractions of vegetation and anthropogenic surfaces was determined from ground-truth information, allowing a variety of moisture availability for evaporation by land cover class. Bulk approaches for characteristics of the urban surface energy budget, such as heat storage, the production of anthropogenic heat, and radiation trapping, were introduced in MM5’s Medium Range Forecast boun...
摘要介绍了美国宾夕法尼亚州立大学-美国国家大气研究中心第五代中尺度模式(MM5)对美国亚利桑那州凤凰城(Phoenix)市区土地覆盖分类的改进方法和对地表能量学的一些简单修正。MM5中使用的美国地质调查局现有的24类土地覆盖分类中的单一城市类别被分为三个类别,以考虑城市土地覆盖的异质性。更新的土地覆盖数据来自1998年Landsat Thematic Mapper卫星图像。从植被和人为地表的典型部分来看,城市土地利用类别的组成是根据地面真实信息确定的,允许按土地覆盖类别蒸发的各种水分可用性。在MM5的中期预报中,介绍了城市地表能量收支特征的大量方法,如储热、人为热产生和辐射捕获。
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引用次数: 124
Retrieval of Model Grid-Scale Heat Capacity Using Geostationary Satellite Products. Part I: First Case-Study Application 利用地球静止卫星产品反演网格尺度模型热容。第一部分:第一个案例研究应用
Pub Date : 2005-09-01 DOI: 10.1175/JAM2270.1
R. McNider, W. Lapenta, A. Biazar, G. Jedlovec, R. Suggs, J. Pleim
In weather forecast and general circulation models the behavior of the atmospheric boundary layer, especially the nocturnal boundary layer, can be critically dependent on the magnitude of the effective model grid-scale bulk heat capacity. Yet, this model parameter is uncertain both in its value and in its conceptual meaning for a model grid in heterogeneous conditions. Current methods for estimating the grid-scale heat capacity involve the areal/volume weighting of heat capacity (resistance) of various, often ill-defined, components. This can lead to errors in model performance in certain parameter spaces. Here, a technique is proposed and tested for recovering bulk heat capacity using time tendencies in satellite-retrieved surface skin temperature (SST). The technique builds upon sensitivity studies that show that surface temperature is most sensitive to thermal inertia in the early evening hours. The retrievals are made within the context of a surface energy budget in a regional-scale model [the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University– National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model (MM5)]. The retrieved heat capacities are used in the forecast model, and it is shown that the model predictions of temperature are improved in the nighttime during the forecast periods.
在天气预报和一般环流模式中,大气边界层的行为,特别是夜间边界层的行为,可能严重依赖于有效模式网格尺度体热容的大小。然而,对于异构条件下的模型网格,该模型参数的值和概念意义都是不确定的。目前估算电网尺度热容量的方法涉及各种(通常定义不清的)组件的热容量(阻力)的面积/体积加权。这可能导致某些参数空间中的模型性能出现错误。本文提出并测试了一种利用卫星获取的地表皮肤温度(SST)的时间趋势来回收体热容量的技术。这项技术建立在敏感性研究的基础上,该研究表明,地表温度对傍晚时分的热惯性最敏感。在区域尺度模式[宾夕法尼亚州立大学-国家大气研究中心第五代中尺度模式(MM5)]的地面能量收支背景下进行检索。利用反演的热容进行预报,结果表明,模型对夜间气温的预报有所提高。
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引用次数: 23
Retrieval of Microscale Wind and Temperature Fields from Single- and Dual-Doppler Lidar Data 利用单、双多普勒激光雷达数据反演微尺度风场和温度场
Pub Date : 2005-09-01 DOI: 10.1175/JAM2280.1
R. Newsom, D. Ligon, R. Calhoun, R. Heap, Edward G. Cregan, M. Princevac
Dual-Doppler lidar observations are used to assess the accuracy of single-Doppler retrievals of microscale wind and temperature fields in a shear-driven convective boundary layer. The retrieval algorithm, which is based on four-dimensional variational data assimilation, is applied by using dual- and single-Doppler lidar data that are acquired during the Joint Urban 2003 field experiment. The velocity field that was retrieved using single-Doppler data is compared directly with radial velocities that were measured by a second noncollocated lidar. Dual-Doppler retrievals are also performed and then compared with the singleDoppler retrieval. The linear correlation coefficient and rms deviation between the single-Doppler retrieval and the observations from the second lidar are found to be 0.94 and 1.2 m s 1 , respectively. The high correlation is mainly the result of good agreement in the mean vertical structure as observed by the two lidars. Comparisons between the single- and dual-Doppler retrieval indicate that the single-Doppler retrieval underestimates the magnitude of fluctuations in the crossbeam direction. Vertical profiles of horizontally averaged correlations between the single- and dual-Doppler retrievals also show a marginal correlation (0.4–0.8) between one of the horizontal velocity components. Again, this suggests that the retrieval algorithm has difficulty estimating the crossbeam component from single-Doppler data.
利用双多普勒激光雷达观测资料,评估了单多普勒反演切变对流边界层微尺度风场和温度场的精度。基于四维变分数据同化的检索算法,以联合城市2003野外试验中获取的双多普勒和单多普勒激光雷达数据为例进行了应用。使用单多普勒数据获取的速度场直接与另一个非配置激光雷达测量的径向速度进行比较。还进行了双多普勒检索,然后与单多普勒检索进行了比较。单多普勒反演结果与第二激光雷达观测值的线性相关系数和均方根偏差分别为0.94和1.2 ms 1。高相关性主要是由于两个激光雷达观测到的平均垂直结构非常一致。单多普勒反演与双多普勒反演的比较表明,单多普勒反演低估了波束方向的波动幅度。单和双多普勒反演的水平平均相关性的垂直剖面也显示其中一个水平速度分量之间的边际相关性(0.4-0.8)。这再次表明,检索算法难以从单多普勒数据估计横梁分量。
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引用次数: 66
Separation between Cloud-Seeding and Air-Pollution Effects 人工降雨与空气污染效应的分离
Pub Date : 2005-09-01 DOI: 10.1175/JAM2276.1
A. Givati, D. Rosenfeld
Abstract Enhancement of precipitation by cloud-seeding operations has been reported in many studies around the world in the last several decades. On the other hand, suppression of rain and snow by urban and industrial air pollution recently has been documented and quantified. Here it is shown that the two effects are the opposite sides of the same coin, demonstrating the sensitivity of clouds to anthropogenic aerosols of different kinds. This is done by analyzing the rainfall amounts in northern Israel during the last 53 years and explaining the changes there as the combined opposite effects of precipitation suppression by air pollution and enhancement by glaciogenic cloud seeding. Time series based on precipitation from rain gauges were analyzed for seeded and nonseeded days and periods in the experimental control and the target areas. The response variable is Ro, the orographic enhancement factor, which is the ratio of gauge-measured rainfall in inland hilly areas (500–1000 m) to the rainfall at the upw...
在过去的几十年里,世界各地的许多研究都报道了人工增雨对降水的增强作用。另一方面,最近城市和工业空气污染对雨雪的抑制已被记录和量化。这里表明,这两种影响是同一枚硬币的两面,表明了云对不同种类的人为气溶胶的敏感性。这是通过分析以色列北部过去53年的降雨量来完成的,并将那里的变化解释为空气污染抑制降水和冰川云播种增强降水的综合相反影响。基于雨量计降水的时间序列分析了试验控制区和目标区的播种日和非播种日和周期。响应变量为地形增强因子Ro,即内陆丘陵地区(500-1000 m)的雨量与海拔高度的雨量之比。
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引用次数: 64
Developing Clear-Sky Flux Products for the Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget Experiment 研制对地静止地球辐射收支试验晴空通量产品
Pub Date : 2005-09-01 DOI: 10.1175/JAM2291.1
J. Futyan, J. Russell
Abstract This paper describes the planned processing of monthly mean and monthly mean diurnal cycle flux products for the Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB) experiment. The use of higher-spatial-resolution flux estimates based on multichannel narrowband imager data to improve clear-sky sampling is investigated. Significant improvements in temporal sampling are found, leading to reduced temporal sampling errors and less dependence on diurnal models for the monthly mean products. The reduction in temporal sampling errors is found to outweigh any spatial sampling errors that are introduced. The resulting flux estimates are used to develop an improved version of the half-sine model that is used for the diurnal interpolation of clear-sky longwave fluxes over land in the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) and Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) missions. Maximum outgoing longwave radiation occurs from 45 min to 1.5 h after local noon for most of the GERB field of view. Use of the...
摘要本文介绍了静止地球辐射收支(GERB)试验的月平均和月平均日循环通量产品的计划处理。研究了利用基于多通道窄带成像仪数据的高空间分辨率通量估计来改进晴空采样。发现时间采样的显著改进,减少了时间采样误差,减少了对月平均产品的日模型的依赖。发现时间采样误差的减少超过了引入的任何空间采样误差。由此产生的通量估计用于开发半正弦模型的改进版本,该模型用于地球辐射预算实验(ERBE)和云和地球辐射能系统(CERES)任务中晴空长波通量在陆地上的日插值。在大部分GERB视场中,最大的长波辐射发生在当地正午后45分钟至1.5小时。使用…
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引用次数: 8
Improved Radar Ice Water Content Retrieval Algorithms Using Coincident Microphysical and Radar Measurements 基于微物理和雷达测量的改进雷达冰水含量检索算法
Pub Date : 2005-09-01 DOI: 10.1175/JAM2282.1
A. Heymsfield, Zhien Wang, S. Matrosov
Airborne radar reflectivity measurements at frequencies of 9.6 and 94 GHz, with collocated, in situ particle size distribution and ice water content measurements from the Cirrus Regional Study of Tropical Anvils and Cirrus Layers (CRYSTAL) Florida Area Cirrus Experiment (FACE) in Florida in July 2002, offer one of the first opportunities to evaluate and improve algorithms for retrieving ice water content from single-wavelength spaceborne radar measurements. Both ice water content and radar reflectivity depend on the distribution of particle mass with size. It is demonstrated that single, power-law, mass dimensional relationships are unable to adequately account for the dominating contribution of small particles at lower reflectivities and large particles at higher reflectivities. To circumvent the need for multiple, or complex, mass dimensional relationships, analytic expressions that use particle ensemble mean ice particle densities that are derived from the coincident microphysical and radar observations are developed. These expressions, together with more than 5000 CRYSTAL FACE size distributions, are used to develop radar reflectivity–ice water content relationships for the two radar wavelengths that appear to provide improvements over earlier relationships, at least for convectively generated stratiform ice clouds.
2002年7月在佛罗里达州进行的热带卷云和卷云层卷云区域研究(CRYSTAL)佛罗里达区域卷云实验(FACE)中,在9.6 GHz和94 GHz频率上的机载雷达反射率测量,以及同步的原位粒度分布和冰水含量测量,为评估和改进从单波长星载雷达测量中检索冰水含量的算法提供了第一次机会。冰含水量和雷达反射率都取决于粒子质量随尺寸的分布。结果表明,单一的幂律质量维度关系不能充分解释低反射率的小粒子和高反射率的大粒子的主要贡献。为了避免对多重或复杂的质量维度关系的需要,我们开发了利用粒子系综平均冰粒子密度的解析表达式,这些密度是由微物理和雷达观测同时得出的。这些表达式与超过5000个CRYSTAL FACE尺寸分布一起用于开发两个雷达波长的雷达反射率-冰水含量关系,这些关系似乎比早期的关系有所改善,至少对于对流生成的层状冰云。
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引用次数: 54
期刊
Journal of Applied Meteorology
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