The literature on resilience has focused predominantly on the consequences of resilience for the resilient individuals themselves. Yet, current theorizing on workplace events suggests that the critical and eye-catching nature of demonstrating resilience is likely to draw the attention of other employees. We explore these interpersonal dynamics surrounding resilience by developing and testing a model that delves into the consequences of employees observing their coworkers' resilience. Drawing from social comparison theory, we explain how observing resilience is related to both positive (inspiration) and negative (anxiety) social comparison emotions, based on perceptions of similarity with the resilient individual. We further theorize about the downstream consequences of these emotions for the observer's attitudes (positive mindset about stress) and behavior (adaptive performance). Across a combination of lab and field studies, we found that observing resilience is related to feelings of anxiety when the observer perceives themselves as being dissimilar to the resilient individual. However, the significant positive effect of observing resilience on inspiration was not conditional upon similarity perceptions. In turn, these feelings of inspiration and anxiety were associated with the observer having a more, or less, positive attitude toward stress, respectively, which was ultimately related to helping or hindering their adaptive performance in the workplace. We discuss how our research provides a rich avenue for future studies on the social dynamics surrounding employee resilience. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2026 APA, all rights reserved).
{"title":"If it does not kill you, does it make me stronger? The double-edged consequences of observing resilience in the workplace.","authors":"Braydon C Shanklin, Tyler B Sabey","doi":"10.1037/apl0001369","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/apl0001369","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The literature on resilience has focused predominantly on the consequences of resilience for the resilient individuals themselves. Yet, current theorizing on workplace events suggests that the critical and eye-catching nature of demonstrating resilience is likely to draw the attention of other employees. We explore these interpersonal dynamics surrounding resilience by developing and testing a model that delves into the consequences of employees observing their coworkers' resilience. Drawing from social comparison theory, we explain how observing resilience is related to both positive (inspiration) and negative (anxiety) social comparison emotions, based on perceptions of similarity with the resilient individual. We further theorize about the downstream consequences of these emotions for the observer's attitudes (positive mindset about stress) and behavior (adaptive performance). Across a combination of lab and field studies, we found that observing resilience is related to feelings of anxiety when the observer perceives themselves as being dissimilar to the resilient individual. However, the significant positive effect of observing resilience on inspiration was not conditional upon similarity perceptions. In turn, these feelings of inspiration and anxiety were associated with the observer having a more, or less, positive attitude toward stress, respectively, which was ultimately related to helping or hindering their adaptive performance in the workplace. We discuss how our research provides a rich avenue for future studies on the social dynamics surrounding employee resilience. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2026 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":15135,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Psychology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146142310","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Humans possess an evolved followership psychology that enables them to identify and endorse different types of leaders depending on situational demands. But what fundamental needs guide these follower endorsements? Across a preliminary study and five validation studies (N = 3,514), we developed and validated the Fundamental Follower Needs Inventory (FFNI)-a psychometrically robust measure that identifies six core follower needs: protection, affiliation, status, guidance (including vision and expertise), and fairness. In Studies 1 and 2, we conducted content validation, tested reliability, and confirmed the factor structure of the FFNI across three domains (general, political, and workplace), three countries (the United States, the United Kingdom, and China), and multiple time points. Study 3 demonstrated FFNI's convergent and discriminant validity. Studies 4 and 5 explored the nomological network, examining its antecedents, consequences, and both predictive and incremental validity. The FFNI provides a novel tool for researchers to investigate how follower needs vary across contexts and cultures and how these needs shape leader endorsements and perceptions of leadership effectiveness. Practically, the FFNI offers leaders a framework to better understand and respond to the psychological needs of those they lead. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2026 APA, all rights reserved).
{"title":"The psychology of following: Conceptualizing and validating the Fundamental Follower Needs Inventory.","authors":"Xiaotian Sheng, Wendy Andrews, Mark van Vugt","doi":"10.1037/apl0001347","DOIUrl":"10.1037/apl0001347","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Humans possess an evolved followership psychology that enables them to identify and endorse different types of leaders depending on situational demands. But what fundamental needs guide these follower endorsements? Across a preliminary study and five validation studies (<i>N</i> = 3,514), we developed and validated the Fundamental Follower Needs Inventory (FFNI)-a psychometrically robust measure that identifies six core follower needs: <i>protection, affiliation, status, guidance</i> (including <i>vision</i> and <i>expertise</i>), and <i>fairness.</i> In Studies 1 and 2, we conducted content validation, tested reliability, and confirmed the factor structure of the FFNI across three domains (general, political, and workplace), three countries (the United States, the United Kingdom, and China), and multiple time points. Study 3 demonstrated FFNI's convergent and discriminant validity. Studies 4 and 5 explored the nomological network, examining its antecedents, consequences, and both predictive and incremental validity. The FFNI provides a novel tool for researchers to investigate how follower needs vary across contexts and cultures and how these needs shape leader endorsements and perceptions of leadership effectiveness. Practically, the FFNI offers leaders a framework to better understand and respond to the psychological needs of those they lead. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2026 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":15135,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Psychology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146142462","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Supplemental Material for The Psychology of Following: Conceptualizing and Validating the Fundamental Follower Needs Inventory","authors":"","doi":"10.1037/apl0001347.supp","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/apl0001347.supp","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":15135,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Psychology","volume":"89 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146122163","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Correction to “Build or buy? The individual and unit-level performance of internally versus externally selected managers over time” by DeOrtentiis et al. (2018).","authors":"","doi":"10.1037/apl0001349","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/apl0001349","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":15135,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Psychology","volume":"24 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146122162","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jeremy B. Bernerth, Min Z. Carter, Justin Pepe, R. Michael Holmes, Wayne Hochwarter
{"title":"The unintended consequences of state policies on entrepreneurial activity and quality of work life: A social impact study.","authors":"Jeremy B. Bernerth, Min Z. Carter, Justin Pepe, R. Michael Holmes, Wayne Hochwarter","doi":"10.1037/apl0001345","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/apl0001345","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":15135,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Psychology","volume":"82 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146101597","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Supplemental Material for The Unintended Consequences of State Policies on Entrepreneurial Activity and Quality of Work Life: A Social Impact Study","authors":"","doi":"10.1037/apl0001345.supp","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/apl0001345.supp","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":15135,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Psychology","volume":"287 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146095610","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-06-26DOI: 10.1037/apl0001295
David M Long, Jason A Colquitt, Rachel Burgess, Kevin W Rockmann
We conducted a study of aviators who experienced a close brush with death at work, in an effort to better understand how such events influence thoughts about work. Importantly, our initial interviews suggested that participants used conversational storytelling about their close brush with death as a means of enhancing the meaningfulness of their work. That initial finding presented us with a puzzle, as the literatures connecting storytelling to the meaning of work view stories as useful for meaning as understanding-not meaningas fulfillment (i.e., meaningfulness). Additional interviews culminated in a theoretical model where the raw materials of the close brush with death (loss of life, errors by the crew) created stories with more versus less dramatic tension. Differences in dramatic tension then shaped how story work (humor, poetic license) was used to craft the tale, how the tellings were experienced (teller emotions, audience reactions), and how gains in meaning as fulfillment (significance, belonging, esteem) were realized. In the end, participants with more and less dramatic tension in their stories were both able to use tellings to cultivate meaning as fulfillment, albeit in distinct and varying ways. Our findings therefore illustrate that the literatures connecting storytelling to the meaning of work have given short shrift to the power of stories. We discuss the implications of our theorizing for the meaning of work and storytelling at work literatures. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
我们对在工作中与死亡擦肩而过的飞行员进行了一项研究,以更好地理解此类事件如何影响人们对工作的看法。重要的是,我们最初的采访表明,参与者使用对话式的故事讲述他们与死亡的亲密接触,作为增强工作意义的一种手段。最初的发现给我们带来了一个难题,因为将讲故事与工作意义联系起来的文献认为故事对理解意义有用,而不是实现意义(即有意义)。额外的采访在一个理论模型中达到高潮,在这个模型中,与死亡擦肩而过的原始材料(生命的丧失,工作人员的错误)创造了更多和更少戏剧性张力的故事。戏剧张力的差异决定了故事的创作方式(幽默、诗意),故事的叙述方式(讲述者的情感、观众的反应),以及实现意义(重要性、归属感、尊重)的方式。最后,故事中戏剧性张力或多或少的参与者都能够通过讲述来培养意义作为成就感,尽管方式不同。因此,我们的研究结果表明,将讲故事与工作意义联系起来的文献忽视了故事的力量。我们讨论了我们的理论对工作的意义和在工作文献中讲故事的影响。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
{"title":"Stories from the danger zone: Conversational storytelling and the meaning of work after a close brush with death.","authors":"David M Long, Jason A Colquitt, Rachel Burgess, Kevin W Rockmann","doi":"10.1037/apl0001295","DOIUrl":"10.1037/apl0001295","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We conducted a study of aviators who experienced a close brush with death at work, in an effort to better understand how such events influence thoughts about work. Importantly, our initial interviews suggested that participants used conversational storytelling about their close brush with death as a means of enhancing the meaningfulness of their work. That initial finding presented us with a puzzle, as the literatures connecting storytelling to the meaning of work view stories as useful for <i>meaning as understanding-</i>not <i>meaning</i> <i>as fulfillment</i> (i.e., meaningfulness). Additional interviews culminated in a theoretical model where the raw materials of the close brush with death (loss of life, errors by the crew) created stories with more versus less dramatic tension. Differences in dramatic tension then shaped how story work (humor, poetic license) was used to craft the tale, how the tellings were experienced (teller emotions, audience reactions), and how gains in meaning as fulfillment (significance, belonging, esteem) were realized. In the end, participants with more and less dramatic tension in their stories were both able to use tellings to cultivate meaning as fulfillment, albeit in distinct and varying ways. Our findings therefore illustrate that the literatures connecting storytelling to the meaning of work have given short shrift to the power of stories. We discuss the implications of our theorizing for the meaning of work and storytelling at work literatures. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":15135,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Psychology","volume":" ","pages":"44-67"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144505801","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hong Deng, Catherine K. Lam, Yixuan Li, Yanjun Guan, Mo Wang, Russell Johnson
{"title":"When do people prefer to be asked or told? The interplay between participative/directive advising style and expertise superiority in recommendation acceptance.","authors":"Hong Deng, Catherine K. Lam, Yixuan Li, Yanjun Guan, Mo Wang, Russell Johnson","doi":"10.1037/apl0001337","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/apl0001337","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":15135,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Psychology","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145770926","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nicola Lawrence-Thomas,Eden King,Jeremy Dawson,Elisabeth R Silver,Mikki Hebl,Jazmin Argueta-Rivera,Hwayeon Myeong,Dillon Stewart
Women's reproductive rights are intensely debated, with abortion laws in the United States constantly changing. However, the long-term economic consequences of abortion remain largely unknown due to a lack of robust research in this area. Drawing on lifespan career theory, we theorize that pregnancy during the early-career period represents a pivotal inflection point. It initiates divergent reproductive pathways with lasting, path-dependent effects on women's economic trajectories. We conceptualize abortion as a distinct and constrained early-career event that may be associated with career development in ways that differ meaningfully from both parenthood and nonpregnancy. Using national longitudinal data from 6,218 participants in the United States (1979-2020), we examine how having an abortion, compared with becoming a parent or not experiencing pregnancy at all, is related to women's long-term economic trajectories. Results show that women who had an abortion, and those who did not become pregnant, earned significantly more over a 30-year period than those who became mothers by an estimated $398,000 ($495,000 in 2025 dollars) and $448,000 ($556,000 in 2025 dollars), respectively. These findings extend lifespan career theory by conceptualizing reproductive decisions during one's early career as critical but understudied career-defining events that are associated with women's economic mobility. The results also suggest several potential policy implications: Protecting access to contraception and abortion, and providing mothers with structural family support mechanisms such a job-protected paid parental leave and subsidized childcare, may help women achieve sustained economic stability and career advancement. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
随着美国堕胎法的不断变化,妇女的生殖权利一直备受争议。然而,由于在这一领域缺乏强有力的研究,堕胎的长期经济后果在很大程度上仍然未知。根据终身职业理论,我们认为在职业生涯早期怀孕是一个关键的转折点。它引发了不同的生殖途径,对妇女的经济轨迹产生持久的、路径依赖的影响。我们将堕胎定义为一种独特的、受限制的早期职业事件,它与职业发展的关系可能与为人父母和未怀孕的职业发展有很大的不同。利用美国6218名参与者(1979-2020年)的全国纵向数据,我们研究了与成为父母或根本没有怀孕相比,堕胎与女性的长期经济轨迹之间的关系。结果显示,在30年的时间里,堕胎妇女和没有怀孕的妇女的收入明显高于成为母亲的妇女,分别为39.8万美元(2025年的美元价值为49.5万美元)和44.8万美元(2025年的美元价值为55.6万美元)。这些发现通过将早期职业生涯中的生育决定概念化为与女性经济流动性相关的关键但未被充分研究的职业定义事件,扩展了终身职业理论。研究结果还提出了几个潜在的政策启示:保护避孕和堕胎的渠道,为母亲提供结构性的家庭支持机制,如保护工作的带薪育儿假和补贴儿童保育,可能有助于妇女实现持续的经济稳定和职业发展。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
{"title":"Economic trajectories of women: The relationship between abortion and women's salary growth.","authors":"Nicola Lawrence-Thomas,Eden King,Jeremy Dawson,Elisabeth R Silver,Mikki Hebl,Jazmin Argueta-Rivera,Hwayeon Myeong,Dillon Stewart","doi":"10.1037/apl0001348","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/apl0001348","url":null,"abstract":"Women's reproductive rights are intensely debated, with abortion laws in the United States constantly changing. However, the long-term economic consequences of abortion remain largely unknown due to a lack of robust research in this area. Drawing on lifespan career theory, we theorize that pregnancy during the early-career period represents a pivotal inflection point. It initiates divergent reproductive pathways with lasting, path-dependent effects on women's economic trajectories. We conceptualize abortion as a distinct and constrained early-career event that may be associated with career development in ways that differ meaningfully from both parenthood and nonpregnancy. Using national longitudinal data from 6,218 participants in the United States (1979-2020), we examine how having an abortion, compared with becoming a parent or not experiencing pregnancy at all, is related to women's long-term economic trajectories. Results show that women who had an abortion, and those who did not become pregnant, earned significantly more over a 30-year period than those who became mothers by an estimated $398,000 ($495,000 in 2025 dollars) and $448,000 ($556,000 in 2025 dollars), respectively. These findings extend lifespan career theory by conceptualizing reproductive decisions during one's early career as critical but understudied career-defining events that are associated with women's economic mobility. The results also suggest several potential policy implications: Protecting access to contraception and abortion, and providing mothers with structural family support mechanisms such a job-protected paid parental leave and subsidized childcare, may help women achieve sustained economic stability and career advancement. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).","PeriodicalId":15135,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Psychology","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145752758","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chen Tang,Louis Hickman,Q Chelsea Song,Leo Alexander
Recent evidence suggests that prediction models using item scores, instead of the traditionally used scale scores, can more accurately predict outcomes of interest. However, little is known about the conditions under which item- or scale-level models are more suitable for prediction in organizational practice. To address this gap, we examined several real-world data sets for the presence of valid item nuances (i.e., criterion-valid item-specific variance that is lost when aggregating to scale scores). We then designed and conducted a Monte Carlo simulation based on empirical estimates to investigate the criterion-related validity of item- and scale-level models. In the simulation, we varied (a) the distribution of nuances among items, (b) the effect size of nuances, (c) the effect size of constructs, (d) scale internal consistency, and (e) training sample size. Results suggested that item-level models are recommended when relatively few items in a scale carry nuances, the nuance effect sizes are similar or larger in magnitude to the scale effect sizes, internal consistency is high, and training sample size is large. Our review of prior studies and analyses of real-world data suggest that the conditions favoring item-level models are not uncommon in organizational data. For conditions that do not substantiate the use of either item- or scale-level models, we also examined ensemble models and found that they can be an attractive alternative when the choice is unclear. We provide R code and recommendations for examining valid nuances in one's data and developing item-level, scale-level, and ensemble predictive models. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
最近的证据表明,使用项目分数的预测模型,而不是传统上使用的量表分数,可以更准确地预测感兴趣的结果。然而,在何种条件下项目级模型或规模级模型更适合于组织实践中的预测,人们知之甚少。为了解决这一差距,我们检查了几个真实世界的数据集,看看是否存在有效的项目细微差别(即,在汇总到规模分数时丢失的标准有效的特定项目方差)。在此基础上,我们设计并进行了蒙特卡洛模拟,以考察项目和尺度水平模型的效度。在模拟中,我们改变了(a)项目之间细微差别的分布,(b)细微差别的效应大小,(c)构念的效应大小,(d)量表内部一致性,(e)训练样本量。结果表明,当量表中包含细微差别的项目较少,细微差别效应大小与量表效应大小相似或较大,内部一致性高,训练样本量大时,建议采用项目级模型。我们对以往研究的回顾和对真实世界数据的分析表明,有利于项目级模型的条件在组织数据中并不罕见。对于不能证明使用项目级或比例级模型的条件,我们也检查了集成模型,发现当选择不明确时,它们可能是一个有吸引力的选择。我们提供R代码和建议,用于检查数据中的有效细微差别,并开发项目级,规模级和集成预测模型。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
{"title":"When are item nuances useful for prediction in organizations? Comparing the validity of item-level, scale-level, and ensemble machine learning models.","authors":"Chen Tang,Louis Hickman,Q Chelsea Song,Leo Alexander","doi":"10.1037/apl0001339","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/apl0001339","url":null,"abstract":"Recent evidence suggests that prediction models using item scores, instead of the traditionally used scale scores, can more accurately predict outcomes of interest. However, little is known about the conditions under which item- or scale-level models are more suitable for prediction in organizational practice. To address this gap, we examined several real-world data sets for the presence of valid item nuances (i.e., criterion-valid item-specific variance that is lost when aggregating to scale scores). We then designed and conducted a Monte Carlo simulation based on empirical estimates to investigate the criterion-related validity of item- and scale-level models. In the simulation, we varied (a) the distribution of nuances among items, (b) the effect size of nuances, (c) the effect size of constructs, (d) scale internal consistency, and (e) training sample size. Results suggested that item-level models are recommended when relatively few items in a scale carry nuances, the nuance effect sizes are similar or larger in magnitude to the scale effect sizes, internal consistency is high, and training sample size is large. Our review of prior studies and analyses of real-world data suggest that the conditions favoring item-level models are not uncommon in organizational data. For conditions that do not substantiate the use of either item- or scale-level models, we also examined ensemble models and found that they can be an attractive alternative when the choice is unclear. We provide R code and recommendations for examining valid nuances in one's data and developing item-level, scale-level, and ensemble predictive models. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).","PeriodicalId":15135,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Psychology","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145752761","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}