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Interplay between pharmacokinetics and immunogenicity of therapeutic proteins: stepwise development of a bidirectional joint pharmacokinetics-anti-drug antibodies model. 治疗性蛋白的药代动力学与免疫原性之间的相互作用:一个双向联合药代动力学-抗药物抗体模型的逐步发展。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q3 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-09971-w
Jan-Stefan van der Walt, Justin Wilkins, Akash Khandelwal, Karthik Venkatakrishnan, Wei Gao, Ana-Marija Milenković-Grišić

The aim of the analysis was to develop a phenomenological longitudinal population pharmacokinetics (PK)-anti-drug antibodies (ADA) model to enable an informed and quantitative framework for assessment of ADA influence. Data used were from seven clinical studies of avelumab across drug development phases in patients with several tumor types. ADA as covariate in a population PK model, and Markov models of ADA status (ADA+ or ADA-) were investigated. Finally, a joint PK-ADA model was developed. In the population PK models that evaluated ADA as a covariate, the clearance increase attributable to ADA+ status was 8.5% (time-varying ADA) to 19.9% (time-invariant ADA with inter-occasion variability in clearance). With a discrete-time Markov model (DTMM), tumor type was identified as a significant covariate on the probability of ADA- to ADA+ transition. When ADA time course predicted by the DTMM model was implemented as a covariate in the population PK model, an increase in avelumab clearance of 11-41% was estimated depending on tumor type. With a continuous-time Markov model (CTMM), in addition to tumor type, baseline ADA status was identified to significantly influence the ADA- to ADA+ transition rate constant. The joint PK-CTMM model estimated the maximal increase in CL due to ADA as 15% and a decrease in ADA- to ADA+ transition rate of up to 37% with increasing avelumab concentration, with 50% of the maximum decrease occurring at 349 µg/mL. The present work established a framework for the assessment of interactions between PK and immunogenicity for therapeutic proteins.

分析的目的是建立一个现象纵向群体药代动力学(PK)-抗药物抗体(ADA)模型,以便为评估ADA影响提供一个知情的定量框架。使用的数据来自七种不同肿瘤类型患者的avelumab药物开发阶段的临床研究。研究了ADA作为种群PK模型的协变量,以及ADA状态(ADA+或ADA-)的马尔可夫模型。最后,建立了联合PK-ADA模型。在将ADA作为协变量进行评估的人群PK模型中,归因于ADA+状态的清除率增加为8.5%(时变ADA)至19.9%(清除率在不同情况下具有可变性的时不变ADA)。采用离散时间马尔可夫模型(DTMM),确定肿瘤类型是影响ADA-向ADA+转变概率的重要协变量。当将DTMM模型预测的ADA时间进程作为群体PK模型中的协变量时,根据肿瘤类型,估计avelumab清除率增加11-41%。利用连续时间马尔可夫模型(CTMM),除肿瘤类型外,确定基线ADA状态显著影响ADA-到ADA+的转换速率常数。联合PK-CTMM模型估计,随着阿维单抗浓度的增加,ADA引起的CL的最大增加为15%,ADA-到ADA+的转换率下降高达37%,其中50%的最大下降发生在349 μ g/mL。本研究建立了一个评估PK与治疗蛋白免疫原性之间相互作用的框架。
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引用次数: 0
A comprehensive review of 20 years of progress in nonclinical QT evaluation and proarrhythmic assessment. 非临床QT间期评估和心律失常评估20年进展综述。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q3 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-09979-2
Eric Delpy, Anne-Marie Bétat, Annie Delaunois, Christophe Drieu la Rochelle, Eric Martel, Jean-Pierre Valentin

The assessment of drug-induced QT interval prolongation and associated proarrhythmic risks, such as Torsades de Pointes (TdP), has evolved significantly over the past decades. This review traces the development of nonclinical QT evaluation, highlighting key milestones and innovations that have shaped current practices in cardiac safety assessment. The emergence of regulatory guidelines, including International Council for Harmonization of Technical Requirements for Pharmaceuticals for Human Use (ICH) S7B, established a nonclinical framework for evaluating drug effects on cardiac repolarization, addressing concerns raised by drug withdrawals in the 1990s. Advances in in vitro, in vivo, and in silico models have enhanced the predictive accuracy of nonclinical studies, with the hERG assay and telemetry-based animal models becoming gold standards. Recent initiatives, such as the Comprehensive in vitro Proarrhythmia Assay (CiPA) and the Japan iPS Cardiac Safety Assessment (JiCSA), emphasize integrating mechanistic insights from human-derived cardiomyocyte models and computational approaches to refine risk predictions. The 2020s mark a shift toward integrated nonclinical-clinical risk assessments, as exemplified by the ICH E14/S7B Questions and Answers. These highlight the need of best practices for study design, data analysis, and interpretation to support regulatory decision-making. Furthermore, the adoption of New Approach Methodologies (NAMs) and reinforced adherence to 3Rs principles (Reduce, Refine, Replace) reflect a commitment to ethical and innovative safety science. This review underscores the importance of harmonized and translational approaches in cardiac safety evaluation, providing a foundation for advancing drug development while safeguarding patient safety. Future directions include further integration of advanced methodologies and regulatory harmonization to streamline nonclinical and clinical risk assessments.

在过去的几十年里,对药物引起的QT间期延长和相关的心律失常风险的评估,如扭转角(TdP),有了显著的发展。本文回顾了非临床QT评估的发展,强调了影响心脏安全评估当前实践的关键里程碑和创新。监管指南的出现,包括国际人用药品技术要求协调委员会(ICH) S7B,建立了评估药物对心脏复极影响的非临床框架,解决了20世纪90年代药物停药引起的关注。体外、体内和硅模型的进步提高了非临床研究的预测准确性,hERG测定和基于遥测的动物模型成为金标准。最近的举措,如综合体外心律失常原测定(CiPA)和日本iPS心脏安全评估(JiCSA),强调整合来自人源性心肌细胞模型和计算方法的机制见解,以完善风险预测。21世纪20年代标志着向综合非临床-临床风险评估的转变,如ICH E14/S7B问答。这些突出了对研究设计、数据分析和解释的最佳实践的需求,以支持监管决策。此外,采用新方法方法(NAMs)和加强遵守3r原则(减少,改进,替换)反映了对道德和创新安全科学的承诺。这篇综述强调了在心脏安全性评估中协调和转化方法的重要性,为推进药物开发同时保障患者安全提供了基础。未来的方向包括进一步整合先进的方法和监管协调,以简化非临床和临床风险评估。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond the linear model in concentration-QT analysis. 在浓度- qt分析中超越线性模型。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q3 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-05-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-09975-6
Géraldine Cellière, Andreas Krause, Guillaume Bonnefois, Jonathan Chauvin

The white-paper regression model is the standard method for assessing QT liability of drugs. The quantity of interest, placebo-corrected QTc change from baseline (ΔΔQTc) with corresponding confidence interval (CI), is derived from the difference in model-estimated ΔQTc for active compound and placebo in a linear model. Model assumptions include linearity and no time delay between change in concentration and change in ΔQTc. Alternative models are commonly not considered unless there is a clear indication of inappropriateness of the assumptions. This work introduces several extensions for concentration-QT modeling in a pharmacometric context. The model is formulated as linear drug-effect model with treatment, nominal time, and centered baseline as covariates on the intercept. This approach enables straightforward use of other concentration-ΔQTc relationships, including loglinear, Emax, and indirect-effects models. In addition, the setup allows for the use of pharmacometric model assessments for ΔQTc and ΔΔQTc, including visual predictive checks and quantitative model comparison based on the Bayesian information criterion. The proposed approach is applied to several compounds from a previously published QTc study. The results suggest that a nonlinear mixed-effects model for ΔΔQTc and comparing a set of candidate models quantitatively can be a more powerful approach than fitting only the white-paper regression model. A semi-automated approach that compares nonlinear and hysteresis models to the linear model enables a reliable choice of the best model and determination of the degree of prolongation at the concentration of interest. Standard pharmacometric tools can assess the appropriateness of the models and the potential extent of hysteresis.

白皮书回归模型是评估药物QT负性的标准方法。感兴趣的数量,安慰剂校正的QTc从基线(ΔΔQTc)与相应的置信区间(CI)的变化,来源于线性模型中活性化合物和安慰剂模型估计的ΔQTc的差异。模型假设包括线性和浓度变化与ΔQTc变化之间没有时间延迟。除非有明确的迹象表明假设是不适当的,否则通常不会考虑替代模型。这项工作介绍了几个扩展浓度qt建模在药物计量上下文中。该模型以治疗、标称时间和居中基线为截距协变量为线性药物效应模型。这种方法可以直接使用其他浓度-ΔQTc关系,包括对数、Emax和间接影响模型。此外,该设置允许使用ΔQTc和ΔΔQTc的药物计量模型评估,包括视觉预测检查和基于贝叶斯信息标准的定量模型比较。该方法已应用于先前发表的QTc研究中的几种化合物。结果表明,建立ΔΔQTc的非线性混合效应模型并定量比较一组候选模型比仅拟合白皮书回归模型更有效。将非线性和滞后模型与线性模型进行比较的半自动化方法可以可靠地选择最佳模型并确定兴趣集中的延长程度。标准的药物计量工具可以评估模型的适当性和潜在的迟滞程度。
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引用次数: 0
Informatics for toxicokinetics. 毒物动力学信息学。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q3 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-05-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-09977-4
Gilberto Padilla Mercado, Christopher Cook, Norman Adkins, Lucas Albrecht, Grace Cary, Brenda Edwards, Derik E Haggard, Nancy M Hanley, Michael F Hughes, Anna Jarnagin, Tirumala D Kodavanti, Evgenia Korol-Bexell, Anna Kreutz, Mayla Ngo, Caitlyn Patullo, Evelyn G Rowan, L McKenna Huse, Veronica A Correa, Branislav Kesic, Will Casey, Jennat Aboabdo, Kaitlyn Wolf, Risa Sayre, Bhaskar Sharma, Jonathan T Wall, Hiroshi Yamazaki, John F Wambaugh, Caroline L Ring

Toxicokinetic and pharmacokinetic (PK) summary parameters, such as Cmax (peak concentration), AUC (time-integrated area under the plasma concentration curve), and t1/2 (elimination half-life from the body), are important information for understanding chemical safety in both pharmaceuticals and commercial industry. Although standardized tools exist for PK analysis of individual chemicals, new workflows can enhance chemoinformatic trend analysis. The Concentration versus Time Database (CvTdb) is a public repository of PK data at the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). The CvTdb contains manually curated, standardized toxicokinetic data from hundreds of publications. Experimental time-course data of chemical concentrations in body fluids and tissues are extracted along with descriptive metadata. The advantage of standardized data is that it can be analyzed systematically. For example, we observe that 88.6% of replicate measurements of blood or plasma concentrations of chemicals after intravenous or oral dosing are within two-fold of the mean concentration. Although most experimental data have final timepoints within three days, some experiments extend up to a year, usually for long-lived chemicals. Here we have estimated PK parameters of CvTdb data using a custom R package, invivoPKfit. Standardized 1- and 2- compartmental PK model parameters were estimated using all data associated with a particular compound, including data that spans multiple references. We used invivoPKfit to estimate PK parameters such as volume of distribution (Vd) and t1/2. The parameter values estimated with invivoPKfit are distributed similar to estimates made in the literature by a variety of methods. Overall, CvTdb serves as a standardized set of open data and for calibrating and evaluating PK models, while invivoPKfit allows for batch processing of this data type in a transparent and scalable manner. In addition to scientific insights, chemical risk assessment may be better informed by transparent, reproducible, and open-source workflows for PK informatics.

毒代动力学和药代动力学(PK)总结参数,如Cmax(峰值浓度)、AUC(血浆浓度曲线下的时间积分面积)和t1/2(从体内消除半衰期),是了解药品和商业工业中化学品安全性的重要信息。虽然存在标准化的工具来分析单个化学品的PK,但新的工作流程可以增强化学信息学趋势分析。浓度与时间数据库(CvTdb)是美国环境保护署(EPA)的一个公共PK数据存储库。CvTdb包含来自数百种出版物的手动整理的标准化毒性动力学数据。提取体液和组织中化学物质浓度的实验时程数据以及描述性元数据。标准化数据的优点是可以进行系统的分析。例如,我们观察到88.6%的静脉或口服给药后血液或血浆化学物质浓度的重复测量值在平均浓度的两倍之内。虽然大多数实验数据的最终时间点在三天内,但有些实验通常会延长到一年,通常是针对寿命较长的化学品。在这里,我们使用自定义R包invivoPKfit估计了CvTdb数据的PK参数。标准化的1室和2室PK模型参数使用与特定化合物相关的所有数据进行估计,包括跨越多个参考的数据。我们使用invivoPKfit来估计PK参数,如分布体积(Vd)和t1/2。invivoPKfit估计的参数值分布与文献中各种方法估计的值相似。总的来说,CvTdb作为一组标准化的开放数据,用于校准和评估PK模型,而invivoPKfit允许以透明和可扩展的方式批量处理这种数据类型。除了科学见解之外,透明的、可重复的、开源的PK信息学工作流程可以更好地为化学品风险评估提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging large language models to compare perspectives on integrating QSP and AI/ML. 利用大型语言模型来比较集成QSP和AI/ML的观点。
IF 2.8 4区 医学 Q3 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-05-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-09976-5
Ioannis P Androulakis, Limei Cheng, Carolyn R Cho, Tongli Zhang

Two recent papers offer contrasting perspectives on integrating Quantitative Systems Pharmacology (QSP) and Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning (AI/ML): one views QSP as the primary driver using AI/ML to enhance computational tasks, while the other argues that AI/ML should provide an alternative mechanistic framework. Rather than perpetuate this tension, we used Large Language Models (LLMs) to examine both papers in two tests-one comparing their core arguments and another probing which methodology LLM should take precedence. Repeating each test multiple times with an identical and neutral prompt, the LLM revealed that each perspective suits specific stages of the drug development pipeline. QSP offers mechanistic rigor and regulatory clarity, and AI/ML excels in high-dimensional data analysis and exploratory modeling. A hybrid approach might best serve researchers and decision-makers, especially when harmonizing data-driven insights with mechanistic integrity. This exercise also highlights the potential of LLMs as promising tools for synthesizing complex information, offering an arguably less biased viewpoint that can trigger deeper discussion from the broader community seeking to align QSP and AI/ML in model-informed drug development (MIDD). By combining our human expertise with AI-driven analyses, we hope to further discuss with the scientific community how QSP and AI/ML-and the synergy between them-can drive innovation in therapeutic discovery and optimization.

最近的两篇论文提供了关于整合定量系统药理学(QSP)和人工智能/机器学习(AI/ML)的不同观点:一篇认为QSP是使用AI/ML增强计算任务的主要驱动因素,而另一篇则认为AI/ML应该提供另一种机制框架。为了避免这种紧张关系,我们使用大型语言模型(LLM)在两个测试中检查这两篇论文——一个比较他们的核心论点,另一个探索哪种LLM方法应该优先考虑。在相同的中性提示下多次重复每个测试,LLM发现每个角度都适合药物开发管道的特定阶段。QSP提供了机制的严密性和监管的明确性,AI/ML在高维数据分析和探索性建模方面表现出色。混合方法可能最好地服务于研究人员和决策者,特别是在协调数据驱动的见解与机制完整性时。该练习还强调了llm作为合成复杂信息的有前途的工具的潜力,提供了一个可以争议的较少偏见的观点,可以引发更广泛的社区寻求将QSP和AI/ML结合在模型信息药物开发(MIDD)中的更深入的讨论。通过将我们的人类专业知识与人工智能驱动的分析相结合,我们希望与科学界进一步讨论QSP和人工智能/机器学习以及它们之间的协同作用如何推动治疗发现和优化的创新。
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引用次数: 0
Stochastic pharmacodynamics of a heterogeneous tumour-cell population. 异质性肿瘤细胞群的随机药效学研究。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q3 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-05-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-09974-7
Van Thuy Truong, Paolo Vicini, James Yates, Vincent Dubois, Grant Lythe

Standard pharmacodynamic models are ordinary differential equations without the features of stochasticity and heterogeneity. We develop and analyse a stochastic model of a heterogeneous tumour-cell population treated with a drug, where each cell has a different value of an attribute linked to survival. Once the drug reduces a cell's value below a threshold, the cell is susceptible to death. The elimination of the last cell in the population is a natural endpoint that is not available in deterministic models. We find formulae for the probability density of this extinction time in a collection of tumour cells, each with a different regulator value, under the influence of a drug. There is a logarithmic relationship between tumour population size and mean time to extinction. We also analyse the population under repeated drug doses and subsequent recoveries. Stochastic cell death and division events (and the relevant mechanistic parameters) determine the ultimate fate of the cell population. We identify the critical division rate separating long-term tumour population growth from successful multiple-dose treatment.

标准药效学模型为常微分方程,不具有随机性和异质性。我们开发并分析了用药物治疗的异质性肿瘤细胞群的随机模型,其中每个细胞具有与生存相关的不同属性值。一旦药物将细胞的值降低到阈值以下,细胞就容易死亡。种群中最后一个细胞的消除是确定性模型中不可用的自然终点。我们在一组肿瘤细胞中找到了这种消失时间的概率密度公式,在药物的影响下,每个肿瘤细胞都有不同的调节值。肿瘤种群大小与平均灭绝时间呈对数关系。我们还分析了重复用药剂量下的人群和随后的恢复情况。随机细胞死亡和分裂事件(以及相关的机制参数)决定了细胞群体的最终命运。我们确定了将长期肿瘤人口增长与成功的多剂量治疗分开的临界分裂率。
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引用次数: 0
A translational physiologically-based pharmacokinetic model for MMAE-based antibody-drug conjugates. 基于mmae的抗体-药物偶联物的翻译生理药代动力学模型。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q3 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-05-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-09978-3
Hsuan-Ping Chang, Dhaval K Shah

The objective of this work was to develop a translational physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model for antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), using monomethyl auristatin E (MMAE)-based ADCs. A previously established dual-structured whole-body PBPK model for MMAE-based ADCs in mice was scaled to higher species (i.e., rats and monkeys) and humans. Species-specific physiological and drug-related parameters for the payload and antibody backbone of ADCs were obtained from literature. Parameters associated with payload release, including the deconjugation rate, were optimized using an allometric scaling approach, and antibody degradation rate was adjusted to account for the enhanced clearance of ADCs due to conjugation across different species. The translational PBPK model predicted the PK profiles for various ADC analytes in rats, monkeys, and humans reasonably well. The optimized PBPK model suggested decreased rate of deconjugation for ADCs in higher species, whereas the effects of payload conjugation on ADC clearance were more pronounced in higher species and humans. The translational PBPK model presented here may enable prediction of different ADC analyte PK at the site-of-action, offering valuable insights for the development of exposure-response relationships for ADCs. The modeling framework presented here can also serve as a platform for the development of PBPK model for other ADCs.

这项工作的目的是建立一个基于翻译生理的药代动力学(PBPK)模型,用于抗体-药物偶联物(adc),使用单甲基aurisatin E (MMAE)为基础的adc。先前建立的基于mmae的adc小鼠双结构全身PBPK模型被扩展到更高物种(即大鼠和猴子)和人类。从文献中获得adc的有效载荷和抗体骨架的物种特异性生理和药物相关参数。利用异速缩放法优化了与有效载荷释放相关的参数,包括解偶联率,并调整了抗体降解率,以考虑由于不同物种的偶联而增强的adc清除率。翻译PBPK模型可以很好地预测各种ADC分析物在大鼠、猴子和人类中的PK谱。优化后的PBPK模型表明,高等物种中ADC的解偶联率降低,而有效载荷偶联对ADC清除率的影响在高等物种和人类中更为明显。本文提出的平移PBPK模型可以预测不同ADC分析物在作用部位的PK,为ADC暴露-反应关系的发展提供有价值的见解。本文提出的建模框架也可以作为开发其他adc的PBPK模型的平台。
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引用次数: 0
Diffusion dimensionality modeling of subcutaneous/intramuscular absorption of antibodies and long-acting injectables. 抗体和长效注射剂皮下/肌肉内吸收的扩散维数建模。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q3 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-09973-8
Murali Ramanathan, Wojciech Krzyzanski

To evaluate the role of diffusion process dimensionality in drug absorption following subcutaneous or intramuscular administration. The diffusion dimensionality model is based on analytical solutions of the 1-, 2- or 3-dimensional diffusion equations for a bolus input linked to a central compartment with first-order elimination. The model equations were reparameterized to contain three parameters for the time needed for the drug diffusion from the administration site, drug absorption into the central compartment, and the elimination rate constant. The diffusion dimensionality models were challenged with previously published subcutaneous absorption data for 13 antibody drugs and insulin lispro, and the long-acting injectable antipsychotic drugs: subcutaneous Perseris™, intramuscular Invega Sustenna®, Risperdal Consta®, and olanzapine. The Bayesian information criterion was used for model selection. The solution to the diffusion equation for a bolus dose administration is strongly dependent on the number of dimensions. The maximal concentration is lowest for the 3-dimensional diffusion equation. The pharmacokinetic profiles of all 13 antibodies were satisfactorily approximated by a diffusion dimensionality model. Three antibodies (CNTO5825, ACE910 and ustekinumab) were best described by the 2-dimensional diffusion equation. The 2- and 3-dimensional diffusion equations were equivalent for ABT981, guselkumab, adalimumab, nemolizumab, omalizumab, and secukinumab. Golimumab, DX2930, AMG139, and mepolizumab were best described by the 3-dimensional diffusion equation. All the long-acting antipsychotic dosage forms except Risperdal Consta were modeled satisfactorily. Diffusion dimensionality models are a parsimonious and effective approach for modeling drug absorption profiles of subcutaneously and intramuscularly administered small molecule and protein drugs and their dosage forms.

评价扩散过程维度在皮下或肌肉给药后药物吸收中的作用。扩散维数模型是基于一、二或三维扩散方程的解析解,该方程适用于带有一阶消去的与中心隔室相连的丸输入。模型方程被重新参数化,以包含药物从给药部位扩散所需的时间、药物吸收到中央室和消除速率常数三个参数。扩散维度模型受到先前发表的13种抗体药物和胰岛素lispro的皮下吸收数据的挑战,以及长效注射抗精神病药物:皮下Perseris™,肌内Invega Sustenna®,利培酮Consta®和奥氮平。采用贝叶斯信息准则进行模型选择。剂量给药扩散方程的解强烈地依赖于维数。在三维扩散方程中,最大浓度最低。所有13种抗体的药代动力学特征均通过扩散维数模型得到满意的近似。三种抗体(CNTO5825, ACE910和ustekinumab)最好用二维扩散方程描述。ABT981、guselkumab、adalimumab、nemolizumab、omalizumab和secukinumab的二维和三维扩散方程是等效的。Golimumab、DX2930、AMG139和mepolizumab最好用三维扩散方程来描述。除利培酮外,所有长效抗精神病药剂型的模型均令人满意。扩散维数模型是一种简单有效的方法,用于模拟皮下和肌肉内给药的小分子和蛋白质药物及其剂型的药物吸收谱。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning approaches for assessing medication transfer to human breast milk. 评估药物转移到人类母乳的机器学习方法。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q3 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-04-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-09972-9
Zhongyuan Zhao, Peng Zou, Yuan Fang, Tong Si, Yanyan Li, Bofang Yi, Tao Zhang

The human milk/plasma (M/P) drug concentration ratio is crucial in pharmacology, especially for breastfeeding mothers undergoing treatment. It determines the extent to which drugs ingested by the mother pass into breast milk, potentially affecting the infant. This study conducted a comprehensive evaluation of multiple machine learning algorithms to assess their effectiveness in predicting the M/P ratio. The dataset consists of 162 drugs and 11 predictor variables. M/P ratios were categorized into two groups of (0, 1) and (≥ 1), and a refined three-category system: (0, < 0.5), (0.5, < 1), and (≥ 1). The ML techniques utilized include K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Neural Networks. We implied the five-fold cross-validation to ensure the model's robustness and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was applied for data visualization. Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) was used in the KNN model selection to balance complexity and explanatory power. In our study, KNN achieved average accuracies of 79% for the two-category system and 60% for the three-category. Random Forest models show 77 and 64% average accuracy, respectively. SVM achieved similar results with 78 and 67%, while Neural Networks have the overall best result among the other models with average accuracies of 82 and 76% accuracy. The study highlights the potential of machine learning (ML) techniques in predicting M/P ratios, offering valuable insights for risk assessment during drug development. These predictive models can serve as a valuable tool for estimating drug transfer into breast milk, helping to bridge knowledge gaps in drug safety for lactating individuals. Further validation and refinement by incorporating larger datasets can enhance their reliability and applicability. Advancing these techniques can support safer medication use and informed clinical decision-making for lactating individuals.

人乳/血浆(M/P)药物浓度比在药理学中是至关重要的,特别是对正在接受治疗的母乳喂养的母亲。它决定了母亲摄入的药物进入母乳的程度,对婴儿有潜在的影响。本研究对多种机器学习算法进行了综合评估,以评估其在预测M/P比率方面的有效性。该数据集由162种药物和11个预测变量组成。M/P比率分为(0,1)和(≥1)两组,并采用细化的三类系统:
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引用次数: 0
Predicting tumor dynamics in treated patients from patient-derived-xenograft mouse models: a translational model-based approach. 从患者来源的异种移植小鼠模型预测治疗患者的肿瘤动力学:一种基于翻译模型的方法。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q3 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pub Date : 2025-04-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-09970-x
D Ronchi, E M Tosca, P Magni

This study presents a translational modeling framework designed to predict tumor size dynamics in cancer patients undergoing anticancer treatment, using data from patient-derived xenograft (PDX) mice. In the first step, a population tumor growth inhibition (TGI) model to estimate the distribution of exponential tumor growth rates and anticancer drug potency in PDX mice was built. Then, model parameters were allometrically scaled from mice to humans to inform a TGI model predicting tumor size dynamics in cancer patients. Longitudinal tumor dynamics predicted by the PDX-informed TGI model were expressed in terms of tumor progression events to allow validation against literature time-to-progression (TTP) data. The proposed approach was tested on two case studies: gemcitabine treatment for pancreatic cancer and sorafenib treatment for hepatocellular cancer. The framework successfully predicted median tumor size dynamics, closely aligned with clinical TTP curves for gemcitabine-pancreatic cancer case study. While predictions for extreme tumor size percentiles highlighted potential avenues for refinement, such as incorporating resistance mechanisms, the overall accuracy underscored the goodness of the approach. For the sorafenib-hepatocellular cancer case study, the framework provided plausible tumor size predictions, with TTP curves closely aligned with clinical observations, despite the limited availability of clinical data prevented a full validation. Overall, the translational modeling framework showed potential for predicting tumor dynamics in cancer patients, with results suggesting its applicability as a valid tool to support early decision-making in oncology.

本研究提出了一个翻译模型框架,旨在利用来自患者来源的异种移植(PDX)小鼠的数据,预测接受抗癌治疗的癌症患者的肿瘤大小动态。首先,建立群体肿瘤生长抑制(TGI)模型,估计PDX小鼠肿瘤指数生长速率的分布和抗癌药物的效力。然后,模型参数从小鼠到人类进行异速缩放,以告知预测癌症患者肿瘤大小动态的TGI模型。由pdx告知的TGI模型预测的纵向肿瘤动力学以肿瘤进展事件表示,以便与文献中的进展时间(TTP)数据进行验证。提出的方法在两个案例研究中进行了测试:吉西他滨治疗胰腺癌和索拉非尼治疗肝细胞癌。该框架成功预测了中位肿瘤大小动态,与吉西他滨-胰腺癌病例研究的临床TTP曲线密切相关。虽然对极端肿瘤大小百分位数的预测强调了改进的潜在途径,例如纳入耐药性机制,但总体准确性强调了该方法的优点。对于索拉非尼-肝细胞癌病例研究,该框架提供了合理的肿瘤大小预测,TTP曲线与临床观察密切相关,尽管临床数据的有限可用性阻碍了充分验证。总体而言,翻译建模框架显示了预测癌症患者肿瘤动力学的潜力,结果表明其可作为支持肿瘤学早期决策的有效工具。
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Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics
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