Pub Date : 2025-11-15DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-10007-6
Günter Heimann, Thomas Dumortier, Karin Meiser
PK-QTc analyses are an integral part of drug development programs. These analyses are often based on phase I study data, and the question may be asked whether the design of these phase I studies has an impact on the precision of the corresponding PK-QT analysis. More precisely, we are interested whether one can increase the power of such analyses when using interleaved ascending dose designs rather than parallel group ascending dose designs. Based on a simulation study, previous authors have concluded that this is the case. Their conclusions, however, are based on assumptions regarding the magnitude of the random effect variances, and on a very specific set-up of their simulation study. In this paper we provide a study re-analysis of historical QTc data. The resulting estimates of these random effect variances are much smaller than those used by the previous authors. We also propose a simulation set-up that adequately mimics the data generation process and the correlation between the primary endpoint change from baseline and the covariate baseline. We present a simulation study using the revised simulation set-up and random effect variances as observed in our study re-analysis. We did not find major differences in power between the different designs when the number of observations is the same. We also provide a justification based on causal analysis why we think our simulation set-up is more adequate for situations when change from baseline is the primary endpoint, specifically when baseline is used as a covariate.
{"title":"A note on phase I interleaved versus parallel group ascending dose designs for concentration-QTc analyses.","authors":"Günter Heimann, Thomas Dumortier, Karin Meiser","doi":"10.1007/s10928-025-10007-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-025-10007-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>PK-QTc analyses are an integral part of drug development programs. These analyses are often based on phase I study data, and the question may be asked whether the design of these phase I studies has an impact on the precision of the corresponding PK-QT analysis. More precisely, we are interested whether one can increase the power of such analyses when using interleaved ascending dose designs rather than parallel group ascending dose designs. Based on a simulation study, previous authors have concluded that this is the case. Their conclusions, however, are based on assumptions regarding the magnitude of the random effect variances, and on a very specific set-up of their simulation study. In this paper we provide a study re-analysis of historical QTc data. The resulting estimates of these random effect variances are much smaller than those used by the previous authors. We also propose a simulation set-up that adequately mimics the data generation process and the correlation between the primary endpoint change from baseline and the covariate baseline. We present a simulation study using the revised simulation set-up and random effect variances as observed in our study re-analysis. We did not find major differences in power between the different designs when the number of observations is the same. We also provide a justification based on causal analysis why we think our simulation set-up is more adequate for situations when change from baseline is the primary endpoint, specifically when baseline is used as a covariate.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":"52 6","pages":"62"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145523642","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-07DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-10010-x
Verena Gotta, Birgit Donner
Prolongation of the QT interval in the ECG is a critical finding that signifies an extended duration from the onset of ventricular depolarization to the end of ventricular repolarization. It can predispose patients to life-threatening arrhythmias, such as Torsades de Pointes (TdP). Long QT syndromes (LQTS) are defined by mutations in ion channel genes, particularly those encoding cardiac potassium and sodium channels and are characterized by a significant risk for sudden cardiac death if untreated. However, besides these clearly defined entities various medications have been implicated in causing QT interval prolongation. There is increasing evidence for a genetically determined risk for drug-induced QT prolongation. In addition, due to numerous clinical factors influencing the QT interval, QT prolongation increases the risk of TdP particularly in multi-morbid patients necessitating vigilant monitoring in at-risk populations. This review gives an overview of mechanisms and conditions which induce QT prolongation, the clinical assessment of QT interval duration, thereby highlighting quantitative variations in measurement techniques and heart-rate correction, as well as in demographic interpretation of normal values. The risk of cardiac arrhythmia is discussed, in both patients with congenital LQTS and acquired QT prolongation, along with influencing pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic, non-pharmacologic and genetic risk factors for TdP. Finally, clinical implications for individual patient management, including risk-adapted drug-prescription and use of ECG monitoring to mitigate the risks associated with QT prolongation, are summarized. Understanding the interplay between pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, genetic predisposition and co-morbidities is essential for optimizing treatment in the context of prolonged QT intervals, preventing adverse cardiovascular events, and improving cardiac safety. Comprehensive drug labelling regarding exposure-QT relationships and available pharmacovigilance data are important sources of information enhancing patient safety.
{"title":"QT interval prolongation: clinical assessment, risk factors and quantitative pharmacological considerations.","authors":"Verena Gotta, Birgit Donner","doi":"10.1007/s10928-025-10010-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-025-10010-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Prolongation of the QT interval in the ECG is a critical finding that signifies an extended duration from the onset of ventricular depolarization to the end of ventricular repolarization. It can predispose patients to life-threatening arrhythmias, such as Torsades de Pointes (TdP). Long QT syndromes (LQTS) are defined by mutations in ion channel genes, particularly those encoding cardiac potassium and sodium channels and are characterized by a significant risk for sudden cardiac death if untreated. However, besides these clearly defined entities various medications have been implicated in causing QT interval prolongation. There is increasing evidence for a genetically determined risk for drug-induced QT prolongation. In addition, due to numerous clinical factors influencing the QT interval, QT prolongation increases the risk of TdP particularly in multi-morbid patients necessitating vigilant monitoring in at-risk populations. This review gives an overview of mechanisms and conditions which induce QT prolongation, the clinical assessment of QT interval duration, thereby highlighting quantitative variations in measurement techniques and heart-rate correction, as well as in demographic interpretation of normal values. The risk of cardiac arrhythmia is discussed, in both patients with congenital LQTS and acquired QT prolongation, along with influencing pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic, non-pharmacologic and genetic risk factors for TdP. Finally, clinical implications for individual patient management, including risk-adapted drug-prescription and use of ECG monitoring to mitigate the risks associated with QT prolongation, are summarized. Understanding the interplay between pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, genetic predisposition and co-morbidities is essential for optimizing treatment in the context of prolonged QT intervals, preventing adverse cardiovascular events, and improving cardiac safety. Comprehensive drug labelling regarding exposure-QT relationships and available pharmacovigilance data are important sources of information enhancing patient safety.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":"52 6","pages":"61"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12594730/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145471352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-06DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-10000-z
Zhonghui Huang, Matthew Fidler, Minshi Lan, Iek Leng Cheng, Frank Kloprogge, Joseph F Standing
Nonlinear mixed-effects models rely on adequate initial parameter estimates for efficient parameter optimization. Poor initial estimates can result in failed model convergence or termination with incorrect parameter estimates. Non-compartmental analysis (NCA) and other manual methods have typically been used to derive initial estimates for pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters. However, NCA struggles with sparse data and recent advances in automated modeling increasingly emphasize the need for initial estimates that require no user input. This study aimed to develop an integrated pipeline for the computation of initial estimates applicable to various data types and model structures. The designed pipeline incorporated a custom-designed algorithm that leveraged data-driven methods to generate initial estimates for both structural and statistical parameters in population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) base models. The pipeline's performance was evaluated across twenty-one simulated datasets and thirteen real-life datasets. The results suggested that this pipeline performed well in all test cases. Initial estimates recommended by the pipeline resulted in final parameter estimates closely aligned with pre-set true values in simulated datasets or with literature references in the case of real-life data. This study provides an efficient and reliable tool for delivering PK initial estimates for population pharmacokinetic modeling in both rich and sparse data scenarios. An open-source R package has been created.
{"title":"An automated pipeline to generate initial estimates for population Pharmacokinetic base models.","authors":"Zhonghui Huang, Matthew Fidler, Minshi Lan, Iek Leng Cheng, Frank Kloprogge, Joseph F Standing","doi":"10.1007/s10928-025-10000-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-025-10000-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Nonlinear mixed-effects models rely on adequate initial parameter estimates for efficient parameter optimization. Poor initial estimates can result in failed model convergence or termination with incorrect parameter estimates. Non-compartmental analysis (NCA) and other manual methods have typically been used to derive initial estimates for pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters. However, NCA struggles with sparse data and recent advances in automated modeling increasingly emphasize the need for initial estimates that require no user input. This study aimed to develop an integrated pipeline for the computation of initial estimates applicable to various data types and model structures. The designed pipeline incorporated a custom-designed algorithm that leveraged data-driven methods to generate initial estimates for both structural and statistical parameters in population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) base models. The pipeline's performance was evaluated across twenty-one simulated datasets and thirteen real-life datasets. The results suggested that this pipeline performed well in all test cases. Initial estimates recommended by the pipeline resulted in final parameter estimates closely aligned with pre-set true values in simulated datasets or with literature references in the case of real-life data. This study provides an efficient and reliable tool for delivering PK initial estimates for population pharmacokinetic modeling in both rich and sparse data scenarios. An open-source R package has been created.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":"52 6","pages":"60"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12592298/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145459099","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-27DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-10008-5
Keyur R Parmar, Agnish Dey, Angelia F Wang, Ganesh M Mugundu, Aman P Singh
Despite tremendous clinical responses and patient benefit in hematological malignancies, chimeric Antigen Receptor (CAR) T cells have demonstrated limited success in solid tumors. Herein, we have scaled and augmented our previously described murine PBPK-PD model (Singh et al. mAbs, 2020) to characterize cellular kinetics (CK) and anti-tumor activity in patients with solid tumor malignancies. The model was able to integrate (1) differential kinetics of effector- and memory-phenotypes in peripheral blood (PB), solid tumors and other pertinent tissues (n = 8), (2) host-immune system dynamics with or without prior lymphodepletion chemotherapy (LDC) and its impact of CAR-T cell kinetics and (3) antigenic heterogeneity in patients. Model was developed based on digitized individual level CK, categorical antitumor activity and percentage tumor antigen expression dataset from following phase-1 dose-escalation studies: (A) anti-mesothelin CAR-T in multiple cancer indications (n = 15, cohorts w/ and w/o LDC), (B) gavocabtagene autoleucel (n = 7, w/ and w/o LDC) in multiple indications, (C) anti-glypican 3 CAR-T in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (n = 13, dose-range 0.7-5.18 billion) and (D) anti-PSMA/TGFβ CAR-T in prostate cancer (n = 10, w/ and w/o LDC). The developed clinical PBPK-PD model was able to simultaneously characterize the CK and categorical anti-tumor longitudinal dataset(s) for each case study while accounting for antigen-expressing tumor burden in each patient. Moreover, model accounted for host-T cell population dynamics post LDC, which competed with CAR-T cell towards overall expansion and persistence post-treatment. Using model simulation, CAR-T cell expansion was found to be dependent on initial tumor burden and antigen positive tumor fraction. The developed PBPK-PD model could be leveraged as an effective tool in future to provide mechanistic understanding on CK-PD behavior of cell therapies targeting solid tumors.
{"title":"Characterization of CAR-T cellular kinetics and efficacy in solid tumor patients with and without prior lymphodepletion chemotherapy using a PBPK-PD model.","authors":"Keyur R Parmar, Agnish Dey, Angelia F Wang, Ganesh M Mugundu, Aman P Singh","doi":"10.1007/s10928-025-10008-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-025-10008-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Despite tremendous clinical responses and patient benefit in hematological malignancies, chimeric Antigen Receptor (CAR) T cells have demonstrated limited success in solid tumors. Herein, we have scaled and augmented our previously described murine PBPK-PD model (Singh et al. mAbs, 2020) to characterize cellular kinetics (CK) and anti-tumor activity in patients with solid tumor malignancies. The model was able to integrate (1) differential kinetics of effector- and memory-phenotypes in peripheral blood (PB), solid tumors and other pertinent tissues (n = 8), (2) host-immune system dynamics with or without prior lymphodepletion chemotherapy (LDC) and its impact of CAR-T cell kinetics and (3) antigenic heterogeneity in patients. Model was developed based on digitized individual level CK, categorical antitumor activity and percentage tumor antigen expression dataset from following phase-1 dose-escalation studies: (A) anti-mesothelin CAR-T in multiple cancer indications (n = 15, cohorts w/ and w/o LDC), (B) gavocabtagene autoleucel (n = 7, w/ and w/o LDC) in multiple indications, (C) anti-glypican 3 CAR-T in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (n = 13, dose-range 0.7-5.18 billion) and (D) anti-PSMA/TGFβ CAR-T in prostate cancer (n = 10, w/ and w/o LDC). The developed clinical PBPK-PD model was able to simultaneously characterize the CK and categorical anti-tumor longitudinal dataset(s) for each case study while accounting for antigen-expressing tumor burden in each patient. Moreover, model accounted for host-T cell population dynamics post LDC, which competed with CAR-T cell towards overall expansion and persistence post-treatment. Using model simulation, CAR-T cell expansion was found to be dependent on initial tumor burden and antigen positive tumor fraction. The developed PBPK-PD model could be leveraged as an effective tool in future to provide mechanistic understanding on CK-PD behavior of cell therapies targeting solid tumors.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":"52 6","pages":"59"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-10-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145377771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-22DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-10004-9
Eric L Haseltine, Violeta Rodriguez-Romero
Solving models comprised of nonlinear differential equations (DEs) in NONMEM using ADVAN6 or ADVAN13 typically requires substantially longer run times than models comprised of linear DEs, which in some cases allow for analytical solutions. Often the need to use nonlinear DE solvers results from pharmacokinetic (PK) variations over the dosing interval introducing the nonlinearity via a nonlinear transfer function, as is the case for indirect-response models and enzyme induction models. As long run times hinder model development, it is desirable to derive suitable approximations to speed up model solutions. The zero-order hold, a concept used in the field of advanced process control to optimize control decisions, provides an attractive approximation for these situations that often results in a sequential system of simpler DEs that in some cases can be solved analytically. Two examples, an indirect-response model and an enzyme induction model, demonstrate that the zero-order hold approximation provides a substantial reduction in computational time (up to ~ 140-fold) without unduly biasing the parameter estimates. These examples demonstrate that the zero-order hold approximation offers an attractive method for efficiently solving models where time-varying PK leads to a nonlinear system of DEs.
{"title":"Pharmacometric modeling with the zero-order hold.","authors":"Eric L Haseltine, Violeta Rodriguez-Romero","doi":"10.1007/s10928-025-10004-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-025-10004-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Solving models comprised of nonlinear differential equations (DEs) in NONMEM using ADVAN6 or ADVAN13 typically requires substantially longer run times than models comprised of linear DEs, which in some cases allow for analytical solutions. Often the need to use nonlinear DE solvers results from pharmacokinetic (PK) variations over the dosing interval introducing the nonlinearity via a nonlinear transfer function, as is the case for indirect-response models and enzyme induction models. As long run times hinder model development, it is desirable to derive suitable approximations to speed up model solutions. The zero-order hold, a concept used in the field of advanced process control to optimize control decisions, provides an attractive approximation for these situations that often results in a sequential system of simpler DEs that in some cases can be solved analytically. Two examples, an indirect-response model and an enzyme induction model, demonstrate that the zero-order hold approximation provides a substantial reduction in computational time (up to ~ 140-fold) without unduly biasing the parameter estimates. These examples demonstrate that the zero-order hold approximation offers an attractive method for efficiently solving models where time-varying PK leads to a nonlinear system of DEs.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":"52 6","pages":"58"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-10-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145345930","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-19DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-10001-y
David S Ross, Antonio Cabal
When a tumor is treated with an antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) complex biochemistry occurs in a domain-the tumor-whose size and structure are changing. Some parts of the tumor may be growing because tumor cells proliferate. Other parts may be stagnant, or nearly so, because the cells there have been damaged by the cytotoxin. Still others may be shrinking because the cells there have been killed by the cytotoxin and are being cleared. Chemical concentrations within the tumor, which influence kinetics and transport, change as the tumor grows or shrinks. Cell surface antigen, to which ADCs are designed to bind, is lost when cells are cleared and is freshly introduced when cells proliferate. For these reasons, and because shrinking the tumor by killing its cells is the purpose of ADC treatment, it is important in a quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) approach to the problem to model the evolution of tumor size and structure over the course of ADC treatment. In this paper we present a partial differential equation (PDE) model of ADC transport and kinetics in a growing and shrinking Krogh cylinder tumor. We present results of several studies we performed with the model, including an antigen concentration study that shows tumor growth inhibition to be non-monotone as a function of antigen concentration, and a study of the effects of co-administration of mAb and ADC that shows that the greater the delay between mAb and ADC administration the less the effect of co-administration, and which suggests the mechanism for this effect.
{"title":"A QSP PDE model of ADC transport and kinetics in a growing or shrinking tumor.","authors":"David S Ross, Antonio Cabal","doi":"10.1007/s10928-025-10001-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-025-10001-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>When a tumor is treated with an antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) complex biochemistry occurs in a domain-the tumor-whose size and structure are changing. Some parts of the tumor may be growing because tumor cells proliferate. Other parts may be stagnant, or nearly so, because the cells there have been damaged by the cytotoxin. Still others may be shrinking because the cells there have been killed by the cytotoxin and are being cleared. Chemical concentrations within the tumor, which influence kinetics and transport, change as the tumor grows or shrinks. Cell surface antigen, to which ADCs are designed to bind, is lost when cells are cleared and is freshly introduced when cells proliferate. For these reasons, and because shrinking the tumor by killing its cells is the purpose of ADC treatment, it is important in a quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) approach to the problem to model the evolution of tumor size and structure over the course of ADC treatment. In this paper we present a partial differential equation (PDE) model of ADC transport and kinetics in a growing and shrinking Krogh cylinder tumor. We present results of several studies we performed with the model, including an antigen concentration study that shows tumor growth inhibition to be non-monotone as a function of antigen concentration, and a study of the effects of co-administration of mAb and ADC that shows that the greater the delay between mAb and ADC administration the less the effect of co-administration, and which suggests the mechanism for this effect.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":"52 6","pages":"57"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145318505","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-15DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-10005-8
Amruta Gajanan Bhat, Euibeom Shin, Amit Roy, Murali Ramanathan
{"title":"Scoping review of the role of pharmacometrics in model-informed drug development.","authors":"Amruta Gajanan Bhat, Euibeom Shin, Amit Roy, Murali Ramanathan","doi":"10.1007/s10928-025-10005-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-025-10005-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":"52 6","pages":"56"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12528282/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145292535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-03DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-10003-w
Summer Feng, Rudy Gunawan, Chaitali Passey, Jenna Voellinger, Daniel Polhamus, Arnout Gerritsen, Christine O'Day, Anne-Sophie Carret, Ibrahima Soumaoro, Manish Gupta, William D Hanley
Tisotumab vedotin (TV), a tissue factor-directed antibody-drug conjugate (ADC), is approved in the US at 2.0 mg/kg every 3 weeks (Q3W) for adult patients with recurrent or metastatic cervical cancer following disease progression on or after chemotherapy. Previous logistic regression analysis showed a positive association between TV exposure and ocular adverse events (OAEs), which were identified as prespecified AEs of interest in TV clinical studies. To further optimize TV dose from a safety perspective, we developed a discrete-time Markov model (DTMM) to characterize exposure-response (E-R) relationships of exposures of both ADC and the microtubule-disrupting agent monomethyl auristatin E to the incidence, severity, and longitudinal time course of grade ≥ 2 OAEs in patients with advanced solid tumors. A total of 757 patients who received TV as monotherapy or combination (with carboplatin, bevacizumab, or pembrolizumab) across seven clinical studies were included in this analysis. Of multiple covariates modeled, implementation of an eye care plan was the only covariate to significantly reduce risk of grade ≥ 2 OAEs. The DTMM suggested an association between ADC exposure and risk of grade ≥ 2 OAEs. Based on the totality of data from clinical outcomes, pharmacokinetics, and E-R analyses, as well as DTMM modeling results, TV 1.7 mg/kg every 2 weeks may provide higher efficacy with slightly increased risk of OAEs compared with 2.0 mg/kg Q3W, although these OAEs are manageable with an appropriate eye care plan. ClinicalTrials.gov ID (first submission): NCT03485209 (2018-03-08), NCT03657043 (2018-08-22), NCT03438396 (2018-02-08), NCT03786081 (2018-12-13), NCT03913741 (2019-03-29), NCT02001623 (2013-11-14), and NCT02552121 (2015-09-14).
{"title":"Exposure-safety Markov modeling of ocular adverse events in patient populations treated with tisotumab vedotin.","authors":"Summer Feng, Rudy Gunawan, Chaitali Passey, Jenna Voellinger, Daniel Polhamus, Arnout Gerritsen, Christine O'Day, Anne-Sophie Carret, Ibrahima Soumaoro, Manish Gupta, William D Hanley","doi":"10.1007/s10928-025-10003-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-025-10003-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Tisotumab vedotin (TV), a tissue factor-directed antibody-drug conjugate (ADC), is approved in the US at 2.0 mg/kg every 3 weeks (Q3W) for adult patients with recurrent or metastatic cervical cancer following disease progression on or after chemotherapy. Previous logistic regression analysis showed a positive association between TV exposure and ocular adverse events (OAEs), which were identified as prespecified AEs of interest in TV clinical studies. To further optimize TV dose from a safety perspective, we developed a discrete-time Markov model (DTMM) to characterize exposure-response (E-R) relationships of exposures of both ADC and the microtubule-disrupting agent monomethyl auristatin E to the incidence, severity, and longitudinal time course of grade ≥ 2 OAEs in patients with advanced solid tumors. A total of 757 patients who received TV as monotherapy or combination (with carboplatin, bevacizumab, or pembrolizumab) across seven clinical studies were included in this analysis. Of multiple covariates modeled, implementation of an eye care plan was the only covariate to significantly reduce risk of grade ≥ 2 OAEs. The DTMM suggested an association between ADC exposure and risk of grade ≥ 2 OAEs. Based on the totality of data from clinical outcomes, pharmacokinetics, and E-R analyses, as well as DTMM modeling results, TV 1.7 mg/kg every 2 weeks may provide higher efficacy with slightly increased risk of OAEs compared with 2.0 mg/kg Q3W, although these OAEs are manageable with an appropriate eye care plan. ClinicalTrials.gov ID (first submission): NCT03485209 (2018-03-08), NCT03657043 (2018-08-22), NCT03438396 (2018-02-08), NCT03786081 (2018-12-13), NCT03913741 (2019-03-29), NCT02001623 (2013-11-14), and NCT02552121 (2015-09-14).</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":"52 5","pages":"55"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12494607/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145225564","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-27DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-10002-x
Morgane Philipp, Simon Buatois, Sylvie Retout, France Mentré
Covariate clinical relevance (CCR) is commonly assessed in population pharmacokinetics using forest plots visualizing parameter changes across covariate values. In our previous work (Philipp et al. 2024), CCR was evaluated using a [0.80-1.20] reference area and a 90% confidence interval for both relevance and significance assessment. However, more conventional thresholds include a broader reference area of [0.80-1.25] and the use of a 5% type I error to assess statistical significance. This commentary extends our previous analysis by evaluating CCR decisions under these more conventional thresholds, in order to assess whether the full model, the stepwise covariate modeling (SCM) and its enhanced version SCM+ remain robust. A comparison with the previous results is also provided. The revised CCR evaluation gave satisfactory results across all three approaches. For covariates with a simulated effect, the full model and SCM/SCM+ provided consistent conclusions with those of the true model. For covariates without a simulated effect, the full model mainly found them non-relevant (NR) non-significant or insufficient information (II) non-significant, while SCM/SCM+ mainly did not select them. These results align with our previous findings. Conclusions for covariates with a simulated effect were almost unchanged. For covariates without a simulated effect, the more conventional threshold allowed the full model to conclude more frequently to their NR instead of II, likely due to the broader reference area and stricter type I error control. Overall, the consistency of our results across different thresholds demonstrates their robustness and supports their generalizability.
协变量临床相关性(CCR)通常在群体药代动力学中进行评估,使用森林图可视化各协变量值的参数变化。在我们之前的工作(Philipp et al. 2024)中,CCR的评估使用[0.80-1.20]参考区域和90%的置信区间进行相关性和显著性评估。然而,更传统的阈值包括更广泛的参考区域[0.80-1.25],并使用5%的I型误差来评估统计显著性。这篇评论通过在这些更传统的阈值下评估CCR决策来扩展我们之前的分析,以评估完整模型、逐步协变量建模(SCM)及其增强版本SCM+是否保持健壮性。并与以往的计算结果进行了比较。修订后的CCR评估在所有三种方法中都给出了令人满意的结果。对于具有模拟效应的协变量,全模型和SCM/SCM+得出的结论与真模型一致。对于没有模拟效果的协变量,full模型主要认为它们是非相关的(NR)不显著或信息不足(II)不显著,而SCM/SCM+主要不选择它们。这些结果与我们之前的发现一致。具有模拟效应的协变量的结论几乎没有变化。对于没有模拟效应的协变量,更常规的阈值使整个模型更频繁地得出它们的NR,而不是II,可能是由于更广泛的参考区域和更严格的I型误差控制。总体而言,我们的结果在不同阈值之间的一致性证明了它们的鲁棒性并支持它们的普遍性。
{"title":"Impact of covariate model building methods on their clinical relevance evaluation in population pharmacokinetic analyses: comparison of the full model, stepwise covariate model (SCM) and SCM+ approaches - further results based on more conventional practices.","authors":"Morgane Philipp, Simon Buatois, Sylvie Retout, France Mentré","doi":"10.1007/s10928-025-10002-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-025-10002-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Covariate clinical relevance (CCR) is commonly assessed in population pharmacokinetics using forest plots visualizing parameter changes across covariate values. In our previous work (Philipp et al. 2024), CCR was evaluated using a [0.80-1.20] reference area and a 90% confidence interval for both relevance and significance assessment. However, more conventional thresholds include a broader reference area of [0.80-1.25] and the use of a 5% type I error to assess statistical significance. This commentary extends our previous analysis by evaluating CCR decisions under these more conventional thresholds, in order to assess whether the full model, the stepwise covariate modeling (SCM) and its enhanced version SCM+ remain robust. A comparison with the previous results is also provided. The revised CCR evaluation gave satisfactory results across all three approaches. For covariates with a simulated effect, the full model and SCM/SCM+ provided consistent conclusions with those of the true model. For covariates without a simulated effect, the full model mainly found them non-relevant (NR) non-significant or insufficient information (II) non-significant, while SCM/SCM+ mainly did not select them. These results align with our previous findings. Conclusions for covariates with a simulated effect were almost unchanged. For covariates without a simulated effect, the more conventional threshold allowed the full model to conclude more frequently to their NR instead of II, likely due to the broader reference area and stricter type I error control. Overall, the consistency of our results across different thresholds demonstrates their robustness and supports their generalizability.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":"52 5","pages":"54"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145181925","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-22DOI: 10.1007/s10928-025-09997-0
Rong Chen, Mark Sale, Alex Mazur, Michael Tomashevskiy, Shuhua Hu, James Craig, Mike Dunlavey, Robert Leary, Keith Nieforth
Automatic differentiation (AD), a key method for accurately and efficiently computing derivatives in modern machine learning, is now implemented in Phoenix® NLME™ 8.6 for the first time and applied to the first-order conditional estimation extended least squares (FOCE ELS), Laplacian, and adaptive Gaussian quadrature (AGQ) algorithms. We name the AD implementation as 'automatic-differentiation-assisted parametric optimization' (ADPO), which can be enabled by checking the 'Fast Optimization' option. We present in detail how ADPO is implemented in the frequently used FOCE ELS algorithm, and analyze its performance from the benchmarks based on four PK/PD models. We show both ADPO and traditional FOCE ELS which uses gradients obtained from finite difference (FD) are reasonably accurate and robust, while the main advantage of ADPO being that it considerably reduces computation time no matter what ODE solvers are used: in general ADPO reduces the total run time by around 20% to 50% compared to traditional FOCE ELS. In a case for the realistic voriconazole model using 'auto-detect' ODE solver, 95% reduction in the total run time is observed.
{"title":"ADPO: automatic-differentiation-assisted parametric optimization.","authors":"Rong Chen, Mark Sale, Alex Mazur, Michael Tomashevskiy, Shuhua Hu, James Craig, Mike Dunlavey, Robert Leary, Keith Nieforth","doi":"10.1007/s10928-025-09997-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-025-09997-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Automatic differentiation (AD), a key method for accurately and efficiently computing derivatives in modern machine learning, is now implemented in Phoenix® NLME™ 8.6 for the first time and applied to the first-order conditional estimation extended least squares (FOCE ELS), Laplacian, and adaptive Gaussian quadrature (AGQ) algorithms. We name the AD implementation as 'automatic-differentiation-assisted parametric optimization' (ADPO), which can be enabled by checking the 'Fast Optimization' option. We present in detail how ADPO is implemented in the frequently used FOCE ELS algorithm, and analyze its performance from the benchmarks based on four PK/PD models. We show both ADPO and traditional FOCE ELS which uses gradients obtained from finite difference (FD) are reasonably accurate and robust, while the main advantage of ADPO being that it considerably reduces computation time no matter what ODE solvers are used: in general ADPO reduces the total run time by around 20% to 50% compared to traditional FOCE ELS. In a case for the realistic voriconazole model using 'auto-detect' ODE solver, 95% reduction in the total run time is observed.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":"52 5","pages":"53"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145124932","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}