Pub Date : 2024-12-01Epub Date: 2024-07-25DOI: 10.1007/s10928-024-09920-z
José Ricardo Arteaga-Bejarano, Santiago Torres
In this paper, we use Time Scale Calculus (TSC) to formulate and solve pharmacokinetic models exploring multiple dose dynamics. TSC is a mathematical framework that allows the modeling of dynamical systems comprising continuous and discrete processes. This characteristic makes TSC particularly suited for multi-dose pharmacokinetic problems, which inherently feature a blend of continuous processes (such as absorption, metabolization, and elimination) and discrete events (drug intake). We use this toolkit to derive analytical expressions for blood concentration trajectories under various multi-dose regimens across several flagship pharmacokinetic models. We demonstrate that this mathematical framework furnishes an alternative and simplified way to model and retrieve analytical solutions for multi-dose dynamics. For instance, it enables the study of blood concentration responses to arbitrary dose regimens and facilitates the characterization of the long-term behavior of the solutions, such as their steady state.
{"title":"Time Scale Calculus: a new approach to multi-dose pharmacokinetic modeling.","authors":"José Ricardo Arteaga-Bejarano, Santiago Torres","doi":"10.1007/s10928-024-09920-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-024-09920-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this paper, we use Time Scale Calculus (TSC) to formulate and solve pharmacokinetic models exploring multiple dose dynamics. TSC is a mathematical framework that allows the modeling of dynamical systems comprising continuous and discrete processes. This characteristic makes TSC particularly suited for multi-dose pharmacokinetic problems, which inherently feature a blend of continuous processes (such as absorption, metabolization, and elimination) and discrete events (drug intake). We use this toolkit to derive analytical expressions for blood concentration trajectories under various multi-dose regimens across several flagship pharmacokinetic models. We demonstrate that this mathematical framework furnishes an alternative and simplified way to model and retrieve analytical solutions for multi-dose dynamics. For instance, it enables the study of blood concentration responses to arbitrary dose regimens and facilitates the characterization of the long-term behavior of the solutions, such as their steady state.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":" ","pages":"825-839"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11579191/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141766414","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-01Epub Date: 2024-07-08DOI: 10.1007/s10928-024-09934-7
Davide Bindellini, Robin Michelet, Linda B S Aulin, Johanna Melin, Uta Neumann, Oliver Blankenstein, Wilhelm Huisinga, Martin J Whitaker, Richard Ross, Charlotte Kloft
Congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH) is characterized by impaired adrenal cortisol production. Hydrocortisone (synthetic cortisol) is the drug-of-choice for cortisol replacement therapy, aiming to mimic physiological cortisol circadian rhythm. The hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis controls cortisol production through the pituitary adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH) and feedback mechanisms. The aim of this study was to quantify key mechanisms involved in the HPA axis activity regulation and their interaction with hydrocortisone therapy. Data from 30 healthy volunteers was leveraged: Endogenous ACTH and cortisol concentrations without any intervention as well as cortisol concentrations measured after dexamethasone suppression and single dose administration of (i) 0.5-10 mg hydrocortisone as granules, (ii) 20 mg hydrocortisone as granules and intravenous bolus. A stepwise model development workflow was used: A newly developed model for endogenous ACTH and cortisol was merged with a refined hydrocortisone pharmacokinetic model. The joint model was used to simulate ACTH and cortisol trajectories in CAH patients with varying degrees of enzyme deficiency, with or without hydrocortisone administration, and healthy individuals. Time-dependent ACTH-driven endogenous cortisol production and cortisol-mediated feedback inhibition of ACTH secretion processes were quantified and implemented in the model. Comparison of simulated ACTH and cortisol trajectories between CAH patients and healthy individuals showed the importance of administering hydrocortisone before morning ACTH secretion peak time to suppress ACTH overproduction observed in untreated CAH patients. The developed framework allowed to gain insights on the physiological mechanisms of the HPA axis regulation, its perturbations in CAH and interaction with hydrocortisone administration, paving the way towards cortisol replacement therapy optimization.
{"title":"A quantitative modeling framework to understand the physiology of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis and interaction with cortisol replacement therapy.","authors":"Davide Bindellini, Robin Michelet, Linda B S Aulin, Johanna Melin, Uta Neumann, Oliver Blankenstein, Wilhelm Huisinga, Martin J Whitaker, Richard Ross, Charlotte Kloft","doi":"10.1007/s10928-024-09934-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-024-09934-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH) is characterized by impaired adrenal cortisol production. Hydrocortisone (synthetic cortisol) is the drug-of-choice for cortisol replacement therapy, aiming to mimic physiological cortisol circadian rhythm. The hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis controls cortisol production through the pituitary adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH) and feedback mechanisms. The aim of this study was to quantify key mechanisms involved in the HPA axis activity regulation and their interaction with hydrocortisone therapy. Data from 30 healthy volunteers was leveraged: Endogenous ACTH and cortisol concentrations without any intervention as well as cortisol concentrations measured after dexamethasone suppression and single dose administration of (i) 0.5-10 mg hydrocortisone as granules, (ii) 20 mg hydrocortisone as granules and intravenous bolus. A stepwise model development workflow was used: A newly developed model for endogenous ACTH and cortisol was merged with a refined hydrocortisone pharmacokinetic model. The joint model was used to simulate ACTH and cortisol trajectories in CAH patients with varying degrees of enzyme deficiency, with or without hydrocortisone administration, and healthy individuals. Time-dependent ACTH-driven endogenous cortisol production and cortisol-mediated feedback inhibition of ACTH secretion processes were quantified and implemented in the model. Comparison of simulated ACTH and cortisol trajectories between CAH patients and healthy individuals showed the importance of administering hydrocortisone before morning ACTH secretion peak time to suppress ACTH overproduction observed in untreated CAH patients. The developed framework allowed to gain insights on the physiological mechanisms of the HPA axis regulation, its perturbations in CAH and interaction with hydrocortisone administration, paving the way towards cortisol replacement therapy optimization.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":" ","pages":"809-824"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11579075/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141558991","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-01Epub Date: 2024-06-28DOI: 10.1007/s10928-024-09932-9
Xinnong Li, Mark Sale, Keith Nieforth, James Craig, Fenggong Wang, David Solit, Kairui Feng, Meng Hu, Robert Bies, Liang Zhao
Forward addition/backward elimination (FABE) has been the standard for population pharmacokinetic model selection (PPK) since NONMEM® was introduced. We investigated five machine learning (ML) algorithms (Genetic algorithm [GA], Gaussian process [GP], random forest [RF], gradient boosted random tree [GBRT], and particle swarm optimization [PSO]) as alternatives to FABE. These algorithms were applied to PPK model selection with a focus on comparing the efficiency and robustness of each of them. All machine learning algorithms included the combination of ML algorithms with a local downhill search. The local downhill search consisted of systematically changing one or two "features" at a time (a one-bit or a two-bit local search), alternating with the ML methods. An exhaustive search (all possible combinations of model features, N = 1,572,864 models) was the gold standard for robustness, and the number of models examined leading prior to identification of the final model was the metric for efficiency.All algorithms identified the optimal model when combined with the two-bit local downhill search. GA, RF, GBRT, and GP identified the optimal model with only a one-bit local search. PSO required the two-bit local downhill search. In our analysis, GP was the most efficient algorithm as measured by the number of models examined prior to finding the optimal (495 models), and PSO exhibited the least efficiency, requiring 1710 unique models before finding the best solution. Additionally, GP was also the algorithm that needed the longest elapsed time of 2975.6 min, in comparison with GA, which only required 321.8 min.
自 NONMEM® 推出以来,前向加法/后向除法(FABE)一直是群体药代动力学模型选择(PPK)的标准。我们研究了五种机器学习(ML)算法(遗传算法[GA]、高斯过程[GP]、随机森林[RF]、梯度提升随机树[GBRT]和粒子群优化[PSO])作为 FABE 的替代方法。这些算法被应用于 PPK 模型选择,重点是比较它们各自的效率和鲁棒性。所有机器学习算法都包括 ML 算法与局部下坡搜索的结合。局部下坡搜索包括每次系统地改变一个或两个 "特征"(一位或两位局部搜索),与 ML 方法交替进行。穷举搜索(所有可能的模型特征组合,N = 1,572,864 个模型)是衡量鲁棒性的黄金标准,而在确定最终模型之前所检查的模型数量则是衡量效率的指标。GA、RF、GBRT 和 GP 只用一位局部搜索就能确定最佳模型。PSO 则需要两位局部下坡搜索。在我们的分析中,从找到最优解之前所检查的模型数量(495 个模型)来看,GP 是效率最高的算法,而 PSO 的效率最低,在找到最优解之前需要 1710 个独特的模型。此外,GP 也是耗时最长的算法,需要 2975.6 分钟,而 GA 只需要 321.8 分钟。
{"title":"pyDarwin machine learning algorithms application and comparison in nonlinear mixed-effect model selection and optimization.","authors":"Xinnong Li, Mark Sale, Keith Nieforth, James Craig, Fenggong Wang, David Solit, Kairui Feng, Meng Hu, Robert Bies, Liang Zhao","doi":"10.1007/s10928-024-09932-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-024-09932-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Forward addition/backward elimination (FABE) has been the standard for population pharmacokinetic model selection (PPK) since NONMEM® was introduced. We investigated five machine learning (ML) algorithms (Genetic algorithm [GA], Gaussian process [GP], random forest [RF], gradient boosted random tree [GBRT], and particle swarm optimization [PSO]) as alternatives to FABE. These algorithms were applied to PPK model selection with a focus on comparing the efficiency and robustness of each of them. All machine learning algorithms included the combination of ML algorithms with a local downhill search. The local downhill search consisted of systematically changing one or two \"features\" at a time (a one-bit or a two-bit local search), alternating with the ML methods. An exhaustive search (all possible combinations of model features, N = 1,572,864 models) was the gold standard for robustness, and the number of models examined leading prior to identification of the final model was the metric for efficiency.All algorithms identified the optimal model when combined with the two-bit local downhill search. GA, RF, GBRT, and GP identified the optimal model with only a one-bit local search. PSO required the two-bit local downhill search. In our analysis, GP was the most efficient algorithm as measured by the number of models examined prior to finding the optimal (495 models), and PSO exhibited the least efficiency, requiring 1710 unique models before finding the best solution. Additionally, GP was also the algorithm that needed the longest elapsed time of 2975.6 min, in comparison with GA, which only required 321.8 min.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":" ","pages":"785-796"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11579193/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141468850","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-01Epub Date: 2023-11-12DOI: 10.1007/s10928-023-09894-4
Pieter-Jan De Sutter, Elke Gasthuys, An Vermeulen
Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models can be used to leverage physiological and in vitro data to predict monoclonal antibody (mAb) concentrations in serum and tissues. However, it is currently not known how consistent predictions of mAb disposition are across PBPK modelling platforms. In this work PBPK simulations of IgG, adalimumab and infliximab were compared between three platforms (Simcyp, PK-Sim, and GastroPlus). Accuracy of predicted serum and tissue concentrations was assessed using observed data collected from the literature. Physiological and mAb related input parameters were also compared and sensitivity analyses were carried out to evaluate model behavior when input values were altered. Differences in serum kinetics of IgG between platforms were minimal for a dose of 1 mg/kg, but became more noticeable at higher dosages (> 100 mg/kg) and when reference (healthy) physiological input values were altered. Predicted serum concentrations of both adalimumab and infliximab were comparable across platforms, but were noticeably higher than observed values. Tissue concentrations differed remarkably between the platforms, both for total- and interstitial fluid (ISF) concentrations. The accuracy of total tissue concentrations was within a three-fold of observed values for all tissues, except for brain tissue concentrations, which were overpredicted. Predictions of tissue ISF concentrations were less accurate and were best captured by GastroPlus. Overall, these simulations show that the different PBPK platforms generally predict similar mAb serum concentrations, but variable tissue concentrations. Caution is therefore warranted when PBPK models are used to simulate effect site tissue concentrations of mAbs without data to verify the predictions.
{"title":"Comparison of monoclonal antibody disposition predictions using different physiologically based pharmacokinetic modelling platforms.","authors":"Pieter-Jan De Sutter, Elke Gasthuys, An Vermeulen","doi":"10.1007/s10928-023-09894-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-023-09894-4","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models can be used to leverage physiological and in vitro data to predict monoclonal antibody (mAb) concentrations in serum and tissues. However, it is currently not known how consistent predictions of mAb disposition are across PBPK modelling platforms. In this work PBPK simulations of IgG, adalimumab and infliximab were compared between three platforms (Simcyp, PK-Sim, and GastroPlus). Accuracy of predicted serum and tissue concentrations was assessed using observed data collected from the literature. Physiological and mAb related input parameters were also compared and sensitivity analyses were carried out to evaluate model behavior when input values were altered. Differences in serum kinetics of IgG between platforms were minimal for a dose of 1 mg/kg, but became more noticeable at higher dosages (> 100 mg/kg) and when reference (healthy) physiological input values were altered. Predicted serum concentrations of both adalimumab and infliximab were comparable across platforms, but were noticeably higher than observed values. Tissue concentrations differed remarkably between the platforms, both for total- and interstitial fluid (ISF) concentrations. The accuracy of total tissue concentrations was within a three-fold of observed values for all tissues, except for brain tissue concentrations, which were overpredicted. Predictions of tissue ISF concentrations were less accurate and were best captured by GastroPlus. Overall, these simulations show that the different PBPK platforms generally predict similar mAb serum concentrations, but variable tissue concentrations. Caution is therefore warranted when PBPK models are used to simulate effect site tissue concentrations of mAbs without data to verify the predictions.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":" ","pages":"639-651"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89718725","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-01Epub Date: 2024-08-17DOI: 10.1007/s10928-024-09936-5
Chee M Ng, Robert J Bauer
Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of many biologics are influenced by their complex binding to biological receptors. Biologics consist of diverse groups of molecules with different binding kinetics to its receptors including IgG with simple one-to-one drug receptor bindings, bispecific antibody (BsAb) that binds to two different receptors, and antibodies that can bind to six or more identical receptors. As the binding process is typically much faster than elimination (or internalization) and distribution processes, quasi-equilibrium (QE) binding models are commonly used to describe drug-receptor binding kinetics of biologics. However, no general QE modeling framework is available to describe complex binding kinetics for diverse classes of biologics. In this paper, we describe novel approaches of using differential algebraic equations (DAE) to solve three QE multivalent drug-receptor binding (QEMB) models. The first example describes the binding kinetics of three-body equilibria of BsAb that binds to 2 different receptors for trimer formation. The second example models an engineered IgG variant (Multabody) that can bind to 24 identical target receptors. The third example describes an IgG with modified neonatal Fc receptor (FcRn) binding affinity that competes for the same FcRn receptor as endogenous IgG. The model parameter estimates were obtained by fitting the model to all data simultaneously. The models allowed us to study potential roles of cooperative binding on bell-shaped drug exposure-response relationships of BsAb, and concentration-depended distribution of different drug-receptor complexes for Multabody. This DAE-based QEMB model platform can serve as an important tool to better understand complex binding kinetics of diverse classes of biologics.
许多生物制剂的药代动力学和药效学受其与生物受体复杂结合的影响。生物制剂由不同的分子组组成,这些分子组与受体的结合动力学各不相同,其中包括与药物受体一对一结合的 IgG、与两种不同受体结合的双特异性抗体(BsAb)以及可与六种或六种以上相同受体结合的抗体。由于结合过程通常比消除(或内化)和分布过程快得多,因此准平衡(QE)结合模型常用于描述生物制剂的药物受体结合动力学。然而,目前还没有通用的 QE 模型框架来描述不同类别生物制剂的复杂结合动力学。在本文中,我们介绍了使用微分代数方程(DAE)求解三种 QE 多价药物受体结合(QEMB)模型的新方法。第一个例子描述了与 2 种不同受体结合形成三聚体的 BsAb 的三体平衡结合动力学。第二个例子模拟了可与 24 个相同目标受体结合的工程化 IgG 变异体(多体)。第三个例子描述了一种具有改良新生 Fc 受体(FcRn)结合亲和力的 IgG,它与内源性 IgG 竞争相同的 FcRn 受体。模型参数估计是通过同时拟合所有数据得到的。通过这些模型,我们可以研究合作结合对 BsAb 的钟形药物暴露-反应关系的潜在作用,以及 Multabody 不同药物-受体复合物的浓度依赖性分布。这种基于 DAE 的 QEMB 模型平台可作为一种重要工具,用于更好地理解不同类别生物制剂的复杂结合动力学。
{"title":"General quasi-equilibrium multivalent binding model to study diverse and complex drug-receptor interactions of biologics.","authors":"Chee M Ng, Robert J Bauer","doi":"10.1007/s10928-024-09936-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-024-09936-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of many biologics are influenced by their complex binding to biological receptors. Biologics consist of diverse groups of molecules with different binding kinetics to its receptors including IgG with simple one-to-one drug receptor bindings, bispecific antibody (BsAb) that binds to two different receptors, and antibodies that can bind to six or more identical receptors. As the binding process is typically much faster than elimination (or internalization) and distribution processes, quasi-equilibrium (QE) binding models are commonly used to describe drug-receptor binding kinetics of biologics. However, no general QE modeling framework is available to describe complex binding kinetics for diverse classes of biologics. In this paper, we describe novel approaches of using differential algebraic equations (DAE) to solve three QE multivalent drug-receptor binding (QEMB) models. The first example describes the binding kinetics of three-body equilibria of BsAb that binds to 2 different receptors for trimer formation. The second example models an engineered IgG variant (Multabody) that can bind to 24 identical target receptors. The third example describes an IgG with modified neonatal Fc receptor (FcRn) binding affinity that competes for the same FcRn receptor as endogenous IgG. The model parameter estimates were obtained by fitting the model to all data simultaneously. The models allowed us to study potential roles of cooperative binding on bell-shaped drug exposure-response relationships of BsAb, and concentration-depended distribution of different drug-receptor complexes for Multabody. This DAE-based QEMB model platform can serve as an important tool to better understand complex binding kinetics of diverse classes of biologics.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":" ","pages":"841-857"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141995945","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-01Epub Date: 2024-06-06DOI: 10.1007/s10928-024-09929-4
Yuchen Guo, Tingjie Guo, Catherijne A J Knibbe, Laura B Zwep, J G Coen van Hasselt
Incorporating realistic sets of patient-associated covariates, i.e., virtual populations, in pharmacometric simulation workflows is essential to obtain realistic model predictions. Current covariate simulation strategies often omit or simplify dependency structures between covariates. Copula models are multivariate distribution functions suitable to capture dependency structures between covariates with improved performance compared to standard approaches. We aimed to develop and evaluate a copula model for generation of adult virtual populations for 12 patient-associated covariates commonly used in pharmacometric simulations, using the publicly available NHANES database, including sex, race-ethnicity, body weight, albumin, and several biochemical variables related to organ function. A multivariate (vine) copula was constructed from bivariate relationships in a stepwise fashion. Covariate distributions were well captured for the overall and subgroup populations. Based on the developed copula model, a web application was developed. The developed copula model and associated web application can be used to generate realistic adult virtual populations, ultimately to support model-based clinical trial design or dose optimization strategies.
{"title":"Generation of realistic virtual adult populations using a model-based copula approach.","authors":"Yuchen Guo, Tingjie Guo, Catherijne A J Knibbe, Laura B Zwep, J G Coen van Hasselt","doi":"10.1007/s10928-024-09929-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-024-09929-4","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Incorporating realistic sets of patient-associated covariates, i.e., virtual populations, in pharmacometric simulation workflows is essential to obtain realistic model predictions. Current covariate simulation strategies often omit or simplify dependency structures between covariates. Copula models are multivariate distribution functions suitable to capture dependency structures between covariates with improved performance compared to standard approaches. We aimed to develop and evaluate a copula model for generation of adult virtual populations for 12 patient-associated covariates commonly used in pharmacometric simulations, using the publicly available NHANES database, including sex, race-ethnicity, body weight, albumin, and several biochemical variables related to organ function. A multivariate (vine) copula was constructed from bivariate relationships in a stepwise fashion. Covariate distributions were well captured for the overall and subgroup populations. Based on the developed copula model, a web application was developed. The developed copula model and associated web application can be used to generate realistic adult virtual populations, ultimately to support model-based clinical trial design or dose optimization strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":" ","pages":"735-746"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11579194/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141283910","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-01Epub Date: 2024-05-11DOI: 10.1007/s10928-024-09919-6
Dan Sexton, Hoa Q Nguyen, Salomé Juethner, Haobin Luo, Zhiwei Zhang, Paul Jasper, Andy Z X Zhu
Hereditary angioedema (HAE) due to C1-inhibitor deficiency is a rare, debilitating, genetic disorder characterized by recurrent, unpredictable, attacks of edema. The clinical symptoms of HAE arise from excess bradykinin generation due to dysregulation of the plasma kallikrein-kinin system (KKS). A quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) model that mechanistically describes the KKS and its role in HAE pathophysiology was developed based on HAE attacks being triggered by autoactivation of factor XII (FXII) to activated FXII (FXIIa), resulting in kallikrein production from prekallikrein. A base pharmacodynamic model was constructed and parameterized from literature data and ex vivo assays measuring inhibition of kallikrein activity in plasma of HAE patients or healthy volunteers who received lanadelumab. HAE attacks were simulated using a virtual patient population, with attacks recorded when systemic bradykinin levels exceeded 20 pM. The model was validated by comparing the simulations to observations from lanadelumab and plasma-derived C1-inhibitor clinical trials. The model was then applied to analyze the impact of nonadherence to a daily oral preventive therapy; simulations showed a correlation between the number of missed doses per month and reduced drug effectiveness. The impact of reducing lanadelumab dosing frequency from 300 mg every 2 weeks (Q2W) to every 4 weeks (Q4W) was also examined and showed that while attack rates with Q4W dosing were substantially reduced, the extent of reduction was greater with Q2W dosing. Overall, the QSP model showed good agreement with clinical data and could be used for hypothesis testing and outcome predictions.
因 C1 抑制剂缺乏而导致的遗传性血管性水肿(HAE)是一种罕见的、使人衰弱的遗传性疾病,其特征是反复发作、难以预测的水肿。HAE 的临床症状源于血浆降钙素-激肽系统(KKS)失调导致的缓激肽生成过多。根据因子 XII (FXII) 自激活到激活的 FXII (FXIIa),导致前allikrein 产生allikrein,从而引发 HAE 发作的原理,我们开发了一个定量系统药理学 (QSP) 模型,从机理上描述了 KKS 及其在 HAE 病理生理学中的作用。根据文献数据和测量HAE患者或接受拉那珠单抗治疗的健康志愿者血浆中凯利克瑞林活性抑制作用的体内外试验,我们构建了一个基础药效学模型并对其进行了参数化。使用虚拟患者群体模拟 HAE 发作,当全身缓激肽水平超过 20 pM 时记录发作情况。通过将模拟结果与拉那珠单抗和血浆衍生 C1 抑制剂临床试验的观察结果进行比较,对模型进行了验证。随后,该模型被用于分析不坚持每日口服预防性疗法的影响;模拟结果显示,每月漏服次数与药效降低之间存在相关性。此外,还研究了将拉那珠单抗的给药频率从每两周(Q2W)300 毫克降低到每四周(Q4W)300 毫克的影响,结果表明,虽然 Q4W 给药可大幅降低发病率,但 Q2W 给药的降低幅度更大。总之,QSP 模型与临床数据显示出良好的一致性,可用于假设检验和结果预测。
{"title":"A quantitative systems pharmacology model of plasma kallikrein-kinin system dysregulation in hereditary angioedema.","authors":"Dan Sexton, Hoa Q Nguyen, Salomé Juethner, Haobin Luo, Zhiwei Zhang, Paul Jasper, Andy Z X Zhu","doi":"10.1007/s10928-024-09919-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-024-09919-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Hereditary angioedema (HAE) due to C1-inhibitor deficiency is a rare, debilitating, genetic disorder characterized by recurrent, unpredictable, attacks of edema. The clinical symptoms of HAE arise from excess bradykinin generation due to dysregulation of the plasma kallikrein-kinin system (KKS). A quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) model that mechanistically describes the KKS and its role in HAE pathophysiology was developed based on HAE attacks being triggered by autoactivation of factor XII (FXII) to activated FXII (FXIIa), resulting in kallikrein production from prekallikrein. A base pharmacodynamic model was constructed and parameterized from literature data and ex vivo assays measuring inhibition of kallikrein activity in plasma of HAE patients or healthy volunteers who received lanadelumab. HAE attacks were simulated using a virtual patient population, with attacks recorded when systemic bradykinin levels exceeded 20 pM. The model was validated by comparing the simulations to observations from lanadelumab and plasma-derived C1-inhibitor clinical trials. The model was then applied to analyze the impact of nonadherence to a daily oral preventive therapy; simulations showed a correlation between the number of missed doses per month and reduced drug effectiveness. The impact of reducing lanadelumab dosing frequency from 300 mg every 2 weeks (Q2W) to every 4 weeks (Q4W) was also examined and showed that while attack rates with Q4W dosing were substantially reduced, the extent of reduction was greater with Q2W dosing. Overall, the QSP model showed good agreement with clinical data and could be used for hypothesis testing and outcome predictions.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":" ","pages":"721-734"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11579104/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140908115","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-01Epub Date: 2024-09-30DOI: 10.1007/s10928-024-09941-8
Kuan-Ju Lin, Jeanne Mendell, John D Davis, Lutz O Harnisch
Pozelimab, a monoclonal antibody directed against C5, is the first and only treatment for adult and pediatric patients (≥ 1 year) with CD55-deficient protein-losing enteropathy (CHAPLE) disease. A target-mediated drug disposition (TMDD) population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) model was developed using pooled data from four phase 1-3 studies to characterize the pharmacokinetics (PK) of total pozelimab and total C5, and to simulate free pozelimab and free C5 to support the dose regimen in patients with CHAPLE disease. A TMDD PopPK model was developed using total pozelimab and total C5 concentration-time data from 106 participants (82 healthy volunteers; 24 patients with paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria [PNH]). This model was refined and updated to include PK data from 10 patients with CHAPLE disease from a phase 2/3 study. Stochastic simulations predicted concentration-time profiles for total pozelimab, free pozelimab, and free C5, to obtain pozelimab exposure metrics for patients with CHAPLE disease. A two-compartment TMDD model with two binding sites based on the quasi-equilibrium approximation adequately described the concentration-time profiles of total pozelimab and total C5. Body weight was identified as the most important source of pozelimab PK variability; therefore, the dose was adjusted based on body weight for the predominantly pediatric patients with CHAPLE disease. A robust TMDD PopPK model was developed to describe the PK of total pozelimab and total C5 following pozelimab administration. Reliable predictions for individual exposures of total pozelimab and free C5 were possible and supported the 10 mg/kg weight-based dose regimen in patients with CHAPLE disease.
{"title":"Population pharmacokinetic analyses of pozelimab in patients with CD55-deficient protein-losing enteropathy (CHAPLE disease).","authors":"Kuan-Ju Lin, Jeanne Mendell, John D Davis, Lutz O Harnisch","doi":"10.1007/s10928-024-09941-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-024-09941-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Pozelimab, a monoclonal antibody directed against C5, is the first and only treatment for adult and pediatric patients (≥ 1 year) with CD55-deficient protein-losing enteropathy (CHAPLE) disease. A target-mediated drug disposition (TMDD) population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) model was developed using pooled data from four phase 1-3 studies to characterize the pharmacokinetics (PK) of total pozelimab and total C5, and to simulate free pozelimab and free C5 to support the dose regimen in patients with CHAPLE disease. A TMDD PopPK model was developed using total pozelimab and total C5 concentration-time data from 106 participants (82 healthy volunteers; 24 patients with paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria [PNH]). This model was refined and updated to include PK data from 10 patients with CHAPLE disease from a phase 2/3 study. Stochastic simulations predicted concentration-time profiles for total pozelimab, free pozelimab, and free C5, to obtain pozelimab exposure metrics for patients with CHAPLE disease. A two-compartment TMDD model with two binding sites based on the quasi-equilibrium approximation adequately described the concentration-time profiles of total pozelimab and total C5. Body weight was identified as the most important source of pozelimab PK variability; therefore, the dose was adjusted based on body weight for the predominantly pediatric patients with CHAPLE disease. A robust TMDD PopPK model was developed to describe the PK of total pozelimab and total C5 following pozelimab administration. Reliable predictions for individual exposures of total pozelimab and free C5 were possible and supported the 10 mg/kg weight-based dose regimen in patients with CHAPLE disease.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":" ","pages":"905-917"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11579122/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142348912","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-01Epub Date: 2024-07-05DOI: 10.1007/s10928-024-09933-8
Chuanpu Hu
Clinical trial endpoints are often bounded outcome scores (BOS), which are variables having restricted values within finite intervals. Common analysis approaches may treat the data as continuous, categorical, or a mixture of both. The appearance of BOS data being simultaneously continuous and categorical easily leads to confusions in pharmacometrics regarding the appropriate domain for model evaluation and the circumstances under which data likelihoods can be compared. This commentary aims to clarify these fundamental issues and facilitate appropriate pharmacometric analyses.
{"title":"Likelihood comparisons in bounded outcome score analysis must be internally consistent.","authors":"Chuanpu Hu","doi":"10.1007/s10928-024-09933-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-024-09933-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Clinical trial endpoints are often bounded outcome scores (BOS), which are variables having restricted values within finite intervals. Common analysis approaches may treat the data as continuous, categorical, or a mixture of both. The appearance of BOS data being simultaneously continuous and categorical easily leads to confusions in pharmacometrics regarding the appropriate domain for model evaluation and the circumstances under which data likelihoods can be compared. This commentary aims to clarify these fundamental issues and facilitate appropriate pharmacometric analyses.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":" ","pages":"577-579"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141534586","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The generation of synthetic patient data that reflect the statistical properties of real data plays a fundamental role in today's world because of its potential to (i) be enable proprietary data access for statistical and research purposes and (ii) increase available data (e.g., in low-density regions-i.e., for patients with under-represented characteristics). Generative methods employ a family of solutions for generating synthetic data. The objective of this research is to benchmark numerous state-of-the-art deep-learning generative methods across different scenarios and clinical datasets comprising patient covariates and several pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic endpoints. We did this by implementing various probabilistic models aimed at generating synthetic data, such as the Multi-layer Perceptron Conditioning Generative Adversarial Neural Network (MLP cGAN), Time-series Generative Adversarial Networks (TimeGAN), and a more traditional approach like Probabilistic Autoregressive (PAR). We evaluated their performance by calculating discriminative and predictive scores. Furthermore, we conducted comparisons between the distributions of real and synthetic data using Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Chi-square statistical tests, focusing respectively on covariate and output variables of the models. Lastly, we employed pharmacometrics-related metric to enhance interpretation of our results specific to our investigated scenarios. Results indicate that multi-layer perceptron-based conditional generative adversarial networks (MLP cGAN) exhibit the best overall performance for most of the considered metrics. This work highlights the opportunities to employ synthetic data generation in the field of clinical pharmacology for augmentation and sharing of proprietary data across institutions.
{"title":"Generative models for synthetic data generation: application to pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic data.","authors":"Yulun Jiang, Alberto García-Durán, Idris Bachali Losada, Pascal Girard, Nadia Terranova","doi":"10.1007/s10928-024-09935-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10928-024-09935-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The generation of synthetic patient data that reflect the statistical properties of real data plays a fundamental role in today's world because of its potential to (i) be enable proprietary data access for statistical and research purposes and (ii) increase available data (e.g., in low-density regions-i.e., for patients with under-represented characteristics). Generative methods employ a family of solutions for generating synthetic data. The objective of this research is to benchmark numerous state-of-the-art deep-learning generative methods across different scenarios and clinical datasets comprising patient covariates and several pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic endpoints. We did this by implementing various probabilistic models aimed at generating synthetic data, such as the Multi-layer Perceptron Conditioning Generative Adversarial Neural Network (MLP cGAN), Time-series Generative Adversarial Networks (TimeGAN), and a more traditional approach like Probabilistic Autoregressive (PAR). We evaluated their performance by calculating discriminative and predictive scores. Furthermore, we conducted comparisons between the distributions of real and synthetic data using Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Chi-square statistical tests, focusing respectively on covariate and output variables of the models. Lastly, we employed pharmacometrics-related metric to enhance interpretation of our results specific to our investigated scenarios. Results indicate that multi-layer perceptron-based conditional generative adversarial networks (MLP cGAN) exhibit the best overall performance for most of the considered metrics. This work highlights the opportunities to employ synthetic data generation in the field of clinical pharmacology for augmentation and sharing of proprietary data across institutions.</p>","PeriodicalId":16851,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics","volume":" ","pages":"877-885"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142080627","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}