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Liberal Internationalism, Offensive Realism and Intelligence Liaison: The Case of the Israeli and South African Intelligence Services 自由国际主义、进攻性现实主义和情报联络:以以色列和南非情报部门为例
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5787/51-2-1417
Marno Swart, Eben Coetzee
For better or worse, the study of International Relations (IR) continues to be marked by a protracted battle between two competing theories: realism and liberal internationalism. This article seeks to investigate which theory, offensive realism or liberal internationalism offers a more compelling explanation for the alliance formation of the intelligence services of Israel and South Africa. Although scholars have indeed examined the explanatory merit of realism and liberal internationalism in explaining the foreign policy behaviour of (liberal) democratic and mixed (democratic and non-democratic) dyads, attempts at bringing the two theories to bear on the interactions of intelligence services have not been forthcoming, a shortcoming this article attempts to address. This article seeks to bridge this gap by evaluating the relative explanatory worth of offensive realism and liberal internationalism in accounting for the alliance formation of the intelligence services of Israel and South Africa. The significance of this article lies in its examination of international politics and realist thought through the specific lens of intelligence services.
不管是好是坏,国际关系(IR)的研究仍然以现实主义和自由国际主义这两种相互竞争的理论之间的长期斗争为特征。本文试图探讨哪一种理论,进攻性现实主义还是自由国际主义,对以色列和南非情报部门的联盟形成提供了更令人信服的解释。虽然学者们确实研究了现实主义和自由国际主义在解释(自由)民主和混合(民主和非民主)二元体的外交政策行为方面的解释价值,但将这两种理论应用于情报机构的相互作用的尝试尚未出现,这是本文试图解决的一个缺点。本文试图通过评估进攻性现实主义和自由国际主义在解释以色列和南非情报部门联盟形成方面的相对解释价值来弥合这一差距。本文的意义在于通过情报部门的具体视角审视国际政治和现实主义思想。
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引用次数: 0
Hypersonic weapons and the future of nuclear deterrence 高超音速武器与核威慑的未来
Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.5787/49-1-1318
E. Coetzee
It is widely accepted today that hypersonic weapons pose insurmountable challengesto nuclear deterrence. Although speed has always been a critical factor in warfare, thedevelopment of hypersonics provides unprecedented advantages in terms of the speedand agility of missiles. The increase in the speed and agility of hypersonic missilesdrastically reduces the response time of nuclear states, encouraging the pre-emptive useof force. Two arguments inform the latter claim. The first holds that the speed and agilityof hypersonic missiles are likely to render existing and future missile defences obsolete.The second contends that the failure of missile defences coupled with the reductionof the response time of nuclear states encourages the pre-emptive use of force. Wherenuclear states are unable to field survivable second-strike forces, the stability of nucleardeterrence becomes highly problematic. Besides these arguments, the dual-use nature ofhypersonic weapons ostensibly increases the risk of nuclear escalation. Against this bleakassessment, in this article, the author questions the destabilising effects of hypersonicweapons on deterrence stability, arguing that nuclear deterrence is – and is likely toremain – deeply stable. A thoroughgoing consideration of the strategic implicationsof nuclear weapons provides optimism about the stability of nuclear deterrence inthe face of the development of hypersonic weapons. Two arguments are advanced insupport of the continuing stability of nuclear deterrence. First, missile defences have(and are likely to remain) inefficacious, with the development of hypersonic weaponsmerely reinforcing (rather than establishing) this fact. Second, a would-be aggressorcontemplating the pre-emptive use of force would have to believe that it could destroyall of an adversary’s nuclear force before any can be launched.
今天,人们普遍认为高超音速武器对核威慑构成了不可逾越的挑战。虽然速度一直是战争中的一个关键因素,但高超音速的发展在导弹的速度和敏捷性方面提供了前所未有的优势。高超音速导弹速度和敏捷性的提高大大缩短了核国家的反应时间,鼓励先发制人地使用武力。后一种说法有两个论点。第一种观点认为,高超音速导弹的速度和灵活性可能会使现有和未来的导弹防御系统过时。第二种观点认为,导弹防御系统的失败,加上核国家反应时间的缩短,鼓励了先发制人使用武力。当核国家无法部署可生存的二次打击力量时,核威慑的稳定性就变得非常成问题。除了这些争论,高超音速武器的双重用途本质表面上增加了核升级的风险。在这篇文章中,针对这种悲观的评估,作者质疑高超音速武器对威慑稳定性的不稳定影响,认为核威慑是——而且很可能保持——非常稳定的。面对高超音速武器的发展,对核武器战略影响的全面考虑使人们对核威慑的稳定性持乐观态度。为支持核威慑的持续稳定,提出了两个论点。首先,导弹防御已经(而且很可能继续)无效,高超音速武器的发展只是强化(而不是确立)了这一事实。其次,考虑先发制人使用武力的潜在侵略者必须相信,它可以在任何核力量发射之前摧毁对手的所有核力量。
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引用次数: 0
The opportunist: The political life of Oswald Pirow, 1915-1959 机会主义者:奥斯瓦尔德·皮罗的政治生活,1915-1959
Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.5787/49-1-1325
D. Katz
Finding a mainstream South African publisher for an academic work on SouthAfrican history is a daunting prospect for an author. Doing so when it involves a nichetopic on an obscure personality in a forgotten period of South African history can beeven more disheartening. Praise for Protea Book House, who backing Mouton, haveprovided a mainstream publishing vehicle to bring a fascinating period of our historyback into the public domain. Works such as The opportunist: The political Life ofOswald Pirow, 1915–1959 might otherwise have remained inaccessible to the generalpublic, either residing in the rarefied atmosphere of academia or gathering dust on ashelf in a university library as an academic print. The hard truth is that well-researched,peer-reviewed and skilfully written works of history do not necessarily translate intobestsellers, and in most cases, the opposite is true. Publishers with a keen eye on theirbottom-line have a set of criteria designed to maximise profit, which often clashes withthe lofty standards demanded by academia. For that reason, it is always welcome whena work such as this book by Mouton manages to bridge the academic–popularist divide.
为一本关于南非历史的学术著作找到一家南非主流出版商,对作者来说是一件令人望而生畏的事情。当它涉及到南非历史上一个被遗忘时期的一个不知名人物的小众话题时,这样做可能会更令人沮丧。对支持木顿的普罗蒂亚书屋(Protea Book House)的赞扬,它提供了一种主流出版工具,将我们历史上一段迷人的时期带回了公共领域。像《机会主义者:奥斯瓦尔德·皮罗的政治生活,1915-1959》这样的作品,要么是作为学术印刷品存在于稀薄的学术氛围中,要么是在大学图书馆的书架上积满灰尘,否则公众可能仍然无法接触到。残酷的事实是,经过充分研究、经过同行评议、写作技巧高超的历史著作并不一定能成为畅销书,在大多数情况下,情况恰恰相反。密切关注自己底线的出版商有一套旨在实现利润最大化的标准,这往往与学术界所要求的崇高标准相冲突。出于这个原因,当像穆顿的这本书这样的作品设法弥合了学术与平民之间的鸿沟时,它总是受到欢迎的。
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引用次数: 0
The South African security predicament: making sense of the objective realities 南非的安全困境:理解客观现实
Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.5787/49-1-1307
A. Esterhuyse
This article reflects an effort to make sense of the objective realities of the SouthAfrican security predicament. The objective realities on the security agenda are rootedin the practical reality of experience and are open for public discussion, debate andspeculation. These realities are informed by the threats facing South Africans on adaily basis. Government provides security with subjective content to the extent thatpolitical power demarcates the threat agenda, prioritises the items on the threat agenda,and foots the security bill. Since the creation of the Union in 1910, South Africa hashad to find a balance between the security realities emanating from three key securitydomains – irrespective of the ruling entity: security threats from outside Africa, thosethreats facing the country from within Africa, and security threats from within theborders of South Africa. The article aims at a scholarly demarcation of some of the mostcritical, important, and key features of the South African security agenda using thesethree domains as a framework for discussion. On a secondary level, the discussion alsocritically reflects on the ability of the human security paradigm to address the SouthAfrican security predicament.
这篇文章反映了对南非安全困境的客观现实的理解。安全议程上的客观现实植根于实践经验,可供公众讨论、辩论和猜测。这些现实反映在南非人每天面临的威胁中。政府为安全提供了主观内容,以至于政治权力划定了威胁议程,对威胁议程上的项目进行了优先排序,并为安全法案买单。自1910年联盟成立以来,南非必须在三个关键安全领域的安全现实之间找到平衡——无论执政实体如何:来自非洲以外的安全威胁,来自非洲内部的威胁,以及来自南非境内的安全威胁。本文旨在利用这三个领域作为讨论框架,对南非安全议程的一些最关键、最重要和最关键的特征进行学术划分。在次要层面上,讨论还批判性地反映了人类安全范式解决南非安全困境的能力。
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引用次数: 1
Gunship Over Angola : The Story of a Maverick Pilot 安哥拉上空的武装直升机:一个特立独行的飞行员的故事
Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.5787/49-1-1323
Anri Delport
“Most war stories”, according to Hynes, “begin with a nobody-in-particularyoung man, who lives through the experience of war, to emerge at the end definedby what has happened to him.”443 One such “nobody-in-particular young man” wasnational serviceman 74257684BC Private Stephen Pierre Joubert, born on 3 July 1958in Chingola, then Northern Rhodesia.444 Since the age of five, he and his family livedin Pretoria. He had a typical childhood in most respects.445 Barely seventeen yearsold, he, like many other young men, reported for national service. One year later,in 1977, he stood in a “perfectly pressed” uniform with “buttons and badges [that]sparkled like diamonds” in a large room in a nondescript building at the South AfricanAirforce (SAAF) Gymnasium in Valhalla, Pretoria.446 Facing him was an intimidating,expressionless collection of brass seated in a semicircle. It was Joubert’s second PilotSelection Board interview for the Pupil Pilot’s Course. Among the brass was thelegendary aviator, World War II and Korean War veteran, then chief of the SAAF,General Bob Rogers. The general asked the first question, “[h]ow long have you wantedto be a pilot?” Joubert responded, “[s]ince I stopped wanting to be an ice cream seller,sir!”447 Two years later, “on an early November day”, 21-year-old Joubert with wingspinned to his chest stepped onto AFB Ondangwa in South West Africa, now calledNamibia.448 The events that followed changed him forever. It was as Hynes notes, “outof that nobody, war has forged a self”.
“大多数战争故事”,根据海因斯的说法,“都是从一个无名小卒开始的,尤其是一个经历过战争的年轻人,最后以他身上发生的事情而出现。”一个这样的“无足轻重的年轻人”就是国民军人,列兵斯蒂芬·皮埃尔·朱伯特,1958年7月3日出生于当时北罗得西亚的钦戈拉。在许多方面他都有一个典型的童年他刚满十七岁,就像许多其他年轻人一样,报了兵役。一年后的1977年,在比勒陀利亚瓦尔哈拉(Valhalla)的南非空军体育馆(SAAF)一栋普通建筑的一个大房间里,他穿着“熨得非常整齐”的制服,“钮扣和徽章像钻石一样闪闪发光”。面对他的是一群令人生畏、面无表情的黄铜人,他们围成一个半圆形坐着。这是朱伯特第二次参加学生飞行员课程的飞行员选拔委员会面试。其中包括传奇飞行员、二战和朝鲜战争老兵、时任南非空军司令鲍勃·罗杰斯将军。将军问了第一个问题:“你想当飞行员有多久了?”朱伯特回答说:“先生,自从我不想当冰淇淋小贩以来!两年后,“11月初的一天”,21岁的朱伯特把翅膀放在胸前,踏上了位于非洲西南部的昂丹格瓦空军基地,现在被称为纳米比亚随后发生的事情永远地改变了他。正如海因斯所说,“从那个无名小卒身上,战争锻造了一个自我”。
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引用次数: 0
A reassessment of the tank battle between 4th Armoured Brigade and Panzerregiment 5 during Operation Crusader in North Africa on 19 November 1941 1941年11月19日北非十字军行动期间,第4装甲旅和第5装甲团坦克战的重新评估
Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.5787/49-1-1319
A. Biermann
Operation Crusader took place in the wide context of an integrated, multi-servicetheatre-level offensive operation in the Western Desert and the Mediterranean fromOctober 1941 through to January 1942. Seen through this lens, Operation Crusader wassimply the Army and the Royal Air Force component of a multi-service theatre-leveloffensive conducted by Allied forces. The operation ended with an almost completedefeat of the Axis troops, the lifting of the seven-month siege of Tobruk and the retreatof the surviving Axis forces to a position on the border of the colonial provinces ofTripolitania and Cyrenaica, in central Libya.Operation Crusader was the first army-level offensive undertaken by the Alliedforces in World War II, lasting from 17 November 1941 to 15 January 1942.355 Theaim of Operation Crusader was to trigger a large-scale tank battle with Axis tank forcesoutside the besieged desert port of Tobruk in Libya, to destroy the Axis armouredforces, and to pave the way to lift the siege of Tobruk, which had been conducted bythe Axis forces since April 1941. Operation Crusader was the first step in a set of threeoperations expected to lead to the clearing of the North African coast from Axis forcesand subsequently allow an invasion of Sicily in 1942. The battle was the largest tankoffensive conducted by Allied forces in either World War I or World War II until theSecond Battle of El Alamein in late October 1942. It was characterised by a number oftank battles between the Axis forces under the command of General der PanzertruppenErwin Rommel and Allied infantry and armoured forces under Lieutenant-General AlanCunningham and then Lieutenant-General Neil Ritchie, who fought under the overalldirection of General Claude Auchinleck, the Commander-in-Chief Middle East. 356 357The conduct of the battle showed weaknesses in the doctrine of British armouredforces, but it ultimately ended in a victory for the Allied forces. This article analysesthe first clash of British and German tanks during Operation Crusader and provides anew perspective on the performance of an experienced British cruiser tank regiment,which calls into question the overall assessment of how British armour performedduring the battle. The re-assessment provided in this article is in particular related to theperformance of both sides in the battle and the performance of both sides against theirtactical objectives on the day, as well as the comparative losses in tanks.  The article covers the first engagement of British 4th Armoured Brigade with Germanarmour during the opening stage of Operation Crusader between 17 and 20 Novemberin which it managed to thwart a German counterattack. Utilising primary documents,such as war diaries, messages and reports, this article provides a new perspective on theestablished view of the battle that also affects our view of the performance of Britisharmoured units at regimental level during this period of the Desert War. The articlepresents a reassessment
十字军行动发生在1941年10月至1942年1月在西部沙漠和地中海进行的一场综合的、多军种战区级进攻行动的大背景下。从这个角度来看,十字军行动只不过是盟军进行的多军种战区级进攻的陆军和皇家空军组成部分。在1942年10月下旬的阿拉曼战役之前,这场战役是第一次世界大战或第二次世界大战中盟军进行的最大规模的坦克攻势。但最终以盟军的胜利告终。本文分析了十字军行动中英军和德军坦克的第一次交锋,并提供了一个新的视角来看待一个经验丰富的英国巡洋舰坦克团的表现,这对英国装甲部队在战斗中的整体表现提出了质疑。本文中提供的重新评估特别涉及双方在战斗中的表现,以及双方在当天的战术目标上的表现,以及坦克的相对损失。这篇文章涵盖了英国第4装甲旅在11月17日至20日十字军行动的开始阶段与德国装甲部队的第一次交战,它成功地挫败了德国的一次反击。利用原始文件,如战争日记、信息和报告,本文提供了一个新的视角来看待战争的既定观点,这也影响了我们对沙漠战争期间英国装甲部队团级表现的看法。这篇文章通过分析盟军和德国装甲部队之间的第一次交战,对十字军行动早期阶段的比较坦克作战性能进行了重新评估,以期纠正迄今为止模糊了历史记录的误解,比如奥金莱克将军在那段时间的快件中所表达的,“但是我们的坦克和反坦克炮不是德国人的对手,尽管他们表现得非常英勇:”它还考虑了迄今为止未使用的主要证据,以阐明双方在战斗中遭受的坦克损失,并考虑了对方部队在其作战目标背景下的表现。
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引用次数: 0
Soldaat en mens 士兵和人类
Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.5787/49-1-1324
Abel Esterhuyse
In most paradigm militaries of the world, there seems to be an expectation for ageneral to write and publish his or her biography as soon as possible after retirementfrom active duty – a type of ‘first duty’ in retirement. These biographies are often criticalfor militaries, much like in the medical, law and clerical professions, to grow their bodyof knowledge and empower the next generation of soldiers. For armed forces in general,military history of this nature has always played an important role in the geographicaland cultural contextualisation and shaping of their doctrine. Without a sound andcomprehensive military historical foundation for the development of their doctrine,militaries remain dependent on the imported knowledge base of paradigm militaries.
在世界上大多数模范军队中,似乎都期望将军在退役后尽快撰写和出版他或她的传记——这是一种退休后的“第一职责”。这些传记通常对军队至关重要,就像在医疗、法律和牧师行业一样,可以增加他们的知识体系,并赋予下一代士兵权力。一般来说,对于武装部队来说,这种性质的军事史在地理和文化背景化及其学说的形成中一直发挥着重要作用。没有健全、全面的军事历史基础来发展学说,军队仍然依赖于范式军队的进口知识基础。
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引用次数: 0
The South African National War College military history staff ride as a deep learning experience 南非国家战争学院的军事历史工作人员乘车作为一个深度学习的经验
Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.5787/49-1-1317
James Jacobs, J. Wassermann
In this article, based on a study rooted in interpretivism, the South African NationalWar College military history staff ride, as an education and training method related tothe curriculum of the senior staff programmes since 2002, is discussed. The educationand training process, with specific reference to the staff ride to military battle sites andthe associated application of the theory of operational art, were researched accordingto the tenets of the theory of deep learning. While using the historical–comparativemethod during the staff ride enabled the majority of the students to determine whichviable options were available to the commander, not all students were necessarily ableto relate deep learning to critical thinking. Consequently, in certain instances, surfacelearning tended to dominate simply because that was the educational world into whichthe students had been socialised. Furthermore, the facilitation process did not alwaysfully serve the students by completely weaning them off learning habits associated withsurface learning. Consequently, while being able to claim some deep learning successesusing the staff ride, continuous reflection and educational interventions are neededto maintain the successes achieved and to use these as a building platform for deeplearning during future staff rides.
本文以解释主义为理论基础,对2002年以来南非国立战争学院军事史研修课程作为一种与高级研修课程相关的教育和培训方法进行了探讨。根据深度学习理论的原则,对教育和训练过程进行了研究,具体涉及到参谋骑到军事战场以及作战艺术理论的相关应用。虽然在工作人员乘坐期间使用历史比较方法使大多数学生能够确定指挥官可用的可行选项,但并非所有学生都必须能够将深度学习与批判性思维联系起来。因此,在某些情况下,表面学习往往占主导地位,仅仅因为这是学生被社会化的教育世界。此外,促进过程并不总是能完全让学生摆脱与表面学习相关的学习习惯。因此,虽然能够通过员工乘车获得一些深度学习的成功,但需要持续的反思和教育干预来保持所取得的成功,并将这些作为未来员工乘车期间深度学习的构建平台。
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引用次数: 0
The Battle of Bangui: The inside story of South Africa's worst military scandal since Apartheid 班吉战役:南非自种族隔离以来最严重的军事丑闻的内幕
Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.5787/49-1-1322
Evert Kleynhans
The Battle of Bangui has assumed near mythical proportions within South Africa,and specifically in the South African National Defence Force (SANDF). During thebattle that occurred in March 2013, a small force of crack South African troops engaged a7 000-strong Seleka rebel force in an effort to stem their advance on Bangui – the capitalof the politically unstable and resource-rich Central African Republic (CAR). Over thecourse of two days, the South African force fought a number of gallant actions andinflicted heavy casualties on the advancing rebel forces. However, the South Africanscould not hold out indefinitely, especially against overwhelming odds and after takingsome casualties during the ensuing fighting. Moreover, they soon found themselvessurrounded in their makeshift base within Bangui, where they were ultimately forced tonegotiate a ceasefire with the Seleka rebels. Following the ceasefire, the South Africancontingent returned to South Africa, and so began the process of trying to make senseof the rationale to deploy SANDF troops to CAR, and what exactly happened duringthe so-called ‘Battle of Bangui’. Most importantly, the country, the defence force, andthe respective families, had to come to grips with the unnecessary loss of South Africanlives in a seemingly distant corner of Africa.
班吉战役在南非,特别是在南非国防军(SANDF)中有着近乎神话般的地位。在2013年3月的战斗中,一支由南非精兵组成的小部队与7000人的塞雷卡叛军交战,试图阻止他们向班吉挺进。班吉是政治不稳定、资源丰富的中非共和国(CAR)的首都。在两天的战斗中,南非军队进行了多次英勇的战斗,给前进的反政府武装造成了重大伤亡。然而,南非队不可能无限期地坚持下去,尤其是在势不挡的情况下,而且在随后的战斗中也有一些伤亡。此外,他们很快发现自己被包围在班吉的临时基地,最终被迫与塞雷卡叛军谈判停火。停火后,南非特遣队返回南非,并开始试图弄清楚向中非共和国部署SANDF部队的理由,以及在所谓的“班吉战役”期间到底发生了什么。最重要的是,这个国家、国防部队和各自的家庭,必须面对在非洲一个看似遥远的角落里,南非人不必要的生命损失。
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引用次数: 1
Die brug: Na die hel en terug in Angola - Deon Lamprecht
Pub Date : 2020-11-23 DOI: 10.5787/48-2-1301
Anri Delport
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引用次数: 0
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Scientia Militaria: South African Journal of Military Studies
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