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Spatio-temporal evaluation of water-energy-food nexus system risk from the provincial perspective: A case study of China 省域视角下的水-能-粮联系系统风险时空评价——以中国为例
IF 4.3 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.2166/ws.2023.142
Tonghui Ding, Junfei Chen
This study first defined the concept of the water–energy–food nexus system risk (WEF-R). Then, the WEF-R evaluation index system was established from three aspects: stability, coordination, and sustainability subsystems. Finally, the set pair analysis-variable fuzzy set model was used to evaluate the risk levels of subsystems, and the risk matrix was applied to assess provincial WEF-R levels in China from 2009 to 2018. The results showed that the stability subsystem had the greatest influence on provincial WEF-R, followed by the sustainability subsystem. The provinces with a higher risk of the stability subsystem and lower risk of the sustainability subsystem were mainly centralized in southeast coastal and central regions, which were consistent with the provinces with better socio-economic development. The provinces with lower risk of the stability subsystem and higher risk of the sustainability subsystem were mainly concentrated in northwest regions, which correspond with the provinces with better natural resources endowment but lower socio-economic development. As for the temporal evolution of risk levels, the risk levels of the coordination and sustainability subsystems showed downward trends during the study period, while the risk level of the stability subsystem displayed a small fluctuation, and the provincial WEF-R level in China presented a decreasing trend.
本研究首先定义了水-能-食物关联系统风险(WEF-R)的概念。然后,从稳定性、协调性和可持续性三个子系统构建了WEF-R评价指标体系。最后,采用集对分析-变量模糊集模型对各子系统的风险水平进行评价,并采用风险矩阵对2009 - 2018年中国各省的世界经济论坛- r水平进行评价。结果表明,稳定性子系统对省级WEF-R的影响最大,其次是可持续性子系统。稳定性子系统风险较高、可持续性子系统风险较低的省份主要集中在东南沿海和中部地区,这与经济社会发展较好的省份一致。稳定性子系统风险较低和可持续性子系统风险较高的省份主要集中在西北地区,与自然资源禀赋较好但社会经济发展较差的省份相对应。从风险水平的时间演变来看,协调和可持续性子系统的风险水平在研究期间呈下降趋势,而稳定性子系统的风险水平则呈小幅波动,中国省级WEF-R水平呈下降趋势。
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引用次数: 0
Water quality parameters assessment of Ras El-Ain Natural Ponds, Tyr, Lebanon 黎巴嫩提尔市Ras El-Ain天然池塘水质参数评价
IF 4.3 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.2166/ws.2023.140
M. Khatib, Mohamad Daoud, W. Arairo, Marianne Saba, Hussein Mortada
Lebanon's natural water resources are facing serious problems related to quality and quantity. Unregulated resource planning and rising demand are the main factors. Water resources are used in several ways. However, due to the over-exploitation, and random use of surface water resources, Lebanon is facing severe problems related to water need and accessibility. This study focused on the Ras El-Ain area located in the South of Lebanon that dedicated, along with other reservoirs, to supply potable water for Tyr and the surrounding villages. Nowadays, the water of these natural ponds has been polluted significantly due to unrestricted liquid and solid waste disposal. Physicochemical and microbiological water characteristics, following the LIBNOR guidelines, of four selected samples from each natural pond were tested. In addition, another sample was taken from a water reservoir that collects water from these natural ponds. The obtained results were used to evaluate the extent of pollution in these natural ponds using PhreeQC software. The novelty of this study stems from the fact that it is the first to shed light on the degree of pollution level in the Ras El-Ain ponds, Lebanon (an unstudied area).
黎巴嫩的自然水资源正面临着质量和数量方面的严重问题。不规范的资源规划和不断增长的需求是主要因素。水资源的利用有几种方式。然而,由于对地表水资源的过度开发和随意使用,黎巴嫩正面临着与水需求和可及性有关的严重问题。这项研究的重点是位于黎巴嫩南部的Ras El-Ain地区,该地区与其他水库一起专门为提尔和周围村庄提供饮用水。如今,由于不受限制的液体和固体废物处理,这些天然池塘的水已经受到严重污染。按照LIBNOR的指导方针,从每个天然池塘中选择四个样本进行了物理化学和微生物学水特性测试。此外,另一个样本是从一个从这些天然池塘中收集水的水库中采集的。利用PhreeQC软件对这些天然池塘的污染程度进行了评价。这项研究的新颖之处在于,它首次阐明了黎巴嫩Ras El-Ain池塘(一个未研究的地区)的污染程度。
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引用次数: 0
Identification of groundwater potential zones of Idukki district using remote sensing and GIS-based machine-learning approach 利用遥感和基于gis的机器学习方法识别Idukki地区地下水潜力带
IF 4.3 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-05-30 DOI: 10.2166/ws.2023.134
Zohaib Khan, Bharat Jhamnani
Kerala's Idukki district, which is situated on the Western Ghats of India, is susceptible to flooding and landslides. As a result of the 2018 Kerala floods, this disaster-prone region experienced drought conditions. In order to lessen the effects of future disasters, it is also necessary to identify and evaluate the district's groundwater potential (GWP). This work used three machine-learning (ML) algorithms – Random Forest (RF), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), and Gradient Boosting (GB) – to model and produce GWP zonation maps for the Idukki district. Fourteen conditioning factors include elevation, slope, curvature, Topographic Roughness Index, lineament density, soil, geology, geomorphology, Topographic Wetness Index, Sediment Transport Index, drainage density, rainfall, land-use/land-cover (LULC), and Normalised Difference Vegetation Index that were adopted as input parameters in the modelling. All showed prominence when they were examined for feature importance using the recursive feature elimination (RFE) method. The RF model outperformed the other two ML models in terms of fit, with an area under curve (AUC) value of 0.92, while the GB and AdaBoost models displayed less fit, with AUC values of 0.90 and 0.88, respectively. GWP maps produced by each model were reclassified into five zones – very high to very low – it was discovered that the zones were evenly spread throughout the Idukki region.
喀拉拉邦的伊杜基地区位于印度的西高止山脉,容易受到洪水和山体滑坡的影响。由于2018年喀拉拉邦的洪水,这个易发灾害的地区经历了干旱。为了减轻未来灾害的影响,还需要对该地区的地下水潜力(GWP)进行识别和评估。这项工作使用了三种机器学习(ML)算法——随机森林(RF)、自适应增强(AdaBoost)和梯度增强(GB)——来建模并生成Idukki地区的全球升温幅度分区图。14个调节因子包括海拔、坡度、曲率、地形粗糙度指数、线条密度、土壤、地质、地貌、地形湿度指数、沉积物输送指数、排水密度、降雨量、土地利用/土地覆盖(LULC)和归一化植被差异指数,这些因子被用作建模的输入参数。当使用递归特征消除(RFE)方法检查特征重要性时,所有特征都显示出突出性。RF模型的拟合效果优于其他两种ML模型,曲线下面积(AUC)值为0.92,而GB和AdaBoost模型的拟合效果较差,AUC值分别为0.90和0.88。每个模型生成的GWP地图被重新划分为5个区域——非常高到非常低——发现这些区域均匀地分布在整个Idukki地区。
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引用次数: 0
SCS-CN methodology further modified 进一步修改SCS-CN方法
IF 4.3 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI: 10.2166/ws.2023.129
S. Verma, R. K. Verma
This paper further modifies soil conservation service curve number (SCS-CN) based on the concept of adjusting the rainfall in accordance with rain duration and considering the initial abstraction (Ia) as a fraction of rainfall for runoff estimation. The former yields Model M3 and its explicit form with constant parameter λ = 0.2 is designated as Model M4. Model M5 couples both the concepts and thus all these models are the advanced versions. The applicability of all the five models is tested using a large number of rainfall-runoff events (25,502) derived from 53 U.S. Department of Agriculture-Agricultural Research Service watersheds. Models M3–M5 performed better than Models M1 and M2. Model performance is evaluated by employing six statistical measures, namely, root mean square error, mean absolute error, normalized root mean square error, Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient (%), percent Bias, RSR, n(t), and several grading criteria. Results show Model M5 to have performed the best of all in both calibration and validation largely due to its incorporating the impact of rain duration and allowing Ia to vary with rainfall, which is close to reality and not accounted for in any other models considered in this study.
本文在根据降雨持续时间调整降雨量的概念基础上,进一步修正了土壤保持服务曲线数(SCS-CN),并将初始抽象(Ia)作为径流估算的一部分考虑在内。前者得到M3模型,其常参数λ = 0.2的显式形式记为M4模型。M5模型结合了两个概念,因此所有这些模型都是高级版本。所有五个模型的适用性都是通过大量的降雨径流事件(25,502)来测试的,这些降雨径流事件来自53个美国农业部-农业研究服务处的流域。M3-M5型表现优于M1和M2型。模型性能通过采用6个统计指标进行评价,即均方根误差、平均绝对误差、归一化均方根误差、Nash-Sutcliffe系数(%)、百分比偏差、RSR、n(t)和若干评分标准。结果表明,M5模型在校准和验证中表现最好,主要是因为它纳入了降雨持续时间的影响,并允许Ia随降雨量变化,这接近现实,在本研究中考虑的任何其他模型中都没有考虑到这一点。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of soil water losses under irrigation saving techniques in a semi-arid region in Tunisia 突尼斯半干旱区节水灌溉技术对土壤水分流失的评价
IF 4.3 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI: 10.2166/ws.2023.128
H. Ammar, Rebh Fridhi, S. Kanzari, B. B. Nouna
In arid and semi-arid regions, managing agricultural water for irrigation is essential to cope with water scarcity and maximize crop yields. In this study, an experiment was conducted on a potato crop in the Manouba region (lower valley of Medjerda, Tunisia). The experimental protocol consisted of four water treatments utilizing water-saving irrigation techniques: FI (Full Irrigation 100%): irrigation with 100% of crop water requirements. DI (Irrigation 75%): deficit irrigation with the application of 75% of crop water requirements. PRDRight (Irrigation 50% on the right side): Irrigation by partial root drying. PRDLeft (Irrigation 50% on the left side): Irrigation by partial root drying. Simulation of soil water profiles was carried out by the Hydrus-1D model. The soil hydraulic properties were calibrated according to the experimental conditions using an inverse modeling technique. According to the obtained results, simulated soil water profiles were close to those measured. Indeed, the calculated NRMSE values are low, indicating the reliability of Hydrus-1D as a decision support tool to optimize water irrigation management. These results were then used to investigate the effects of a 2 °C temperature increase on soil water loss, and it was determined that the impact was insignificant.
在干旱和半干旱地区,管理农业灌溉用水对于应对水资源短缺和最大限度地提高作物产量至关重要。在本研究中,对Manouba地区(突尼斯Medjerda下游河谷)的一种马铃薯作物进行了试验。试验方案包括采用节水灌溉技术的四种水处理:FI(100%全灌):用作物需水量的100%灌溉。DI(灌溉75%):按作物需水量的75%进行亏缺灌溉。PRDRight(右侧灌溉50%):部分根部干燥灌溉。PRDLeft(左侧灌溉50%):部分根部干燥灌溉。利用Hydrus-1D模型对土壤水分剖面进行了模拟。根据试验条件,采用逆建模技术对土壤水力特性进行了标定。结果表明,模拟土壤水分剖面与实测值较为接近。实际上,计算得到的NRMSE值较低,表明Hydrus-1D作为优化灌溉管理决策支持工具的可靠性。然后将这些结果用于研究温度升高2°C对土壤水分流失的影响,并确定其影响不显著。
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring and prediction of land use/land cover changes and water requirements in the basin of the Urmia Lake, Iran 伊朗乌尔米亚湖流域土地利用/土地覆盖变化及需水量监测与预测
IF 4.3 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI: 10.2166/ws.2023.132
K. Roushangar, M. Alami, H. Golmohammadi, S. Shahnazi
As one of the largest super-saline lakes in the world, Lake Urmia in northwestern Iran has been facing severe drying in recent years. Drought and rapid expansion of agricultural activities are considered to be the main driving factors for the shrinking of the lake. To address this problem, an analysis of the spatiotemporal dynamics of land use/land cover (LULC) is important. This research implemented a multi-source satellite image analysis through support vector machine (SVM) for mapping LULC distributions for the years 2000, 2010, and 2020. Cellular automata (CA)–Markov was prepared for modeling the future landscape changes for 2030 and 2040. In the last step, the water requirement of agriculture in the catchment area of the Urmia Lake was simulated through the NETWAT model. Through the employed future LULC modeling, it was found that the areas covered by irrigated agriculture and gardens will grow from 1,450 and 395 km2 to 3,600 and 1,650 km2 in 2040, respectively, as deduced from the changes that occurred from 2000 to 2020. This will increase the water requirement of agriculture from 1,500 billion cubic meters in 2000 to more than 4,100 billion cubic meters in 2040.
伊朗西北部的乌尔米亚湖是世界上最大的超咸水湖之一,近年来一直面临着严重的干旱。干旱和农业活动的迅速扩大被认为是湖泊萎缩的主要驱动因素。为了解决这一问题,分析土地利用/土地覆盖(LULC)的时空动态至关重要。本研究利用支持向量机(SVM)对2000年、2010年和2020年的多源卫星影像进行分析,绘制了LULC的分布。细胞自动机(CA) -马尔可夫是为模拟2030年和2040年的未来景观变化而准备的。最后,利用NETWAT模型对乌尔米亚湖集水区农业需水量进行了模拟。根据2000 - 2020年的变化,利用未来的LULC模型发现,到2040年,灌溉农业和园林面积将分别从1450和395 km2增加到3600和1650 km2。这将使农业用水需求从2000年的1.5万亿立方米增加到2040年的4.1万亿立方米以上。
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引用次数: 1
Assessing drainage water quality for irrigation using the water quality index and DataFit software 利用水质指数和DataFit软件对灌溉排水水质进行评价
IF 4.3 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI: 10.2166/ws.2023.131
B. Al-humairi, N. Rahal
In this research, the quality of drainage water was studied by using the water quality index (WQI). Water samples were taken from the Al-Dujaila River and Al-Dujaila drainage. Drainage water was diluted to different ratios with river water to decrease its salinity and increase its potential for agricultural uses. The diluted samples contained between 0 and 100% drainage water, and between 100 and 0% river water, in 10% steps – i.e., 0:10, 1:9, 2:8, 3:7, 4:6, 9:1, 8:2, 7:3, 6:4, and 5:5. After dilution of water, chemical properties, ion activities, electrical conductivity (EC), soil reaction (pH), sodium (Na+), calcium (Ca+2), magnesium (Mg+2), and total dissolved solid (TDS)) were measured in the laboratory of the University of Wasit/College of Agriculture, for computing the drainage water quality index (DWQI), sodium adsorption ratio (SAR), exchangeable sodium percentage (ESP), and soluble magnesium percentage (Mg%). Mathematical models were generated to predict the DWQI using DataFit software, depending on the water's chemical properties, and to find the best dilution ratio, which was 9:1. Model 2 includes the DWQI with SAR, ESP that gave the best results (R2 = 99.99%, RE = 0.0007, MAE = 0.425, RMSE = 0.6, and SEE = 1.992). The diluted drainage water used in this study was not suitable for either irrigation or human use.
本研究采用水质指数(WQI)对排水水质进行了研究。水样取自Al-Dujaila河和Al-Dujaila排水系统。排水与河水按不同比例稀释,以降低其盐度,增加其农业利用潜力。稀释后的样品含有0 - 100%的排水,100 - 0%的河水,按10%的步骤-即0:10,1:9,2:8,3:7,4:6,9:1,8:2,7:3,6:4和5:5。水稀释后,在Wasit大学农学院实验室测定土壤化学性质、离子活度、电导率(EC)、土壤反应(pH)、钠(Na+)、钙(Ca+2)、镁(Mg+2)和总溶解固形物(TDS),计算排水水质指数(DWQI)、钠吸附比(SAR)、交换钠百分率(ESP)和可溶性镁百分率(Mg%)。根据水的化学性质,利用DataFit软件建立数学模型来预测DWQI,并找到最佳稀释比,该稀释比为9:1。模型2包含SAR、ESP的DWQI,结果最佳(R2 = 99.99%, RE = 0.0007, MAE = 0.425, RMSE = 0.6, SEE = 1.992)。本研究使用的稀释排水既不适合灌溉,也不适合人类使用。
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引用次数: 0
Application of a hybrid ANFIS with metaheuristic algorithms to estimate the aeration design parameters 混合ANFIS与元启发式算法在曝气设计参数估计中的应用
IF 4.3 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-05-24 DOI: 10.2166/ws.2023.127
Mohsen Hekmat, H. Sarkardeh, E. Jabbari, M. Samadi
Cavitation is a common and complex hydraulic phenomenon on the chute spillways and may cause damage to the structure. Aeration in the water flow is one of the best ways to prevent cavitation. To design an aerator, estimation of aeration coefficient (β), jet length (L/h0), and jet impact angle on chute (tanγ) are important in this study. The potential of a hybrid Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Interface System (ANFIS) with metaheuristic algorithms was investigated to estimate the required parameters to design an aerator. The ANFIS was combined with four metaheuristic algorithms, including Differential Evolution (DE), Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), Genetic Algorithm (GA), and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). Experimental data and dimensionless parameters were used to develop the proposed hybrid ANFIS models. Three statistical indicators, including Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Average Error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R2), were employed to compare the proposed methods with empirical relations. According to the statistical indicators, among the data-driven methods, the ANFIS–DE method had the best prediction in estimating β (RMSE = 0.018, R2 = 0.984, MAE = 0.013), L/h0 (RMSE = 1.293, R2 = 0.963, MAE = 1.082), and tanγ (RMSE = 0.009, R2 = 0.939, MAE = 0.007).
空化现象是溜槽溢洪道上一种常见而复杂的水力现象,可能对结构造成破坏。在水流中加气是防止气蚀的最好方法之一。在设计曝气器时,曝气系数(β)、射流长度(L/h0)和射流对溜槽的冲击角(tanγ)的估计是重要的。研究了一种混合自适应神经模糊界面系统(ANFIS)采用元启发式算法估计曝气器设计所需参数的潜力。该算法与差分进化(DE)、蚁群优化(ACO)、遗传算法(GA)和粒子群优化(PSO)四种元启发式算法相结合。利用实验数据和无量纲参数建立了混合ANFIS模型。采用均方根误差(RMSE)、平均误差(MAE)和决定系数(R2) 3个统计指标,将所提出的方法与经验关系进行比较。从统计指标来看,在数据驱动的方法中,anfiss - de法对β (RMSE = 0.018, R2 = 0.984, MAE = 0.013)、L/h0 (RMSE = 1.293, R2 = 0.963, MAE = 1.082)和tanγ (RMSE = 0.009, R2 = 0.939, MAE = 0.007)的预测效果最好。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal characteristics of hydro-meteorological droughts and their connections to large-scale atmospheric circulations in the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia 马来西亚吉兰丹河流域水文气象干旱的时空特征及其与大尺度大气环流的关系
IF 4.3 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-05-24 DOI: 10.2166/ws.2023.126
Lily Suhana, M. Tan, Z. Luhaim, Mohd Hilmi P. Ramli, N. S. Subki, F. Tangang, A. Ishak
Climate change exacerbates dry seasons in Southeast Asia, leading to water supply shortage for agricultural use. However, the link between hydro-meteorological droughts and large-scale atmospheric circulations, such as the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), and Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO), has received very little attention. Therefore, this study aims to analyse the hydro-meteorological droughts that occurred in the Kelantan River Basin (KRB) between 1985 and 2020 using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI) as well as their connections to ENSO, IOD, and MJO. Sens’ slope and Mann–Kendall test were employed to evaluate the trends and magnitude changes of the historical droughts, respectively. In addition, the response rate of SSI to SPI was considered to understand how precipitation affects streamflow. The results show that extremely dry events occurred in 1986, 1987, 1989, 1990, 1992, 1997–1998, 2015–2016, and 2020. Based on the SSI results, more than 70% of extremely dry periods last 6 months or longer. Interestingly, from January to May, when there was low precipitation, SSI had a higher response rate to SPI. The ENSO, as opposed to the IOD and MJO, had a stronger impact on the dry conditions over the KRB.
气候变化加剧了东南亚的旱季,导致农业用水短缺。然而,水文气象干旱与大尺度大气环流(如厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)、印度洋偶极子(IOD)和马登-朱利安涛动(MJO))之间的联系却很少受到关注。基于此,本研究利用标准化降水指数(SPI)和标准化流量指数(SSI)及其与ENSO、IOD和MJO的关系,分析了1985 - 2020年吉兰丹河流域(KRB)发生的水文气象干旱。采用Sens斜率检验和Mann-Kendall检验分别评价了历史干旱的趋势和幅度变化。此外,还考虑了SSI对SPI的响应率,以了解降水对水流的影响。结果表明,1986年、1987年、1989年、1990年、1992年、1997-1998年、2015-2016年和2020年发生了极端干旱事件。根据SSI的结果,超过70%的极端干旱期持续6个月或更长时间。有趣的是,在1 ~ 5月降水量少的时候,SSI对SPI的响应率更高。相对于IOD和MJO, ENSO对KRB干燥条件的影响更大。
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引用次数: 0
Runoff simulation analysis and collaborative response research based on the second Songhua River basin under the background of land use 土地利用背景下松花江流域径流模拟分析与协同响应研究
IF 4.3 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-05-19 DOI: 10.2166/ws.2023.125
Hongxue Liu
This paper examines the context of climate change and land use in the second Songhua River basin with the goal of improving runoff. The report begins by introducing the history of watershed runoff and the study area. The differences between various land use types and land use efficiency are examined through literature research on the basis of the watershed hydrology model. The novelty of the paper is to compare the evapotranspiration of the model in different periods with the depth data of surface runoff. The results show that the simulation analysis and collaborative response strategy proposed here can adapt to the meteorological changes in the basin. The evapotranspiration of a watershed that was converted from woodland to grassland in 1970 was 34 mm, while that of a watershed that was converted from grassland to woodland was 32 mm, according to the results of the model test. The evapotranspiration of a watershed that gone from woodland to grassland in 2010 is 45 mm, compared to 39 mm for a watershed that has gone from grassland to woodland. The second Songhua River basin's surface water yield data can therefore be used to model and study the basin's runoff in real time.
本文以松花江第二流域为研究对象,探讨了气候变化与土地利用的关系。报告首先介绍了流域径流的历史和研究区域。在流域水文模型的基础上,通过文献研究考察了不同土地利用类型和土地利用效率之间的差异。本文的新颖之处在于将模型不同时期的蒸散发量与地表径流深度数据进行了比较。结果表明,本文提出的模拟分析和协同响应策略能够适应流域气象变化。模型试验结果显示,1970年由林地转草地的流域蒸散量为34 mm,由草地转林地的流域蒸散量为32 mm。2010年,从林地到草地的流域蒸散量为45毫米,而从草地到林地的流域蒸散量为39毫米。因此,第二个松花江流域的地表水产量数据可以用于实时模拟和研究流域径流。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Water Supply Research and Technology-aqua
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