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Context effect and confirmation bias in criminal fact finding 犯罪事实认定中的语境效应与确认偏差
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-04-17 DOI: 10.1111/lcrp.12172
Eric Rassin

Purpose

Fact finding is an important part of the job of criminal trial judges and juries. In the literature, several potential pitfalls hindering fact finding have been identified, such as context effects (i.e. an unintended effect of non-probative information on conviction) and confirmation bias (i.e. a skewed selection of and overreliance on guilt-confirming evidence and neglect of exonerating information). In the present study, the effect of irrelevant contextual information on conviction and subsequent confirmation bias was tested.

Method

A sample of Dutch professional criminal trial judges (N = 105) studied a case file and decided on their conviction of the suspect’s guilt, and subsequent investigation endeavours. There were two versions of the file, differing in non-probative details that might affect conviction, such as crime severity and facial appearance of the suspect.

Results

Findings suggest that context information indeed affected conviction, and the subsequent preference for guilt-confirming investigation endeavours.

Conclusion

Professional judges may be susceptible to bias threatening the objectivity of legal decision-making.

目的:事实调查是刑事审判法官和陪审团工作的重要组成部分。在文献中,已经发现了阻碍事实调查的几个潜在陷阱,如背景效应(即非证明性信息对定罪的意外影响)和确认偏见(即对有罪确认证据的倾斜选择和过度依赖,以及对无罪信息的忽视)。在本研究中,测试了不相关的上下文信息对定罪和随后的确认偏差的影响。方法:荷兰专业刑事审判法官(N=105)的样本研究了一份案件档案,并决定了他们对嫌疑人有罪的定罪以及随后的调查工作。该档案有两个版本,在可能影响定罪的非证明性细节上有所不同,如犯罪严重程度和嫌疑人的面部表情。结果:调查结果表明,背景信息确实影响了定罪,以及随后对确认有罪的调查工作的偏好。结论:职业法官可能容易受到威胁法律决策客观性的偏见的影响。
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引用次数: 12
When and how are lies told? And the role of culture and intentions in intelligence-gathering interviews 何时以及如何说谎?以及文化和意图在情报收集采访中的作用
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-04-17 DOI: 10.1111/lcrp.12171
Haneen Deeb, Aldert Vrij, Sharon Leal, Brianna L. Verigin, Steven M. Kleinman

Purpose

Lie-tellers tend to tell embedded lies within interviews. In the context of intelligence-gathering interviews, human sources may disclose information about multiple events, some of which may be false. In two studies, we examined when lie-tellers from low- and high-context cultures start reporting false events in interviews and to what extent they provide a similar amount of detail for the false and truthful events. Study 1 focused on lie-tellers' intentions, and Study 2 focused on their actual responses.

Methods

Participants were asked to think of one false event and three truthful events. Study 1 (N = 100) was an online study in which participants responded to a questionnaire about where they would position the false event when interviewed and they rated the amount of detail they would provide for the events. Study 2 (N = 126) was an experimental study that involved interviewing participants about the events.

Results

Although there was no clear preference for lie position, participants seemed to report the false event at the end rather than at the beginning of the interview. Also, participants provided a similar amount of detail across events. Results on intentions (Study 1) partially overlapped with results on actual responses (Study 2). No differences emerged between low- and high-context cultures.

Conclusions

This research is a first step towards understanding verbal cues that assist investigative practitioners in saving their cognitive and time resources when detecting deception regardless of interviewees' cultural background. More research on similar cues is encouraged.

目的:说谎的人往往会在面试中说一些隐含的谎言。在情报收集采访的背景下,人力资源可能会披露多个事件的信息,其中一些可能是虚假的。在两项研究中,我们考察了来自低语境和高语境文化的说谎者何时开始在采访中报告虚假事件,以及他们在多大程度上为虚假和真实事件提供了相似的细节。研究1关注说谎者的意图,研究2关注他们的实际反应。方法:参与者被要求思考一个虚假事件和三个真实事件。研究1(N=100)是一项在线研究,参与者在接受采访时回答了一份关于他们将在哪里定位虚假事件的问卷,并对他们将为事件提供的细节进行了评分。研究2(N=126)是一项实验性研究,涉及就事件采访参与者。结果:尽管参与者对说谎姿势没有明确的偏好,但他们似乎在采访结束时而不是开始时报告了虚假事件。此外,参与者在各个活动中提供了类似数量的细节。意向结果(研究1)与实际反应结果(研究2)部分重叠。低语境文化和高语境文化之间没有差异。结论:这项研究是理解语言线索的第一步,无论受访者的文化背景如何,语言线索都有助于调查从业者在发现欺骗时节省认知和时间资源。鼓励对类似线索进行更多研究。
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引用次数: 2
Coexisting violence and self-harm: Dual harm in an early-stage male prison population 共存的暴力和自残:早期男性监狱人群的双重伤害
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-04-07 DOI: 10.1111/lcrp.12169
Karen Slade, Andrew Forrester, Thom Baguley

Purpose

This study examined the characteristics of men in prison who have a history of both self-harm and violence (known as dual harm) and the extent to which demographic and criminogenic factors, in-prison incidents, and self-harm method could differentiate men who dual harm.

Methods

Official prison sample data were examined for the period April 2010 to November 2017 (n = 965). Regression analysis of all custodial incidents, demographic and offending information, and imprisonment experience, was undertaken.

Results

Self-harm was associated with violence in prison, representing a 3.5-fold risk of violence compared with men who did not self-harm, after controlling for time in prison, age, and index offence. 60% of men who harmed themselves also engaged in custodial violence, while 32% who were violent also had a self-harm event. After controlling for age at first incident, 11% of the sample had custodial history of dual harm and they accounted for 56% of all recorded custodial incidents. They had a high probability of property damage and fire setting in prison and spent 40% longer in custody. Men who dual harmed used a greater variety of self-harm methods, with increased use of lethal methods.

Conclusion

Dual harm is prevalent, particularly among those who harm themselves in prison. Men who dual harm contribute excessively to the overall incident burden in prison and demonstrate behavioural variability and risk regarding both violence and self-harm. The findings challenge the usual distinctive management responses or that self-harm or violence is solely the responsibility of health or justice, with greater integration required.

目的:本研究调查了监狱中有自残和暴力史(称为双重伤害)的男性的特征,以及人口和犯罪因素、监狱事件和自残方法在多大程度上可以区分双重伤害的男性。方法:检查2010年4月至2017年11月期间的官方监狱样本数据(n=965)。对所有监禁事件、人口统计和犯罪信息以及监禁经历进行了回归分析。结果:在控制了入狱时间、年龄和指数犯罪后,自残与监狱中的暴力行为有关,与没有自残的男性相比,发生暴力的风险是前者的3.5倍。60%的自残男性也参与了监禁暴力,而32%的暴力男性也有自残事件。在控制了第一次事件的年龄后,11%的样本有双重伤害的监禁史,他们占所有记录在案的监禁事件的56%。他们在监狱中发生财产损失和纵火的可能性很高,被拘留的时间延长了40%)。双重伤害的男性使用了更多种类的自残方法,致命方法的使用也越来越多。结论:双重伤害很普遍,尤其是在那些在监狱里伤害自己的人中。双重伤害的男性过度加重了监狱中的总体事件负担,并表现出暴力和自残行为的可变性和风险。调查结果挑战了通常独特的管理对策,或者自我伤害或暴力完全是健康或正义的责任;需要更大的集成度。
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引用次数: 21
Sanctions, short-term mindsets, and delinquency: Reverse causality in a sample of high school youth 制裁、短期心态和犯罪:高中青年样本中的反向因果关系
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-04-07 DOI: 10.1111/lcrp.12170
Jean-Louis van Gelder, Margit Averdijk, Denis Ribeaud, Manuel Eisner

Purpose

We question the commonly assumed view of a fixed causal ordering between self-control, delinquency, and sanctions and test the hypothesis that experiencing sanctions may reduce levels of self-control, thereby increasing the risk of future delinquent behaviour. As a subsidiary goal, we argue for a parsimonious view of self-control that is limited to its key components, risk-taking, and impulsivity.

Methods

We use three waves of data from the Zurich Project on the Social Development from Childhood into Adulthood (z-proso), an ongoing prospective longitudinal study of Swiss urban youth (N = 1,197), and include police contacts and school sanctions as predictors of delinquency. We test our hypothesis using path analysis and control for a series of potential confounders, including prior levels of self-control and earlier delinquency.

Results

In line with our hypothesis, the results indicate that sanctioning reduces levels of self-control, net of prior levels of self-control, and earlier delinquency and that self-control mediates the relation between sanctioning and subsequent delinquency.

Conclusions

We conclude that the relation between self-control and crime may be bi- rather than unidirectional with sanctions reducing levels of self-control, which in turn contributes to criminal behaviour. Implications for theory are discussed.

意图我们质疑通常认为的自我控制、犯罪和制裁之间存在固定因果顺序的观点,并检验了经历制裁可能会降低自我控制水平,从而增加未来犯罪行为风险的假设。作为一个次要目标,我们主张对自我控制持吝啬的观点,这种观点仅限于其关键组成部分,即冒险和冲动。方法。我们使用了苏黎世从童年到成年社会发展项目(z-pros)的三波数据,这是一项正在进行的对瑞士城市青年的前瞻性纵向研究(N=1197),其中包括警察接触和学校制裁作为犯罪的预测因素。我们使用路径分析和对一系列潜在混杂因素的控制来检验我们的假设,包括先前的自我控制水平和早期的犯罪。后果根据我们的假设,结果表明,制裁降低了自我控制水平,扣除了先前的自我控制水平和早期犯罪,而自我控制调节了制裁和随后犯罪之间的关系。结论。我们得出的结论是,自我控制与犯罪之间的关系可能是双向的,而不是单向的,制裁降低了自我控制水平,这反过来又助长了犯罪行为。讨论了对理论的启示。
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引用次数: 7
Coping with stalking and harassment victimization: Exploring the coping approaches of young male and female adults in Hong Kong 应对跟踪骚扰侵害:香港青年男女成年人应对方法探讨
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-02-21 DOI: 10.1111/lcrp.12168
Heng Choon (Oliver) Chan, Lorraine Sheridan

Purpose

Most stalking studies have been conducted on Western samples. Little is known about victims of stalking and harassment outside the Western Hemisphere generally, and victim coping approaches have so far gone unexamined within populations of Asian victims.

Methods

Using a sample of 198 self-reported victims of stalking or harassment drawn from a large sample of university students (N = 2,496) aged between 18 and 40, this study explores the incidence of these phenomena and the gendered distribution of different coping methods (i.e., avoidant, proactive, passive, compliance, and aggressive).

Results

A total of 7.9% of respondents reported experience of stalking or harassment in their lifetime, and the incidence of various stalking behaviours is reported. In general, passive (or moving away) and avoidant (or moving inward) approaches were the most frequently reported victim coping approaches, while compliance (or moving towards or with) was the least employed coping strategy. Males were considerably more likely than females to employ compliance and aggressive coping strategies. Multivariate analyses indicate that females were less likely to adopt a proactive coping approach, while all victims were more likely to employ the aggressive, proactive, and compliance approaches if they had been targeted for more than a month.

Conclusions

These findings show that experiences of stalking or harassment were not uncommon among the sample and that the type of victim coping approach was in part influenced by victim demographics and by stalking dynamics.

大多数跟踪研究都是在西方样本上进行的。一般来说,人们对西半球以外的跟踪和骚扰受害者知之甚少,到目前为止,受害者应对方法在亚洲受害者群体中尚未得到研究。方法从18 ~ 40岁的大学生中抽取了198名自我报告的跟踪或骚扰受害者(N = 2496),探讨了这些现象的发生率以及不同应对方式(回避型、主动型、被动型、顺从型和进攻型)的性别分布。结果7.9%的受访者表示曾遭受过跟踪或骚扰,并报告了各种跟踪行为的发生率。一般来说,被动型(或走开)和回避型(或向内移动)是受害者最常使用的应对方法,而顺从型(或走向或与之移动)是最不常用的应对策略。男性比女性更有可能采取顺从和积极的应对策略。多变量分析表明,女性不太可能采取积极主动的应对方法,而所有受害者如果被攻击超过一个月,则更有可能采用积极主动和顺从的方法。这些研究结果表明,被跟踪或骚扰的经历在样本中并不少见,受害者应对方式的类型在一定程度上受到受害者人口统计学和跟踪动态的影响。
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引用次数: 16
Reply to Mac Giolla and Ly (2019): On the reporting of Bayes factors in deception research 回复MacGiolla和Ly(2019):关于欺骗研究中贝叶斯因素的报道
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-02-20 DOI: 10.31234/osf.io/kwy3q
N. McLatchie, L. Warmelink, Daria Tkacheva
Bayes factors provide a continuous measure of evidence for one hypothesis (e.g., the null, H0) relative to another (e.g., the alternative, H1). Warmelink, Subramanian, Tkacheva and McLatchie (2019) reported Bayes factors alongside p-values to draw inferences about whether the order of expected versus unexpected questions influenced the amount of details interviewees provided during an interview. Mac Giolla & Ly (2019) provided several recommendations to improve the reporting of Bayesian analyses, and used Warmelink et al (2019) as a concrete example. These included (I) not to over-rely on cut-offs when interpreting Bayes factors; (II) to rely less on Bayes factors, and switch to “nominal support”; and (III) to report the posterior distribution. This paper elaborates on their recommendations and provides two further suggestions for improvement. First, we recommend deception researchers report Robustness Regions to demonstrate the sensitivity of their conclusions. Second, we encourage deception researchers to estimate a priori the sample size likely to be required to produce conclusive results.
贝叶斯因子为一个假设(例如,零假设,H0)相对于另一个假设(例如,替代假设,H1)提供了一个连续的证据度量。Warmelink、Subramanian、Tkacheva和McLatchie(2019)报告了贝叶斯因子和p值,以推断预期问题和意外问题的顺序是否会影响受访者在采访中提供的细节数量。Mac Giolla & Ly(2019)提出了一些建议,以改进贝叶斯分析的报告,并以Warmelink等人(2019)为具体示例。其中包括(1)在解释贝叶斯因子时不要过度依赖截止值;(二)减少对贝叶斯因子的依赖,改用“名义支持”;(三)报告后验分布。本文详细阐述了他们的建议,并进一步提出了两点改进建议。首先,我们建议欺骗研究人员报告稳健性区域来证明他们结论的敏感性。其次,我们鼓励欺骗研究人员先验地估计产生结论性结果可能需要的样本量。
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引用次数: 2
Effects of cooperation on information disclosure in mock-witness interviews 模拟证人访谈中合作对信息披露的影响
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-02-14 DOI: 10.1111/lcrp.12167
Alejandra De La Fuente Vilar, Robert Horselenberg, Leif A. Strömwall, Sara Landström, Lorraine Hope, Peter J. van Koppen

Purpose

Forensic interviewers often face witnesses who are unwilling to cooperate with the investigation. In this experimental study, we examined the extent to which cooperativeness instructions affect information disclosure in a witness investigative interview.

Methods

One hundred and thirty-six participants watched a recorded mock-crime and were interviewed twice as mock-witnesses. They were randomly assigned to one of four conditions instructing different levels of cooperativeness: Control (no instructions), Cooperation, No Cooperation, and No Cooperation plus Cooperation. The cooperativeness instructions aimed to influence how participants’ perceived the costs and benefits of cooperation. We predicted that Cooperation and No Cooperation instructions would increase and decrease information disclosure and accuracy, respectively.

Results

We found decreased information disclosure and, to a lesser extent, accuracy in the No Cooperation and No Cooperation plus Cooperation conditions. In a second interview, the shift of instructions from No Cooperation to Cooperation led to a limited increase of information disclosure at no cost of accuracy. Cooperativeness instructions partially influenced the communication strategies participants used to disclose or withhold information.

Conclusions

Our results demonstrate the detrimental effects of uncooperativeness on information disclosure and, to a lesser extent, the accuracy of witness statements. We discuss the implications of a lack of witness cooperation and the importance of gaining witness cooperation to facilitate information disclosure in investigative interviews.

目的:法医面试官经常面对不愿配合调查的证人。在本实验研究中,我们考察了合作指示对证人调查访谈中信息披露的影响程度。方法:136名参与者观看了一段模拟犯罪的录像,并作为模拟证人接受了两次采访。他们被随机分配到四个指示不同合作程度的条件之一:控制(没有指示)、合作、不合作、不合作加合作。合作性指令旨在影响参与者对合作成本和收益的感知。我们预测,合作指令和不合作指令分别会增加和降低信息披露和准确性。结果:在“不合作”和“不合作加合作”条件下,信息披露有所减少,准确性有所降低。在第二次采访中,从“不合作”到“合作”的指示转变导致信息披露的有限增加,但不以准确性为代价。合作性指令部分影响了被试在披露或隐瞒信息时的沟通策略。结论:我们的研究结果表明,不合作对信息披露的不利影响,并在较小程度上影响证人陈述的准确性。我们讨论了缺乏证人合作的影响和获得证人合作的重要性,以促进调查采访中的信息披露。
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引用次数: 2
Exploring juror evaluations of expert opinions using the Expert Persuasion Expectancy framework 使用专家说服期望框架探索陪审员对专家意见的评估
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-02-06 DOI: 10.1111/lcrp.12165
Kristy A. Martire, Gary Edmond, Danielle Navarro

Purpose

Factfinders in trials struggle to differentiate witnesses who offer genuinely expert opinions from those who do not. The Expert Persuasion Expectancy (ExPEx) framework proposes eight attributes logically relevant to this assessment: foundation, field, specialty, ability, opinion, support, consistency, and trustworthiness. We present two experiments examining the effects of these attributes on the persuasiveness of a forensic gait analysis opinion.

Methods

Jury-eligible participants rated the credibility, value, and weight of an expert report that was either generally strong (Exp. 1; N = 437) or generally weak (Exp. 2; N = 435). The quality of ExPEx attributes varied between participants. Allocation to condition (none, foundation, field, specialty, ability, opinion, support, consistency, trustworthiness) determined which attribute in the report would be weak (cf. strong; Exp. 1), or strong (cf. weak; Exp. 2).

Results

In Experiment 1, the persuasiveness of a strong report was significantly undermined by weak versions of ability, consistency, and trustworthiness. In Experiment 2, a weak report was significantly improved by strong versions of ability and consistency. Unplanned analyses of subjective ratings also identified effects of foundation, field, specialty, and opinion.

Conclusions

We found evidence that ability (i.e., personal proficiency), consistency (i.e., endorsement by other experts), and trustworthiness (i.e., objectivity) attributes influence opinion persuasiveness in logically appropriate ways. Ensuring that factfinders have information about these attributes may improve their assessments of expert opinion evidence.

审判中的事实查明者努力区分提供真正专家意见的证人和不提供专家意见的证人。专家说服期望(expx)框架提出了与此评估逻辑相关的八个属性:基础、领域、专业、能力、意见、支持、一致性和可信度。我们提出了两个实验检查这些属性对法医步态分析意见的说服力的影响。方法:符合评委资格的参与者对专家报告的可信度、价值和权重进行评分,要么一般较强(Exp. 1;N = 437)或一般较弱(Exp. 2;n = 435)。ExPEx属性的质量因参与者而异。对条件(无、基础、领域、专业、能力、意见、支持、一致性、可信度)的分配决定了报告中哪个属性是弱的(强的;例1)或strong(参见weak;在实验1中,强报告的说服力被弱报告的能力、一致性和可信度显著削弱。在实验2中,弱报告被强版本的能力和一致性显著提高。主观评价的计划外分析也确定了基础、领域、专业和意见的影响。我们发现证据表明,能力(即个人熟练程度)、一致性(即其他专家的认可)和可信度(即客观性)属性以逻辑上适当的方式影响意见说服力。确保事实调查人员掌握有关这些属性的信息,可以改善他们对专家意见证据的评估。
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引用次数: 3
Eyewitness metamemory predicts identification performance in biased and unbiased line-ups 目击者元记忆预测有偏和无偏队列的识别性能
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-02-03 DOI: 10.1111/lcrp.12166
Renan Benigno Saraiva, Inger van Boeijen, Lorraine Hope, Robert Horselenberg, Melanie Sauerland, Peter J. van Koppen

Purpose

Distinguishing accurate from inaccurate identifications is a challenging issue in the criminal justice system, especially for biased police line-ups. That is because biased line-ups undermine the diagnostic value of accuracy post-dictors such as confidence and decision time. Here, we aimed to test general and eyewitness-specific self-ratings of memory capacity as potential estimators of identification performance that are unaffected by line-up bias.

Methods

Participants (N = 744) completed a metamemory assessment consisting of the Multifactorial Metamemory Questionnaire and the Eyewitness Metamemory Scale and took part in a standard eyewitness paradigm. Following the presentation of a mock-crime video, they viewed either biased or unbiased line-ups.

Results

Self-ratings of discontentment with eyewitness memory ability were indicative of identification accuracy for both biased and unbiased line-ups. Participants who scored low on eyewitness metamemory factors also displayed a stronger confidence–accuracy calibration than those who scored high.

Conclusions

These results suggest a promising role for self-ratings of memory capacity in the evaluation of eyewitness identifications, while also advancing theory on self-assessments for different memory systems.

目的:在刑事司法系统中,区分准确和不准确的身份是一个具有挑战性的问题,尤其是对于有偏见的警察队伍来说。这是因为有偏见的排列破坏了准确性事后判断的诊断价值,如信心和决策时间。在这里,我们的目的是测试记忆容量的一般和目击者特异性自评,作为不受排列偏差影响的识别性能的潜在估计量。方法:参与者(N=744)完成了由多因素元记忆问卷和目击者元记忆量表组成的元记忆评估,并参加了标准目击者范式。在展示了一段模拟犯罪视频后,他们观看了有偏见或无偏见的排队。结果:对目击者记忆能力不满意的自评表明了有偏见和无偏见的队列的识别准确性。目击者元记忆因子得分较低的参与者也比得分较高的参与者表现出更强的置信度-准确性校准。结论:这些结果表明,记忆能力的自我评定在评估目击者身份方面有着很好的作用,同时也推进了不同记忆系统的自我评估理论。
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引用次数: 3
Call for papers: Special Issue: Direct replications in legal and criminological psychology 论文征集:特刊:法律和犯罪学心理学的直接复制
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-01-14 DOI: 10.1111/lcrp.12164
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Legal and Criminological Psychology
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