首页 > 最新文献

Macroeconomics: Employment最新文献

英文 中文
Who Commits Fraud? Evidence From Korean Gas Stations 谁犯了欺诈罪?韩国加油站的证据
Pub Date : 2020-03-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3548326
Christian Ahlin, I. Kim, Kyoo il Kim
In this article, we study under what circumstances a gas station is more likely to commit fuel fraud. Using a new and hitherto unexploited list of fuel fraud detections, we find evidence that stations under less favorable economic conditions -- more competitors, lower retail fuel price, or higher operating costs -- engage in fraudulent activity more often, while the reputational incentives for product credibility is stronger for chain stations than independent ones. Also, fuel fraud tends to cluster among nearby stations, suggesting that illicit activity may be propagated from one station to others nearby. As for pricing behavior, in general gas stations seem to keep price constant and take higher price-cost margins when selling adulterated fuel, suggesting that consumers are harmed by this kind of fraud.
在这篇文章中,我们研究在什么情况下加油站更有可能实施燃油欺诈。利用一份新的、迄今为止尚未开发的燃油欺诈检测清单,我们发现证据表明,在不利的经济条件下——竞争对手更多、零售燃油价格更低或运营成本更高——加油站更频繁地从事欺诈活动,而连锁加油站对产品可信度的声誉激励比独立加油站更强。此外,燃料欺诈往往集中在附近的加油站,这表明非法活动可能从一个加油站传播到附近的其他加油站。至于定价行为,一般来说,加油站在销售掺假燃料时似乎保持价格不变,并获得更高的价格成本利润,这表明消费者受到了这种欺诈行为的伤害。
{"title":"Who Commits Fraud? Evidence From Korean Gas Stations","authors":"Christian Ahlin, I. Kim, Kyoo il Kim","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3548326","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3548326","url":null,"abstract":"In this article, we study under what circumstances a gas station is more likely to commit fuel fraud. Using a new and hitherto unexploited list of fuel fraud detections, we find evidence that stations under less favorable economic conditions -- more competitors, lower retail fuel price, or higher operating costs -- engage in fraudulent activity more often, while the reputational incentives for product credibility is stronger for chain stations than independent ones. Also, fuel fraud tends to cluster among nearby stations, suggesting that illicit activity may be propagated from one station to others nearby. As for pricing behavior, in general gas stations seem to keep price constant and take higher price-cost margins when selling adulterated fuel, suggesting that consumers are harmed by this kind of fraud.","PeriodicalId":18085,"journal":{"name":"Macroeconomics: Employment","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75657892","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Распространённость и динамика депривационной бедности (The Prevalence and Dynamics of Deprivation Poverty) Распространённостьидинамикадепривационнойбедности(剥夺贫困的患病率和动态)
Pub Date : 2020-03-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3594487
E. Grishina, Elena Tsatsura (Kovalenko)
Russian Abstract: Целью настоящего исследования является проведение анализа распространённости и динамики депривационной бедности в разрезе различных социально-демографических групп домохозяйств и регионов. В работе определены социально-демографические группы с наиболее высоким уровнем депривационной бедности, выявлены регионы с высоким и низким уровнем депривационной бедности, а также регионы, имеющие благоприятную и неблагоприятную динамику показателей депривационной бедности. English Abstract: The purpose of this study is to analyze the prevalence and dynamics of deprivation poverty in the context of various socio-demographic groups of households and regions. The work identifies socio-demographic groups with the highest level of deprivation poverty, identifies regions with high and low levels of deprivation poverty, as well as regions that have favorable and unfavorable dynamics of deprivation poverty indicators.
{"title":"Распространённость и динамика депривационной бедности (The Prevalence and Dynamics of Deprivation Poverty)","authors":"E. Grishina, Elena Tsatsura (Kovalenko)","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3594487","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3594487","url":null,"abstract":"Russian Abstract: Целью настоящего исследования является проведение анализа распространённости и динамики депривационной бедности в разрезе различных социально-демографических групп домохозяйств и регионов. \u0000 \u0000В работе определены социально-демографические группы с наиболее высоким уровнем депривационной бедности, выявлены регионы с высоким и низким уровнем депривационной бедности, а также регионы, имеющие благоприятную и неблагоприятную динамику показателей депривационной бедности. \u0000 \u0000English Abstract: The purpose of this study is to analyze the prevalence and dynamics of deprivation poverty in the context of various socio-demographic groups of households and regions. The work identifies socio-demographic groups with the highest level of deprivation poverty, identifies regions with high and low levels of deprivation poverty, as well as regions that have favorable and unfavorable dynamics of deprivation poverty indicators.","PeriodicalId":18085,"journal":{"name":"Macroeconomics: Employment","volume":"99 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78771328","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Classical and Bayesian Inference for Income Distributions using Grouped Data 使用分组数据的收入分配的经典和贝叶斯推断
Pub Date : 2020-03-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3713891
Tobias Eckernkemper, Bastian Gribisch
We propose a general framework for Maximum Likelihood (ML) and Bayesian estimation of income distributions based on grouped data information. The asymptotic properties of the ML estimators are derived and Bayesian parameter estimates are obtained by Monte-Carlo-Markov-Chain (MCMC) techniques. A comprehensive simulation experiment shows that obtained estimates of the income distribution are very precise and that the proposed estimation framework improves the statistical precision of parameter estimates relative to the classical multinomial likelihood. The estimation approach is finally applied to a set of countries included in the World Bank database PovcalNet.
我们提出了一个基于分组数据信息的收入分布的最大似然(ML)和贝叶斯估计的一般框架。利用蒙特卡罗-马尔可夫链(Monte-Carlo-Markov-Chain, MCMC)技术,得到了ML估计量的渐近性质和贝叶斯参数估计。综合模拟实验表明,所得的收入分布估计非常精确,所提出的估计框架相对于经典的多项似然估计提高了参数估计的统计精度。最后将这种估计方法应用于世界银行数据库PovcalNet中的一组国家。
{"title":"Classical and Bayesian Inference for Income Distributions using Grouped Data","authors":"Tobias Eckernkemper, Bastian Gribisch","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3713891","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3713891","url":null,"abstract":"We propose a general framework for Maximum Likelihood (ML) and Bayesian estimation of income distributions based on grouped data information. The asymptotic properties of the ML estimators are derived and Bayesian parameter estimates are obtained by Monte-Carlo-Markov-Chain (MCMC) techniques. A comprehensive simulation experiment shows that obtained estimates of the income distribution are very precise and that the proposed estimation framework improves the statistical precision of parameter estimates relative to the classical multinomial likelihood. The estimation approach is finally applied to a set of countries included in the World Bank database PovcalNet.","PeriodicalId":18085,"journal":{"name":"Macroeconomics: Employment","volume":"70 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90475737","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 10
Television and the Labour Supply: Evidence from the Digital Television Transition in the UK 电视和劳动力供给:来自英国数字电视转型的证据
Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3587398
Adrian Nieto Castro
This paper exploits exogenous variation in the date of transition from analogue to digital television signal in the UK across more than 40,000 geographical units to investigate the causal impact of television on employment probabilities and potential mechanisms. Using a large individual panel survey data set and a difference-in-differences model that compares the outcomes of adults living in regions where the switchover occurred in different years, I find that the digital transition increases employment probabilities. The impact is driven by mothers and is due to an increase in part-time and self-employment. The effect increases with the number of children in a household and when the parent does not cohabit with a partner. A possible explanation for these results is that television keeps children busy, reducing the amount of housework that parents need to do and allowing them to focus on their careers. I test whether the digital transition reduces the time that individuals dedicate to housework and show that this is the case for mothers but not for fathers and non-parents. I find no effect on time allocation other than via housework.
本文利用英国4万多个地理单位从模拟电视信号向数字电视信号过渡日期的外生变化,研究电视对就业概率的因果影响和潜在机制。使用大型个人面板调查数据集和差异中的差异模型,比较了不同年份发生转换的地区生活的成年人的结果,我发现数字化转型增加了就业概率。这种影响是由母亲推动的,是由于兼职和自营职业的增加。这种影响随着一个家庭中孩子的数量和父母不与伴侣同居而增加。对这些结果的一种可能解释是,电视让孩子们很忙,减少了父母需要做的家务,使他们能够专注于自己的事业。我测试了数字化转型是否减少了人们花在家务上的时间,结果表明,这种情况只适用于母亲,而不适用于父亲和非父母。我发现除了做家务外,对时间分配没有任何影响。
{"title":"Television and the Labour Supply: Evidence from the Digital Television Transition in the UK","authors":"Adrian Nieto Castro","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3587398","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3587398","url":null,"abstract":"This paper exploits exogenous variation in the date of transition from analogue to digital television signal in the UK across more than 40,000 geographical units to investigate the causal impact of television on employment probabilities and potential mechanisms. Using a large individual panel survey data set and a difference-in-differences model that compares the outcomes of adults living in regions where the switchover occurred in different years, I find that the digital transition increases employment probabilities. The impact is driven by mothers and is due to an increase in part-time and self-employment. The effect increases with the number of children in a household and when the parent does not cohabit with a partner. A possible explanation for these results is that television keeps children busy, reducing the amount of housework that parents need to do and allowing them to focus on their careers. I test whether the digital transition reduces the time that individuals dedicate to housework and show that this is the case for mothers but not for fathers and non-parents. I find no effect on time allocation other than via housework.","PeriodicalId":18085,"journal":{"name":"Macroeconomics: Employment","volume":"76 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77003167","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
The Impact of the 2018-2019 Trade War on U.S. Local Labor Markets 2018-2019年贸易战对美国本土劳动力市场的影响
Pub Date : 2020-02-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3542362
Felipe Benguria, Felipe E. Saffie
We study the impact of the 2018-2019 trade war on U.S. local labor markets, distinguishing between regional exposure to foreign tariffs on U.S. exports, U.S. import tariffs, and U.S. tariffs on intermediate inputs. We find foreign retaliatory tariffs on U.S. exports have led to an increase in local unemployment rates, and this effect is magnified for regions specialized in non-manufacturing tradable goods (e.g. agriculture). U.S. import tariffs, on the other hand, have had an impact on local labor market conditions primarily through input-output linkages, leading to a decline in the employment share in the manufacturing sector and a decline in regional earnings.
我们研究了2018-2019年贸易战对美国当地劳动力市场的影响,区分了外国对美国出口征收关税、美国进口关税和美国对中间投入征收关税的区域风险。我们发现,外国对美国出口产品征收报复性关税导致当地失业率上升,这种影响在专门从事非制造业贸易商品(如农业)的地区被放大。另一方面,美国进口关税主要通过投入产出联系对当地劳动力市场状况产生影响,导致制造业就业份额下降,地区收入下降。
{"title":"The Impact of the 2018-2019 Trade War on U.S. Local Labor Markets","authors":"Felipe Benguria, Felipe E. Saffie","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3542362","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3542362","url":null,"abstract":"We study the impact of the 2018-2019 trade war on U.S. local labor markets, distinguishing between regional exposure to foreign tariffs on U.S. exports, U.S. import tariffs, and U.S. tariffs on intermediate inputs. We find foreign retaliatory tariffs on U.S. exports have led to an increase in local unemployment rates, and this effect is magnified for regions specialized in non-manufacturing tradable goods (e.g. agriculture). U.S. import tariffs, on the other hand, have had an impact on local labor market conditions primarily through input-output linkages, leading to a decline in the employment share in the manufacturing sector and a decline in regional earnings.","PeriodicalId":18085,"journal":{"name":"Macroeconomics: Employment","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78217984","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Why Did College Wage Premium Growth Slow Down? An Analysis with Endogenous Supply of College Workers 为什么大学工资溢价增长放缓?高校职工内生供给分析
Pub Date : 2020-02-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3538610
Yiheng Huang, K. Tsui
We look into the reasons for the significant deceleration of college wage premium growth since 2000 with a planner decision model in which the supply of college workers is endogenously determined. By counterfactual simulations, we find that: (1) the slower skill-biased technological change and faster skill-neutral productivity progress in both routine and manual task occupations account for two-third of the deceleration; (2) the slower skill-biased technological change in cognitive task occupations only explains less than one-tenth of the deceleration prior 2014; (3) the change in cost shifter of college worker supply attributes about a quarter of the deceleration. Furthermore, we show that the decline in college workers’ mean quality is a mechanism with a moderate impact on the deceleration. Our findings suggest that even the overall technological change was becoming more biased in favor of skills, the average college wage premium growth could still slow down. Also, if the demand reversal and automation in non-cognitive task occupations are the necessary directions of technological change, then the deceleration is somewhat an inevitable outcome of technological progress.
本文运用计划决策模型分析了2000年以来大学生工资溢价增长显著减速的原因,其中大学生劳动力供给是内生决定的。通过反事实模拟,我们发现:(1)在常规和手工任务职业中,较慢的技能偏向技术变革和较快的技能中性生产率进步占了减速的三分之二;(2)认知任务职业中较慢的技能偏向技术变革只能解释2014年之前减速的不到十分之一;(3)高校职工供给成本转移属性的变化约为四分之一的减速。此外,我们还发现,高校职工平均素质的下降是一种对经济减速有适度影响的机制。我们的研究结果表明,即使整体技术变革越来越倾向于技能,大学平均工资溢价的增长仍可能放缓。此外,如果非认知任务职业的需求逆转和自动化是技术变革的必然方向,那么减速在某种程度上是技术进步的必然结果。
{"title":"Why Did College Wage Premium Growth Slow Down? An Analysis with Endogenous Supply of College Workers","authors":"Yiheng Huang, K. Tsui","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3538610","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3538610","url":null,"abstract":"We look into the reasons for the significant deceleration of college wage premium growth since 2000 with a planner decision model in which the supply of college workers is endogenously determined. By counterfactual simulations, we find that: (1) the slower skill-biased technological change and faster skill-neutral productivity progress in both routine and manual task occupations account for two-third of the deceleration; (2) the slower skill-biased technological change in cognitive task occupations only explains less than one-tenth of the deceleration prior 2014; (3) the change in cost shifter of college worker supply attributes about a quarter of the deceleration. Furthermore, we show that the decline in college workers’ mean quality is a mechanism with a moderate impact on the deceleration. Our findings suggest that even the overall technological change was becoming more biased in favor of skills, the average college wage premium growth could still slow down. Also, if the demand reversal and automation in non-cognitive task occupations are the necessary directions of technological change, then the deceleration is somewhat an inevitable outcome of technological progress.","PeriodicalId":18085,"journal":{"name":"Macroeconomics: Employment","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84787715","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Experience and Perception of Social Mobility – A Cross-Country Test of the Self-Serving Bias 社会流动的经验与知觉——自我服务偏见的跨国检验
Pub Date : 2020-02-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3536890
N. Weber
Perceptions of social mobility in society are one of the most important determinants of individuals' preferences for redistribution and tolerance for economic inequalities. What shapes these perceptions is however so far little understood. In this paper, I propose and empirically test a behavioural model of social mobility perceptions based on the self-serving bias, using the ISSP Social Inequality Cumulative. The self-serving bias states that people blame external circumstances for their failures and take excessive credit for their successes. The results of my analysis indicate, in line with the expectations of the self-serving bias, that personal experiences with social mobility only influence people's perceptions of societal mobility if the experiences were negative or stagnating. Conversely, those who experienced positive mobility overestimate their personal contribution and, therefore, do not extrapolate from their experience onto perceptions of society at large. Instead, their perceptions are primarily related to their political orientation, with those towards the right of the political spectrum being more optimistic about social mobility and those towards the left being more pessimistic.
对社会流动性的感知是个人偏好再分配和对经济不平等的容忍的最重要决定因素之一。然而,迄今为止,人们对形成这些观念的原因知之甚少。在本文中,我使用ISSP社会不平等累积,提出并实证检验了基于自我服务偏见的社会流动性感知的行为模型。自我服务偏见是指人们将自己的失败归咎于外部环境,并将自己的成功过度归功于自己。我的分析结果表明,与自我服务偏见的预期一致,社会流动性的个人经历只有在经历是消极的或停滞的情况下才会影响人们对社会流动性的看法。相反,那些经历过积极流动的人高估了他们的个人贡献,因此,不会从他们的经历中推断出对整个社会的看法。相反,他们的看法主要与他们的政治取向有关,政治光谱中右翼的人对社会流动性更乐观,而左翼的人则更悲观。
{"title":"Experience and Perception of Social Mobility – A Cross-Country Test of the Self-Serving Bias","authors":"N. Weber","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3536890","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3536890","url":null,"abstract":"Perceptions of social mobility in society are one of the most important determinants of individuals' preferences for redistribution and tolerance for economic inequalities. What shapes these perceptions is however so far little understood. In this paper, I propose and empirically test a behavioural model of social mobility perceptions based on the self-serving bias, using the ISSP Social Inequality Cumulative. The self-serving bias states that people blame external circumstances for their failures and take excessive credit for their successes. The results of my analysis indicate, in line with the expectations of the self-serving bias, that personal experiences with social mobility only influence people's perceptions of societal mobility if the experiences were negative or stagnating. Conversely, those who experienced positive mobility overestimate their personal contribution and, therefore, do not extrapolate from their experience onto perceptions of society at large. Instead, their perceptions are primarily related to their political orientation, with those towards the right of the political spectrum being more optimistic about social mobility and those towards the left being more pessimistic.","PeriodicalId":18085,"journal":{"name":"Macroeconomics: Employment","volume":"60 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-02-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89353829","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
The Law & Political Economy of Workplace Technological Change 工作场所技术变革的法律与政治经济学
Pub Date : 2020-02-11 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3327608
Brishen Rogers
Abstract: This article explores how labor and employment laws shape workplace technological change. It focuses on emerging data-driven technologies such as machine learning, the branch of artificial intelligence that has sparked widespread concern about the future of work. The article argues that labor and employment laws shape employers’ technological choices in two ways. First, those laws help to facilitate technological development by granting employers broad rights to gather workplace data, to develop new technologies using that data, and to implement those technologies into the workplace, typically regardless of workers’ preferences. Second, those laws channel technological development in certain directions, in particular by encouraging companies to use technologies to exert power over workers and therefore cut labor costs. This analysis has policy implications. Among other things, it suggests that ensuring a decent future of work may require reforms to guarantee workers a voice in the development and deployment of workplace technologies.
摘要:本文探讨了劳动和就业法如何影响工作场所的技术变革。它专注于新兴的数据驱动技术,如机器学习,这是人工智能的一个分支,引发了人们对未来工作的广泛担忧。这篇文章认为,劳动和就业法从两个方面影响了雇主的技术选择。首先,这些法律通过授予雇主收集工作场所数据、利用这些数据开发新技术以及将这些技术应用于工作场所(通常不考虑工人的偏好)的广泛权利,有助于促进技术发展。其次,这些法律引导技术发展向特定方向发展,特别是鼓励公司利用技术对工人施加权力,从而降低劳动力成本。这一分析具有政策意义。除此之外,报告还指出,为了确保体面的未来工作,可能需要进行改革,以确保工人在工作场所技术的开发和部署中拥有发言权。
{"title":"The Law & Political Economy of Workplace Technological Change","authors":"Brishen Rogers","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.3327608","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.3327608","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract: This article explores how labor and employment laws shape workplace technological change. It focuses on emerging data-driven technologies such as machine learning, the branch of artificial intelligence that has sparked widespread concern about the future of work. The article argues that labor and employment laws shape employers’ technological choices in two ways. First, those laws help to facilitate technological development by granting employers broad rights to gather workplace data, to develop new technologies using that data, and to implement those technologies into the workplace, typically regardless of workers’ preferences. Second, those laws channel technological development in certain directions, in particular by encouraging companies to use technologies to exert power over workers and therefore cut labor costs. This analysis has policy implications. Among other things, it suggests that ensuring a decent future of work may require reforms to guarantee workers a voice in the development and deployment of workplace technologies.","PeriodicalId":18085,"journal":{"name":"Macroeconomics: Employment","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90795859","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 16
Union Solidarity in the 2018-19 Government Shutdown 2018-19年政府停摆期间的工会团结
Pub Date : 2020-02-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3535911
Gregory George Guthrie
The Government Shutdown of 2018-2019 ran for 35 days, from December 22, 2018 – January 25, 2019. It was the longest shutdown in the history of the United States. Most all Federal agencies were affected, and 800,000 federal workers were directly impacted by furloughs and delayed paychecks. The solidarity of Federal unions working synergistically with private sector unions, especially aviation sector unions, played a key role in ending the Shutdown. Private sector unions can strike; in the federal sector, it is illegal. Federal Unions: The National Federation of Federal Employees (NFFE), the American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE) , and the National Treasury Employees Union (NTEU) and the National Air Traffic Controllers Association (NATCA) coordinated efforts in solidarity with private sector Association of Flight Attendants (AFA-CWA), and the Air Line Pilots Association (ALPA). Televised interviews featuring Union leaders and federal workers, along with rallies at the AFL-CIO headquarters in Washington, DC featuring AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka, union leaders, and members of Congress were followed by demonstrations at the Senate Hart Office Building and arrests outside Leader Mitch McConnell’s office. These efforts brought national attention to the shutdown’s effect on workers. A specific leader emerged during the Shutdown – Sara Nelson. Union President and professional flight-attendant Sara Nelson of the AFA-CWA would ultimately throw down the gauntlet to Leader McConnell and the Administration, by threatening to call a strike if an agreement was not reached, citing mounting safety factors to the flying public. TSA workers had been stretched thin – 33 days without pay – some forced to sleep in their cars for lack of gas money. The AFA-CWA, National Air Traffic Controllers Association(NATCA), AirLine Pilots Association (ALPA) joined in. She called a strike on Jan. 25; a ground stop was ordered by the FAA at New York’s LaGuardia airport; and the shutdown ended later that day, approximately a week before the Superbowl. The dynamics of the union solidarity during the shutdown will be detailed in the presentation.
2018-2019年政府停摆持续了35天,从2018年12月22日至2019年1月25日。这是美国历史上最长的一次政府停摆。大多数联邦机构都受到影响,80万联邦工作人员直接受到无薪休假和延迟发工资的影响。联邦工会团结一致,与私营部门工会,特别是航空部门工会协同工作,在结束政府关门方面发挥了关键作用。私营部门的工会可以罢工;在联邦部门,这是非法的。联邦工会:全国联邦雇员联合会(NFFE)、美国政府雇员联合会(AFGE)、国家财政雇员联合会(NTEU)和国家空中交通管制员协会(NATCA)与私营部门空乘人员协会(AFA-CWA)和航空公司飞行员协会(ALPA)共同协调努力。电视采访了工会领导人和联邦工作人员,在华盛顿特区的劳联-产联总部举行了集会,劳联-产联主席理查德·特拉姆卡、工会领导人和国会议员参加了集会,随后在参议院哈特办公大楼举行了示威,并在领袖米奇·麦康奈尔的办公室外被捕。这些努力引起了全国对政府关门对工人影响的关注。在政府停摆期间出现了一位特殊的领导人——萨拉·纳尔逊。AFA-CWA的工会主席和专业空乘萨拉·纳尔逊最终向领袖麦康奈尔和政府发出挑战,威胁说如果不能达成协议,就会发动罢工,理由是飞行公众面临的安全因素越来越多。运输安全管理局的工作人员已经捉襟襟肘——33天没有工资——有些人因为没有油钱而被迫睡在车里。AFA-CWA、国家空中交通管制员协会(NATCA)、航空公司飞行员协会(ALPA)也加入其中。她号召在1月25日举行罢工;联邦航空局命令飞机在纽约拉瓜迪亚机场停地;当天晚些时候,大约在超级碗前一周,政府停摆结束了。停工期间工会团结的动态将在报告中详细介绍。
{"title":"Union Solidarity in the 2018-19 Government Shutdown","authors":"Gregory George Guthrie","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3535911","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3535911","url":null,"abstract":"The Government Shutdown of 2018-2019 ran for 35 days, from December 22, 2018 – January 25, 2019. It was the longest shutdown in the history of the United States. Most all Federal agencies were affected, and 800,000 federal workers were directly impacted by furloughs and delayed paychecks. The solidarity of Federal unions working synergistically with private sector unions, especially aviation sector unions, played a key role in ending the Shutdown. Private sector unions can strike; in the federal sector, it is illegal. Federal Unions: The National Federation of Federal Employees (NFFE), the American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE) , and the National Treasury Employees Union (NTEU) and the National Air Traffic Controllers Association (NATCA) coordinated efforts in solidarity with private sector Association of Flight Attendants (AFA-CWA), and the Air Line Pilots Association (ALPA). Televised interviews featuring Union leaders and federal workers, along with rallies at the AFL-CIO headquarters in Washington, DC featuring AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka, union leaders, and members of Congress were followed by demonstrations at the Senate Hart Office Building and arrests outside Leader Mitch McConnell’s office. These efforts brought national attention to the shutdown’s effect on workers. A specific leader emerged during the Shutdown – Sara Nelson. Union President and professional flight-attendant Sara Nelson of the AFA-CWA would ultimately throw down the gauntlet to Leader McConnell and the Administration, by threatening to call a strike if an agreement was not reached, citing mounting safety factors to the flying public. TSA workers had been stretched thin – 33 days without pay – some forced to sleep in their cars for lack of gas money. The AFA-CWA, National Air Traffic Controllers Association(NATCA), AirLine Pilots Association (ALPA) joined in. She called a strike on Jan. 25; a ground stop was ordered by the FAA at New York’s LaGuardia airport; and the shutdown ended later that day, approximately a week before the Superbowl. The dynamics of the union solidarity during the shutdown will be detailed in the presentation.","PeriodicalId":18085,"journal":{"name":"Macroeconomics: Employment","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85341011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The German Minimum Wage and Wage Growth: Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Using Causal Forests 德国最低工资和工资增长:使用因果森林的异质处理效应
Pub Date : 2020-02-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3415479
Patrick Burauel, Carsten Schroeder
Previous research suggests that minimum wages induce heterogeneous treatment effects on wages across different groups of employees. This research usually defines groups textit{ex ante}. We analyze to what extent effect heterogeneities can be discerned in a data-driven manner by adapting the generalized random forest implementation of Athey et al (2019) in a difference-in-differences setting. Such a data-driven methodology allows detecting the potentially spurious nature of heterogeneities found in subgroups chosen ex-ante. The 2015 introduction of a minimum wage in Germany is the institutional background, with data of the Socio-economic Panel serving as our empirical basis. Our analysis not only reveals considerable treatment heterogeneities, it also shows that previously documented effect heterogeneities can be explained by interactions of other covariates.
先前的研究表明,最低工资在不同的雇员群体中引起了不同的待遇效应。这项研究通常预先textit{定义群体}。我们通过调整Athey等人(2019)在差异中差异环境中的广义随机森林实现,分析了以数据驱动的方式可以识别异质性的影响程度。这种数据驱动的方法可以检测到预先选择的亚组中发现的异质性的潜在虚假性质。2015年德国引入最低工资是制度背景,社会经济小组的数据是我们的经验基础。我们的分析不仅揭示了相当大的治疗异质性,还表明以前记录的效果异质性可以通过其他协变量的相互作用来解释。
{"title":"The German Minimum Wage and Wage Growth: Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Using Causal Forests","authors":"Patrick Burauel, Carsten Schroeder","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3415479","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3415479","url":null,"abstract":"Previous research suggests that minimum wages induce heterogeneous treatment effects on wages across different groups of employees. This research usually defines groups textit{ex ante}. We analyze to what extent effect heterogeneities can be discerned in a data-driven manner by adapting the generalized random forest implementation of Athey et al (2019) in a difference-in-differences setting. Such a data-driven methodology allows detecting the potentially spurious nature of heterogeneities found in subgroups chosen ex-ante. The 2015 introduction of a minimum wage in Germany is the institutional background, with data of the Socio-economic Panel serving as our empirical basis. Our analysis not only reveals considerable treatment heterogeneities, it also shows that previously documented effect heterogeneities can be explained by interactions of other covariates.","PeriodicalId":18085,"journal":{"name":"Macroeconomics: Employment","volume":"20 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87787293","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
期刊
Macroeconomics: Employment
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1