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The Value of Response Time Information in Supply Chain Bargaining 响应时间信息在供应链议价中的价值
Pub Date : 2022-10-11 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1138
Fadong Chen, Yingshuai Zhao, U. W. Thonemann
Problem definition: We analyzed the value of response time information in supply chain bargaining and how the transparency of response times affects bargaining dynamics and outcomes. Academic/practical relevance: The research on supply chain bargaining has focused on agents’ choices, whereas the value of process data, such as response times, has received limited attention. The process data underlying a decision can contain valuable information about the agents’ preference. Methodology: We conducted two laboratory experiments with multiround bargaining between a supplier and a retailer, where the supplier had private information about production costs. The retailer proposed wholesale prices to the supplier, and the supplier decided whether to reject or accept them. The experiments were composed of treatments with response time information (RT-Treatments) and those without response time information (noRT-Treatments). Suppliers’ response times were transparent to retailers in the RT-Treatment but were not transparent to those in the noRT-Treatment. Results: We found that suppliers’ response times could indicate their preference strengths regarding retailers’ proposals. In the RT-Treatment, retailers could use suppliers’ response times to their advantage. Compared with those in the noRT-Treatment, retailers in the RT-Treatment made lower initial proposals. The final wholesale prices in agreements were also lower in this treatment, resulting in higher average retailer and channel profits but lower supplier profits. Managerial implications: We demonstrated that response time information in supply chain bargaining revealed bargainers’ preferences and affected bargaining dynamics and outcomes. Bargainers could use their partners’ response times to improve their bargaining outcomes.
问题定义:我们分析了响应时间信息在供应链议价中的价值,以及响应时间的透明度如何影响议价动态和结果。学术/实践相关性:供应链议价的研究主要集中在代理人的选择上,而过程数据的价值,如响应时间,受到的关注有限。决策背后的过程数据可能包含有关代理偏好的有价值信息。方法:我们对供应商和零售商之间的多轮议价进行了两个实验室实验,其中供应商拥有关于生产成本的私人信息。零售商向供应商提出批发价格,由供应商决定是拒绝还是接受。实验分为有反应时间信息处理(rt - treatment)和无反应时间信息处理(nort - treatment)。供应商的反应时间在rt处理中对零售商是透明的,但在north处理中对零售商则不透明。结果:我们发现供应商的反应时间可以反映他们对零售商建议的偏好优势。在RT-Treatment中,零售商可以利用供应商的反应时间来发挥自己的优势。与北方待遇的零售商相比,rt待遇的零售商提出的初始建议较低。在这种处理下,协议中的最终批发价格也更低,导致零售商和渠道的平均利润更高,但供应商的利润更低。管理启示:我们证明了供应链议价中的响应时间信息揭示了议价者的偏好,并影响了议价动态和结果。讨价还价者可以利用他们的合作伙伴的反应时间来改善他们的讨价还价结果。
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引用次数: 2
Introduction to the Manufacturing & Service Operations Management Special Section on Responsible Research in Operations Management 制造与服务营运管理专题导论营运管理中的责任研究
Pub Date : 2022-10-07 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1155
Serguei Netessine, Christopher S. Tang, M. Toffel
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引用次数: 0
Contractual Coordination of Agricultural Marketing Cooperatives With Quality Provisions 有质量规定的农业销售合作社契约协调
Pub Date : 2022-09-28 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1151
Xiaoyan Qian, T. Olsen
Problem Definition: With increasing concerns about the quality and safety of agricultural products, many agricultural cooperatives (co-ops) have begun to specify quality provisions in contracts with farmers. Correspondingly, they are pooling products to quality-differentiated markets and offering quality-differentiated prices to farmers in multiple stages. Methodology/results: We propose a two-stage stochastic program to study the quality coordination problem in a setting where a co-op specifies a quality standard and offers a multistage payment scheme in its contract with multiple farmers who can exert quality-related effort and also show preference toward prompt payment timing. We first analyze a commonly adopted payment scheme, the pooling payment scheme, and then propose an improved payment scheme, the upfront incentive (UI) payment scheme. We find that the pooling payment scheme is able to coordinate the supply chain only when farmers’ time preference is higher than a threshold; otherwise, the scheme leads to the problem of over-motivation with respect to effort. However, the UI payment scheme can coordinate the supply chain unconditionally and is also robust to farmers heterogeneous in farm size. We further conduct two extensions, including farmers heterogeneous in farm size and dynamic market size. Managerial implications: The results provide guidance on a co-op’s contract design, including quality provision and payment mechanisms in multiple periods.
问题定义:随着对农产品质量和安全的日益关注,许多农业合作社(合作社)已经开始在与农民的合同中明确质量条款。相应地,他们将产品集中到质量差异化的市场,并在多个阶段向农民提供质量差异化的价格。方法/结果:我们提出了一个两阶段的随机方案来研究这样一种情况下的质量协调问题:合作社指定了质量标准,并在与多个农民的合同中提供了一个多阶段的支付方案,这些农民可以付出与质量相关的努力,同时也倾向于及时支付。我们首先分析了一种常用的支付方案,即池化支付方案,然后提出了一种改进的支付方案,即预先激励(UI)支付方案。我们发现,只有当农民的时间偏好高于某个阈值时,集中支付方案才能够协调供应链;否则,该方案会导致与努力相关的过度激励问题。然而,UI支付方案可以无条件地协调供应链,并且对农场规模不同的农民也具有鲁棒性。我们进一步进行了两个扩展,包括农场规模异质性农户和动态市场规模。管理意义:研究结果为合作公寓的合同设计提供了指导,包括多个时期的质量规定和支付机制。
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引用次数: 3
On the Participation, Competition and Welfare at Customer-Intensive Discretionary Service Platforms 顾客密集型自主服务平台的参与、竞争与福利研究
Pub Date : 2022-09-27 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1152
Yixuan Liu, Xiaofang Wang, S. Gilbert, Guoming Lai
Problem definition: We investigate the participation, competition, and welfare at platforms that focus on customer-intensive discretionary services, such as healthcare, legal, and business consulting. Academic/practical relevance: Such platforms have recently emerged in practice to provide a venue for independent professionals and service seekers to match online. Methodology: We develop a strategic queueing model, where the platform sets the commission rate, upon which service providers decide participation, service quality, and price, and consumers make service acquisition. Results: First, our study reveals that with heterogeneous consumers, the participating service providers may engage in both price and service competitions if the number of them is either small or large. They compete for attractive consumers in the former and for market share in the latter. In these regions, more service providers joining the platform can result in a lower service price and a higher service quality. Whereas, if the number of participating service providers is intermediate, only service competition arises, so that a higher service quality is associated with a higher service price. Second, we find that in our main model, the platform may set the commission rate sufficiently high to limit the number of participating service providers, so as to prevent intense price competition. In contrast, if the platform also controls the service price, it may set a higher service price and a lower commission rate, which boosts the participation of service providers and improves their service quality. As a result, platform price intervention may not only benefit the platform and the service providers, but also the consumers. Managerial implications: These insights not only complement prior literature, but are also useful for understanding and the design of such service platforms in practice.
问题定义:我们调查了专注于客户密集型自由裁量服务(如医疗保健、法律和商业咨询)的平台的参与、竞争和福利。学术/实践相关性:这种平台最近在实践中出现,为独立专业人士和寻求服务的人提供了一个在线匹配的场所。方法:我们开发了一个战略排队模型,平台设定佣金率,服务提供商决定参与、服务质量和价格,消费者进行服务获取。结果:首先,研究发现,在异质性消费者条件下,参与的服务提供商无论数量多或少,都可能同时进行价格竞争和服务竞争。它们在前者争夺有吸引力的消费者,在后者争夺市场份额。在这些地区,越多的服务提供商加入平台,服务价格就越低,服务质量就越高。然而,如果参与服务提供商的数量是中间的,则只会产生服务竞争,因此较高的服务质量与较高的服务价格相关联。其次,我们发现在我们的主要模型中,平台可能会设置足够高的佣金率,以限制参与服务提供商的数量,从而防止激烈的价格竞争。相比之下,如果平台同时控制服务价格,则可能会设定较高的服务价格和较低的佣金率,从而促进服务提供商的参与,提高服务质量。因此,平台价格干预不仅有利于平台和服务提供商,也有利于消费者。管理启示:这些见解不仅补充了先前的文献,而且对实践中理解和设计此类服务平台也很有用。
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引用次数: 3
Vertiport Planning for Urban Aerial Mobility: An Adaptive Discretization Approach 城市空中交通垂直规划:一种自适应离散化方法
Pub Date : 2022-09-21 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1148
Kai Wang, A. Jacquillat, Vikrant Vaze
Problem definition: Electric vertical-takeoff-and-landing (eVTOL) vehicles enable urban aerial mobility (UAM). This paper optimizes the number, locations, and capacities of vertiports in UAM systems while capturing interdependencies between strategic vertiport deployment, tactical operations, and passenger demand. Academic/practical relevance: The model includes a “tractable part” (based on mixed-integer second-order conic optimization) and also a nonconvex demand function. Methodology: We develop an exact algorithm that approximates nonconvex functions with piecewise constant segments, iterating between a conservative model (which yields a feasible solution) and a relaxed model (which yields a solution guarantee). We propose an adaptive discretization scheme that converges to a global optimum—because of the relaxed model. Results: Our algorithm converges to a 1% optimality gap, dominating static discretization benchmarks in terms of solution quality, runtimes, and solution guarantee. Managerial implications: We find that the most attractive structure for UAM is one that uses a few high-capacity vertiports, consolidating operations primarily to serve long-distance trips. Moreover, UAM profitability is highly sensitive to network planning optimization and to customer expectations, perhaps even more so than to vehicle specifications. Therefore, the success of UAM operations requires not only mature eVTOL technologies but also tailored analytics-based capabilities to optimize strategic planning and market-based efforts to drive customer demand.
问题定义:电动垂直起降(eVTOL)车辆实现城市空中机动(UAM)。本文优化了UAM系统中垂直机场的数量、位置和容量,同时捕获了战略垂直机场部署、战术操作和乘客需求之间的相互依赖关系。学术/实际意义:该模型包括一个“可处理部分”(基于混合整数二阶二次优化)和一个非凸需求函数。方法:我们开发了一种精确的算法,用分段常数段近似非凸函数,在保守模型(产生可行解)和松弛模型(产生解保证)之间迭代。由于模型松弛,我们提出了一种收敛到全局最优的自适应离散化方案。结果:我们的算法收敛到1%的最优性差距,在解决方案质量、运行时间和解决方案保证方面主导静态离散化基准。管理启示:我们发现,UAM最具吸引力的结构是使用一些高容量垂直机场,整合运营,主要为长途旅行服务。此外,UAM的盈利能力对网络规划优化和客户期望高度敏感,甚至可能比车辆规格更敏感。因此,UAM操作的成功不仅需要成熟的eVTOL技术,还需要定制的基于分析的能力来优化战略规划和市场努力,以推动客户需求。
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引用次数: 10
Real-Time Integrated Learning and Decision Making for Cumulative Shock Degradation 累积冲击退化的实时集成学习与决策
Pub Date : 2022-09-16 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1149
Collin Drent, M. Drent, J. Arts, S. Kapodistria
Problem definition: Unexpected failures of equipment can have severe consequences and costs. Such unexpected failures can be prevented by performing preventive replacement based on real-time degradation data. We study a component that degrades according to a compound Poisson process and fails when the degradation exceeds the failure threshold. An online sensor measures the degradation in real time, but interventions are only possible during planned downtime. Academic/practical relevance: We characterize the optimal replacement policy that integrates real-time learning from the online sensor. We demonstrate the effectiveness in practice with a case study on interventional x-ray machines. The data set of this case study is available in the online companion. As such, it can serve as a benchmark data set for future studies on stochastically deteriorating systems. Methodology: The degradation parameters vary from one component to the next but cannot be observed directly; the component population is heterogeneous. These parameters must therefore be inferred by observing the real-time degradation signal. We model this situation as a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) so that decision making and learning are integrated. We collapse the information state space of this POMDP to three dimensions so that optimal policies can be analyzed and computed tractably. Results: The optimal policy is a state dependent control limit. The control limit increases with age but may decrease as a result of other information in the degradation signal. Numerical case study analyses reveal that integration of learning and decision making leads to cost reductions of 10.50% relative to approaches that do not learn from the real-time signal and 4.28% relative to approaches that separate learning and decision making. Managerial implications: Real-time sensor information can reduce the cost of maintenance and unplanned downtime by a considerable amount. The integration of learning and decision making is tractably possible for industrial systems with our state space collapse. Finally, the benefit of our model increases with the amount of data available for initial model calibration, whereas additional data are much less valuable for approaches that ignore population heterogeneity.
问题定义:设备的意外故障可能会产生严重的后果和成本。通过基于实时退化数据执行预防性更换,可以防止此类意外故障。我们研究了一种根据复合泊松过程退化的部件,当退化超过失效阈值时失效。在线传感器可以实时测量退化情况,但只有在计划停机期间才能进行干预。学术/实践相关性:我们描述了集成在线传感器实时学习的最佳替换策略。我们以介入x光机为例,证明了该方法的有效性。本案例研究的数据集可在在线同伴中获得。因此,它可以作为未来随机退化系统研究的基准数据集。方法:降解参数因组分而异,但不能直接观察;组件群是异构的。因此,这些参数必须通过观察实时退化信号来推断。我们将这种情况建模为部分可观察的马尔可夫决策过程(POMDP),以便将决策和学习集成在一起。我们将该POMDP的信息状态空间分解为三维空间,从而可以跟踪地分析和计算最优策略。结果:最优策略为状态依赖控制极限。控制极限随年龄增长而增加,但可能由于退化信号中的其他信息而降低。数值案例研究分析表明,与不从实时信号中学习的方法相比,学习和决策相结合的方法成本降低了10.50%,与将学习和决策分离的方法相比,成本降低了4.28%。管理意义:实时传感器信息可以大大减少维护成本和计划外停机时间。对于状态空间崩溃的工业系统,学习与决策的集成是可行的。最后,我们的模型的好处随着初始模型校准可用数据量的增加而增加,而对于忽略群体异质性的方法来说,额外的数据价值要低得多。
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引用次数: 5
The Promise of mHealth for Chronic Disease Management Under Different Payment Systems 不同支付系统下移动医疗对慢性病管理的承诺
Pub Date : 2022-09-08 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1143
Balaraman Rajan, Arvind Sainathan, Saligrama R. Agnihothri, Leon Cui
Problem definition: Rapid innovations in technology have created opportunities for different modes of healthcare delivery including digital services provided via mobile applications (mHealth). mHealth technology has the potential to provide efficient, effective, and patient-centered healthcare to manage chronic conditions. However, the economics associated with the adoption and integration of mHealth into the care delivery process is not well understood. In a chronic care clinical practice setting, we investigate fee-for-service (FFS) and capitation payment systems, and explore their performance in a traditional office-visit mode and in a mHealth-adopted mode. We identify conditions under which it is preferable to switch to an mHealth-based practice from an office visit-based practice. Methodology/results: We use an analytical model to track the progression of a chronic disease and formulate an optimization problem in which the clinic decides the time between scheduled visits and patient panel size. We consider many patient-doctor interaction factors including the risk-index of patients, the cost of being sick, and the effectiveness of treatment. We measure the performance based on four different criteria: physician net revenue, physician panel size, total patient utility, and payor net revenue. Although patients may find mHealth mode to be very beneficial, physicians under an FFS system may only adopt mHealth for moderately risky patients but for neither low-risk nor high-risk patients. Capitation clinics are likely to adopt mHealth (higher net revenue) even if the technology is moderately effective. Importantly, mHealth is preferred by patients (higher total utility) and policy makers (greater coverage) when the clinic serves moderate-risk or high-risk patients. Managerial implications: Chronic conditions need continuous care management and use of mHealth has been very promising. However, adoption of mHealth by healthcare providers has been very slow. Our research explores payment systems, physician incentives, and optimal conditions for mHealth to achieve its full potential.
问题定义:技术的快速创新为不同的医疗保健提供模式创造了机会,包括通过移动应用程序提供的数字服务(移动医疗)。移动医疗技术有潜力提供高效、有效和以患者为中心的医疗保健来管理慢性病。然而,与采用移动医疗并将其整合到医疗服务过程中相关的经济学尚未得到很好的理解。在慢性护理临床实践环境中,我们调查了按服务收费(FFS)和按人头支付系统,并探讨了它们在传统的办公室就诊模式和采用移动健康模式下的表现。我们确定了在哪些条件下更适合从基于办公室就诊的实践转向基于移动健康的实践。方法/结果:我们使用一个分析模型来跟踪慢性病的进展,并制定一个优化问题,其中诊所决定计划就诊的时间间隔和患者小组的规模。我们考虑了许多医患互动因素,包括患者的风险指数、患病的成本和治疗的有效性。我们基于四个不同的标准来衡量绩效:医生净收入、医生小组规模、患者总效用和付款人净收入。虽然患者可能会发现移动健康模式非常有益,但在FFS系统下的医生可能只对中等风险患者采用移动健康,而对低风险和高风险患者则不采用移动健康。人头诊所可能会采用移动医疗(净收入更高),即使该技术的效果一般。重要的是,当诊所服务于中等风险或高风险患者时,患者(更高的总效用)和决策者(更大的覆盖范围)更喜欢移动医疗。管理意义:慢性病需要持续的护理管理和使用移动医疗是非常有前途的。然而,医疗保健提供者采用移动医疗的速度非常缓慢。我们的研究探讨了支付系统、医生激励和移动医疗的最佳条件,以充分发挥其潜力。
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引用次数: 2
Reining in Onion Prices by Introducing a Vertically Differentiated Substitute: Models, Analysis, and Insights 通过引入垂直差异化替代来控制洋葱价格:模型、分析和见解
Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1145
H. M. Yayla-Küllü, Omkar D. Palsule-Desai, S. Gavirneni
Problem definition: Onion is an indispensable ingredient of the Indian diet, and plays a vital role in Indian economy, society, and politics. The ever-lasting volatility in its prices leads to significant social unrest. In this paper, we are interested in helping decision makers to rigorously evaluate a recent policy proposal to make dehydrated onion widely available to remedy the situation. Methodology/results: Using a stylized analytical model, we look for conditions under which it is optimal to introduce a processed substitute and whether it should be managed by nonprofit or for-profit firms. We find that the solution is identified by threshold-based policies and outcomes are far better under the nonprofit management. We also find that a nonprofit processing firm may purposefully choose a strategy where consumers do not purchase its offering for a certain medium range of raw onion deterioration levels. In addition, we find that a for-profit firm would always choose to be the lower-quality substitute in the market unless the raw onion deterioration is high. We also find that when supply capacity is constrained, sales of the processed substitute might decrease with increased supply availability. Managerial implications: This is the first paper that takes perishability and consumer welfare into account in a two-period vertically differentiated market model and compares various scenarios of competition when there is consumer prejudice for the processed substitute. For India’s policymakers, we find ample evidence to work toward implementing the processed substitute policy. We go deep and discuss tailored insights for certain regions in India. We find that although improved consumer perception is favorable in general, policymakers should be careful about some unintended consequences such as increased prices and lower availability.
问题定义:洋葱是印度饮食中不可缺少的成分,在印度的经济、社会和政治中起着至关重要的作用。石油价格的持续波动会导致严重的社会动荡。在本文中,我们有兴趣帮助决策者严格评估最近的一项政策建议,使脱水洋葱广泛可用,以补救这种情况。方法/结果:使用程式化的分析模型,我们寻找引入加工替代品的最佳条件,以及它是否应该由非营利组织或营利性公司管理。我们发现解决方案是由基于阈值的政策确定的,结果在非营利组织的管理下要好得多。我们还发现,非营利性加工企业可能会有目的地选择一种策略,即消费者在生洋葱变质程度的某个中等范围内不购买其产品。此外,我们发现,除非生洋葱的变质程度很高,否则营利性企业总是会选择做市场上质量较低的替代品。我们还发现,当供应能力受到限制时,加工替代品的销售可能会随着供应可用性的增加而减少。管理意义:这是第一篇在两期垂直差异化市场模型中考虑易腐性和消费者福利的论文,并比较了当消费者对加工替代品存在偏见时的各种竞争情景。对于印度的政策制定者来说,我们找到了充分的证据来努力实施加工替代品政策。我们深入讨论了针对印度某些地区量身定制的见解。我们发现,虽然消费者认知的改善总体上是有利的,但政策制定者应该小心一些意想不到的后果,如价格上涨和可用性降低。
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引用次数: 0
Sequential Bidding for Merging in Algorithmic Traffic 顺序竞标合并算法流量
Pub Date : 2022-08-30 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1144
Mihalis G. Markakis, K. Talluri, D. Tikhonenko
Problem definition: We consider the problem of resolving ad hoc unpredictable congestion in environments where customers have private time valuations. We investigate the design of fair, efficient, budget-balanced, and implementable bidding mechanisms for observable queues. Academic/practical relevance: Our primary motivation comes from merging in algorithmic traffic, i.e., a driver wishing to merge in a relatively dense platoon of vehicles in a coordinated and efficient way, using intervehicle communication and micropayments, akin to an arriving customer trading for position in a single-server observable queue. Methodology: We analyze the performance of a mechanism where the queue joiner makes sequential take-it-or-leave-it bids from tail to head (T2H) of a platoon, with the condition that the vehicle can advance to the next position only if it wins the bid. This mechanism is designed so that it is implementable, balances the budget, and imposes no negative externalities. Results: We compared this mechanism with head to tail (H2T) bidding, which favors the merging driver but potentially causes uncompensated externalities. Assuming i.i.d. time valuations, we obtain the optimal bids, value functions, and expected social welfare in closed form in both mechanisms. Moreover, if the time valuation of the merging driver is not high, we show that the expected social welfare of T2H is close to a partial information social optimum and that the expected social welfare of H2T is lower than that of T2H as long as the platoon is not too short. Managerial implications: Our findings suggest that mechanisms based on sequential take-it-or-leave-it bids from T2H of an observable queue have good social welfare performance, even if the corresponding bids are not chosen optimally, as long as the time valuation of the arriving customer is not high. Nevertheless, the tension between individual incentives and social welfare seems hard to resolve, highlighting the role of platforms to enforce the cooperation of involved parties.
问题定义:我们考虑在客户有私人时间估值的环境中解决临时不可预测的拥塞问题。我们研究了公平、高效、预算平衡和可实施的可观察队列招标机制的设计。学术/实践相关性:我们的主要动机来自于算法交通中的合并,即,驾驶员希望以协调和有效的方式合并在相对密集的车辆排中,使用车辆间通信和小额支付,类似于到达的客户在单服务器可观察队列中交易位置。方法:我们分析了一种机制的性能,在这种机制中,队列加入者从队列尾部到队列头部(T2H)进行顺序的接受或放弃竞标,条件是车辆只有在赢得竞标后才能前进到下一个位置。这种机制的设计是为了使其可执行、平衡预算和不施加负面外部性。结果:我们将这种机制与头尾(H2T)竞标进行了比较,后者有利于合并驱动者,但可能导致未补偿的外部性。假设时间估值,我们得到了两种机制下的最优出价、价值函数和期望社会福利的封闭形式。此外,当合并司机的时间估值不高时,我们发现T2H的期望社会福利接近部分信息社会最优,并且只要排不太短,H2T的期望社会福利低于T2H的期望社会福利。管理启示:我们的研究结果表明,基于可观察队列中T2H的顺序接受或放弃出价的机制具有良好的社会福利绩效,即使相应的出价不是最优选择,只要到达的客户的时间估值不高。然而,个人激励与社会福利之间的紧张关系似乎难以解决,这凸显了平台在强制各方合作方面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to the Special Section on Smart City Operations 智慧城市运营专题介绍
Pub Date : 2022-08-22 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1133
Sameer Hasija, C. Teo
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引用次数: 0
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