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A comparative methodological approach for the calculation of ships air emissions and fuel-energy consumption in two major Greek ports 比较的方法方法计算船舶空气排放和燃料能源消耗在两个主要的希腊港口
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-26 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1946610
E. Doundoulakis, S. Papaefthimiou
ABSTRACT The scope of the paper is to focus on the main technical discrepancies, that is, engine load factor (LF), specific fuel oil consumption (SFOC), emissions factors (EF), included in the existing methodological approaches for calculating ships’ on-board emissions and propose a framework that will allow various stakeholders to conduct accurate air emissions calculations based on publically available operational data. A bottom-up methodology has been employed for the calculation of fuel-energy consumption and air emissions (CO2, SOx, NOx, PM10) in two major ports (Souda and Heraklion) of Crete island in Greece for passenger ferries and cruise ships for the years 2018 and 2019 and for both main and auxiliary engines of all vessels. Due to the lack of publically available technical data, the proposed methodology is based on the estimation of SFOC values through a regression analysis that leads to accurate and reliable results. The basic scenario is based on a detailed estimation of SFOC via a regression analysis applied on engine’s technical data, while the alternative approaches employ SFOC estimated through the application of specific adjustment factors and main engine power based on ship’s gross tonnage. The basic scenario results are the most accurate data while in most other cases air emissions are underestimated observing significant differences between the different methodologies.
本文的范围是关注主要的技术差异,即发动机负载因子(LF),特定燃油消耗(SFOC),排放因子(EF),包括在现有的计算船舶船上排放的方法方法中,并提出一个框架,使各利益相关者能够根据公开可用的操作数据进行准确的空气排放计算。采用自下而上的方法计算了2018年和2019年希腊克里特岛两个主要港口(苏达和伊拉克利翁)的客运渡轮和游轮以及所有船只的主发动机和辅助发动机的燃料能源消耗和空气排放(二氧化碳,SOx, NOx, PM10)。由于缺乏公开可用的技术数据,所提出的方法是基于通过回归分析对SFOC值的估计,从而得出准确可靠的结果。基本方案是通过对发动机技术数据的回归分析对SFOC进行详细估计,而备选方案是通过应用船舶总吨位的特定调整因子和主机功率来估计SFOC。基本情景结果是最准确的数据,而在大多数其他情况下,空气排放被低估,不同方法之间存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 7
A Simulation Based Meta-heuristic Approach for the Inbound Container Housekeeping Problem in the Automated Container Terminals 基于仿真的元启发式方法在自动化集装箱码头中解决进港集装箱管理问题
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-17 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1934582
H. Qin, Xinxin Su, Guoxin Li, Xin Jin, Mingzhu Yu
ABSTRACT We study an inbound container housekeeping problem in an automated container terminal. We propose an integer programming model to characterize the problem and provide a meta-heuristic algorithm to solve it. To tackle the random factors in the future retrieval process, a simulation module is embedded in the process of evaluating the objective value. By computational experiments, we demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our method. Moreover, we also conduct sensitivity analysis to examine the impacts of different algorithm parameters.
摘要:我们研究了一个自动化集装箱码头中的进港集装箱内务管理问题。我们提出了一个整数规划模型来描述问题,并提供了一个元启发式算法来解决问题。为了解决未来检索过程中的随机因素,在评估目标值的过程中嵌入了一个模拟模块。通过计算实验,我们证明了我们的方法的有效性和效率。此外,我们还进行了灵敏度分析,以检验不同算法参数的影响。
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引用次数: 3
Port congestion and the economics of LPG seaborne transportation 港口拥堵与液化石油气海运的经济性
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-16 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1940334
Xiwen Bai, H. Jia, M. Xu
ABSTRACT This paper investigates how port congestion affects maritime transportation freight rates for Liquefied Petroleum Gas seaborne trade in a System Dynamics model by capturing supply and demand dynamics from the actual shipment data derived from the Automatic Identification System. The methodology enables the analysis of causal effects among the multilayered elements in the supply and demand loop of Liquefied Petroleum Gas seaborne transportation at the micro level. We find evidence of causal effect of port congestion in its severity on freight rate when the market condition is tight. Moreover, the model provides trend forecasts for freight change directions. The findings have significant implications for practitioners and policy makers.
摘要本文通过从自动识别系统获得的实际装运数据中获取供需动态,在系统动力学模型中研究了港口拥堵如何影响液化石油气海运贸易的海运运费。该方法能够在微观层面上分析液化石油气海运供需循环中多层次因素之间的因果影响。我们发现有证据表明,在市场条件紧张的情况下,港口拥堵对运费的严重程度会产生因果影响。此外,该模型还提供了货运变化方向的趋势预测。研究结果对从业者和政策制定者具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 13
The contribution of Vessel Traffic Services to safe coexistence between automated and conventional vessels 船舶交通服务对自动化船舶与传统船舶安全共存的贡献
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-12 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1937739
Tore Relling, M. Lützhöft, R. Ostnes, H. P. Hildre
ABSTRACT The maritime industry could face major changes the coming decade. Technology development opens for new ways of operating vessels and autonomy is argued to revolutionise design and operations. However, despite a large focus on autonomy for several years, no autonomous concepts have become operational. In our paper, we suggest an initial step towards autonomy using unmanned automated vessels. To explore this, we utilize the coherence between the systems thinking and participatory design thinking process. We frame the project to focus on the Vessel Traffic Services (VTS) traffic regulation and organisation measures in a 2025 scenario. The study shows that the standardisation of traffic would be beneficial for the present MTS with only conventional vessels, it will be a prerequisite for a future MTS with automated vessels. Further, we identify that the VTS need to change their role from solving situations ad-hoc to assume a tactical responsibility in traffic planning and to resolve situations at an earlier stage. A prototype of the future MTS shows that the identified challenges are considered possible to solve within a short time frame and is summed up in one statement from a plenary discussion: ‘this is not difficult, we could do it tomorrow’.
未来十年,航运业可能面临重大变化。技术的发展为船舶的新操作方式开辟了道路,自动化被认为将彻底改变设计和操作。然而,尽管人们多年来一直关注自动驾驶,但无人驾驶概念尚未付诸实践。在我们的论文中,我们建议使用无人驾驶的自动化船只向自主迈出第一步。为了探讨这一点,我们利用系统思维和参与式设计思维过程之间的一致性。我们将该项目的重点放在2025年船舶交通服务(VTS)的交通监管和组织措施上。研究表明,交通标准化将有利于目前只有传统船舶的MTS,这将是未来自动化船舶MTS的先决条件。此外,我们确定VTS需要改变其角色,从解决临时情况转变为承担交通规划的战术责任,并在早期阶段解决情况。未来MTS的原型表明,确定的挑战被认为是可能在短时间内解决的,并在一次全体会议讨论中总结为:“这并不难,我们明天就能做到”。
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引用次数: 3
Revenue efficiency and its drivers in the cruise industry 邮轮行业的收益效率及其驱动因素
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-12 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1934583
Minh-Anh Thi Nguyen, Ming‐Miin Yu, T. Lirn
ABSTRACT The recent capacity expansion, the pressure to fully utilize capacity, and the increasingly intense competition among cruise companies have greatly challenged revenue management in the cruise industry. Despite the constant efforts to optimize all revenue streams, cruise companies have gained a limited understanding of their revenue efficiency and untapped revenue potential. Within this context, the present study adopts a two-stage data envelopment analysis (DEA) approach applied to the data set of 181 cruise ships in 2018 to examine revenue efficiency and its drivers in the cruise industry. The results reveal that the cruise ships generally have forgone a considerable amount of potential revenues, indicating a necessity for revisiting revenue strategies. Furthermore, the study sheds light on the connection between the cruise ship’s revenue efficiency and its features, cruise category, and exogenous events. Finally, some managerial implications for improving and maintaining revenue efficiency are provided.
近年来的运力扩张、充分利用运力的压力以及邮轮公司之间日益激烈的竞争给邮轮行业的收益管理带来了极大的挑战。尽管邮轮公司不断努力优化所有收入流,但对其收入效率和未开发的收入潜力的了解有限。在此背景下,本研究采用两阶段数据包络分析(DEA)方法,应用于2018年181艘游轮的数据集,以检查邮轮行业的收入效率及其驱动因素。结果表明,游轮通常已经放弃了相当数量的潜在收入,这表明有必要重新审视收入策略。此外,研究还揭示了邮轮收入效率与邮轮特征、邮轮类别和外生事件之间的关系。最后,提出了提高和保持收入效率的管理启示。
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引用次数: 4
A quantitative liability risk assessment of oil spills in oil ports: the case of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area 石油港口溢油的定量责任风险评估——以广东-香港-马考大湾区为例
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-08 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1925988
Huiling Zhong, Yishu Lin, T. Yip
ABSTRACT To mitigate risk and enhance safety in oil ports, this study proposes a method to analyse the civil liability risk and criminal liability risk of oil spills in oil ports. Based on scenario analysis and data analysis, the probability, spill size, number of casualties, actual compensation and total spill cost are estimated for different scenarios, including loading arm/hose rupture and hull failure when a vessel is berthing, manoeuvring near a berth and moving through the port. Based on these estimated factors and legal liability, the civil liability risk and criminal liability risk borne by oil ports and ship owners are estimated. Finally, data from an oil terminal in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area are used to verify the applicability of the proposed method. The estimated probability and corresponding consequences can be used to determine which scenario would result in criminal liability and provide a reference for emergency capacity planning. The estimated risks are useful for loss mitigation and crime prevention. The findings and analysis reveal the current low compensation ratio and the inconsistency in criminal standards for oil spills in China. Therefore, the enforcement of civil compensation and unity among criminal standards should be prioritized.
摘要为了降低石油港口的风险,提高石油港口的安全性,本研究提出了一种分析石油港口溢油民事责任风险和刑事责任风险的方法。基于情景分析和数据分析,估计了不同情景下的概率、泄漏规模、伤亡人数、实际赔偿和总泄漏成本,包括船舶靠泊、在泊位附近操纵和通过港口时装载臂/软管断裂和船体故障,估算了石油港口和船东承担的民事责任风险和刑事责任风险。最后,利用广东-香港-马考大湾区某石油码头的数据验证了该方法的适用性。估计的概率和相应的后果可以用来确定哪种情况会导致刑事责任,并为应急能力规划提供参考。估计的风险有助于减轻损失和预防犯罪。调查结果和分析揭示了当前我国石油泄漏赔偿比例低、刑事标准不一致的问题。因此,应优先考虑民事赔偿的执行和刑事标准之间的统一。
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引用次数: 4
Priority analysis of port investment along the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road region: the case of Southeast Asia 21世纪海上丝绸之路沿线港口投资优先级分析——以东南亚为例
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-08 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1937741
Jia-Wen Zheng, Lingxiao Yang, Wei Li, Xiaowen Fu, Daqing Li
ABSTRACT Most of the Southeast Asian countries are developing economies that have large demand for maritime infrastructures. Some but not all the ports in this region could significantly benefit from and contribute to the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) proposed by the Chinese government. This paper models the port investment priority in the Southeast Asian region, so that efficient and sustainable investments can be made under the BRI. Based on the link prediction theory, a random walk method is proposed to assess the priorities of port construction projects at different sites. The proposed method explicitly considers important economic and political factors, especially those linking Southeast Asian countries with China. Our model is calibrated and verified with numerical experiments, so that policy and managerial recommendations can be obtained for this region. Results consistent with industry reality also provide supports to the validity of the model. This study introduces a new dimension of investment planning for multiple ports taking into account the resultant impacts on shipping networks, and recommends selected port construction sites with good potential in Southeast Asia.
摘要大多数东南亚国家都是发展中经济体,对海洋基础设施有着巨大的需求。该地区的一些港口(但并非所有港口)可以从中国政府提出的“一带一路”倡议中受益匪浅,并为其做出贡献。本文对东南亚地区的港口投资优先级进行了建模,以便在“一带一路”倡议下进行高效和可持续的投资。基于链路预测理论,提出了一种随机游走法来评估不同地点港口建设项目的优先级。所提出的方法明确考虑了重要的经济和政治因素,特别是那些将东南亚国家与中国联系起来的因素。我们的模型通过数值实验进行了校准和验证,从而可以获得该地区的政策和管理建议。符合行业实际的结果也为模型的有效性提供了支持。本研究引入了多个港口投资规划的新维度,考虑到由此对航运网络的影响,并建议在东南亚选择具有良好潜力的港口建设地点。
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引用次数: 5
A study on the industrial symbiosis in maritime cluster considering value chain and life cycle – case of Dalian, China 基于价值链和生命周期的海洋集群产业共生研究——以大连为例
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-07 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1937740
Qing-wei Liao, Hong Zhen, Dequan Zhou
ABSTRACT Maritime clusters are conducive to promoting the development of an urban economy and maritime industry. The development of high value-added maritime industry is beneficial to upgrading a maritime cluster and improving its competitiveness. We discuss the symbiosis between ports and various value-added industries within a maritime cluster from a resource perspective, using the theory of life cycle and value chain, in order to answer the question: what role does the port play in the upgrading of maritime clusters? An empirical analysis of Dalian, China, was conducted using the Lotka-Volterra model. Our results show that resources were attracted by ports to promote the shipping industry and marine insurance in the non-decline period (NDP) of the cluster. During the declining period (DP) of the cluster, port development led to intensified resource competition and lock-in effects, destabilizing the relationships within maritime industries. Strengthening inter-industry cooperation, increasing market openness, and granting supportive policies to enterprises may rectify this decline. This study provides a reference for managers and researchers to aid in promoting the coordinated development and upgrade of maritime clusters.
摘要海洋集群有利于促进城市经济和海洋产业的发展。发展高附加值海运产业,有利于提升海运集群的竞争力。我们从资源的角度,运用生命周期和价值链理论,讨论了港口与海洋集群内各种增值产业的共生关系,以回答这样一个问题:港口在海洋集群升级中扮演着什么角色?使用Lotka-Volterra模型对中国大连进行了实证分析。我们的研究结果表明,在集群的非衰退期(NDP),港口吸引了资源来促进航运业和海洋保险。在集群衰退期(DP),港口发展导致资源竞争加剧和锁定效应,破坏了海运行业内部的关系。加强行业间合作,提高市场开放度,并给予企业支持政策,可能会纠正这种下降趋势。本研究为管理者和研究者帮助促进海洋集群的协调发展和升级提供了参考。
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引用次数: 3
Does vertical integration lead to horizontal collusion in container transport chains? 集装箱运输链的纵向整合是否导致横向串通?
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-05 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1937743
Gang Dong, Jin Li
ABSTRACT With the promotion of mode cooperation and integration in international trade transport in the context of intense globalization, vertical integration between container ports and liners, two key players in container transport chains, often leads to horizontal collusion between container ports. By establishing an infinitely repeated game with discrete time periods, this paper explores the interrelation, the possibility and the stability of the coexistence between vertical integration and horizontal collusion. Our primary finding is that vertical integration and horizontal collusion have mutually reinforcing effects. In particular, the former results in an increase in shippers’ surplus at the expense of the latter.
随着全球化背景下国际贸易运输模式合作与一体化的推进,集装箱运输链条上的两个关键环节——集装箱港口与班轮之间的纵向一体化往往导致集装箱港口之间的横向串通。本文通过建立一个具有离散时间周期的无限重复博弈,探讨了垂直整合与水平共谋共存的相互关系、可能性和稳定性。我们的主要发现是纵向整合和横向串通具有相辅相成的作用。特别是,前者导致托运人的盈余增加,而牺牲了后者。
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引用次数: 2
Shipping network design–infrastructure investment joint optimization model: a case study of West Africa 航运网络设计-基础设施投资联合优化模型:以西非为例
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-04 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1930225
Xu Xin, Xiaoli Wang, Lijun Ma, Kang Chen, Maoyao Ye
ABSTRACT Since the proposal of the Belt and Road initiative in March 2015, the Chinese government has continued to increase its investment in transportation infrastructure construction in West African countries. To realize the scientific decision-making process for large-scale investment, this paper establishes a shipping network design–infrastructure investment joint optimization model. The abovementioned model aims to find the minimum generalized transportation cost in the study area and jointly optimizes the construction scheme of the regional inland transportation network (i.e., railway network), the expansion scheme of the port (i.e., container port) throughput capacity, and the operation scheme of the shipping network (i.e., container shipping network) given a limited budget. Based on the framework of the active set algorithm, an algorithm that can explore the local optimal solution of the abovementioned model is designed. Taking China–West Africa transportation as the research object, numerical experiments are carried out to verify the effectiveness of the model and algorithm. Two types of sensitivity analyses for different investment scales and origin-destination demand are designed. The results show that the proposed model and algorithm can effectively solve the abovementioned problem and can provide decision-making support for the Chinese government in formulating reasonable investment schemes for West Africa. This paper is a revised and expanded version of a paper entitled, ‘Shipping network design–infrastructure investment joint optimization model’ presented at the 3rd International Conference of the Yangtze River Research and Innovation Belt, Ningbo, China; 5–7 November 2020.
摘要自2015年3月“一带一路”倡议倡议提出以来,中国政府继续加大对西非国家交通基础设施建设的投入。为了实现大规模投资的科学决策过程,本文建立了航运网络设计-基础设施投资联合优化模型。上述模型旨在寻找研究区域内的最小广义运输成本,并共同优化区域内陆运输网络(即铁路网)的建设方案、港口(即集装箱港)吞吐量的扩建方案,以及给定有限预算的航运网络(即集装箱航运网络)的操作方案。基于主动集算法的框架,设计了一种能够探索上述模型的局部最优解的算法。以中国-西非交通运输为研究对象,通过数值实验验证了模型和算法的有效性。针对不同的投资规模和来源地-目的地需求,设计了两种类型的敏感性分析。结果表明,所提出的模型和算法能够有效地解决上述问题,为中国政府制定合理的西非投资方案提供决策支持。本文是在中国宁波举行的第三届长江研究创新带国际会议上发表的题为“航运网络设计——基础设施投资联合优化模型”的论文的修订和扩展版;2020年11月5日至7日。
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引用次数: 14
期刊
Maritime Policy & Management
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