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Dynamic tugboat scheduling for container ports 集装箱港口拖船动态调度
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1953175
Xiaoyang Wei, Q. Meng, Andrew Lim, Shuai Jia
ABSTRACT Tugboat service is important for maintaining the safety and efficiency of ship movements in container ports. In practice, requests for tugboat service are not fully known when the planning horizon begins, but continually revealed while the existing tugboat scheduling is being performed. Thus, a tangible method is required to schedule tugboats to fulfill the continually arrived requests. However, there is no study on addressing this issue. Thus, we propose a dynamic tugboat scheduling problem, formulate the problem mathematically, and develop a tailored solution method that dynamically updates tugboat scheduling as new service requests arrive, so as to minimize the tugboat operation cost of whole planning horizon. We evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed solution method by comparing it with a benchmark method, and show that the solution method is able to achieve satisfactory performance within a reasonable computation time. In addition, we investigate managerial insights via computational experiments on a variety of instances created based on real-life container port operations.
拖船服务对于维护集装箱港口船舶运行的安全和效率至关重要。在实践中,拖船服务请求在规划期开始时并不完全为人所知,而是在执行现有拖船调度时不断披露。因此,需要一种切实可行的方法来安排拖船以满足不断到达的要求。然而,目前还没有关于解决这一问题的研究。因此,我们提出了一个动态拖船调度问题,用数学公式化该问题,并开发了一种量身定制的解决方法,该方法可以随着新的服务请求的到来而动态更新拖船调度,从而最大限度地降低整个规划期内的拖船运营成本。通过与基准方法的比较,我们评估了所提出的求解方法的有效性,并表明该求解方法能够在合理的计算时间内获得令人满意的性能。此外,我们通过对基于现实集装箱港口运营创建的各种实例的计算实验,研究了管理见解。
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引用次数: 8
Identifying the characteristics of China’s maritime trading partners on the basis of bilateral shipping connectivity: a cluster analysis 基于双边航运互联互通的中国海上贸易伙伴特征识别:聚类分析
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1954256
Naima Saeed, K. Cullinane
ABSTRACT China is ranked as the number one maritime connected country in the world. This study attempts to analyse the characteristics of its 155 maritime trading partners. Five components of maritime connectivity have been used for the analysis. A hierarchical clustering technique is applied to group the trading partners into distinct meaningful clusters. As China’s main maritime competitors within the East Asian region, the analysis is also applied to Singapore and Hong Kong. The clustering technique produces three distinct clusters for China and Singapore and two for Hong Kong. The results reveal the importance of direct maritime connectivity, with China having the highest number of trading partners with zero transhipment (including its top 15 trading partners), compared to Singapore and Hong Kong. The analysis is further extended by applying ordered logistic regression. The results show that the logistic performance index (LPI) and exports/imports have a positive and significant influence on clusters. Conclusions are drawn as to the potential for implementing strategies and policy interventions on the basis of the emergent clusters, particularly the need for Hong Kong to improve all five components of maritime connectivity in order to compete with China and Singapore.
中国是世界上海上连通最多的国家。本研究试图分析其155个海上贸易伙伴的特点。海上互联互通的五个组成部分被用于分析。采用层次聚类技术将贸易伙伴划分为不同的有意义的聚类。作为中国在东亚地区的主要海上竞争对手,该分析也适用于新加坡和香港。聚类技术为中国和新加坡产生了三个不同的集群,为香港产生了两个集群。结果显示了海上直接连通的重要性,与新加坡和香港相比,中国拥有最多的零转运贸易伙伴(包括其排名前15位的贸易伙伴)。应用有序逻辑回归进一步扩展了分析。结果表明,物流绩效指数(LPI)和出口/进口对集群具有显著的正向影响。本文总结了在新兴集群的基础上实施战略和政策干预的潜力,特别是香港需要改善海上连通性的所有五个组成部分,以便与中国和新加坡竞争。
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引用次数: 4
Container terminal competition and cooperation considering emission tax 考虑排放税的集装箱码头竞争与合作
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-14 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1914875
Jian Wang, Qiuyun Huang, Xu-dong Lin, Mingzhu Yu
ABSTRACT This paper studies the competition and cooperation problem in a regional port system with two container terminals. Two game models are proposed to analyze the decisions of container terminal operators and the local government, respectively. We consider the emission tax, container terminal’s service level and service price and derive the optimal decisions of the players. From the numerical analysis results, we find that in the regional port system, (1) a relatively developed container terminal is a good choice for consumers who prefer high-quality and efficient service, while those whose main concern is price can choose a developing container terminal; (2) for the benefit of all players, cleaner fuels should be used to decrease the proportion of unit pollution emission; (3) if social welfare is more emphasized than environmental protection, competition between the two container terminals is preferred, otherwise, cooperation is more beneficial.
本文研究了具有两个集装箱码头的区域港口系统中的竞争与合作问题。提出了两个博弈模型,分别分析了集装箱码头运营商和地方政府的决策。我们考虑了排放税、集装箱码头的服务水平和服务价格,得出了参与者的最优决策。从数值分析结果来看,在区域港口体系中,(1)相对发达的集装箱码头是偏好优质高效服务的消费者的好选择,而那些主要关注价格的消费者可以选择发展中的集装箱码头;(2) 为了所有参与者的利益,应该使用更清洁的燃料来降低单位污染排放的比例;(3) 如果更强调社会福利而不是环境保护,那么两个集装箱码头之间的竞争是优选的,否则,合作更有利。
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引用次数: 5
Shipping companies’ choice of low sulfur fuel oil with government subsidy and different maritime supply chain power structures 船舶企业对低硫燃料油的选择与政府补贴和不同的海上供应链动力结构
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-14 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1950860
Chuanxu Wang, Y. Jiao
ABSTRACT Due to the restriction of sulfur content in fuel oil in the Emission Control Areas (ECAs), ships passing through ECAs have to adopt low-sulfur fuel oil (LSFO), and government will provide appropriate subsidies to shipping companies using LSFO. However, due to the different bargaining power between ports and shipping companies, it is necessary to study how the governmental subsidies affect the carriers’ choices of using LSFO under different power structures. In this paper, a game model considering one terminal and two carriers is developed to study the equilibrium solutions of two carriers under different power structures (terminal-dominated game, carriers-dominated game, Nash game), and then we analyze the impacts of government subsidies on maritime supply chain. The results show that whether for terminal or carriers, being leader in the game can always bring them higher profits. With the increase of the government subsidy, the demand of the carrier using LSFO will increase while the demand of the carrier who doesn’t use LSFO will decrease. High government subsidy not only reduces the profits of carriers not using LSFO but also puts the carriers more likely into the prisoner’s dilemma. The total demands and social welfare are maximized under Nash game.
由于排放控制区(eca)对燃料油含硫量的限制,通过eca的船舶必须采用低硫燃料油,政府将对使用低硫燃料油的航运公司提供适当的补贴。然而,由于港口和船公司的议价能力不同,因此有必要研究在不同的权力结构下,政府补贴如何影响承运人使用低航线的选择。本文建立了考虑一个码头和两个承运人的博弈模型,研究了不同权力结构下(码头主导、承运人主导、纳什博弈)两个承运人的均衡解,并分析了政府补贴对海运供应链的影响。结果表明,无论是终端还是运营商,在游戏中处于领先地位总是能给他们带来更高的利润。随着政府补贴的增加,使用LSFO的运营商的需求将增加,而不使用LSFO的运营商的需求将减少。高额的政府补贴不仅降低了不使用低轨道交通的运营商的利润,而且使运营商更容易陷入囚徒困境。在纳什博弈下,总需求和社会福利都是最大化的。
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引用次数: 13
The role of burnout in the effect of work-family conflicts on job satisfaction: a research for key players in the maritime industry 职业倦怠在工作-家庭冲突对工作满意度影响中的作用:一项针对海运业关键参与者的研究
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-07 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1950859
Eda Turan, S. Bozkurt, U. Çelebi, Serkan Ekinci
ABSTRACT Maritime is one of the sectors where conflicts from work to the family are experienced the most. It is vital to examine the results of behavioral outputs in an area where staying away from the family is so effective that burnout is accompanied by severe difficulty. The primary purpose of the study is to examine the role of burnout in the impact of work-family conflicts (WFC) experienced by key players in the maritime industry on job satisfaction. Data gathered from 372 participants working in the maritime sector were analyzed using structural equation modeling (SEM). The results show that burnout has a partial mediating effect on job satisfaction. After the literature review and results, the applications that motivate and keep key players engaged are discussed. In this context, for those working in the maritime industry, from work to family conflict has been shown to play a critical role in burnout and job satisfaction modeling.
摘要海事是从工作到家庭冲突最频繁的行业之一。在远离家庭非常有效,以至于倦怠伴随着严重困难的领域,研究行为输出的结果至关重要。本研究的主要目的是检验倦怠在海事行业关键参与者经历的工作-家庭冲突(WFC)对工作满意度的影响中的作用。使用结构方程建模(SEM)对372名海事部门参与者收集的数据进行了分析。结果表明,倦怠对工作满意度具有部分中介作用。在文献综述和结果之后,讨论了激励和保持关键参与者参与的应用程序。在这种背景下,对于那些在海事行业工作的人来说,从工作到家庭冲突已被证明在倦怠和工作满意度建模中发挥着关键作用。
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引用次数: 3
Special issue on ‘Current issues in ports and maritime transportation’ 关于“港口和海运的当前问题”的特刊
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-04 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1953176
H. Meersman, E. Van de Voorde, T. Vanelslander
This special issue is the fruit of the World Conference on Transport Research that was held in 2019 in Mumbai. It brings together a series of eight papers that each tackles a current issue in ports and/ or maritime transportation. Six of the papers deal with infrastructure and terminal efficiency, which is a clear illustration of how crucial efficiency is in today’s port world, under increasing pressure by ever-larger shipping companies with ever-growing ships. A second issue is the climate, where transport and shipping, in particular, are the most important sources of the main emissions. A third and final issue is port co-operation, particularly with a view to the hinterland. The papers have in common that each uses a distinct modelling approach to answer their main research question. The first paper, by van Hassel et al., focuses on the impact of increasing ship sizes on the need for bigger infrastructure, here in particular the expansion of the Panama Canal. That Canal, together with the Suez Canal, is one of the two shortcuts on the connections between the world’s continents. Therefore, the impact of its bottleneck role, on the one hand, or its expansion on the other hand, is felt even on the other side of the globe. This paper shows how the expanded Panama Canal not only turns US port competition totally upside down but also impacts on port competition in other continents. In the US, for trades with Europe, US East Coast ports suddenly come into the picture for a large part of the US hinterland. The reasoning, of course, also goes the other way around for trades with Asia. But more strikingly, even though with a shift that is smaller, there is an impact on port competition within Europe. Turning to ports, four papers on this issue deal with a case study on port efficiency. The four papers also apply different methods and make linkages with different factors. The first paper, by Fernández et al., makes an analysis for Spanish ports. The authors apply a two-stage DEA method, and make a link with container specialisation. Spanish ports appear to feature a high heterogeneity in cargo specialisation. On the output side, the main commodity types as they shape shipping markets are used. On the input side, two factors are used: labour and intermediate consumptions. High-complex ports appear to have a higher overall efficiency. Low-complex ports have higher pure technical efficiency than overall technical efficiency. Third, it is observed that technologies between ports have converged over the past decades. The main lesson from the research is that overcapacity is a big issue, especially in smaller ports. The second port efficiency paper, by Diakomihalis et al., makes an application to Greek ports. The authors apply ordinal logistic regression and one-way ANOVA, combined with DEA. On the input side, they use four types of financial ratios, dealing, respectively, with liquidity, activity profitability, and viability. The authors observed that the four
本期特刊是2019年在孟买举行的世界运输研究大会的成果。它汇集了一系列八篇论文,每篇论文都涉及港口和/或海上运输的一个当前问题。其中六篇论文涉及基础设施和码头效率,这清楚地说明,在船舶数量不断增加、规模越来越大的航运公司的压力越来越大的今天,效率在港口世界是多么重要。第二个问题是气候,尤其是运输和航运,是主要排放的最重要来源。第三个也是最后一个问题是港口合作,特别是着眼于内陆地区。这些论文的共同之处在于,它们都使用了不同的建模方法来回答它们的主要研究问题。第一篇论文由van Hassel等人撰写,重点关注船舶尺寸增加对更大基础设施需求的影响,特别是巴拿马运河的扩建。这条运河和苏伊士运河是连接世界各大洲的两条捷径之一。因此,它的瓶颈作用的影响,一方面,或它的扩张,另一方面,甚至在地球的另一边都能感受到。本文展示了扩建后的巴拿马运河如何使美国的港口竞争完全颠倒,同时也影响了其他大洲的港口竞争。在美国,在与欧洲的贸易中,美国东海岸的港口突然出现在美国腹地的大部分地区。当然,在与亚洲的贸易中,道理也是反过来的。但更引人注目的是,尽管这一转变幅度较小,但它对欧洲内部港口的竞争产生了影响。至于港口,关于这个问题的四篇论文处理了一个港口效率的案例研究。这四篇论文也采用了不同的方法,并与不同的因素进行了联系。第一篇论文由Fernández等人撰写,对西班牙港口进行了分析。作者采用两阶段DEA方法,并与容器专业化联系起来。西班牙港口在货物专业化方面似乎具有高度的异质性。在产出方面,主要的商品类型,因为他们塑造航运市场被使用。在投入方面,使用了两个因素:劳动力和中间消费。高度复杂的端口似乎具有更高的整体效率。低复杂度端口的纯技术效率高于整体技术效率。第三,可以观察到,在过去的几十年里,港口之间的技术已经融合。研究得出的主要结论是,产能过剩是一个大问题,尤其是在较小的港口。由Diakomihalis等人撰写的第二篇港口效率论文对希腊港口进行了应用。作者采用有序逻辑回归和单因素方差分析,并结合DEA。在投入方面,他们使用四种类型的财务比率,分别处理流动性、活动盈利能力和生存能力。作者观察到,四种有序逻辑回归对港口效率的评价没有任何差异;在危机前和危机中,固定资产比率存在差异。此外,DEA的结果表明,尽管在危机前、危机中和整个调查期间的得分各不相同,但港口仍然效率低下。一个明确的暗示是,如果港口要保持或提高效率,政府至少应该引入一些私人管理的元素。第三篇关于港口效率的论文,通过Görçün,重点关注黑海集装箱港口。采用了两种多准则决策模型:第一种模型由熵和OCRA技术组成,第二种模型由熵和EATWIOS方法组成。在输出因素旁边考虑一长串输入因素。可以看出,输出因素更多的是MARITIME POLICY & MANAGEMENT 2021, VOL. 48, NO. 5。5、607-609 https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2021.1953176
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引用次数: 0
Shipping market forecasting by forecast combination mechanism 运用预测组合机制对航运市场进行预测
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1945698
Ruobin Gao, Jiahui Liu, L. Du, Kum Fai Yuen
ABSTRACT The volatile characteristics of the tanker market pose challenges to forecasting. In addition, the volatile characteristics of newbuilding and secondhand ship prices, time charter rates, and scrap values make developing a unified framework of forecasting difficult. Most researchers have developed forecasting models and evaluated their performance based on a specific market. Such narrow development imposes difficulty for practitioners to choose a suitable model. Due to the boom of machine learning, many researchers are trying to boost the forecasting accuracy of shipping markets using machine learning. However, there are many hyper-parameters of the complex machine learning models and a slight variation of the model may cause significant performance degradation. This paper utilizes a forecast combination mechanism to forecast many time series collected from the shipping market, including newbuilding and secondhand ship prices, scrap values, and time charter rates. The models inside the combination pool are just linear functions. Finally, we compare their performance with conventional machine learning models and naïve forecasts using three error metrics and statistical tests. The statistical tests show that the combination of linear models is superior. The findings of this study also indicate that complex models do not boost forecasting accuracy necessarily.
油轮市场的波动性给预测带来了挑战。此外,新造船和二手船价格、定期租船费率和报废价值的不稳定特征使得开发统一的预测框架变得困难。大多数研究人员已经开发了预测模型,并根据特定市场评估其表现。这种狭窄的发展给从业者选择合适的模式带来了困难。由于机器学习的蓬勃发展,许多研究人员正在尝试使用机器学习来提高航运市场的预测准确性。然而,复杂的机器学习模型存在许多超参数,模型的微小变化可能会导致显著的性能下降。本文利用一种预测组合机制,对从航运市场收集的许多时间序列进行预测,包括新造船和二手船价格、报废价值和定期租船费率。组合池中的模型只是线性函数。最后,我们使用三种误差度量和统计测试将它们的性能与传统机器学习模型和naïve预测进行比较。统计检验表明,线性模型组合效果较好。这项研究的结果还表明,复杂的模型不一定能提高预测的准确性。
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引用次数: 5
Port institutional responses and sustainability performance: a moderated mediation model 港口制度响应与可持续性绩效:一个有调节的中介模型
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1946608
H. Tsai, Chin-Shan Lu
ABSTRACT Drawing on the theory of institution, this research investigated the effects of institutional responses, employees’ sustainability behavior, and sustainability transformational leadership on sustainability performance at seaports. Data were collected from 296 employees of port corporations in Taiwan, and a moderated mediation model was developed. Using exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses, this study identified four port institutional response dimensions: coercive policy, normative training, communication, and motivation. The results showed that sustainability transformational leadership, employees’ sustainability behavior, and port institutional responses positively affect sustainability performance. Employees’ sustainability behavior plays a mediating role between sustainability transformational leadership and sustainability performance. Specifically, this study found that port institutional responses play a moderated mediation effect on the relationship between sustainability transformational leadership and sustainability performance through employees’ sustainability behavior. Lastly, implications for port sustainability practices and institution theory are discussed.
摘要基于制度理论,本研究探讨了制度响应、员工可持续发展行为和可持续转型领导对海港可持续发展绩效的影响。本研究以296名台湾港口企业员工为调查对象,建立有调节的中介模型。利用探索性和验证性因素分析,本研究确定了四个港口制度响应维度:强制性政策、规范性培训、沟通和动机。结果表明,可持续变革型领导、员工可持续行为和港口制度响应对可持续发展绩效有正向影响。员工可持续性行为在可持续性变革领导与可持续性绩效之间起中介作用。具体而言,本研究发现港口制度反应通过员工的可持续性行为对可持续性变革领导与可持续性绩效之间的关系起有调节的中介作用。最后,讨论了对港口可持续发展实践和制度理论的启示。
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引用次数: 1
Use of HFACS and Bayesian network for human and organizational factors analysis of ship collision accidents in the Yangtze River 基于HFACS和贝叶斯网络的长江船舶碰撞事故人因和组织因素分析
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-28 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1946609
Yaling Li, Zhiyou Cheng, T. Yip, Xiaobiao Fan, Bing Wu
ABSTRACT Human and organizational factors are the contributing factors for collision accidents from the historical data. To discover the key influencing factor, a human factor analysis and classification system based Bayesian Network model is proposed in this paper. The kernel of this proposed model is first to derive the unsafe acts from the perspective of perception, decision-making, and execution failures using the collision avoidance scheme, to classify the human factors into five categories using the modified human-factor analysis and classification system, and to transform the influencing factors of HOFs in the modified HFACS into the graphical structure of the Bayesian network. The results are verified from historical collision accidents data in the Yangtze River, and sensitivity analysis is carried out to validate the axioms of the Bayesian network. From further analysis, the causation factor and global causation chain of ship collision accidents can be derived. Consequently, the results are beneficial for the prevention and control of ship collision accidents in the Yangtze River by reducing human and organization factors.
从历史数据来看,人为因素和组织因素是造成碰撞事故的主要因素。为了发现关键的影响因素,本文提出了一种基于贝叶斯网络模型的人因分析与分类系统。该模型的核心是首先利用避碰方案从感知、决策和执行失败的角度推导不安全行为,利用改进的人因分析和分类系统将不安全行为分为五类,并将改进的HFACS中不安全行为的影响因素转化为贝叶斯网络的图形结构。利用长江历史碰撞事故数据对结果进行了验证,并对贝叶斯网络的原理进行了灵敏度分析。通过进一步分析,可以得出船舶碰撞事故的原因因素和整体因果链。研究结果有利于减少人为因素和组织因素对长江船舶碰撞事故的预防和控制。
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引用次数: 10
Economic and environmental impacts of scrubbers investments in shipping: a multi-sectoral analysis 航运业洗涤器投资的经济和环境影响:多部门分析
IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-26 DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2021.1937742
T. Zis, K. Cullinane, S. Ricci
ABSTRACT The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has implemented a series of increasingly stricter regulations to reduce sulphur emissions from international shipping. As of January 2020, the global sulphur cap requires the use of fuel containing a maximum of 0.5% sulphur content, or the use of technology achieving a similar reduction in sulphur emissions. Deciding between fuel switching or investing in abatement technologies has been a recurring topic for research in the last decade, with a focus on shipping activities within Emission Control Areas (ECAs). The quest for the desulphurization of shipping results in higher operating costs as well as CO2 emissions. We estimate the economic and environmental impacts of compliance with sulphur limits for a variety of representative ship types. This paper quantitatively assesses case studies across the most important shipping sectors highlighting their different challenges. The results confirm that scrubber investments are more profitable at times of higher fuel prices, and for ships that spend relatively more time sailing. We show that the potential for speed differentiation inside and outside ECAs has been diminished. This framework can be a useful decision support system for selecting the best response amongst different compliance options to environmental regulations.
国际海事组织(IMO)实施了一系列越来越严格的法规来减少国际航运的硫排放。自2020年1月起,全球硫含量上限要求使用含硫量不超过0.5%的燃料,或使用实现类似硫排放减少的技术。在过去十年中,在燃料转换或投资减排技术之间做出决定一直是研究的一个反复出现的主题,重点是排放控制区(eca)内的航运活动。对航运脱硫的追求导致更高的运营成本和二氧化碳排放。我们估计了符合各种代表性船型硫含量限制的经济和环境影响。本文定量评估了最重要的航运部门的案例研究,突出了它们面临的不同挑战。研究结果证实,在燃油价格较高的时期,对于航行时间相对较长的船舶来说,洗涤器投资更有利可图。我们表明,内部和外部的ECAs速度分化的潜力已经减少。该框架可以作为一个有用的决策支持系统,用于在不同的环境法规遵从选项中选择最佳响应。
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引用次数: 15
期刊
Maritime Policy & Management
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