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Statistical evaluation of satellite-based CHIRPS precipitation data averaged over the midland and highland regions of Kidangoor sub-catchment, Kerala 对喀拉拉邦基丹古尔子流域中原和高原地区平均的卫星 CHIRPS 降水量数据进行统计评估
IF 0.6 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-24 DOI: 10.54302/mausam.v75i2.6189
D. VARGHESE G. S., M. Chadaga, L. U A, S. Salim, Roopali Shantha Pai
The steep topographical setting of Kerala, traversing from Western Ghats in the east to the sandy beaches on the west, demands the use of precipitation data at a very fine spatio-temporal resolution for a range of hydrological and hydrometeorological studies. The limitation of the existing rain gauge network data in representing the variability in the monsoon showers received, across the physiographic divisions of the state, could be overcome using satellite rainfall dataset offered at a finer resolution.  In this paper, a statistical evaluation of the satellite derived CHIRPS (Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation with Stations) precipitation data for the Kidangoor sub-catchment was performed by comparing it with station rainfall data and IMD gridded data sets. The homogeneity test at 95 % confidence level classified the station data under ‘useful’ category. Additionally, the statistical performance matrices suggested that the CHIRPS data slightly underestimated the observed station rainfall data. However, the coefficient of determination R2 values (0.95-0.97) in the monthly series and (0.37 - 0.64) in the annual series demonstrated a strong to moderate positive correlation between the datasets. To summarize, the quantitative statistical performance matrices, evaluated for the first time in the study area, proposed that the CHIRPS rainfall estimates could very well reproduce the ground-based monthly rainfall datasets and could also serve as a good replacement for IMD gridded data.
喀拉拉邦东起西高止山脉,西至沙滩,地形陡峭,需要使用时空分辨率极高的降水数据进行一系列水文和水文气象研究。现有的雨量计网络数据在反映该州各地貌分区季风降雨量的变化方面存在局限性,使用分辨率更高的卫星降雨量数据集可以克服这一局限性。 本文通过与站点降雨数据和 IMD 网格数据集进行比较,对卫星得出的基丹古尔子流域 CHIRPS(气候灾害组红外降水与站点)降水数据进行了统计评估。在 95% 的置信度下进行的同质性检验将站点数据归入 "有用 "类别。此外,统计性能矩阵表明,CHIRPS 数据略微低估了观测站降雨量数据。不过,月序列的判定系数 R2 值(0.95-0.97)和年序列的判定系数 R2 值(0.37-0.64)表明,数据集之间存在较强至中等程度的正相关性。总之,在研究区域首次评估的定量统计性能矩阵表明,CHIRPS 雨量估计值可以很好地再现地面月降雨量数据集,也可以很好地替代 IMD 网格数据。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of climate change in different regions of Karnataka state 卡纳塔克邦不同地区的气候变化评估
IF 0.6 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-24 DOI: 10.54302/mausam.v75i2.5873
Srinivasan Reddy, G. S. Keerthy, N. G. Challa, G. K. Naidu, Srinivasan Reddy
At the regional level, climate change has significant influences on crop productivity and food security. A climate change study was carried out using different parametric indices like rainfall attributes, temperature, and humidity from 58 years of climatic data (1964-2017) in Karnataka. The climatic period was divided into the Pre-climate change period- P1 (1964-1990) and the climate change period- P2 (1991-2017) with 27 years. The result shows annual rainfall and rainy days were increased in South Interior Karnataka (SIK) and Malnad regions and reduced in North Interior Karnataka (NIK) and Coastal regions. Dakshina Kannada, Yadgir, Kalabarugi, Udupi and Kodagu districts showed a significant reduction in receiving rainfall and an increase in Shivamogga, Hassan, Kolar and Chitradurga districts from the P1 to P2 period. NIK and SIK regions are highly prone to drought vulnerability compared to Malnad and Coastal regions. The occurrence of droughts wasincreasing,the temperature trend is increased and the relative humidity trend is decreasing in the P2 period. Assessment of climate variability in P1 and P2 helps to adopt preciseuse of water, nutrient and different crop-specific management in different zones of Karnataka.
在地区层面,气候变化对作物生产率和粮食安全具有重大影响。利用卡纳塔克邦 58 年的气候数据(1964-2017 年)中的不同参数指数,如降雨属性、温度和湿度,开展了一项气候变化研究。气候期分为气候变化前时期 P1(1964-1990 年)和气候变化时期 P2(1991-2017 年),共 27 年。结果显示,卡纳塔克邦内南部(SIK)和马尔纳德地区的年降雨量和降雨日数有所增加,而卡纳塔克邦内北部(NIK)和沿海地区的年降雨量和降雨日数则有所减少。从 P1 到 P2 期间,Dakshina Kannada、Yadgir、Kalabarugi、Udupi 和 Kodagu 地区的降雨量显著减少,而 Shivamogga、Hassan、Kolar 和 Chitradurga 地区的降雨量增加。与 Malnad 和沿海地区相比,NIK 和 SIK 地区极易受到干旱的影响。在 P2 阶段,干旱发生率呈上升趋势,温度呈上升趋势,相对湿度呈下降趋势。对 P1 和 P2 期气候变异性的评估有助于在卡纳塔克邦的不同区域精确使用水、养分和针对不同作物的管理。
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引用次数: 0
Extreme weather events induced mortalities in Jammu and Kashmir, India during 2010-2022 2010-2022 年期间极端天气事件在印度查谟和克什米尔造成的死亡人数
IF 0.6 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-24 DOI: 10.54302/mausam.v75i2.6147
Mukhtar Ahmed, S. Lotus, Bappa Das, F. Bhat, Amir Hassan Kichloo, Shivinder Singh
A study has been conducted on Extreme Weather Events (EWEs) induced mortalities in Jammu and Kashmir, India during 2010-2022. In the present study, we used the frequency of heavy rain, heavy snow, lightning/thunderstorm, Hailstorm and squall during the period 2010 to 2022 of 10 stations of J&K from India Meteorological Department. The mortalities occurred due to these extreme weather events for each district were collected from the Meteorological Centre Srinagar. The mean monthly precipitation and number of rainy days for each month was calculated for each station based on 40 years data (1982 to 2022). During the past 12 years, (2010-2022) a total of 2863 EWEs occurred over J&K in which 552 deaths occurred till 31st December 2022. Among the various EWEs, lightning (1942) and heavy rainfall (409) events were more frequent. When we compare the mortality per event, the heavy snow was more destructive compared to any other EWEs. The mortality per event due to heavy snow was highest (4.33) as compared to other extreme events, although the number of events of heavy snow is less (42) as compared to heavy rain (409), flash floods (168) and lightning (1942). District wise results of EWEs results revealed the highest deaths due to heavy snow were observed over Kupwara, Bandipora, Baramulla and Ganderbal. Similarly for flash floods, the highest deaths were observed over Kishtwar, Anantnag, Ganderbaland Doda. The Pearson correlation results revealed highest correlation of total deaths for heavy rain (0.77) and heavy snow (0.69) (significant at p value p<0.01) followed by flash floods (0.492) (significant at p value p<0.05). Negative correlation result was observed between heavy snow and windstorm (0.584) (significant at p value p<0.05). The present study has shown that, for the union territory as a whole, the heavy rain and heavy snow have been two major disasters causing mortality, though flashfloods, thunderstorms and windstorms are gaining importance. The trend analysis results also revealed that there is a significant increase in mortality over the years particularly due to flash floods (R2 value 0.434) and windstorm (R2 value 0.371).
一项关于 2010-2022 年期间印度查谟和克什米尔地区极端天气事件(EWEs)导致的死亡率的研究已经开展。在本研究中,我们使用了印度气象局提供的 2010 年至 2022 年期间查谟和克什米尔 10 个站点的暴雨、暴雪、闪电/雷暴、冰雹和大风的频率。斯利那加气象中心收集了各地区因这些极端天气事件造成的死亡人数。根据 40 年(1982 年至 2022 年)的数据,计算了每个站点的月平均降水量和每个月的降雨日数。在过去 12 年(2010 年至 2022 年)中,查谟和克什米尔地区共发生了 2863 起预警事件,截至 2022 年 12 月 31 日,共有 552 人死亡。在各种预警事件中,闪电事件(1942 起)和暴雨事件(409 起)更为频繁。当我们比较每起事件的死亡率时,大雪比其他任何预警事件都更具破坏性。与其他极端事件相比,大雪造成的单次死亡率最高(4.33),尽管与暴雨(409 次)、山洪(168 次)和闪电(1942 次)相比,大雪事件的次数较少(42 次)。各地区的预警结果显示,大雪造成的死亡人数最多的地区是库普瓦拉(Kupwara)、班迪波拉(Bandipora)、巴拉穆拉(Baramulla)和甘德巴勒(Ganderbal)。同样,基什特瓦尔、安南塔纳格、甘德巴勒和多达也是山洪造成死亡人数最多的地区。皮尔逊相关性结果显示,暴雨(0.77)和暴雪(0.69)的死亡总人数相关性最高(在 p 值 p<0.01 时显著),其次是山洪(0.492)(在 p 值 p<0.05 时显著)。大雪和暴风雪(0.584)之间呈负相关(p<0.05)。本研究表明,就整个联邦直辖区而言,暴雨和暴雪是造成死亡的两种主要灾害,尽管山洪、雷暴和暴风的重要性正在增加。趋势分析结果还显示,死亡率逐年显著上升,尤其是山洪(R2 值为 0.434)和暴风(R2 值为 0.371)。
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引用次数: 0
Temporal variations of Rainfall over Konkan & Goa during 1901-2020 1901-2020 年期间康坎和果阿降雨量的时间变化
IF 0.6 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.54302/mausam.v75i1.803
Dr Neeti Singh, T. C S, Gajendra Kumar, A. S H, Dinesh Sankhala
This study examines the temporal variation of rainfall on monthly, seasonal, annual and decadal scale over Konkan & Goa, India during 1901-2020. Trend analysis of rainfall data is carried out by using Man-Kendall and t-test. A significant increasing trend has been observed in annual rainfall data. A significant increasing trend of 32mm/year is present in annual rainfall. Southwest monsoon showed significant increasing rainfall trends over Konkan & Goa during the last 120 years. On the monthly scale, rainfall indicate significant increasing trend during the month of June, August, September and October showed and significant decreasing trend during January & February. During the period of 120 year rainfall is highest in period of 1931-1960. Decadal rainfall analysis shows total 18 excess years and 15 deficit years observed annually over the period of study.
本研究探讨了 1901-2020 年期间印度孔坎和果阿地区月度、季节、年度和十年尺度降雨量的时间变化。采用 Man-Kendall 和 t 检验法对降雨量数据进行了趋势分析。年降雨量数据呈明显增加趋势。年降雨量呈每年 32 毫米的明显增加趋势。在过去 120 年中,西南季风在康坎和果阿地区的降雨量呈明显增加趋势。从月度降雨量来看,6 月、8 月、9 月和 10 月降雨量呈明显增加趋势,1 月和 2 月降雨量呈明显减少趋势。在 120 年期间,1931-1960 年的降雨量最大。十年降雨量分析表明,在研究期间,每年观测到的降雨量偏多年份共有 18 个,偏少年份共有 15 个。
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引用次数: 0
Analytical concentration of pollutants with deposition using wind speed as power and logarithmic law 利用风速作为动力和对数定律分析污染物的沉积浓度
IF 0.6 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-31 DOI: 10.54302/mausam.v75i1.5899
K. Essa, S. Etman, M. El-Otaify, M. Embaby
The mathematical formulation of the concentration of the diffusing particles in air was derived by solving analytically the advection-diffusion equation taking into consideration: (1) the vertical variation of wind speed and eddy diffusivity with height above ground. (2) the vertical diffusion is limited by an elevated impenetrable inversion layer located at the top of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) of height h.  (3) the dry deposition of the diffusing particles at the ground surface which was included through the boundary conditions. A power law profile is used to describe the vertical variation of eddy diffusivity with height, while the sum of power law profile and logarithmic law is used to describe the vertical variation of wind speed with height above ground surface. The decay distance of a pollutant along the wind direction was derived.  The present solution was evaluated against the dataset from Hanford diffusion experiment in stable conditions. The results are discussed and presented in illustrative figures.
通过对平流-扩散方程进行分析求解,得出了空气中扩散粒子浓度的数学公式,其中考虑到:(1) 风速和涡流扩散率随地面高度的垂直变化。(2) 垂直扩散受到位于高度为 h 的大气边界层(ABL)顶部的高空不可穿透反转层的限制。幂律曲线用于描述涡扩散率随高度的垂直变化,而幂律曲线和对数定律之和用于描述风速随地面高度的垂直变化。得出了污染物沿风向的衰减距离。 在稳定条件下,根据汉福德扩散实验的数据集对本解决方案进行了评估。对结果进行了讨论,并给出了说明性数字。
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引用次数: 0
Mitigation and risk management of climate change in crop cultivation through the adoption of Agromet Advisory Bulletin (AAB) in NICRA adopted villages in Punjab 通过在旁遮普邦 NICRA 采纳的村庄采用农业气象咨询公告 (AAB),在作物种植中减缓气候变化并进行风险管理
IF 0.6 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-31 DOI: 10.54302/mausam.v75i1.6140
P. Kaur, S. S. Sandhu, Abhishek Dhir
Crop production is a direct output of manageable (agronomic) and unmanageable (weather) inputs. A farmer can cut down losses in crop production due to aberrant weather conditions by following weather forecast. India Meteorological Department is providing weather forecast on eight weather parameters at district and block level. Under All India Coordinated Research Project on Agrometeorology-National Innovations in Climate Resilient Agriculture, an Agromet Advisory Bulletin (AAB) is prepared by using this forecast for coming five days and disseminated to farmers. To evaluate the impact of AAB in three selected villages Badoshe Kalan and Bauranga Zer (district Fatehgarh Sahib) and Rampur Fasse (district Rupnagar) a survey from 110 farmers was conducted. Amongst the 110 farmer, 70 were marginal/small farmers (landholding <2.0ha) and 40 were medium farmers (landholding 2-10ha) who adopted the information given in AAB in crop cultivation. The analysis revealed that by following AAB in rice and wheat crops 65-93% farmers benefitted by managing biotic stresses, 65-85% farmers by irrigation management, 75-78% farmers by adjusting sowing and 62-65% farmers by nutrient management. The farmers who scheduled irrigations to their crop by adopting AAB in rice-wheat cropping system reduced ~34.2 metric tonnes of CO2 emissions by preventing wasteful burning of diesel. The adopters of AAB in rice and wheat crop were able to harness an average yield increase of 2.25-3.75q/ha and 1.75-4.50 q/ha, respectively and save nearly Rs 4100 to 7000/ha and Rs 3200-9200/ha, respectively with lesser expenditure. Hence, AAB can help boost crop productivity as well as help reduce carbon footprints and make agriculture an eco-friendly and profitable venture.
农作物产量是可管理(农艺)和不可管理(天气)投入的直接产出。农民可以通过关注天气预报来减少因异常天气条件造成的作物生产损失。印度气象局在县和区一级提供八个天气参数的天气预报。在全印度农业气象学协调研究项目--国家气候适应性农业创新项目下,利用未来五天的天气预报编制农业气象咨询公告(AAB),并分发给农民。为了评估 AAB 在三个选定村庄 Badoshe Kalan 和 Bauranga Zer(Fatehgarh Sahib 县)以及 Rampur Fasse(Rupnagar 县)的影响,对 110 名农民进行了调查。在 110 位农民中,有 70 位边缘/小农户(土地面积小于 2.0 公顷)和 40 位中等农户(土地面积 2-10 公顷)在作物栽培中采用了《农作 物评估与分析》中提供的信息。分析表明,在水稻和小麦作物种植过程中,65-93% 的农民通过生物胁迫管理获益,65-85% 的农民通过灌溉管理获益,75-78% 的农民通过调整播种获益,62-65% 的农民通过养分管理获益。在水稻-小麦种植系统中采用人工辅助灌溉安排作物灌溉的农民通过避免浪费柴油减少了约 34.2 公吨的二氧化碳排放量。在水稻和小麦作物中采用自动喷灌技术的农户能够分别获得 2.25-3.75q/ha 和 1.75-4.50q/ha 的平均增产,并以较少的支出分别节省近 4100-7000 卢比/公顷和 3200-9200 卢比/公顷。因此,AAB 不仅有助于提高作物产量,还有助于减少碳足迹,使农业成为生态友好型的盈利项目。
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引用次数: 0
Policy Interventions to Address Urban Water Problems of highly urbanised area due to Climate Change 解决气候变化导致的高度城市化地区城市用水问题的政策干预措施
IF 0.6 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-31 DOI: 10.54302/mausam.v75i1.5398
Chetan R. Patel, R. Singhal
In this research firstly, the rainfall pattern of Ahmedabad and Surat, the fast-growing urban areas of Gujarat state of India have been studied and compared. It is detected that what makes Surat city more prone to floods. Then, analysis for rainfall shift in Surat over the last three decades has been carried out. It is interesting to observe that the rainfall pattern of Surat is following the local calendar, i.e. Indian calendar rather Gregorian calendar.  This relation of rainfall pattern with Indian calendar shows that the prediction and the climatic condition responsible for rain is following the local calendar based on the planetary position. For the Water Sensitive Urban Design, four different wards in Surat Municipal Corporation (SMC) named Adajan, Piplod, Anjana and Pandesara are studied. These wards are selected based on land use, having the highest area in commercial, residential, industrial and institutional in total SMC area. For each ward, the previous and impervious area is calculated, and the runoff is determined. Planning interventions for water sensitive urban design at a building level, street level and ward level have been given for the study area. The study will be definitely helpful for the decision-makers to prepare a policy to follow the local calendar to operate the monsoon protocol and to manage water resource infrastructure, including the planning of harvesting activities.
在这项研究中,首先对印度古吉拉特邦快速发展的城市地区艾哈迈达巴德和苏拉特的降雨模式进行了研究和比较。研究发现了苏拉特市更容易遭受洪灾的原因。然后,对苏拉特过去三十年的降雨量变化进行了分析。值得注意的是,苏拉特的降雨模式遵循的是当地日历,即印度历而不是公历。 降雨模式与印度历的关系表明,降雨的预测和气候条件是根据行星位置按照当地历法进行的。为了进行水敏感型城市设计,苏拉特市政公司(Surat Municipal Corporation,SMC)研究了四个不同的区,分别名为 Adajan、Piplod、Anjana 和 Pandesara。这些选区是根据土地使用情况选出的,在苏拉特市政公司总面积中,商业、住宅、工业和机构占地面积最大。每个区都计算了以前的面积和不透水面积,并确定了径流量。对研究区域的建筑物、街道和选区层面的水敏感城市设计进行了规划干预。这项研究必将有助于决策者制定政策,按照当地日历执行季风协议,管理水资源基础设施,包括规划收集活动。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying source apportionment of atmospheric particulate matter and gaseous pollutants using receptor models : A case study of Bengaluru, India 利用受体模型确定大气颗粒物和气体污染物的来源分配:印度班加罗尔案例研究
IF 0.6 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-31 DOI: 10.54302/mausam.v75i1.6080
H. N. Sowmya, Channabasavaraj Wollur, G. P. Shivashankara, H. K. Ramaraju
The data of Particulate matter PMs (PM2.5, PM10) and Gaseous Pollutants such as carbon monoxide (CO), methane (CH4), oxides of nitrogen (NOx: NO and NO2), non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs), sulfur dioxide (SO2), along with ammonia (NH3) at five different locations across Bengaluru from 1st January, 2017 to 20th March, 2018 were collected. The primary objective of this research work is to identify the sources of atmospheric particulate matter and gaseous pollutants using receptor models in Bengaluru, India. To execute this, receptor models, namely Conditional Bivariate Probability Function (CBPF) and Concentrated Weighted Trajectory (CWT) Analysis, are applied. Conditional Bivariate Probability Function (CBPF) shows that, annually, the maximum concentrations of PMs over receptor sites were detected during low wind speed (< 2 knots) along the north-east direction specifying that the long-range transport does not play an essential role in the transportation of higher concentrations of PM and their primary source region may be localized. Concentrated Weighted Trajectory (CWT) analysis shows that, seasonally, the highest air mass contribution of about 37% was noticed in summer, whereas the lowest was in the post-monsoon season (13%). The significant contribution of PM2.5 transported from long distances was during monsoon, and in the case of PM10, it was in summer. The study suggests that the long-range transport of PMs and gaseous Pollutants was not vital and was observed to be localized.
本研究收集了 2017 年 1 月 1 日至 2018 年 3 月 20 日期间班加罗尔五个不同地点的颗粒物 PMs(PM2.5、PM10)和气体污染物数据,如一氧化碳 (CO)、甲烷 (CH4)、氮氧化物 (NOx:NO 和 NO2)、非甲烷碳氢化合物 (NMHC)、二氧化硫 (SO2) 以及氨 (NH3)。这项研究工作的主要目的是利用受体模型确定印度班加罗尔大气颗粒物和气态污染物的来源。为此,应用了受体模型,即条件双变量概率函数(CBPF)和集中加权轨迹分析(CWT)。条件双变量概率函数(CBPF)显示,每年在沿东北方向风速较低(< 2 海里)时,受体点上检测到的可吸入颗粒物浓度最高,这说明长程飘移在高浓度可吸入颗粒物的飘移中并没有发挥重要作用,其主要来源区域可能是局部的。集中加权轨迹(CWT)分析表明,从季节上看,夏季的气团贡献率最高,约为 37%,而季风后季节的贡献率最低(13%)。PM2.5 的长程飘移主要发生在季风季节,而 PM10 的长程飘移主要发生在夏季。研究表明,可吸入颗粒物和气态污染物的长程飘移并不重要,观察到的是局部飘移。
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引用次数: 0
Development of Synoptic Analogue Model for Quantitative Precipitation Forecast over Cauvery basin, India 开发用于印度考弗里盆地定量降水预报的综合模拟模型
IF 0.6 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-31 DOI: 10.54302/mausam.v75i1.5099
R. M, Dr. Geeta Agnihotri
Daily Average Areal Precipitation (AAP) data of South West Monsoon Season for 2012 to 2020 in respect of sub-basins of Cauvery river basin were collected alongwith synoptic systems causing rainfall in the sub-basins. Five synoptic systems namely Depression/Deep Depression, low/well marked low(WML) pressure area, Upper air cyclonic circulations(UAC), off-shore trough(OST)/OST with embedded cyclonic circulations, east-west shear zone  are considered in the study. Rainfall(AAP) caused by these systems considered are 11-25mm, 26-50mm, 51-100mm and > 100mm. Number of days for which these systems caused rainfall under each range was computed. The rainfall range with highest frequency for the particular system is taken as Synoptic Analogue Model. OST/OST with embedded cyclonic circulation has contributed significantly to rainfall in all the sub-basins. Depression/Deep Depression over Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu and Pondicherry, South Interior Karnataka or North Interior Karnataka provides > 50mm rainfall in Harangi basin. Depression/Deep Depression over Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu and Pondicherry, South Interior Karnataka or North Interior Karnataka provides > 50mm rainfall in Harangi basin. Low/Well Marked Low over Telangana provides > 50mm rainfall in Hemavathy basin. Upper Air Cyclonic circulation(UAC) over Rayalaseema provides > 50mm rainfall in Kabini basin. UAC over Rayalaseema, South East Bay of Bengal or West Central Bay of Bengal off Coastal Andhra Pradesh leads to >100 mm rain in Harangi. UAC over Coastal Karnataka and North Interior Karnataka or OST from Konkan Goa/Maharashtra to Karnataka leads to >100 mm rain in Upper Vaigai.                                                                                                                                    Key words- Aerial Average Precipitation, QPF, Cauvery river basin, Synoptic Analogue Model
收集了 2012 年至 2020 年西南季风季节考弗里河流域各子流域的日平均降水量(AAP)数据,以及造成各子流域降雨的同步系统。研究考虑了五种天气系统,即低气压/深低气压、低气压/明显低气压(WML)区、高层气旋环流(UAC)、近海低槽(OST)/内含气旋环流的低槽以及东西向剪切带。这些系统造成的降雨量(AAP)分别为 11-25mm、26-50mm、51-100mm 和大于 100mm。计算了这些系统在每个范围内造成降雨的天数。特定系统频率最高的降雨范围被视为同步模拟模式。内含气旋环流的 OST/OST 对所有子流域的降雨量都有显著影响。拉亚拉塞马、泰米尔纳德邦和本底切里、卡纳塔克邦内南部或卡纳塔克邦内北部上空的低气压/深低气压为哈兰吉盆地提供了大于 50 毫米的降雨量。拉亚拉塞马、泰米尔纳德邦和本迪榭里、南卡纳塔克邦内陆或北卡纳塔克邦内陆上空的低气压/深低气压为哈兰吉盆地提供了 > 50 毫米降雨量。Telangana 上空的低气压/明显低气压在 Hemavathy 盆地提供 > 50 毫米降雨量。拉亚拉塞马邦上空的高空气旋环流(UAC)为卡比尼盆地提供了大于 50 毫米的降雨量。拉亚拉塞马、孟加拉湾东南部或安得拉邦沿海孟加拉湾中西部上空的上气旋环流导致哈兰吉降雨量大于 100 毫米。卡纳塔克邦沿海和卡纳塔克邦北部内陆上空的 UAC 或从孔坎果阿/马哈拉施特拉邦到卡纳塔克邦的 OST 导致上瓦伊盖降雨量大于 100 毫米。 关键词--空中平均降水量、QPF、考弗里河流域、同步模拟模型
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引用次数: 0
Shifts in wetness pattern and periodicity across Tripura state in north east India 印度东北部特里普拉邦各地潮湿模式和周期的变化
IF 0.6 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-31 DOI: 10.54302/mausam.v75i1.4536
Saurav Saha, Gulav Singh Yadav, Dhiman Daschaudhuri, Mrinmoy Datta, Debasish Chakraborty, Sandip Sadhu, Bappa Das, Samik Chowdhury, V. Dayal, Anup Das, Basant Kandpal, Ingudam Shakuntala
Region wetness variability was assessed across the Tripura state of North east India (1971 to 2016). Multiple Change point detection tests confirmed the high degree of spatiotemporal variability for the identified shifts in wetness pattern over study period. The periodicity of different wetness time-series varied between 2-128 months for the calculated SPI time scales over variable time series for the selected rain gauge stations. The periodicity pattern became more prominent with an increasing temporal domain of calculated SPI time series. Hierarchical clustering and Principle component analysis (PCA) accounted for the variability in randomness, trend and periodicity of all the SPI time series. Our present study identified the homogeneous clusters of raingauge stations suitable for real-time drought monitoring and reversible use of missing dataset on rainfall in near future across the Tripura state.
对印度东北部特里普拉邦的地区湿度变化进行了评估(1971 年至 2016 年)。多重变化点检测测试证实,在研究期间发现的湿度模式变化具有高度的时空变异性。在所选雨量站的可变时间序列中,根据计算的 SPI 时间尺度,不同湿度时间序列的周期在 2-128 个月之间。随着计算的 SPI 时间序列时域的增加,周期模式变得更加突出。层次聚类和主成分分析(PCA)解释了所有 SPI 时间序列在随机性、趋势和周期性方面的差异。本研究确定了适用于实时干旱监测的同质雨量站群,以及在不久的将来对特里普拉邦缺失降雨数据集的可逆使用。
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