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Peripheral neural synchrony in post-lingually deafened adult cochlear implant users. 成年人工耳蜗植入者语言失聪后的外周神经同步性。
Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: 10.1101/2023.07.07.23292369
Shuman He, Jeffrey Skidmore, Ian C Bruce, Jacob J Oleson, Yi Yuan

Objective: This paper reports a noninvasive method for quantifying neural synchrony in the cochlear nerve (i.e., peripheral neural synchrony) in cochlear implant (CI) users, which allows for evaluating this physiological phenomenon in human CI users for the first time in the literature. In addition, this study assessed how peripheral neural synchrony was correlated with temporal resolution acuity and speech perception outcomes measured in quiet and in noise in post-lingually deafened adult CI users. It tested the hypothesis that peripheral neural synchrony was an important factor for temporal resolution acuity and speech perception outcomes in noise in post-lingually deafened adult CI users.

Design: Study participants included 24 post-lingually deafened adult CI users with a Cochlear Nucleus® device. Three study participants were implanted bilaterally, and each ear was tested separately. For each of the 27 implanted ears tested in this study, 400 sweeps of the electrically evoked compound action potential (eCAP) were measured at four electrode locations across the electrode array. Peripheral neural synchrony was quantified at each electrode location using the phase locking value (PLV), which is a measure of trial-by-trial phase coherence among eCAP sweeps/trials. Temporal resolution acuity was evaluated by measuring the within-channel gap detection threshold (GDT) using a three-alternative, forced-choice procedure in a subgroup of 20 participants (23 implanted ears). For each ear tested in these participants, GDTs were measured at two electrode locations with a large difference in PLVs. For 26 implanted ears tested in 23 participants, speech perception performance was evaluated using Consonant-Nucleus-Consonant (CNC) word lists presented in quiet and in noise at signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs) of +10 and +5 dB. Linear Mixed effect Models were used to evaluate the effect of electrode location on the PLV and the effect of the PLV on GDT after controlling for the stimulation level effects. Pearson product-moment correlation tests were used to assess the correlations between PLVs, CNC word scores measured in different conditions, and the degree of noise effect on CNC word scores.

Results: There was a significant effect of electrode location on the PLV after controlling for the effect of stimulation level. There was a significant effect of the PLV on GDT after controlling for the effects of stimulation level, where higher PLVs (greater synchrony) led to lower GDTs (better temporal resolution acuity). PLVs were not significantly correlated with CNC word scores measured in any listening condition or the effect of competing background noise presented at a SNR of +10 dB on CNC word scores. In contrast, there was a significant negative correlation between the PLV and the degree of noise effect on CNC word scores for a competing background noise presented at a SNR of +5 d

目的:我们最近开发了一种非侵入性方法来量化人工耳蜗(CI)用户耳蜗神经的神经同步性(即外周神经同步性),这在文献中首次能够评估人工耳蜗用户的这一重要生理现象。本文详细报道了这种新方法。此外,本研究评估了周围神经同步性如何与舌后失聪的成年CI用户在安静和噪声中测量的时间分辨敏锐度和言语感知结果相关。它检验了以下假设:1)不同CI用户的外周神经同步程度不同,2)外周神经的同步性是影响成年CI用户在语言失聪后噪声中的时间分辨敏锐度和言语感知结果的重要因素。设计:研究参与者包括18名语言失聪的成年人工耳蜗使用者™ Nucleus®设备。两名研究参与者被双侧植入,每只耳朵分别接受测试。对于本研究中测试的20只耳朵中的每一只,基于400次电诱发复合动作电位(eCAP)扫描,在电极阵列的四个电极位置(默认电极:3、9、15和21)测量外周神经同步性,并使用名为锁相值(PLV)的指数进行量化。PLV是eCAP扫描/试验之间逐试验阶段一致性的度量,并量化外周神经同步的程度。通过使用三种可选的强迫选择程序测量通道内间隙检测阈值(GDT)来评估时间分辨敏锐度,目标是9名参与者(10耳)的亚组中79.4%的心理测量功能正确率。对于在这些参与者中测试的每只耳朵,在PLV差异较大的两个电极位置测量GDT。对14名参与者的15只耳朵进行了测试,使用辅音核辅音(CNC)单词表评估了语音感知性能,该单词表在安静和噪声中以+10和+5dB的信噪比(SNR)呈现。在控制刺激水平效应后,使用线性混合效应模型(LMM)来评估电极位置对PLV的影响。部分相关试验用于评估PLV和GDT之间的相关性,同时控制刺激水平对GDT的影响。使用配对样本t检验对具有不同PLV的电极对测量的GDT进行比较。在不同条件下测量的PLV和CNC单词得分之间的关联,以及PLV和噪声对CNC单词得分的影响程度之间的关联使用带有Bonferroni校正的Pearson乘积矩相关检验进行评估,以进行多重比较。结果:PLV在研究参与者和电极位置之间存在显著差异。PLV和GDT之间存在显著相关性,其中较高的PLV与较低的GDT相关。PLV与在任何听力条件下测量的CNC单词得分或在+10dB的SNR下呈现的竞争性背景噪声对CNC单词得分的影响没有显著相关性。相反,对于SNR为+5dB的竞争背景噪声,PLV和噪声对CNC单词得分的影响程度之间存在中度负相关。结论:这种新开发的方法可用于评估活体CI用户的外周神经同步性,一种生理现象,可能在决定电听力的听觉感知结果方面发挥重要作用。在语言失聪的成年CI用户中,较低的外周神经同步性与较低的时间分辨率敏锐度和竞争性背景噪声对语音感知性能的较大不利影响有关。
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引用次数: 0
Positive Airway Pressure Therapy Predicts Lower Mortality and Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events Incidence in Medicare Beneficiaries with Obstructive Sleep Apnea. 气道正压治疗可预测患有阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停的医疗保险受益人的较低死亡率和主要心血管不良事件发生率。
Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1101/2023.07.26.23293156
Diego R Mazzotti, Lemuel R Waitman, Jennifer Miller, Krishna M Sundar, Nancy H Stewart, David Gozal, Xing Song

Background: Obesity is associated with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and cardiovascular risk. Positive airway pressure (PAP) is the first line treatment for OSA, but evidence on its beneficial effect on major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) prevention is limited. Using claims data, the effects of PAP on mortality and incidence of MACE among Medicare beneficiaries with OSA were examined.

Methods: A cohort of Medicare beneficiaries with ≥2 distinct OSA claims was defined from multi-state, state-wide, multi-year (2011-2020) Medicare fee-for-service claims data. Evidence of PAP initiation and utilization was based on PAP claims after OSA diagnosis. MACE was defined as a composite of myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, or coronary revascularization. Doubly robust Cox proportional hazards models with inverse probability of treatment weights estimated treatment effects controlling for sociodemographic and clinical factors.

Results: Among 888,835 beneficiaries with OSA (median age 73 years; 43.9% women; median follow-up 1,141 days), those with evidence of PAP initiation (32.6%) had significantly lower all-cause mortality (HR [95%CI]: 0.53 [0.52-0.54]) and MACE incidence risk (0.90 [0.89-0.91]). Higher quartiles of annual PAP claims were progressively associated with lower mortality (Q2: 0.84 [0.81-0.87], Q3: 0.76 [0.74-0.79], Q4: 0.74 [0.72-0.77]) and MACE incidence risk (Q2: 0.92 [0.89-0.95], Q3: 0.89 [0.86-0.91], Q4: 0.87 [0.85-0.90]).

Conclusion: PAP utilization was associated with lower all-cause mortality and MACE incidence among Medicare beneficiaries with OSA. Results might inform trials assessing the importance of OSA therapy towards minimizing cardiovascular risk and mortality in older adults.

背景:肥胖与阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停(OSA)和心血管风险有关。气道正压通气(PAP)是OSA的一线治疗方法,但关于其对预防重大心血管不良事件(MACE)有益作用的证据有限。利用索赔数据,研究了PAP对OSA医疗保险受益人死亡率和MACE发生率的影响。方法:根据多州、全州、多年(2011-2017年)医疗保险服务费索赔数据,定义了一组连续参加医疗保险≥5年且有≥2项不同OSA索赔的受益人(>65岁)。PAP启动和使用的证据是基于OSA诊断后的PAP声明。MACE被定义为心肌梗死、心力衰竭、中风或冠状动脉血运重建的复合物。具有治疗权重逆概率的双稳健Cox比例风险模型估计了控制社会人口和临床因素的治疗效果。结果:在225132名OSA受益人中(中位年龄74岁;45.3%为女性;中位随访3年),有PAP发生证据的患者(50.1%)的全因死亡率(HR[95%CI]:0.57[0.56-0.59])和MACE发生风险(0.90[0.8-0.92])显著较低。年度PAP索赔的四分位数越高,死亡率越低(Q2:0.80[0.75-0.86],Q3:0.68[0.64-0.72],Q4:0.65[0.61-0.70])和MACE发生风险越低(Q3:0.91[0.87[0.82-0.91]),Q4:0.85[0.80-0.90])。结论:在OSA的医疗保险受益人中,PAP的使用与较低的全因死亡率和MACE发生率相关。研究结果可能会为评估OSA治疗对最大限度降低老年人心血管风险和死亡率的重要性的试验提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring [11C]CPPC as a CSF1R-targeted PET Imaging Marker for Early Parkinson's Disease Severity. 小胶质细胞CSF1R放射性配体[11C]CPPC作为早期帕金森病疾病严重程度的标志物:一项初步研究。
Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1101/2023.05.28.23290647
Kelly A Mills, Yong Du, Jennifer M Coughlin, Catherine A Foss, Andrew G Horti, Katelyn Jenkins, Yana Skorobogatova, Ergi Spiro, Chelsie S Motley, Robert F Dannals, Jae-Jin Song, Yu Ree Choi, Javier Redding-Ochoa, Juan Troncoso, Valina L Dawson, Tae-In Kam, Martin G Pomper, Ted M Dawson

Neuroinflammation through enhanced innate immunity is thought play a role in the pathogenesis of Parkinson's disease (PD). Methods for monitoring neuroinflammation in living patients with PD are currently limited to positron emission tomography (PET) ligands that lack specificity in labeling immune cells in the nervous system. The colony stimulating factor 1 receptor (CSF1R) plays a crucial role in microglial function, an important cellular contributor to the nervous system's innate immune response. Using immunologic methods, we show that CSF1R in human brain is colocalized with the microglial marker, ionized calcium binding adaptor molecule 1 (Iba1). In PD, CSF1R immunoreactivity is significantly increased in PD across multiple brain regions, with the largest differences in the midbrain versus controls. Autoradiography revealed significantly increased [3H]JHU11761 binding in the inferior parietal cortex of PD patients. PET imaging demonstrated that higher [11C]CPPC binding in the striatum was associated with greater motor disability in PD. Furthermore, increased [11C]CPPC binding in various regions correlated with more severe motor disability and poorer verbal fluency. This study finds that CSF1R expression is elevated in PD and that [11C]CPPC-PET imaging of CSF1R is indicative of motor and cognitive impairments in the early stages of the disease. Moreover, the study underscores the significance of CSF1R as a promising biomarker for neuroinflammation in Parkinson's disease, suggesting its potential use for non-invasive assessment of disease progression and severity, leading to earlier diagnosis and targeted interventions.

背景:在帕金森病(PD)的尸检研究中检测到先天免疫反应增强,但小胶质细胞在早期病理生理学中的作用尚不清楚。虽然标记胶质细胞激活的转运蛋白18kDa(TSPO)在PD中可能很高,但TSPO的表达并不局限于小胶质细胞,并且由于TSPO中常见的单核苷酸多态性,新一代放射性示踪剂对PET成像TSPO的配体结合亲和力在个体之间有所不同。用[11C]CPPC PET成像集落刺激因子1受体(CSF1R)提供了一个机会,可以对早期PD中小胶质细胞数量和/或活性的互补体内标记物进行成像,方法:健康对照组和病程≤2年的帕金森病患者,采用Hoehn&Yahr 11C]CPPC动态PET连续动脉抽血。根据运动症状引起的残疾(MDS-UPDRS第二部分),在各组(健康对照组、轻度和中度PD)之间比较PD相关感兴趣区域的组织分布总体积(VT),并将MDS-UPDRS第二部分作为连续测量进行回归。探讨了室性心动过速与认知测量之间的相关性。结果:PET成像显示,与健康对照组相比,运动功能障碍程度较轻的患者在多个区域的[11C]CPPC结合较高。在轻度认知障碍(PD-MCI)患者中,[11C]CPPC与CSF1R结合较高与蒙特利尔认知评估(MoCA)中认知功能较差有关。在整个PD队列中,[11C]CPPC VT与语言流利性之间也存在这种负相关。结论:即使在疾病的早期阶段,结合小胶质细胞密度和激活的直接标志物CSF1R的[11C]CPPC也与帕金森病的运动障碍和认知功能相关。
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引用次数: 0
Strong isolation by distance and evidence of population microstructure reflect ongoing Plasmodium falciparum transmission in Zanzibar. 距离的强烈隔离和种群微观结构的证据反映了恶性疟原虫在桑给巴尔的持续传播。
Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1101/2023.02.15.23285960
Sean V Connelly, Nicholas F Brazeau, Mwinyi Msellem, Billy E Ngasala, Özkan Aydemir, Varun Goel, Karamoko Niaré, David J Giesbrecht, Zachary R Popkin-Hall, Christopher M Hennelly, Zackary Park, Ann M Moormann, John Michael Ong'echa, Robert Verity, Safia Mohammed, Shija J Shija, Lwidiko E Mhamilawa, Ulrika Morris, Andreas Mårtensson, Jessica T Lin, Anders Björkman, Jonathan J Juliano, Jeffrey A Bailey

The Zanzibar archipelago of Tanzania has become a low-transmission area for Plasmodium falciparum. Despite being considered an area of pre-elimination for years, achieving elimination has been difficult, likely due to a combination of imported infections from mainland Tanzania, and continued local transmission. To shed light on these sources of transmission, we applied highly multiplexed genotyping utilizing molecular inversion probes to characterize the genetic relatedness of 282 P. falciparum isolates collected across Zanzibar and in Bagamoyo District on the coastal mainland from 2016-2018. Overall, parasite populations on the coastal mainland and Zanzibar archipelago remain highly related. However, parasite isolates from Zanzibar exhibit population microstructure due to rapid decay of parasite relatedness over very short distances. This, along with highly related pairs within shehias, suggests ongoing low level local transmission. We also identified highly related parasites across shehias that reflect human mobility on the main island of Unguja and identified a cluster of highly related parasites, suggestive of an outbreak, in the Micheweni district on Pemba island. Parasites in asymptomatic infections demonstrated higher complexity of infection than those in symptomatic infections, but have similar core genomes. Our data support importation as a main source of genetic diversity and contribution to the parasite population on Zanzibar, but they also show local outbreak clusters where targeted interventions are essential to block local transmission. These results highlight the need for preventive measures against imported malaria and enhanced control measures in areas that remain receptive for malaria reemergence due to susceptible hosts and competent vectors.

坦桑尼亚桑给巴尔群岛已成为恶性疟原虫的低传播地区。尽管多年来一直被认为是预先消除的领域,但实现消除一直很困难,这可能是由于来自坦桑尼亚大陆的输入性感染和持续的本地传播。为了阐明这些传播源,我们利用分子反转探针应用高度多重基因分型来表征2016-2018年在桑给巴尔和沿海大陆巴加莫约区收集的391个恶性疟原虫分离株的遗传相关性。总的来说,沿海大陆和桑给巴尔群岛的寄生虫种群仍然高度相关。然而,来自桑给巴尔的寄生虫分离株由于在很短的距离内寄生虫相关性的快速衰减而表现出种群微观结构。这与shehias内高度相关的配对一起,表明正在进行低水平的本地传播。我们还发现了整个shehias的高度相关寄生虫,这些寄生虫反映了昂古贾主岛上的人类流动性,并在彭巴岛的Micheweni区发现了一组高度相关的寄生虫,这表明疫情爆发。无症状感染者的寄生虫表现出比有症状感染者更高的感染复杂性,但具有相似的核心基因组。我们的数据支持,输入仍然是桑给巴尔寄生虫种群遗传多样性和贡献的主要来源,但它们也表明,有针对性的干预措施对阻断本地传播至关重要。这些结果突出表明,需要对输入性疟疾采取预防措施,并在易感宿主和有能力的病媒仍易感染疟疾的地区加强控制措施。
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引用次数: 0
WITHDRAWN: Exposure to Ambient Particulate Matter during Pregnancy: Implications for Infant Telomere Length. 妊娠期暴露于环境颗粒物:对婴儿端粒长度的影响。
Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1101/2023.09.17.23295692
Nina E Ahlers, Jue Lin, Sandra J Weiss

This manuscript has been withdrawn by the authors as it was submitted and made public without the full consent of all the authors. Therefore, the authors do not wish this work to be cited as reference for the project. If you have any questions, please contact the corresponding author. The authors have an approved version for citation that is peer reviewed. Ahlers, N.E.; Lin, J.; Weiss, S.J. Exposure to Ambient Particulate Matter during Pregnancy: Implications for Infant Telomere Length. Air 2024, 2, 24-37. https://doi.org/10.3390/air2010002.

背景:越来越多的证据表明,空气污染可能会影响胎儿的发育,并对以后的健康产生潜在影响。端粒长度(TL)的改变是胎儿暴露于空气污染与疾病发展之间联系的一种可能的中介机制。然而,为数不多的探索产前污染与婴儿TL之间关系的研究评估了不同的妊娠期,结果喜忧参半。本研究的目的是检验妊娠1、2和3个月大的婴儿TL在产前暴露于空气污染物PM2.5的差异关系。方法:女性(n=74)在妊娠晚期被招募到产科诊所。从地区空气质量管理区获得了每个妇女居住区在每个妊娠期的PM2.5暴露数据。出生后一个月,从婴儿身上采集唾液样本,为端粒测定提供DNA。女性完成了关于生活中压力源、感知压力、抑郁和社会人口统计的问卷调查,作为协变量纳入。采用多元线性回归方法对目标进行分析。结果:孕2(β=0.31,p=0.003)和孕3(β=0.24,p=0.02)暴露于PM2.5与较长的婴儿TL相关。孕1的暴露与TL无关。母亲抑郁、年龄和婴儿女性的共同变量也与较长的TL相关。模型中的变量占TL方差的34%(F=10.58,p=.000)。讨论:胎儿对污染的较长端粒编程可能对新生儿适应空气质量不理想的产后环境具有适应性价值。或者,考虑到较长的TL与癌症等疾病之间已建立的联系,较长的端粒可能会预测后期的健康风险。未来的研究需要解决产前污染如何与TL相互作用,从而随着时间的推移影响健康。
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引用次数: 0
Internal Validation of Automated Visual Evaluation (AVE) on Smartphone Images for Cervical Cancer Screening in a Prospective Study in Zambia. 在赞比亚的一项前瞻性研究中,对用于宫颈癌筛查的智能手机图像进行自动视觉评估 (AVE) 的内部验证。
Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1101/2023.07.19.23292888
Liming Hu, Mulindi H Mwanahamuntu, Vikrant V Sahasrabuddhe, Caroline Barrett, Matthew P Horning, Ishan Shah, Zohreh Laverriere, Dipayan Banik, Ye Ji, Aaron Lunda Shibemba, Samson Chisele, Mukatimui Kalima Munalula, Friday Kaunga, Francis Musonda, Evans Malyangu, Karen Milch Hariharan, Groesbeck P Parham

Objectives: Visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) is a low-cost approach for cervical cancer screening used in most low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) but, similar to other visual tests like histopathology, is subjective and requires sustained training and quality assurance. We developed, trained, and validated an artificial-intelligence-based "Automated Visual Evaluation" (AVE) tool that can be adapted to run on smartphones to assess smartphone-captured images of the cervix and identify precancerous lesions, helping augment performance of VIA.

Design: Prospective study.

Setting: Eight public health facilities in Zambia.

Participants: 8,204 women aged 25-55.

Interventions: Cervical images captured on commonly used low-cost smartphone models were matched with key clinical information including human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and human papillomavirus (HPV) status, plus histopathology analysis (where applicable), to develop and train an AVE algorithm and evaluate its performance for use as a primary screen and triage test for women who are HPV positive.

Main outcome measures: Area under the receiver operating curve (AUC); sensitivity; specificity.

Results: As a general population screening for cervical precancerous lesions, AVE identified cases of cervical precancerous and cancerous (CIN2+) lesions with high performance (AUC = 0.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.89 to 0.93), which translates to a sensitivity of 85% (95% CI = 81% to 90%) and specificity of 86% (95% CI = 84% to 88%) based on maximizing the Youden's index. This represents a considerable improvement over VIA, which a meta-analysis by the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates to have sensitivity of 66% and specificity of 87%. For women living with HIV, the AUC of AVE was 0.91 (95% CI = 0.88 to 0.93), and among those testing positive for high-risk HPV types, the AUC was 0.87 (95% CI = 0.83 to 0.91).

Conclusions: These results demonstrate the feasibility of utilizing AVE on images captured using a commonly available smartphone by screening nurses and support our transition to clinical evaluation of AVE's sensitivity, specificity, feasibility, and acceptability across a broader range of settings. The performance of the algorithm as reported may be inflated, as biopsies were obtained only from study participants with visible aceto-white cervical lesions, which can lead to verification bias; and the images and data sets used for testing of the model, although "unseen" by the algorithm during training, were acquired from the same set of patients and devices, limiting the study to that of an internal validation of the AVE algorithm.

目的:醋酸目视检查(VIA)是大多数中低收入国家(LMIC)使用的一种低成本宫颈癌筛查方法,但它与组织病理学等其他目视检查类似,都是主观的,需要持续的培训和质量保证。我们开发、训练并验证了一种基于人工智能的 "自动视觉评估"(AVE)工具,该工具可在智能手机上运行,用于评估智能手机捕获的宫颈图像并识别癌前病变,从而帮助提高 VIA 的性能:设计:前瞻性研究:参与者:8204 名 25-55 岁的女性:将常用的低成本智能手机拍摄的宫颈图像与关键临床信息(包括人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)和人类乳头瘤病毒(HPV)状态)以及组织病理学分析(如适用)进行比对,以开发和训练 AVE 算法,并评估其作为 HPV 阳性女性初筛和分流检测的性能:主要结果测量指标:受体操作曲线下面积(AUC);灵敏度;特异性:作为宫颈癌前病变的普通人群筛查,AVE能高效识别宫颈癌前病变和癌变(CIN2+)病例(AUC = 0.91,95% 置信区间 [CI] = 0.89 至 0.93),根据尤登指数最大化,灵敏度为 85%(95% CI = 81% 至 90%),特异性为 86%(95% CI = 84% 至 88%)。世界卫生组织(WHO)的一项荟萃分析估计,VIA 的灵敏度为 66%,特异性为 87%。对于感染 HIV 的妇女,AVE 的 AUC 为 0.91(95% CI = 0.88 至 0.93),而在高危 HPV 类型检测呈阳性的妇女中,AUC 为 0.87(95% CI = 0.83 至 0.91):这些结果证明了筛查护士在使用普通智能手机采集的图像上使用 AVE 的可行性,并支持我们在更广泛的环境中对 AVE 的灵敏度、特异性、可行性和可接受性进行临床评估。报告中的算法性能可能被夸大了,因为活检样本仅来自有可见醋白宫颈病变的研究参与者,这可能会导致验证偏差;而且用于测试模型的图像和数据集虽然在训练过程中未被算法 "看到",但却是从同一组患者和设备中获取的,因此该研究仅限于 AVE 算法的内部验证。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneous SARS-CoV-2 kinetics due to variable timing and intensity of immune responses. 由于免疫反应的时间和强度可变,导致严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2型动力学不均一。
Pub Date : 2024-02-07 DOI: 10.1101/2023.08.20.23294350
Katherine Owens, Shadisadat Esmaeili-Wellman, Joshua T Schiffer

The viral kinetics of documented SARS-CoV-2 infections exhibit a high degree of inter-individual variability. We identified six distinct viral shedding patterns, which differed according to peak viral load, duration, expansion rate and clearance rate, by clustering data from 768 infections in the National Basketball Association cohort. Omicron variant infections in previously vaccinated individuals generally led to lower cumulative shedding levels of SARS-CoV-2 than other scenarios. We then developed a mechanistic mathematical model that recapitulated 1510 observed viral trajectories, including viral rebound and cases of reinfection. Lower peak viral loads were explained by a more rapid and sustained transition of susceptible cells to a refractory state during infection, as well as an earlier and more potent late, cytolytic immune response. Our results suggest that viral elimination occurs more rapidly during omicron infection, following vaccination, and following re-infection due to enhanced innate and acquired immune responses. Because viral load has been linked with COVID-19 severity and transmission risk, our model provides a framework for understanding the wide range of observed SARS-CoV-2 infection outcomes.

记录在案的严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2型感染的病毒动力学表现出高度的个体间变异性。我们通过对美国国家篮球协会队列中810例感染者的数据进行聚类,确定了六种不同的病毒脱落模式,这些模式因病毒载量峰值、持续时间、扩展率和清除率而异。先前接种疫苗的个体感染奥密克戎变异株通常导致严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2型的累计脱落水平低于其他情况。然后,我们开发了一个机制数学模型,该模型概括了1510个观察到的病毒轨迹,包括病毒反弹和再次感染病例。病毒载量峰值较低的原因是,在感染期间,易感细胞更快速、更持久地转变为难治状态,以及更早、更有效的晚期细胞溶解性免疫反应。我们的研究结果表明,在奥密克戎感染期间、接种疫苗后以及由于先天和获得性免疫反应增强而再次感染后,病毒消除速度更快。由于病毒载量与新冠肺炎的严重程度和传播风险有关,我们的模型为了解广泛观察到的SARS-CoV-2感染结果提供了一个框架。
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引用次数: 0
Emulator-based Bayesian calibration of the CISNET colorectal cancer models. CISNET结直肠癌癌症模型的基于模拟器的贝叶斯校准。
Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1101/2023.02.27.23286525
Carlos Pineda-Antunez, Claudia Seguin, Luuk A van Duuren, Amy B Knudsen, Barak Davidi, Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Carolyn Rutter, Karen M Kuntz, Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar, Nicholson Collier, Jonathan Ozik, Fernando Alarid-Escudero

Purpose: To calibrate Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) 's SimCRC, MISCAN-Colon, and CRC-SPIN simulation models of the natural history colorectal cancer (CRC) with an emulator-based Bayesian algorithm and internally validate the model-predicted outcomes to calibration targets.

Methods: We used Latin hypercube sampling to sample up to 50,000 parameter sets for each CISNET-CRC model and generated the corresponding outputs. We trained multilayer perceptron artificial neural networks (ANN) as emulators using the input and output samples for each CISNET-CRC model. We selected ANN structures with corresponding hyperparameters (i.e., number of hidden layers, nodes, activation functions, epochs, and optimizer) that minimize the predicted mean square error on the validation sample. We implemented the ANN emulators in a probabilistic programming language and calibrated the input parameters with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo-based algorithms to obtain the joint posterior distributions of the CISNET-CRC models' parameters. We internally validated each calibrated emulator by comparing the model-predicted posterior outputs against the calibration targets.

Results: The optimal ANN for SimCRC had four hidden layers and 360 hidden nodes, MISCAN-Colon had 4 hidden layers and 114 hidden nodes, and CRC-SPIN had one hidden layer and 140 hidden nodes. The total time for training and calibrating the emulators was 7.3, 4.0, and 0.66 hours for SimCRC, MISCAN-Colon, and CRC-SPIN, respectively. The mean of the model-predicted outputs fell within the 95% confidence intervals of the calibration targets in 98 of 110 for SimCRC, 65 of 93 for MISCAN, and 31 of 41 targets for CRC-SPIN.

Conclusions: Using ANN emulators is a practical solution to reduce the computational burden and complexity for Bayesian calibration of individual-level simulation models used for policy analysis, like the CISNET CRC models. In this work, we present a step-by-step guide to constructing emulators for calibrating three realistic CRC individual-level models using a Bayesian approach.

目的:用基于模拟器的贝叶斯算法校准癌症干预和监测建模网络(CISNET)的自然史结直肠癌癌症(CRC)的SimCRC、MISCAN-Colon和CRC-SIN模拟模型,并在内部验证模型预测结果与校准目标的一致性。方法:我们使用拉丁超立方体采样对每个CISNET-CRC模型的多达50000个参数集进行采样,并生成相应的输出。我们使用每个CISNET-CRC模型的输入和输出样本来训练多层感知器人工神经网络(ANN)作为模拟器。我们选择了具有相应超参数(即隐藏层的数量、节点、激活函数、时期和优化器)的ANN结构,以最小化验证样本上的预测均方误差。我们用概率编程语言实现了ANN仿真器,并用基于Hamiltonian Monte Carlo的算法校准了输入参数,以获得CISNET-CRC模型参数的联合后验分布。我们通过将模型预测的后验输出与校准目标进行比较,对每个校准模拟器进行内部验证。结果:SimCRC的最优神经网络有4个隐藏层和360个隐藏节点,MISCAN Colon有4个隐层和114个隐藏节点;CRC-SPIN有1个隐层,140个隐藏节点。SimCRC、MISCAN Colon和CRC-SPIN的模拟器训练和校准总时间分别为7.3、4.0和0.66小时。模型预测输出的平均值在校准目标的95%置信区间内,SimCRC为110个中的98个,MISCAN为93个中的65个,CRC-SPIN为41个中的31个。结论:使用ANN仿真器是一种实用的解决方案,可以减少用于策略分析的单个级模拟模型的贝叶斯校准的计算负担和复杂性,如CISNET CRC模型。
{"title":"Emulator-based Bayesian calibration of the CISNET colorectal cancer models.","authors":"Carlos Pineda-Antunez, Claudia Seguin, Luuk A van Duuren, Amy B Knudsen, Barak Davidi, Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Carolyn Rutter, Karen M Kuntz, Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar, Nicholson Collier, Jonathan Ozik, Fernando Alarid-Escudero","doi":"10.1101/2023.02.27.23286525","DOIUrl":"10.1101/2023.02.27.23286525","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>To calibrate Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) 's SimCRC, MISCAN-Colon, and CRC-SPIN simulation models of the natural history colorectal cancer (CRC) with an emulator-based Bayesian algorithm and internally validate the model-predicted outcomes to calibration targets.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used Latin hypercube sampling to sample up to 50,000 parameter sets for each CISNET-CRC model and generated the corresponding outputs. We trained multilayer perceptron artificial neural networks (ANN) as emulators using the input and output samples for each CISNET-CRC model. We selected ANN structures with corresponding hyperparameters (i.e., number of hidden layers, nodes, activation functions, epochs, and optimizer) that minimize the predicted mean square error on the validation sample. We implemented the ANN emulators in a probabilistic programming language and calibrated the input parameters with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo-based algorithms to obtain the joint posterior distributions of the CISNET-CRC models' parameters. We internally validated each calibrated emulator by comparing the model-predicted posterior outputs against the calibration targets.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The optimal ANN for SimCRC had four hidden layers and 360 hidden nodes, MISCAN-Colon had 4 hidden layers and 114 hidden nodes, and CRC-SPIN had one hidden layer and 140 hidden nodes. The total time for training and calibrating the emulators was 7.3, 4.0, and 0.66 hours for SimCRC, MISCAN-Colon, and CRC-SPIN, respectively. The mean of the model-predicted outputs fell within the 95% confidence intervals of the calibration targets in 98 of 110 for SimCRC, 65 of 93 for MISCAN, and 31 of 41 targets for CRC-SPIN.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Using ANN emulators is a practical solution to reduce the computational burden and complexity for Bayesian calibration of individual-level simulation models used for policy analysis, like the CISNET CRC models. In this work, we present a step-by-step guide to constructing emulators for calibrating three realistic CRC individual-level models using a Bayesian approach.</p>","PeriodicalId":18659,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/20/92/nihpp-2023.02.27.23286525v1.PMC10002763.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9696839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Genotoxic colibactin mutational signature in colorectal cancer is associated with clinicopathological features, specific genomic alterations and better survival. 癌症中的基因毒性大肠杆菌素突变特征与临床病理特征、特异性基因组改变和更好的存活率有关。
Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1101/2023.03.10.23287127
Peter Georgeson, Robert S Steinfelder, Tabitha A Harrison, Bernard J Pope, Syed H Zaidi, Conghui Qu, Yi Lin, Jihoon E Joo, Khalid Mahmood, Mark Clendenning, Romy Walker, Elom K Aglago, Sonja I Berndt, Hermann Brenner, Peter T Campbell, Yin Cao, Andrew T Chan, Jenny Chang-Claude, Niki Dimou, Kimberly F Doheny, David A Drew, Jane C Figueiredo, Amy J French, Steven Gallinger, Marios Giannakis, Graham G Giles, Ellen L Goode, Stephen B Gruber, Andrea Gsur, Marc J Gunter, Sophia Harlid, Michael Hoffmeister, Li Hsu, Wen-Yi Huang, Jeroen R Huyghe, JoAnn E Manson, Victor Moreno, Neil Murphy, Rami Nassir, Christina C Newton, Jonathan A Nowak, Mireia Obón-Santacana, Shuji Ogino, Rish K Pai, Nikos Papadimitrou, John D Potter, Robert E Schoen, Mingyang Song, Wei Sun, Amanda E Toland, Quang M Trinh, Kostas Tsilidis, Tomotaka Ugai, Caroline Y Um, Finlay A Macrae, Christophe Rosty, Thomas J Hudson, Ingrid M Winship, Amanda I Phipps, Mark A Jenkins, Ulrike Peters, Daniel D Buchanan

Background and aims: The microbiome has long been suspected of a role in colorectal cancer (CRC) tumorigenesis. The mutational signature SBS88 mechanistically links CRC development with the strain of Escherichia coli harboring the pks island that produces the genotoxin colibactin, but the genomic, pathological and survival characteristics associated with SBS88-positive tumors are unknown.

Methods: SBS88-positive CRCs were identified from targeted sequencing data from 5,292 CRCs from 17 studies and tested for their association with clinico-pathological features, oncogenic pathways, genomic characteristics and survival.

Results: In total, 7.5% (398/5,292) of the CRCs were SBS88-positive, of which 98.7% (392/398) were microsatellite stable/microsatellite instability low (MSS/MSI-L), compared with 80% (3916/4894) of SBS88 negative tumors (p=1.5x10-28). Analysis of MSS/MSI-L CRCs demonstrated that SBS88 positive CRCs were associated with the distal colon (OR=1.84, 95% CI=1.40-2.42, p=1x10-5) and rectum (OR=1.90, 95% CI=1.44-2.51, p=6x10-6) tumor sites compared with the proximal colon. The top seven recurrent somatic mutations associated with SBS88-positive CRCs demonstrated mutational contexts associated with colibactin-induced DNA damage, the strongest of which was the APC:c.835-8A>G mutation (OR=65.5, 95%CI=39.0-110.0, p=3x10-80). Large copy number alterations (CNAs) including CNA loss on 14q and gains on 13q, 16q and 20p were significantly enriched in SBS88-positive CRCs. SBS88-positive CRCs were associated with better CRC-specific survival (p=0.007; hazard ratio of 0.69, 95% CI=0.52-0.90) when stratified by age, sex, study, and by stage.

Conclusion: SBS88-positivity, a biomarker of colibactin-induced DNA damage, can identify a novel subtype of CRC characterized by recurrent somatic mutations, copy number alterations and better survival. These findings provide new insights for treatment and prevention strategies for this subtype of CRC.

背景和目的:长期以来,人们一直怀疑微生物组在癌症(CRC)肿瘤发生中起作用。突变特征SBS88在机制上将CRC的发展与携带产生基因毒素大肠杆菌素的pks岛的大肠杆菌菌株联系起来,但与SBS88阳性肿瘤相关的基因组、病理和生存特征尚不清楚。方法:从17项研究的5292个CRC的靶向测序数据中鉴定SBS88阳性CRC,并检测其与临床病理特征、致癌途径、基因组特征和生存率的相关性。结果:总的来说,7.5%(398/5292)的CRC是SBS88阳性,其中98.7%(392/398)是微卫星稳定/微卫星不稳定低(MSS/MSI-L),与80%(3916/4894)的SBS88阴性肿瘤(p=1.5×10-28)相比。MSS/MSI-L CRC分析表明,与近端结肠相比,SBS88阳性CRC与远端结肠(OR=1.84,95%CI=1.40-2.42,p=1×10-5)和直肠(OR=1.90,95%CI=1.44-2.51,p=6×10-6)肿瘤部位相关。与SBS88阳性CRC相关的前7个复发性体细胞突变显示出与大肠杆菌素诱导的DNA损伤相关的突变背景,其中最强的是APC:c.835-8A>G突变(OR=65.5,95%CI=39.0-11.0,p=3×10-80)。大拷贝数改变(CNAs),包括14q的CNA丢失和13q、16q和20p的CNA增加,在SBS88阳性CRC中显著富集。按年龄、性别、研究和分期分层时,SBS88阳性CRC与更好的CRC特异性生存率相关(p=0.007;危险比0.69,95%CI=0.52-0.90)。结论:SBS88阳性是大肠杆菌素诱导的DNA损伤的生物标志物,可以识别一种新的CRC亚型,其特征是复发性体细胞突变、拷贝数改变和更好的生存率。这些发现为该亚型CRC的治疗和预防策略提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of mixed metal exposures on MRI diffusion features in the medial temporal lobe. 焊接烟尘暴露与颞叶内侧微结构特征有关,类似于早期阿尔茨海默病。
Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1101/2023.07.18.23292828
Eun-Young Lee, Juhee Kim, Janina Manzieri Prado-Rico, Guangwei Du, Mechelle M Lewis, Lan Kong, Jeff D Yanosky, Paul Eslinger, Byoung-Gwon Kim, Young-Seoub Hong, Richard B Mailman, Xuemei Huang

Background: Environmental exposure to metal mixtures is common and may be associated with increased risk for neurodegenerative disorders including Alzheimer's disease.

Objective: This study examined associations of mixed metal exposures with medial temporal lobe (MTL) MRI structural metrics and neuropsychological performance.

Methods: Metal exposure history, whole blood metal, and neuropsychological tests were obtained from subjects with/without a history of mixed metal exposure from welding fumes (42 exposed subjects; 31 controls). MTL structures (hippocampus, entorhinal and parahippocampal cortices) were assessed by morphologic (volume, cortical thickness) and diffusion tensor imaging [mean (MD), axial (AD), radial diffusivity (RD), and fractional anisotropy (FA)] metrics. In exposed subjects, correlation, multiple linear, Bayesian kernel machine regression, and mediation analyses were employed to examine effects of single- or mixed-metal predictor(s) and their interactions on MTL structural and neuropsychological metrics; and on the path from metal exposure to neuropsychological consequences.

Results: Compared to controls, exposed subjects had higher blood Cu, Fe, K, Mn, Pb, Se, and Zn levels (p's<0.026) and poorer performance in processing/psychomotor speed, executive, and visuospatial domains (p's<0.046). Exposed subjects displayed higher MD, AD, and RD in all MTL ROIs (p's<0.040) and lower FA in entorhinal and parahippocampal cortices (p's<0.033), but not morphological differences. Long-term mixed-metal exposure history indirectly predicted lower processing speed performance via lower parahippocampal FA (p=0.023). Higher whole blood Mn and Cu predicted higher entorhinal diffusivity (p's<0.043) and lower Delayed Story Recall performance (p=0.007) without overall metal mixture or interaction effects.

Discussion: Mixed metal exposure predicted MTL structural and neuropsychological features that are similar to Alzheimer's disease at-risk populations. These data warrant follow-up as they may illuminate the path for environmental exposure to Alzheimer's disease-related health outcomes.

简介:焊接烟雾含有多种金属的混合物,是环境金属相关神经毒性的一个表型。过去对焊工的研究主要集中在基底神经节区域及其与帕金森病的关系上。这项研究评估了在阿尔茨海默病样病理中起关键作用的内侧颞叶(MTL)结构。方法:从有/无焊接史的受试者(42名焊工;31名对照)中获得暴露史和全血金属水平。通过形态学(体积和皮层厚度)和扩散张量成像[平均值(MD)、轴向(AD)、径向扩散率(RD)和各向异性分数(FA)]指标评估MTL感兴趣区域(海马、内嗅和海马旁皮层)。使用标准的神经心理学测试来评估认知能力。结果:焊工的血液中Cu、Fe、K、Mn、Pb、Se和Zn含量较高(p的讨论:焊接烟雾和相关金属暴露与早期阿尔茨海默病的MTL特征有关。鉴于金属暴露的普遍性,未来的研究是有必要的,可能会对公共健康产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
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