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India’s Economic Integration in Services with ASEAN: From Bilateral FTAs to RCEP 印度与东盟服务业的经济一体化:从双边自由贸易协定到RCEP
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684619885778
Pralok Gupta
Abstract Given the growing importance of services in Indian economy as well as in international trade, India has offensive interests in services and these are becoming an important part of India’s effort to economically integrate with global economies including Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). This article analyses India’s economic integration with the ASEAN region in services trade and discusses how India’s services trade interests are taken into consideration by ASEAN members in their free trade agreements with India. It also discusses services-related aspects in the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership agreement, a proposed free trade agreement among ASEAN and its six FTA partners including India, from which India has decided to opt-out recently. JEL Codes: F13, F14, F15
鉴于服务业在印度经济和国际贸易中的重要性日益增加,印度在服务业方面具有进攻性利益,服务业正成为印度与包括东盟在内的全球经济一体化努力的重要组成部分。本文分析了印度在服务贸易方面与东盟地区的经济一体化,并讨论了东盟成员国在与印度签订自由贸易协定时如何考虑印度的服务贸易利益。会议还讨论了《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(rcep)中与服务相关的方面。rcep是东盟与包括印度在内的6个自由贸易协定伙伴国之间拟议的自由贸易协定,印度最近决定退出该协定。JEL代码:F13, F14, F15
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引用次数: 2
Kishore Mahubani and Jeffery Sng (Eds), The ASEAN Miracle: A Catalyst for Peace Kishore Mahubani和Jeffery Sng(编),东盟奇迹:和平的催化剂
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684619891464
Durairaj Kumarasamy
wage gap between enterprises. The last chapter of the book, Chapter 14, explores the sources of income inequality in rural China from 1994 to 2014. This study explains how rural dual structural transformation leads to an inverted-U curve after the 1980s. The rural duality declined gradually with the expansion of nonagricultural employment and income in Tianjin unlike Shandonh or other parts of China. In contrast, in most rural areas of China and Shandong, despite residents’ choice to work in township enterprises or to be migrant workers, their nonagricultural income contributes to improving the level of total income and bags inequality. The dual transformation will affect and change the sectoral labour force participation rate and the within-sector income inequality, which further influences the income inequality to go up or down. Rising inequality in income itself is not the only dimension of development, but it also has consequences for governments’ efforts to control poverty, sustain growth, and maintain social cohesion. Therefore, appropriate policy measures are the only treatment. This book has covered the current inequality scenario in Asia as a whole and also gives country case studies to understand the differentials and determinants of the rising inequality. It has data, measures, and recommendations to initiate appropriate policy, which can create equality of opportunity, equal access to public goods and services, and improve the quality of institutions and governance, which is very much needed across the region in the context of social cohesion. The book has highlighted that rising inequality exists due to unequal distribution of resource endowments, public infrastructure, and economic activities, and major reform is needed in the rural, education, and employment sectors to prevent this inequality from rising. It can be hoped that this volume will inform and initiate intense policy debates for tackling the challenges of rising inequality in Asia.
企业之间的工资差距。本书的最后一章,即第14章,探讨了1994年至2014年中国农村收入不平等的根源。本研究解释了20世纪80年代以后农村二元结构转型导致倒u型曲线的原因。与山东和中国其他地区不同,随着非农就业和收入的扩大,天津农村二元性逐渐下降。相比之下,在中国和山东的大部分农村地区,尽管居民选择在乡镇企业工作或外出务工,但他们的非农业收入有助于提高总收入水平,减少收入不平等。双重转型将影响和改变部门劳动力参与率和部门内收入不平等,进而影响收入不平等的上升或下降。收入不平等加剧本身并不是发展的唯一方面,但它也会对政府控制贫困、维持增长和维持社会凝聚力的努力产生影响。因此,适当的政策措施是唯一的治疗方法。这本书涵盖了亚洲目前的不平等情况,并提供了国家案例研究,以了解不平等加剧的差异和决定因素。它提供了数据、措施和建议,以启动适当的政策,从而创造机会平等、平等获得公共产品和服务,并提高机构和治理的质量,这是整个地区在社会凝聚力背景下非常需要的。该书强调,由于资源禀赋、公共基础设施和经济活动的分配不平等,不平等现象正在加剧,为了防止这种不平等现象的加剧,需要在农村、教育和就业领域进行重大改革。我们希望这本书能为应对亚洲日益加剧的不平等挑战提供信息,并引发激烈的政策辩论。
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引用次数: 0
GMS Economic Corridors Under the Belt and Road Initiative “一带一路”倡议下的大湄公河次区域经济走廊
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684619894102
Masami Ishida
Abstract The government of China promotes the development of expressways and high-speed expressways in Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) and tries to connect the major cities of the subregion and Kunming under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). First, this article reviews the development schemes in the subregion including GMS economic cooperation and the BRI. Next, it introduces the development of the transport infrastructure, including expressways and high-speed railways, connecting Kunming and Lao People’s Democratic Republic (Lao PDR), Thailand, Myanmar and Vietnam. Thereafter, it compares the total costs of the projects and how other GMS countries negotiate with China. Seeing the sections of the expressways and railways in Yunnan Province, the shares of some sections occupied by bridges and tunnels are higher than 20 per cent due to the mountainous land feature of Yunnan Province. On the other hand, the railway in Lao PDR passes through the mountainous areas, and they adopted higher specification as same as in Yunnan Province. Consequently, the debt-default risk of Lao PDR has increased. On the other hand, Thailand repeated tough negotiations with China and made efforts not to increase the total cost. The negotiations of Lao PDR and Thailand with China are illustrated in this article. JEL Codes: O18, R10, R41, R58
中国政府推动大湄公河次区域(GMS)高速公路和高速公路的发展,并试图在“一带一路”倡议(BRI)下连接次区域主要城市和昆明。首先,本文回顾了次区域发展规划,包括大湄公河次区域经济合作和“一带一路”倡议。其次,它介绍了交通基础设施的发展,包括高速公路和高速铁路,连接昆明和老挝人民民主共和国(老挝人民民主共和国),泰国,缅甸和越南。之后,它比较了项目的总成本以及其他GMS国家如何与中国谈判。从云南省的高速公路和铁路路段来看,由于云南的山地特征,一些路段的桥梁和隧道所占份额超过20%。另一方面,老挝人民民主共和国的铁路经过山区,与云南一样,他们采用了更高的规格。因此,老挝人民民主共和国的债务违约风险有所增加。另一方面,泰国反复与中国进行艰难谈判,努力不增加总成本。本文阐述了老挝人民民主共和国和泰国与中国的谈判。JEL代码:O18, R10, R41, R58
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引用次数: 4
Services Export and Economic Growth in ASEAN Countries 东盟国家服务出口与经济增长
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684619883443
Sineenat Sermcheep
Abstract Based on the panel data from 1980 to 2014, this article examines the effect of services export on economic growth in the ASEAN countries. The results show that there has been evidence of services export-led growth in ASEAN during the past decades. The services export data are disaggregated into modern and traditional services exports, and the estimations show that both exports contribute to the GDP growth with the less strong positive effect from the modern services exports. The goods export, conventional engine of growth, also maintains its significant and robust role as the growth-enhancing factor for ASEAN. In the period of a slow growth of goods exports and the direction of the growth policy towards services-oriented sector, the services exports have become increasingly significant as a new engine of growth, which also complement to the existing growth engine. JEL Codes: F43, O4
摘要本文基于1980 - 2014年的面板数据,考察了服务出口对东盟国家经济增长的影响。结果表明,在过去的几十年里,东盟已经有了服务业出口导向型增长的证据。将服务出口数据分为现代服务出口和传统服务出口,结果表明,现代服务出口对GDP增长都有贡献,但现代服务出口的正向作用较弱。货物出口作为东盟经济增长的传统引擎,也保持着重要而强劲的拉动作用。在货物出口增长缓慢和经济增长政策转向服务业的时期,服务出口作为新的增长引擎日益重要,它也是对现有增长引擎的补充。JEL代码:F43, O4
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引用次数: 12
Asian Development Bank, Asian Economic Integration Report 2018 Toward Optimal Provision of Regional Public Goods in Asia and the Pacific 亚洲开发银行,《2018年亚洲经济一体化报告:亚太地区公共产品供给的优化》
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684619882811
C. U. T. Sundari
positive processes within ASEAN that need to be nurtured and strengthened. The authors also made major recommendations from this book. They proposed that ASEAN should bring in long-term shift from the government to the people. Second, they suggested that the ASEAN organisation should grow and improve administrative capabilities. Third, they endorsed that we should promote ASEAN as a new beacon of humanity. In summing up, this book embarks on an interesting journey of ASEAN. It gives hope and optimistic perspective for developing countries in achieving regional integration like ASEAN, which has remarkable diversity in culture, religion, linguistic and civilisational differences. This book will be of interest to diplomats, scholars, researchers, industry stakeholders and policymakers with an interest in knowing more about ASEAN.
东盟内部的积极进程需要得到培育和加强。作者还从这本书中提出了主要建议。他们提出,东盟应该实现从政府到人民的长期转变。其次,他们建议东盟组织应该发展和提高管理能力。第三,他们赞同我们应该推动东盟成为人类的新灯塔。总之,本书开启了一段有趣的东盟之旅。它为像东盟这样在文化、宗教、语言和文明差异方面具有显著多样性的发展中国家实现区域一体化提供了希望和乐观前景。这本书将对外交官,学者,研究人员,行业利益相关者和政策制定者有兴趣了解更多关于东盟的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Bihong Huang, Peter J. Morgan, and Naoyuki Yoshino (Eds), Demystifying Rising Inequality in Asia 黄必宏、Peter J. Morgan、吉野直行主编,《揭开亚洲日益加剧的不平等的神秘面纱》
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684619882839
Sunetra Ghatak
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引用次数: 0
Market Orientation and Export Performance under ASEAN–India Free Trade Agreement: The Case of India’s Rubber and Rubber Products 东盟-印度自由贸易协定下的市场导向与出口绩效:以印度橡胶及橡胶制品为例
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684619883079
J. Joseph, K. Hari
Abstract The countries involved in the ASEAN–India Free Trade Agreement (AIFTA) are major producers/exporters of tropical commodities including natural rubber (NR). India is the sixth largest producer and second largest consumer of NR in the world. The country is also a major importer of NR and exporter of rubber products. The import of NR worth US$ 785.44 million and export earnings of rubber products worth US $244.17 million from ASEAN region during the year 2017–18 indicated the importance of AIFTA in the rubber sector of India. Therefore, an in-depth analysis on the pattern and specialisation of rubber and rubber products exported from India is done using trade indicators such as revealed comparative advantage, regional orientation, intra-industry trade and Galtonian regression. The results indicate no considerable change after the establishment of AIFTA in the pattern and specialisation in exports of rubber and rubber products from India to ASEAN.
参与东盟-印度自由贸易协定(AIFTA)的国家是包括天然橡胶(NR)在内的热带商品的主要生产国/出口国。印度是世界第六大天然橡胶生产国和第二大消费国。该国也是天然橡胶的主要进口国和橡胶制品的主要出口国。2017-18年度,印度从东盟地区进口了价值7.5844亿美元的天然橡胶,出口了价值2.4417亿美元的橡胶产品,这表明了AIFTA对印度橡胶行业的重要性。因此,对从印度出口的橡胶和橡胶制品的模式和专业化进行了深入分析,使用了显示比较优势、区域导向、产业内贸易和高尔顿回归等贸易指标。结果表明,在建立亚洲自由贸易区后,印度向东盟出口橡胶和橡胶制品的格局和专业化没有显著变化。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Trade, Revenue and Welfare Implication of Plantation Crops under ASEAN–India FTA 评估东盟-印度自由贸易协定下种植作物的贸易、收入和福利意义
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684619882864
S. Jagdambe, S. Mouzam
Abstract This article examines the impact of ASEAN–India Free Trade Agreement on India’s special products categories, namely, coffee, tea and pepper based on partial equilibrium model. The Software for Market Analysis and Restrictive Trade (SMART) model has been used to estimate the trade creation (TC) and trade diversion (TD) effect, revenue effect and welfare effect for the above-mentioned commodities. The results from the SMART simulation analysis indicate that the increase in trade for both the scenarios is mainly driven by TC rather than TD. Further, the study also assesses how the total trade effect is distributed across the major ASEAN countries for each commodity and found that Indonesia and Vietnam are the biggest gainers in terms of TC effect in both the scenarios. JEL Classification: F13, F15, Q1
摘要本文基于部分均衡模型,考察了东盟-印度自由贸易协定对印度特殊产品类别(咖啡、茶和胡椒)的影响。运用市场分析软件和限制贸易(SMART)模型对上述商品的贸易创造(TC)和贸易转移(TD)效应、收入效应和福利效应进行了估算。SMART模拟分析的结果表明,两种情况下的贸易增长主要是由贸易转移驱动的,而不是贸易转移驱动的。此外,该研究还评估了每种商品的总贸易效应在东盟主要国家之间的分布情况,并发现印度尼西亚和越南在两种情况下都是贸易效应的最大受益者。JEL分类:F13, F15, Q1
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引用次数: 5
Survey of Literature on Measuring Logistics Cost: A Developing Country’s Perspective 物流成本计量文献综述:一个发展中国家的视角
Pub Date : 2019-06-18 DOI: 10.1177/2631684619883041
S. Pohit, D. Gupta, Devender Pratap, Sameer Malik
Abstract In today’s world, economic climate changes more quickly, and countries realise that globalisation has made the world small and more competitive. Also, customers seek products and services that can respond to their specific needs, and firms make effort to create competitive advantages to keep their profit and market share. All of the above trends lead firms and countries to focus on efficient logistics system. In this context, almost all developed economies and a few emerging economies estimate national logistics cost on a regular basis to understand the efficiency of their logistics system. This article makes an attempt to survey the literature on logistics cost estimation with special emphasis from the perspective of a developing country like India where estimation is a challenge due to limitation of data. JEL Codes: D57, E23, P44
在当今世界,经济气候变化更快,各国意识到全球化使世界变得更小,更有竞争力。此外,顾客寻求能够满足其特定需求的产品和服务,企业努力创造竞争优势以保持利润和市场份额。所有这些趋势导致公司和国家关注高效的物流系统。在此背景下,几乎所有发达经济体和少数新兴经济体都会定期估算国家物流成本,以了解其物流系统的效率。本文试图对物流成本估算的文献进行调查,特别强调从印度这样的发展中国家的角度出发,由于数据的限制,估算是一个挑战。JEL代码:D57, E23, P44
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引用次数: 9
Energy Market Integration in ASEAN: Locational Marginal Pricing and Welfare Implications 东盟能源市场一体化:区位边际定价与福利影响
Pub Date : 2019-05-06 DOI: 10.1177/2631684618821568
Youngho Chang, Justin Lee, Wei Xiang Ang, Jing Yi Chua
Abstract Energy market integration (EMI) in the ASEAN through the ASEAN Power Grid (APG) is considered to improve the welfare of the economy. In the simulation analyses of cross-border power trading, charging only a tariff as a function of the distance transmitted as access costs appears to ignore the effect of a marginal change in demand or supply from consumers and generators, respectively, on the transmission grid. This, in turn, leads to a poor signal to the market, making suboptimal decisions by economic agents. This study aims to analyse how the locational marginal pricing (LMP) of transmission losses influences an optimal energy mix and energy trading in the ASEAN and derive policy implications for completing the APG. Energy trading with the LMP mechanism of transmission losses appears to provide benefits to the countries under the APG as the total cost of electricity generation declines when power trade increases among ASEAN countries. The underpinnings of positive results strongly suggest that ASEAN member countries seriously consider enhancing grid interconnection to realise the efficiency of power trading infrastructure. JEL Codes: F15, O13, Q49
摘要通过东盟电网(APG)实现东盟能源市场一体化(EMI)被认为是提高经济福利的重要手段。在跨境电力交易的模拟分析中,只收取作为接入成本的传输距离函数的电价,似乎忽略了消费者和发电机分别在需求或供应方面的边际变化对输电网的影响。这反过来又导致向市场发出糟糕的信号,使经济主体做出次优决策。本研究旨在分析输电损失的区位边际定价(LMP)如何影响东盟的最佳能源结构和能源交易,并得出完成APG的政策含义。采用输电损失LMP机制的能源交易似乎对APG下的国家有利,因为当东盟国家之间的电力贸易增加时,发电总成本会下降。积极成果的基础强烈建议东盟成员国认真考虑加强电网互联,实现电力交易基础设施的效率。JEL代码:F15, O13, Q49
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Asian Economic Integration
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