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The US–China Trade War: Impact on India and Other Asian Regions 中美贸易战:对印度和其他亚洲地区的影响
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/26316846211038223
R. Chadha, S. Pohit, Devender Pratap
The growing protectionism globally and the outbreak of a major US–China trade war led Indian exports facing higher tariffs. This article has tried to investigate how India should react to the trade tensions between the two largest economies of the world. This will help policymakers in India to assess the impact of the likely developments and choose between different policy responses. In a bilateral US–China trade war, while both the United States and China stand to lose in terms of GDP, exports and imports, India stands to gain. India stands to lose when the US–China trade war applies also to India, which faces higher tariffs from both. India’s losses increase further when India responds by increasing its tariffs on imports from the United States and China. In fact, reducing own tariffs could be a wiser step. Enhancing productivity measures by raising port efficiency and making trade and transport sector more efficient appear to pay dividend. India gains even more from joining the RCEP-like trading block when the United States and China are indulging in bilateral trade war. Last but not least, US–China trade war seems to affect Asian countries, some positively some negatively. JEL Codes: F13, C68, F14
全球保护主义抬头,中美贸易战爆发,导致印度出口面临更高关税。本文试图探讨印度应如何应对世界两大经济体之间的贸易紧张关系。这将有助于印度的政策制定者评估可能的事态发展的影响,并在不同的政策应对措施之间做出选择。在中美双边贸易战中,虽然美国和中国在GDP、出口和进口方面都将蒙受损失,但印度将从中受益。当美中贸易战也适用于印度时,印度将是输家,因为印度面临着来自两国的更高关税。当印度通过提高从美国和中国进口的关税来应对时,印度的损失进一步增加。事实上,降低自己的关税可能是更明智的一步。通过提高港口效率和提高贸易和运输部门效率来加强生产力措施似乎会产生效益。当美国和中国沉迷于双边贸易战时,印度从加入类似rcep的贸易集团中获益更多。最后但并非最不重要的是,中美贸易战似乎对亚洲国家产生了影响,有些是积极的,有些是消极的。JEL代码:F13, C68, F14
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引用次数: 0
Richard E. Baldwin and Simon J. Evenett (eds.), Covid-19 and Trade Policy: Why Turning Inward Won’t Work Richard E. Baldwin和Simon J. Evenett主编,《Covid-19与贸易政策:为什么闭关自守行不通》
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/26316846211029373
Sanghita Mondal
facilitating energy transition process from traditional fossil fuels to renewables for addressing energy insecurity. The methods and results of the chapters leaves further scope to extend the analysis for other countries in Asia and other regions with similar energy demand and supply pattern. Policy recommendations provided in each chapter of the book will help policymakers in framing resilient energy and environmental policy solutions and for stimulating renewable energy development for sustained economic growth at national as well as regional level. This book will be of interest to scholars, researchers, policymakers and financial institutions in enhancing their knowledge about energy security or insecurity, energy economics, environment, climate change and sustainable development.
促进从传统化石燃料向可再生能源过渡,解决能源不安全问题。本章的方法和结果为亚洲其他国家和其他具有类似能源需求和供应模式的地区的分析留下了进一步的空间。本书每章提供的政策建议将有助于决策者制定有弹性的能源和环境政策解决方案,并刺激可再生能源发展,促进国家和地区层面的持续经济增长。这本书将对学者、研究人员、政策制定者和金融机构感兴趣,以提高他们对能源安全或不安全、能源经济学、环境、气候变化和可持续发展的认识。
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引用次数: 2
Sachin Chaturvedi, Anita Prakash and Priyadarshi Dash, Asia-Africa Growth Corridor: Development and Cooperation in Indo-Pacific 查图维迪、普拉卡什、达什,《亚非增长走廊:印太地区的发展与合作》
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/26316846211029372
Jay Maniyar
Bhagwati, J. (1987). VERs, quid pro quo FDI and VIEs: Political-economy-theoretic analysis. International Economic Journal, 1, 1–14. Natraj, G., & Sahdev, G. (2019, January 7). RCEP: India must stop being a naysayer. The Hindu Business Line. https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/rcep-indiamust-stop-being-a-naysayer/article25933654.ece Wignaraja, G. (2018, July). What does RCEP mean for insiders and outsiders? The Experience of India and Sri Lanka (ARTNeT Working Paper Series No. 181). ESCAP. UNCTAD (2021). Key statistics and trends in international trade 2020: Trade trends under the COVID-19 pandemic. United Nations Publications.
巴格瓦蒂,J.(1987)。外商直接投资、交换条件外商直接投资与vie:政治经济理论分析。国际经济杂志,1,1 - 14。(2019年1月7日).《RCEP:印度必须停止唱反调》印度教商业路线。https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/rcep-indiamust-stop-being-a-naysayer/article25933654.ece Wignaraja, G.(2018,7月)。RCEP对内部人士和外部人士意味着什么?印度和斯里兰卡的经验(ARTNeT工作文件系列第181号)。亚太经社会。联合国贸易和发展会议(2021)。2020年国际贸易主要统计数据和趋势:2019冠状病毒病大流行下的贸易趋势。联合国出版物。
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引用次数: 1
What Governance Lesson Does Mekong Bear for Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna (GBM) Basin? 湄公河对恒河-雅鲁藏布江-梅克纳河流域的治理有何启示?
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/26316846211038421
N. Ghosh, Sayanangshu Modak
This article talks of the various governance lessons that the Mekong basin bears for the Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna (GBM) basin. It highlights the existing hydropolitical and ecological problems associated with the GBM basin, the reasons for which are attributed to the reductionist colonial engineering paradigm also delineated in this article as ‘arithmetic hydrology’. The transboundary interactions in the GBM to resolve the problems have largely relied on an issue-based, piecemeal, fragmented approach that has further complicated the problems. It is in this context, the article brings in how a cooperative mechanism in the institutional form of the Mekong River Commission (MRC) has been attempting to promote a participative and integrated approach to river basin governance. The article, therefore, talks of some of the replicable practices and learnings that may help in takeaways for the GBM riparians and stakeholders from the Mekong system. JEL Codes: F02, N50, Q01, Q22, Q24, Q25, Q28
本文讨论了湄公河流域对恒河-布拉马普特拉河-梅克纳河(GBM)流域的各种治理经验。它强调了与GBM流域相关的现有水文政治和生态问题,其原因归因于还原论的殖民工程范式,本文也将其描述为“算术水文学”。在“一带一路”机制中解决问题的跨界互动在很大程度上依赖于一种以问题为基础的、零碎的、碎片化的方法,这使问题进一步复杂化。正是在这种背景下,本文介绍了湄公河委员会(MRC)这一机构形式的合作机制是如何试图促进参与式和一体化的流域治理方法的。因此,本文讨论了一些可复制的做法和经验教训,这些做法和经验教训可能有助于从湄公河流域汲取“一带一路”的沿岸者和利益相关者的经验。JEL代码:F02, N50, Q01, Q22, Q24, Q25, Q28
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引用次数: 1
Two Crises Separated by a Decade: Political Economy of Trade Strategy and Reserves Accumulation in East Asia 相隔十年的两次危机:东亚贸易战略的政治经济学与外汇储备积累
Pub Date : 2021-07-28 DOI: 10.1177/26316846211032000
B. Nag, Partha Ray
This article seeks to explore the relationship between the global financial crisis (2007–2009) and the East Asian crisis (1997–1999) via the contribution of select East Asian countries, which led to the formation of the ‘global imbalance’, that is, experience of substantial and consistent current account surplus. Taking a cue from Bernanke’s ‘savings glut’ hypothesis, which has held ‘global imbalance’ to be a factor behind the global financial crisis, specifically, the article argues that in these countries, the nature of current account balance has undergone a sea change since the end of the 1990s. They also accumulated a substantial amount of foreign exchange reserves since then along with a major shift of trade regime and consequent trade surplus in all these countries. The article conjectures that the mishandling of the rescue package by International Monetary Fund could have induced them to go aggressively for accumulation of forex reserves. Thus, the two crises separated by a decade and in different continents are, indeed, linked through providing an incentive for brewing up of global imbalance via an activist trade policy in select East Asian countries. Seen in this context and from this standpoint, the two crises, indeed, appear to be close siblings! JEL Codes: F41, F62, O53
本文旨在探讨全球金融危机(2007-2009)与东亚危机(1997-1999)之间的关系,通过选择东亚国家的贡献,这导致了“全球失衡”的形成,即经历了大量和持续的经常账户盈余。贝南克的“储蓄过剩”假说认为,“全球失衡”是全球金融危机背后的一个因素。文章特别指出,在这些国家,自上世纪90年代末以来,经常账户余额的性质发生了翻天覆地的变化。自那时以来,这些国家还积累了大量的外汇储备,同时贸易制度也发生了重大转变,因此所有这些国家都出现了贸易顺差。文章推测,国际货币基金组织(imf)对纾困方案处理不当,可能促使这些国家大举积累外汇储备。因此,这两次相隔10年、发生在不同大陆的危机,实际上是通过在某些东亚国家采取积极的贸易政策,为酝酿全球失衡提供了动力而联系在一起的。在这种背景下,从这个角度来看,这两个危机确实是亲密的兄弟姐妹!JEL代码:F41, F62, O53
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引用次数: 0
Asian Development Bank (ADB), Asian Development Outlook 2020: What Drives Innovation in Asia? 亚洲开发银行(ADB),《2020年亚洲发展展望:是什么推动了亚洲的创新?》
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684620982127
U. Dhar
development through the labour migration process. In this chapter, they examine the cost-sharing arrangements in place and show how the Skills Mobility Partnership (SMP) approach can help meet the growing demand for labour migration skills. Apart from discussing this arrangement, this chapter also examines future difficulties in implementing the SMP approach, especially in arranging correct partnerships and ensuring the right incentives for different parties. The relevance of new SMPs to Asian economies is also discussed in this chapter. Based on the world economy’s current economic downturn, labour migration in Asia will be positively affected in future years. At this juncture, the report is highly valuable for the policymakers of Asian economies, academicians, researchers, international agencies and students searching for sound knowledge and data support on the labour migration in Asia. This report includes an in-depth analysis of labour migration with demographic assessments, which opens up some prospective areas of future research on effective labour migration management.
通过劳动力迁移过程实现发展。在本章中,他们研究了现有的成本分摊安排,并展示了技能流动伙伴关系(SMP)方法如何帮助满足对劳动力移民技能日益增长的需求。除了讨论这一安排外,本章还探讨了实施SMP方法的未来困难,特别是在安排正确的伙伴关系和确保对不同各方的适当激励方面。本章还讨论了新smp与亚洲经济的相关性。基于当前世界经济的低迷,亚洲的劳动力迁移将在未来几年受到积极影响。在这个关键时刻,该报告对亚洲经济体的政策制定者、学者、研究人员、国际机构和寻求有关亚洲劳动力迁移的可靠知识和数据支持的学生非常有价值。本报告包括对劳动力迁移的深入分析和人口评估,为有效的劳动力迁移管理开辟了一些未来研究的前景领域。
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引用次数: 17
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), The India Myanmar Thailand Trilateral Highway and Its Possible Eastward Extension to Lao PDR, Cambodia and Vietnam: Challenges and Opportunities, Integrative Report. 东盟与东亚经济研究所(ERIA),《印缅泰三边公路及其可能向东延伸至老挝、柬埔寨和越南:挑战与机遇》,综合报告。
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684620982123
F. Kimura, S. Umezaki, A. Prakash
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引用次数: 27
Marc Bacchetta and Matthias Helble. Trade Adjustment in Asia: Past Experiences and Lessons Learned Marc Bacchetta和Matthias Helble。亚洲的贸易调整:过去的经验和教训
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684620988186
A. Jason
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引用次数: 0
Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), and International Labour Organization (ILO), Innovative Approaches for the Management of Labor Migration in Asia. 亚洲开发银行研究所(ADBI)、经济合作与发展组织(OECD)和国际劳工组织(ILO),《亚洲劳工移徙管理的创新方法》。
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684620982126
S. Hazra
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引用次数: 1
Critical Success Factors for Data Governance of Cross-border e-Trade Data Among ASEAN Member States 东盟成员国跨境电子贸易数据治理的关键成功因素
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/2631684620985653
C. Jones
Global trading partners continue to adopt increasingly more multilateral and regional trade agreements amidst an overwhelmingly paperless and digital landscape. This can create useful trade alliances and increased efficiencies of digitization, but world trade is still plagued by the near absence of a uniform, harmonised customs and clearance protocol systems which trading partners accept and adhere to. Historically, customs forms and documentation requirements all differ from one nation to the next, and from one trading bloc to another. Un-uniformity in this area thwarts swift and cost-saving exchange of goods. The EU, North America and the northern Asian nations of Japan, China and South Korea have created various constructs to rectify digital trade dissonance. Southeast Asia famously began construction of the ASW (ASEAN Single Window), a single portal protocol intended to harmonise digital trading throughout the process from origin to destination, and its various successes and continuing challenges will be explored in this article. This research article focuses on and explores critical success factors for better governance of cross-border trade in the ASEAN region by conducting a systematic literature review of data governance related to electronic data exchanges by cross-border trading partners. This study uses a realistic approach while attempting to provide a clear view of the overarching picture of the trade world’s digital exchange challenges.
在无纸化和数字化的大环境下,全球贸易伙伴继续采用越来越多的多边和区域贸易协定。这可以创建有用的贸易联盟,提高数字化的效率,但世界贸易仍然受到几乎缺乏贸易伙伴接受和遵守的统一、协调的海关和清关协议体系的困扰。从历史上看,海关表格和文件要求都因国家而异,也因贸易集团而异。这方面的不统一阻碍了货物交换的迅速和节省成本。欧盟、北美以及日本、中国和韩国等北亚国家已经创建了各种结构来纠正数字贸易失衡。众所周知,东南亚开始建设ASW(东盟单一窗口),这是一个单一的门户协议,旨在协调从原产地到目的地的整个过程中的数字交易,本文将探讨其各种成功和持续的挑战。本文通过对跨境贸易伙伴电子数据交换相关的数据治理进行系统的文献综述,关注并探讨了东盟地区跨境贸易更好治理的关键成功因素。本研究采用了一种现实的方法,同时试图为贸易世界的数字交换挑战提供一个清晰的总体视图。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Asian Economic Integration
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