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Bridging Bytes and Behaviors: Unraveling the Multifaceted Interplay of Technology and Employee Dynamics Over Time Through Text-mining and Systematic Literature Review 连接字节与行为:通过文本挖掘和系统性文献综述,揭示技术与员工动态随时间推移而产生的多方面相互作用
Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.20294/jgbt.2024.20.1.57
P. p
Purpose - The study is conducted to explore the complex relationship between technological integration and its consequences for employees, examining the multifaceted impacts of advanced technologies on organizational operations and workforce dynamics over the past four decades. Design/Methodology/Approach - To accomplish this, the study employs a robust approach involving rigorous text-mining analysis and a systematic literature review encompassing a vast dataset of 7,000 articles published from 1983 to 2022. This methodology is meticulously designed to discern the evolution of technology-related research by tracing prevalent topics and keywords throughout the extensive literature corpus. Findings - The study's findings indicate mixed effects of technology on employee parameters. While technology integration can lead to negative impacts such as increased turnover intention, anxiety, and health issues, recent literature also points to a paradigm shift, highlighting the contrast between technology-mediated and traditional face-to-face interactions. Research Implications - Organizations should consider the dual nature of technology's impact on the workforce. There is a critical need for integrating technology in a way that boosts productivity while also prioritizing employee well-being. The study suggests that redefining work-life dynamics is essential to maintain a harmonious balance in the increasingly digitalized workplace. The findings lay the groundwork for future research on understanding the complex effects of technology in organizational settings.
目的--本研究旨在探讨技术整合及其对员工的影响之间的复杂关系,研究过去四十年来先进技术对组织运营和员工动态的多方面影响。设计/方法/途径--为了实现这一目标,本研究采用了一种强有力的方法,包括严格的文本挖掘分析和系统的文献综述,涵盖了从 1983 年到 2022 年发表的 7000 篇文章的庞大数据集。这种方法经过精心设计,可以通过追踪大量文献中的流行主题和关键词来发现技术相关研究的演变过程。研究结果 - 研究结果表明,技术对员工参数的影响好坏参半。虽然技术整合会导致离职意向增加、焦虑和健康问题等负面影响,但最近的文献也指出了范式的转变,强调了以技术为媒介的互动与传统的面对面互动之间的对比。研究意义--组织应考虑技术对劳动力的双重影响。亟需以一种既能提高生产力,又能优先考虑员工福祉的方式整合技术。研究表明,重新定义工作与生活的动态关系对于在日益数字化的工作场所保持和谐平衡至关重要。研究结果为今后了解技术在组织环境中的复杂影响奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Cultural Intermediaries: How Local Experts Shape the Financial Performance of Foreign Cultural Products 文化中介:本地专家如何塑造外国文化产品的财务业绩
Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.20294/jgbt.2024.20.1.143
P. p
Purpose - This study examines the pivotal role of local expert reviewers in the financial success of imported foreign films (Hollywood movies) within the Chinese market. It integrates signaling theory and gatekeeping scholarship to examine how these intermediaries reduce mainstream uncertainty. We hypothesize local expert reviewers to better grasp spaces for resonance between imported films and local preferences compared to foreign critics. Moreover, we examine the moderating roles of films attributes such as production scale, prestigious awards, and local adaptation strategies. Design/Methodology/Approach - We test hypothesized relationships and contingencies via OLS regressions on box office performance spanning 500 top-grossing Hollywood studio imports in China from 2000 2017 with data from multiple sources. Findings - The OLS regressions reveal that local expert reviewers significantly influence cross-border film success, with the impact moderated by production budgets and awards, but potentially diminished by cultural adaptation. Research Implications - Our study unpacks market drivers and product-level contingencies around imported creative products amidst mainstream uncertainty. The findings contribute to international business literature and cultural business by showcasing the nuanced impact of local cultural intermediaries on the financial performance of foreign cultural products. This research underscores the importance of local expert opinions in navigating the complex landscape of global content distribution and consumption, offering valuable insights for content creators and marketers aiming to optimize the global reach of products.
目的--本研究探讨了本土专家影评人在进口外国电影(好莱坞电影)在中国市场取得成功的过程中所发挥的关键作用。研究结合信号传递理论和把关学术研究,探讨这些中介机构如何减少主流不确定性。我们假设,与外国影评人相比,本土专家影评人能更好地把握进口影片与本土偏好之间的共鸣空间。此外,我们还研究了电影属性(如制作规模、著名奖项和本土改编策略)的调节作用。设计/方法/途径 - 我们利用多种来源的数据,通过对 2000 年至 2017 年期间好莱坞 500 部票房最高的进口片在中国的票房表现进行 OLS 回归,检验假设的关系和或然性。研究结果 - OLS 回归结果表明,本地专家影评人对跨境电影的成功有显著影响,其影响受制作预算和奖项的调节,但可能因文化适应而减弱。研究意义 - 我们的研究揭示了在主流不确定的情况下,进口创意产品的市场驱动力和产品层面的偶然性。研究结果展示了当地文化中介机构对外国文化产品财务表现的细微影响,为国际商业文献和文化商业做出了贡献。这项研究强调了本地专家意见在驾驭全球内容发行和消费的复杂局面中的重要性,为旨在优化产品全球影响力的内容创作者和营销人员提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Human Resources in the Financial Performance of the Lodging Industry: Evidence Based on Financial Accounting Numbers in Korea 人力资源在住宿业财务绩效中的作用:基于韩国财务会计数字的证据
Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.20294/jgbt.2024.20.1.125
P. p
Purpose - This study investigates the role of human resource investment in the tourist accommodation sector of Korea. Specifically, it aims to explore the impact of human resource investment, particularly through employee education and training, on both the short-term and long-term financial performance within the Korean lodging industry. Design/Methodology/Approach - Utilizing data f rom private firms for 2011-2020, the study examines how financial performance, including sales growth, is related to expenditures on education, training, and benefits as proxies for human resource investment. The research primarily employs a series of multivariate regression analyses. Findings - The findings reveal that human resource investment itself does not affect short-term financial performance, but complements and supports financial outcomes of capital expenditure (PPE investment). However, the sales-based performance attributable to human resource investment becomes apparent within two years, and the supporting effect on financial performance generated due to capital expenditure still holds. Additionally, these results are significant for large-sized firms, but not for those small. Research Implications - Overall, human resource i nvestment plays a critical role i n fi rm performance by serving as a key factor in managing company resources efficiently. This study highlights the need for the simultaneous periodic management of capital- and human resources. Furthermore, this study sheds light on the role of human resource investment in the lodging industry by providing empirical results based on financial accounting numbers, an aspect that has not previously been extensively considered.
目的--本研究探讨了人力资源投资在韩国旅游住宿业中的作用。具体而言,本研究旨在探讨人力资源投资,特别是通过员工教育和培训,对韩国住宿业短期和长期财务业绩的影响。设计/方法/途径 - 利用私营企业 2011-2020 年的数据,本研究探讨了财务业绩(包括销售增长)与教育、培训和福利支出(作为人力资源投资的代理变量)之间的关系。研究主要采用了一系列多元回归分析。研究结果 - 研究结果表明,人力资源投资本身并不影响短期财务业绩,而是对资本支出(PPE 投资)财务成果的补充和支持。但是,人力资源投资对销售业绩的影响在两年内就会显现出来,而资本支出对财务业绩的支持作用仍然存在。此外,这些结果对大型企业显著,但对小型企业不显著。研究意义 - 总体而言,人力资源投资是有效管理公司资源的关键因素,对公司业绩起着至关重要的作用。本研究强调了同时定期管理资本和人力资源的必要性。此外,本研究还通过提供基于财务会计数字的实证结果,揭示了人力资源投资在住宿业中的作用,而这一点此前并未得到广泛考虑。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Green Innovation Performance in Mediating the Influence of Green Organizational Culture on Green Competitive Advantage 绿色创新绩效在绿色组织文化对绿色竞争优势影响中的中介作用
Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.20294/jgbt.2024.20.1.1
O. p, O. o
Purpose - A society that cares about environmentally friendly products demands companies have a green competitive advantage through the application of the principles of Reuse, Reduce, and Recycle. The purpose of this research is to examine and analyze the influence of green organizational culture (GOC) on green innovation performance (GIP) and green competitive advantage (GCA). Design/Methodology/Approach - The study collected data from 314 manufacturing companies that are members of Proper (Environmental Performance Rating Program) on Java Island. Data collection was conducted through online and offline surveys using questionnaires that measured each research variable. Structural equation modelling with SEM PLS software were applied to analyze the data. Findings - The findings of this paper indicate that green organizational culture has a positive influence on green innovation performance. GOC also positively influences GCA, and GIP fully mediates the relationship between GOC and GCA. Research Implications - This research contributes to existing literature on GOC, GIP, and GCA, taking into account environmental issues, which have been empirically understudied, especially in manufacturing companies that are members of Proper. Furthermore, this research also explores green innovation performance as a mediator, which has been relatively unexplored in previous studies. However, this research has several limitations, including the dominance of blue-rated Proper participant companies in the sample, as most questionnaires were distributed during the blue certificate awarding moments. Additionally, the sample size per province was uneven, with the majority of participant companies located in the province of West Java.
目的--关注环保产品的社会要求企业通过应用 "重复使用"、"减少用量 "和 "循环利用 "原则来获得绿色竞争优势。本研究旨在考察和分析绿色组织文化(GOC)对绿色创新绩效(GIP)和绿色竞争优势(GCA)的影响。设计/方法/途径--本研究从爪哇岛上的 Proper(环境绩效评级计划)成员中收集了 314 家制造企业的数据。数据收集是通过在线和离线调查的方式进行的,使用的问卷测量了每个研究变量。采用 SEM PLS 软件的结构方程模型对数据进行分析。研究结果 - 本文的研究结果表明,绿色组织文化对绿色创新绩效有积极影响。绿色组织文化也对绿色创新绩效产生积极影响,而绿色创新绩效完全介导了绿色组织文化与绿色创新绩效之间的关系。研究意义 - 本研究为现有关于 GOC、GIP 和 GCA 的文献做出了贡献,同时考虑到了环境问题,而这些问题在实证研究方面一直不足,尤其是在作为 Proper 成员的制造企业中。此外,本研究还探讨了作为中介因素的绿色创新绩效,这在以往的研究中相对较少。不过,本研究也存在一些局限性,包括样本中蓝色评级的 Proper 参与企业占多数,因为大多数问卷都是在蓝色证书颁发期间发放的。此外,各省的样本量不均衡,大部分参与公司位于西爪哇省。
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引用次数: 0
The Benefits of Cross-Border Corporate Venture Capital Investment on the Likelihood of a Venture Firm’’s IPO 跨境企业风险投资对风险企业首次公开募股可能性的影响
Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.20294/jgbt.2024.20.1.107
P. p
Purpose - Extant research indicates that CVC investments create value for venture firms and generally enhance the likelihood of a successful venture exit. In particular, despite the globalization of CVC investments, the impact on venture firm exit performance has been largely overlooked. Thus, this study explores the impact of cross-border CVC investments on the likelihood of a venture firm’s IPO. We argue that the foreignness of CVCs increases the likelihood of IPO, but this positive relationship is weakened when CVC units have a tight structure. Design/Methodology/Approach - The hypotheses are tested with 1,874 high-technology venture firms in the U.S. that received CVC investments between 1994 and 2009. A two-stage analysis was employed to address potential selection bias. In the first stage, we employed a probit model to predict the probability of receiving cross-border CVC investment. In the second stage, we conducted a probit regression analysis on the likelihood of IPO, incorporating the inverse Mills ratio to address selection bias. Findings - We found that the foreignness of CVCs increases the likelihood of a venture firm’s IPO. However, this positive impact is weakened when CVCs have a tight governance structure. Research Implications - This study highlights the benefits of cross-border CVC investments and enriches resource dependence theory by reconciling it with institutional theory, depicting the importance of both reducing resource constraints to create value for venture firms and the institutional logic pursued by CVCs. This study suggests that entrepreneurs should be careful with CVC units that prioritize strategic objectives.
目的--现有研究表明,风险投资为风险企业创造了价值,并普遍提高了风险企业成功退出的可能性。特别是,尽管 CVC 投资已经全球化,但其对风险企业退出绩效的影响却在很大程度上被忽视了。因此,本研究探讨了跨境 CVC 投资对风险企业上市可能性的影响。我们认为,CVC的外资性会增加企业IPO的可能性,但当CVC单位结构紧密时,这种正向关系会被削弱。设计/方法/途径--我们利用 1994 年至 2009 年间接受 CVC 投资的 1874 家美国高科技风险企业对假设进行了检验。为解决潜在的选择偏差问题,我们采用了两阶段分析法。在第一阶段,我们采用 probit 模型来预测获得跨境 CVC 投资的概率。在第二阶段,我们对首次公开募股的可能性进行了概率回归分析,并纳入了反米尔斯比率以解决选择偏差问题。研究结果--我们发现,CVC 的外国投资增加了风险企业 IPO 的可能性。然而,当 CVC 拥有严密的治理结构时,这种积极影响就会减弱。研究意义--本研究强调了跨国 CVC 投资的益处,并通过将资源依赖理论与制度理论相协调,丰富了资源依赖理论的内涵,刻画了减少资源限制为风险企业创造价值的重要性以及 CVC 所追求的制度逻辑。本研究表明,创业者应谨慎对待以战略目标为优先的 CVC 单位。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Competitiveness in the Domestic Semiconductor Cluster Using Entropy Technique: Based on the GEM-ESG Model 利用熵技术分析国内半导体产业集群的竞争力:基于 GEM-ESG 模型
Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.20294/jgbt.2024.20.1.81
P. p
Purpose - The study aims to conduct an empirical analysis of semiconductor cluster integrated competitiveness with a focus on the GEM-ESG model. Specifically, the study seeks to compare and analyze the development factors of semiconductor clusters in different regions. The results of the empirical study will reveal a clear concentration phenomenon in the semiconductor industry clusters of some regions. Design/Methodology/Approach - Previous research has established the factors influencing the competitive advantage of industrial clusters. The study collected competitive indicators from major South Korean cities and regions, incorporating these into the GEM model, and exploring ESG indicators relevant to the semiconductor industry. The study utilized Entropy Technique analysis to empirically assess the competitiveness of the South Korean semiconductor cluster and conduct comparative testing of the research findings. Findings - The results revealed a concentration phenomenon in the semiconductor industry clusters of Yongin and Chungbuk Province. Additionally, the study highlighted the importance of factors such as “groundings (G)”, “enterprise management (E)”, “market conditions (M)”, and ESG practices in determining competitiveness. Research Implications - Through empirical analyses, the study emphasizes the significance of GEM and ESG factors in the analysis of industrial clusters, particularly in contributing to long-term sustainability and competitive advantage focusing on the collaboration and alignment of ESG values.
目的--本研究旨在以 GEM-ESG 模型为重点,对半导体产业集群的综合竞争力进行实证分析。具体而言,本研究试图比较和分析不同地区半导体产业集群的发展因素。实证研究的结果将揭示部分地区半导体产业集群的明显集聚现象。设计/方法/途径 - 以往的研究已经确定了产业集群竞争优势的影响因素。本研究收集了韩国主要城市和地区的竞争指标,将这些指标纳入 GEM 模型,并探索与半导体产业相关的 ESG 指标。研究利用熵技术分析对韩国半导体产业集群的竞争力进行了实证评估,并对研究结果进行了比较测试。研究结果 - 研究结果显示了龙仁市和忠北道半导体产业集群的集中现象。此外,研究还强调了 "基础(G)"、"企业管理(E)"、"市场条件(M)"和 ESG 实践等因素在决定竞争力方面的重要性。研究意义 - 通过实证分析,本研究强调了 GEM 和 ESG 因素在产业集群分析中的重要性,尤其是在促进长期可持续性和竞争优势方面,重点关注 ESG 价值观的合作与协调。
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引用次数: 0
An Impact Assessment of the European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) on the Korean Economy: A CGE Approach 欧洲碳边界调整机制(CBAM)对韩国经济的影响评估:CGE 方法
Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.20294/jgbt.2024.20.1.163
F. f
Purpose - This paper investigates the economic impact of the European Union Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (EU-CBAM) on Korea’s economy. Design/Methodology/Approach - The study employs the input-output model and Global Trade Analysis Project-Energy (GTAP-E) model by McDougal and Golub (2007), along with the GTAP-E version 10.1 Data Base developed by Aguiar et al. (2019). The input-output model estimates the carbon emissions of Korea’s exports to the EU27, evaluating potential carbon costs and a carbon tax (measured in US dollars per ton of emissions). Utilizing the static GTAP-E model, three policy scenarios are implemented, focusing on direct carbon emissions (Scope 1), emissions from electricity usage (Scope 2), and indirect emissions (Scope 3). Findings - Simulation outcomes reveal significant contractions in CBAM-related sectors of the Korean economy, with a decline in iron and steel production (US$ 68.00 million) and electronic industries (US$ 39.16 million). Korea’s export reductions to the EU27 in CBAM-affected sectors (iron and steel, cement, aluminum) indicate a subtle impact extending to the energy, energy-intensive, and services sectors. Research Implications - This paper provides valuable insights to policymakers and entrepreneurs in navigating the challenges and opportunities arising from the interlinkage of environmental policies and global trade dynamism. The analysis contributes to discerning perspectives essential for informed decision-making amid the complex interplay of regulatory frameworks and international trade dynamics.
目的--本文探讨了欧盟碳边境调整机制(EU-CBAM)对韩国经济的影响。设计/方法/途径 - 本研究采用了 McDougal 和 Golub(2007 年)的投入产出模型和全球贸易分析项目-能源(GTAP-E)模型,以及 Aguiar 等人(2019 年)开发的 GTAP-E 10.1 版数据库。该投入产出模型估算了韩国对欧盟 27 国出口的碳排放量,评估了潜在的碳成本和碳税(以每吨排放量美元计算)。利用静态 GTAP-E 模型,实施了三种政策方案,重点关注直接碳排放(范围 1)、用电排放(范围 2)和间接排放(范围 3)。研究结果 - 模拟结果显示,韩国经济中与 CBAM 相关的部门大幅萎缩,钢铁生产(6800 万美元)和电子工业(3916 万美元)出现下降。韩国受 CBAM 影响的行业(钢铁、水泥、铝)对欧盟 27 国的出口减少表明,微妙的影响延伸至能源、能源密集型和服务行业。研究意义--本文为政策制定者和企业家提供了宝贵的见解,帮助他们应对环境政策与全球贸易活力相互联系所带来的挑战和机遇。分析有助于在监管框架和国际贸易动态的复杂相互作用中辨别出做出明智决策所必需的观点。
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引用次数: 0
Factors Affecting the Digital Readiness and Adoption of Digital Marketing of Vegetable Farmers in CALABARZON, Philippines 影响菲律宾卡拉巴松省蔬菜种植者数字营销准备和采用的因素
Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.20294/jgbt.2024.20.1.17
P. p
Purpose - The paper analyzed the factors affecting the digital readiness and adoption of digital marketing by vegetable farmers in CALABARZON, Philippines. It assessed knowledge on different digital marketing technologies, evaluated access to and use of digital devices and marketing platform, and determined the cost of digital marketing adoption. Design/Methodology/Approach - A total of 773 vegetable farmers were selected using disproportionate stratified random sampling, and then personally interviewed. Adapting the methodologies of Horrigan (2016) and Roberts and Hernandez (2019), farmers were categorized based on digital readiness. Correlation and Probit analyses were performed to determine the factors affecting digital readiness and adoption of digital marketing. Findings - Results revealed the following: unprepared (0.33%), traditional (14.49%), reluctant (25.00%), cautious clickers (53.33%), and digitally ready (6.85%). Only 14 percent were digital platform users; the most common gadget used was mobile phone, and while home Wi-Fi and cellular data were the most popular connections, they were still unstable. Adoption of digital marketing lessened vegetable marketing cost. Those single with a higher level of education, household income, and larger household had higher digital readiness level. Digital marketing adoption was positively affected by level of education and digital readiness, but the cost of adoption had negative effect. Research Implications - The results suggest the implementation of location- and readiness level-specific training and digital literacy programs; improvement of Internet infrastructure in major producing areas; and the provision of institutional support to prevent scam and fraudulent transactions to enhance the digital readiness and adoption of digital marketing by farmers.
目的--本文分析了影响菲律宾卡拉巴松(CALABARZON)菜农数字营销准备和采用的因素。它评估了对不同数字营销技术的了解程度,评估了数字设备和营销平台的获取和使用情况,并确定了采用数字营销的成本。设计/方法/途径 - 采用不成比例分层随机抽样法,共抽取了 773 位菜农,然后对他们进行了访谈。借鉴 Horrigan(2016 年)和 Roberts 与 Hernandez(2019 年)的方法,根据数字化准备程度对农民进行分类。通过相关分析和 Probit 分析,确定了影响数字化准备程度和采用数字营销的因素。研究结果 - 结果显示:无准备(0.33%)、传统(14.49%)、不情愿(25.00%)、谨慎点击(53.33%)和数字准备就绪(6.85%)。只有 14% 是数字平台用户;最常用的工具是手机,虽然家庭 Wi-Fi 和蜂窝数据是最常用的连接方式,但仍不稳定。采用数字营销降低了蔬菜营销成本。教育程度、家庭收入和家庭人口较多的单身男女的数字化准备程度较高。教育水平和数字化准备程度对数字化营销的采用有积极影响,但采用成本有消极影响。研究意义 - 研究结果表明,应实施针对不同地区和不同准备程度的培训和数字扫盲计划;改善主要产区的互联网基础设施;提供制度支持以防止欺诈和虚假交易,从而提高农民的数字准备程度和数字营销的采用率。
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引用次数: 0
An Empirical Study of the Impact of Three Shipping Freight Rate Indices on Shipping Company Stock Prices 三种航运运费指数对航运公司股票价格影响的实证研究
Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.20294/jgbt.2024.20.1.35
P. p
Purpose - In this study, stock data of shipping companies were selected from three countries, USA, China, and Korea, to investigate the impact of fluctuations in different shipping freight indices on shipping company stock prices. Design/Methodology/Approach - Johansen cointegration tests were used in this study to look at the longrun equilibrium relationships between shipping freight indices and the stock prices of shipping companies. Next, the short-term adjustment effect of different shipping freight indices on shipping company stock prices was analyzed by establishing a VECM model. Finally, the responses of shipping company stock prices to shocks from different shipping freight indices were analyzed by forecast error variance and impulse response functions based on the VECM model. Findings - The cointegration test demonstrated a long-run equilibrium relationship between each shipping company’s stock price and the three shipping freight indices (BDI, BDTI, SCFI). The results of IRF and forecast error variance decomposition showed that the response of shipping company stock prices to shocks from the SCFI is weak compared to the shocks from the BDI and BDTI. The BDI has the same explanatory power for the forecast error variance of HMM and MATX, and the shocks from the BDTI contributed the most to explaining the forecast variance error of COSCO_SH. Research Implications - The analysis findings of this research are meant to give investors within the market certain reference information to reduce investment risks.
目的 - 本研究选取了美国、中国和韩国三个国家的航运公司股票数据,研究不同航运运费指数的波动对航运公司股票价格的影响。设计/方法/途径 - 本研究采用 Johansen 协整检验来考察航运运费指数与航运公司股票价格之间的长期均衡关系。接着,通过建立 VECM 模型,分析了不同航运运费指数对航运公司股票价格的短期调整效应。最后,在 VECM 模型的基础上,通过预测误差方差和脉冲响应函数分析了航运公司股票价格对不同航运运费指数冲击的响应。研究结果 - 协整检验表明,各航运公司股价与三个航运运费指数(BDI、BDTI、SCFI)之间存在长期均衡关系。IRF 和预测误差方差分解的结果表明,与 BDI 和 BDTI 的冲击相比,航运公司股票价格对 SCFI 冲击的反应较弱。BDI 对 HMM 和 MATX 预测误差方差的解释力相同,BDTI 的冲击对中远海运_SH 预测方差误差的解释力最大。研究意义 - 本研究的分析结果旨在为市场内的投资者提供一定的参考信息,以降低投资风险。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of International Trade on the Share Prices of the Industrial Bank of Korea Using Stochastic Prediction Modeling 利用随机预测模型研究国际贸易对韩国产业银行股价的影响
Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.20294/jgbt.2023.19.4.90
Farooq Dar Gulbadin, Young-Hyo Ahn, Farooq Dar Qaiser, Jin-Hee Ma
Purpose – The share price of any financial institution fluctuates due to various hidden and visible factors. Predicting share price behavior in the economy and financial marketing theory is crucial but complex. The Industrial Bank of Korea’s (IBK) share prices are also affected by hidden factors, including Korean international trade flow. The study aims to forecast hidden impacts on IBK share prices resulting from the international trade flow in Korea. Design/Methodology/Approach – Two Hidden Markov Model (HMM) approaches are employed, one based on exports, and the other on imports, to identify trends and fluctuations in the hidden states influencing visible states. Findings – The findings reveal a significant positive correlation between IBK share prices and both exports and imports. Notably, increasing exports indicate a 50% probability of IBK share prices rising, while falling imports indicate a 56% chance of IBK share prices increasing. These results demonstrate how changes in exports and imports impact IBK’s share price in the Korean stock market. Research Implications – The research implications are valuable for short- and long-term investors in IBK shares and the Korean stock exchange. This research can help decision-makers identify the relationships between and within the visible/observed states that influence the stock price of IBK.
目的——任何金融机构的股价都会受到各种隐性和显性因素的影响而波动。在经济和金融市场理论中,预测股价行为至关重要,但也很复杂。企业银行股价也受到韩国对外贸易流量等隐性因素的影响。该研究的目的是预测韩国国际贸易流动对企业银行股价的潜在影响。设计/方法/方法-采用两种隐马尔可夫模型(HMM)方法,一种基于出口,另一种基于进口,以确定影响可见状态的隐藏状态的趋势和波动。研究结果:研究结果显示,企业银行股价与出口和进口之间存在显著的正相关关系。特别是,如果出口增加,企业银行股价上涨的可能性为50%,如果进口减少,企业银行股价上涨的可能性为56%。这一结果表明,在韩国股市上,出口和进口的变化如何影响企业银行的股价。▽研究结果=该研究结果对企业银行股票和证券交易所的短期和长期投资者都是有价值的。本研究可以帮助决策者识别影响IBK股价的可见/观察状态之间和内部的关系。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Academy of Global Business and Trade
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