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Structural evolution of the Instekleppane, Lützow-Holm Complex: Deformation patterns in high-grade zones of east Antarctica Instekleppane、l<s:1> zow- holm杂岩的构造演化:东南极洲高等级带的变形模式
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2025.101249
Lakshmanan Sreehari , Tatsuro Adachi , Yuki Mori , Tomokazu Hokada
This research marks the first comprehensive structural analysis of the Instekleppane outcrop, located in the western part of the Lützow-Holm Complex (LHC), a Neoproterozoic-Cambrian high-grade metamorphic terrane, East Antarctica. The ∼1 km2 outcrop, situated southwest of Syowa Station and east of Shirase Glacier, was investigated as part of the 65th Japanese Antarctic Research Expedition (JARE-65). The lithological assemblage includes felsic orthopyroxene-biotite gneiss, garnet-bearing felsic granulite, Mg-Al-rich gneiss, mafic hornblende-orthopyroxene-clinopyroxene granulite, ultramafic rocks, and minor granitic intrusions. Six stages of deformation (D0–D5) were identified, of which four (D0 to D3) are considered as major events. D0 corresponds to the development of primary sedimentary or magmatic layering and D1 corresponds to initial foliation development. While D2 is characterized by earlier layer parallel stretching and the formation of B21 mafic boudins followed by two folding phases: F21 (recumbent, isoclinal, intrafolial folds) and F22 (overturned folds), both with E–W trending axial planes. D3 is marked by upright to plunging open folds (F3) with NW–SE axial planes. D4 corresponds to reverse shear zones, and D5 involves strike-slip shear zones. The deformation history at the Instekleppane shares similarities with nearby high-grade terranes such as Rundvågshetta and Langhovde, suggest a regionally consistent ductile deformation history within the LHC during its tectonic evolution.
该研究首次对南极东部新元古代-寒武纪高变质地体l佐-霍姆杂岩(LHC)西部的Instekleppane露头进行了全面的构造分析。约1平方公里的露头,位于Syowa站西南和Shirase冰川以东,是第65次日本南极研究考察队(JARE-65)的一部分。岩性组合包括长英质正辉石-黑云母片麻岩、含石榴石的长英质麻粒岩、富镁铝片麻岩、基性角闪石-正辉石-斜辉石麻粒岩、超镁质岩和少量花岗质侵入岩。确定了6个阶段(D0 - d5)的变形,其中4个阶段(D0 - D3)被认为是主要事件。D0为原生沉积或岩浆层理发育,D1为初始层理发育。D2发育较早的层平行拉伸,形成B21基性界面,随后形成2个褶皱阶段:F21(平卧、等斜、纹内褶皱)和F22(倒转褶皱),均为E-W向轴面。D3为垂直至下陷的开放褶皱(F3),轴向面为NW-SE。D4为逆剪切带,D5为走滑剪切带。Instekleppane的变形历史与附近的rundv gshetta和Langhovde等高等级地体具有相似性,表明LHC在构造演化过程中具有区域一致的韧性变形历史。
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引用次数: 0
Metal speciation in the surface sediments of an Arctic fjord and nearby lakes 北极峡湾和附近湖泊表层沉积物中的金属形态
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2025.101259
Aswathy Shaji , Anu Gopinath , Midhun Shah Hussain , Sabu Prabhakaran , K. Anoop Krishnan
This study focuses on the speciation of metals (Cr, Mn, Fe, Ni, Cu, Zn) in the surface sediments collected from Arctic fjords and lakes as part of the India Expedition to Arctic during the years 2018 and 2019. The speciation studies were performed focusing on five fractions, namely, exchangeable, bound to carbonates, bound to Fe-Mn oxides, bound to organic matter and residual metal. The sedimentary characteristics like pH, TOC and elemental concentrations were also studied to understand the role of these parameters in affecting the metal distribution in different fraction within the sediments. Different risk indices like, Risk Assessment Code (RAC), modified RAC, Individual Contamination Factor (ICF) and Global Contamination Factor (GCF) were also evaluated to find out the threats posed by these contaminates in this pristine environment. The various risk assessment of the metals under study reveals the presence of a low to moderate contamination prevailing in the system.
本研究的重点是2018年和2019年印度北极探险期间从北极峡湾和湖泊收集的表面沉积物中金属(Cr, Mn, Fe, Ni, Cu, Zn)的形态。物种形成研究集中在五个部分,即交换性,与碳酸盐结合,与铁锰氧化物结合,与有机物和残余金属结合。研究了pH、TOC和元素浓度等沉积特征,了解了这些参数对沉积物中不同组分金属分布的影响。评估了不同的风险指标,如风险评估代码(RAC)、修正RAC、个体污染因子(ICF)和整体污染因子(GCF),以找出这些污染物对原始环境的威胁。对所研究的金属进行的各种风险评估显示,系统中普遍存在低至中度污染。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of early sea ice melting on the autumn microplankton community of the Pacific Arctic Ocean 早期海冰融化对太平洋北冰洋秋季浮游生物群落的影响
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2025.101255
Kohei Sumiya , Dai Sumiyoshi , Kazutoshi Sato , Akihiko Murata , Shigeto Nishino , Kohei Matsuno
Sea ice in the Pacific Arctic Ocean has been rapidly decreasing over recent decades. However, knowledge of its effects on microplankton is limited. To elucidate the effect of sea ice reduction on the microplankton community of the Pacific Arctic Ocean, we examined the differences in the microplankton community and hydrography between 2019 and 2020. Based on the cluster analysis, the microplankton community was divided into six groups. In the southern Chukchi Sea, high cell densities were observed with high variability in group occurrence owing to the inflow of nutrient-rich Pacific water. In the northern Chukchi Sea, a 1-month inter-annual difference in sea ice melting timing induced changes in the microplankton community through hydrographical changes. Early sea ice melting stimulates the growth of phytoplankton species (Proboscia alata), which can utilize organic nitrogen compounds. In the marginal ice zone, a 10-day inter-annual difference in sea ice melting was observed, resulting in variations in hydrographic conditions; however, these changes did not affect the microplankton community. Our findings indicate that microplankton production and diversity respond differently to sea ice melting in varies by region in the Pacific Arctic Ocean.
近几十年来,太平洋和北冰洋的海冰一直在迅速减少。然而,人们对其对微型浮游生物的影响知之甚少。为了阐明海冰减少对太平洋北冰洋微浮游生物群落的影响,研究了2019年和2020年太平洋北冰洋微浮游生物群落和水文特征的差异。通过聚类分析,将微浮游生物群落划分为6个类群。在楚科奇海南部,由于营养丰富的太平洋海水的流入,观察到高细胞密度和高群体发生率。楚科奇海北部1个月的海冰融化时间年际差异通过水文变化引起了浮游生物群落的变化。早期的海冰融化刺激了浮游植物物种(Proboscia alata)的生长,它们可以利用有机氮化合物。在边缘冰区,海冰融化的年际差异为10 d,导致水文条件的变化;然而,这些变化并没有影响到浮游生物群落。研究结果表明,太平洋北冰洋不同区域的浮游生物产量和多样性对海冰融化的响应不同。
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引用次数: 0
High-grade metamorphic rocks in Instekleppane, Lützow-Holm Complex, east Antarctica: A potential new locality of ultrahigh-temperature (UHT) metamorphic rocks 南极洲东部l<s:1> zow- holm杂岩Instekleppane的高品位变质岩:一个潜在的超高温变质岩新址
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2025.101263
Tatsuro Adachi , Lakshmanan Sreehari , Yuki Mori , Tomokazu Hokada
The first comprehensive multi-day geological survey was conducted at Instekleppane in the southern part of the Lützow-Holm Complex, East Antarctica, by the 65th Japanese Antarctic Research Expedition (JARE65). This exposure is predominantly composed of felsic orthopyroxene-biotite gneiss, leucocratic garnet-biotite gneiss, granitic biotite gneiss, and felsic garnet-orthopyroxene-biotite gneiss with intercalations of mafic granulites, meta-ultramafic rocks, and Mg–Al-rich rocks. Several Mg–Al-rich rocks, such as sapphirine-cordierite-biotite gneiss and garnet-sapphirine-orthopyroxene-cordierite gneiss, have reaction textures indicating decompression under ultrahigh-temperature (UHT) conditions. Similar lithological relations and metamorphic signatures have been reported from Rundvågshetta, suggesting a possible geological linkage between these exposures.
第65次日本南极研究考察队(JARE65)在东南极洲l佐-霍尔姆复合体南部的Instekleppane进行了第一次为期数天的综合地质调查。该出露主要由长英质正辉长岩-黑云母片麻岩、白晶质石榴石-黑云母片麻岩、花岗质黑云母片麻岩和长英质石榴石-正辉长辉长岩-黑云母片麻岩组成,其间嵌有基性麻粒岩、超镁铁质岩和富镁铝岩。一些富镁铝的岩石,如蓝宝石-堇青石-黑云母片麻岩和石榴石-蓝宝石-正辉石-堇青石片麻岩,具有反应结构,表明在超高温(UHT)条件下减压。类似的岩性关系和变质特征在rundv gshetta也有报道,表明这些暴露物之间可能存在地质联系。
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引用次数: 0
Isotope (δ18O, δ2H) signature of river and plume waters: Residence time of summer Siberian river runoff on the East Arctic shelf 河流和羽流的同位素(δ18O, δ2H)特征:夏季西伯利亚河径流在东北极陆架的停留时间
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2025.101250
E.O. Dubinina , Ju.N. Chizhova
The isotope (δ18O and δ2H) variations in river waters are averaged in the river plume zones during their residence at the Arctic shelf. We demonstrate that the residence time (τ) of river waters on the Arctic shelf can be estimated using the sinusoidal modelling of stable isotope (δ18О, δ2H) composition of the freshwater component (FC) in river plumes. The plume zones of six Siberian rivers the Ob, Yenisei, Khatanga, Lena, Indigirka and Kolyma were sampled during the summer period in 2015–2017. The τ value of waters of the Ob, Yenisei, Lena, and Kolyma rivers were calculated using sinusoidal model and seasonal δ18О and δ2Н data for these rivers extracted from the Arctic GRO dataset. The calculated τ-values for the Yenisei and Ob plumes are maximal (τ = 4.3–5.5 months), while for the Lena and Kolyma plumes, the τ value is almost twice as low (2–3 months). These estimations show that spring continental waters are present within the river plumes at the end of ice-free season. Based on the FC isotope composition and τ values obtained for river plumes, the general geographic pattern of isotope signatures of summer continental runoff entering the Arctic shelf can be considered as a result of the continental effect of winter precipitation. The δ18О(FC) and δ2H(FC) relationship of averaged data obtained for summer runoff for studied Siberian rivers show absence of the evaporation effect and close to the Global Meteoric Waters line: δ2Н = 8.12(±0.42) × δ18О + 8.6(±7.9).
在河流羽流在北极陆架停留期间,对河流水体的同位素(δ18O和δ2H)变化进行了平均。我们证明,可以使用河流羽流中淡水成分(FC)的稳定同位素(δ18О, δ2H)组成的正弦模型来估计北极陆架上河流水的停留时间(τ)。2015-2017年夏季,对鄂布河、叶尼塞河、哈坦加河、莱拿河、英迪吉尔卡河和科雷马河6条西伯利亚河流的羽流带进行了采样。利用正弦模型和北极GRO数据集中提取的Ob、Yenisei、Lena和Kolyma河流的季节性δ18О和δ2Н数据计算了这些河流的水体τ值。叶尼塞和Ob羽流的τ值是最大的(τ = 4.3-5.5个月),而Lena和Kolyma羽流的τ值几乎是最小的两倍(2-3个月)。这些估计表明,在无冰季节结束时,在河流羽流中存在春季大陆水。根据河流羽流的FC同位素组成和τ值,夏季大陆径流进入北极陆架的同位素特征的一般地理格局可以认为是冬季降水的大陆效应的结果。研究的西伯利亚河流夏季径流平均资料的δ18О(FC)和δ2H(FC)关系显示蒸发效应不存在,接近全球大气水线:δ2Н = 8.12(±0.42)× δ18О + 8.6(±7.9)。
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引用次数: 0
Hidden dendritic high quartz, grandidierite, euhedrally zoned Mg–Fe carbonate and chalcedony in garnet; documentation and significance of multi–stage recrystallization of garnetiferous granulite from central Sri Lanka during rapid cooling 在石榴石中隐伏枝晶高石英、辉长岩、自流分带镁铁碳酸盐和玉髓;斯里兰卡中部石榴粒粒岩在快速冷却过程中多阶段再结晶的记录和意义
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2025.101302
Y. Hiroi , T. Hokada , N. Furukawa , T. Adachi , B. Prame , L.R.K. Perera , M. Satish-Kumar , Y. Motoyoshi
The garnetiferous granulite in central Sri Lanka contains more than 27 minerals with various textures and compositions. The garnet + orthopyroxene + biotite + plagioclase + quartz + ilmenite + rutile + pyrrhotite + melt assemblage may have been stable at the metamorphic peak. The estimated peak P–T conditions are >0.6 GPa and >800 °C. Garnet occurs as anhedral porphyroblasts up to 1 cm in diameter. Some grains contain numerous inclusions, including melt inclusions (felsite–nanogranite inclusions, or FNIs), while others are free of inclusion except for fine–grained ilmenite and rutile. They commonly exhibit compositional zoning, with Mg decreasing and Ca increasing towards the margin. Some grains exhibit P zoning and are divided into P–poor core, P–rich mantle and P–poor rim. In the P–rich mantle, the FNIs are surrounded by areas of P depletion, indicating FNIs’ strong effect on the behavior of P in garnet. Grandidierite exclusively occurs in FNIs. Cathodoluminescence imaging revealed "hidden" dendritic high–quartz within anhedral quartz grains in FNIs. Dynamic crystallization experiments reproduced the characteristic texture. Plagioclase and biotite exhibit extremely wide compositional variations depending on their occurrence mode. Zoned carbonate and moganite–containing chalcedony occur as inclusions in garnet in places. These features all resulted from high–temperature metamorphism followed by the complex cooling history experienced by the rocks in a crustal–scale suture zone.
斯里兰卡中部的石榴麻粒岩含有超过27种不同质地和成分的矿物。石榴石+正辉石+黑云母+斜长石+石英+钛铁矿+金红石+磁黄铁矿+熔体组合可能在变质峰稳定。估计峰值P-T条件为>;0.6 GPa和>;800°C。石榴石呈菱形成卟啉细胞,直径可达1厘米。一些晶粒含有大量的包裹体,包括熔体包裹体(长石-纳米花岗岩包裹体,或FNIs),而其他晶粒除了细粒钛铁矿和金红石外没有包裹体。它们通常表现出组分的分带性,Mg向边缘减少,Ca向边缘增加。部分颗粒表现出贫磷地核、富磷地幔和贫磷边缘的分带性。在富磷地幔中,fni被缺磷区所包围,表明fni对石榴石中P的行为有强烈的影响。大辉石只存在于fni中。阴极发光成像显示在FNIs的菱形石英颗粒中“隐藏”的枝晶高石英。动态结晶实验再现了特征织构。斜长石和黑云母根据其赋存方式的不同,其成分变化非常大。带状碳酸盐和含莫干石的玉髓在某些地方以包裹体的形式出现在石榴石中。这些特征都是地壳尺度缝合带内岩石经历高温变质作用和复杂冷却历史的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Mode of occurrence of fracture-filling microcrystalline quartz and Al2SiO5 mineral assemblage in the Sør Rondane Mountains, East Antarctica: Implication for fluid infiltration during retrograde metamorphism 东南极洲Sør Rondane山岩缝充填型微晶石英及Al2SiO5矿物组合赋存方式:逆变质期流体入渗意义
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2025.101209
Fumiko Higashino , Tetsuo Kawakami , Hayato Ikeda , Tatsuro Adachi , Masaoki Uno
Mode of occurrence of fracture-filling microcrystalline quartz-Al2SiO5 mineral assemblage is examined in the Sør Rondane Mountains (SRM), East Antarctica. The microcrystalline Al2SiO5 minerals characteristically represent fibrous texture and are identified to be kyanite and sillimanite by Raman spectroscopy. Pelitic gneisses containing such fractures are observed in a wide area of over 50 km in the SRM. The microcrystalline quartz-Al2SiO5 mineral assemblage can be formed by acidic aqueous fluid infiltration which removed alkali and alkaline-earth metals in feldspars and cordierite. Such fluid infiltrations possibly took place during exhumation stage at < ca. 560 Ma.
研究了东南极洲Sør Rondane Mountains (SRM)裂缝充填型微晶石英- al2sio5矿物组合的赋存方式。微晶Al2SiO5矿物呈纤维状结构,拉曼光谱鉴定为蓝晶石和硅线石。含有这种裂缝的泥质片麻岩在SRM 50多公里的大范围内被观察到。微晶石英- al2sio5矿物组合可由酸性水渗流去除长石和堇青石中的碱金属和碱土金属形成。这种液体浸润可能发生在挖掘阶段,温度约为560ma。
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引用次数: 0
Melting processes of the marginal ice zone inferred from floe size distributions measured with a drone in the southern Sea of Okhotsk 鄂霍次克海南部用无人潜航器测量的浮冰大小分布推断出边缘冰带的融化过程
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2025.101215
Takenobu Toyota , Yuriko Arihara , Takuji Waseda , Masato Ito , Jun Nishioka
In the marginal ice zone, sea ice melts by absorbing heat from the surrounding seawater. Given that for the same sea ice area, total perimeter is longer for smaller ice floes, the information on floe size distribution is essential to predict the melting rate of sea ice. Our study was conducted in the southern Sea of Okhotsk under relatively calm and warm conditions in mid-February 2020. For the first time we used a drone to measure ice floes at a scale of less than a few meters and deduce the melting processes. Our results revealed that the cumulative floe size distribution is represented well by the power law with an exponent of 1.51 for floes larger than 0.9 m, and that each floe geometry has self-similar properties with an aspect ratio of 1.73. For floes below 0.9 m, it was shown that the floe size distribution deviates somewhat from the power law, associated with thermodynamic breakup which is caused by the increase in sea ice porosity. The surface heat budget analysis using the meteorological reanalysis datasets suggests that the efficient heat absorption from the open water and internal melting contributed to this process.
在边缘冰区,海冰通过吸收周围海水的热量而融化。考虑到相同的海冰面积,较小的浮冰的总周长较长,因此,关于浮冰大小分布的信息对于预测海冰的融化速度是必不可少的。我们的研究是在2020年2月中旬相对平静和温暖的条件下在鄂霍次克海南部进行的。我们第一次使用无人机在不到几米的尺度上测量浮冰,并推断融化过程。研究结果表明,对于大于0.9 m的絮体,其累积粒径分布可以用指数为1.51的幂律很好地表示,并且每个絮体的几何形状具有自相似的特性,长径比为1.73。对于小于0.9 m的浮冰,浮冰粒径分布偏离幂律,与海冰孔隙度增加引起的热力破碎有关。利用气象再分析资料进行的地表热收支分析表明,开放水域的有效吸热和内部融化对这一过程起了促进作用。
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引用次数: 0
The geology, chemistry and age of the Straumsvola Alkaline Complex, western Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica. The role of liquid immiscibility 南极洲Dronning Maud地西部Straumsvola碱性复合体的地质、化学和时代。液体不混溶的作用
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2025.101305
G.H. Grantham , T. Spell , M.W. Knoper , P. le Roux
The Straumsvola Alkaline Complex in H.U. Sverdrupfjella, western Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica (WDML) consists of four units comprising a Central Layered Zone (CLZ), a Central Outer Zone (COZ), a Mesocratic Zone (MZ) and Mafic layer (ML). The COZ is intruded by the CLZ and MZ. Layering and textures in the CLZ reflect fractionation of cumulate perthite and nepheline with intercumulate liquid from which amphibole, biotite and clinopyroxene crystallised. Amphibole, biotite and clinopyroxene locally form spherical nodules with interdigitating feldspar laths. The ML is included as part of the CLZ, suggested by similar field characteristics and chemical data. Similar textures reflecting early feldspar crystallisation with later intercumulate amphibole, biotite clinopyroxene are seen in all units. The chemical data of the felsic and mafic components don't show linear relationships suggestive of disequilibrium between the mineral assemblages and that they may have formed by liquid immiscibility. The ML is inferred to have formed from expulsion of intercumulate mafic magma through the permeable CLZ upwards by compaction of the felsic cumulates. Isotope data indicate the alkaline rocks are mantle derived, similar to dykes of similar age and vicinity. 40Ar/39Ar dates provide ages of ca. 178 Ma for the complex. Whole rock compositions of the alkaline rocks, combined with mineral and Jurassic dyke compositions plot in separate compositional fields, consistent with liquid immiscibility experiments and natural examples. Alternatively contrasting mantle melting would be required in the genesis of these rocks to produce synchronous peralkaline and tholeiitic melts in the same localities, combined with fractional crystallization.
南极Dronning Maud Land西部H.U. Sverdrupfjella的Straumsvola碱性杂岩(WDML)由中央层状带(CLZ)、中央外缘带(COZ)、中游带(MZ)和基性层(ML)四个单元组成。COZ被CLZ和MZ侵入。CLZ的层序和结构反映了堆积的花青石和霞石的分馏作用,堆积间的液体形成角闪孔、黑云母和斜辉石结晶。角闪石、黑云母和斜辉石局部形成球形结核,长石板条互指。根据相似的场特征和化学数据,ML被包括在CLZ中。在所有单元中都可以看到类似的结构,反映了早期长石结晶和后期的堆间角闪洞,黑云母斜辉石。长英质和镁质组分的化学数据没有显示出线性关系,表明矿物组合之间的不平衡,它们可能是由液体不混溶形成的。推断ML是由堆间基性岩浆在长英质堆积压实作用下通过可渗透的CLZ向上排出而形成的。同位素资料表明,碱性岩系地幔源岩,与相近年龄和邻近地区的岩脉相似。40Ar/39Ar日期为该复合体提供了约178 Ma的年龄。碱性岩石的整体岩石组成,结合矿物和侏罗纪岩脉组成在不同的组成场,与液体不混相实验和自然实例相一致。或者,在这些岩石的成因中,需要对比鲜明的地幔熔融作用,以在同一位置产生同步的过碱性和拉斑岩熔融,并结合分块结晶作用。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term aerosol optical depth analysis and prediction over the Antarctic Peninsula 南极半岛长期气溶胶光学深度分析与预测
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2025.101212
Esra Günaydın , Mahmut Oğuz Selbesoğlu , Mustafa Fahri Karabulut , Işıl Erdoğdu , Beyza Nur Kılıç , Bahadır Çelik , Özgün Oktar , Burcu Özsoy
The Earth's atmosphere is a system that significantly influences weather patterns and climate by regulating the radiation balance. Disturbances in the balance of incoming and reflected radiation filtered through the atmosphere constitute an interaction driving the planet's temperature, atmospheric circulation, and climate mechanism. The polar regions play a crucial role in maintaining the global climate balance due to their influence on atmospheric circulation patterns. In this context, monitoring atmospheric variables and their changes over time is critical for understanding and predicting global climate change. This study investigated the long-term variations of aerosol optical depth (AOD) in Antarctica, a region highly sensitive to atmospheric changes. The research utilized Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Aqua and Terra AOD products across three different-sized areas. The temporal variations of AOD over a twenty-year period were examined on a spatial basis to understand the patterns and trends of AOD. Furthermore, a comparison was conducted using data from the Marambio Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) station and satellite-based data. The evaluations were carried out separately using data from the Terra and Aqua satellites, and similar increasing trends in AOD values were observed for both datasets from 2002 to 2022. The correlation between the four-month mean AOD of Aqua and AERONET, as well as Terra and AERONET, was calculated as 0.6488 and 0.6190, respectively. A Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model was applied to satellite-based data to predict the dataset's behavior in the near future. The predictive analysis based on these datasets indicated that the most appropriate models were SARIMA(3,1,2)(3,1,0)12 for Aqua and SARIMA(2,1,1)(0,1,3)12 for Terra. The root mean square error values derived from predictions based on these model configurations were 0.030 for the Aqua dataset and 0.018 for the Terra dataset, indicating the accuracy of the models in forecasting the respective data. The predictions demonstrated strong agreement with the observed data, revealing a sustained increase in AOD values over time.
地球大气层是一个通过调节辐射平衡来显著影响天气模式和气候的系统。通过大气过滤的入射和反射辐射平衡中的干扰构成了驱动地球温度、大气环流和气候机制的相互作用。由于极地对大气环流模式的影响,极地在维持全球气候平衡方面发挥着至关重要的作用。在这种情况下,监测大气变量及其随时间的变化对于了解和预测全球气候变化至关重要。本研究研究了对大气变化高度敏感的南极地区气溶胶光学深度(AOD)的长期变化。该研究利用中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS) Aqua和Terra AOD产品在三个不同大小的区域进行研究。在空间基础上,分析了近20 a AOD的时间变化特征,以了解AOD的变化规律和趋势。此外,利用Marambio气溶胶机器人网络(AERONET)站的数据和卫星数据进行了比较。利用Terra和Aqua卫星的数据分别进行了评估,从2002年到2022年,两个数据集的AOD值都有类似的增加趋势。Aqua和AERONET、Terra和AERONET的4个月平均AOD的相关系数分别为0.6488和0.6190。利用季节自回归综合移动平均(SARIMA)模型对卫星数据进行预测。基于这些数据集的预测分析表明,最合适的模型为Aqua的SARIMA(3,1,2)(3,1,0)12和Terra的SARIMA(2,1,1)(0,1,3)12。基于这些模型配置的预测得出的均方根误差值在Aqua数据集为0.030,在Terra数据集为0.018,表明模型在预测各自数据时的准确性。预测结果与观测数据非常吻合,表明AOD值随时间持续增加。
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