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Investigation of background radiation levels and environmental radioactivity around Bharati Station, Larsemann Hills in east Antarctica-an overview 南极洲东部拉尔斯曼山巴拉蒂站周围本底辐射水平和环境放射性调查--概述
IF 1.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2024.101044
A.K. Bakshi , Rupali Pal , Jis Romal , B.K. Sahoo , Saurabh Garg , B.K. Sapra

Study on the measurement of background radiation level in and around Bharati station, Larsemann Hills region of East Antarctica was taken up using different types of detectors. The radiation levels due to cosmogenic (especially neutron) and terrestrial origin (gamma and neutron) and natural radioactivity due to presence of primordial radionuclide in the samples of soil, rock, lake water, ice and air were measured. The data on radionuclide activities of soil and lake water are presented pictorially using surfer plot. The study was further extended to the in-situ measurement of Radon/Thoron concentration in soil pores. Measurement of gross alpha and beta activity in air samples was also carried out. These studies were conducted during several Indian Scientific Expeditions to Antarctica (ISEA) (32nd to 36th) for the period from 2012 to 2017. Some of the data generated during the above mentioned expeditions are already published previously and hence mentioned very briefly in the text whereas the unpublished data are presented and discussed in this article for the first time.

使用不同类型的探测器对南极洲东部拉尔斯曼山地区巴拉蒂站及其周围的本底辐射水平进行了测量。测量了土壤、岩石、湖水、冰和空气样本中宇宙源(特别是中子)和陆地源(伽马射线和中子)造成的辐射水平,以及原始放射性核素存在造成的天然放射性水平。土壤和湖水中放射性核素活度的数据用冲浪者图来表示。研究还进一步扩展到对土壤孔隙中氡/钍浓度的原位测量。还对空气样本中的α和β总活度进行了测量。这些研究是在 2012 年至 2017 年期间多次印度南极洲科学考察(第 32 次至第 36 次)期间进行的。上述考察期间产生的一些数据已在之前发表,因此在文中简要提及,而未发表的数据则在本文中首次介绍和讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Performance monitoring of the wastewater system of Bharati Station, Antarctica 南极洲巴拉蒂研究基地废水系统的性能监测
IF 1.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2024.101067
Rahul Kumar , N.S. Magesh , Vivek Kumar , Kirti Ranjan Das , Ariz Ahmad , Vikas Singh , Partha Sarathi Majhi , Ravi Mishra , Anand K. Singh , Shailendra Saini , Yogesh Ray

The untouched condition of Antarctica's environment is a result of its inherent absence of human activity. Nevertheless, with the introduction of scientific research stations and human presence, a considerable volume of wastewater has been produced by these research facilities. The wastewater needs to be treated before discharge and has strict rules and regulations set by the Antarctic Treaty (Annexure III). However, the performance of the wastewater treatment plant and the data on the quality of the effluents being discharged into the sea by different stations are limited. In this study, the performance of the wastewater treatment plant at Bharati research station located at Larsemann Hills, East Antarctica was investigated from 2015 to 2022. Physical and chemical parameters such as pH, EC, NH4–N and COD were determined in effluents from the drinking water plant, blackwater and greywater plant from Bharati station. The pH and EC of the effluents were measured using portable probes, ammonia was measured spectrophotometrically, and COD was measured using the closed reflux digestion method. The monthly data of the effluents from 2015 to 2022 for pH, EC, NH4–N and COD indicate values within the permissible limits except for a few parameters at a certain time frame. It was observed that the pH of black, grey and drinking water varied between pH 6.5 and 9.1. Both grey and blackwater showed a decreasing conductivity trend, suggesting decreased ionic content. The blackwater exhibited an increase in ammonia concentration and COD trend, indicating higher organic pollution levels, while the grey water displayed a decreasing trend in COD, indicating a reduction in organic matter content. The study also investigated the correlation between NH4–N concentration in wastewater and greywater with levels of COD and compared these levels with standard values to assess effluent water quality. The data will provide baseline values to assess any malfunctioning of the wastewater system in treating the contaminants. Effluent data from other Antarctic stations show a high value compared with the effluents from Bharati station. Such variability largely depends on the station size, water usage and number of expedition members during the summer and winter seasons.

南极洲的环境之所以未受破坏,是因为这里本来就没有人类活动。然而,随着科学研究站的建立和人类的存在,这些研究设施产生了大量废水。这些废水在排放前需要进行处理,《南极条约》(附件 III)对此有严格的规定。然而,有关废水处理厂的性能以及各站排放入海的废水质量的数据却十分有限。本研究调查了位于南极洲东部拉尔斯曼山的巴拉蒂研究站的废水处理厂在 2015 年至 2022 年期间的运行情况。研究人员测定了巴拉蒂研究站饮用水厂、黑水厂和中水厂污水的 pH 值、EC 值、NH-N 和 COD 等理化参数。污水的 pH 值和 EC 值采用便携式探头测量,氨氮采用分光光度法测量,COD 采用密闭回流消化法测定。从 2015 年到 2022 年,污水的 pH 值、EC 值、NH-N 值和 COD 值的月度数据显示,除个别时间段的少数参数外,其他值均在允许范围内。据观察,黑水、灰水和饮用水的 pH 值介于 6.5 和 9.1 之间。灰水和黑水的电导率都呈下降趋势,表明离子含量减少。黑水的氨浓度和化学需氧量呈上升趋势,表明有机污染水平较高,而灰水的化学需氧量呈下降趋势,表明有机物含量减少。研究还调查了废水和灰水中 NH-N 浓度与 COD 水平之间的相关性,并将这些水平与标准值进行比较,以评估出水水质。这些数据将提供基准值,以评估废水系统在处理污染物方面的任何故障。与巴拉蒂站的污水相比,其他南极站的污水数据显示出较高的数值。这种差异在很大程度上取决于考察站的规模、用水量以及夏季和冬季考察队员的人数。
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引用次数: 0
Bacterial community structure, adaptations and prevalence of antimicrobial resistance in bacteria from Antarctica: A review 南极洲细菌群落结构、适应性和抗菌药耐药性流行情况:综述
IF 1.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2023.101034
Sonia Tamang , Prayatna Sharma , Santosh Kumar , Nagendra Thakur

Antarctica serves as an ideal prototype to study past climatic condition as the ice core records dates back to 100,000 years. Microbiological research on ice core has opened a doorway to our understanding on biodiversity and its contribution to the frozen ecosystem. In this review, the ice core bacterial diversity of East and West Antarctica has been documented. Cold-adapted bacteria hold immense potential in biotechnological applications as they possess functional advantages over mesophilic bacteria. Some of the neoteric applications of bioproducts of Antarctic bacteria have been stated in this review. The current climate change due to global warming exerts a humongous effect on the ecosystem of the polar region. The region being susceptible to any fluctuation in temperature, the exacerbated melting of Antarctic glaciated mass contributes to the rise of global sea level, with loss of ice harbouring unknown microbial entities. This review mainly focuses on the bacterial diversity of East and West Antarctic counterparts, the prevalence of antibiotic-resistant genes, the adaption strategies conferred by bacteria thriving in Antarctic habitats and their potential biotechnological applications.

南极洲的冰芯记录可以追溯到 10 万年前,是研究过去气候条件的理想原型。冰芯微生物研究为我们了解生物多样性及其对冰冻生态系统的贡献打开了一扇大门。本综述记录了南极洲东部和西部的冰芯细菌多样性。适应低温的细菌在生物技术应用方面具有巨大潜力,因为与中嗜性细菌相比,它们具有功能上的优势。本综述介绍了南极细菌生物产品的一些新应用。当前全球变暖导致的气候变化对极地地区的生态系统产生了巨大影响。该地区易受任何温度波动的影响,南极冰川融化的加剧导致全球海平面上升,藏有未知微生物实体的冰也随之消失。本综述主要关注南极东西两极的细菌多样性、抗生素耐药基因的流行、南极栖息地细菌的适应策略及其潜在的生物技术应用。
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引用次数: 0
Phytoplankton community structure during the melting phase of the land-fast ice in Prydz Bay, east Antarctica 南极洲东部普里兹湾陆地快冰融化阶段的浮游植物群落结构
IF 1.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2024.101046
Pratiksha D. Deshmukh, Jenson V. George, Ravidas K. Naik, Shramik M. Patil, Melena A. Soares, Ajay Bhadran, N. Anilkumar

Phytoplankton, the primary producers of all aquatic systems, form the base of the marine food web. Any change in the environmental settings of the given ecosystem will affect the phytoplankton community structure of the region. In the present work, water sampling was carried out from the poorly explored polar region, beneath the sea ice during the melting phase of land-fast ice near Indian Antarctic Research Station Bharati in Prydz Bay, East Antarctica. The water samples were analyzed for phytoplankton species diversity, nutrients, temperature, salinity, and Chlorophyll a (Chl a). Our observations indicate marked variations in phytoplankton biomass and community. A shift from diatom (Thalassiosira sp., Fragilariopsis sp.) to dinoflagellate (Protoperidinium sp.) community, along with the emergence of grazers was seen by the end of the observation period. The background environmental conditions also showed marked variations, as the concentration of nitrate at 0m depth reduced from 31.8 μM at Obs-1 to a non-detectable limit at Obs-3. Furthermore, at 0m depth, temperature increased from −1.32 °C at Obs-1 to −0.38 °C at Obs-3 while salinity decreased from 34.11 at Obs-1 to 33.68 at Obs-3, thus indicating the melting phase of sea ice from Obs-1 to Obs-3. These observations showed vertical stratification resulting from the basal melting of land-fast sea ice resulted in better availability of light, phytoplankton community change due to nutrient availability/utilization/limitation, followed by the presence of grazer community. This preliminary understanding will serve as a baseline dataset to design the targeted sampling/experiments in the future from the land-fast ice ecosystem.

浮游植物是所有水生系统的初级生产者,是海洋食物网的基础。特定生态系统环境的任何变化都会影响该地区的浮游植物群落结构。在本研究中,我们在南极洲东部普里兹湾印度南极研究站巴拉蒂附近的陆地快冰融化阶段,从海冰下勘探不足的极地区域进行了水样采集。对水样进行了浮游植物物种多样性、营养物质、温度、盐度和叶绿素 a(Chl a)分析。我们的观察结果表明,浮游植物的生物量和群落有明显的变化。在观察期结束时,硅藻(Thalassiosira sp.、Fragilariopsis sp.)群落向甲藻(Protoperidinium sp.)群落转变,同时出现了食草动物。背景环境条件也发生了明显变化,0 米深处的硝酸盐浓度从观察-1 的 31.8 μM 降至观察-3 的检测不到。此外,0 米深处的温度从观测值-1 的 -1.32 ℃上升到观测值-3 的-0.38 ℃,而盐度则从观测值-1 的 34.11 ℃下降到观测值-3 的 33.68 ℃,这表明从观测值-1 到观测值-3,海冰处于融化阶段。这些观测结果表明,陆快海冰的基底融化导致垂直分层,从而改善了光的供应,浮游植物群落因营养物质的供应/利用/限制而发生变化,随后出现了食草动物群落。这一初步认识将作为基线数据集,用于设计今后在陆地-快冰生态系统中进行的有针对性的采样/实验。
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引用次数: 0
Thermotectonic evolution of the Rauer Group and Vestfold Hills in Prydz Bay: implications for Neoproterozoic assembly of the East Antarctic Shield Prydz湾Rauer群和Vestfold Hills的热构造演化:对南极东部盾构新元古代组合的启示
IF 1.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2023.101015
Sandro Chatterjee , Aishi Debnath , Suvankar Samantaray , Devsamridhi Arora , Soham Dey , Saibal Gupta , Naresh Chandra Pant

The Rauer Group and Vestfold Hills are critical components of the East Antarctic Shield and are believed to have been parts of the supercontinents Rodinia and Gondwana. The Rauer Group is characterized by Archean to Pan-African thermal history, while the Pan-African signature in the Vestfold Hills is restricted to its southwestern margin. The correlation between the Rauer Group and Vestfold Hills remains controversial, while the significance of amalgamation between these two terranes remains unclear. Most importantly, the precise nature and timing of the Rauer-Vestfold contact is disputed. In this review, we compare the available structural, metamorphic, geochronological and geophysical data in these two East Antarctic terranes and suggest that (i) the Rauer Group and Vestfold Hills of East Antarctica were amalgamated during the late Mesoproterozoic to early Neoproterozoic (∼1000 Ma), and (ii) the Rauer-Vestfold contact is located beneath the Sørsdal Glacier in the East Antarctic Shield. Finally, we argue that juxtaposition of the Rauer-Vestfold contiguous crustal unit with the Eastern Ghats Province (EGP)-Rayner amalgam took place in the Pan-African time (∼500 Ma).

Rauer群和Vestfold山是东南极盾的重要组成部分,被认为是罗迪尼亚和冈瓦纳超级大陆的一部分。Rauer群具有太古宙-泛非热史特征,而Vestfold Hills的泛非热史特征仅限于其西南边缘。Rauer Group和Vestfold Hills之间的相关性仍然存在争议,而这两个地体之间合并的意义尚不清楚。最重要的是,Rauer-Vestfold接触的精确性质和时间是有争议的。本文比较了这两个东南极地体现有的构造、变质、年代学和地球物理资料,认为(1)东南极洲的Rauer群和Vestfold山在中元古代晚期至新元古代早期(~ 1000 Ma)合并,(2)Rauer-Vestfold接触体位于东南极盾Sørsdal冰川下方。最后,我们认为,Rauer-Vestfold连续地壳单元与东高止省(EGP)-Rayner银基组合并置发生在泛非时间(~ 500 Ma)。
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引用次数: 0
Formation of subaerial taliks in Larsemann hills, princess Elizabeth land, East Antarctica 南极洲东部伊丽莎白公主地拉尔斯曼丘陵的地下滑石形成过程
IF 1.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2024.101070
S.V. Popov , A.S. Boronina , A.V. Nemchinova , L.S. Lebedeva , A.S. Biryukov

This study presents a mathematical model of heat and mass transfer for modelling the formation and evolution of taliks in the upper subsurface of the Larsemann Hills in East Antarctica. Four simulation scenarios were considered. The first one showed that thawed areas cannot form under snowfields. The second and third scenarios demonstrated the taliks did not form if the snow melted immediately after set the positive air temperatures and covered the surface 20 days before the set of negative air temperatures or immediately after that. According to the last scenario, talik forms when snow cover persists even with positive air temperature, and snow falls before the air temperature becomes negative. Modelling demonstrates that taliks in the Larsemann Hills exist, but they are mostly in an unstable state.

本研究提出了一个热量和质量传递数学模型,用于模拟南极洲东部拉尔斯曼丘陵上部地下滑石的形成和演变。研究考虑了四种模拟情况。第一种情况表明,雪原下不可能形成解冻区域。第二种和第三种情况表明,如果积雪在正气温出现后立即融化,并在负气温出现前 20 天或之后立即覆盖地表,则不会形成滑石。最后一种情况是,即使气温为正,积雪仍然覆盖地表,并且在气温变为负值之前降雪,就会形成滑石。模拟结果表明,拉尔斯曼丘陵的塔里克是存在的,但大多处于不稳定状态。
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引用次数: 0
Drivers of anomalous surface melting over Ingrid Christensen Coast, East Antarctica 南极洲东部英格丽德-克里斯滕森海岸异常地表融化的驱动因素
IF 1.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2024.101069
E.M. Gayathri , C.M. Laluraj

Antarctica contains 90% of the Earth's ice; if it melts, it can significantly contribute to the rise in global sea levels. Over Antarctica, short-term atmospheric warming events have led to significant surface melt in summer. Understanding the conditions of such warming events and subsequent surface melt is highly prioritized in Polar Research. The austral summer of 2016-17 witnessed the largest melt duration of the 21st century over Ingrid Christensen Coast (ICC), East Antarctica. Being situated on the grounded ice near four research stations, understanding the melt over the region has both scientific and operational importance. Here, we investigate the drivers of four major melt events identified over ICC for the austral summer of 2016-17 using the reanalysis dataset, ERA5. The first melt event, coinciding with the season's highest air temperature, was triggered by high turbulent heat flux from strong katabatic winds, while the rest of the events were triggered by low-level, liquid cloud-induced longwave radiation. During the melt events, anomalous high pressure ridges were present over the continent causing low pressure systems to remain stationary for an extended period and direct warm, moist air towards the ICC, facilitating melting. The present study observed melting occurring above the grounding zone, and if such melting extends to a larger scale beyond ice shelves, it could raise significant concerns regarding the hydrodynamics and stability of ice sheets in the future.

南极洲拥有地球上 90% 的冰;如果这些冰融化,就会大大加剧全球海平面的上升。在南极洲,短期大气变暖事件导致夏季地表大量融化。极地研究高度优先考虑了解此类变暖事件及随后地表融化的条件。2016-17 年的澳大利亚夏季见证了 21 世纪南极洲东部英格丽德-克里斯滕森海岸(ICC)最大的融化持续时间。英格丽德-克里斯滕森海岸(ICC)位于四个研究站附近的接地冰层上,了解该地区的融化情况具有科学和业务两方面的重要意义。在此,我们利用ERA5再分析数据集研究了2016-17年澳大利亚夏季在ICC上空发现的四次主要融化事件的驱动因素。第一起融化事件与当季最高气温相吻合,由强卡巴风产生的高湍流热通量引发,其余事件则由低层液态云引发的长波辐射引发。在融化事件期间,大陆上空出现异常高压脊,导致低压系统长时间保持静止,并将暖湿空气引向国际协调理事会,从而促进了融化。本研究观察到融化发生在接地带以上,如果这种融化扩大到冰架以外的更大范围,可能会对未来冰原的流体力学和稳定性产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Differences in iodine chemistry over the Antarctic continent 南极大陆上空碘化学成分的差异
IF 1.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2023.101014
Anoop S. Mahajan , Shrutika Wagh , Rafael P. Fernandez , Surendra Singh , Silvia Bucci , Alfonso Saiz-Lopez

High concentrations of iodine oxide (IO) have been reported over west Antarctica, with areas around the Weddell Sea showing a peak in spring. However, stations in east Antarctica show much lower values during summer, although observations over spring are still missing. Here, we present the first year-long observations of IO outside the Weddell Sea region using a multi-axis differential optical absorption spectrometer (MAX-DOAS) over the Bharati station (69.41°S, 76.19°E). Observations show that iodine chemistry is less active than over the Weddell Sea, even during springtime, with IO mixing ratios below 2 pptv throughout the sunlit period. A slight increase in IO is observed in spring, although it is a factor of 10 lower than the Weddell Sea region. We identify the variations in drivers in the different regions using sea ice concentrations, sea ice thickness and chlorophyll concentrations. We use a global model which uses a parameterization for iodine emissions based on a combination of these factors. The model reproduces the high concentrations over the Weddell Sea and the low concentrations over Bharati throughout the year, shedding light on the environmental factors, sources and chemistry of iodine in Antarctica. Even at small concentrations, iodine can enhance ozone loss caused by bromine chemistry over east Antarctica, although this impact is lower than in the west Antarctic.

据报道,南极洲西部上空的碘氧化物(IO)浓度很高,威德尔海周围地区在春季达到峰值。然而,南极洲东部的观测站在夏季显示的数值要低得多,尽管仍然缺少对春季的观测。在此,我们首次使用多轴差分光学吸收光谱仪(MAX-DOAS)对巴拉蒂站(南纬 69.41 度,东经 76.19 度)以外的威德尔海地区进行了长达一年的碘氧化物观测。观测结果表明,即使在春季,碘化学反应也不如威德尔海活跃,在整个日照期间,碘氧化物混合比低于 2 pptv。春季观察到碘氧化物略有增加,但比威德尔海地区低 10 倍。我们利用海冰浓度、海冰厚度和叶绿素浓度确定了不同区域驱动因素的变化。我们使用了一个全球模型,该模型使用了基于这些因素组合的碘排放参数。该模型再现了全年威德尔海上空的高浓度和巴拉蒂上空的低浓度,揭示了南极洲碘的环境因素、来源和化学性质。即使浓度很小,碘也会加剧南极洲东部上空溴化学作用造成的臭氧损失,尽管这种影响低于南极洲西部。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of the human footprint in Antarctica: A case study Larsemann Hills 评估南极洲的人类足迹:拉瑟曼山案例研究
IF 1.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2024.101048
Sergey Kakareka, Sviatlana Salivonchyk

The article is devoted to assessment of the anthropogenic influence in the Larsemann Hills, East Antarctica. The emission of the main pollutants and greenhouse gases from diesel generators used at Antarctic stations are estimated for the period since the beginning of the development of the oasis area (from 1986 to 2019). It is shown that SO2 emissions decreased in 2019 compared to peak values in 1990 by 5.6 times, which was due to a significant decrease of the sulfur content in fuel. Emissions of other pollutants mostly increased. Surface air pollution by SO2, NO2, CO, PM10 and black carbon (BC) using the AERMOD dispersion model are characterized. It is revealed that the most significant emission health impact is due to increase of surface concentrations of nitrogen dioxide. Deposition fluxes of PM10 and BC are estimated. The fluxes of PM10 and BC dry deposition in the territory of Larsemann Hills can reach maximum values of 27.5 and 21.7 mg/m2/year, respectively; can be traced in certain directions at a distance of up to 2.0 km or more. Modeling of BC deposition due to the dispersion of emission allowed to make draft estimates of soot concentration in the snow of the area and resulting radiative forcing climatic effects.

文章致力于评估人为因素对南极洲东部拉尔斯曼丘陵的影响。文章估算了自绿洲地区开始开发以来(1986 年至 2019 年)南极站使用的柴油发电机所排放的主要污染物和温室气体。结果表明,与 1990 年的峰值相比,2019 年的二氧化硫排放量减少了 5.6 倍,这是由于燃料中的硫含量显著降低。其他污染物的排放量大多有所增加。利用 AERMOD 扩散模型对二氧化硫、二氧化氮、一氧化碳、可吸入颗粒物(PM10)和黑碳(BC)造成的地表空气污染进行了描述。结果表明,排放对健康影响最大的是二氧化氮地表浓度的增加。对 PM10 和 BC 的沉积通量进行了估算。拉尔斯曼山地区的 PM10 和 BC 干沉积通量的最大值分别为 27.5 和 21.7 毫克/平方米/年;可在某些方向上追踪到 2.0 千米或更远的距离。通过对排放扩散导致的 BC 沉积进行建模,可以对该地区雪地中的烟尘浓度以及由此产生的辐射强迫气候效应进行草拟估算。
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引用次数: 0
Important factors affecting transportation for shippers and potential demand for the Northeast Passage: A conjoint analysis of Japan 影响托运人运输的重要因素和东北航道的潜在需求:对日本的联合分析
IF 1.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.polar.2023.101043
Shinichi Yamaguchi , Kei Komuro , Shinnosuke Tanabe , Hajime Yamaguchi

This study utilized choice-based conjoint analysis, along with conditional logit to identify the following three research questions: RQ1: Which factor of the route is important for sippers in marine transport? RQ2: What is the potential demand for the NEP? How does the shipping cost alter the demand? RQ3: Which industry exhibits a high potential demand for the NEP? According to the results, Shipping Time, Percent Delay, Container Temperature, and Shipping Cost impact route selection by shippers. The following order was determined in terms of importance: Cost > Delay > Time > Temperature. The following values were found for the marginal willingness to pay: USD 31.7/FEU for one-day reduction, USD 35.2/FEU for 1% reduction in the delay rate of 1–3 days, and USD 456.0/FEU for a decrease in temperature inside the container from 15 to 45 °C to 5–20 °C. Furthermore, the potential probability of the selection of NEP is 39.4% if the cost is equal. When the cost increases from USD 2585/FEU to USD 2100–2150/FEU, the share becomes equal to the SCR. The Agriculture and Fisheries industry exhibited the highest potential demand, while the Chemical industry exhibited the least demand. These results led to three policy implications. It should be noted, however, that the accuracy of the analysis remains debatable because it is not random sampling.

本研究利用基于选择的联合分析和条件 logit 来确定以下三个研究问题:问题 1:在海运中,航线的哪个因素对乘客来说很重要?问题 2:对国家环保政策的潜在需求是什么?航运成本如何改变需求?问题 3: 哪个行业对非环保型产品的潜在需求大?结果表明,航运时间、延误百分比、集装箱温度和航运成本会影响托运人的航线选择。重要性排序如下:成本> 延误> 时间> 温度。边际支付意愿值如下:减少一天的费用为 31.7 美元/外币,减少 1-3 天延误率 1%的费用为 35.2 美元/外币,集装箱内温度从 15-45 °C 降至 5-20 °C 的费用为 456.0 美元/外币。此外,如果成本相同,选择 NEP 的潜在概率为 39.4%。当成本从 2585 美元/FEU 增加到 2100-2150 美元/FEU 时,其份额与 SCR 相等。农业和渔业的潜在需求最大,而化工行业的需求最小。这些结果产生了三个政策影响。但需要注意的是,由于不是随机抽样,分析的准确性仍有待商榷。
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